UNION

UNION · · gru_s6

token id: #925
symbol: UNION
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-13
predictions: 822

Track record at +1d

assessed

273

of 274 predictions shown

direction hit

59.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0500

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0041

actual -0.0100

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.0001228	0.000122627	-0.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-21	oos	0.00012275	0.000122883	+0.11%	0.0001228	+0.04%	0.0025	✗	0.80
2026-10-20	oos	0.00013755	0.000137801	+0.18%	0.00012275	-10.76%	0.1259	✗	0.79
2026-10-19	oos	0.00014485	0.000145283	+0.30%	0.00013755	-5.04%	0.0655	✗	0.81
2026-10-18	oos	0.00014775	0.000148271	+0.35%	0.00014485	-1.96%	0.0216	✗	0.86
2026-10-17	oos	0.0001601	0.000160568	+0.29%	0.00014775	-7.71%	0.0899	✗	0.87
2026-10-16	oos	0.00019345	0.000193212	-0.12%	0.0001601	-17.24%	0.1867	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.00021225	0.000211025	-0.58%	0.00019345	-8.86%	0.0808	✓	0.81
2026-10-14	oos	0.0002144	0.000213118	-0.60%	0.00021225	-1.00%	0.0096	✓	0.81
2026-10-13	oos	0.00023545	0.00023109	-1.85%	0.0002144	-8.94%	0.0606	✓	0.77
2026-10-12	oos	0.00019	0.000190388	+0.20%	0.00023545	+23.92%	0.2011	✓	0.69
2026-10-11	oos	0.0002488	0.000247477	-0.53%	0.00019	-23.63%	0.2544	✓	0.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.0002485	0.000247251	-0.50%	0.0002488	+0.12%	0.0030	✓	0.35
2026-10-09	oos	0.0002502	0.000249076	-0.45%	0.0002485	-0.68%	0.0039	✓	0.35
2026-10-08	oos	0.0002485	0.00024738	-0.45%	0.0002502	+0.68%	0.0079	✗	0.34
2026-10-07	oos	0.0002536	0.000251851	-0.69%	0.0002485	-2.01%	0.0075	✓	0.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.00025615	0.000254767	-0.54%	0.0002536	-1.00%	0.0035	✓	0.30
2026-10-05	oos	0.0002497	0.000248324	-0.55%	0.00025615	+2.58%	0.0319	✗	0.35
2026-10-04	oos	0.00026125	0.000259741	-0.58%	0.0002497	-4.42%	0.0363	✓	0.36
2026-10-03	oos	0.0002568	0.00025477	-0.79%	0.00026125	+1.73%	0.0178	✗	0.35
2026-10-02	oos	0.000258	0.000255757	-0.87%	0.0002568	-0.47%	0.0031	✓	0.35
2026-10-01	oos	0.00025745	0.000255155	-0.89%	0.000258	+0.21%	0.0125	✗	0.35
2026-09-30	oos	0.0002593	0.000256573	-1.05%	0.00025745	-0.71%	0.0022	✓	0.37
2026-09-29	oos	0.00026385	0.000262025	-0.69%	0.0002593	-1.72%	0.0101	✓	0.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.00026275	0.000261099	-0.63%	0.00026385	+0.42%	0.0097	✗	0.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.0002808	0.000278771	-0.72%	0.00026275	-6.43%	0.0552	✓	0.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.00026415	0.000262802	-0.51%	0.0002808	+6.30%	0.0661	✗	0.34
2026-09-25	oos	0.00026715	0.000265868	-0.48%	0.00026415	-1.12%	0.0077	✓	0.33
