BP

Backpack · Solana · gru_s7

token id: #474
symbol: BP
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: BPxxfRCXkUVhig4HS1Lh7kZqV6SPJhzfEk4x6fVBjPCy
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-23
predictions: 612

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

197

of 204 predictions shown

direction hit

54.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1609

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0215

actual +0.0676

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.0984	1.0699	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-20	oos	1.0962	1.0715	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-19	oos	1.1594	1.1286	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-18	oos	1.1091	1.0881	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-17	oos	0.97705	0.982118	+0.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	1.0034	1.0054	+0.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-15	oos	1.0144	1.0138	-0.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	1.0044	1.0049	+0.05%	1.0984	+9.37%	0.0710	✓	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	1.0445	1.0344	-0.97%	1.0962	+4.96%	0.0607	✗	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	1.0973	1.0833	-1.27%	1.1594	+5.66%	0.0663	✗	1.36
2026-10-11	oos	1.1975	1.1691	-2.37%	1.1091	-7.39%	0.0273	✓	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	1.1394	1.1175	-1.92%	0.97705	-14.24%	0.1106	✓	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	1.2027	1.1778	-2.07%	1.0034	-16.57%	0.1439	✓	1.28
2026-10-08	oos	1.126	1.1068	-1.70%	1.0144	-9.91%	0.0938	✓	1.26
2026-10-07	oos	1.0901	1.068	-2.02%	1.0044	-7.87%	0.0345	✓	1.30
2026-10-06	oos	1.1856	1.1558	-2.51%	1.0445	-11.90%	0.0653	✓	1.24
2026-10-05	oos	1.2399	1.2086	-2.53%	1.0973	-11.50%	0.0362	✓	1.26
2026-10-04	oos	1.2509	1.2206	-2.42%	1.1975	-4.26%	0.0226	✓	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	1.2619	1.2302	-2.52%	1.1394	-9.72%	0.0487	✓	1.28
2026-10-02	oos	1.1594	1.1304	-2.50%	1.2027	+3.74%	0.0918	✗	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	1.268	1.233	-2.76%	1.126	-11.21%	0.0438	✓	1.24
2026-09-30	oos	1.2865	1.2489	-2.92%	1.0901	-15.26%	0.1319	✓	1.22
2026-09-29	oos	1.1463	1.115	-2.73%	1.1856	+3.42%	0.0339	✗	1.22
2026-09-28	oos	1.2709	1.2347	-2.84%	1.2399	-2.44%	0.0297	✓	1.25
2026-09-27	oos	1.3501	1.3063	-3.24%	1.2509	-7.35%	0.0707	✓	1.14
2026-09-26	oos	1.3079	1.2649	-3.29%	1.2619	-3.51%	0.0068	✓	1.15
2026-09-25	oos	1.3502	1.2802	-5.19%	1.1594	-14.14%	0.1050	✓	1.19
2026-09-24	oos	1.0486	1.0136	-3.34%	1.268	+20.93%	0.2172	✗	1.25
2026-09-23	oos	0.848	0.824271	-2.80%	1.2865	+51.70%	0.4576	✗	1.27
2026-09-22	oos	0.76025	0.740605	-2.58%	1.1463	+50.78%	0.4807	✗	1.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.89395	0.863327	-3.43%	1.2709	+42.16%	0.4373	✗	1.37
2026-09-20	oos	0.82965	0.787652	-5.06%	1.3501	+62.73%	0.4810	✗	1.45
2026-09-19	oos	0.64225	0.62408	-2.83%	1.3079	+103.64%	0.6836	✗	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.57225	0.558491	-2.40%	1.3502	+135.95%	0.8272	✗	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.5342	0.524832	-1.75%	1.0486	+96.29%	0.5446	✗	1.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.4646	0.459909	-1.01%	0.848	+82.52%	0.4615	✗	1.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.4664	0.462387	-0.86%	0.76025	+63.00%	0.3323	✗	1.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.5093	0.502766	-1.28%	0.89395	+75.53%	0.4613	✗	1.12
