DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s7
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 456
Track record at +1d
assessed
149
of 152 predictions shown
direction hit
60.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1003
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0035
actual -0.0378
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001307 | 0.001297 | -0.77% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.000938455 | -1.11% | 0.001307 | +37.72% | 0.3342 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001385 | -0.87% | 0.000949 | -32.07% | 0.3912 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001831 | -0.73% | 0.001397 | -24.26% | 0.2685 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.002023 | -0.70% | 0.001845 | -9.45% | 0.0999 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.00278 | -0.59% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002383 | -0.27% | 0.002796 | +17.03% | 0.1348 | ✗ | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.0023 | -0.20% | 0.00239 | +3.67% | 0.0126 | ✓ | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.002368 | -0.27% | 0.002305 | -2.91% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.002508 | -0.32% | 0.002374 | -5.64% | 0.0230 | ✗ | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.002584 | -0.32% | 0.002516 | -2.93% | 0.0379 | ✗ | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.002849 | -0.38% | 0.002592 | -9.37% | 0.0917 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.003139 | -0.46% | 0.00286 | -9.29% | 0.0890 | ✓ | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.003042 | -0.40% | 0.003153 | +3.24% | 0.0763 | ✗ | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.002935 | -0.39% | 0.003054 | +3.63% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.003022 | -0.42% | 0.002947 | -2.90% | 0.0348 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.003053 | -0.41% | 0.003035 | -1.01% | 0.0156 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.003218 | -0.46% | 0.003066 | -5.17% | 0.0370 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.003293 | -0.48% | 0.003233 | -2.30% | 0.0154 | ✗ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.003175 | -0.53% | 0.003309 | +3.67% | 0.0313 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.002785 | -0.42% | 0.003192 | +14.12% | 0.1319 | ✗ | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.002731 | -0.37% | 0.002797 | +2.04% | 0.0445 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.00284 | -0.38% | 0.002741 | -3.86% | 0.0318 | ✓ | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.002927 | -0.37% | 0.002851 | -2.96% | 0.0165 | ✗ | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.002987 | -0.41% | 0.002938 | -2.03% | 0.0364 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.002934 | -0.41% | 0.002999 | +1.80% | 0.0087 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.002686 | -0.30% | 0.002946 | +9.35% | 0.1656 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.002887 | -0.36% | 0.002694 | -7.01% | 0.0947 | ✓ | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.003083 | -0.49% | 0.002897 | -6.49% | 0.1212 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.003334 | -0.70% | 0.003098 | -7.74% | 0.0696 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.002985 | -0.58% | 0.003358 | +11.86% | 0.0625 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.002712 | -0.43% | 0.003002 | +10.21% | 0.0748 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.00257 | -0.32% | 0.002724 | +5.66% | 0.0306 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.002636 | -0.29% | 0.002578 | -2.50% | 0.0491 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.002803 | -0.38% | 0.002644 | -6.04% | 0.0217 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.002651 | -0.21% | 0.002814 | +5.91% | 0.0220 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.002583 | -0.11% | 0.002657 | +2.75% | 0.0197 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002749 | -0.17% | 0.002586 | -6.10% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.00288 | -0.16% | 0.002754 | -4.54% | 0.0736 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.002578 | +0.19% | 0.002885 | +12.13% | 0.0120 | ✗ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.003269 | -0.27% | 0.002573 | -21.51% | 0.1831 | ✓ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.003161 | -0.19% | 0.003278 | +3.50% | 0.0835 | ✗ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.002959 | +0.08% | 0.003167 | +7.10% | 0.0279 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.003514 | -0.25% | 0.002957 | -16.07% | 0.1820 | ✓ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.003992 | -0.52% | 0.003523 | -12.21% | 0.1282 | ✓ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.004016 | -0.50% | 0.004013 | -0.57% | 0.0137 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.004241 | -0.60% | 0.004036 | -5.41% | 0.0990 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.004343 | -0.57% | 0.004267 | -2.31% | 0.0462 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.004003 | -0.04% | 0.004368 | +9.09% | 0.0960 | ✓ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.003984 | +0.03% | 0.004004 | +0.53% | 0.0547 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.004436 | -0.20% | 0.003983 | -10.39% | 0.0590 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.004889 | -0.46% | 0.004445 | -9.49% | 0.0387 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.005062 | -0.48% | 0.004911 | -3.44% | 0.0202 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.005025 | -0.31% | 0.005086 | +0.89% | 0.0014 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.005255 | -0.49% | 0.005041 | -4.54% | 0.0537 | ✗ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.005868 | -0.82% | 0.005281 | -10.75% | 0.1586 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.006154 | -1.01% | 0.005917 | -4.83% | 0.0450 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.005018 | +0.11% | 0.006217 | +24.04% | 0.2428 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.005308 | +0.07% | 0.005012 | -5.51% | 0.0746 | ✗ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.006568 | -0.98% | 0.005304 | -20.04% | 0.0882 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.005881 | -0.22% | 0.006633 | +12.54% | 0.1920 | ✗ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.006089 | -0.15% | 0.005894 | -3.35% | 0.0325 | ✓ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.005948 | +0.33% | 0.006098 | +2.85% | 0.1870 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.006024 | +0.45% | 0.005929 | -1.13% | 0.0239 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.005929 | +0.65% | 0.005997 | +1.80% | 0.0476 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.005289 | +0.97% | 0.005891 | +12.47% | 0.0300 | ✗ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006356 | +0.74% | 0.005238 | -16.99% | 0.0370 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.007695 | +0.32% | 0.00631 | -17.73% | 0.1654 | ✗ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.00718 | +0.64% | 0.00767 | +7.50% | 0.0880 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.007446 | +0.65% | 0.007135 | -3.56% | 0.0526 | ✗ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.006757 | +0.91% | 0.007398 | +10.48% | 0.0401 | ✓ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.006651 | +0.97% | 0.006696 | +1.65% | 0.0229 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.007982 | +0.79% | 0.006587 | -16.82% | 0.1189 | ✗ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.009487 | +0.28% | 0.007919 | -16.29% | 0.0762 | ✗ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.010875 | -0.51% | 0.00946 | -13.46% | 0.0868 | ✓ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.01133 | -0.79% | 0.010931 | -4.28% | 0.0138 | ✓ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.011214 | -0.56% | 0.01142 | +1.27% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.011986 | -0.81% | 0.011277 | -6.68% | 0.1187 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.012284 | -0.87% | 0.012084 | -2.49% | 0.0380 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.01496 | -2.81% | 0.012392 | -19.50% | 0.0188 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.012303 | -0.97% | 0.015393 | +23.91% | 0.1328 | ✗ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.011732 | -0.22% | 0.012423 | +5.66% | 0.0730 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.012099 | -0.22% | 0.011758 | -3.03% | 0.0884 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.011657 | -0.05% | 0.012125 | +3.96% | 0.0816 | ✗ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.011415 | +0.28% | 0.011663 | +2.46% | 0.1488 | ✗ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.01167 | +0.23% | 0.011383 | -2.23% | 0.0216 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.012247 | +0.11% | 0.011643 | -4.83% | 0.0478 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.01361 | -0.19% | 0.012234 | -10.28% | 0.1089 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.016406 | -1.37% | 0.013635 | -18.02% | 0.1794 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.018448 | -2.15% | 0.016633 | -11.78% | 0.1165 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.017215 | -1.63% | 0.018853 | +7.74% | 0.1038 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.016545 | -1.37% | 0.017499 | +4.32% | 0.0625 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | oos | 0.01342 | 0.013388 | -0.24% | 0.016775 | +25.00% | 0.2079 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.015726 | -0.59% | 0.01342 | -15.17% | 0.1560 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.011005 | -0.42% | 0.015819 | +43.13% | 0.3010 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.014124 | -0.18% | 0.011052 | -21.89% | 0.2475 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.015969 | -0.17% | 0.01415 | -11.54% | 0.1429 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.017011 | -0.24% | 0.015996 | -6.19% | 0.0664 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.016959 | -0.42% | 0.017052 | +0.13% | 0.0222 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.023031 | -0.67% | 0.01703 | -26.55% | 0.2908 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.016193 | -0.66% | 0.023187 | +42.25% | 0.3548 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.020225 | -0.66% | 