HBAR

Hedera · Hedera · gru_s7

token id: #35
symbol: HBAR
variant: –
chain: Hedera
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-10-13
predictions: 4,371

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

43.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1153

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0016

actual -0.0081

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.084215	0.07866	-6.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-21	oos	0.08386	0.079061	-5.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-20	oos	0.08427	0.079104	-6.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-19	oos	0.082935	0.077853	-6.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-18	oos	0.085345	0.079961	-6.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-17	oos	0.085225	0.079994	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-16	oos	0.083485	0.078998	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-15	oos	0.085125	0.080882	-4.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.0844	0.080313	-4.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.08691	0.083062	-4.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-12	oos	0.08678	0.082643	-4.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-11	oos	0.094055	0.089495	-4.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-10	oos	0.09238	0.088004	-4.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-09	oos	0.092205	0.088221	-4.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.090265	0.086432	-4.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.09284	0.089058	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-06	oos	0.09966	0.095796	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-05	oos	0.10171	0.097706	-3.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-04	oos	0.10403	0.100108	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.10197	0.097581	-4.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.10239	0.098082	-4.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-01	oos	0.102615	0.098437	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-09-30	oos	0.10472	0.100033	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-09-29	oos	0.102385	0.097968	-4.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-09-28	oos	0.122	0.112786	-7.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.09585	0.092432	-3.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-26	oos	0.093485	0.090398	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-25	oos	0.095675	0.092471	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-24	oos	0.09309	0.090608	-2.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.09049	0.088736	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.099085	0.097064	-2.04%	0.084215	-15.01%	0.1207	✓	0.92
2026-09-21	oos	0.093385	0.092709	-0.72%	0.08386	-10.20%	0.0723	✓	0.93
2026-09-20	oos	0.086515	0.083564	-3.41%	0.08427	-2.59%	0.0110	✓	0.89
2026-09-19	oos	0.08142	0.079649	-2.18%	0.082935	+1.86%	0.0338	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.07921	0.077585	-2.05%	0.085345	+7.75%	0.0827	✗	0.91
2026-09-17	oos	0.07454	0.072103	-3.27%	0.085225	+14.33%	0.1105	✗	0.89
2026-09-16	oos	0.07388	0.071794	-2.82%	0.083485	+13.00%	0.0906	✗	0.89
2026-09-15	oos	0.074235	0.072183	-2.76%	0.085125	+14.67%	0.0919	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077725	0.075651	-2.67%	0.0844	+8.59%	0.0734	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.075075	0.073207	-2.49%	0.08691	+15.76%	0.1052	✗	0.84
2026-09-12	oos	0.074695	0.073178	-2.03%	0.08678	+16.18%	0.1227	✗	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.0744	0.073472	-1.25%	0.094055	+26.42%	0.1778	✗	0.86
2026-09-10	oos	0.07476	0.073856	-1.21%	0.09238	+23.57%	0.1550	✗	0.86
