ERG

Ergo · native · gru_s7

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,670

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0630

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0118

actual -0.0075

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3079	0.301919	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.3086	0.303279	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.338989	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.313401	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.309101	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.316252	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.302863	-2.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.315893	-2.53%	0.3079	-5.00%	0.0592	✓	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.289	-2.23%	0.3086	+4.40%	0.0263	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.303427	-2.44%	0.3475	+11.74%	0.1382	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.313447	-2.50%	0.32025	-0.39%	0.0199	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.317456	-2.70%	0.31585	-3.19%	0.0207	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.316678	-2.92%	0.32405	-0.66%	0.0471	✗	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.286055	-2.77%	0.3098	+5.30%	0.0962	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.298426	-2.98%	0.3241	+5.36%	0.0757	✗	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.288388	-3.16%	0.2956	-0.74%	0.0522	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.311178	-3.11%	0.311	-3.16%	0.0365	✗	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.303598	-3.25%	0.3215	+2.45%	0.1183	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.313828	-3.27%	0.32625	+0.55%	0.0809	✗	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.294745	-3.74%	0.3262	+6.53%	0.1287	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.313333	-3.74%	0.2942	-9.62%	0.0337	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.316948	-3.79%	0.3076	-6.63%	0.0173	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.318183	-3.99%	0.2978	-10.14%	0.0620	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.322492	-3.99%	0.32115	-4.39%	0.0322	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.310035	-4.19%	0.3138	-3.03%	0.0223	✓	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.317866	-4.00%	0.32445	-2.01%	0.0103	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.314548	-4.04%	0.3062	-6.59%	0.0318	✓	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.325388	-3.94%	0.3255	-3.91%	0.0059	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.326742	-3.79%	0.32945	-2.99%	0.0012	✓	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.334709	-3.76%	0.3314	-4.72%	0.0026	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.329076	-3.30%	0.3359	-1.29%	0.0604	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.313041	-3.22%	0.3236	+0.05%	0.0816	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.265812	-4.00%	0.3311	+19.57%	0.1732	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.270648	-3.91%	0.3278	+16.39%	0.1468	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.274956	-3.91%	0.33875	+18.38%	0.1635	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.24588	-2.89%	0.3396	+34.12%	0.2167	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.242698	-2.57%	0.3478	+39.62%	0.2510	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.237067	-2.06%	0.3403	+40.59%	0.2224	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.261122	-2.78%	0.32345	+20.42%	0.1130	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.254132	-2.14%	0.2769	+6.62%	0.0312	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.255534	-1.94%	0.28165	+8.08%	0.0475	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.251056	-1.51%	0.28615	+12.26%	0.0847	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.252956	-1.19%	0.2532	-1.09%	0.0034	✓	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.247544	-0.74%	0.2491	-0.12%	0.0348	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.250929	-0.50%	0.24205	-4.02%	0.0027	✓	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.222868	+0.62%	0.2686	+21.26%	0.1994	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.264252	-0.13%	0.2597	-1.85%	0.0264	✗	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.260851	+0.60%	0.2606	+0.50%	0.0307	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.2574	+1.42%	0.2549	+0.43%	0.0200	✓	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.268868	+2.08%	0.256	-2.81%	0.0071	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.265401	+1.86%	0.2494	-4.28%	0.0748	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.257919	+2.51%	0.2522	+0.24%	0.0361	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.265015	+2.56%	0.2215	-14.28%	0.1864	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.252989	+2.47%	0.2646	+7.17%	0.0101	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.256594	+2.35%	0.2593	+3.43%	0.0100	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.260742	+1.73%	0.2538	-0.98%	0.0506	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.263946	+2.07%	