ASSET

REAL · Ethereum · gru_s7

token id: #914
symbol: ASSET
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99e980265bf36516c442be982df1772a6ccb3233
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

165

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

55.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0355

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0057

actual +0.0055

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.18042	0.179609	-0.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.18043	0.179686	-0.41%	0.18042	-0.01%	0.0041	✓	0.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.18359	0.182917	-0.37%	0.18043	-1.72%	0.0139	✓	0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.184295	0.1837	-0.32%	0.18359	-0.38%	0.0006	✓	0.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.182895	0.182231	-0.36%	0.184295	+0.77%	0.0111	✗	0.02
2026-10-16	oos	0.178165	0.177558	-0.34%	0.182895	+2.65%	0.0296	✗	0.02
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.18149	-0.36%	0.178165	-2.19%	0.0184	✓	0.02
2026-10-14	oos	0.18487	0.184168	-0.38%	0.18215	-1.47%	0.0111	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.182	0.181334	-0.37%	0.18487	+1.58%	0.0189	✗	-0.02
2026-10-12	oos	0.1805	0.17976	-0.41%	0.182	+0.83%	0.0126	✗	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.18504	0.184305	-0.40%	0.1805	-2.45%	0.0212	✓	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.18501	0.184397	-0.33%	0.18504	+0.02%	0.0035	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.182435	0.181789	-0.35%	0.18501	+1.41%	0.0176	✗	-0.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.1874	0.186772	-0.34%	0.182435	-2.65%	0.0235	✓	-0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.185	0.184332	-0.36%	0.1874	+1.30%	0.0168	✗	0.02
2026-10-06	oos	0.19033	0.189631	-0.37%	0.185	-2.80%	0.0250	✓	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.178	0.1774	-0.34%	0.19033	+6.93%	0.0704	✗	0.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.1936	0.192896	-0.36%	0.178	-8.06%	0.0804	✓	-0.01
2026-10-03	oos	0.194695	0.193608	-0.56%	0.1936	-0.56%	0.0001	✓	-0.01
2026-10-02	oos	0.202175	0.2014	-0.38%	0.194695	-3.70%	0.0338	✓	-0.01
2026-10-01	oos	0.197955	0.197169	-0.40%	0.202175	+2.13%	0.0251	✗	-0.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.2008	0.199996	-0.40%	0.197955	-1.42%	0.0103	✓	0.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.19782	0.197155	-0.34%	0.2008	+1.51%	0.0184	✗	0.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.195415	0.194809	-0.31%	0.19782	+1.23%	0.0153	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.2026	0.201872	-0.36%	0.195415	-3.55%	0.0336	✓	-0.09
2026-09-26	oos	0.22275	0.222031	-0.32%	0.2026	-9.05%	0.0915	✓	-0.10
2026-09-25	oos	0.22897	0.228097	-0.38%	0.22275	-2.72%	0.0233	✓	-0.10
2026-09-24	oos	0.23369	0.233034	-0.28%	0.22897	-2.02%	0.0179	✓	-0.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.24311	0.242574	-0.22%	0.23369	-3.87%	0.0373	✓	-0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.238275	0.237863	-0.17%	0.24311	+2.03%	0.0203	✗	-0.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.247423	-0.17%	0.238275	-3.86%	0.0383	✓	-0.15
2026-09-20	oos	0.24671	0.24604	-0.27%	0.24785	+0.46%	0.0167	✗	-0.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.23124	0.230803	-0.19%	0.24671	+6.69%	0.0665	✗	-0.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.23163	0.231217	-0.18%	0.23124	-0.17%	0.0007	✓	-0.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.23271	0.232266	-0.19%	0.23163	-0.46%	0.0056	✗	-0.15
2026-09-16	oos	0.2335	0.232783	-0.31%	0.23271	-0.34%	0.0001	✓	-0.15
2026-09-15	oos	0.24225	0.241676	-0.24%	0.2335	-3.61%	0.0337	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.24074	0.240312	-0.18%	0.24225	+0.63%	0.0054	✗	-0.08
