ALTLAYER

? · · gru_s7

token id: #993
symbol: ALTLAYER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-01-25
predictions: 2,949

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

53.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0631

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0152

actual -0.0048

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.013154	0.01268	-3.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.013003	0.012472	-4.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-20	oos	0.010039	0.00977	-2.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-19	oos	0.009206	0.008995	-2.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.008851	0.008652	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.008622	0.008418	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-16	oos	0.008284	0.00811	-2.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.007993	0.00783	-2.04%	0.013154	+64.57%	0.4935	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.008056	0.007896	-1.97%	0.013003	+61.42%	0.4689	✗	1.01
2026-10-13	oos	0.008315	0.008145	-2.04%	0.010039	+20.73%	0.2110	✗	0.98
2026-10-12	oos	0.007828	0.007668	-2.05%	0.009206	+17.60%	0.1817	✗	0.96
2026-10-11	oos	0.008175	0.008	-2.14%	0.008851	+8.27%	0.1196	✗	0.92
2026-10-10	oos	0.008126	0.007945	-2.22%	0.008622	+6.10%	0.0988	✗	0.92
2026-10-09	oos	0.007945	0.007759	-2.35%	0.008284	+4.26%	0.0772	✗	0.92
2026-10-08	oos	0.007255	0.007075	-2.49%	0.007993	+10.16%	0.1173	✗	0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.007425	0.00722	-2.77%	0.008056	+8.48%	0.1285	✗	0.92
2026-10-06	oos	0.00794	0.00773	-2.66%	0.008315	+4.71%	0.0982	✗	0.87
2026-10-05	oos	0.008013	0.007804	-2.60%	0.007828	-2.31%	0.0450	✗	0.88
2026-10-04	oos	0.007874	0.007662	-2.69%	0.008175	+3.83%	0.0942	✗	0.88
2026-10-03	oos	0.008026	0.007808	-2.72%	0.008126	+1.25%	0.0596	✗	0.90
2026-10-02	oos	0.007874	0.007644	-2.91%	0.007945	+0.91%	0.0597	✗	0.90
2026-10-01	oos	0.007669	0.007431	-3.10%	0.007255	-5.39%	0.0106	✓	0.91
2026-09-30	oos	0.007738	0.007499	-3.09%	0.007425	-4.04%	0.0066	✓	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.007615	0.007371	-3.20%	0.00794	+4.27%	0.0534	✗	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.00753	0.007284	-3.28%	0.008013	+6.41%	0.0699	✗	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.008026	0.007793	-2.90%	0.007874	-1.90%	0.0114	✓	0.91
2026-09-26	oos	0.008165	0.007935	-2.82%	0.008026	-1.71%	0.0079	✓	0.91
2026-09-25	oos	0.008094	0.007861	-2.88%	0.007874	-2.72%	0.0028	✓	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.007837	0.007602	-3.00%	0.007669	-2.14%	0.0038	✓	0.91
2026-09-23	oos	0.007385	0.007144	-3.26%	0.007738	+4.78%	0.0889	✗	0.92
2026-09-22	oos	0.007746	0.007521	-2.91%	0.007615	-1.69%	0.0396	✗	0.90
2026-09-21	oos	0.007585	0.007363	-2.93%	0.00753	-0.72%	0.0564	✗	0.92
2026-09-20	oos	0.007175	0.006937	-3.32%	0.008026	+11.86%	0.1084	✗	0.94
2026-09-19	oos	0.007233	0.007003	-3.18%	0.008165	+12.89%	0.1176	✗	0.94
2026-09-18	oos	0.007113	0.006889	-3.15%	0.008094	+13.79%	0.1246	✗	0.94
2026-09-17	oos	0.006596	0.006415	-2.74%	0.007837	+18.81%	0.1123	✗	0.88
2026-09-16	oos	0.006387	0.006233	-2.41%	0.007385	+15.63%	0.0792	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.006335	0.006208	-2.01%	0.007746	+22.27%	0.1104	✗	0.84
2026-09-14	oos	0.006713	0.006565	-2.21%	0.007585	+12.98%	0.0613	✗	0.81
2026-09-13	oos	0.006425	0.006319	-1.65%	0.007175	+11.67%	0.0840	✗	0.78
2026-09-12	oos	0.006514	0.006417	-1.48%	0.007233	+11.05%	0.0810	✗	0.77
2026-09-11	oos	0.006255	0.006192	-1.00%	0.007113	+13.72%	0.1030	✗	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	0.006032	0.006002	-0.51%	0.006596	+9.34%	0.0964	✗	0.78
2026-09-09	oos	0.006386	0.006341	-0.70%	0.006387	+0.02%	0.0280	✗	0.75