0.2634	+1.86%	0.0147	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.266026	+1.34%	0.26055	-0.74%	0.0022	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.264966	+0.98%	0.2516	-4.12%	0.0365	✗	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.269169	+0.70%	0.2584	-3.33%	0.0352	✗	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.267382	+0.26%	0.2469	-7.42%	0.0788	✗	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.270266	-0.23%	0.2507	-7.46%	0.0912	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.266922	-0.22%	0.2563	-4.19%	0.0340	✓	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.240814	-0.86%	0.2586	+6.46%	0.0254	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.214558	-0.44%	0.2625	+21.81%	0.0857	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.198841	-1.27%	0.2624	+30.29%	0.1107	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.19999	-1.29%	0.2673	+31.93%	0.1156	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.201812	-1.60%	0.2667	+30.03%	0.0890	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.199575	-1.44%	0.2709	+33.78%	0.1264	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.203945	-1.48%	0.2675	+29.23%	0.0758	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.206087	-1.39%	0.2429	+16.22%	0.0364	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.212701	-1.48%	0.2155	-0.19%	0.0668	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.218204	-1.53%	0.2014	-9.12%	0.0960	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.233804	-1.85%	0.2026	-14.95%	0.1510	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.231839	-1.68%	0.2051	-13.02%	0.0943	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.234506	-1.80%	0.2025	-15.20%	0.1204	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.231413	-1.78%	0.207	-12.14%	0.0849	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.229491	-1.97%	0.209	-10.72%	0.0819	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.221577	-1.65%	0.2159	-4.17%	0.0094	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.218211	-1.71%	0.2216	-0.18%	0.0226	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.21262	-1.66%	0.2382	+10.18%	0.1075	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.21066	-1.61%	0.2358	+10.14%	0.0938	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.199429	-1.27%	0.2388	+18.22%	0.1508	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.201986	-1.28%	0.2356	+15.15%	0.1256	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.205386	-0.92%	0.2341	+12.93%	0.1371	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.206204	-1.05%	0.2253	+8.11%	0.0787	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.205438	-0.95%	0.222	+7.04%	0.0747	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.199375	-0.66%	0.2162	+7.72%	0.0842	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.207607	-0.43%	0.2141	+2.69%	0.0558	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.213816	-0.69%	0.202	-6.18%	0.0350	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.214838	-0.68%	0.2046	-5.41%	0.0311	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.219078	-0.55%	0.2073	-5.90%	0.0507	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.21754	-0.26%	0.2084	-4.45%	0.0125	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.222811	-0.31%	0.2074	-7.20%	0.0348	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.218858	-0.43%	0.2007	-8.69%	0.0656	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.219414	-0.54%	0.2085	-5.49%	0.0601	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.219908	-0.54%	0.2153	-2.62%	0.0145	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.21952	-0.71%	0.2163	-2.17%	0.0173	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.21841	-0.72%	0.2203	+0.14%	0.0085	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.21872	-0.58%	0.2181	-0.86%	0.0211	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.212158	-0.35%	0.2235	+4.98%	0.0316	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.208874	-0.68%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0085	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.219837	-0.75%	0.2206	-0.41%	0.0097	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.218583	-0.73%	0.2211	+0.41%	0.0022	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.217463	-0.66%	0.2211	+1.01%	0.0198	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.216482	-0.79%	0.22	+0.82%	0.0079	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.219281	-1.05%	0.22	-0.72%	0.0318	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.219399	-0.95%	0.2129	-3.88%	0.0535	✓	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.220937	-0.97%	0.2103	-5.74%	0.0246	✓	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.214105	-0.83%	0.2215	+2.59%	0.0319	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.211124	-0.83%	0.2202	+3.43%	0.0330	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.210801	-0.94%	0.2189	+2.87%	0.0167	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.205971	-0.93%	0.2182	+4.95%	0.0352	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.201448	-0.96%	0.2216	+8.95%	