DUST

Dust Protocol · Ethereum · gru_s7

token id: #962
symbol: DUST
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb5b1b659da79a2507c27aad509f15b4874edc0cc
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-09-20
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

164

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

59.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1242

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0047

actual -0.0319

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.9885	1.9813	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	1.8375	1.8274	-0.55%	1.9885	+8.22%	0.0874	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	3.069	3.0553	-0.45%	1.8375	-40.13%	0.5218	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	3.3675	3.3413	-0.78%	3.069	-8.86%	0.0829	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	3.591	3.5554	-0.99%	3.3675	-6.22%	0.0619	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	11.643	11.299	-2.95%	3.591	-69.16%	1.1448	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	2.3095	2.2834	-1.13%	11.643	+404.14%	1.6366	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	2.983	2.95	-1.11%	2.3095	-22.58%	0.2516	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	4.08	4.036	-1.08%	2.983	-26.89%	0.2837	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	5.507	5.4414	-1.19%	4.08	-25.91%	0.3044	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	9.143	9.0523	-0.99%	5.507	-39.77%	0.4736	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	17.2505	17.1265	-0.72%	9.143	-47.00%	0.6369	✓	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	16.7145	16.5462	-1.01%	17.2505	+3.21%	0.0373	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	17.1645	16.9621	-1.18%	16.7145	-2.62%	0.0251	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	24.5085	24.2316	-1.13%	17.1645	-29.97%	0.3256	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	43.547	42.9844	-1.29%	24.5085	-43.72%	0.5350	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	85.4585	83.9758	-1.73%	43.547	-49.04%	0.6542	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000375	0.000373119	-0.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-03-04	oos	0.0003798	0.000376826	-0.78%	0.000375	-1.26%	0.0258	✗	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0002495	0.00024899	-0.20%	0.0003798	+52.22%	0.3658	✗	0.91
2026-03-02	oos	0.000269	0.000268376	-0.23%	0.0002495	-7.25%	0.0664	✓	0.91
2026-03-01	oos	0.0003089	0.000307844	-0.34%	0.000269	-12.92%	0.1799	✓	0.99
2026-02-28	oos	0.0002702	0.000269606	-0.22%	0.0003089	+14.32%	0.1536	✗	0.97
2026-02-27	oos	0.000281	0.000280361	-0.23%	0.0002702	-3.84%	0.0533	✓	0.98
2026-02-26	oos	0.0003102	0.000309182	-0.33%	0.000281	-9.41%	0.0720	✓	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.0003015	0.000300573	-0.31%	0.0003102	+2.89%	0.0387	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.0002788	0.000278239	-0.20%	0.0003015	+8.14%	0.0247	✗	0.94
2026-02-23	oos	0.0003029	0.000302063	-0.28%	0.0002788	-7.96%	0.0722	✓	0.92
2026-02-22	oos	0.0003044	0.000303526	-0.29%	0.0003029	-0.49%	0.0405	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.000332	0.000330654	-0.41%	0.0003044	-8.31%	0.0780	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0003075	0.00030657	-0.30%	0.000332	+7.97%	0.0801	✗	0.91
2026-02-19	oos	0.0003268	0.000325508	-0.40%	0.0003075	-5.91%	0.0709	✓	0.93
2026-02-18	oos	0.0002994	0.000298622	-0.26%	0.0003268	+9.15%	0.0827	✗	0.90
2026-02-17	oos	0.0003045	0.000303666	-0.27%	0.0002994	-1.67%	0.0012	✓	0.98
2026-02-16	oos	0.000321	0.000319858	-0.36%	0.0003045	-5.14%	0.0288	✓	1.00