2026-09-24	oos	0.0002802	0.000278055	-0.77%	0.00026715	-4.66%	0.0389	✓	0.32
2026-09-23	oos	0.000251	0.000250154	-0.34%	0.0002802	+11.63%	0.1134	✗	0.33
2026-09-22	oos	0.00025205	0.000251224	-0.33%	0.000251	-0.42%	0.0073	✗	0.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.0002467	0.000246266	-0.18%	0.00025205	+2.17%	0.0254	✗	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.0002636	0.000262726	-0.33%	0.0002467	-6.41%	0.1022	✓	0.61
2026-09-19	oos	0.0002404	0.000240462	+0.03%	0.0002636	+9.65%	0.0924	✓	0.62
2026-09-18	oos	0.0002521	0.000252041	-0.02%	0.0002404	-4.64%	0.0506	✓	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.0002492	0.000249714	+0.21%	0.0002521	+1.16%	0.0363	✗	0.80
2026-09-16	oos	0.00024635	0.000246975	+0.25%	0.0002492	+1.16%	0.0070	✓	0.75
2026-09-15	oos	0.00023975	0.000240529	+0.32%	0.00024635	+2.75%	0.0193	✓	0.62
2026-09-14	oos	0.00026425	0.000264559	+0.12%	0.00023975	-9.27%	0.0919	✗	0.19
2026-09-13	oos	0.00026755	0.000267591	+0.02%	0.00026425	-1.23%	0.0159	✗	0.19
2026-09-12	oos	0.0002721	0.000272072	-0.01%	0.00026755	-1.67%	0.0157	✓	0.18
2026-09-11	oos	0.00026975	0.000269856	+0.04%	0.0002721	+0.87%	0.0082	✓	0.15
2026-09-10	oos	0.00028005	0.000279782	-0.10%	0.00026975	-3.68%	0.0380	✓	0.16
2026-09-09	oos	0.0002891	0.000288543	-0.19%	0.00028005	-3.13%	0.0264	✓	0.15
2026-09-08	oos	0.0002783	0.00027828	-0.01%	0.0002891	+3.88%	0.0385	✗	0.18
2026-09-07	oos	0.0002835	0.000283613	+0.04%	0.0002783	-1.83%	0.0175	✗	0.18
2026-09-06	oos	0.00028735	0.000287686	+0.12%	0.0002835	-1.34%	0.0107	✗	0.25
2026-09-05	oos	0.00029265	0.000292994	+0.12%	0.00028735	-1.81%	0.0211	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.00028345	0.000284121	+0.24%	0.00029265	+3.25%	0.0290	✓	0.28
2026-09-03	oos	0.0002924	0.000293352	+0.33%	0.00028345	-3.06%	0.0289	✗	0.27
2026-09-02	oos	0.00029925	0.000299297	+0.02%	0.0002924	-2.29%	0.0440	✗	0.41
2026-09-01	oos	0.0002837	0.000284211	+0.18%	0.00029925	+5.48%	0.0521	✓	0.42
2026-08-31	oos	0.00029505	0.000295858	+0.27%	0.0002837	-3.85%	0.0382	✗	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.00030415	0.000304712	+0.18%	0.00029505	-2.99%	0.0359	✗	0.32
2026-08-29	oos	0.00030385	0.000304577	+0.24%	0.00030415	+0.10%	0.0010	✓	0.33
2026-08-28	oos	0.0002997	0.000300312	+0.20%	0.00030385	+1.38%	0.0100	✓	0.33
2026-08-27	oos	0.0003054	0.000305853	+0.15%	0.0002997	-1.87%	0.0101	✗	0.33
2026-08-26	oos	0.0002961	0.000296513	+0.14%	0.0003054	+3.14%	0.0244	✓	0.33
2026-08-25	oos	0.0002981	0.000298173	+0.02%	0.0002961	-0.67%	0.0088	✗	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.00029095	0.000290864	-0.03%	0.0002981	+2.46%	0.0266	✗	0.36
2026-08-23	oos	0.0003022	0.000301736	-0.15%	0.00029095	-3.72%	0.0425	✓	0.38
