ASSET

REAL · Ethereum · gru_s7

token id: #914
symbol: ASSET
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99e980265bf36516c442be982df1772a6ccb3233
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

159

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

53.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1009

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0192

actual +0.0347

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.18042	0.17762	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.18043	0.177741	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.18359	0.181094	-1.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.184295	0.182037	-1.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.182895	0.180523	-1.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-16	oos	0.178165	0.175913	-1.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.179689	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-14	oos	0.18487	0.182236	-1.42%	0.18042	-2.41%	0.0102	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.182	0.179484	-1.38%	0.18043	-0.86%	0.0052	✓	-0.02
2026-10-12	oos	0.1805	0.17778	-1.51%	0.18359	+1.71%	0.0322	✗	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.18504	0.182105	-1.59%	0.184295	-0.40%	0.0117	✓	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.18501	0.18222	-1.51%	0.182895	-1.14%	0.0036	✓	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.182435	0.179662	-1.52%	0.178165	-2.34%	0.0084	✓	-0.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.1874	0.184514	-1.54%	0.18215	-2.80%	0.0129	✓	-0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.185	0.182028	-1.61%	0.18487	-0.07%	0.0158	✓	0.02
2026-10-06	oos	0.19033	0.187299	-1.59%	0.182	-4.38%	0.0290	✓	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.178	0.17477	-1.81%	0.1805	+1.40%	0.0333	✗	0.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.1936	0.190369	-1.67%	0.18504	-4.42%	0.0287	✓	-0.01
2026-10-03	oos	0.194695	0.191	-1.90%	0.18501	-4.97%	0.0321	✓	-0.01
2026-10-02	oos	0.202175	0.198856	-1.64%	0.182435	-9.76%	0.0864	✓	-0.01
2026-10-01	oos	0.197955	0.194423	-1.78%	0.1874	-5.33%	0.0369	✓	-0.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.2008	0.19683	-1.98%	0.185	-7.87%	0.0620	✓	0.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.19782	0.194168	-1.85%	0.19033	-3.79%	0.0210	✓	0.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.195415	0.19168	-1.91%	0.178	-8.91%	0.0750	✓	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.2026	0.199667	-1.45%	0.1936	-4.44%	0.0287	✓	-0.09
2026-09-26	oos	0.22275	0.220479	-1.02%	0.194695	-12.59%	0.1240	✓	-0.10
2026-09-25	oos	0.22897	0.226591	-1.04%	0.202175	-11.70%	0.1135	✓	-0.10
2026-09-24	oos	0.23369	0.231511	-0.93%	0.197955	-15.29%	0.1560	✓	-0.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.24311	0.241604	-0.62%	0.2008	-17.40%	0.1860	✓	-0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.238275	0.237415	-0.36%	0.19782	-16.98%	0.1847	✓	-0.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.247191	-0.27%	0.195415	-21.16%	0.2404	✓	-0.15
2026-09-20	oos	0.24671	0.244914	-0.73%	0.2026	-17.88%	0.1839	✓	-0.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.23124	0.229896	-0.58%	0.22275	-3.67%	0.0263	✓	-0.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.23163	0.23045	-0.51%	0.22897	-1.15%	0.0009	✓	-0.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.23271	0.230842	-0.80%	0.23369	+0.42%	0.0268	✗	-0.15
2026-09-16	oos	0.2335	0.23151	-0.85%	0.24311	+4.12%	0.0642	✗	-0.15
2026-09-15	oos	0.24225	0.240487	-0.73%	0.238275	-1.64%	0.0032	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.24074	0.239713	-0.43%	0.24785	+2.95%	0.0414	✗	-0.08
2026-09-13	oos	0.240105	0.239018	-0.45%	0.24671	+2.75%	0.0358	✗	-0.08