2026-09-09	oos	0.076535	0.076253	-0.37%	0.092205	+20.47%	0.1444	✗	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.07905	0.079016	-0.04%	0.090265	+14.19%	0.0987	✗	0.85
2026-09-07	oos	0.081845	0.082099	+0.31%	0.09284	+13.43%	0.0794	✓	0.84
2026-09-06	oos	0.08161	0.082547	+1.15%	0.09966	+22.12%	0.1347	✓	0.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.08021	0.081745	+1.91%	0.10171	+26.80%	0.1574	✓	0.85
2026-09-04	oos	0.0784	0.08065	+2.87%	0.10403	+32.69%	0.1845	✓	0.85
2026-09-03	oos	0.07927	0.082312	+3.84%	0.10197	+28.64%	0.1782	✓	0.86
2026-09-02	oos	0.07456	0.076633	+2.78%	0.10239	+37.33%	0.2160	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.07405	0.076954	+3.92%	0.102615	+38.58%	0.2114	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.07363	0.077554	+5.33%	0.10472	+42.22%	0.2497	✓	0.82
2026-08-30	oos	0.07347	0.077566	+5.58%	0.102385	+39.36%	0.2164	✓	0.83
2026-08-29	oos	0.07552	0.080201	+6.20%	0.122	+61.55%	0.3656	✓	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.0761	0.081999	+7.75%	0.09585	+25.95%	0.0880	✓	0.83
2026-08-27	oos	0.07877	0.086081	+9.28%	0.093485	+18.68%	0.0411	✓	0.82
2026-08-26	oos	0.07861	0.086156	+9.60%	0.095675	+21.71%	0.0538	✓	0.82
2026-08-25	oos	0.07776	0.086	+10.60%	0.09309	+19.71%	0.0217	✓	0.80
2026-08-24	oos	0.0793	0.087516	+10.36%	0.09049	+14.11%	0.0190	✓	0.79
2026-08-23	oos	0.07982	0.086854	+8.81%	0.099085	+24.14%	0.0489	✓	0.80
2026-08-22	oos	0.07742	0.084784	+9.51%	0.093385	+20.62%	0.0038	✓	0.80
2026-08-21	oos	0.0798	0.087619	+9.80%	0.086515	+8.41%	0.0407	✓	0.79
2026-08-20	oos	0.07345	0.077281	+5.22%	0.08142	+10.85%	0.0262	✓	0.73
2026-08-19	oos	0.07058	0.071593	+1.44%	0.07921	+12.23%	0.0116	✓	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.06734	0.066228	-1.65%	0.07454	+10.69%	0.0036	✓	0.73
2026-08-17	oos	0.06593	0.064963	-1.47%	0.07388	+12.06%	0.0072	✓	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.0646	0.063266	-2.06%	0.074235	+14.91%	0.0256	✗	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.06543	0.063982	-2.21%	0.077725	+18.79%	0.0382	✗	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.06584	0.0644	-2.19%	0.075075	+14.03%	0.0091	✓	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.06547	0.064088	-2.11%	0.074695	+14.09%	0.0088	✓	0.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.066	0.064584	-2.15%	0.0744	+12.73%	0.0030	✓	0.73
2026-08-11	oos	0.06638	0.065042	-2.02%	0.07476	+12.62%	0.0021	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0676	0.066136	-2.17%	0.076535	+13.22%	0.0024	✓	0.73
2026-08-09	oos	0.06858	0.067266	-1.92%	0.07905	+15.27%	0.0207	✗	0.74
2026-08-08	oos	0.06894	0.067667	-1.85%	0.081845	+18.72%	0.0441	✗	0.74
2026-08-07	oos	0.06804	0.067025	-1.49%	0.08161	+19.94%	0.0336	✗	0.76
2026-08-06	oos	0.06817	0.066981	-1.74%	0.08021	+17.66%	0.0138	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.06901	0.067818	-1.73%	0.0784	+13.61%	0.0167	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.06935	0.067863	-2.14%	0.07927	+14.30%	0.0291	✓	0.77
2026-08-03	oos	0.07046	0.068508	-2.77%	0.07456	+5.82%	0.0704	✓	0.79
2026-08-02	oos	0.07002	0.068024	-2.85%	0.07405	+5.76%	0.0726	✓	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.069	0.066898	-3.05%	0.07363	+6.71%	0.0804	✓	0.79
2026-07-31	oos	0.06876	0.066651	-3.07%	0.07347	+6.85%	0.0689	✓	0.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.06834	0.066987	-1.98%	0.07552	+10.51%	0.0343	✓	0.81
2026-07-29	oos	0.06781	0.066471	-1.97%	0.0761	+12.23%	0.0237	✓	0.81
2026-07-28	oos	0.06835	0.0671	-1.83%	0.07877	+15.25%	0.0229	✓	0.80
2026-07-27	oos	0.06807	0.06681	-1.85%	0.07861	+15.48%	0.0097	✓	0.80
2026-07-26	oos	0.0702	0.069328	-1.24%	0.07776	+10.77%	0.0305	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.07093	0.069696	-1.74%	0.0793	+11.80%	0.0377	✓	0.81
2026-07-24	oos	0.07076	0.069982	-1.10%	0.07982	+12.80%	0.0252	✓	0.81
2026-07-23	oos	0.07107	0.071336	+0.37%	0.07742	+8.93%	0.0563	✗	0.82