0.0646	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.18921	-0.63%	0.2215	+16.33%	0.0954	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.200888	-0.80%	0.2231	+10.17%	0.0579	✗	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.200968	-0.85%	0.2159	+6.51%	0.0207	✗	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.203063	-0.85%	0.2129	+3.96%	0.0080	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.203375	-0.84%	0.2128	+3.75%	0.0137	✗	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.210068	-1.10%	0.2079	-2.12%	0.0332	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.217325	-1.26%	0.2034	-7.59%	0.0536	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.218812	-1.21%	0.1904	-14.04%	0.0882	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.21858	-1.09%	0.2025	-8.37%	0.0301	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.215317	-1.09%	0.2027	-6.89%	0.0140	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.215356	-1.03%	0.2048	-5.88%	0.0030	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.212169	-0.99%	0.2051	-4.29%	0.0092	✓	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.211362	-1.00%	0.2124	-0.52%	0.0441	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.217369	-1.11%	0.2201	+0.14%	0.0535	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.222849	-1.22%	0.2215	-1.82%	0.0289	✗	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.229831	-1.49%	0.221	-5.27%	0.0120	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.223275	-1.38%	0.2177	-3.84%	0.0037	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.219091	-1.35%	0.2176	-2.03%	0.0044	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.218878	-1.45%	0.2143	-3.51%	0.0204	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.217401	-1.45%	0.2135	-3.22%	0.0098	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.208081	-1.06%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0191	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.213552	-1.22%	0.2256	+4.35%	0.0087	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.210122	-1.07%	0.2333	+9.84%	0.0665	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.210637	-0.97%	0.2264	+6.44%	0.0438	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.20857	-0.49%	0.2221	+5.96%	0.0200	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.213486	-0.52%	0.2221	+3.49%	0.0100	✗	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.224913	-1.05%	0.2206	-2.95%	0.0167	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.23391	-1.22%	0.2103	-11.19%	0.0794	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.248978	-1.67%	0.2162	-14.61%	0.0932	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.265792	-2.03%	0.2124	-21.71%	0.1663	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.269876	-2.11%	0.2127	-22.85%	0.1666	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.266523	-2.05%	0.2096	-22.97%	0.1583	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.258473	-1.87%	0.2146	-18.53%	0.1068	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.254968	-1.71%	0.2273	-12.37%	0.0525	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.26506	-1.87%	0.2368	-12.33%	0.0478	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.277968	-2.09%	0.2532	-10.81%	0.0397	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.273342	-1.78%	0.2713	-2.52%	0.0392	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.279644	-1.91%	0.2757	-3.30%	0.0114	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.279701	-1.89%	0.2721	-4.56%	0.0074	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.278116	-1.86%	0.2634	-7.06%	0.0395	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.277492	-1.53%	0.2594	-7.95%	0.0382	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.284272	-1.60%	0.2701	-6.51%	0.0287	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.283009	-1.60%	0.2839	-1.29%	0.0097	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.280955	-1.42%	0.2783	-2.35%	0.0116	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.28003	-1.22%	0.2851	+0.56%	0.0209	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.286081	-1.11%	0.2851	-1.45%	0.0066	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.300945	-1.14%	0.2834	-6.90%	0.0339	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.305439	-0.61%	0.2818	-8.30%	0.0553	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.304195	-0.98%	0.2889	-5.96%	0.0383	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.307629	-0.67%	0.2876	-7.14%	0.0403	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.320225	-0.55%	0.285	-11.49%	0.0814	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.311583	-0.13%	0.2835	-9.13%	0.0591	✓	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.307805	-0.35%	0.2893	-6.35%	0.0430	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.308225	-0.38%	0.3044	-1.62%	0.0042	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.307223	-0.28%	0.3073	-0.26%	0.0075	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.315899	-0.00%	0.3072	-2.75%	0.0086	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.318147	-0.08%	0.3097	-2.73%	0.0240	