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LIT

Lighter · Ethereum · gru_s7

token id
#67
symbol
LIT
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-22
predictions
792
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
234
of 264 predictions shown
direction hit
50.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3330
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0343
actual +0.0948

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos3.42193.1906-6.76%–pending––1.27
2026-10-20oos3.38263.1631-6.49%–pending––1.29
2026-10-19oos3.09472.9139-5.85%–pending––1.27
2026-10-18oos3.07522.9078-5.44%–pending––1.30
2026-10-17oos3.11462.9495-5.30%–pending––1.30
2026-10-16oos3.17523.0099-5.21%–pending––1.30
2026-10-15oos3.02532.8924-4.39%–pending––1.30
2026-10-14oos3.08422.9459-4.49%–pending––1.31
2026-10-13oos3.34763.1674-5.38%–pending––1.29
2026-10-12oos3.37593.2089-4.95%–pending––1.31
2026-10-11oos3.83473.5935-6.29%–pending––1.31
2026-10-10oos3.63723.4504-5.14%–pending––1.38
2026-10-09oos3.62623.4475-4.93%–pending––1.38
2026-10-08oos3.60613.4489-4.36%–pending––1.38
2026-10-07oos3.57273.4071-4.63%–pending––1.44
2026-10-06oos3.81543.6009-5.62%–pending––1.42
2026-10-05oos4.01873.7948-5.57%–pending––1.43
2026-10-04oos3.66433.4426-6.05%–pending––1.47
2026-10-03oos3.56673.3683-5.56%–pending––1.48
2026-10-02oos3.55123.3422-5.89%–pending––1.49
2026-10-01oos3.80483.5564-6.53%–pending––1.48
2026-09-30oos3.94993.7181-5.87%–pending––1.50
2026-09-29oos3.93283.6797-6.43%–pending––1.48
2026-09-28oos4.44134.1287-7.04%–pending––1.51
2026-09-27oos4.65474.2977-7.67%–pending––1.47
2026-09-26oos4.8444.4828-7.46%–pending––1.48
2026-09-25oos4.85224.5058-7.14%–pending––1.48
2026-09-24oos5.07294.7358-6.65%–pending––1.48
2026-09-23oos5.31964.9988-6.03%–pending––1.47
2026-09-22oos5.06674.7414-6.42%–pending––1.54
2026-09-21oos4.73864.4125-6.88%3.4219-27.79%0.1882✓1.43
2026-09-20oos4.77454.4854-6.06%3.3826-29.15%0.3180✓1.66
2026-09-19oos4.80924.5398-5.60%3.0947-35.65%0.3954✓1.65
2026-09-18oos4.76874.5235-5.14%3.0752-35.51%0.4087✓1.64
2026-09-17oos4.81074.6024-4.33%3.1146-35.26%0.5070✓1.83
2026-09-16oos4.60354.4195-4.00%3.1752-31.03%0.4537✓1.81
2026-09-15oos4.01953.8659-3.82%3.0253-24.73%0.3957✓1.81
2026-09-14oos4.38854.2256-3.71%3.0842-29.72%0.3898✓1.77
2026-09-13oos4.11323.9454-4.08%3.3476-18.61%0.3014✓1.74
2026-09-12oos4.21584.0454-4.04%3.3759-19.92%0.2784✓1.73
2026-09-11oos4.35184.2097-3.26%3.8347-11.88%0.2320✓1.72
2026-09-10oos4.29234.161-3.06%3.6372-15.26%0.2734✓1.74
