DUST

Dust Protocol · Ethereum · gru_s7

token id: #962
symbol: DUST
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb5b1b659da79a2507c27aad509f15b4874edc0cc
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-09-20
predictions: 504

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

165

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

61.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1232

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0122

actual -0.0341

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	1.3825	1.3374	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	1.287	1.2365	-3.92%	1.3825	+7.42%	0.1093	✗	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	1.8375	1.7761	-3.34%	1.287	-29.96%	0.3351	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	3.069	2.9782	-2.96%	1.8375	-40.13%	0.4963	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	3.3675	3.2418	-3.73%	3.069	-8.86%	0.0527	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	3.591	3.4483	-3.97%	3.3675	-6.22%	0.0314	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	11.643	10.814	-7.12%	3.591	-69.16%	1.1010	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	2.3095	2.1957	-4.93%	11.643	+404.14%	1.6758	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	2.983	2.8363	-4.92%	2.3095	-22.58%	0.2123	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	4.08	3.8832	-4.82%	2.983	-26.89%	0.2451	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	5.507	5.232	-4.99%	4.08	-25.91%	0.2652	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	9.143	8.7386	-4.42%	5.507	-39.77%	0.4383	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	17.2505	16.6496	-3.48%	9.143	-47.00%	0.6086	✓	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	16.7145	15.9923	-4.32%	17.2505	+3.21%	0.0713	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	17.1645	16.3577	-4.70%	16.7145	-2.62%	0.0112	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	24.5085	23.3911	-4.56%	17.1645	-29.97%	0.2903	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	43.547	41.6981	-4.25%	24.5085	-43.72%	0.5046	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	85.4585	82.042	-4.00%	43.547	-49.04%	0.6309	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000375	0.000370851	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-03-04	oos	0.0003798	0.000373605	-1.63%	0.000375	-1.26%	0.0344	✗	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0002495	0.000249435	-0.03%	0.0003798	+52.22%	0.3641	✗	0.91
2026-03-02	oos	0.000269	0.000268674	-0.12%	0.0002495	-7.25%	0.0675	✓	0.91
2026-03-01	oos	0.0003089	0.000306803	-0.68%	0.000269	-12.92%	0.1765	✓	0.99
2026-02-28	oos	0.0002702	0.000269737	-0.17%	0.0003089	+14.32%	0.1531	✗	0.97
2026-02-27	oos	0.000281	0.000280243	-0.27%	0.0002702	-3.84%	0.0528	✓	0.98
2026-02-26	oos	0.0003102	0.000308645	-0.50%	0.000281	-9.41%	0.0703	✓	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.0003015	0.00030029	-0.40%	0.0003102	+2.89%	0.0396	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.0002788	0.000277999	-0.29%	0.0003015	+8.14%	0.0256	✗	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.0003029	0.000301369	-0.51%	0.0002788	-7.96%	0.0699	✓	0.92
2026-02-22	oos	0.0003044	0.000303133	-0.42%	0.0003029	-0.49%	0.0418	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.000332	0.000329568	-0.73%	0.0003044	-8.31%	0.0747	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0003075	0.000305993	-0.49%	0.000332	+7.97%	0.0820	✗	0.91
2026-02-19	oos	0.0003268	0.000324223	-0.79%	0.0003075	-5.91%	0.0669	✓	0.93
2026-02-18	oos	0.0002994	0.000297907	-0.50%	0.0003268	+9.15%	0.0851	✗	0.90
2026-02-17	oos	0.0003045	0.000302869	-0.54%	0.0002994	-1.67%	0.0038	✓	0.98