2026-08-22	oos	0.0003231	0.000322046	-0.33%	0.0003022	-6.47%	0.0671	✓	0.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.00032075	0.00031889	-0.58%	0.0003231	+0.73%	0.0197	✗	0.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.0002986	0.000297151	-0.49%	0.00032075	+7.42%	0.0549	✗	0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.00029885	0.000296553	-0.77%	0.0002986	-0.08%	0.0093	✓	0.31
2026-08-18	oos	0.000285	0.000283611	-0.49%	0.00029885	+4.86%	0.0366	✗	0.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.00029165	0.000290345	-0.45%	0.000285	-2.28%	0.0193	✓	0.23
2026-08-16	oos	0.0002988	0.000297582	-0.41%	0.00029165	-2.39%	0.0267	✓	0.25
2026-08-15	oos	0.0003234	0.000319869	-1.09%	0.0002988	-7.61%	0.0674	✓	0.25
2026-08-14	oos	0.0002817	0.000281464	-0.08%	0.0003234	+14.80%	0.1387	✗	0.23
2026-08-13	oos	0.00031165	0.000310778	-0.28%	0.0002817	-9.61%	0.0965	✓	0.24
2026-08-12	oos	0.0003097	0.000308815	-0.29%	0.00031165	+0.63%	0.0091	✗	0.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.0003284	0.000326857	-0.47%	0.0003097	-5.69%	0.0536	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.0003302	0.000328068	-0.65%	0.0003284	-0.55%	0.0020	✓	0.16
2026-08-09	oos	0.00032805	0.00032542	-0.80%	0.0003302	+0.66%	0.0178	✗	0.22
2026-08-08	oos	0.0003274	0.00032423	-0.97%	0.00032805	+0.20%	0.0119	✗	0.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.0003154	0.000313222	-0.69%	0.0003274	+3.80%	0.0442	✗	0.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.0003193	0.000317254	-0.64%	0.0003154	-1.22%	0.0082	✓	0.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.00032445	0.000322866	-0.49%	0.0003193	-1.59%	0.0099	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.00032765	0.000326377	-0.39%	0.00032445	-0.98%	0.0080	✓	0.25
2026-08-03	oos	0.0003328	0.000331163	-0.49%	0.00032765	-1.55%	0.0129	✓	0.25
2026-08-02	oos	0.0003671	0.000362688	-1.20%	0.0003328	-9.34%	0.0859	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.0003089	0.000307927	-0.32%	0.0003671	+18.84%	0.1737	✗	0.18
2026-07-31	oos	0.0003216	0.000320625	-0.30%	0.0003089	-3.95%	0.0371	✓	0.18
2026-07-30	oos	0.00033825	0.000336824	-0.42%	0.0003216	-4.92%	0.0419	✓	0.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0003314	0.000330067	-0.40%	0.00033825	+2.07%	0.0230	✗	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.0003409	0.000339391	-0.44%	0.0003314	-2.79%	0.0239	✓	0.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.00034305	0.000341865	-0.35%	0.0003409	-0.63%	0.0032	✓	0.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0003416	0.000340572	-0.30%	0.00034305	+0.42%	0.0124	✗	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0003487	0.000347745	-0.27%	0.0003416	-2.04%	0.0195	✓	0.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0003463	0.000345427	-0.25%	0.0003487	+0.69%	0.0092	✗	0.08