2026-07-22	oos	0.07286	0.073753	+1.23%	0.0798	+9.53%	0.0584	✗	0.81
2026-07-21	oos	0.06953	0.07127	+2.50%	0.07345	+5.64%	0.0459	✗	0.82
2026-07-20	oos	0.06671	0.068038	+1.99%	0.07058	+5.80%	0.0110	✓	0.79
2026-07-19	oos	0.06652	0.067606	+1.63%	0.06734	+1.23%	0.0039	✓	0.79
2026-07-18	oos	0.06708	0.068342	+1.88%	0.06593	-1.71%	0.0320	✗	0.79
2026-07-17	oos	0.06588	0.067096	+1.85%	0.0646	-1.94%	0.0248	✗	0.79
2026-07-16	oos	0.06654	0.067709	+1.76%	0.06543	-1.67%	0.0249	✗	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.06793	0.069665	+2.55%	0.06584	-3.08%	0.0354	✗	0.77
2026-07-14	oos	0.0673	0.069403	+3.12%	0.06547	-2.72%	0.0393	✗	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.06654	0.06749	+1.43%	0.066	-0.81%	0.0373	✗	0.82
2026-07-12	oos	0.067575	0.069144	+2.32%	0.06638	-1.77%	0.0381	✗	0.82
2026-07-11	oos	0.06844	0.069974	+2.24%	0.0676	-1.23%	0.0363	✗	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.07032	0.071667	+1.92%	0.06858	-2.47%	0.0531	✗	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.0699	0.070966	+1.53%	0.06894	-1.37%	0.0510	✗	0.82
2026-07-08	oos	0.06931	0.070086	+1.12%	0.06804	-1.83%	0.0635	✗	0.81
2026-07-07	oos	0.07088	0.072021	+1.61%	0.06817	-3.82%	0.0669	✗	0.81
2026-07-06	oos	0.07332	0.074693	+1.87%	0.06901	-5.88%	0.0867	✗	0.81
2026-07-05	oos	0.07629	0.077192	+1.18%	0.06935	-9.10%	0.1132	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.0772	0.077916	+0.93%	0.07046	-8.73%	0.1056	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.07332	0.074311	+1.35%	0.07002	-4.50%	0.0722	✗	0.82
2026-07-02	oos	0.07084	0.071717	+1.24%	0.069	-2.60%	0.0552	✗	0.80
2026-07-01	oos	0.07187	0.072118	+0.35%	0.06876	-4.33%	0.0864	✗	0.83
2026-06-30	oos	0.06945	0.069573	+0.18%	0.06834	-1.60%	0.0997	✗	0.81
2026-06-29	oos	0.07158	0.071936	+0.50%	0.06781	-5.27%	0.1077	✗	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	0.07092	0.071174	+0.36%	0.06835	-3.62%	0.0972	✗	0.80
2026-06-27	oos	0.07182	0.072218	+0.55%	0.06807	-5.22%	0.1073	✗	0.79
2026-06-26	oos	0.07083	0.07148	+0.92%	0.0702	-0.89%	0.0857	✗	0.79
2026-06-25	oos	0.07336	0.073574	+0.29%	0.07093	-3.31%	0.0959	✗	0.80
2026-06-24	oos	0.07553	0.075693	+0.22%	0.07076	-6.32%	0.1064	✗	0.79
2026-06-23	oos	0.07748	0.077645	+0.21%	0.07107	-8.27%	0.1184	✗	0.79
2026-06-22	oos	0.07865	0.078818	+0.21%	0.07286	-7.36%	0.1047	✗	0.79
2026-06-21	oos	0.078	0.077992	-0.01%	0.06953	-10.86%	0.1549	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.08062	0.080435	-0.23%	0.06671	-17.25%	0.1993	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.08045	0.080147	-0.38%	0.06652	-17.32%	0.2015	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.08019	0.079827	-0.45%	0.06708	-16.35%	0.1981	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.08123	0.081017	-0.26%	0.06588	-18.90%	0.1999	✓	0.81
2026-06-16	oos	0.08058	0.08057	-0.01%	0.06654	-17.42%	0.1677	✓	0.83
2026-06-15	oos	0.08254	0.082261	-0.34%	0.06793	-17.70%	0.1718	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.08116	0.080666	-0.61%	0.0673	-17.08%	0.1721	✓	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.07828	0.077789	-0.63%	0.06654	-15.00%	0.1281	✓	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.07784	0.077233	-0.78%	0.067575	-13.19%	0.1362	✓	0.83
2026-06-11	oos	0.07916	0.078268	-1.13%	0.06844	-13.54%	0.1369	✓	0.83
2026-06-10	oos	0.07762	0.076656	-1.24%	0.07032	-9.40%	0.1220	✓	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.07947	0.07819	-1.61%	0.0699	-12.04%	0.1320	✓	0.84
2026-06-08	oos	0.0813	0.07969	-1.98%	0.06931	-14.75%	0.1286	✓	0.83
2026-06-07	oos	0.08194	0.080157	-2.18%	0.07088	-13.50%	0.1233	✓	0.83
2026-06-06	oos	0.07967	0.07813	-1.93%	0.07332	-7.97%	0.1042	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.08035	0.078489	-2.32%	0.07629	-5.05%	0.0615	✓	0.81
2026-06-04	oos	0.08372	0.081266	-2.93%	0.0772	-7.79%	0.0422	✓	0.80