2026-09-08	oos	0.006584	0.00654	-0.67%	0.006335	-3.78%	0.0036	✓	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.006544	0.006513	-0.48%	0.006713	+2.58%	0.0393	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.006554	0.006536	-0.27%	0.006425	-1.96%	0.0149	✗	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.006526	0.006541	+0.23%	0.006514	-0.19%	0.0187	✓	0.70
2026-09-04	oos	0.006451	0.006506	+0.86%	0.006255	-3.04%	0.0182	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.006306	0.006411	+1.68%	0.006032	-4.33%	0.0187	✗	0.70
2026-09-02	oos	0.006073	0.006168	+1.56%	0.006386	+5.15%	0.0255	✓	0.73
2026-09-01	oos	0.006069	0.006173	+1.71%	0.006584	+8.49%	0.0545	✓	0.74
2026-08-31	oos	0.006133	0.006243	+1.80%	0.006544	+6.71%	0.0426	✓	0.68
2026-08-30	oos	0.006067	0.006154	+1.43%	0.006554	+8.02%	0.0393	✓	0.70
2026-08-29	oos	0.006205	0.006289	+1.35%	0.006526	+5.17%	0.0236	✓	0.66
2026-08-28	oos	0.006266	0.006333	+1.07%	0.006451	+2.95%	0.0029	✓	0.67
2026-08-27	oos	0.006537	0.006623	+1.32%	0.006306	-3.54%	0.0571	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.006475	0.006531	+0.87%	0.006073	-6.20%	0.0583	✗	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.006223	0.006263	+0.65%	0.006069	-2.47%	0.0218	✗	0.67
2026-08-24	oos	0.006415	0.00645	+0.54%	0.006133	-4.40%	0.0471	✗	0.61
2026-08-23	oos	0.006588	0.006595	+0.11%	0.006067	-7.91%	0.0829	✗	0.64
2026-08-22	oos	0.006517	0.00651	-0.11%	0.006205	-4.79%	0.0576	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.006912	0.006901	-0.15%	0.006266	-9.35%	0.0928	✓	0.60
2026-08-20	oos	0.006425	0.006362	-0.98%	0.006537	+1.74%	0.0235	✓	0.53
2026-08-19	oos	0.006133	0.006033	-1.63%	0.006475	+5.58%	0.0190	✗	0.39
2026-08-18	oos	0.005853	0.005727	-2.15%	0.006223	+6.32%	0.0171	✓	0.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.005956	0.005825	-2.19%	0.006415	+7.71%	0.0191	✓	0.38
2026-08-16	oos	0.005986	0.005851	-2.25%	0.006588	+10.06%	0.0345	✗	0.40
2026-08-15	oos	0.005995	0.005862	-2.22%	0.006517	+8.71%	0.0269	✗	0.39
2026-08-14	oos	0.005904	0.005776	-2.17%	0.006912	+17.07%	0.0931	✗	0.40
2026-08-13	oos	0.005935	0.005808	-2.14%	0.006425	+8.26%	0.0449	✗	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.005835	0.005713	-2.08%	0.006133	+5.11%	0.0312	✗	0.45
2026-08-11	oos	0.005856	0.005734	-2.08%	0.005853	-0.05%	0.0128	✓	0.43
2026-08-10	oos	0.006138	0.006005	-2.16%	0.005956	-2.97%	0.0123	✓	0.45
2026-08-09	oos	0.006055	0.005929	-2.08%	0.005986	-1.14%	0.0245	✗	0.47
2026-08-08	oos	0.005933	0.005813	-2.03%	0.005995	+1.05%	0.0448	✗	0.47
2026-08-07	oos	0.005795	0.00568	-1.98%	0.005904	+1.88%	0.0530	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.005796	0.005682	-1.98%	0.005935	+2.40%	0.0499	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.005755	0.005644	-1.93%	0.005835	+1.39%	0.0423	✗	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.005674	0.005566	-1.90%	0.005856	+3.21%	0.0545	✗	0.46
2026-08-03	oos	0.005733	0.005625	-1.88%	0.006138	+7.06%	0.0839	✗	0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.005739	0.005633	-1.85%	0.006055	+5.51%	0.0620	✗	0.48
2026-08-01	oos	0.005764	0.005659	-1.81%	0.005933	+2.93%	0.0307	✗	0.49
2026-07-31	oos	0.005828	0.005722	-1.82%	0.005795	-0.57%	0.0033	✓	0.49
2026-07-30	oos	0.005729	0.005625	-1.82%	0.005796	+1.17%	0.0337	✗	0.53
2026-07-29	oos	0.005684	0.005582	-1.80%	0.005755	+1.25%	0.0248	✗	0.53
2026-07-28	oos	0.005983	0.005874	-1.82%	0.005674	-5.16%	0.0363	✓	0.52
2026-07-27	oos	0.005768	0.005666	-1.78%	0.005733	-0.61%	0.0137	✓	0.51
2026-07-26	oos	0.006081	0.005971	-1.81%	0.005739	-5.62%	0.0260	✓	0.48
2026-07-25	oos	0.006113	0.006002	-1.81%	0.005764	-5.71%	0.0284	✓	0.50
2026-07-24	oos	0.006088	0.00598	-1.78%	0.005828	-4.27%	0.0159	✓	0.49
2026-07-23	oos	0.006245	0.006134	-1.78%	0.005729	-8.26%	0.0658	✓	0.49
2026-07-22	oos	0.006349	0.006237	-1.77%	0.005684	-10.47%	0.0765	✓	0.48
2026-07-21	oos	0.006386	0.006272	-1.78%	0.005983	-6.31%	0.0273	✓	0.49
2026-07-20	oos	0.006312	0.006197	-1.82%	0.005768	-8.62%	0.0601	✓	0.50