2026-07-23	oos	0.00038195	0.000380095	-0.49%	0.0003463	-9.33%	0.0926	✓	0.04
2026-07-22	oos	0.0003606	0.000359083	-0.42%	0.00038195	+5.92%	0.0627	✗	0.06
2026-07-21	oos	0.000374	0.000370473	-0.94%	0.0003606	-3.58%	0.0266	✓	0.06
2026-07-20	oos	0.0003359	0.000334872	-0.31%	0.000374	+11.34%	0.1111	✗	-0.03
2026-07-19	oos	0.00032715	0.000326308	-0.26%	0.0003359	+2.67%	0.0293	✗	-0.04
2026-07-18	oos	0.0003441	0.000343106	-0.29%	0.00032715	-4.93%	0.0477	✓	-0.03
2026-07-17	oos	0.00036585	0.000364766	-0.30%	0.0003441	-5.95%	0.0572	✓	-0.08
2026-07-16	oos	0.0003579	0.000357167	-0.20%	0.00036585	+2.22%	0.0241	✗	-0.03
2026-07-15	oos	0.0003639	0.000363369	-0.15%	0.0003579	-1.65%	0.0163	✓	-0.08
2026-07-14	oos	0.0003671	0.00036655	-0.15%	0.0003639	-0.87%	0.0075	✓	-0.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.0003881	0.000386594	-0.39%	0.0003671	-5.41%	0.0517	✓	-0.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.0003582	0.000357491	-0.20%	0.0003881	+8.35%	0.0836	✗	0.06
2026-07-11	oos	0.0003537	0.00035283	-0.25%	0.0003582	+1.27%	0.0151	✗	0.04
2026-07-10	oos	0.00033625	0.000335777	-0.14%	0.0003537	+5.19%	0.0523	✗	0.05
2026-07-09	oos	0.0003604	0.000359772	-0.17%	0.00033625	-6.70%	0.0688	✓	0.08
2026-07-08	oos	0.00037	0.000369465	-0.14%	0.0003604	-2.59%	0.0267	✓	0.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.000405	0.000403704	-0.32%	0.00037	-8.64%	0.0861	✓	0.06
2026-07-06	oos	0.00042735	0.000425897	-0.34%	0.000405	-5.23%	0.0499	✓	0.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.0004051	0.000403898	-0.30%	0.00042735	+5.49%	0.0555	✗	0.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.0004127	0.000411842	-0.21%	0.0004051	-1.84%	0.0176	✓	0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.000419	0.000418109	-0.21%	0.0004127	-1.50%	0.0147	✓	0.18
2026-07-02	oos	0.0004073	0.000406403	-0.22%	0.000419	+2.87%	0.0274	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.0003873	0.00038682	-0.12%	0.0004073	+5.16%	0.0480	✗	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.0004007	0.000399881	-0.20%	0.0003873	-3.34%	0.0383	✓	0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.00040025	0.000399789	-0.12%	0.0004007	+0.11%	0.0098	✗	0.27
2026-06-28	oos	0.0004086	0.000407939	-0.16%	0.00040025	-2.04%	0.0222	✓	0.28
2026-06-27	oos	0.000399	0.000398565	-0.11%	0.0004086	+2.41%	0.0272	✗	0.31
2026-06-26	oos	0.00041255	0.000411822	-0.18%	0.000399	-3.28%	0.0313	✓	0.30
2026-06-25	oos	0.00041245	0.000411734	-0.17%	0.00041255	+0.02%	0.0005	✓	0.30
2026-06-24	oos	0.0004483	0.00044682	-0.33%	0.00041245	-8.00%	0.0734	✓	0.32
2026-06-23	oos	0.0005133	0.000509839	-0.67%	0.0004483	-12.66%	0.1229	✓	0.21
2026-06-22	oos	0.00049685	0.000493312	-0.71%	0.0005133	+3.31%	0.0437	✗	0.19