2026-02-15	oos	0.0003145	0.00031354	-0.31%	0.000321	+2.07%	0.0225	✗	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.0004106	0.000406536	-0.99%	0.0003145	-23.40%	0.2420	✓	1.02
2026-02-13	oos	0.0003676	0.000364704	-0.79%	0.0004106	+11.70%	0.1050	✗	0.96
2026-02-12	oos	0.0003237	0.000322326	-0.42%	0.0003676	+13.56%	0.0978	✗	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0003279	0.000326051	-0.56%	0.0003237	-1.28%	0.0023	✓	0.78
2026-02-10	oos	0.0002921	0.000291109	-0.34%	0.0003279	+12.26%	0.1409	✗	0.84
2026-02-09	oos	0.0002267	0.000227041	+0.15%	0.0002921	+28.85%	0.2684	✓	0.88
2026-02-08	oos	0.0002387	0.000239055	+0.15%	0.0002267	-5.03%	0.0508	✗	0.89
2026-02-07	oos	0.0002066	0.000207525	+0.45%	0.0002387	+15.54%	0.1275	✓	0.84
2026-02-06	oos	0.0002125	0.000213517	+0.48%	0.0002066	-2.78%	0.0169	✗	0.87
2026-02-05	oos	0.0002125	0.000214002	+0.71%	0.0002125	+0.00%	0.1285	✗	1.05
2026-02-04	oos	0.0002217	0.000222929	+0.55%	0.0002125	-4.15%	0.1926	✓	1.60
2026-02-03	oos	0.0002649	0.000265756	+0.32%	0.0002217	-16.31%	0.1260	✗	1.54
2026-02-02	oos	0.0002687	0.000269519	+0.30%	0.0002649	-1.41%	0.0455	✓	1.61
2026-02-01	oos	0.0002536	0.000254897	+0.51%	0.0002687	+5.95%	0.0203	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.0002719	0.000273062	+0.43%	0.0002536	-6.73%	0.0368	✗	1.65
2026-01-30	oos	0.0003096	0.000309979	+0.12%	0.0002719	-12.18%	0.0146	✗	1.73
2026-01-29	oos	0.0003448	0.00034472	-0.02%	0.0003096	-10.21%	0.0993	✓	1.71
2026-01-28	oos	0.0004135	0.000411303	-0.53%	0.0003448	-16.61%	0.0908	✓	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.0003523	0.000351906	-0.11%	0.0004135	+17.37%	0.1605	✗	1.59
2026-01-26	oos	0.0003453	0.000345353	+0.02%	0.0003523	+2.03%	0.0052	✓	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.0003455	0.000345959	+0.13%	0.0003453	-0.06%	0.0315	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.0003931	0.000392401	-0.18%	0.0003455	-12.11%	0.0847	✓	1.49
2026-01-23	oos	0.0004106	0.000409563	-0.25%	0.0003931	-4.26%	0.0342	✓	1.54
2026-01-22	oos	0.0004048	0.000403928	-0.22%	0.0004106	+1.43%	0.0162	✗	1.54
2026-01-21	oos	0.0003609	0.000360881	-0.01%	0.0004048	+12.16%	0.1132	✗	1.49
2026-01-20	oos	0.0004058	0.000405134	-0.16%	0.0003609	-11.06%	0.1360	✓	1.72
2026-01-19	oos	0.0004472	0.000445602	-0.36%	0.0004058	-9.26%	0.0142	✓	1.69
2026-01-18	oos	0.0005101	0.000507957	-0.42%	0.0004472	-12.33%	0.1066	✓	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.000523	0.000520799	-0.42%	0.0005101	-2.47%	0.0059	✗	1.70
2026-01-16	oos	0.0005419	0.00053935	-0.47%	0.000523	-3.49%	0.0238	✓	1.70
2026-01-15	oos	0.0005259	0.000523616	-0.43%	0.0005419	+3.04%	0.0358	✗	1.66
2026-01-14	oos	0.000571	0.000568301	-0.47%	0.0005259	-7.90%	0.0541	✓	1.65
2026-01-13	oos	0.000582	0.000579169	-0.49%	0.000571	-1.89%	0.0402	✓	1.59
2026-01-12	oos	0.00055	0.000547508	-0.45%	0.000582	+5.82%	0.0229	✓	1.87
2026-01-11	oos	0.0006007	0.000597776	-0.49%	0.00055	-8.44%	0.0898	✓	1.88
2026-01-10	oos	0.0006509	0.000646952	-0.61%	0.0006007	-7.71%	0.0844	✓	1.86
2026-01-09	oos	0.0005548	0.000552546	-0.41%	0.0006509	+17.32%	0.1670	✗	2.04
2026-01-08	oos	0.0005809	0.00057851	-0.41%	0.0005548	-4.49%	0.0304	✓	2.04
2026-01-07	oos	0.0005789	0.000576638	-0.39%	0.0005809	+0.35%	0.0130	✗	2.04
2026-01-06	oos	0.0006551	0.000652082	-0.46%	0.0005789	-11.63%	0.0660	✓	2.01
2026-01-05	oos	0.0006891	0.000685345	-0.54%	0.0006551	-4.93%	0.0420	✓	2.01
2026-01-04	oos	0.0006673	0.000663776	-0.53%	0.0006891	+3.27%	0.0141	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0006284	0.000625526	-0.46%	0.0006673	+6.19%	0.0451	✗	1.99