2026-09-09oos4.52624.4461-1.77%3.6262-19.88%0.2950✓1.72
2026-09-08oos4.82974.7704-1.23%3.6061-25.33%0.3509✓1.75
2026-09-07oos4.72484.6933-0.67%3.5727-24.38%0.3651✓1.79
2026-09-06oos4.51484.5209+0.14%3.8154-15.49%0.2794✗1.75
2026-09-05oos4.75474.7757+0.44%4.0187-15.48%0.2979✗1.75
2026-09-04oos4.82894.8947+1.36%3.6643-24.12%0.4270✗1.67
2026-09-03oos4.44214.5413+2.23%3.5667-19.71%0.3151✗1.75
2026-09-02oos3.79143.7952+0.10%3.5512-6.34%0.2013✗1.52
2026-09-01oos3.523.506-0.40%3.8048+8.09%0.0613✓1.56
2026-08-31oos3.56643.566-0.01%3.9499+10.75%0.0181✗1.37
2026-08-30oos3.52833.531+0.08%3.9328+11.46%0.0395✓0.92
2026-08-29oos3.55373.5628+0.25%4.4413+24.97%0.1607✓0.92
2026-08-28oos3.49623.5208+0.70%4.6547+33.14%0.2038✓0.92
2026-08-27oos3.71083.806+2.57%4.844+30.54%0.1959✓0.90
2026-08-26oos3.45183.4701+0.53%4.8522+40.57%0.2808✓0.88
2026-08-25oos3.28373.298+0.43%5.0729+54.48%0.3685✓0.86
2026-08-24oos3.39993.4597+1.76%5.3196+56.46%0.3724✓0.88
2026-08-23oos3.57213.6209+1.37%5.0667+41.84%0.2354✓0.97
2026-08-22oos3.18943.2468+1.80%4.7386+48.58%0.2663✓0.96
2026-08-21oos3.12673.2263+3.19%4.7745+52.70%0.3574✓0.97
2026-08-20oos2.66822.6699+0.06%4.8092+80.24%0.5016✓0.81
2026-08-19oos2.60372.5258-2.99%4.7687+83.15%0.4827✗0.99
2026-08-18oos2.35882.2267-5.60%4.8107+103.95%0.6139✗0.94
2026-08-17oos2.332.1896-6.03%4.6035+97.57%0.5801✗0.98
2026-08-16oos2.27712.1376-6.13%4.0195+76.51%0.4483✗0.99
2026-08-15oos2.2622.1214-6.22%4.3885+94.01%0.5158✗0.98
2026-08-14oos2.2352.0998-6.05%4.1132+84.03%0.4769✗0.99
2026-08-13oos2.27132.1399-5.78%4.2158+85.61%0.4861✗0.97
2026-08-12oos2.33562.2084-5.45%4.3518+86.32%0.4777✗1.02
2026-08-11oos2.41812.2912-5.25%4.2923+77.50%0.4403✗1.01
2026-08-10oos2.38242.2555-5.33%4.5262+89.98%0.4895✗1.02
2026-08-09oos2.30352.1792-5.40%4.8297+109.67%0.5927✗1.07
2026-08-08oos2.28222.1628-5.23%4.7248+107.03%0.5692✗1.07
2026-08-07oos2.29842.1864-4.87%4.5148+96.43%0.4999✗1.05
2026-08-06oos2.37442.2563-4.97%4.7547+100.25%0.5145✗1.06
2026-08-05oos2.18492.071-5.21%4.8289+121.01%0.6194✗1.08
2026-08-04oos2.05841.9495-5.29%4.4421+115.80%0.5746✗1.05
2026-08-03oos2.00551.8983-5.34%3.7914+89.05%0.4878✗1.03
2026-08-02oos2.03281.9215-5.47%3.52+73.16%0.3958✗1.06
2026-08-01oos2.01721.9136-5.14%3.5664+76.80%0.3902✗1.03
2026-07-31oos2.06691.9659-4.89%3.5283+70.70%0.3651✗1.04
2026-07-30oos2.282.1768-4.53%3.5537+55.87%0.3083✗0.96
2026-07-29oos2.17812.0791-4.54%3.4962+60.52%0.3350✗0.94
2026-07-28oos2.29842.1946-4.51%3.7108+61.45%0.3158✗0.91