2026-06-21	oos	0.0004866	0.000483861	-0.56%	0.00049685	+2.11%	0.0243	✗	0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.0006188	0.000607493	-1.83%	0.0004866	-21.36%	0.2151	✓	0.44
2026-06-19	oos	0.0005677	0.000558472	-1.63%	0.0006188	+9.00%	0.0979	✗	0.40
2026-06-18	oos	0.0006888	0.000655486	-4.84%	0.0005677	-17.58%	0.1479	✓	0.43
2026-06-17	oos	0.0006045	0.000569321	-5.82%	0.0006888	+13.95%	0.2031	✗	0.51
2026-06-16	oos	0.0003484	0.000349282	+0.25%	0.0006045	+73.51%	0.5626	✓	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.00033705	0.000338491	+0.43%	0.0003484	+3.37%	0.0365	✓	0.77
2026-06-14	oos	0.0003429	0.000344585	+0.49%	0.00033705	-1.71%	0.0288	✗	0.77
2026-06-13	oos	0.0003593	0.000360953	+0.46%	0.0003429	-4.56%	0.0669	✗	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.0003568	0.00035877	+0.55%	0.0003593	+0.70%	0.0096	✗	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0004005	0.000401687	+0.30%	0.0003568	-10.91%	0.1182	✗	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.0003938	0.000395318	+0.39%	0.0004005	+1.70%	0.0142	✗	0.80
2026-06-09	oos	0.0004071	0.000408309	+0.30%	0.0003938	-3.27%	0.0331	✗	0.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0004564	0.000455646	-0.17%	0.0004071	-10.80%	0.0964	✓	0.74
2026-06-07	oos	0.0004662	0.000465044	-0.25%	0.0004564	-2.10%	0.0159	✓	0.75
2026-06-06	oos	0.0004529	0.000452537	-0.08%	0.0004662	+2.94%	0.0045	✗	0.64
2026-06-05	oos	0.0004608	0.00046054	-0.06%	0.0004529	-1.71%	0.0149	✓	0.62
2026-06-04	oos	0.0005039	0.000501195	-0.54%	0.0004608	-8.55%	0.0585	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.0005097	0.000506196	-0.69%	0.0005039	-1.14%	0.0025	✓	0.56
2026-06-02	oos	0.0004586	0.000457747	-0.19%	0.0005097	+11.14%	0.1353	✗	0.69
2026-06-01	oos	0.0004863	0.000484709	-0.33%	0.0004586	-5.70%	0.0007	✓	0.83
2026-05-31	oos	0.000496	0.00049488	-0.23%	0.0004863	-1.96%	0.0089	✗	0.85
2026-05-30	oos	0.0005138	0.000512136	-0.32%	0.000496	-3.46%	0.0301	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0004875	0.000486375	-0.23%	0.0005138	+5.39%	0.0507	✗	0.76
2026-05-28	oos	0.0005483	0.000542605	-1.04%	0.0004875	-11.09%	0.1057	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.000479	0.000478171	-0.17%	0.0005483	+14.47%	0.1442	✗	0.67
2026-05-26	oos	0.0005493	0.000547	-0.42%	0.000479	-12.80%	0.1224	✓	0.51
2026-05-25	oos	0.0005725	0.000570644	-0.32%	0.0005493	-4.05%	0.0281	✓	0.54
2026-05-24	oos	0.00058805	0.000585975	-0.35%	0.0005725	-2.64%	0.0252	✓	0.55
2026-05-23	oos	0.00058485	0.0005831	-0.30%	0.00058805	+0.55%	0.0061	✗	0.56
2026-05-22	oos	0.0005853	0.000583747	-0.27%	0.00058485	-0.08%	0.0070	✓	0.56
2026-05-21	oos	0.000587	0.000584757	-0.38%	0.0005853	-0.29%	0.0169	✗	0.58
2026-05-20	oos	0.0005868	0.000584781	-0.34%	0.000587	+0.03%	0.0033	✓	0.53
