MARSCOIN
MarsCoin · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s7
- token id
- #52
- symbol
- MARSCOIN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xfe189e97832da1573e4e4ff034f4ffc3a15c7777
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-04
- predictions
- 120
Track record at +1d
assessed
39
of 40 predictions shown
direction hit
56.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0719
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0120
actual -0.0075
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.08135 | 0.080291 | -1.30% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.08115 | 0.080115 | -1.27% | 0.08135 | +0.25% | 0.0133 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.07935 | 0.078481 | -1.10% | 0.08115 | +2.27% | 0.0227 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.07795 | 0.07722 | -0.94% | 0.07935 | +1.80% | 0.0165 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.07555 | 0.074991 | -0.74% | 0.07795 | +3.18% | 0.0404 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.07685 | 0.076366 | -0.63% | 0.07555 | -1.69% | 0.0170 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.07985 | 0.079307 | -0.68% | 0.07685 | -3.76% | 0.0303 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07715 | 0.076734 | -0.54% | 0.07985 | +3.50% | 0.0463 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.08255 | 0.082043 | -0.61% | 0.07715 | -6.54% | 0.0674 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.07945 | 0.078981 | -0.59% | 0.08255 | +3.90% | 0.0625 | ✗ | 0.98 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.08085 | 0.080489 | -0.45% | 0.07945 | -1.73% | 0.0294 | ✓ | 0.99 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.09555 | 0.094641 | -0.95% | 0.08085 | -15.38% | 0.1397 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.09625 | 0.09535 | -0.94% | 0.09555 | -0.73% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09325 | 0.092443 | -0.87% | 0.09625 | +3.22% | 0.0371 | ✗ | 0.74 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.09105 | 0.090316 | -0.81% | 0.09325 | +2.42% | 0.0246 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.09505 | 0.094028 | -1.07% | 0.09105 | -4.21% | 0.0187 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.10535 | 0.103955 | -1.32% | 0.09505 | -9.78% | 0.0749 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.10525 | 0.103792 | -1.38% | 0.10535 | +0.10% | 0.0163 | ✗ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.10865 | 0.107105 | -1.42% | 0.10525 | -3.13% | 0.0126 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.11095 | 0.109243 | -1.54% | 0.10865 | -2.07% | 0.0261 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.1074 | 0.105619 | -1.66% | 0.11095 | +3.31% | 0.0464 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.12765 | 0.125851 | -1.41% | 0.1074 | -15.86% | 0.1545 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.1371 | 0.135159 | -1.42% | 0.12765 | -6.89% | 0.0725 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.14065 | 0.138653 | -1.42% | 0.1371 | -2.52% | 0.0103 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.15785 | 0.153841 | -2.54% | 0.14065 | -10.90% | 0.0918 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.1233 | 0.121607 | -1.37% | 0.15785 | +28.02% | 0.2728 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.13445 | 0.132251 | -1.64% | 0.1233 | -8.29% | 0.0706 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.11835 | 0.116603 | -1.48% | 0.13445 | +13.60% | 0.1386 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.1152 | 0.113604 | -1.39% | 0.11835 | +2.73% | 0.0444 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1364 | 0.134096 | -1.69% | 0.1152 | -15.54% | 0.1520 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.14165 | 0.137872 | -2.67% | 0.1364 | -3.71% | 0.0106 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10195 | 0.100687 | -1.24% | 0.14165 | +38.94% | 0.3459 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.09225 | 0.091117 | -1.23% | 0.10195 | +10.51% | 0.0475 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.09905 | 0.097835 | -1.23% | 0.09225 | -6.87% | 0.0579 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.11315 | 0.111501 | -1.46% | 0.09905 | -12.46% | 0.1228 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1172 | 0.115186 | -1.72% | 0.11315 | -3.46% | 0.0754 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.092 | 0.091406 | -0.65% | 0.1172 | +27.39% | 0.2459 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.08655 | 0.086062 | -0.56% | 0.092 | +6.30% | 0.0593 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.09165 | 0.090706 | -1.03% | 0.08655 | -5.56% | 0.0132 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.09765 | 0.096843 | -0.83% | 0.09165 | -6.14% | 0.0729 | ✓ | 1.00 |