2026-01-02	oos	0.0006276	0.000624756	-0.45%	0.0006284	+0.13%	0.0083	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.0005885	0.000586703	-0.31%	0.0006276	+6.64%	0.0406	✗	1.96
2025-12-31	oos	0.0005725	0.000571238	-0.22%	0.0005885	+2.79%	0.0023	✗	1.95
2025-12-30	oos	0.0006205	0.000618465	-0.33%	0.0005725	-7.74%	0.0566	✓	2.02
2025-12-29	oos	0.0006005	0.000599284	-0.20%	0.0006205	+3.33%	0.0063	✗	1.94
2025-12-28	oos	0.0006155	0.000614134	-0.22%	0.0006005	-2.44%	0.0054	✓	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.0005888	0.000588257	-0.09%	0.0006155	+4.53%	0.0439	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.0006277	0.0006269	-0.13%	0.0005888	-6.20%	0.0722	✓	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.0006123	0.000612173	-0.02%	0.0006277	+2.52%	0.0227	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.0005917	0.000592206	+0.09%	0.0006123	+3.48%	0.0416	✓	1.65
2025-12-23	oos	0.0006153	0.000615891	+0.10%	0.0005917	-3.84%	0.0445	✗	2.18
2025-12-22	oos	0.0006817	0.000681396	-0.04%	0.0006153	-9.74%	0.0764	✓	2.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.000683	0.000683137	+0.02%	0.0006817	-0.19%	0.0002	✗	2.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.0006897	0.000690275	+0.08%	0.000683	-0.97%	0.0179	✗	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.0007056	0.000706255	+0.09%	0.0006897	-2.25%	0.0291	✗	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.0006154	0.000617766	+0.38%	0.0007056	+14.66%	0.0737	✓	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.0006245	0.000626633	+0.34%	0.0006154	-1.46%	0.0010	✓	1.96
2025-12-16	oos	0.0007402	0.00074111	+0.12%	0.0006245	-15.63%	0.1348	✗	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.000814	0.0008147	+0.09%	0.0007402	-9.07%	0.1283	✗	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.000885	0.000884637	-0.04%	0.000814	-8.02%	0.0437	✓	1.97
2025-12-13	oos	0.001043	0.001041	-0.18%	0.000885	-15.15%	0.1175	✓	1.92
2025-12-12	oos	0.001028	0.001026	-0.18%	0.001043	+1.46%	0.0167	✗	1.92
2025-12-11	oos	0.001098	0.001095	-0.24%	0.001028	-6.38%	0.0154	✓	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.001227	0.001223	-0.29%	0.001098	-10.51%	0.1189	✓	1.96
2025-12-09	oos	0.001322	0.001317	-0.34%	0.001227	-7.19%	0.0573	✓	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.001345	0.001341	-0.30%	0.001322	-1.71%	0.0578	✓	1.96
2025-12-07	oos	0.001314	0.001311	-0.25%	0.001345	+2.36%	0.0204	✗	1.95
2025-12-06	oos	0.001435	0.001431	-0.26%	0.001314	-8.43%	0.1106	✓	1.98
2025-12-05	oos	0.001481	0.001477	-0.26%	0.001435	-3.11%	0.0272	✓	1.98
2025-12-04	oos	0.0015	0.001496	-0.27%	0.001481	-1.27%	0.0523	✗	2.06
2025-12-03	oos	0.001578	0.001573	-0.30%	0.0015	-4.94%	0.0173	✓	2.07
2025-12-02	oos	0.001595	0.00159	-0.31%	0.001578	-1.07%	0.0558	✓	2.08
2025-12-01	oos	0.001584	0.001579	-0.32%	0.001595	+0.69%	0.1144	✓	2.20
2025-11-30	oos	0.001536	0.001532	-0.28%	0.001584	+3.12%	0.1482	✗	2.48
2025-11-29	oos	0.001557	0.001552	-0.29%	0.001536	-1.35%	0.0019	✓	2.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.001533	0.001529	-0.28%	0.001557	+1.57%	0.0203	✗	2.48
2025-11-27	oos	0.001598	0.001593	-0.31%	0.001533	-4.07%	0.0271	✓	2.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.001618	0.001613	-0.34%	0.001598	-1.24%	0.0321	✓	2.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.001625	0.00162	-0.33%	0.001618	-0.43%	0.0904	✓	2.53
2025-11-24	oos	0.001518	0.001514	-0.26%	0.001625	+7.05%	0.0983	✗	2.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.001477	0.001474	-0.22%	0.001518	+2.78%	0.0128	✓	2.54
2025-11-22	oos	0.001585	0.001581	-0.24%	0.001477	-6.81%	0.1334	✓	2.63