2026-05-19	oos	0.00059175	0.000589395	-0.40%	0.0005868	-0.84%	0.0093	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.0005995	0.000596405	-0.52%	0.00059175	-1.29%	0.0066	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.0005899	0.000588032	-0.32%	0.0005995	+1.63%	0.0225	✗	0.54
2026-05-16	oos	0.0005934	0.000591821	-0.27%	0.0005899	-0.59%	0.0016	✓	0.54
2026-05-15	oos	0.0006503	0.000646737	-0.55%	0.0005934	-8.75%	0.0802	✓	0.48
2026-05-14	oos	0.00060415	0.000602095	-0.34%	0.0006503	+7.64%	0.0908	✗	0.55
2026-05-13	oos	0.0006185	0.000616319	-0.35%	0.00060415	-2.32%	0.0315	✓	0.52
2026-05-12	oos	0.000628	0.00062584	-0.34%	0.0006185	-1.51%	0.0033	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.000715	0.000708908	-0.85%	0.000628	-12.17%	0.1129	✓	0.54
2026-05-10	oos	0.00061955	0.000616969	-0.42%	0.000715	+15.41%	0.1508	✗	0.58
2026-05-09	oos	0.0005873	0.000585724	-0.27%	0.00061955	+5.49%	0.0457	✗	0.55
2026-05-08	oos	0.0005998	0.000597785	-0.34%	0.0005873	-2.08%	0.0208	✓	0.53
2026-05-07	oos	0.0006156	0.000614033	-0.25%	0.0005998	-2.57%	0.0247	✓	0.55
2026-05-06	oos	0.000634	0.000632435	-0.25%	0.0006156	-2.90%	0.0207	✓	0.35
2026-05-05	oos	0.0006436	0.000642105	-0.23%	0.000634	-1.49%	0.0140	✓	0.19
2026-05-04	oos	0.0006481	0.000646321	-0.27%	0.0006436	-0.69%	0.0071	✓	0.22
2026-05-03	oos	0.0006428	0.000640571	-0.35%	0.0006481	+0.82%	0.0077	✗	0.24
2026-05-02	oos	0.0006444	0.000642849	-0.24%	0.0006428	-0.25%	0.0003	✓	0.24
2026-05-01	oos	0.0006384	0.000637599	-0.13%	0.0006444	+0.94%	0.0092	✗	0.25
2026-04-30	oos	0.0006505	0.000648669	-0.28%	0.0006384	-1.86%	0.0231	✓	0.29
2026-04-29	oos	0.0006306	0.000629467	-0.18%	0.0006505	+3.16%	0.0308	✗	0.28
2026-04-28	oos	0.000658	0.000656409	-0.24%	0.0006306	-4.16%	0.0380	✓	0.29
2026-04-27	oos	0.0007584	0.000751861	-0.86%	0.000658	-13.24%	0.1296	✓	0.27
2026-04-26	oos	0.0006143	0.000613806	-0.08%	0.0007584	+23.46%	0.2168	✗	0.31
2026-04-25	oos	0.0006453	0.000643689	-0.25%	0.0006143	-4.80%	0.0508	✓	0.31
2026-04-24	oos	0.00065425	0.000652656	-0.24%	0.0006453	-1.37%	0.0121	✓	0.31
2026-04-23	oos	0.0006497	0.00064991	+0.03%	0.00065425	+0.70%	0.0099	✓	0.31
2026-04-22	oos	0.00067115	0.000671488	+0.05%	0.0006497	-3.20%	0.0333	✗	0.31
2026-04-21	oos	0.0006797	0.000678893	-0.12%	0.00067115	-1.26%	0.0190	✓	0.31
2026-04-20	oos	0.00067895	0.000677583	-0.20%	0.0006797	+0.11%	0.0010	✓	0.33
2026-04-19	oos	0.0006767	0.00067355	-0.47%	0.00067895	+0.33%	0.0009	✓	0.33
2026-04-18	oos	0.0006167	0.00061601	-0.11%	0.0006767	+9.73%	0.1033	✗	0.36
2026-04-17	oos	0.0006849	0.000683429	-0.21%	0.0006167	-9.96%	0.0966	✓	0.35
2026-04-16	oos	0.0007269	0.000723072	-0.53%	0.0006849	-5.78%	0.0635	✓	0.36
2026-04-15	oos	0.0006878	0.000684494	-0.48%	0.0007269	+5.68%	0.0586	✗	0.36
2026-04-14	oos	0.0006938	0.000689623	-0.60%	0.0006878	-0.86%	0.0059	✓	0.37