2026-07-27oos2.12862.0304-4.61%3.4518+62.16%0.3374✗0.90
2026-07-26oos2.14312.042-4.72%3.2837+53.22%0.3124✗0.88
2026-07-25oos2.06261.9667-4.65%3.3999+64.84%0.3612✗0.90
2026-07-24oos2.03191.942-4.42%3.5721+75.80%0.4385✗0.89
2026-07-23oos2.1622.0727-4.13%3.1894+47.52%0.2862✗0.86
2026-07-22oos2.30052.2261-3.23%3.1267+35.92%0.2003✗0.82
2026-07-21oos2.34532.2622-3.55%2.6682+13.77%0.0887✗0.82
2026-07-20oos2.1792.0818-4.46%2.6037+19.49%0.1787✗0.74
2026-07-19oos2.20982.0968-5.12%2.3588+6.74%0.1178✗0.75
2026-07-18oos2.25642.1485-4.78%2.33+3.26%0.0847✗0.73
2026-07-17oos2.28922.1893-4.36%2.2771-0.53%0.0529✗0.81
2026-07-16oos2.28592.1863-4.36%2.262-1.05%0.0441✓0.85
2026-07-15oos2.41662.3129-4.29%2.235-7.51%0.0125✓0.80
2026-07-14oos2.59282.4738-4.59%2.2713-12.40%0.0662✓0.79
2026-07-13oos2.30422.178-5.48%2.3356+1.36%0.0575✗0.68
2026-07-12oos2.63192.5113-4.58%2.4181-8.12%0.0359✓0.59
2026-07-11oos2.57742.4636-4.41%2.3824-7.56%0.0348✓0.60
2026-07-10oos2.68962.5915-3.65%2.3035-14.36%0.1254✓0.68
2026-07-09oos2.39652.2863-4.60%2.2822-4.77%0.0190✓0.63
2026-07-08oos2.332.2293-4.32%2.2984-1.35%0.0021✓0.68
2026-07-07oos2.45752.3674-3.67%2.3744-3.38%0.0067✓0.66
2026-07-06oos2.57692.4924-3.28%2.1849-15.21%0.1379✓0.67
2026-07-05oos2.4582.3766-3.31%2.0584-16.26%0.1486✓0.67
2026-07-04oos2.2012.129-3.27%2.0055-8.88%0.0637✓0.65
2026-07-03oos2.11362.0463-3.19%2.0328-3.82%0.0165✓0.64
2026-07-02oos2.06892.0039-3.14%2.0172-2.50%0.0064✓0.63
2026-07-01oos2.07122.0008-3.40%2.0669-0.21%0.0020✓0.65
2026-06-30oos1.8491.7795-3.76%2.28+23.31%0.1920✗0.55
2026-06-29oos1.86031.7909-3.73%2.1781+17.08%0.1623✗0.55
2026-06-28oos1.72741.6633-3.71%2.2984+33.05%0.2829✗0.57
2026-06-27oos1.71961.6591-3.52%2.1286+23.78%0.2154✗0.56
2026-06-26oos1.82281.7604-3.42%2.1431+17.57%0.1488✗0.56
2026-06-25oos1.60911.5528-3.50%2.0626+28.18%0.2439✗0.54
2026-06-24oos1.69591.6332-3.69%2.0319+19.82%0.1920✗0.53
2026-06-23oos1.50471.4433-4.08%2.162+43.68%0.3776✗0.70
2026-06-22oos1.60941.5452-3.99%2.3005+42.95%0.3764✗0.66
2026-06-21oos1.56761.5033-4.10%2.3453+49.61%0.4121✗0.65
2026-06-20oos1.55671.4934-4.06%2.179+39.98%0.3682✗0.63
2026-06-19oos1.54561.4818-4.13%2.2098+42.97%0.3870✗0.68
2026-06-18oos1.61181.5486-3.92%2.2564+39.99%0.3557✗0.69
2026-06-17oos1.72071.654-3.88%2.2892+33.04%0.3304✗0.62
2026-06-16oos1.73351.6634-4.04%2.2859+31.87%0.3358✗0.63
2026-06-15oos1.68961.6204-4.09%2.4166+43.03%0.4159✗0.68
2026-06-14oos1.68671.6157-4.21%2.5928+53.72%0.4801✗0.65
2026-06-13oos1.63191.5636-4.19%2.3042+41.20%0.4108✗0.67
2026-06-12oos1.53731.4745-4.09%2.6319+71.19%0.5774✗0.63
