ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s7
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +7d
assessed
47
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
89.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1108
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0218
actual -0.1189
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004677 | -2.04% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004334 | -1.62% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004354 | -1.83% | – | pending | – | – | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004731 | -2.35% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004773 | -2.29% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004881 | -2.68% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004511 | -1.84% | – | pending | – | – | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004478 | -1.79% | 0.004775 | +4.71% | 0.0727 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004547 | -1.89% | 0.004405 | -4.96% | 0.0330 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004693 | -1.93% | 0.004435 | -7.31% | 0.0557 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004878 | -2.14% | 0.004845 | -2.81% | 0.0202 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.004999 | -2.18% | 0.004885 | -4.40% | 0.0353 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.004946 | -2.15% | 0.005015 | -0.79% | 0.0053 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005131 | -2.44% | 0.004595 | -12.64% | 0.1069 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005556 | -2.87% | 0.00456 | -20.28% | 0.2127 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005648 | -2.78% | 0.004635 | -20.22% | 0.2193 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005706 | -2.87% | 0.004785 | -18.55% | 0.2116 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005815 | -3.00% | 0.004985 | -16.85% | 0.1788 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.005948 | -3.21% | 0.00511 | -16.84% | 0.1683 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005767 | -3.23% | 0.005055 | -15.18% | 0.1496 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.00572 | -3.30% | 0.00526 | -11.07% | 0.1119 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.006013 | -3.33% | 0.00572 | -8.04% | 0.0524 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006091 | -3.48% | 0.00581 | -7.92% | 0.0307 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006198 | -3.69% | 0.005875 | -8.70% | 0.0336 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006268 | -3.86% | 0.005995 | -8.05% | 0.0271 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006172 | -3.79% | 0.006145 | -4.21% | 0.0016 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.00616 | -3.82% | 0.00596 | -6.95% | 0.0296 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006258 | -4.02% | 0.005915 | -9.28% | 0.0525 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.005994 | -3.78% | 0.00622 | -0.16% | 0.0301 | ✓ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006526 | -4.46% | 0.00631 | -7.61% | 0.0577 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006545 | -4.60% | 0.006435 | -6.20% | 0.0460 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006525 | -4.05% | 0.00652 | -4.12% | 0.0451 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006742 | -3.96% | 0.006415 | -8.62% | 0.0056 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006688 | -3.42% | 0.006405 | -7.51% | 0.0823 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006696 | -1.96% | 0.00652 | -4.54% | 0.1268 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006657 | -1.38% | 0.00623 | -7.70% | 0.1689 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007617 | -4.37% | 0.00683 | -14.25% | 0.2405 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005945 | +1.02% | 0.00686 | +16.57% | 0.0408 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006192 | +1.09% | 0.0068 | +11.02% | 0.0384 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006378 | +0.84% | 0.00702 | +10.99% | 0.0457 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006676 | +0.62% | 0.006925 | +4.37% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006967 | +0.39% | 0.00683 | -1.59% | 0.0174 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007042 | -0.11% | 0.00675 | -4.26% | 0.0147 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.00791 | -0.88% | 0.007965 | -0.19% | 0.0441 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.007964 | -0.57% | 0.005885 | -26.53% | 0.2909 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007875 | -0.88% | 0.006125 | -22.91% | 0.2063 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008086 | -1.33% | 0.006325 | -22.82% | 0.2130 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008204 | -1.03% | 0.006635 | -19.96% | 0.1809 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008202 | -1.18% | 0.00694 | -16.39% | 0.1072 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009125 | -1.57% | 0.00705 | -23.95% | 0.2705 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009639 | -1.29% | 0.00798 | -18.28% | 0.2023 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010452 | -0.98% | 0.00801 | -24.11% | 0.2728 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010651 | -0.82% | 0.007945 | -26.02% | 0.3270 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.010989 | -0.55% | 0.008195 | -25.84% | 0.3136 | ✓ | 1.00 |