2026-09-13	oos	0.4988	0.494357	-0.89%	0.82965	+66.33%	0.4562	✗	1.11
2026-09-12	oos	0.5479	0.542104	-1.06%	0.64225	+17.22%	0.1164	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.56005	0.554783	-0.94%	0.57225	+2.18%	0.0272	✓	1.25
2026-09-10	oos	0.5563	0.551994	-0.77%	0.5342	-3.97%	0.0296	✓	1.30
2026-09-09	oos	0.59295	0.586935	-1.01%	0.4646	-21.65%	0.1988	✓	1.26
2026-09-08	oos	0.573	0.569659	-0.58%	0.4664	-18.60%	0.1507	✓	1.32
2026-09-07	oos	0.51165	0.514406	+0.54%	0.5093	-0.46%	0.0060	✓	1.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.4892	0.495409	+1.27%	0.4988	+1.96%	0.0707	✓	1.42
2026-09-05	oos	0.43585	0.445605	+2.24%	0.5479	+25.71%	0.2526	✓	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.4332	0.444622	+2.64%	0.56005	+29.28%	0.2772	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.45165	0.465178	+3.00%	0.5563	+23.17%	0.2669	✓	1.47
2026-09-02	oos	0.42545	0.43563	+2.39%	0.59295	+39.37%	0.2905	✓	1.42
2026-09-01	oos	0.3946	0.405142	+2.67%	0.573	+45.21%	0.3270	✓	1.46
2026-08-31	oos	0.4092	0.420454	+2.75%	0.51165	+25.04%	0.1908	✓	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.4054	0.413955	+2.11%	0.4892	+20.67%	0.1518	✓	0.45
2026-08-29	oos	0.4135	0.421039	+1.82%	0.43585	+5.41%	0.0242	✓	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.4334	0.439167	+1.33%	0.4332	-0.05%	0.0258	✗	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.4455	0.452851	+1.65%	0.45165	+1.38%	0.0090	✓	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.4339	0.439144	+1.21%	0.42545	-1.95%	0.0206	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.4389	0.442626	+0.85%	0.3946	-10.09%	0.1075	✗	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.4103	0.413783	+0.85%	0.4092	-0.27%	0.0085	✗	0.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.4431	0.444232	+0.26%	0.4054	-8.51%	0.0910	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.4304	0.430536	+0.03%	0.4135	-3.93%	0.0485	✗	0.53
2026-08-21	oos	0.4728	0.470561	-0.47%	0.4334	-8.33%	0.0792	✓	0.49
2026-08-20	oos	0.4026	0.399041	-0.88%	0.4455	+10.66%	0.0866	✗	0.25
2026-08-19	oos	0.4004	0.392798	-1.90%	0.4339	+8.37%	0.0608	✗	0.29
2026-08-18	oos	0.3608	0.352339	-2.34%	0.4389	+21.65%	0.1968	✗	0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.3692	0.360167	-2.45%	0.4103	+11.13%	0.1082	✗	0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.3661	0.357044	-2.47%	0.4431	+21.03%	0.1915	✗	0.12
2026-08-15	oos	0.3707	0.361035	-2.61%	0.4304	+16.10%	0.1519	✗	0.12
2026-08-14	oos	0.3817	0.37132	-2.72%	0.4728	+23.87%	0.2132	✗	0.13
2026-08-13	oos	0.3807	0.369992	-2.81%	0.4026	+5.75%	0.0655	✗	0.13
2026-08-12	oos	0.3817	0.370607	-2.91%	0.4004	+4.90%	0.0622	✗	0.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.3759	0.364714	-2.98%	0.3608	-4.02%	0.0135	✓	0.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.3539	0.343617	-2.91%	0.3692	+4.32%	0.0705	✗	0.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.4022	0.389147	-3.25%	0.3661	-8.98%	0.0571	✓	0.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.3854	0.373095	-3.19%	0.3707	-3.81%	0.0029	✓	0.12
2026-08-07	oos	0.4063	0.39285	-3.31%	0.3817	-6.05%	0.0252	✓	0.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.4411	0.425117	-3.62%	0.3807	-13.69%	0.1083	✓	0.15
2026-08-05	oos	0.4013	0.388031	-3.31%	0.3817	-4.88%	0.0133	✓	0.17