2026-07-19	oos	0.006308	0.006194	-1.81%	0.006081	-3.60%	0.0234	✓	0.50
2026-07-18	oos	0.006367	0.006251	-1.83%	0.006113	-3.99%	0.0180	✓	0.55
2026-07-17	oos	0.006455	0.006339	-1.80%	0.006088	-5.69%	0.0421	✓	0.57
2026-07-16	oos	0.006606	0.006487	-1.80%	0.006245	-5.46%	0.0499	✓	0.60
2026-07-15	oos	0.006508	0.00639	-1.81%	0.006349	-2.44%	0.0184	✓	0.57
2026-07-14	oos	0.006388	0.006273	-1.80%	0.006386	-0.03%	0.0040	✓	0.59
2026-07-13	oos	0.006296	0.006193	-1.64%	0.006312	+0.25%	0.0094	✓	0.62
2026-07-12	oos	0.006429	0.006322	-1.66%	0.006308	-1.88%	0.0112	✓	0.61
2026-07-11	oos	0.006432	0.006328	-1.62%	0.006367	-1.01%	0.0040	✓	0.64
2026-07-10	oos	0.006578	0.00647	-1.64%	0.006455	-1.87%	0.0001	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.006204	0.006109	-1.53%	0.006606	+6.48%	0.0722	✗	0.64
2026-07-08	oos	0.006248	0.006156	-1.48%	0.006508	+4.16%	0.0308	✗	0.64
2026-07-07	oos	0.006407	0.006308	-1.54%	0.006388	-0.30%	0.0041	✓	0.64
2026-07-06	oos	0.006427	0.006326	-1.57%	0.006296	-2.04%	0.0131	✓	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	0.006585	0.006479	-1.61%	0.006429	-2.37%	0.0095	✓	0.71
2026-07-04	oos	0.006629	0.006519	-1.66%	0.006432	-2.97%	0.0212	✓	0.72
2026-07-03	oos	0.006348	0.00625	-1.55%	0.006578	+3.62%	0.0343	✗	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	0.005916	0.005837	-1.33%	0.006204	+4.87%	0.0439	✗	0.63
2026-07-01	oos	0.005829	0.00576	-1.18%	0.006248	+7.19%	0.0576	✗	0.63
2026-06-30	oos	0.005636	0.005583	-0.94%	0.006407	+13.68%	0.0875	✗	0.64
2026-06-29	oos	0.005697	0.005636	-1.08%	0.006427	+12.81%	0.0917	✗	0.64
2026-06-28	oos	0.005635	0.005581	-0.96%	0.006585	+16.86%	0.1224	✗	0.64
2026-06-27	oos	0.005643	0.005588	-0.98%	0.006629	+17.47%	0.1377	✗	0.65
2026-06-26	oos	0.005744	0.005685	-1.02%	0.006348	+10.52%	0.0836	✗	0.65
2026-06-25	oos	0.005694	0.00564	-0.95%	0.005916	+3.90%	0.0288	✗	0.65
2026-06-24	oos	0.005806	0.005742	-1.10%	0.005829	+0.40%	0.0263	✗	0.67
2026-06-23	oos	0.006027	0.005947	-1.33%	0.005636	-6.49%	0.0075	✓	0.68
2026-06-22	oos	0.006304	0.00621	-1.49%	0.005697	-9.63%	0.0455	✓	0.67
2026-06-21	oos	0.006296	0.006206	-1.43%	0.005635	-10.50%	0.0554	✓	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	0.006457	0.006358	-1.53%	0.005643	-12.61%	0.0740	✓	0.66
2026-06-19	oos	0.006908	0.006793	-1.67%	0.005744	-16.85%	0.1286	✓	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	0.006797	0.006689	-1.60%	0.005694	-16.23%	0.1241	✓	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	0.006667	0.006558	-1.63%	0.005806	-12.91%	0.0813	✓	0.73
2026-06-16	oos	0.006764	0.006645	-1.75%	0.006027	-10.90%	0.0640	✓	0.73
2026-06-15	oos	0.006499	0.006388	-1.71%	0.006304	-3.00%	0.0144	✓	0.77
2026-06-14	oos	0.006642	0.006525	-1.76%	0.006296	-5.21%	0.0059	✓	0.78
2026-06-13	oos	0.006614	0.0065	-1.72%	0.006457	-2.37%	0.0041	✓	0.78
2026-06-12	oos	0.006249	0.006161	-1.40%	0.006908	+10.55%	0.1152	✗	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.006328	0.006239	-1.41%	0.006797	+7.41%	0.0943	✗	0.79
2026-06-10	oos	0.006105	0.006045	-0.98%	0.006667	+9.21%	0.0610	✗	0.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.006306	0.006237	-1.09%	0.006764	+7.26%	0.0334	✗	0.77
2026-06-08	oos	0.005884	0.005829	-0.93%	0.006499	+10.45%	0.0678	✗	0.82
2026-06-07	oos	0.005673	0.005629	-0.78%	0.006642	+17.08%	0.1342	✗	0.84
2026-06-06	oos	0.005673	0.005661	-0.21%	0.006614	+16.59%	0.1061	✗	0.87
2026-06-05	oos	0.005884	0.005871	-0.23%	0.006249	+6.20%	0.0282	✗	0.85
2026-06-04	oos	0.006227	0.006171	-0.90%	0.006328	+1.62%	0.0283	✗	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	0.006755	0.006682	-1.08%	0.006105	-9.62%	0.0571	✓	0.80
2026-06-02	oos	0.006585	0.006491	-1.43%	0.006306	-4.24%	0.0385	✗	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.006995	0.006844	-2.16%	0.005884	-15.88%	0.0527	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.006888	0.006734	-2.24%	0.005673	-17.64%	0.0459	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.006857	0.006708	-2.17%	0.005673	-17.27%	0.0112	✓	0.81