2026-02-16	oos	0.000321	0.000318648	-0.73%	0.0003045	-5.14%	0.0250	✓	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.0003145	0.000312343	-0.69%	0.000321	+2.07%	0.0263	✗	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.0004106	0.000402362	-2.01%	0.0003145	-23.40%	0.2317	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	0.0003676	0.000360747	-1.86%	0.0004106	+11.70%	0.1159	✗	0.96
2026-02-12	oos	0.0003237	0.000318959	-1.46%	0.0003676	+13.56%	0.1083	✗	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0003279	0.000321485	-1.96%	0.0003237	-1.28%	0.0164	✓	0.78
2026-02-10	oos	0.0002921	0.000287357	-1.62%	0.0003279	+12.26%	0.1539	✗	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.0002267	0.000226223	-0.21%	0.0002921	+28.85%	0.2721	✗	0.88
2026-02-08	oos	0.0002387	0.000237767	-0.39%	0.0002267	-5.03%	0.0454	✓	0.89
2026-02-07	oos	0.0002066	0.000207523	+0.45%	0.0002387	+15.54%	0.1275	✓	0.84
2026-02-06	oos	0.0002125	0.000213491	+0.47%	0.0002066	-2.78%	0.0168	✗	0.87
2026-02-05	oos	0.0002125	0.000214623	+1.00%	0.0002125	+0.00%	0.1314	✗	1.05
2026-02-04	oos	0.0002217	0.000222881	+0.53%	0.0002125	-4.15%	0.1928	✓	1.60
2026-02-03	oos	0.0002649	0.000264576	-0.12%	0.0002217	-16.31%	0.1216	✓	1.54
2026-02-02	oos	0.0002687	0.000268326	-0.14%	0.0002649	-1.41%	0.0499	✗	1.61
2026-02-01	oos	0.0002536	0.000254449	+0.33%	0.0002687	+5.95%	0.0220	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.0002719	0.000272403	+0.19%	0.0002536	-6.73%	0.0344	✗	1.65
2026-01-30	oos	0.0003096	0.00030869	-0.29%	0.0002719	-12.18%	0.0104	✓	1.73
2026-01-29	oos	0.0003448	0.000342611	-0.63%	0.0003096	-10.21%	0.0931	✓	1.71
2026-01-28	oos	0.0004135	0.000406926	-1.59%	0.0003448	-16.61%	0.0801	✓	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.0003523	0.000349902	-0.68%	0.0004135	+17.37%	0.1662	✗	1.59
2026-01-26	oos	0.0003453	0.00034368	-0.47%	0.0003523	+2.03%	0.0100	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.0003455	0.000344395	-0.32%	0.0003453	-0.06%	0.0270	✓	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.0003931	0.000390415	-0.68%	0.0003455	-12.11%	0.0796	✓	1.49
2026-01-23	oos	0.0004106	0.000407312	-0.80%	0.0003931	-4.26%	0.0287	✓	1.54
2026-01-22	oos	0.0004048	0.000402238	-0.63%	0.0004106	+1.43%	0.0204	✗	1.54
2026-01-21	oos	0.0003609	0.000360273	-0.17%	0.0004048	+12.16%	0.1149	✗	1.49
2026-01-20	oos	0.0004058	0.000404763	-0.26%	0.0003609	-11.06%	0.1351	✓	1.72
2026-01-19	oos	0.0004472	0.000446012	-0.27%	0.0004058	-9.26%	0.0151	✓	1.69
2026-01-18	oos	0.0005101	0.000507837	-0.44%	0.0004472	-12.33%	0.1063	✓	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.000523	0.000520917	-0.40%	0.0005101	-2.47%	0.0056	✗	1.70
2026-01-16	oos	0.0005419	0.000539334	-0.47%	0.000523	-3.49%	0.0237	✓	1.70
2026-01-15	oos	0.0005259	0.000524143	-0.33%	0.0005419	+3.04%	0.0348	✗	1.66
2026-01-14	oos	0.000571	0.000568462	-0.44%	0.0005259	-7.90%	0.0543	✓	1.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.000582	0.000578882	-0.54%	0.000571	-1.89%	0.0397	✓	1.59
2026-01-12	oos	0.00055	0.0005472	-0.51%	0.000582	+5.82%	0.0224	✓	1.87
2026-01-11	oos	0.0006007	0.000596241	-0.74%	0.00055	-8.44%	0.0872	✓	1.88
2026-01-10	oos	0.0006509	0.000642971	-1.22%	0.0006007	-7.71%	0.0782	✓	1.86
2026-01-09	oos	0.0005548	0.000551856	-0.53%	0.0006509	+17.32%	0.1683	✗	2.04
2026-01-08	oos	0.0005809	0.000577413	-0.60%	0.0005548	-4.49%	0.0285	✓	2.04
2026-01-07	oos	0.0005789	0.000575746	-0.54%	0.0005809	+0.35%	0.0146	✗	2.04
2026-01-06	oos	0.0006551	0.000649674	-0.83%	0.0005789	-11.63%	0.0623	✓	2.01
2026-01-05	oos	0.0006891	0.000681394	-1.12%	0.0006551	-4.93%	0.0362	✓	2.01
2026-01-04	oos	0.0006673	0.00065912	-1.23%	0.0006891	+3.27%	0.0070	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0006284	0.000621657	-1.07%	0.0006673	+6.19%	0.0513	✗	1.99