2026-04-13	oos	0.0006568	0.000653314	-0.53%	0.0006938	+5.63%	0.0615	✗	0.38
2026-04-12	oos	0.000669	0.00066537	-0.54%	0.0006568	-1.82%	0.0328	✓	0.39
2026-04-11	oos	0.000678	0.000673446	-0.67%	0.000669	-1.33%	0.0062	✓	0.40
2026-04-10	oos	0.0006807	0.000675734	-0.73%	0.000678	-0.40%	0.0029	✓	0.39
2026-04-09	oos	0.00064095	0.000637444	-0.55%	0.0006807	+6.20%	0.0594	✗	0.38
2026-04-08	oos	0.0006903	0.000684993	-0.77%	0.00064095	-7.15%	0.0703	✓	0.39
2026-04-07	oos	0.0006805	0.00067394	-0.96%	0.0006903	+1.44%	0.0285	✗	0.39
2026-04-06	oos	0.0006281	0.000625297	-0.45%	0.0006805	+8.34%	0.0696	✗	0.35
2026-04-05	oos	0.0006706	0.000666098	-0.67%	0.0006281	-6.34%	0.0580	✓	0.35
2026-04-04	oos	0.0006384	0.000635679	-0.43%	0.0006706	+5.04%	0.0453	✗	0.33
2026-04-03	oos	0.0005835	0.000583174	-0.06%	0.0006384	+9.41%	0.0889	✗	0.31
2026-04-02	oos	0.00059785	0.000597998	+0.02%	0.0005835	-2.40%	0.0248	✗	0.31
2026-04-01	oos	0.0007258	0.000723512	-0.32%	0.00059785	-17.63%	0.1856	✓	0.29
2026-03-31	oos	0.0008132	0.000808252	-0.61%	0.0007258	-10.75%	0.1071	✓	0.29
2026-03-30	oos	0.0008181	0.000810879	-0.88%	0.0008132	-0.60%	0.0035	✓	0.29
2026-03-29	oos	0.0007707	0.000767198	-0.45%	0.0008181	+6.15%	0.0610	✗	0.27
2026-03-28	oos	0.0007611	0.000756887	-0.55%	0.0007707	+1.26%	0.0196	✗	0.27
2026-03-27	oos	0.0007675	0.000764841	-0.35%	0.0007611	-0.83%	0.0048	✓	0.27
2026-03-26	oos	0.0008237	0.000817002	-0.81%	0.0007675	-6.82%	0.0534	✓	0.25
2026-03-25	oos	0.000827	0.00081907	-0.96%	0.0008237	-0.40%	0.0152	✗	0.26
2026-03-24	oos	0.0009455	0.000932832	-1.34%	0.000827	-12.53%	0.1235	✓	0.29
2026-03-23	oos	0.001078	0.001043	-3.20%	0.0009455	-12.27%	0.0970	✓	0.29
2026-03-22	oos	0.0008176	0.000808632	-1.10%	0.001078	+31.81%	0.2825	✗	0.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.0008102	0.000801592	-1.06%	0.0008176	+0.91%	0.0215	✗	0.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.0007869	0.000780352	-0.83%	0.0008102	+2.96%	0.0404	✗	0.13
2026-03-19	oos	0.0008301	0.000823407	-0.81%	0.0007869	-5.20%	0.0464	✓	0.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.000844	0.000837658	-0.75%	0.0008301	-1.65%	0.0066	✓	0.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.0008544	0.000849663	-0.55%	0.000844	-1.22%	0.0016	✓	0.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.0008665	0.000861895	-0.53%	0.0008544	-1.40%	0.0070	✓	0.14
2026-03-15	oos	0.0008603	0.000854544	-0.67%	0.0008665	+0.72%	0.0103	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.000847	0.000840962	-0.71%	0.0008603	+1.57%	0.0202	✗	0.12
2026-03-13	oos	0.0008553	0.000849993	-0.62%	0.000847	-0.97%	0.0040	✓	0.11
2026-03-12	oos	0.0008518	0.000847803	-0.47%	0.0008553	+0.41%	0.0082	✗	0.11