2026-05-29	oos	0.006807	0.006665	-2.09%	0.005884	-13.56%	0.0287	✗	0.83
2026-05-28	oos	0.006977	0.006837	-2.00%	0.006227	-10.75%	0.0237	✗	0.83
2026-05-27	oos	0.007658	0.007486	-2.24%	0.006755	-11.79%	0.0144	✓	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.007008	0.006883	-1.79%	0.006585	-6.04%	0.0658	✗	0.85
2026-05-25	oos	0.007234	0.007111	-1.70%	0.006995	-3.30%	0.0511	✗	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	0.007556	0.007428	-1.69%	0.006888	-8.84%	0.0374	✓	0.84
2026-05-23	oos	0.008217	0.008051	-2.02%	0.006857	-16.55%	0.1282	✓	0.84
2026-05-22	oos	0.008229	0.008042	-2.28%	0.006807	-17.28%	0.1428	✓	0.85
2026-05-21	oos	0.007309	0.007215	-1.29%	0.006977	-4.54%	0.0176	✗	0.96
2026-05-20	oos	0.007392	0.007299	-1.25%	0.007658	+3.60%	0.0879	✗	0.96
2026-05-19	oos	0.006698	0.006649	-0.73%	0.007008	+4.63%	0.0642	✗	0.94
2026-05-18	oos	0.006725	0.00668	-0.66%	0.007234	+7.57%	0.0758	✗	0.96
2026-05-17	oos	0.006618	0.006582	-0.55%	0.007556	+14.17%	0.1433	✗	0.94
2026-05-16	oos	0.00679	0.006747	-0.63%	0.008217	+21.02%	0.2148	✗	0.94
2026-05-15	oos	0.006873	0.006827	-0.67%	0.008229	+19.73%	0.2314	✗	0.95
2026-05-14	oos	0.007406	0.007359	-0.63%	0.007309	-1.31%	0.0345	✗	0.93
2026-05-13	oos	0.007467	0.007404	-0.84%	0.007392	-1.00%	0.0200	✗	0.94
2026-05-12	oos	0.008015	0.007946	-0.86%	0.006698	-16.43%	0.1281	✓	0.90
2026-05-11	oos	0.008285	0.00822	-0.78%	0.006725	-18.83%	0.1492	✓	0.85
2026-05-10	oos	0.008314	0.008254	-0.72%	0.006618	-20.40%	0.1694	✓	0.86
2026-05-09	oos	0.008144	0.008078	-0.82%	0.00679	-16.63%	0.1461	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.008256	0.00818	-0.92%	0.006873	-16.75%	0.1621	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.008129	0.008055	-0.91%	0.007406	-8.89%	0.0951	✓	0.83
2026-05-06	oos	0.008023	0.00797	-0.66%	0.007467	-6.93%	0.0426	✓	0.84
2026-05-05	oos	0.007856	0.007802	-0.68%	0.008015	+2.02%	0.0319	✗	0.95
2026-05-04	oos	0.007689	0.007627	-0.80%	0.008285	+7.75%	0.0610	✗	0.94
2026-05-03	oos	0.007594	0.007519	-0.99%	0.008314	+9.48%	0.0579	✗	0.94
2026-05-02	oos	0.007688	0.007609	-1.02%	0.008144	+5.93%	0.0443	✗	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.007531	0.007452	-1.04%	0.008256	+9.63%	0.0788	✗	0.96
2026-04-30	oos	0.007457	0.00736	-1.30%	0.008129	+9.01%	0.0537	✗	0.96
2026-04-29	oos	0.007736	0.007621	-1.48%	0.008023	+3.71%	0.0187	✓	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.007534	0.00743	-1.37%	0.007856	+4.27%	0.0019	✓	0.99
2026-04-27	oos	0.007579	0.007486	-1.23%	0.007689	+1.45%	0.0045	✓	0.99
2026-04-26	oos	0.007956	0.007867	-1.12%	0.007594	-4.55%	0.0339	✓	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.008065	0.007955	-1.37%	0.007688	-4.67%	0.0471	✓	0.99
2026-04-24	oos	0.007884	0.007774	-1.39%	0.007531	-4.48%	0.0417	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.007859	0.007757	-1.29%	0.007457	-5.12%	0.0140	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.007632	0.007533	-1.30%	0.007736	+1.36%	0.0584	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.007424	0.007306	-1.59%	0.007534	+1.48%	0.0311	✗	0.99
2026-04-20	oos	0.007413	0.007286	-1.71%	0.007579	+2.24%	0.0198	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.006926	0.006791	-1.95%	0.007956	+14.87%	0.0949	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.007115	0.006993	-1.72%	0.008065	+13.35%	0.1178	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.007504	0.007385	-1.58%	0.007884	+5.06%	0.0607	✗	0.99
2026-04-16	oos	0.007688	0.007533	-2.01%	0.007859	+2.22%	0.0013	✓	1.01
2026-04-15	oos	0.006918	0.00678	-2.00%	0.007632	+10.32%	0.0743	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.006786	0.006649	-2.02%	0.007424	+9.40%	0.0813	✗	1.01