2026-09-13	oos	0.240105	0.239656	-0.19%	0.24074	+0.26%	0.0059	✗	-0.08
2026-09-12	oos	0.2405	0.239872	-0.26%	0.240105	-0.16%	0.0005	✓	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.24871	0.247591	-0.45%	0.2405	-3.30%	0.0290	✓	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.25068	0.249212	-0.59%	0.24871	-0.79%	0.0013	✓	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.24441	0.243587	-0.34%	0.25068	+2.57%	0.0273	✗	-0.06
2026-09-08	oos	0.245365	0.244663	-0.29%	0.24441	-0.39%	0.0010	✓	-0.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.24287	0.242318	-0.23%	0.245365	+1.03%	0.0125	✗	-0.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.245	0.244456	-0.22%	0.24287	-0.87%	0.0077	✓	-0.08
2026-09-05	oos	0.245875	0.245285	-0.24%	0.245	-0.36%	0.0006	✓	-0.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.252975	0.25233	-0.25%	0.245875	-2.81%	0.0258	✓	-0.07
2026-09-03	oos	0.26135	0.260847	-0.19%	0.252975	-3.20%	0.0325	✓	-0.09
2026-09-02	oos	0.25512	0.25467	-0.18%	0.26135	+2.44%	0.0283	✗	-0.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.26499	0.264351	-0.24%	0.25512	-3.72%	0.0356	✓	-0.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.252875	0.252228	-0.26%	0.26499	+4.79%	0.0475	✗	-0.13
2026-08-30	oos	0.259595	0.258185	-0.54%	0.252875	-2.59%	0.0178	✓	-0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.24012	0.239569	-0.23%	0.259595	+8.11%	0.0787	✗	-0.22
2026-08-28	oos	0.233425	0.233	-0.18%	0.24012	+2.87%	0.0312	✗	-0.22
2026-08-27	oos	0.24205	0.241644	-0.17%	0.233425	-3.56%	0.0426	✓	-0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.2484	0.247846	-0.22%	0.24205	-2.56%	0.0198	✓	-0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.24627	0.245639	-0.26%	0.2484	+0.86%	0.0127	✗	-0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.25147	0.250837	-0.25%	0.24627	-2.07%	0.0201	✓	-0.29
2026-08-23	oos	0.25364	0.253011	-0.25%	0.25147	-0.86%	0.0020	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.258565	0.25788	-0.26%	0.25364	-1.90%	0.0144	✓	-0.25
2026-08-21	oos	0.253835	0.253172	-0.26%	0.258565	+1.86%	0.0168	✗	-0.26
2026-08-20	oos	0.2488	0.247955	-0.34%	0.253835	+2.02%	0.0460	✗	-0.32
2026-08-19	oos	0.251865	0.250794	-0.43%	0.2488	-1.22%	0.0093	✗	-0.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.257515	0.256035	-0.57%	0.251865	-2.19%	0.0057	✓	-0.32
2026-08-17	oos	0.263055	0.261526	-0.58%	0.257515	-2.11%	0.0144	✓	-0.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.261825	0.260228	-0.61%	0.263055	+0.47%	0.0200	✗	-0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.26281	0.261265	-0.59%	0.261825	-0.37%	0.0011	✓	-0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.26914	0.267575	-0.58%	0.26281	-2.35%	0.0177	✓	-0.34
2026-08-13	oos	0.26543	0.263976	-0.55%	0.26914	+1.40%	0.0164	✗	-0.42
2026-08-12	oos	0.257655	0.256382	-0.49%	0.26543	+3.02%	0.0348	✗	-0.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.26611	0.264739	-0.52%	0.257655	-3.18%	0.0281	✓	-0.53
2026-08-10	oos	0.258425	0.25719	-0.48%	0.26611	+2.97%	0.0315	✗	-0.43
2026-08-09	oos	0.258105	0.256959	-0.44%	0.258425	+0.12%	0.0020	✓	-0.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.262765	0.2616	-0.44%	0.258105	-1.77%	0.0140	✓	-0.55
2026-08-07	oos	0.2584	0.257264	-0.44%	0.262765	+1.69%	0.0213	✗	-0.60
2026-08-06	oos	0.2601	0.258987	-0.43%	0.2584	-0.65%	0.0033	✓	-0.58
2026-08-05	oos	0.26411	0.262985	-0.43%	0.2601	-1.52%	0.0140	✓	-0.57
2026-08-04	oos	0.25658	0.25553	-0.41%	0.26411	+2.93%	0.0376	✗	-0.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.267695	0.266622	-0.40%	0.25658	-4.15%	0.0340	✓	-0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.266015	0.264921	-0.41%	0.267695	+0.63%	0.0102	✗	-0.51