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.30144	+0.21%	0.322	+7.05%	0.0535	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.298971	+0.12%	0.312	+4.49%	0.0193	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.301895	+0.23%	0.3089	+2.56%	0.0100	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.303217	+0.24%	0.3094	+2.28%	0.0071	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.296823	+0.04%	0.3081	+3.84%	0.0110	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.297025	+0.01%	0.3159	+6.36%	0.0213	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.304667	+0.05%	0.3184	+4.56%	0.0115	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.305984	+0.39%	0.3008	-1.31%	0.0348	✗	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.313814	+0.65%	0.2986	-4.23%	0.0489	✗	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.317999	+0.31%	0.3012	-4.98%	0.0616	✗	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.314168	+0.41%	0.3025	-3.32%	0.0434	✗	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.316772	+0.63%	0.2967	-5.75%	0.0512	✗	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.321212	+0.50%	0.297	-7.07%	0.0606	✗	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.315766	+0.05%	0.3045	-3.52%	0.0361	✗	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.315906	-0.12%	0.3048	-3.64%	0.0468	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.316944	-0.77%	0.3118	-2.38%	0.0531	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.323807	-0.40%	0.317	-2.49%	0.0357	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.330169	-0.16%	0.3129	-5.38%	0.0564	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.320961	-0.54%	0.3148	-2.45%	0.0428	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.314524	-0.53%	0.3196	+1.08%	0.0093	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.309289	-0.65%	0.3156	+1.38%	0.0036	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.305483	-0.53%	0.3163	+3.00%	0.0235	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.296879	-1.34%	0.3194	+6.15%	0.0476	✗	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.311375	-1.09%	0.3251	+3.27%	0.0220	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.302558	-0.96%	0.3307	+8.25%	0.0566	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.296394	-1.17%	0.3227	+7.60%	0.0580	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.29669	-1.37%	0.3162	+5.12%	0.0334	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.295705	-1.17%	0.3113	+4.04%	0.0330	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.293843	-1.82%	0.3071	+2.61%	0.0037	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.291072	-1.76%	0.3009	+1.55%	0.0179	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.290522	-2.02%	0.3148	+6.17%	0.0293	✗	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.28072	-1.78%	0.3055	+6.89%	0.0315	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.282881	-1.81%	0.2999	+4.10%	0.0150	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.288807	-1.80%	0.3008	+2.28%	0.0144	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.275852	-1.27%	0.2992	+7.09%	0.0486	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.271698	-1.16%	0.2993	+8.88%	0.0773	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.268285	-0.97%	0.2963	+9.38%	0.0709	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.277376	-1.01%	0.2965	+5.82%	0.0575	✗	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.2829	-1.05%	0.2858	-0.03%	0.0044	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.288097	-0.62%	0.2881	-0.62%	0.0176	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.2943	-0.10%	0.2941	-0.17%	0.0287	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.292902	-0.10%	0.2794	-4.71%	0.0258	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.296411	+0.00%	0.2749	-7.25%	0.0368	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.284831	-0.23%	0.2709	-5.11%	0.0321	✓	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.288275	-0.01%	0.2802	-2.81%	0.0039	✓	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.290456	+0.33%	0.2859	-1.24%	0.0229	✓	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.29982	+0.11%	0.2899	-3.21%	0.0230	✗	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.315024	+0.07%	0.2946	-6.42%	0.0676	✗	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.329917	+0.22%	0.2932	-10.94%	0.0872	✗	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.33595	+0.25%	0.2964	-11.55%	0.0897	✗	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.326539	+0.13%	0.2855	-12.45%	0.0887	✗	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.316404	+0.10%	0.2883	-8.79%	0.0716	✗	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.322995	-0.06%	0.2895	-10.43%	0.1054	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.316539	+0.01%	0.2995	-5.37%	0.0497	✗	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.318504	-0.06%	0.3148	-1.22%	0.0211	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.321408	-0.15%	0.3292	+2.27%	0.0114	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.32003	-0.36%	0.3351	+4.33%	0.0120	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.318797	