2026-09-12	oos	0.2405	0.239398	-0.46%	0.23124	-3.85%	0.0309	✓	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.24871	0.246906	-0.73%	0.23163	-6.87%	0.0605	✓	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.25068	0.248186	-0.99%	0.23271	-7.17%	0.0646	✓	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.24441	0.243016	-0.57%	0.2335	-4.46%	0.0417	✓	-0.06
2026-09-08	oos	0.245365	0.24452	-0.34%	0.24225	-1.27%	0.0094	✓	-0.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.24287	0.242666	-0.08%	0.24074	-0.88%	0.0080	✓	-0.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.245	0.244987	-0.01%	0.240105	-2.00%	0.0237	✓	-0.08
2026-09-05	oos	0.245875	0.245628	-0.10%	0.2405	-2.19%	0.0241	✓	-0.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.252975	0.252497	-0.19%	0.24871	-1.69%	0.0174	✓	-0.07
2026-09-03	oos	0.26135	0.261576	+0.09%	0.25068	-4.08%	0.0482	✗	-0.09
2026-09-02	oos	0.25512	0.255113	-0.00%	0.24441	-4.20%	0.0422	✓	-0.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.26499	0.264543	-0.17%	0.245365	-7.41%	0.0741	✓	-0.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.252875	0.252882	+0.00%	0.24287	-3.96%	0.0395	✗	-0.13
2026-08-30	oos	0.259595	0.258466	-0.43%	0.245	-5.62%	0.0446	✓	-0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.24012	0.240067	-0.02%	0.245875	+2.40%	0.0283	✗	-0.22
2026-08-28	oos	0.233425	0.2338	+0.16%	0.252975	+8.38%	0.0839	✓	-0.22
2026-08-27	oos	0.24205	0.242875	+0.34%	0.26135	+7.97%	0.0765	✓	-0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.2484	0.248562	+0.07%	0.25512	+2.71%	0.0206	✓	-0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.24627	0.245874	-0.16%	0.26499	+7.60%	0.0713	✗	-0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.25147	0.251102	-0.15%	0.252875	+0.56%	0.0055	✗	-0.29
2026-08-23	oos	0.25364	0.253149	-0.19%	0.259595	+2.35%	0.0249	✗	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.258565	0.2581	-0.18%	0.24012	-7.13%	0.0683	✓	-0.25
2026-08-21	oos	0.253835	0.253252	-0.23%	0.233425	-8.04%	0.0831	✓	-0.26
2026-08-20	oos	0.2488	0.246916	-0.76%	0.24205	-2.71%	0.0106	✗	-0.32
2026-08-19	oos	0.251865	0.248739	-1.24%	0.2484	-1.38%	0.0422	✗	-0.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.257515	0.252698	-1.87%	0.24627	-4.37%	0.0365	✗	-0.32
2026-08-17	oos	0.263055	0.258068	-1.90%	0.25147	-4.40%	0.0440	✗	-0.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.261825	0.256538	-2.02%	0.25364	-3.13%	0.0642	✗	-0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.26281	0.257618	-1.98%	0.258565	-1.62%	0.0770	✗	-0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.26914	0.263917	-1.94%	0.253835	-5.69%	0.0344	✗	-0.34
2026-08-13	oos	0.26543	0.260416	-1.89%	0.2488	-6.27%	0.0131	✓	-0.42
2026-08-12	oos	0.257655	0.253017	-1.80%	0.251865	-2.25%	0.0508	✗	-0.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.26611	0.261056	-1.90%	0.257515	-3.23%	0.0042	✓	-0.53
2026-08-10	oos	0.258425	0.253428	-1.93%	0.263055	+1.79%	0.0411	✗	-0.43
2026-08-09	oos	0.258105	0.253185	-1.91%	0.261825	+1.44%	0.0170	✓	-0.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.262765	0.257723	-1.92%	0.26281	+0.02%	0.0033	✓	-0.55
2026-08-07	oos	0.2584	0.253138	-2.04%	0.26914	+4.16%	0.0434	✗	-0.60
2026-08-06	oos	0.2601	0.254863	-2.01%	0.26543	+2.05%	0.0330	✗	-0.58
2026-08-05	oos	0.26411	0.25881	-2.01%	0.257655	-2.44%	0.0151	✓	-0.57
2026-08-04	oos	0.25658	0.251015	-2.17%	0.26611	+3.71%	0.0541	✗	-0.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.267695	0.262173	-2.06%	0.258425	-3.46%	0.0110	✓	-0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.266015	0.260282	-2.16%	0.258105	-2.97%	0.0023	✓	-0.51
2026-08-01	oos	0.258765	0.252983	-2.23%	0.262765	+1.55%	0.0528	✗	-0.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.26543	0.259714	-2.15%	0.2584	-2.65%	0.0094	✓	-0.45