2026-08-01	oos	0.258765	0.257716	-0.41%	0.266015	+2.80%	0.0369	✗	-0.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.26543	0.264327	-0.42%	0.258765	-2.51%	0.0217	✓	-0.45
2026-07-30	oos	0.26337	0.262256	-0.42%	0.26543	+0.78%	0.0019	✓	-0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.27105	0.269858	-0.44%	0.26337	-2.83%	0.0217	✓	-0.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.27033	0.269422	-0.34%	0.27105	+0.27%	0.0062	✗	-0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.27	0.26923	-0.29%	0.27033	+0.12%	0.0046	✗	-0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.27424	0.273265	-0.36%	0.27	-1.55%	0.0179	✓	-0.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.285335	0.28444	-0.31%	0.27424	-3.89%	0.0333	✓	-0.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.27427	0.273512	-0.28%	0.285335	+4.03%	0.0430	✗	-0.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.28433	0.283392	-0.33%	0.27427	-3.54%	0.0361	✓	-0.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.27796	0.277217	-0.27%	0.28433	+2.29%	0.0217	✗	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.28398	0.282983	-0.35%	0.27796	-2.12%	0.0194	✓	-0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.28799	0.286834	-0.40%	0.28398	-1.39%	0.0058	✓	-0.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.27379	0.273046	-0.27%	0.28799	+5.19%	0.0551	✗	-0.23
2026-07-18	oos	0.281705	0.280968	-0.26%	0.27379	-2.81%	0.0263	✓	-0.23
2026-07-17	oos	0.28486	0.284001	-0.30%	0.281705	-1.11%	0.0052	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.27849	0.277572	-0.33%	0.28486	+2.29%	0.0263	✗	-0.21
2026-07-15	oos	0.252995	0.252412	-0.23%	0.27849	+10.08%	0.0957	✗	-0.18
2026-07-14	oos	0.26841	0.267755	-0.24%	0.252995	-5.74%	0.0575	✓	-0.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.26562	0.26501	-0.23%	0.26841	+1.05%	0.0206	✗	-0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.26993	0.269224	-0.26%	0.26562	-1.60%	0.0185	✓	-0.22
2026-07-11	oos	0.27867	0.277608	-0.38%	0.26993	-3.14%	0.0282	✓	-0.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.27803	0.27716	-0.31%	0.27867	+0.23%	0.0042	✗	-0.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.27415	0.273239	-0.33%	0.27803	+1.42%	0.0206	✗	-0.21
2026-07-08	oos	0.28	0.27893	-0.38%	0.27415	-2.09%	0.0145	✓	-0.18
2026-07-07	oos	0.29089	0.289825	-0.37%	0.28	-3.74%	0.0383	✓	-0.22
2026-07-06	oos	0.28952	0.288418	-0.38%	0.29089	+0.47%	0.0061	✗	-0.23
2026-07-05	oos	0.29238	0.291259	-0.38%	0.28952	-0.98%	0.0046	✓	-0.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.29104	0.289957	-0.37%	0.29238	+0.46%	0.0100	✗	-0.21
2026-07-03	oos	0.29352	0.292262	-0.43%	0.29104	-0.84%	0.0024	✓	-0.19
2026-07-02	oos	0.292	0.29047	-0.52%	0.29352	+0.52%	0.0135	✗	-0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.27333	0.272136	-0.44%	0.292	+6.83%	0.0765	✗	-0.24
2026-06-30	oos	0.280855	0.279344	-0.54%	0.27333	-2.68%	0.0173	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.24758	0.246294	-0.52%	0.280855	+13.44%	0.1292	✗	-0.08
2026-06-28	oos	0.25	0.248935	-0.43%	0.24758	-0.97%	0.0048	✓	-0.05
2026-06-27	oos	0.250875	0.249836	-0.41%	0.25	-0.35%	0.0002	✓	-0.06
2026-06-26	oos	0.25667	0.255552	-0.44%	0.250875	-2.26%	0.0185	✓	-0.05
2026-06-25	oos	0.258	0.256833	-0.45%	0.25667	-0.52%	0.0004	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.26441	0.262557	-0.70%	0.258	-2.42%	0.0192	✓	-0.08
2026-06-23	oos	0.243305	0.242061	-0.51%	0.26441	+8.67%	0.0879	✗	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.25176	0.249635	-0.84%	0.243305	-3.36%	0.0271	✓	-0.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.25175	0.25042	-0.53%	0.25176	+0.00%	0.0059	✗	-0.05
2026-06-20	oos	0.24887	0.247583	-0.52%	0.25175	+1.16%	0.0158	✗	-0.06
2026-06-19	oos	0.245725	0.244656	-0.43%	0.24887	+1.28%	0.0176	✗	-0.05
2026-06-18	oos	0.25078	0.249642	-0.45%	0.245725	-2.02%	0.0157	✓	-0.01