2026-06-11oos1.55811.4937-4.13%2.5774+65.42%0.5434✗0.63
2026-06-10oos1.39161.3391-3.77%2.6896+93.27%0.6744✗0.54
2026-06-09oos1.58311.5247-3.69%2.3965+51.38%0.4393✗0.54
2026-06-08oos1.47451.4177-3.85%2.33+58.02%0.5045✗0.59
2026-06-07oos1.43341.3772-3.92%2.4575+71.44%0.5789✗0.60
2026-06-06oos1.43071.3833-3.31%2.5769+80.11%0.5918✗0.60
2026-06-05oos1.50841.4587-3.30%2.458+62.95%0.4954✗0.64
2026-06-04oos1.45311.3975-3.83%2.201+51.47%0.4624✗0.72
2026-06-03oos1.78541.7175-3.80%2.1136+18.38%0.2254✗0.74
2026-06-02oos1.60391.5356-4.26%2.0689+28.99%0.3758✗0.96
2026-06-01oos1.34381.274-5.19%2.0712+54.13%0.7301✗1.41
2026-05-31oos1.37651.3076-5.00%1.849+34.33%0.6748✗1.43
2026-05-30oos1.3691.3018-4.91%1.8603+35.89%0.6340✗1.36
2026-05-29oos1.25911.1939-5.18%1.7274+37.19%0.6519✗1.35
2026-05-28oos1.17221.1088-5.40%1.7196+46.70%0.7150✗1.35
2026-05-27oos1.13381.0734-5.33%1.8228+60.77%0.8245✗1.38
2026-05-26oos1.18321.1225-5.13%1.6091+35.99%0.6885✗1.37
2026-05-25oos1.37961.3127-4.85%1.6959+22.92%0.5455✗1.22
2026-05-24oos1.29131.2344-4.40%1.5047+16.53%0.4473✗1.21
2026-05-23oos1.22751.177-4.11%1.6094+31.11%0.5280✗1.19
2026-05-22oos1.19061.1423-4.05%1.5676+31.67%0.5263✗1.19
2026-05-21oos1.4261.3603-4.61%1.5567+9.16%0.3400✗1.09
2026-05-20oos1.27641.2288-3.73%1.5456+21.09%0.4482✗1.10
2026-05-19oos1.14151.1057-3.14%1.6118+41.20%0.5926✗1.08
2026-05-18oos0.95090.930745-2.12%1.7207+80.95%0.8144✗1.13
2026-05-17oos0.863450.844067-2.24%1.7335+100.76%0.9117✗1.16
2026-05-16oos0.87980.856277-2.67%1.6896+92.04%0.8705✗1.16
2026-05-15oos0.8580.835827-2.58%1.6867+96.59%0.9170✗1.16
2026-05-14oos0.91520.898316-1.84%1.6319+78.31%0.8616✗1.15
2026-05-13oos0.8970.87393-2.57%1.5373+71.39%0.8338✗1.21
2026-05-12oos0.926550.914962-1.25%1.5581+68.16%0.8159✗1.20
2026-05-11oos0.999750.987751-1.20%1.3916+39.19%0.6795✗1.18
2026-05-10oos1.05681.0557-0.11%1.5831+49.80%0.7452✗1.18
2026-05-09oos1.05421.0466-0.72%1.4745+39.87%0.6364✗1.19
2026-05-08oos1.0811.0715-0.88%1.4334+32.60%0.5726✗1.19
2026-05-07oos0.990650.982737-0.80%1.4307+44.42%0.7003✗1.19
2026-05-06oos0.953850.955138+0.14%1.5084+58.14%0.8143✓1.24
2026-05-05oos0.966850.965305-0.16%1.4531+50.29%0.6561✗1.04
2026-05-04oos0.90290.897016-0.65%1.7854+97.74%0.9053✗0.98
2026-05-03oos0.92210.912444-1.05%1.6039+73.94%0.7290✗1.00
2026-05-02oos0.9080.894967-1.44%1.3438+48.00%0.5062✗1.01
2026-05-01oos0.90350.896047-0.82%1.3765+52.35%0.4916✗1.02
2026-04-30oos0.883750.871005-1.44%1.369+54.91%0.4870✗1.03
2026-04-29oos0.948450.931636-1.77%1.2591+32.75%0.3343✗1.03