2026-04-13	oos	0.006972	0.006838	-1.92%	0.007413	+6.33%	0.0619	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.006626	0.006466	-2.41%	0.006926	+4.53%	0.0255	✗	1.02
2026-04-11	oos	0.006895	0.006736	-2.30%	0.007115	+3.19%	0.0185	✓	1.02
2026-04-10	oos	0.006739	0.006604	-2.00%	0.007504	+11.35%	0.0722	✗	1.02
2026-04-09	oos	0.006756	0.006613	-2.11%	0.007688	+13.80%	0.1039	✗	1.02
2026-04-08	oos	0.006529	0.006391	-2.11%	0.006918	+5.96%	0.0271	✗	1.01
2026-04-07	oos	0.006675	0.006504	-2.56%	0.006786	+1.66%	0.0109	✓	1.01
2026-04-06	oos	0.006187	0.006042	-2.35%	0.006972	+12.69%	0.0657	✗	0.99
2026-04-05	oos	0.006164	0.006034	-2.11%	0.006626	+7.50%	0.0687	✗	0.99
2026-04-04	oos	0.006393	0.006258	-2.10%	0.006895	+7.85%	0.0145	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.00662	0.006426	-2.93%	0.006739	+1.80%	0.0397	✓	1.01
2026-04-02	oos	0.006065	0.005963	-1.68%	0.006756	+11.39%	0.0536	✗	1.01
2026-04-01	oos	0.006334	0.006215	-1.87%	0.006529	+3.08%	0.0062	✓	1.01
2026-03-31	oos	0.006283	0.006168	-1.83%	0.006675	+6.24%	0.0253	✗	1.02
2026-03-30	oos	0.006164	0.006074	-1.47%	0.006187	+0.37%	0.0134	✓	1.02
2026-03-29	oos	0.006084	0.006013	-1.17%	0.006164	+1.31%	0.0210	✓	1.02
2026-03-28	oos	0.006208	0.006137	-1.14%	0.006393	+2.98%	0.0261	✗	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.006345	0.006278	-1.06%	0.00662	+4.33%	0.0439	✗	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.006635	0.006554	-1.23%	0.006065	-8.59%	0.0494	✓	1.02
2026-03-25	oos	0.006988	0.006904	-1.20%	0.006334	-9.36%	0.0398	✓	1.01
2026-03-24	oos	0.006844	0.00677	-1.08%	0.006283	-8.20%	0.0410	✓	1.01
2026-03-23	oos	0.006966	0.006896	-1.00%	0.006164	-11.51%	0.0514	✓	1.01
2026-03-22	oos	0.006818	0.006762	-0.82%	0.006084	-10.77%	0.0769	✓	1.02
2026-03-21	oos	0.007104	0.007045	-0.84%	0.006208	-12.61%	0.0874	✓	1.02
2026-03-20	oos	0.007474	0.007415	-0.79%	0.006345	-15.11%	0.0947	✓	1.01
2026-03-19	oos	0.007541	0.007486	-0.73%	0.006635	-12.01%	0.1039	✓	1.01
2026-03-18	oos	0.007558	0.007506	-0.69%	0.006988	-7.54%	0.0723	✓	1.04
2026-03-17	oos	0.008071	0.008009	-0.77%	0.006844	-15.20%	0.1087	✓	1.03
2026-03-16	oos	0.008065	0.008004	-0.77%	0.006966	-13.63%	0.0817	✓	1.04
2026-03-15	oos	0.007898	0.007835	-0.80%	0.006818	-13.67%	0.0653	✓	1.04
2026-03-14	oos	0.007474	0.007418	-0.75%	0.007104	-4.95%	0.0092	✓	1.03
2026-03-13	oos	0.007445	0.007387	-0.78%	0.007474	+0.39%	0.0183	✗	1.04
2026-03-12	oos	0.007551	0.007487	-0.85%	0.007541	-0.13%	0.0163	✗	1.04
2026-03-11	oos	0.007653	0.007575	-1.01%	0.007558	-1.24%	0.0176	✓	1.05
2026-03-10	oos	0.007546	0.007479	-0.88%	0.008071	+6.96%	0.0186	✗	1.04
2026-03-09	oos	0.00727	0.007214	-0.77%	0.008065	+10.94%	0.0181	✗	1.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.007116	0.007074	-0.58%	0.007898	+10.99%	0.0066	✗	1.05
2026-03-07	oos	0.007076	0.007036	-0.56%	0.007474	+5.62%	0.0001	✓	1.05
2026-03-06	oos	0.007153	0.007115	-0.53%	0.007445	+4.08%	0.0026	✓	1.05
2026-03-05	oos	0.007255	0.007212	-0.59%	0.007551	+4.08%	0.0512	✗	1.06
2026-03-04	oos	0.007432	0.007383	-0.65%	0.007653	+2.97%	0.0727	✗	1.06
2026-03-03	oos	0.007324	0.007286	-0.52%	0.007546	+3.03%	0.0091	✗	1.11
2026-03-02	oos	0.007251	0.007211	-0.55%	0.00727	+0.26%	0.0146	✗	1.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.007123	0.007095	-0.39%	0.007116	-0.10%	0.0006	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.007539	0.00749	-0.64%	0.007076	-6.14%	0.0618	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.007517	0.007474	-0.57%	0.007153	-4.84%	0.0820	✓	1.14
2026-02-26	oos	0.007536	0.007488	-0.64%	0.007255	-3.73%	0.0876	✓	1.14
2026-02-25	oos	0.007779	0.00772	-0.76%	0.007432	-4.46%	0.1138	✓	1.14
2026-02-24	oos	0.007418	0.007391	-0.37%	0.007324	-1.27%	0.0830	✓	1.15
2026-02-23	oos	0.007368	0.007343	-0.34%	0.007251	-1.59%	0.0843	✓	1.14
2026-02-22	oos	0.007626	0.00758	-0.60%	0.007123	-6.60%	0.0304	✓	1.15
2026-02-21	oos	0.007988	0.007931	-0.71%	0.007539	-5.62%	0.0339	✓	1.15
