ARGUS
Argus · Arc · gru_s7
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +7d
assessed
20
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
80.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2957
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0315
actual -0.3160
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008324 | 0.00803 | -3.53% | – | pending | – | – | -1.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007243 | -1.21% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006879 | +0.31% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005757 | +0.73% | – | pending | – | – | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.006954 | +1.27% | – | pending | – | – | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007758 | +1.24% | – | pending | – | – | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008766 | +0.76% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008762 | +1.30% | 0.008324 | -3.77% | 0.0651 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007572 | +0.75% | 0.007332 | -2.43% | 0.0301 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008809 | +1.37% | 0.006858 | -21.08% | 0.2516 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.011028 | -0.64% | 0.005716 | -48.51% | 0.6371 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010658 | -0.02% | 0.006867 | -35.58% | 0.4210 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.01237 | -1.67% | 0.007663 | -39.09% | 0.4661 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013261 | -2.49% | 0.0087 | -36.03% | 0.4268 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013545 | -3.32% | 0.00865 | -38.26% | 0.4277 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013052 | -3.67% | 0.007515 | -44.54% | 0.5232 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013398 | -4.02% | 0.00869 | -37.75% | 0.3851 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.013701 | -4.29% | 0.0111 | -22.46% | 0.1773 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.012696 | -4.76% | 0.01066 | -20.03% | 0.1529 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.014779 | -4.59% | 0.01258 | -18.79% | 0.1376 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.013456 | -5.47% | 0.0136 | -4.46% | 0.0485 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013187 | -6.08% | 0.01401 | -0.21% | 0.0639 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.013787 | -6.08% | 0.01355 | -7.70% | 0.0398 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.018359 | -4.33% | 0.01396 | -27.25% | 0.3010 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.020643 | -3.99% | 0.014315 | -33.42% | 0.3900 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.022965 | -4.39% | 0.01333 | -44.50% | 0.5478 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.023514 | -5.01% | 0.01549 | -37.43% | 0.4223 | ✓ | 1.00 |