2026-04-28oos0.896050.879282-1.87%1.1722+30.81%0.3297✗1.13
2026-04-27oos0.86350.845764-2.05%1.1338+31.30%0.3387✗1.14
2026-04-26oos0.91640.901844-1.59%1.1832+29.12%0.3138✗1.14
2026-04-25oos0.92960.910712-2.03%1.3796+48.41%0.4214✗1.16
2026-04-24oos0.945550.928464-1.81%1.2913+36.57%0.3374✗1.19
2026-04-23oos0.92440.910049-1.55%1.2275+32.79%0.3244✗1.20
2026-04-22oos0.87920.862353-1.92%1.1906+35.42%0.3655✗1.19
2026-04-21oos0.8980.861486-4.07%1.426+58.80%0.4852✗1.21
2026-04-20oos0.89910.85581-4.81%1.2764+41.96%0.3744✗1.21
2026-04-19oos0.890750.838989-5.81%1.1415+28.15%0.2605✗1.21
2026-04-18oos0.978850.932361-4.75%0.9509-2.86%0.0008✓1.20
2026-04-17oos1.04881.0201-2.74%0.86345-17.67%0.1715✓1.19
2026-04-16oos1.04591.0028-4.12%0.8798-15.88%0.1768✓1.20
2026-04-15oos1.04190.993244-4.67%0.858-17.65%0.2121✓1.20
2026-04-14oos1.02570.975546-4.89%0.9152-10.78%0.1702✓1.20
2026-04-13oos1.14331.1011-3.69%0.897-21.54%0.2802✓1.19
2026-04-12oos1.09261.0377-5.03%0.92655-15.20%0.2682✓1.20
2026-04-11oos1.20611.1589-3.91%0.99975-17.11%0.2798✓1.18
2026-04-10oos1.13681.088-4.29%1.0568-7.04%0.1691✓1.18
2026-04-09oos1.01450.957936-5.58%1.0542+3.91%0.0388✓1.16
2026-04-08oos0.999250.940932-5.84%1.081+8.18%0.0004✓1.16
2026-04-07oos1.07631.021-5.14%0.99065-7.96%0.1528✓1.15
2026-04-06oos1.02480.966239-5.71%0.95385-6.92%0.2056✓1.15
2026-04-05oos1.0080.950554-5.70%0.96685-4.09%0.1656✓1.15
2026-04-04oos0.98710.930592-5.72%0.9029-8.53%0.2268✓1.15
2026-04-03oos0.989350.934144-5.58%0.9221-6.80%0.1966✓1.15
2026-04-02oos0.94860.897093-5.43%0.908-4.28%0.1740✓1.15
2026-04-01oos0.89060.842989-5.35%0.9035+1.45%0.0917✓1.16
2026-03-31oos0.87250.825808-5.35%0.88375+1.29%0.0622✓1.16
2026-03-30oos0.80730.773723-4.16%0.94845+17.48%0.0589✗1.14
2026-03-29oos0.826750.790884-4.34%0.89605+8.38%0.0427✓1.15
2026-03-28oos0.858250.818001-4.69%0.8635+0.61%0.1227✓1.15
2026-03-27oos0.88250.840068-4.81%0.9164+3.84%0.1088✓1.15
2026-03-26oos0.911650.856807-6.02%0.9296+1.97%0.0587✓1.15
2026-03-25oos0.99570.951377-4.45%0.94555-5.04%0.1004✓1.14
2026-03-24oos1.0170.984258-3.21%0.9244-9.10%0.1819✓1.14
2026-03-23oos0.9550.913531-4.34%0.8792-7.94%0.1509✓1.14
2026-03-22oos0.93910.900588-4.10%0.898-4.38%0.1401✓1.16
2026-03-21oos1.05271.0175-3.34%0.8991-14.59%0.2341✓1.15
2026-03-20oos1.06341.0377-2.42%0.89075-16.24%0.2058✓1.15
2026-03-19oos1.19281.1733-1.63%0.97885-17.94%0.2751✓1.17
2026-03-18oos1.21161.1996-0.99%1.0488-13.44%0.2272✓1.18
2026-03-17oos1.29611.286-0.78%1.0459-19.30%0.2259✓1.17