2026-06-03	oos	0.08512	0.082521	-3.05%	0.07332	-13.86%	0.0993	✓	0.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.0868	0.084064	-3.15%	0.07084	-18.39%	0.1065	✓	0.80
2026-06-01	oos	0.09223	0.089076	-3.42%	0.07187	-22.08%	0.0796	✓	0.78
2026-05-31	oos	0.09647	0.092923	-3.68%	0.06945	-28.01%	0.1169	✓	0.76
2026-05-30	oos	0.09499	0.09113	-4.06%	0.07158	-24.64%	0.0915	✓	0.74
2026-05-29	oos	0.09908	0.093921	-5.21%	0.07092	-28.42%	0.1233	✓	0.75
2026-05-28	oos	0.09089	0.08656	-4.76%	0.07182	-20.98%	0.0330	✓	0.75
2026-05-27	oos	0.08554	0.082763	-3.25%	0.07083	-17.20%	0.0103	✓	0.78
2026-05-26	oos	0.08645	0.083859	-3.00%	0.07336	-15.14%	0.0519	✗	0.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.08805	0.085608	-2.77%	0.07553	-14.22%	0.0670	✗	0.81
2026-05-24	oos	0.08834	0.085988	-2.66%	0.07748	-12.29%	0.0627	✗	0.81
2026-05-23	oos	0.08959	0.087129	-2.75%	0.07865	-12.21%	0.0435	✗	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.08782	0.085352	-2.81%	0.078	-11.18%	0.0518	✗	0.80
2026-05-21	oos	0.08984	0.087592	-2.50%	0.08062	-10.26%	0.0688	✗	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.08876	0.086685	-2.34%	0.08045	-9.36%	0.0865	✗	0.81
2026-05-19	oos	0.08848	0.086451	-2.29%	0.08019	-9.37%	0.0856	✗	0.81
2026-05-18	oos	0.09016	0.087979	-2.42%	0.08123	-9.90%	0.0638	✗	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.09007	0.088067	-2.22%	0.08058	-10.54%	0.0434	✗	0.80
2026-05-16	oos	0.09122	0.089511	-1.87%	0.08254	-9.52%	0.0502	✗	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.09283	0.091587	-1.34%	0.08116	-12.57%	0.0281	✗	0.81
2026-05-14	oos	0.09498	0.094709	-0.29%	0.07828	-17.58%	0.0027	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.09338	0.092306	-1.15%	0.07784	-16.64%	0.0161	✗	0.84
2026-05-12	oos	0.09385	0.093687	-0.17%	0.07916	-15.65%	0.0267	✗	0.83
2026-05-11	oos	0.09691	0.097357	+0.46%	0.07762	-19.91%	0.0065	✓	0.82
2026-05-10	oos	0.09753	0.098409	+0.90%	0.07947	-18.52%	0.0206	✓	0.82
2026-05-09	oos	0.09287	0.093367	+0.53%	0.0813	-12.46%	0.0588	✓	0.80
2026-05-08	oos	0.09267	0.092886	+0.23%	0.08194	-11.58%	0.0643	✓	0.80
2026-05-07	oos	0.09009	0.091019	+1.03%	0.07967	-11.57%	0.0860	✓	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.09137	0.093433	+2.26%	0.08035	-12.06%	0.1177	✓	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.09029	0.092296	+2.22%	0.08372	-7.28%	0.1204	✓	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.08774	0.089385	+1.87%	0.08512	-2.99%	0.1511	✓	0.91
2026-05-03	oos	0.08771	0.088263	+0.63%	0.0868	-1.04%	0.1320	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.08857	0.089229	+0.74%	0.09223	+4.13%	0.1229	✓	0.91
2026-05-01	oos	0.08818	0.089008	+0.94%	0.09647	+9.40%	0.1371	✓	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.08731	0.087291	-0.02%	0.09499	+8.80%	0.1157	✗	0.92
2026-04-29	oos	0.08864	0.088314	-0.37%	0.09908	+11.78%	0.1447	✗	0.93
2026-04-28	oos	0.08891	0.088972	+0.07%	0.09089	+2.23%	0.0562	✓	0.93
2026-04-27	oos	0.08971	0.090677	+1.08%	0.08554	-4.65%	0.0209	✗	0.93
2026-04-26	oos	0.09231	0.093807	+1.62%	0.08645	-6.35%	0.0474	✗	0.93
2026-04-25	oos	0.09126	0.092358	+1.20%	0.08805	-3.52%	0.0429	✗	0.93
2026-04-24	oos	0.091	0.092253	+1.38%	0.08834	-2.92%	0.0374	✗	0.94
2026-04-23	oos	0.09082	0.092902	+2.29%	0.08959	-1.35%	0.0165	✓	0.94
2026-04-22	oos	0.09086	0.093301	+2.69%	0.08782	-3.35%	0.0267	✗	0.94
2026-04-21	oos	0.09038	0.091306	+1.02%	0.08984	-0.60%	0.0309	✗	0.95
2026-04-20	oos	0.08976	0.090426	+0.74%	0.08876	-1.11%	0.0385	✗	0.95
2026-04-19	oos	0.08727	0.086782	-0.56%	0.08848	+1.39%	0.0178	✓	0.95
2026-04-18	oos	0.08882	0.089841	+1.15%	0.09016	+1.51%	0.0115	✗	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.09078	0.093248	+2.72%	0.09007	-0.78%	0.0385	✗	0.96
2026-04-16	oos	0.09076	0.091346	+0.65%	0.09122	+0.51%	0.0384	✗	0.97
2026-04-15	oos	0.08713	0.087908	+0.89%	0.09283	+6.54%	0.0017	✓	0.96