2026-02-20	oos	0.008236	0.008174	-0.76%	0.007517	-8.73%	0.0476	✓	1.14
2026-02-19	oos	0.00803	0.007985	-0.56%	0.007536	-6.15%	0.0667	✓	1.14
2026-02-18	oos	0.008196	0.00815	-0.57%	0.007779	-5.09%	0.0737	✓	1.16
2026-02-17	oos	0.008763	0.008689	-0.84%	0.007418	-15.35%	0.1045	✓	1.04
2026-02-16	oos	0.008626	0.008557	-0.80%	0.007368	-14.58%	0.0831	✓	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.008606	0.008538	-0.79%	0.007626	-11.39%	0.0948	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.009088	0.008992	-1.06%	0.007988	-12.10%	0.0905	✓	1.05
2026-02-13	oos	0.008898	0.008816	-0.92%	0.008236	-7.44%	0.0554	✓	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.008649	0.008601	-0.55%	0.00803	-7.16%	0.0809	✓	1.06
2026-02-11	oos	0.00848	0.008441	-0.46%	0.008196	-3.35%	0.0198	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.008161	0.008135	-0.31%	0.008763	+7.38%	0.0956	✗	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.008358	0.008324	-0.41%	0.008626	+3.21%	0.0550	✗	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.008366	0.008344	-0.26%	0.008606	+2.87%	0.0544	✗	1.10
2026-02-07	oos	0.008586	0.008581	-0.05%	0.009088	+5.85%	0.0487	✗	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.008428	0.008436	+0.09%	0.008898	+5.58%	0.0808	✓	1.11
2026-02-05	oos	0.007656	0.007812	+2.04%	0.008649	+12.97%	0.0397	✓	1.17
2026-02-04	oos	0.009233	0.009213	-0.22%	0.00848	-8.16%	0.0184	✗	1.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.009308	0.009264	-0.47%	0.008161	-12.32%	0.0110	✓	1.22
2026-02-02	oos	0.00974	0.009648	-0.95%	0.008358	-14.19%	0.0010	✓	1.24
2026-02-01	oos	0.00922	0.009197	-0.25%	0.008366	-9.26%	0.0135	✗	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	0.00963	0.009572	-0.61%	0.008586	-10.84%	0.0560	✗	1.29
2026-01-30	oos	0.01037	0.010211	-1.53%	0.008428	-18.73%	0.0445	✗	1.34
2026-01-29	oos	0.01036	0.010203	-1.52%	0.007656	-26.10%	0.1155	✗	1.36
2026-01-28	oos	0.01125	0.011012	-2.11%	0.009233	-17.93%	0.0902	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.01143	0.011195	-2.06%	0.009308	-18.57%	0.0398	✗	1.37
2026-01-26	oos	0.01164	0.011409	-1.98%	0.00974	-16.32%	0.0025	✓	1.35
2026-01-25	oos	0.01115	0.010964	-1.66%	0.00922	-17.31%	0.0136	✓	1.35
2026-01-24	oos	0.01185	0.011613	-2.00%	0.00963	-18.73%	0.0209	✓	1.33
2026-01-23	oos	0.01141	0.011188	-1.95%	0.01037	-9.11%	0.0074	✓	1.35
2026-01-22	oos	0.01138	0.011158	-1.95%	0.01036	-8.96%	0.0025	✓	1.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.01178	0.011549	-1.96%	0.01125	-4.50%	0.0232	✓	1.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.01133	0.011117	-1.88%	0.01143	+0.88%	0.0154	✓	1.35
2026-01-19	oos	0.01221	0.011934	-2.26%	0.01164	-4.67%	0.0392	✗	1.35
2026-01-18	oos	0.01248	0.012183	-2.38%	0.01115	-10.66%	0.0172	✓	1.35
2026-01-17	oos	0.01285	0.012561	-2.25%	0.01185	-7.78%	0.0297	✗	1.34
2026-01-16	oos	0.01323	0.012924	-2.31%	0.01141	-13.76%	0.0373	✓	1.34
2026-01-15	oos	0.01237	0.012103	-2.16%	0.01138	-8.00%	0.0272	✗	1.34
2026-01-14	oos	0.01325	0.012979	-2.05%	0.01178	-11.09%	0.0112	✓	1.33
2026-01-13	oos	0.01367	0.013352	-2.33%	0.01133	-17.12%	0.0591	✓	1.36
2026-01-12	oos	0.01253	0.012237	-2.34%	0.01221	-2.55%	0.0221	✓	1.34
2026-01-11	oos	0.01279	0.012487	-2.37%	0.01248	-2.42%	0.0410	✓	1.35
2026-01-10	oos	0.01283	0.012538	-2.28%	0.01285	+0.16%	0.0446	✓	1.35
2026-01-09	oos	0.01297	0.012687	-2.18%	0.01323	+2.00%	0.0351	✓	1.43
2026-01-08	oos	0.01303	0.012755	-2.11%	0.01237	-5.07%	0.0990	✓	1.40
2026-01-07	oos	0.01327	0.012991	-2.10%	0.01325	-0.15%	0.0959	✓	1.92
2026-01-06	oos	0.01365	0.013366	-2.08%	0.01367	+0.15%	0.0115	✓	1.93
2026-01-05	oos	0.01354	0.01326	-2.06%	0.01253	-7.46%	0.0005	✓	1.94
2026-01-04	oos	0.01384	0.013508	-2.40%	0.01279	-7.59%	0.0410	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0129	0.012641	-2.01%	0.01283	-0.54%	0.0198	✓	2.00