2026-03-16oos1.16271.1499-1.10%1.0419-10.39%0.0979✓1.18
2026-03-15oos1.08521.0662-1.75%1.0257-5.47%0.0600✓1.16
2026-03-14oos1.10781.085-2.05%1.1433+3.20%0.0002✓1.18
2026-03-13oos1.09861.0754-2.11%1.0926-0.55%0.0190✓1.18
2026-03-12oos1.15231.1269-2.21%1.2061+4.66%0.0257✗1.19
2026-03-11oos1.07171.0398-2.98%1.1368+6.07%0.0433✗1.18
2026-03-10oos1.05591.0239-3.03%1.0145-3.92%0.0397✓1.18
2026-03-09oos1.02040.988626-3.11%0.99925-2.07%0.0338✓1.17
2026-03-08oos1.01980.985373-3.38%1.0763+5.55%0.0146✓1.19
2026-03-07oos1.12951.0958-2.98%1.0248-9.27%0.0946✓1.18
2026-03-06oos1.13861.1038-3.06%1.008-11.47%0.1061✓1.18
2026-03-05oos1.20911.1713-3.13%0.9871-18.36%0.1099✓1.18
2026-03-04oos1.37151.3413-2.20%0.98935-27.86%0.2104✓1.15
2026-03-03oos1.29821.2593-3.00%0.9486-26.93%0.2585✓1.16
2026-03-02oos1.35921.314-3.33%0.8906-34.48%0.3767✓1.16
2026-03-01oos1.35871.3163-3.12%0.8725-35.78%0.4556✓1.21
2026-02-28oos1.38571.3434-3.05%0.8073-41.74%0.5051✓1.21
2026-02-27oos1.35681.3139-3.16%0.82675-39.07%0.4651✓1.21
2026-02-26oos1.42831.3837-3.12%0.85825-39.91%0.4565✓1.21
2026-02-25oos1.45511.4095-3.14%0.8825-39.35%0.4388✓1.21
2026-02-24oos1.42981.3875-2.95%0.91165-36.24%0.5110✓1.29
2026-02-23oos1.3891.3438-3.25%0.9957-28.32%0.4261✓1.28
2026-02-22oos1.44631.3951-3.54%1.017-29.69%0.3707✓1.29
2026-02-21oos1.52441.4761-3.17%0.955-37.35%0.4900✓1.30
2026-02-20oos1.53191.4822-3.25%0.9391-38.70%0.4543✓1.00
2026-02-19oos1.47661.4257-3.45%1.0527-28.71%0.3319✓1.00
2026-02-18oos1.4461.3942-3.58%1.0634-26.46%0.3305✓1.00
2026-02-17oos1.58881.5391-3.13%1.1928-24.92%0.2906✓1.00
2026-02-16oos1.68791.6377-2.97%1.2116-28.22%0.3354✓1.00
2026-02-15oos1.6771.6274-2.96%1.2961-22.71%0.2997✓1.00
2026-02-14oos1.64781.5959-3.15%1.1627-29.44%0.3872✓1.00
2026-02-13oos1.59721.5465-3.17%1.0852-32.06%0.4110✓1.00
2026-02-12oos1.42871.3813-3.32%1.1078-22.46%0.2938✓1.00
2026-02-11oos1.4161.3654-3.57%1.0986-22.42%0.2742✓1.00
2026-02-10oos1.47021.417-3.62%1.1523-21.62%0.2316✓1.00
2026-02-09oos1.54881.4953-3.45%1.0717-30.80%0.3346✓1.00
2026-02-08oos1.61981.5684-3.17%1.0559-34.81%0.3911✓1.00
2026-02-07oos1.62611.5795-2.86%1.0204-37.25%0.4252✓1.00
2026-02-06oos1.66281.6143-2.92%1.0198-38.67%0.3925✓1.00
2026-02-05oos1.43931.4083-2.16%1.1295-21.53%0.2894✓1.00
2026-02-04oos1.57541.5212-3.44%1.1386-27.72%0.2203✓1.00
2026-02-03oos1.4811.4174-4.29%1.2091-18.36%0.0938✓1.00
2026-02-02oos1.59661.5273-4.34%1.3715-14.10%0.0285✓1.00
2026-02-01oos1.51441.4518-4.13%1.2982-14.27%0.0063✓1.00
2026-01-31oos1.56621.5018-4.11%1.3592-13.22%0.0335✓1.00