-0.75%	0.3261	+1.53%	0.0415	✓	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.317225	-0.53%	0.3161	-0.88%	0.0409	✓	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.318509	-0.43%	0.3232	+1.03%	0.0121	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.31467	-0.04%	0.3165	+0.54%	0.0092	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.323654	-0.01%	0.3187	-1.54%	0.0078	✗	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.329019	-0.51%	0.3219	-2.66%	0.0389	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.335593	-0.59%	0.3212	-4.86%	0.0397	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.341739	-1.15%	0.3212	-7.09%	0.0643	✓	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.350856	-1.31%	0.3189	-10.30%	0.0989	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.342402	-1.41%	0.3199	-7.89%	0.0943	✓	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.34998	-1.55%	0.3148	-11.45%	0.1444	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.353225	-1.85%	0.3237	-10.06%	0.1395	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.312139	-1.38%	0.3307	+4.49%	0.0124	✓	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.294684	-0.81%	0.3376	+13.63%	0.0923	✗	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.292891	-0.44%	0.3457	+17.51%	0.1856	✗	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.302501	-0.53%	0.3555	+16.90%	0.1718	✗	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.303692	-0.46%	0.3473	+13.83%	0.1583	✗	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.309143	-0.53%	0.3555	+14.38%	0.1339	✗	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.318671	-0.66%	0.3599	+12.19%	0.1038	✗	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.32698	-0.70%	0.3165	-3.89%	0.0068	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.327583	-0.58%	0.2971	-9.83%	0.0485	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.330385	-0.55%	0.2942	-11.44%	0.1026	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.370482	-1.15%	0.3041	-18.86%	0.1771	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.366554	-1.15%	0.3051	-17.72%	0.1743	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.358341	-1.04%	0.3108	-14.17%	0.1511	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.357114	-0.97%	0.3208	-11.04%	0.1000	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.374837	-1.31%	0.3293	-13.30%	0.1140	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.379018	-1.40%	0.3295	-14.28%	0.1257	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.388903	-1.67%	0.3322	-16.01%	0.1407	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.393456	-1.88%	0.3748	-6.53%	0.0547	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.398078	-2.26%	0.3708	-8.96%	0.0517	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.356061	-0.04%	0.3621	+1.66%	0.0201	✓	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.359336	-1.47%	0.3606	-1.12%	0.0894	✗	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.359375	-1.51%	0.3798	+4.08%	0.1545	✗	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.352807	-1.26%	0.3844	+7.58%	0.2198	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.343078	-0.79%	0.3955	+14.37%	0.2390	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.358962	-0.98%	0.401	+10.62%	0.2506	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.385025	-1.30%	0.4073	+4.41%	0.2492	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.402424	-1.49%	0.3562	-12.80%	0.2031	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.418252	-1.36%	0.3647	-13.99%	0.0868	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.425637	-1.40%	0.3649	-15.47%	0.0261	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.42038	-1.32%	0.3573	-16.13%	0.0390	✓	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.42233	-1.44%	0.3458	-19.30%	0.0679	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.428298	-1.25%	0.3625	-16.42%	0.0257	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.428191	-1.13%	0.3901	-9.93%	0.0202	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.432824	-1.11%	0.4085	-6.67%	0.0092	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.443022	-1.33%	0.424	-5.57%	0.0412	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.427196	-1.25%	0.4317	-0.21%	0.0005	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.45029	-0.86%	0.426	-6.21%	0.0030	✓	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.459563	-0.72%	0.4285	-7.43%	0.0272	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.471531	-0.52%	0.4337	-8.50%	0.0037	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.477197	-0.48%	0.4331	-9.68%	0.0157	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.487661	-0.62%	0.4377	-10.80%	0.0254	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.50727	-0.67%	0.449	-12.08%	0.0209	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.457677	-0.18%	0.4326	-5.65%	0.0366	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.443706	-0.85%	0.4542	+1.50%	0.0047	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.448416	-0.92%	0.4629	+2.28%	0.0058	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.449541	