2026-08-04	oos	0.3902	0.377733	-3.19%	0.3759	-3.66%	0.0034	✓	0.18
2026-08-03	oos	0.3691	0.359198	-2.68%	0.3539	-4.12%	0.0160	✓	0.17
2026-08-02	oos	0.3812	0.370694	-2.76%	0.4022	+5.51%	0.0786	✗	0.14
2026-08-01	oos	0.3678	0.359933	-2.14%	0.3854	+4.79%	0.0652	✗	0.09
2026-07-31	oos	0.3676	0.360473	-1.94%	0.4063	+10.53%	0.1166	✗	0.10
2026-07-30	oos	0.4028	0.390885	-2.96%	0.4411	+9.51%	0.1210	✗	0.02
2026-07-29	oos	0.4315	0.41879	-2.95%	0.4013	-7.00%	0.0434	✓	0.07
2026-07-28	oos	0.4521	0.438808	-2.94%	0.3902	-13.69%	0.1176	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.4452	0.433372	-2.66%	0.3691	-17.09%	0.1603	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.4715	0.457617	-2.94%	0.3812	-19.15%	0.1818	✓	0.03
2026-07-25	oos	0.4618	0.449661	-2.63%	0.3678	-20.36%	0.2004	✓	0.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.4467	0.437375	-2.09%	0.3676	-17.71%	0.1734	✓	0.02
2026-07-23	oos	0.4334	0.426047	-1.70%	0.4028	-7.06%	0.0560	✓	0.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.4646	0.453047	-2.49%	0.4315	-7.12%	0.0490	✓	-0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.4645	0.454445	-2.16%	0.4521	-2.67%	0.0056	✓	-0.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.4481	0.441671	-1.43%	0.4452	-0.65%	0.0071	✓	-0.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.4327	0.429555	-0.73%	0.4715	+8.97%	0.0937	✗	-0.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.4838	0.474606	-1.90%	0.4618	-4.55%	0.0276	✓	-0.03
2026-07-17	oos	0.472	0.464583	-1.57%	0.4467	-5.36%	0.0392	✓	-0.01
2026-07-16	oos	0.5022	0.491951	-2.04%	0.4334	-13.70%	0.1267	✓	-0.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.5499	0.536632	-2.41%	0.4646	-15.51%	0.1415	✓	-0.13
2026-07-14	oos	0.5377	0.524673	-2.42%	0.4645	-13.61%	0.1192	✓	-0.11
2026-07-13	oos	0.5299	0.517788	-2.29%	0.4481	-15.44%	0.1382	✓	-0.14
2026-07-12	oos	0.556	0.542072	-2.50%	0.4327	-22.18%	0.2227	✓	-0.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.5853	0.569625	-2.68%	0.4838	-17.34%	0.1612	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.5659	0.550627	-2.70%	0.472	-16.59%	0.1544	✓	-0.09
2026-07-09	oos	0.544	0.529796	-2.61%	0.5022	-7.68%	0.0525	✓	-0.10
2026-07-08	oos	0.5505	0.535745	-2.68%	0.5499	-0.11%	0.0299	✗	-0.10
2026-07-07	oos	0.5861	0.568487	-3.01%	0.5377	-8.26%	0.0519	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.5768	0.559318	-3.03%	0.5299	-8.13%	0.0577	✓	-0.13
2026-07-05	oos	0.5198	0.5049	-2.87%	0.556	+6.96%	0.0967	✗	-0.12
2026-07-04	oos	0.5456	0.528979	-3.05%	0.5853	+7.28%	0.1023	✗	-0.10
2026-07-03	oos	0.5821	0.562985	-3.28%	0.5659	-2.78%	0.0082	✓	-0.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.616	0.593974	-3.58%	0.544	-11.69%	0.0857	✓	-0.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.6116	0.588542	-3.77%	0.5505	-9.99%	0.0640	✓	-0.07
2026-06-30	oos	0.5575	0.541003	-2.96%	0.5861	+5.13%	0.0884	✗	-0.11
2026-06-29	oos	0.5169	0.502614	-2.76%	0.5768	+11.59%	0.1414	✗	-0.06
2026-06-28	oos	0.4789	0.467411	-2.40%	0.5198	+8.54%	0.1134	✗	-0.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.5447	0.527945	-3.08%	0.5456	+0.17%	0.0391	✗	-0.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.5608	0.542409	-3.28%	0.5821	+3.80%	0.0753	✗	-0.11
2026-06-25	oos	0.5105	0.495209	-3.00%	0.616	+20.67%	0.2220	✗	-0.13