2026-06-17	oos	0.265975	0.264626	-0.51%	0.25078	-5.71%	0.0565	✓	-0.11
2026-06-16	oos	0.27077	0.269272	-0.55%	0.265975	-1.77%	0.0151	✓	-0.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.27511	0.27335	-0.64%	0.27077	-1.58%	0.0112	✓	-0.17
2026-06-14	oos	0.274525	0.272837	-0.61%	0.27511	+0.21%	0.0096	✗	-0.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.27333	0.271524	-0.66%	0.274525	+0.44%	0.0133	✗	-0.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.282715	0.280615	-0.74%	0.27333	-3.32%	0.0256	✓	-0.05
2026-06-11	oos	0.281995	0.279285	-0.96%	0.282715	+0.26%	0.0122	✗	-0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.26464	0.262234	-0.91%	0.281995	+6.56%	0.0767	✗	-0.12
2026-06-09	oos	0.256955	0.253654	-1.28%	0.26464	+2.99%	0.0419	✗	-0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.23368	0.231752	-0.82%	0.256955	+9.96%	0.1020	✗	-0.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.2178	0.216178	-0.74%	0.23368	+7.29%	0.0776	✗	-0.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.21444	0.212921	-0.71%	0.2178	+1.57%	0.0231	✗	-0.01
2026-06-05	oos	0.21939	0.217232	-0.98%	0.21444	-2.26%	0.0129	✓	0.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.23152	0.227279	-1.83%	0.21939	-5.24%	0.0480	✓	-0.29
2026-06-03	oos	0.1936	0.191907	-0.87%	0.23152	+19.59%	0.1865	✗	-0.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.18198	0.180142	-1.01%	0.1936	+6.39%	0.0625	✗	-0.24
2026-06-01	oos	0.16522	0.163871	-0.82%	0.18198	+10.14%	0.1223	✗	0.26
2026-05-31	oos	0.169535	0.167942	-0.94%	0.16522	-2.55%	0.0160	✓	0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.17431	0.172552	-1.01%	0.169535	-2.74%	0.0177	✓	-0.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.177695	0.175833	-1.05%	0.17431	-1.90%	0.0142	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.178315	0.176359	-1.10%	0.177695	-0.35%	0.0095	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.180295	0.178186	-1.17%	0.178315	-1.10%	0.0116	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.164055	0.162257	-1.10%	0.180295	+9.90%	0.1255	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.17311	0.171041	-1.20%	0.164055	-5.23%	0.0231	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.17411	0.171948	-1.24%	0.17311	-0.57%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.18742	0.184903	-1.34%	0.17411	-7.10%	0.0644	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.185295	0.182799	-1.35%	0.18742	+1.15%	0.0091	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.181295	0.178687	-1.44%	0.185295	+2.21%	0.0638	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.17322	0.170697	-1.46%	0.181295	+4.66%	0.0593	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.18601	0.183195	-1.51%	0.17322	-6.88%	0.0652	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.19024	0.186925	-1.74%	0.18601	-2.22%	0.0026	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.17619	0.173015	-1.80%	0.19024	+7.97%	0.1009	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.19502	0.188222	-3.49%	0.17619	-9.66%	0.0571	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.15268	0.148856	-2.50%	0.19502	+27.73%	0.2823	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.116155	0.114865	-1.11%	0.15268	+31.45%	0.3098	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10455	0.103473	-1.03%	0.116155	+11.10%	0.0933	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.12761	0.124118	-2.74%	0.10455	-18.07%	0.1566	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.10276	0.101548	-1.18%	0.12761	+24.18%	0.2438	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.08032	0.079866	-0.56%	0.10276	+27.94%	0.2578	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.08549	0.08487	-0.72%	0.08032	-6.05%	0.0741	✓	1.00