-0.98%	0.474	+4.41%	0.0111	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.455957	-1.01%	0.4795	+4.10%	0.0222	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.449055	-0.78%	0.4907	+8.42%	0.0242	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.455221	-0.76%	0.5107	+11.34%	0.0301	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.481173	-0.67%	0.4585	-5.35%	0.0730	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.495372	-0.83%	0.4475	-10.41%	0.0611	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.48638	-1.04%	0.4526	-7.91%	0.0623	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.481127	-1.12%	0.454	-6.70%	0.0545	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.485855	-1.31%	0.4606	-6.44%	0.0622	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.476633	-1.36%	0.4526	-6.33%	0.0879	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.46059	-1.25%	0.4587	-1.65%	0.0633	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.487955	-1.60%	0.4844	-2.32%	0.0887	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.468745	-1.52%	0.4995	+4.94%	0.0400	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.470555	-1.60%	0.4915	+2.78%	0.0124	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.427593	-0.91%	0.4866	+12.77%	0.0869	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.424749	-0.83%	0.4923	+14.94%	0.1071	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.427903	-0.79%	0.4832	+12.03%	0.0975	✗	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.438942	-0.85%	0.4664	+5.35%	0.0624	✗	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.442028	-0.85%	0.4959	+11.24%	0.1001	✗	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.461158	-0.93%	0.476	+2.26%	0.0539	✗	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.471106	-1.03%	0.4782	+0.46%	0.0266	✗	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.489124	-1.39%	0.4315	-13.00%	0.1173	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.480537	-1.35%	0.4283	-12.07%	0.1027	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.447867	-1.09%	0.4313	-4.75%	0.0643	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.457559	-1.15%	0.4427	-4.36%	0.0546	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.451234	-0.87%	0.4458	-2.07%	0.0055	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.446604	-0.86%	0.4655	+3.33%	0.0080	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.471119	-0.96%	0.476	+0.06%	0.0032	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.473128	-0.77%	0.496	+4.03%	0.0766	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.477894	-0.77%	0.4871	+1.14%	0.0524	✗	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.491762	-0.69%	0.4528	-8.56%	0.0260	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.510222	-0.89%	0.4629	-10.08%	0.0077	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.516306	-0.88%	0.4552	-12.61%	0.0526	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.518817	-1.05%	0.4505	-14.08%	0.0752	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.528074	-1.18%	0.4757	-10.98%	0.0700	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.519121	-1.20%	0.4768	-9.25%	0.1002	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.499482	-0.94%	0.4816	-4.48%	0.0508	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.506013	-0.78%	0.4952	-2.90%	0.0284	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.515475	-0.74%	0.5148	-0.87%	0.0202	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.533122	-1.00%	0.5209	-3.27%	0.0449	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.496536	-0.81%	0.5243	+4.73%	0.0175	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.536102	-0.98%	0.5344	-1.29%	0.0037	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.542571	-1.01%	0.5254	-4.14%	0.0072	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.576404	-1.37%	0.5042	-13.72%	0.1089	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.593008	-1.64%	0.51	-15.41%	0.1630	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.605355	-2.03%	0.5193	-15.96%	0.1997	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.608596	-2.61%	0.5385	-13.83%	0.1885	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.588571	-2.57%	0.5006	-17.13%	0.1279	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.597674	-3.60%	0.5414	-12.68%	0.1599	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.517849	-2.44%	0.5481	+3.26%	0.0450	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.448393	-0.75%	0.5844	+29.35%	0.1691	✗	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.448349	-0.68%	0.6029	+33.56%	0.2176	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.467689	-0.98%	0.6179	+30.83%	0.2953	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.503242	-1.40%	0.6249	+22.43%	0.3112	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.494997	-1.20%	0.6041	+20.58%	0.2640	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.507767	-1.21%	0.62	+20.62%	0.3263	✗	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.514417	-1.13%	0.5308	+2.02%	0.2190	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.51577	-1.10%	0.4518	-13.37%	0.0317	