2026-01-02	oos	0.0006276	0.000620346	-1.16%	0.0006284	+0.13%	0.0012	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.0005885	0.000583396	-0.87%	0.0006276	+6.64%	0.0463	✗	1.96
2025-12-31	oos	0.0005725	0.000568224	-0.75%	0.0005885	+2.79%	0.0076	✗	1.95
2025-12-30	oos	0.0006205	0.000613641	-1.11%	0.0005725	-7.74%	0.0488	✓	2.02
2025-12-29	oos	0.0006005	0.000595004	-0.92%	0.0006205	+3.33%	0.0135	✗	1.94
2025-12-28	oos	0.0006155	0.000609154	-1.03%	0.0006005	-2.44%	0.0027	✓	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.0005888	0.000584308	-0.76%	0.0006155	+4.53%	0.0507	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.0006277	0.000621323	-1.02%	0.0005888	-6.20%	0.0633	✓	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.0006123	0.000607378	-0.80%	0.0006277	+2.52%	0.0306	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.0005917	0.000588579	-0.53%	0.0006123	+3.48%	0.0478	✗	1.65
2025-12-23	oos	0.0006153	0.000611894	-0.55%	0.0005917	-3.84%	0.0380	✓	2.18
2025-12-22	oos	0.0006817	0.000675092	-0.97%	0.0006153	-9.74%	0.0671	✓	2.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.000683	0.000676718	-0.92%	0.0006817	-0.19%	0.0092	✓	2.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.0006897	0.000683905	-0.84%	0.000683	-0.97%	0.0086	✓	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.0007056	0.000700486	-0.72%	0.0006897	-2.25%	0.0209	✓	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.0006154	0.000617831	+0.40%	0.0007056	+14.66%	0.0736	✓	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.0006245	0.000627646	+0.50%	0.0006154	-1.46%	0.0026	✓	1.96
2025-12-16	oos	0.0007402	0.00074132	+0.15%	0.0006245	-15.63%	0.1351	✗	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.000814	0.000814854	+0.10%	0.0007402	-9.07%	0.1285	✗	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.000885	0.000885531	+0.06%	0.000814	-8.02%	0.0447	✗	1.97
2025-12-13	oos	0.001043	0.001042	-0.10%	0.000885	-15.15%	0.1183	✓	1.92
2025-12-12	oos	0.001028	0.001028	+0.02%	0.001043	+1.46%	0.0147	✓	1.92
2025-12-11	oos	0.001098	0.001098	+0.04%	0.001028	-6.38%	0.0182	✗	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.001227	0.001225	-0.14%	0.001098	-10.51%	0.1204	✓	1.96
2025-12-09	oos	0.001322	0.001319	-0.24%	0.001227	-7.19%	0.0584	✓	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.001345	0.001341	-0.27%	0.001322	-1.71%	0.0582	✓	1.96
2025-12-07	oos	0.001314	0.001312	-0.14%	0.001345	+2.36%	0.0192	✗	1.95
2025-12-06	oos	0.001435	0.001431	-0.30%	0.001314	-8.43%	0.1101	✓	1.98
2025-12-05	oos	0.001481	0.001476	-0.34%	0.001435	-3.11%	0.0264	✓	1.98
2025-12-04	oos	0.0015	0.001496	-0.27%	0.001481	-1.27%	0.0523	✗	2.06
2025-12-03	oos	0.001578	0.001572	-0.36%	0.0015	-4.94%	0.0168	✓	2.07
2025-12-02	oos	0.001595	0.001588	-0.46%	0.001578	-1.07%	0.0544	✓	2.08
2025-12-01	oos	0.001584	0.001574	-0.65%	0.001595	+0.69%	0.1111	✓	2.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.001536	0.00153	-0.39%	0.001584	+3.12%	0.1493	✗	2.48
2025-11-29	oos	0.001557	0.001551	-0.42%	0.001536	-1.35%	0.0031	✓	2.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.001533	0.001528	-0.35%	0.001557	+1.57%	0.0211	✗	2.48
2025-11-27	oos	0.001598	0.001591	-0.46%	0.001533	-4.07%	0.0257	✓	2.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.001618	0.001609	-0.53%	0.001598	-1.24%	0.0301	✓	2.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.001625	0.001615	-0.63%	0.001618	-0.43%	0.0875	✓	2.53
2025-11-24	oos	0.001518	0.001512	-0.38%	0.001625	+7.05%	0.0995	✗	2.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.001477	0.001473	-0.28%	0.001518	+2.78%	0.0122	✓	2.54
2025-11-22	oos	0.001585	0.001578	-0.43%	0.001477	-6.81%	0.1315	✓	2.63