2026-04-14	oos	0.08511	0.085685	+0.68%	0.09498	+11.60%	0.0172	✓	0.96
2026-04-13	oos	0.08783	0.088249	+0.48%	0.09338	+6.32%	0.0042	✓	0.96
2026-04-12	oos	0.08519	0.083444	-2.05%	0.09385	+10.17%	0.0092	✓	0.98
2026-04-11	oos	0.08836	0.087731	-0.71%	0.09691	+9.68%	0.0101	✓	0.98
2026-04-10	oos	0.08955	0.089113	-0.49%	0.09753	+8.91%	0.0262	✓	0.98
2026-04-09	oos	0.08935	0.088363	-1.10%	0.09287	+3.94%	0.0646	✓	0.98
2026-04-08	oos	0.08901	0.087776	-1.39%	0.09267	+4.11%	0.0643	✓	0.98
2026-04-07	oos	0.09183	0.090547	-1.40%	0.09009	-1.89%	0.1098	✓	0.98
2026-04-06	oos	0.08742	0.08519	-2.55%	0.09137	+4.52%	0.0948	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.08802	0.085693	-2.64%	0.09029	+2.58%	0.1040	✓	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.08748	0.084936	-2.91%	0.08774	+0.30%	0.1380	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.08772	0.085373	-2.68%	0.08771	-0.01%	0.1329	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.088	0.085758	-2.55%	0.08857	+0.65%	0.1300	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.08845	0.086802	-1.86%	0.08818	-0.31%	0.1244	✓	1.01
2026-03-31	oos	0.08758	0.086346	-1.41%	0.08731	-0.31%	0.1034	✓	1.02
2026-03-30	oos	0.08721	0.085656	-1.78%	0.08864	+1.64%	0.0965	✓	1.03
2026-03-29	oos	0.088	0.086333	-1.89%	0.08891	+1.03%	0.1209	✓	1.03
2026-03-28	oos	0.08978	0.088399	-1.54%	0.08971	-0.08%	0.1440	✓	1.03
2026-03-27	oos	0.08907	0.088212	-0.96%	0.09231	+3.64%	0.1301	✓	1.03
2026-03-26	oos	0.09107	0.091449	+0.42%	0.09126	+0.21%	0.1282	✗	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.09467	0.096518	+1.95%	0.091	-3.88%	0.1449	✗	1.04
2026-03-24	oos	0.09416	0.096169	+2.13%	0.09082	-3.55%	0.1656	✗	1.04
2026-03-23	oos	0.09318	0.095879	+2.90%	0.09086	-2.49%	0.1561	✗	1.04
2026-03-22	oos	0.08921	0.090656	+1.62%	0.09038	+1.31%	0.1262	✗	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.09155	0.093222	+1.83%	0.08976	-1.96%	0.1380	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.09318	0.09599	+3.02%	0.08727	-6.34%	0.1433	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.09288	0.095639	+2.97%	0.08882	-4.37%	0.1574	✗	1.04
2026-03-18	oos	0.09579	0.099253	+3.62%	0.09078	-5.23%	0.1725	✗	1.05
2026-03-17	oos	0.09876	0.103893	+5.20%	0.09076	-8.10%	0.1526	✗	1.06
2026-03-16	oos	0.10029	0.105922	+5.62%	0.08713	-13.12%	0.1946	✗	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09632	0.101014	+4.87%	0.08511	-11.64%	0.1907	✗	1.06
2026-03-14	oos	0.0936	0.097704	+4.38%	0.08783	-6.16%	0.1533	✗	1.06
2026-03-13	oos	0.09514	0.099019	+4.08%	0.08519	-10.46%	0.1476	✗	1.07
2026-03-12	oos	0.09484	0.098353	+3.70%	0.08836	-6.83%	0.1450	✗	1.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.09425	0.097916	+3.89%	0.08955	-4.99%	0.1310	✗	1.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.09519	0.098791	+3.78%	0.08935	-6.14%	0.1281	✗	1.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.09436	0.097125	+2.93%	0.08901	-5.67%	0.1281	✗	1.07
2026-03-08	oos	0.09392	0.095418	+1.60%	0.09183	-2.23%	0.1325	✗	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.09582	0.097582	+1.84%	0.08742	-8.77%	0.1356	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.09758	0.099755	+2.23%	0.08802	-9.80%	0.1394	✗	1.09
2026-03-05	oos	0.09959	0.102674	+3.10%	0.08748	-12.16%	0.1030	✗	1.10
2026-03-04	oos	0.10116	0.104835	+3.63%	0.08772	-13.29%	0.0877	✗	1.10
2026-03-03	oos	0.09697	0.099514	+2.62%	0.088	-9.25%	0.0989	✗	1.13
2026-03-02	oos	0.09804	0.100651	+2.66%	0.08845	-9.78%	0.1174	✗	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.09696	0.098663	+1.76%	0.08758	-9.67%	0.1618	✗	1.17
2026-02-28	oos	0.1002	0.101967	+1.76%	0.08721	-12.96%	0.1523	✗	1.17
2026-02-27	oos	0.10041	0.101658	+1.24%	0.088	-12.36%	0.1460	✗	1.17
2026-02-26	oos	0.10265	0.104103	+1.42%	0.08978	-12.54%	0.1275	✗	1.17