2026-01-02	oos	0.01273	0.012473	-2.02%	0.01297	+1.89%	0.0267	✗	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.01248	0.012211	-2.15%	0.01303	+4.41%	0.0143	✓	1.99
2025-12-31	oos	0.01146	0.011262	-1.73%	0.01327	+15.79%	0.0808	✗	1.97
2025-12-30	oos	0.01159	0.011374	-1.87%	0.01365	+17.77%	0.0667	✗	1.98
2025-12-29	oos	0.0117	0.011477	-1.91%	0.01354	+15.73%	0.0193	✗	1.95
2025-12-28	oos	0.01186	0.011625	-1.98%	0.01384	+16.69%	0.0955	✗	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.01213	0.011873	-2.12%	0.0129	+6.35%	0.0228	✗	1.92
2025-12-26	oos	0.01161	0.011389	-1.91%	0.01273	+9.65%	0.0544	✗	1.89
2025-12-25	oos	0.01145	0.011247	-1.77%	0.01248	+9.00%	0.0703	✗	1.89
2025-12-24	oos	0.01147	0.011274	-1.71%	0.01146	-0.09%	0.0188	✗	1.90
2025-12-23	oos	0.01141	0.01123	-1.58%	0.01159	+1.58%	0.0106	✓	1.90
2025-12-22	oos	0.01153	0.01135	-1.57%	0.0117	+1.47%	0.0618	✗	1.91
2025-12-21	oos	0.01145	0.011283	-1.46%	0.01186	+3.58%	0.0664	✗	1.91
2025-12-20	oos	0.01182	0.011653	-1.41%	0.01213	+2.62%	0.0515	✗	1.94
2025-12-19	oos	0.01167	0.011525	-1.24%	0.01161	-0.51%	0.0250	✗	1.94
2025-12-18	oos	0.01078	0.010697	-0.77%	0.01145	+6.22%	0.0299	✗	1.92
2025-12-17	oos	0.01131	0.011209	-0.89%	0.01147	+1.41%	0.0080	✓	1.93
2025-12-16	oos	0.012	0.011863	-1.14%	0.01141	-4.92%	0.0296	✓	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.01187	0.011754	-0.97%	0.01153	-2.86%	0.0664	✓	1.93
2025-12-14	oos	0.01225	0.012112	-1.13%	0.01145	-6.53%	0.0665	✓	1.94
2025-12-13	oos	0.01305	0.012871	-1.37%	0.01182	-9.43%	0.0435	✓	1.93
2025-12-12	oos	0.01244	0.012287	-1.23%	0.01167	-6.19%	0.0043	✓	1.93
2025-12-11	oos	0.01283	0.012659	-1.34%	0.01078	-15.98%	0.0063	✓	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.01307	0.012892	-1.36%	0.01131	-13.47%	0.0035	✓	1.95
2025-12-09	oos	0.01353	0.013333	-1.45%	0.012	-11.31%	0.0012	✓	1.94
2025-12-08	oos	0.01316	0.01298	-1.37%	0.01187	-9.80%	0.0031	✓	1.93
2025-12-07	oos	0.01283	0.012649	-1.41%	0.01225	-4.52%	0.0161	✗	1.93
2025-12-06	oos	0.01318	0.012983	-1.50%	0.01305	-0.99%	0.0163	✓	1.95
2025-12-05	oos	0.01275	0.012567	-1.43%	0.01244	-2.43%	0.0304	✓	1.95
2025-12-04	oos	0.01314	0.012916	-1.70%	0.01283	-2.36%	0.0163	✓	1.98
2025-12-03	oos	0.01376	0.013507	-1.84%	0.01307	-5.01%	0.0027	✓	1.97
2025-12-02	oos	0.01343	0.013199	-1.72%	0.01353	+0.74%	0.0051	✓	1.99
2025-12-01	oos	0.01251	0.012361	-1.19%	0.01316	+5.20%	0.0383	✓	2.04
2025-11-30	oos	0.01321	0.012998	-1.61%	0.01283	-2.88%	0.0137	✓	2.10
2025-11-29	oos	0.01387	0.013626	-1.76%	0.01318	-4.97%	0.0027	✓	2.07
2025-11-28	oos	0.01559	0.015194	-2.54%	0.01275	-18.22%	0.1394	✓	2.08
2025-11-27	oos	0.01384	0.013597	-1.76%	0.01314	-5.06%	0.0519	✓	2.09
2025-11-26	oos	0.01412	0.013866	-1.80%	0.01376	-2.55%	0.0750	✓	2.07
2025-11-25	oos	0.01388	0.013684	-1.41%	0.01343	-3.24%	0.1140	✓	2.14
2025-11-24	oos	0.01384	0.013643	-1.43%	0.01251	-9.61%	0.0380	✓	2.14
2025-11-23	oos	0.01332	0.013191	-0.97%	0.01321	-0.83%	0.0847	✓	2.14
2025-11-22	oos	0.01345	0.013368	-0.61%	0.01387	+3.12%	0.1184	✓	2.22
2025-11-21	oos	0.01408	0.013958	-0.87%	0.01559	+10.72%	0.0362	✓	2.21
2025-11-20	oos	0.01571	0.015418	-1.86%	0.01384	-11.90%	0.2254	✓	2.18
2025-11-19	oos	0.01424	0.014064	-1.23%	0.01412	-0.84%	0.0317	✗	2.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.01455	0.014351	-1.37%	0.01388	-4.60%	0.1246	✗	2.55
2025-11-17	oos	0.01405	0.013908	-1.01%	0.01384	-1.49%	0.1037	✗	2.55
2025-11-16	oos	0.01451	0.014329	-1.25%	0.01332	-8.20%	0.1352	✗	2.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.01521	0.014994	-1.42%	0.01345	-11.57%	0.1998	✗	2.56
2025-11-14	oos	0.01491	0.014741	-1.14%	0.01408	-5.57%	0.2232	✗	2.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.01581	0.015542	-1.69%	0.01571	-0.63%	0.3875	✗	2.68
2025-11-12	oos	0.01634	0.016037	-1.85%	0.01424	-12.85%	0.1651	✗	2.69
2025-11-11	oos	0.01619	0.015887	-1.87%	0.01455	-10.13%	0.1915	✗	2.71
2025-11-10	oos	0.01779	0.017406	-2.16%	0.01405	-21.02%	0.1647	✗	2.70