2025-11-21	oos	0.001778	0.001771	-0.40%	0.001585	-10.85%	0.0990	✓	2.63
2025-11-20	oos	0.0017	0.001694	-0.33%	0.001778	+4.59%	0.0944	✗	2.70
2025-11-19	oos	0.002039	0.002025	-0.69%	0.0017	-16.63%	0.0224	✓	2.76
2025-11-18	oos	0.002417	0.002374	-1.80%	0.002039	-15.64%	0.1092	✓	2.71
2025-11-17	oos	0.00163	0.001623	-0.43%	0.002417	+48.28%	0.3764	✗	2.49
2025-11-16	oos	0.001676	0.001666	-0.61%	0.00163	-2.74%	0.0358	✗	2.57
2025-11-15	oos	0.001291	0.001288	-0.20%	0.001676	+29.82%	0.3027	✗	2.77
2025-11-14	oos	0.001511	0.001506	-0.32%	0.001291	-14.56%	0.1853	✓	2.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.001375	0.001371	-0.30%	0.001511	+9.89%	0.2919	✗	3.69
2025-11-12	oos	0.001551	0.001544	-0.45%	0.001375	-11.35%	0.0410	✓	3.72
2025-11-11	oos	0.001479	0.001473	-0.41%	0.001551	+4.87%	0.1031	✗	3.84
2025-11-10	oos	0.001588	0.00158	-0.52%	0.001479	-6.86%	0.0486	✗	4.03
2025-11-09	oos	0.001697	0.001687	-0.58%	0.001588	-6.42%	0.1100	✓	4.05
2025-11-08	oos	0.001556	0.00155	-0.40%	0.001697	+9.06%	0.0012	✓	3.95
2025-11-07	oos	0.001944	0.001928	-0.82%	0.001556	-19.96%	0.1766	✓	3.89
2025-11-06	oos	0.001653	0.001646	-0.42%	0.001944	+17.60%	0.0946	✗	3.68
2025-11-05	oos	0.001835	0.001823	-0.65%	0.001653	-9.92%	0.0024	✓	3.80
2025-11-04	oos	0.001752	0.001743	-0.54%	0.001835	+4.74%	0.0354	✓	3.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.001653	0.001644	-0.55%	0.001752	+5.99%	0.3073	✗	4.98
2025-11-02	oos	0.002404	0.002351	-2.20%	0.001653	-31.24%	0.1814	✓	4.66
2025-11-01	oos	0.00152	0.001512	-0.56%	0.002404	+58.16%	0.4442	✗	4.51
2025-10-31	oos	0.001665	0.001654	-0.63%	0.00152	-8.71%	0.1052	✓	4.51
2025-10-30	oos	0.001694	0.001684	-0.62%	0.001665	-1.71%	0.0622	✓	4.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.001772	0.001758	-0.78%	0.001694	-4.40%	0.0367	✗	4.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.001665	0.001652	-0.78%	0.001772	+6.43%	0.0959	✗	1.00
2025-10-27	oos	0.001847	0.001829	-0.99%	0.001665	-9.85%	0.0834	✓	1.00
2025-10-26	oos	0.002006	0.001981	-1.27%	0.001847	-7.93%	0.0658	✓	1.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.001818	0.001801	-0.96%	0.002006	+10.34%	0.0826	✗	1.00
2025-10-24	oos	0.001771	0.001755	-0.91%	0.001818	+2.65%	0.0297	✗	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.00206	0.002034	-1.24%	0.001771	-14.03%	0.1470	✓	1.00
2025-10-22	oos	0.00154	0.001529	-0.73%	0.00206	+33.77%	0.2750	✗	1.00
2025-10-21	oos	0.001366	0.001355	-0.78%	0.00154	+12.74%	0.1349	✗	1.00
2025-10-20	oos	0.001893	0.001876	-0.92%	0.001366	-27.84%	0.2969	✓	1.00
2025-10-19	oos	0.00229	0.002268	-0.94%	0.001893	-17.34%	0.1982	✓	1.00
2025-10-18	oos	0.002264	0.002245	-0.86%	0.00229	+1.15%	0.0065	✓	1.00
2025-10-17	oos	0.002704	0.002679	-0.91%	0.002264	-16.27%	0.1754	✓	1.00
2025-10-16	oos	0.002872	0.002842	-1.03%	0.002704	-5.85%	0.0337	✓	1.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.002684	0.002657	-1.02%	0.002872	+7.00%	0.1018	✗	1.00
2025-10-14	oos	0.004793	0.00473	-1.31%	0.002684	-44.00%	0.5464	✓	1.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.005014	0.004943	-1.43%	0.004793	-4.41%	0.0114	✓	1.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.006481	0.006362	-1.84%	0.005014	-22.64%	0.2399	✓	1.00
2025-10-11	oos	0.005207	0.005131	-1.45%	0.006481	+24.47%	0.1954	✗	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.001539	0.001527	-0.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.001324	0.001313	-0.85%	0.001539	+16.24%	0.1426	✗	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.001319	0.001308	-0.84%	0.001324	+0.38%	0.0272	✓	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.001722	0.001709	-0.78%	0.001319	-23.40%	0.2562	✓	1.00