2026-02-25	oos	0.10183	0.103473	+1.61%	0.08907	-12.53%	0.1212	✗	1.17
2026-02-24	oos	0.09503	0.096111	+1.14%	0.09107	-4.17%	0.1368	✗	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.09492	0.096113	+1.26%	0.09467	-0.26%	0.1293	✗	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09819	0.099587	+1.42%	0.09416	-4.10%	0.1056	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09977	0.101029	+1.26%	0.09318	-6.61%	0.1301	✗	1.17
2026-02-20	oos	0.09965	0.100918	+1.27%	0.08921	-10.48%	0.1208	✗	1.20
2026-02-19	oos	0.09759	0.098699	+1.14%	0.09155	-6.19%	0.1095	✗	1.20
2026-02-18	oos	0.09907	0.099768	+0.70%	0.09318	-5.95%	0.1403	✗	1.21
2026-02-17	oos	0.10203	0.102326	+0.29%	0.09288	-8.97%	0.1398	✗	1.20
2026-02-16	oos	0.10164	0.102032	+0.39%	0.09579	-5.76%	0.1044	✗	1.21
2026-02-15	oos	0.10028	0.100698	+0.42%	0.09876	-1.52%	0.1070	✗	1.22
2026-02-14	oos	0.10384	0.103384	-0.44%	0.10029	-3.42%	0.1155	✓	1.21
2026-02-13	oos	0.09878	0.098661	-0.12%	0.09632	-2.49%	0.0924	✓	1.20
2026-02-12	oos	0.0931	0.093267	+0.18%	0.0936	+0.54%	0.0840	✗	1.20
2026-02-11	oos	0.08903	0.089549	+0.58%	0.09514	+6.86%	0.0082	✗	1.21
2026-02-10	oos	0.09072	0.090763	+0.05%	0.09484	+4.54%	0.0137	✓	1.22
2026-02-09	oos	0.09207	0.091674	-0.43%	0.09425	+2.37%	0.0259	✗	1.22
2026-02-08	oos	0.09122	0.09071	-0.56%	0.09519	+4.35%	0.0538	✗	1.24
2026-02-07	oos	0.08995	0.089531	-0.47%	0.09436	+4.90%	0.0674	✗	1.26
2026-02-06	oos	0.09122	0.090119	-1.21%	0.09392	+2.96%	0.1248	✗	1.25
2026-02-05	oos	0.07803	0.079011	+1.26%	0.09582	+22.80%	0.1087	✓	1.22
2026-02-04	oos	0.08925	0.088242	-1.13%	0.09758	+9.33%	0.2003	✗	1.44
2026-02-03	oos	0.09058	0.089452	-1.25%	0.09959	+9.95%	0.2042	✗	1.49
2026-02-02	oos	0.09318	0.0917	-1.59%	0.10116	+8.56%	0.2182	✗	1.52
2026-02-01	oos	0.08845	0.08766	-0.89%	0.09697	+9.63%	0.2738	✗	1.46
2026-01-31	oos	0.09286	0.091568	-1.39%	0.09804	+5.58%	0.2677	✗	1.50
2026-01-30	oos	0.09859	0.09681	-1.81%	0.09696	-1.65%	0.3861	✗	1.56
2026-01-29	oos	0.10097	0.098803	-2.15%	0.1002	-0.76%	0.3764	✗	1.56
2026-01-28	oos	0.10696	0.104954	-1.88%	0.10041	-6.12%	0.4405	✗	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.10806	0.106135	-1.78%	0.10265	-5.01%	0.4110	✗	1.60
2026-01-26	oos	0.10647	0.1045	-1.85%	0.10183	-4.36%	0.3784	✗	1.55
2026-01-25	oos	0.10313	0.101377	-1.70%	0.09503	-7.85%	0.3969	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.1083	0.106162	-1.97%	0.09492	-12.35%	0.3793	✗	1.53
2026-01-23	oos	0.10938	0.107346	-1.86%	0.09819	-10.23%	0.3404	✗	1.53
2026-01-22	oos	0.1081	0.10612	-1.83%	0.09977	-7.71%	0.3599	✗	1.53
2026-01-21	oos	0.1092	0.106751	-2.24%	0.09965	-8.75%	0.3525	✗	1.54
2026-01-20	oos	0.10557	0.103266	-2.18%	0.09759	-7.56%	0.3604	✗	1.51
2026-01-19	oos	0.11079	0.1088	-1.80%	0.09907	-10.58%	0.4174	✗	1.54
2026-01-18	oos	0.11172	0.110035	-1.51%	0.10203	-8.67%	0.4296	✗	1.54
2026-01-17	oos	0.11884	0.117386	-1.22%	0.10164	-14.47%	0.3500	✗	1.53
2026-01-16	oos	0.11859	0.117673	-0.77%	0.10028	-15.44%	0.3432	✗	1.53
2026-01-15	oos	0.11779	0.117297	-0.42%	0.10384	-11.84%	0.3614	✗	1.54
2026-01-14	oos	0.12339	0.123596	+0.17%	0.09878	-19.94%	0.3029	✓	1.54
2026-01-13	oos	0.12222	0.12136	-0.70%	0.0931	-23.83%	0.3005	✗	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	0.11494	0.112579	-2.05%	0.08903	-22.54%	0.2494	✗	1.57
2026-01-11	oos	0.11716	0.114608	-2.18%	0.09072	-22.57%	0.2034	✗	1.57
2026-01-10	oos	0.11767	0.115324	-1.99%	0.09207	-21.76%	0.1761	✗	1.58
2026-01-09	oos	0.12019	0.118468	-1.43%	0.09122	-24.10%	0.1489	✗	1.62
2026-01-08	oos	0.12042	0.119062	-1.13%	0.08995	-25.30%	0.1661	✗	1.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.12358	0.122371	-0.98%	0.09122	-26.19%	0.1533	✗	1.73
2026-01-06	oos	0.12892	0.128553	-0.28%	0.07803	-39.47%	0.1967	✗	1.74
2026-01-05	oos	0.13169	0.130736	-0.72%	0.08925	-32.23%	0.0531	✗	1.73
2026-01-04	oos	0.12536	0.124464	-0.72%	0.09058	-27.74%	0.0106	✗	1.73