2025-11-21	oos	0.001778	0.001763	-0.86%	0.001585	-10.85%	0.0943	✓	2.63
2025-11-20	oos	0.0017	0.001688	-0.71%	0.001778	+4.59%	0.0982	✗	2.70
2025-11-19	oos	0.002039	0.002009	-1.49%	0.0017	-16.63%	0.0143	✓	2.76
2025-11-18	oos	0.002417	0.002331	-3.54%	0.002039	-15.64%	0.0912	✓	2.71
2025-11-17	oos	0.00163	0.001611	-1.14%	0.002417	+48.28%	0.3835	✗	2.49
2025-11-16	oos	0.001676	0.001649	-1.61%	0.00163	-2.74%	0.0459	✗	2.57
2025-11-15	oos	0.001291	0.001286	-0.37%	0.001676	+29.82%	0.3045	✗	2.77
2025-11-14	oos	0.001511	0.001498	-0.86%	0.001291	-14.56%	0.1799	✓	2.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.001375	0.001368	-0.53%	0.001511	+9.89%	0.2942	✗	3.69
2025-11-12	oos	0.001551	0.001537	-0.90%	0.001375	-11.35%	0.0365	✓	3.72
2025-11-11	oos	0.001479	0.001468	-0.72%	0.001551	+4.87%	0.1062	✗	3.84
2025-11-10	oos	0.001588	0.001573	-0.94%	0.001479	-6.86%	0.0528	✗	4.03
2025-11-09	oos	0.001697	0.001678	-1.14%	0.001588	-6.42%	0.1044	✓	4.05
2025-11-08	oos	0.001556	0.001545	-0.73%	0.001697	+9.06%	0.0021	✓	3.95
2025-11-07	oos	0.001944	0.001911	-1.71%	0.001556	-19.96%	0.1675	✓	3.89
2025-11-06	oos	0.001653	0.001639	-0.87%	0.001944	+17.60%	0.0991	✗	3.68
2025-11-05	oos	0.001835	0.001809	-1.43%	0.001653	-9.92%	0.0053	✓	3.80
2025-11-04	oos	0.001752	0.00173	-1.26%	0.001835	+4.74%	0.0282	✓	3.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.001653	0.001634	-1.16%	0.001752	+5.99%	0.3135	✗	4.98
2025-11-02	oos	0.002404	0.002306	-4.07%	0.001653	-31.24%	0.1621	✓	4.66
2025-11-01	oos	0.00152	0.001503	-1.12%	0.002404	+58.16%	0.4499	✗	4.51
2025-10-31	oos	0.001665	0.001644	-1.27%	0.00152	-8.71%	0.0987	✓	4.51
2025-10-30	oos	0.001694	0.001673	-1.26%	0.001665	-1.71%	0.0558	✓	4.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.001772	0.001744	-1.55%	0.001694	-4.40%	0.0445	✗	4.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.001665	0.001641	-1.46%	0.001772	+6.43%	0.1028	✗	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.001847	0.001815	-1.76%	0.001665	-9.85%	0.0756	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.002006	0.001961	-2.24%	0.001847	-7.93%	0.0559	✓	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.001818	0.001786	-1.76%	0.002006	+10.34%	0.0907	✗	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.001771	0.001741	-1.69%	0.001818	+2.65%	0.0376	✗	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.00206	0.002012	-2.33%	0.001771	-14.03%	0.1360	✓	1.00
2025-10-22	oos	0.00154	0.001513	-1.72%	0.00206	+33.77%	0.2851	✗	1.00
2025-10-21	oos	0.001366	0.001333	-2.40%	0.00154	+12.74%	0.1514	✗	1.00
2025-10-20	oos	0.001893	0.001861	-1.71%	0.001366	-27.84%	0.2888	✓	1.00
2025-10-19	oos	0.00229	0.002259	-1.37%	0.001893	-17.34%	0.1938	✓	1.00
2025-10-18	oos	0.002264	0.002234	-1.31%	0.00229	+1.15%	0.0110	✓	1.00
2025-10-17	oos	0.002704	0.002672	-1.17%	0.002264	-16.27%	0.1728	✓	1.00
2025-10-16	oos	0.002872	0.002835	-1.29%	0.002704	-5.85%	0.0311	✓	1.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.002684	0.002645	-1.47%	0.002872	+7.00%	0.1063	✗	1.00
2025-10-14	oos	0.004793	0.004732	-1.26%	0.002684	-44.00%	0.5469	✓	1.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.005014	0.004945	-1.37%	0.004793	-4.41%	0.0119	✓	1.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.006481	0.006354	-1.95%	0.005014	-22.64%	0.2387	✓	1.00
2025-10-11	oos	0.005207	0.00513	-1.49%	0.006481	+24.47%	0.1958	✗	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.001539	0.00149	-3.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.001324	0.001278	-3.47%	0.001539	+16.24%	0.1694	✗	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.001319	0.001271	-3.62%	0.001324	+0.38%	0.0012	✓	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.001722	0.001669	-3.09%	0.001319	-23.40%	0.2327	✓	1.00