2025-11-09	oos	0.01728	0.016929	-2.03%	0.01451	-16.03%	0.1313	✗	2.70
2025-11-08	oos	0.01723	0.016909	-1.86%	0.01521	-11.72%	0.0810	✗	2.74
2025-11-07	oos	0.01771	0.017338	-2.10%	0.01491	-15.81%	0.0927	✗	2.74
2025-11-06	oos	0.01611	0.015869	-1.49%	0.01581	-1.86%	0.0415	✗	2.71
2025-11-05	oos	0.01679	0.016488	-1.80%	0.01634	-2.68%	0.0502	✗	2.73
2025-11-04	oos	0.01601	0.015786	-1.40%	0.01619	+1.12%	0.0162	✓	2.75
2025-11-03	oos	0.01679	0.016436	-2.11%	0.01779	+5.96%	0.0949	✗	2.90
2025-11-02	oos	0.01997	0.019242	-3.64%	0.01728	-13.47%	0.0460	✗	2.83
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.017204	-2.03%	0.01723	-1.88%	0.2081	✗	2.82
2025-10-31	oos	0.01636	0.016068	-1.78%	0.01771	+8.25%	0.2635	✗	2.82
2025-10-30	oos	0.01664	0.016351	-1.73%	0.01611	-3.19%	0.1757	✗	2.85
2025-10-29	oos	0.01889	0.018497	-2.08%	0.01679	-11.12%	0.0617	✗	2.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.0188	0.018404	-2.11%	0.01601	-14.84%	0.1630	✗	2.83
2025-10-27	oos	0.01958	0.019142	-2.23%	0.01679	-14.25%	0.0621	✗	2.83
2025-10-26	oos	0.02034	0.019863	-2.35%	0.01997	-1.82%	0.1061	✗	2.83
2025-10-25	oos	0.01946	0.019028	-2.22%	0.01756	-9.76%	0.0383	✓	2.88
2025-10-24	oos	0.01934	0.018944	-2.05%	0.01636	-15.41%	0.1066	✓	2.97
2025-10-23	oos	0.0192	0.018822	-1.97%	0.01664	-13.33%	0.0741	✓	2.97
2025-10-22	oos	0.01829	0.01801	-1.53%	0.01889	+3.28%	0.0191	✓	2.97
2025-10-21	oos	0.01894	0.018628	-1.65%	0.0188	-0.74%	0.1128	✓	2.97
2025-10-20	oos	0.01966	0.019282	-1.92%	0.01958	-0.41%	0.0792	✓	3.02
2025-10-19	oos	0.01935	0.01905	-1.55%	0.02034	+5.12%	0.0908	✓	2.97
2025-10-18	oos	0.01916	0.018931	-1.20%	0.01946	+1.57%	0.0942	✓	2.99
2025-10-17	oos	0.01885	0.018703	-0.78%	0.01934	+2.60%	0.0921	✓	2.98
2025-10-16	oos	0.01937	0.019182	-0.97%	0.0192	-0.88%	0.0517	✓	3.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.02053	0.02025	-1.37%	0.01829	-10.91%	0.0136	✓	2.99
2025-10-14	oos	0.02154	0.021185	-1.65%	0.01894	-12.07%	0.0155	✓	3.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.02263	0.022194	-1.93%	0.01966	-13.12%	0.0040	✓	3.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.022	0.021583	-1.90%	0.01935	-12.05%	0.0587	✗	2.94
2025-10-11	oos	0.01948	0.019282	-1.02%	0.01916	-1.64%	0.0883	✗	2.90
2025-10-10	oos	0.01861	0.018315	-1.59%	0.01885	+1.29%	0.2046	✗	2.96
2025-10-09	oos	0.02809	0.027461	-2.24%	0.01937	-31.04%	0.0923	✓	2.18
2025-10-08	oos	0.0289	0.028262	-2.21%	0.02053	-28.96%	0.0734	✓	2.30
2025-10-07	oos	0.02774	0.027087	-2.35%	0.02154	-22.35%	0.0646	✓	2.32
2025-10-06	oos	0.0304	0.029743	-2.16%	0.02263	-25.56%	0.0921	✓	2.30
2025-10-05	oos	0.02887	0.0282	-2.32%	0.022	-23.80%	0.0861	✓	2.29
2025-10-04	oos	0.02937	0.028659	-2.42%	0.01948	-33.67%	0.1553	✓	2.30
2025-10-03	oos	0.03044	0.029662	-2.56%	0.01861	-38.86%	0.2837	✓	2.30
2025-10-02	oos	0.02927	0.028467	-2.74%	0.02809	-4.03%	0.0340	✓	2.29
2025-10-01	oos	0.02791	0.027141	-2.76%	0.0289	+3.55%	0.0260	✓	2.29
2025-09-30	oos	0.02696	0.026294	-2.47%	0.02774	+2.89%	0.0965	✓	2.41
2025-09-29	oos	0.02742	0.026724	-2.54%	0.0304	+10.87%	0.0795	✓	2.40
2025-09-28	oos	0.02841	0.02775	-2.32%	0.02887	+1.62%	0.1997	✓	2.49
2025-09-27	oos	0.02835	0.027768	-2.05%	0.02937	+3.60%	0.2277	✓	2.58
2025-09-26	oos	0.0281	0.027524	-2.05%	0.03044	+8.33%	0.1801	✓	2.58
2025-09-25	oos	0.02673	0.026203	-1.97%	0.02927	+9.50%	0.1486	✓	2.57
2025-09-24	oos	0.02903	0.028254	-2.67%	0.02791	-3.86%	0.1318	✓	2.61
2025-09-23	oos	0.02867	0.027932	-2.57%	0.02696	-5.96%	0.0831	✓	2.63
2025-09-22	oos	0.02965	0.028855	-2.68%	0.02742	-7.52%	0.0876	✓	2.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.03334	0.032453	-2.66%	0.02841	-14.79%	0.0669	✓	2.44
2025-09-20	oos	0.03391	0.033011	-2.65%	0.02835	-16.40%	0.0222	✓	2.41
2025-09-19	oos	0.03336	0.032483	-2.63%	0.0281	-15.77%	0.0135	✓	2.47
2025-09-18	oos	0.03557	0.034666	-2.54%	0.02673	-24.85%	0.0813	✓	2.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.