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.561037	-1.21%	0.4514	-20.51%	0.0023	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.589212	-1.30%	0.4723	-20.89%	0.0573	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.612474	-1.44%	0.5104	-17.86%	0.0227	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.614848	-1.28%	0.501	-19.56%	0.0176	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.631663	-1.56%	0.514	-19.90%	0.0365	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.629204	-1.78%	0.5203	-18.78%	0.0790	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.63174	-1.89%	0.5215	-19.01%	0.0468	✓	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.604198	-1.80%	0.5679	-7.70%	0.0349	✓	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.630012	-2.16%	0.597	-7.28%	0.0188	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.562737	-1.55%	0.6214	+8.71%	0.0760	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.554933	-1.20%	0.6228	+10.88%	0.1246	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.601613	-1.34%	0.6417	+5.23%	0.1562	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.619014	-1.54%	0.6406	+1.89%	0.1588	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.614826	-1.58%	0.6439	+3.07%	0.1466	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.618493	-1.87%	0.6153	-2.38%	0.1096	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.59962	-1.54%	0.6439	+5.73%	0.1724	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.59635	-1.10%	0.5716	-5.21%	0.1466	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.679074	-1.58%	0.5617	-18.59%	0.0717	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.725823	-2.17%	0.6098	-17.81%	0.1128	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.665859	-1.91%	0.6287	-7.38%	0.0329	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.669404	-1.98%	0.6247	-8.52%	0.0466	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.650616	-1.94%	0.6303	-5.00%	0.0042	✓	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.604661	-1.71%	0.609	-1.01%	0.0292	✓	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.621905	-1.68%	0.603	-4.66%	0.0972	✓	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.653308	-1.92%	0.69	+3.59%	0.0034	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.658157	-2.22%	0.7419	+10.22%	0.0337	✗	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.612	-1.72%	0.6788	+9.01%	0.0384	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.60292	-1.58%	0.6829	+11.48%	0.0575	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.615523	-1.55%	0.6635	+6.13%	0.0470	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.643595	-1.70%	0.6152	-6.03%	0.0012	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.663878	-1.81%	0.6325	-6.45%	0.0190	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.685637	-1.93%	0.6661	-4.72%	0.0381	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.690076	-2.31%	0.6731	-4.71%	0.0679	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.605579	-1.79%	0.6227	+0.99%	0.0774	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.577682	-1.52%	0.6126	+4.43%	0.1546	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.674395	-1.07%	0.6252	-8.29%	0.1020	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.705101	-1.04%	0.6547	-8.11%	0.0841	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.695294	-1.33%	0.6761	-4.06%	0.0753	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.728686	-0.99%	0.6991	-5.01%	0.0725	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.705957	-1.14%	0.7064	-1.08%	0.1024	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.711576	-1.38%	0.6166	-14.54%	0.0001	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.721833	-1.50%	0.5866	-19.95%	0.0932	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.731935	-1.86%	0.6817	-8.59%	0.0843	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.712503	-2.13%	0.7125	-2.13%	0.0566	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.670237	-2.41%	0.7047	+2.61%	0.0400	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.676502	-2.38%	0.736	+6.20%	0.0489	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.691413	-2.55%	0.7141	+0.65%	0.1255	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.676968	-2.58%	0.7215	+3.83%	0.1187	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.66519	-2.55%	0.7328	+7.35%	0.0833	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.677229	-2.57%	0.7458	+7.29%	0.0729	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.720282	-2.32%	0.728	-1.27%	0.0671	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.698568	-2.39%	0.6868	-4.04%	0.0479	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.730301	-2.25%	0.693	-7.24%	0.0778	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.768718	-2.00%	0.7095	-9.55%	0.0314	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.788989	-1.92%	0.6949	-13.61%	0.0349	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.78641	-1.92%	0.6826	-14.87%	0.0493	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.798386	-1.80%	0.6951	-14.50%	0.0147	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.