2026-01-03	oos	0.12073	0.120228	-0.42%	0.09318	-22.82%	0.0097	✓	1.74
2026-01-02	oos	0.1216	0.120622	-0.80%	0.08845	-27.26%	0.0379	✓	1.74
2026-01-01	oos	0.11419	0.113917	-0.24%	0.09286	-18.68%	0.0026	✗	1.71
2025-12-31	oos	0.10617	0.106846	+0.64%	0.09859	-7.14%	0.0141	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.11159	0.111856	+0.24%	0.10097	-9.52%	0.0273	✗	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.11273	0.112131	-0.53%	0.10696	-5.12%	0.0859	✓	1.66
2025-12-28	oos	0.11538	0.11443	-0.82%	0.10806	-6.34%	0.0806	✓	1.66
2025-12-27	oos	0.11516	0.114214	-0.82%	0.10647	-7.55%	0.0785	✓	1.65
2025-12-26	oos	0.11157	0.110837	-0.66%	0.10313	-7.56%	0.0583	✓	1.63
2025-12-25	oos	0.10884	0.108615	-0.21%	0.1083	-0.50%	0.0383	✓	1.63
2025-12-24	oos	0.10923	0.109507	+0.25%	0.10938	+0.14%	0.0356	✗	1.64
2025-12-23	oos	0.1104	0.111188	+0.71%	0.1081	-2.08%	0.0658	✗	1.64
2025-12-22	oos	0.11407	0.114838	+0.67%	0.1092	-4.27%	0.0651	✗	1.63
2025-12-21	oos	0.11193	0.113239	+1.17%	0.10557	-5.68%	0.0641	✗	1.63
2025-12-20	oos	0.11374	0.115108	+1.20%	0.11079	-2.59%	0.1150	✗	1.64
2025-12-19	oos	0.1119	0.114038	+1.91%	0.11172	-0.16%	0.1204	✗	1.64
2025-12-18	oos	0.10483	0.107168	+2.23%	0.11884	+13.36%	0.0704	✗	1.62
2025-12-17	oos	0.10992	0.112016	+1.91%	0.11859	+7.89%	0.1090	✗	1.62
2025-12-16	oos	0.1146	0.11675	+1.88%	0.11779	+2.78%	0.1279	✗	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	0.11416	0.115804	+1.44%	0.12339	+8.09%	0.1240	✗	1.63
2025-12-14	oos	0.11821	0.119542	+1.13%	0.12222	+3.39%	0.1056	✗	1.63
2025-12-13	oos	0.12302	0.124369	+1.10%	0.11494	-6.57%	0.0955	✗	1.62
2025-12-12	oos	0.12397	0.125224	+1.01%	0.11716	-5.49%	0.0772	✗	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	0.12992	0.131032	+0.86%	0.11767	-9.43%	0.0691	✗	1.62
2025-12-10	oos	0.13476	0.13501	+0.19%	0.12019	-10.81%	0.0890	✗	1.64
2025-12-09	oos	0.13898	0.138878	-0.07%	0.12042	-13.35%	0.1130	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	0.13455	0.134263	-0.21%	0.12358	-8.15%	0.0941	✓	1.63
2025-12-07	oos	0.13099	0.131027	+0.03%	0.12892	-1.58%	0.0750	✗	1.63
2025-12-06	oos	0.13403	0.133625	-0.30%	0.13169	-1.75%	0.0974	✓	1.65
2025-12-05	oos	0.13395	0.134064	+0.09%	0.12536	-6.41%	0.1063	✗	1.65
2025-12-04	oos	0.13939	0.139812	+0.30%	0.12073	-13.39%	0.1196	✗	1.66
2025-12-03	oos	0.14607	0.146475	+0.28%	0.1216	-16.75%	0.1231	✗	1.65
2025-12-02	oos	0.1447	0.144711	+0.01%	0.11419	-21.09%	0.1892	✗	1.67
2025-12-01	oos	0.13323	0.133388	+0.12%	0.10617	-20.31%	0.2518	✗	1.69
2025-11-30	oos	0.14133	0.141257	-0.05%	0.11159	-21.04%	0.1981	✓	1.71
2025-11-29	oos	0.14323	0.143128	-0.07%	0.11273	-21.29%	0.1678	✓	1.70
2025-11-28	oos	0.14539	0.145284	-0.07%	0.11538	-20.64%	0.1729	✓	1.70
2025-11-27	oos	0.14703	0.146679	-0.24%	0.11516	-21.68%	0.1754	✓	1.70
2025-11-26	oos	0.14787	0.147153	-0.49%	0.11157	-24.55%	0.2166	✓	1.69
2025-11-25	oos	0.1449	0.144013	-0.61%	0.10884	-24.89%	0.2770	✓	1.72
2025-11-24	oos	0.14845	0.146736	-1.15%	0.10923	-26.42%	0.2823	✓	1.72
2025-11-23	oos	0.14788	0.145371	-1.70%	0.1104	-25.34%	0.2876	✓	1.74
2025-11-22	oos	0.13168	0.131805	+0.09%	0.11407	-13.37%	0.2206	✗	1.70
2025-11-21	oos	0.1307	0.131017	+0.24%	0.11193	-14.36%	0.2273	✗	1.70
2025-11-20	oos	0.13637	0.135746	-0.46%	0.11374	-16.59%	0.2115	✓	1.69
2025-11-19	oos	0.14473	0.143407	-0.91%	0.1119	-22.68%	0.1817	✓	1.77
2025-11-18	oos	0.1506	0.148554	-1.36%	0.10483	-30.39%	0.2011	✓	1.76
2025-11-17	oos	0.1457	0.144162	-1.06%	0.10992	-24.56%	0.1544	✓	1.77
2025-11-16	oos	0.14655	0.145113	-0.98%	0.1146	-21.80%	0.1117	✓	1.79
2025-11-15	oos	0.15474	0.152572	-1.40%	0.11416	-26.22%	0.1112	✓	1.78
2025-11-14	oos	0.15283	0.151103	-1.13%	0.11821	-22.65%	0.1219	✓	1.78
2025-11-13	oos	0.1647	0.162507	-1.33%	0.12302	-25.31%	0.0994	✓	1.81
2025-11-12	oos	0.174	0.171296	-1.55%	0.12397	-28.75%	0.1097	✓	1.80
2025-11-11	oos	0.17766	0.174853	-1.58%	0.12992	-26.87%	0.1046	✓	1.80
