MCAT
Marscat Token · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s7
- token id
- #456
- symbol
- MCAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd69a4b260ef021ccd4e1c5f5a4fb522b032ce831
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
53.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0813
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0104
actual -0.0046
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.719025 | 0.713781 | -0.73% | – | pending | – | – | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.759515 | 0.753563 | -0.78% | 0.719025 | -5.33% | 0.0357 | ✓ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.774195 | 0.767333 | -0.89% | 0.759515 | -1.90% | 0.0625 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.7811 | 0.773296 | -1.00% | 0.774195 | -0.88% | 0.0092 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.74617 | 0.738371 | -1.05% | 0.7811 | +4.68% | 0.0264 | ✗ | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.646255 | 0.641321 | -0.76% | 0.74617 | +15.46% | 0.1572 | ✗ | 3.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.62541 | 0.620848 | -0.73% | 0.646255 | +3.33% | 0.0705 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.60864 | 0.604543 | -0.67% | 0.62541 | +2.76% | 0.0068 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.599125 | 0.595025 | -0.68% | 0.60864 | +1.59% | 0.0998 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.596775 | 0.592803 | -0.67% | 0.599125 | +0.39% | 0.0588 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.608905 | 0.604413 | -0.74% | 0.596775 | -1.99% | 0.0901 | ✗ | 4.39 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.611255 | 0.606436 | -0.79% | 0.608905 | -0.38% | 0.0366 | ✓ | 4.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.563305 | 0.559765 | -0.63% | 0.611255 | +8.51% | 0.0836 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.51154 | 0.509414 | -0.42% | 0.563305 | +10.12% | 0.0902 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.54838 | 0.545133 | -0.59% | 0.51154 | -6.72% | 0.0444 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.689605 | 0.68418 | -0.79% | 0.54838 | -20.48% | 0.1944 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.65254 | 0.647661 | -0.75% | 0.689605 | +5.68% | 0.0652 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.6717 | 0.666508 | -0.77% | 0.65254 | -2.85% | 0.0124 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.704355 | 0.698218 | -0.87% | 0.6717 | -4.64% | 0.0593 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.70984 | 0.703284 | -0.92% | 0.704355 | -0.77% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.722985 | 0.715942 | -0.97% | 0.70984 | -1.82% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.745455 | 0.737377 | -1.08% | 0.722985 | -3.01% | 0.0351 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.796315 | 0.78668 | -1.21% | 0.745455 | -6.39% | 0.0528 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.780635 | 0.770703 | -1.27% | 0.796315 | +2.01% | 0.0305 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.77554 | 0.765554 | -1.29% | 0.780635 | +0.66% | 0.0315 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.76579 | 0.755663 | -1.32% | 0.77554 | +1.27% | 0.0254 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.77739 | 0.766594 | -1.39% | 0.76579 | -1.49% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.73189 | 0.722783 | -1.24% | 0.77739 | +6.22% | 0.0763 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.82997 | 0.816774 | -1.59% | 0.73189 | -11.82% | 0.1098 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.91021 | 0.890295 | -2.19% | 0.82997 | -8.82% | 0.0488 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.72185 | 0.709325 | -1.74% | 0.91021 | +26.09% | 0.2540 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.51745 | 0.512739 | -0.91% | 0.72185 | +39.50% | 0.2772 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.829055 | 0.808329 | -2.50% | 0.51745 | -37.59% | 0.4451 | ✓ | 1.00 |