2026-06-24	oos	0.6027	0.582085	-3.42%	0.6116	+1.48%	0.0447	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.59	0.569707	-3.44%	0.5575	-5.51%	0.0230	✓	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.6595	0.63337	-3.96%	0.5169	-21.62%	0.2107	✓	-0.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.6834	0.650475	-4.82%	0.4789	-29.92%	0.3115	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.6577	0.62618	-4.79%	0.5447	-17.18%	0.1447	✓	-0.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.5807	0.556777	-4.12%	0.5608	-3.43%	0.0005	✓	-0.12
2026-06-18	oos	0.592	0.55893	-5.59%	0.5105	-13.77%	0.0963	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.4729	0.448987	-5.06%	0.6027	+27.45%	0.2965	✗	0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.4182	0.400431	-4.25%	0.59	+41.08%	0.3921	✗	0.10
2026-06-15	oos	0.4219	0.403245	-4.42%	0.6595	+56.32%	0.4953	✗	0.09
2026-06-14	oos	0.4896	0.455041	-7.06%	0.6834	+39.58%	0.4120	✗	0.14
2026-06-13	oos	0.335	0.319423	-4.65%	0.6577	+96.33%	0.7219	✗	-0.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.291	0.278718	-4.22%	0.5807	+99.55%	0.7339	✗	-0.16
2026-06-11	oos	0.2692	0.25928	-3.69%	0.592	+119.91%	0.8238	✗	-0.16
2026-06-10	oos	0.2411	0.23443	-2.77%	0.4729	+96.14%	0.7157	✗	-0.29
2026-06-09	oos	0.2476	0.239811	-3.15%	0.4182	+68.90%	0.5744	✗	-0.30
2026-06-08	oos	0.2589	0.250333	-3.31%	0.4219	+62.96%	0.5384	✗	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.2575	0.248335	-3.56%	0.4896	+90.14%	0.6911	✗	-0.33
2026-06-06	oos	0.2271	0.221462	-2.48%	0.335	+47.51%	0.4440	✗	-0.53
2026-06-05	oos	0.2316	0.224936	-2.88%	0.291	+25.65%	0.2788	✗	-0.53
2026-06-04	oos	0.2341	0.226298	-3.33%	0.2692	+14.99%	0.1714	✗	-0.58
2026-06-03	oos	0.2857	0.265845	-6.95%	0.2411	-15.61%	0.1224	✓	-0.60
2026-06-02	oos	0.1773	0.171925	-3.03%	0.2476	+39.65%	0.3719	✗	0.09
2026-06-01	oos	0.149	0.145803	-2.15%	0.2589	+73.76%	0.6579	✗	0.68
2026-05-31	oos	0.163	0.158633	-2.68%	0.2575	+57.98%	0.5720	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.1626	0.157219	-3.31%	0.2271	+39.67%	0.4802	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.1421	0.139003	-2.18%	0.2316	+62.98%	0.6117	✗	0.55
2026-05-28	oos	0.1254	0.123486	-1.53%	0.2341	+86.68%	0.7199	✗	0.57
2026-05-27	oos	0.1253	0.123449	-1.48%	0.2857	+128.01%	0.9249	✗	0.58
2026-05-26	oos	0.12	0.118413	-1.32%	0.1773	+47.75%	0.4870	✗	0.65
2026-05-25	oos	0.1201	0.118451	-1.37%	0.149	+24.06%	0.2829	✗	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.124	0.122301	-1.37%	0.163	+31.45%	0.3176	✗	0.67
2026-05-23	oos	0.1315	0.129563	-1.47%	0.1626	+23.65%	0.2532	✗	0.68
2026-05-22	oos	0.1326	0.130654	-1.47%	0.1421	+7.16%	0.1032	✗	0.69
2026-05-21	oos	0.1343	0.132118	-1.62%	0.1254	-6.63%	0.0141	✓	0.71
2026-05-20	oos	0.132	0.129968	-1.54%	0.1253	-5.08%	0.0069	✓	0.71
2026-05-19	oos	0.1354	0.133284	-1.56%	0.12	-11.37%	0.0961	✓	0.72
2026-05-18	oos	0.1376	0.135424	-1.58%	0.1201	-12.72%	0.1229	✓	0.72
2026-05-17	oos	0.1406	0.138329	-1.62%	0.124	-11.81%	0.1053	✓	0.72
2026-05-16	oos	0.1434	0.141067	-1.63%	0.1315	-8.30%	0.0567	✓	0.72
2026-05-15	oos	0.1443	0.142032	-1.57%	0.1326	-8.11%	0.0347	✓	0.73
2026-05-14	oos	0.1495	0.147349	-1.44%	0.1343	-10.17%	0.0609	✓	0.72
2026-05-13	oos	0.151	0.148545	-1.63%	0.132	-12.58%	0.1011	✓	0.74
2026-05-12	oos	0.1476	0.14544	-1.46%	0.1354	-8.27%	0.0345	✓	0.78
2026-05-11	oos	0.1573	0.155049	-1.43%	0.1376	-12.52%	0.0750	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.151	0.149061	-1.28%	0.1406	-6.89%	0.0124	✓	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.1504	0.14818	-1.48%	0.1434	-4.65%	0.0082	✓	0.77