2026-07-30	oos	0.26337	0.257732	-2.14%	0.2601	-1.24%	0.0059	✓	-0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.27105	0.265736	-1.96%	0.26411	-2.56%	0.0039	✓	-0.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.27033	0.265636	-1.74%	0.25658	-5.09%	0.0340	✓	-0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.27	0.265676	-1.60%	0.267695	-0.85%	0.0068	✓	-0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.27424	0.269961	-1.56%	0.266015	-3.00%	0.0214	✓	-0.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.285335	0.28145	-1.36%	0.258765	-9.31%	0.0888	✓	-0.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.27427	0.270612	-1.33%	0.26543	-3.22%	0.0234	✓	-0.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.28433	0.280662	-1.29%	0.26337	-7.37%	0.0648	✓	-0.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.27796	0.274559	-1.22%	0.27105	-2.49%	0.0206	✓	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.28398	0.280381	-1.27%	0.27033	-4.81%	0.0461	✓	-0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.28799	0.284224	-1.31%	0.27	-6.25%	0.0564	✓	-0.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.27379	0.270542	-1.19%	0.27424	+0.16%	0.0159	✗	-0.23
2026-07-18	oos	0.281705	0.278498	-1.14%	0.285335	+1.29%	0.0225	✗	-0.23
2026-07-17	oos	0.28486	0.281516	-1.17%	0.27427	-3.72%	0.0255	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.27849	0.27507	-1.23%	0.28433	+2.10%	0.0373	✗	-0.21
2026-07-15	oos	0.252995	0.249762	-1.28%	0.27796	+9.87%	0.1107	✗	-0.18
2026-07-14	oos	0.26841	0.265144	-1.22%	0.28398	+5.80%	0.0729	✗	-0.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.26562	0.262624	-1.13%	0.28799	+8.42%	0.1007	✗	-0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.26993	0.266798	-1.16%	0.27379	+1.43%	0.0290	✗	-0.22
2026-07-11	oos	0.27867	0.275153	-1.26%	0.281705	+1.09%	0.0269	✗	-0.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.27803	0.274858	-1.14%	0.28486	+2.46%	0.0350	✗	-0.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.27415	0.271057	-1.13%	0.27849	+1.58%	0.0290	✗	-0.21
2026-07-08	oos	0.28	0.276691	-1.18%	0.252995	-9.64%	0.0823	✓	-0.18
2026-07-07	oos	0.29089	0.287393	-1.20%	0.26841	-7.73%	0.0626	✓	-0.22
2026-07-06	oos	0.28952	0.2859	-1.25%	0.26562	-8.26%	0.0798	✓	-0.23
2026-07-05	oos	0.29238	0.28855	-1.31%	0.26993	-7.68%	0.0662	✓	-0.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.29104	0.287271	-1.30%	0.27867	-4.25%	0.0281	✓	-0.21
2026-07-03	oos	0.29352	0.289427	-1.39%	0.27803	-5.28%	0.0352	✓	-0.19
2026-07-02	oos	0.292	0.287443	-1.56%	0.27415	-6.11%	0.0424	✓	-0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.27333	0.26945	-1.42%	0.28	+2.44%	0.0474	✗	-0.24
2026-06-30	oos	0.280855	0.276305	-1.62%	0.29089	+3.57%	0.0660	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.24758	0.243768	-1.54%	0.28952	+16.94%	0.1767	✗	-0.08
2026-06-28	oos	0.25	0.246434	-1.43%	0.29238	+16.95%	0.1745	✗	-0.05
2026-06-27	oos	0.250875	0.247232	-1.45%	0.29104	+16.01%	0.1661	✗	-0.06
2026-06-26	oos	0.25667	0.252707	-1.54%	0.29352	+14.36%	0.1518	✗	-0.05
2026-06-25	oos	0.258	0.253843	-1.61%	0.292	+13.18%	0.1412	✗	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.26441	0.259033	-2.03%	0.27333	+3.37%	0.0524	✗	-0.08
2026-06-23	oos	0.243305	0.238664	-1.91%	0.280855	+15.43%	0.1617	✗	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.25176	0.245761	-2.38%	0.24758	-1.66%	0.0033	✓	-0.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.25175	0.24677	-1.98%	0.25	-0.70%	0.0101	✓	-0.05
2026-06-20	oos	0.24887	0.243584	-2.12%	0.250875	+0.81%	0.0255	✗	-0.06
2026-06-19	oos	0.245725	0.240759	-2.02%	0.25667	+4.45%	0.0613	✗	-0.05
2026-06-18	oos	0.25078	0.245796	-1.99%	0.258	+2.88%	0.0477	✗	-0.01