0.0163 | -19.94% | 0.2403 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.024177 | -0.60% | 0.02036 | -16.29% | 0.1709 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.025573 | -0.57% | 0.024322 | -5.43% | 0.0420 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.030364 | -0.73% | 0.025719 | -15.92% | 0.1794 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.034014 | -1.18% | 0.030589 | -11.13% | 0.0967 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.000008985 | -0.17% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.000015828 | +0.81% | 0.000009 | -42.68% | 0.5483 | ✗ | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.000015034 | +0.90% | 0.0000157 | +5.37% | 0.0647 | ✓ | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.000016358 | +0.85% | 0.0000149 | -8.14% | 0.1261 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.000025677 | -0.09% | 0.00001622 | -36.89% | 0.4575 | ✓ | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.000024963 | -0.31% | 0.0000257 | +2.64% | 0.0839 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.000026564 | -0.62% | 0.00002504 | -6.32% | 0.0691 | ✓ | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.000032971 | -1.49% | 0.00002673 | -20.14% | 0.1936 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.000028474 | -0.65% | 0.00003347 | +16.78% | 0.1380 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.000028802 | -0.17% | 0.00002866 | -0.66% | 0.0963 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.000032368 | -0.74% | 0.00002885 | -11.53% | 0.1165 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.000031362 | -0.75% | 0.00003261 | +3.20% | 0.0323 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000031829 | -0.53% | 0.0000316 | -1.25% | 0.0074 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.000033334 | -0.47% | 0.000032 | -4.45% | 0.0062 | ✗ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.000033436 | -0.78% | 0.00003349 | -0.62% | 0.0816 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.000031589 | -0.23% | 0.0000337 | +6.44% | 0.0950 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000031709 | +0.12% | 0.00003166 | -0.03% | 0.0885 | ✓ | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.000031734 | +0.17% | 0.00003167 | -0.03% | 0.0050 | ✓ | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.000037762 | -0.57% | 0.00003168 | -16.59% | 0.1719 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.000037864 | -0.62% | 0.00003798 | -0.31% | 0.0220 | ✓ | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.000029307 | +0.06% | 0.0000381 | +30.08% | 0.2272 | ✓ | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.000038829 | -0.51% | 0.00002929 | -24.96% | 0.2501 | ✓ | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.00004521 | -0.79% | 0.00003903 | -14.35% | 0.1916 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.000050978 | -0.92% | 0.00004557 | -11.43% | 0.0896 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.000046855 | -0.88% | 0.00005145 | +8.84% | 0.0669 | ✗ | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.000037454 | -0.52% | 0.00004727 | +25.55% | 0.2393 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.00004156 | -0.55% | 0.00003765 | -9.91% | 0.1020 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.000044797 | -0.49% | 0.00004179 | -7.17% | 0.0741 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.000049785 | -0.43% | 0.00004502 | -9.96% | 0.1334 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.000055772 | -0.41% | 0.00005 | -10.71% | 0.1002 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.000050852 | -0.23% | 0.000056 | +9.87% | 0.0655 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.000044962 | -0.08% | 0.00005097 | +13.27% | 0.1467 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000048206 | -0.36% | 0.000045 | -6.99% | 0.0760 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.000043204 | -0.18% | 0.00004838 | +11.78% | 0.1389 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.000045748 | -0.29% | 0.00004328 | -5.67% | 0.0588 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000060618 | -0.45% | 0.00004588 | -24.65% | 0.3119 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000060783 | -0.50% | 0.00006089 | -0.33% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.000061427 | -0.33% | 0.00006109 | -0.88% | 0.0548 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.00005685 | -0.30% | 0.00006163 | +8.08% | 0.0791 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.000057418 | -0.16% | 0.00005702 | -0.85% | 0.0037 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.000059927 | -0.27% | 0.00005751 | -4.29% | 0.0620 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.00005776 | -0.24% | 0.00006009 | +3.78% | 0.0506 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.000055552 | -0.23% | 0.0000579 | +3.99% | 0.0487 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.000059777 | -0.39% | 0.00005568 | -7.22% | 0.1197 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.000069558 | -0.59% | 0.00006001 | -14.23% | 0.1965 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.000063504 | -0.59% | 0.00006997 | +9.53% | 0.0842 | ✗ | 1.00 |