2025-11-10	oos	0.19386	0.189094	-2.46%	0.13476	-30.49%	0.0922	✓	1.75
2025-11-09	oos	0.17656	0.173812	-1.56%	0.13898	-21.28%	0.0126	✓	1.73
2025-11-08	oos	0.17559	0.172172	-1.95%	0.13455	-23.37%	0.0339	✓	1.76
2025-11-07	oos	0.17696	0.173456	-1.98%	0.13099	-25.98%	0.0522	✓	1.72
2025-11-06	oos	0.16312	0.160904	-1.36%	0.13403	-17.83%	0.0302	✗	1.69
2025-11-05	oos	0.1752	0.172751	-1.40%	0.13395	-23.54%	0.0038	✓	1.66
2025-11-04	oos	0.16856	0.166525	-1.21%	0.13939	-17.31%	0.0150	✓	1.68
2025-11-03	oos	0.17522	0.173907	-0.75%	0.14607	-16.64%	0.0554	✗	1.75
2025-11-02	oos	0.19448	0.192192	-1.18%	0.1447	-25.60%	0.0438	✗	1.71
2025-11-01	oos	0.19622	0.193768	-1.25%	0.13323	-32.10%	0.0430	✗	1.72
2025-10-31	oos	0.20092	0.197481	-1.71%	0.14133	-29.66%	0.0018	✓	1.75
2025-10-30	oos	0.19653	0.192932	-1.83%	0.14323	-27.12%	0.0106	✓	1.75
2025-10-29	oos	0.2011	0.19689	-2.09%	0.14539	-27.70%	0.0321	✗	1.76
2025-10-28	oos	0.19451	0.19122	-1.69%	0.14703	-24.41%	0.1222	✗	1.81
2025-10-27	oos	0.18484	0.18376	-0.58%	0.14787	-20.00%	0.2091	✗	1.84
2025-10-26	oos	0.17997	0.179373	-0.33%	0.1449	-19.49%	0.2868	✗	1.84
2025-10-25	oos	0.17259	0.171679	-0.53%	0.14845	-13.99%	0.2923	✗	1.86
2025-10-24	oos	0.17084	0.170208	-0.37%	0.14788	-13.44%	0.3198	✗	1.87
2025-10-23	oos	0.16515	0.164867	-0.17%	0.13168	-20.27%	0.2670	✗	1.87
2025-10-22	oos	0.1661	0.165023	-0.65%	0.1307	-21.31%	0.2114	✗	1.89
2025-10-21	oos	0.1705	0.168903	-0.94%	0.13637	-20.02%	0.2116	✗	1.89
2025-10-20	oos	0.17551	0.17305	-1.40%	0.14473	-17.54%	0.1874	✗	1.93
2025-10-19	oos	0.17053	0.168737	-1.05%	0.1506	-11.69%	0.1859	✗	1.91
2025-10-18	oos	0.16598	0.164789	-0.72%	0.1457	-12.22%	0.1670	✗	1.91
2025-10-17	oos	0.16262	0.162301	-0.20%	0.14655	-9.88%	0.1311	✗	1.90
2025-10-16	oos	0.17082	0.169747	-0.63%	0.15474	-9.41%	0.1431	✗	1.90
2025-10-15	oos	0.179	0.177645	-0.76%	0.15283	-14.62%	0.1535	✗	1.91
2025-10-14	oos	0.19031	0.188388	-1.01%	0.1647	-13.46%	0.1096	✗	1.93
2025-10-13	oos	0.19446	0.192596	-0.96%	0.174	-10.52%	0.1424	✗	1.94
2025-10-12	oos	0.18541	0.184566	-0.46%	0.17766	-4.18%	0.1747	✗	1.92
2025-10-11	oos	0.16827	0.167948	-0.19%	0.19386	+15.21%	0.2265	✗	1.88
2025-10-10	oos	0.17768	0.176768	-0.51%	0.17656	-0.63%	0.1485	✗	1.96
2025-10-09	oos	0.21307	0.212621	-0.21%	0.17559	-17.59%	0.1281	✗	1.84
2025-10-08	oos	0.21974	0.21984	+0.05%	0.17696	-19.47%	0.1078	✓	1.83
2025-10-07	oos	0.21828	0.217032	-0.57%	0.16312	-25.27%	0.0577	✗	1.90
2025-10-06	oos	0.23022	0.230113	-0.05%	0.1752	-23.90%	0.0768	✗	1.91
2025-10-05	oos	0.21642	0.216963	+0.25%	0.16856	-22.11%	0.1203	✓	1.90
2025-10-04	oos	0.21715	0.216752	-0.18%	0.17522	-19.31%	0.0512	✗	1.90
2025-10-03	oos	0.22557	0.22433	-0.55%	0.19448	-13.78%	0.0498	✗	1.90
2025-10-02	oos	0.22759	0.224295	-1.45%	0.19622	-13.78%	0.0427	✗	1.92
2025-10-01	oos	0.22445	0.219785	-2.08%	0.20092	-10.48%	0.0656	✗	1.95
2025-09-30	oos	0.21499	0.209161	-2.71%	0.19653	-8.59%	0.0422	✗	2.02
2025-09-29	oos	0.21688	0.210384	-3.00%	0.2011	-7.28%	0.0332	✗	2.03
2025-09-28	oos	0.21613	0.208667	-3.45%	0.19451	-10.00%	0.0833	✓	2.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.21279	0.205224	-3.56%	0.18484	-13.14%	0.1875	✓	2.10
2025-09-26	oos	0.21453	0.206782	-3.61%	0.17997	-16.11%	0.2301	✓	2.11
2025-09-25	oos	0.20754	0.199986	-3.64%	0.17259	-16.84%	0.1975	✓	2.10
2025-09-24	oos	0.22124	0.21246	-3.97%	0.17084	-22.78%	0.1742	✓	2.13
2025-09-23	oos	0.21907	0.209742	-4.26%	0.16515	-24.61%	0.2022	✓	2.15
2025-09-22	oos	0.22242	0.212254	-4.57%	0.1661	-25.32%	0.1461	✓	2.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.23427	0.223278	-4.69%	0.1705	-27.22%	0.1391	✓	2.11
2025-09-20	oos	0.24201	0.230451	-4.78%	0.17551	-27.48%	0.1730	✓	2.17
2025-09-19	oos	0.23899	0.227649	-4.75%	0.17053	-28.65%	0.1528	✓	2.18
2025-09-18	oos	0.24624	0.235078	-4.53%	0.16598	-32.59%	0.1547	✓	2.19

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.