2026-06-17	oos	0.265975	0.260521	-2.05%	0.26441	-0.59%	0.0086	✓	-0.11
2026-06-16	oos	0.27077	0.26496	-2.15%	0.243305	-10.14%	0.0923	✓	-0.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.27511	0.268791	-2.30%	0.25176	-8.49%	0.0715	✓	-0.17
2026-06-14	oos	0.274525	0.268169	-2.32%	0.25175	-8.30%	0.0690	✓	-0.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.27333	0.266723	-2.42%	0.24887	-8.95%	0.0697	✓	-0.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.282715	0.275359	-2.60%	0.245725	-13.08%	0.1139	✓	-0.05
2026-06-11	oos	0.281995	0.273569	-2.99%	0.25078	-11.07%	0.0875	✓	-0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.26464	0.256926	-2.91%	0.265975	+0.50%	0.0404	✗	-0.12
2026-06-09	oos	0.256955	0.248061	-3.46%	0.27077	+5.38%	0.0950	✗	-0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.23368	0.22729	-2.73%	0.27511	+17.73%	0.1937	✗	-0.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.2178	0.212106	-2.61%	0.274525	+26.04%	0.2601	✗	-0.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.21444	0.209088	-2.50%	0.27333	+27.46%	0.2686	✗	-0.01
2026-06-05	oos	0.21939	0.212813	-3.00%	0.282715	+28.86%	0.2840	✗	0.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.23152	0.22142	-4.36%	0.281995	+21.80%	0.2407	✗	-0.29
2026-06-03	oos	0.1936	0.188557	-2.60%	0.26464	+36.69%	0.3264	✗	-0.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.18198	0.176808	-2.84%	0.256955	+41.20%	0.3553	✗	-0.24
2026-06-01	oos	0.16522	0.160656	-2.76%	0.23368	+41.44%	0.4065	✗	0.26
2026-05-31	oos	0.169535	0.164016	-3.26%	0.2178	+28.47%	0.2853	✗	0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.17431	0.168237	-3.48%	0.21444	+23.02%	0.2418	✗	-0.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.177695	0.171282	-3.61%	0.21939	+23.46%	0.4316	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.178315	0.17151	-3.82%	0.23152	+29.84%	0.4416	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.180295	0.172865	-4.12%	0.1936	+7.38%	0.2621	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.164055	0.156873	-4.38%	0.18198	+10.93%	0.2773	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.17311	0.16495	-4.71%	0.16522	-4.56%	0.0816	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.17411	0.165621	-4.88%	0.169535	-2.63%	0.0685	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.18742	0.178016	-5.02%	0.17431	-6.99%	0.0173	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.185295	0.175863	-5.09%	0.177695	-4.10%	0.0383	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.181295	0.171671	-5.31%	0.178315	-1.64%	0.0914	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.17322	0.163885	-5.39%	0.180295	+4.08%	0.1371	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.18601	0.175775	-5.50%	0.164055	-11.80%	0.0567	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.19024	0.179035	-5.89%	0.17311	-9.00%	0.0376	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.17619	0.165606	-6.01%	0.17411	-1.18%	0.0557	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.19502	0.179038	-8.20%	0.18742	-3.90%	0.0646	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.15268	0.142655	-6.57%	0.185295	+21.36%	0.3083	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.116155	0.111749	-3.79%	0.181295	+56.08%	0.5284	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10455	0.100729	-3.66%	0.17322	+65.68%	0.5653	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.12761	0.119652	-6.24%	0.18601	+45.76%	0.4885	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.10276	0.099439	-3.23%	0.19024	+85.13%	0.7090	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.08032	0.078922	-1.74%	0.17619	+119.36%	0.8632	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.08549	0.083582	-2.23%	0.19502	+128.12%	0.8794	✗	1.00