2026-05-08	oos	0.1498	0.147493	-1.54%	0.1443	-3.67%	0.0110	✓	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.1431	0.140918	-1.52%	0.1495	+4.47%	0.0489	✗	0.77
2026-05-06	oos	0.1475	0.145557	-1.32%	0.151	+2.37%	0.0570	✗	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.1451	0.143129	-1.36%	0.1476	+1.72%	0.0347	✗	0.75
2026-05-04	oos	0.1507	0.148438	-1.50%	0.1573	+4.38%	0.0399	✗	0.78
2026-05-03	oos	0.1578	0.154986	-1.78%	0.151	-4.31%	0.0633	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.1554	0.152691	-1.74%	0.1504	-3.22%	0.0357	✓	0.83
2026-05-01	oos	0.1461	0.143626	-1.69%	0.1498	+2.53%	0.0220	✗	0.81
2026-04-30	oos	0.1427	0.139994	-1.90%	0.1431	+0.28%	0.0153	✓	0.79
2026-04-29	oos	0.1429	0.140134	-1.94%	0.1475	+3.22%	0.0055	✓	0.78
2026-04-28	oos	0.1479	0.145081	-1.91%	0.1451	-1.89%	0.0451	✓	0.77
2026-04-27	oos	0.1495	0.146854	-1.77%	0.1507	+0.80%	0.0008	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.1465	0.144261	-1.53%	0.1578	+7.71%	0.0910	✗	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.1442	0.141739	-1.71%	0.1554	+7.77%	0.0809	✗	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.1421	0.139657	-1.72%	0.1461	+2.81%	0.0367	✗	0.85
2026-04-23	oos	0.1417	0.139499	-1.55%	0.1427	+0.71%	0.0451	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.1404	0.138157	-1.60%	0.1429	+1.78%	0.0619	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.1404	0.137675	-1.94%	0.1479	+5.34%	0.0720	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.1408	0.137948	-2.03%	0.1495	+6.18%	0.0608	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.1367	0.133625	-2.25%	0.1465	+7.17%	0.0283	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.1404	0.137547	-2.03%	0.1442	+2.71%	0.0223	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.1379	0.135398	-1.81%	0.1421	+3.05%	0.0436	✗	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.1495	0.146331	-2.12%	0.1417	-5.22%	0.0728	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.1394	0.136357	-2.18%	0.1404	+0.72%	0.0149	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.1439	0.140581	-2.31%	0.1404	-2.43%	0.0301	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.1496	0.146143	-2.31%	0.1408	-5.88%	0.0561	✓	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.1443	0.140431	-2.68%	0.1367	-5.27%	0.0694	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.1479	0.144145	-2.54%	0.1404	-5.07%	0.0620	✓	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.1474	0.143601	-2.58%	0.1379	-6.45%	0.0952	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.1478	0.143792	-2.71%	0.1495	+1.15%	0.0069	✓	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.1503	0.146141	-2.77%	0.1394	-7.25%	0.0986	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.1543	0.150034	-2.76%	0.1439	-6.74%	0.0728	✓	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.1488	0.144561	-2.85%	0.1496	+0.54%	0.0438	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.1473	0.14315	-2.82%	0.1443	-2.04%	0.0171	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.1534	0.149093	-2.81%	0.1479	-3.59%	0.0906	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.1494	0.145396	-2.68%	0.1474	-1.34%	0.0726	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.1444	0.140735	-2.54%	0.1478	+2.35%	0.0218	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.1506	0.146797	-2.53%	0.1503	-0.20%	0.0192	✓	1.00