2026-03-11	oos	0.0008565	0.000854138	-0.28%	0.0008518	-0.55%	0.0032	✓	0.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.0009532	0.000950937	-0.24%	0.0008565	-10.14%	0.1050	✓	0.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00092295	0.000920927	-0.22%	0.0009532	+3.28%	0.0323	✗	0.10
2026-03-08	oos	0.001003	0.00099986	-0.34%	0.00092295	-8.00%	0.0852	✓	0.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.0009919	0.000989262	-0.27%	0.001003	+1.14%	0.0169	✗	0.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.001065	0.001062	-0.29%	0.0009919	-6.90%	0.0668	✓	0.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.001085	0.001081	-0.34%	0.001065	-1.77%	0.0086	✓	0.15
2026-03-04	oos	0.001084	0.001079	-0.45%	0.001085	+0.06%	0.0089	✗	0.15
2026-03-03	oos	0.0009642	0.000960635	-0.37%	0.001084	+12.42%	0.1200	✗	0.01
2026-03-02	oos	0.0009868	0.000983197	-0.37%	0.0009642	-2.29%	0.0194	✓	0.01
2026-03-01	oos	0.001057	0.001051	-0.50%	0.0009868	-6.61%	0.0658	✓	0.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.001174	0.001165	-0.76%	0.001057	-10.02%	0.0972	✓	0.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.001293	0.001264	-2.21%	0.001174	-9.14%	0.0746	✓	0.07
2026-02-26	oos	0.00117	0.001142	-2.42%	0.001293	+10.46%	0.1265	✗	0.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.0007948	0.000790571	-0.53%	0.00117	+47.22%	0.3928	✗	0.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.000754	0.000751815	-0.29%	0.0007948	+5.41%	0.0555	✗	0.00
2026-02-23	oos	0.0008021	0.000799399	-0.34%	0.000754	-6.00%	0.0584	✓	0.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.0008279	0.000824585	-0.40%	0.0008021	-3.12%	0.0275	✓	0.00
2026-02-21	oos	0.0008661	0.000863133	-0.34%	0.0008279	-4.41%	0.0417	✓	0.00
2026-02-20	oos	0.000957	0.000954019	-0.31%	0.0008661	-9.50%	0.0967	✓	0.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001101	0.001096	-0.42%	0.000957	-13.08%	0.1370	✓	0.07
2026-02-18	oos	0.001148	0.001143	-0.41%	0.001101	-4.09%	0.0383	✓	0.07
2026-02-17	oos	0.001199	0.001193	-0.53%	0.001148	-4.25%	0.0371	✓	0.07
2026-02-16	oos	0.001202	0.001196	-0.52%	0.001199	-0.25%	0.0043	✓	0.07
2026-02-15	oos	0.001245	0.001236	-0.69%	0.001202	-3.45%	0.0283	✓	0.08
2026-02-14	oos	0.001165	0.00116	-0.44%	0.001245	+6.87%	0.0721	✗	0.08
2026-02-13	oos	0.001148	0.001144	-0.33%	0.001165	+1.48%	0.0171	✗	0.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.001191	0.00119	-0.06%	0.001148	-3.61%	0.0388	✓	0.07
2026-02-11	oos	0.001407	0.001403	-0.29%	0.001191	-15.35%	0.1515	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.001486	0.00148	-0.42%	0.001407	-5.32%	0.0242	✓	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.001543	0.00153	-0.87%	0.001486	-3.69%	0.0103	✓	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.001427	0.001425	-0.11%	0.001543	+8.13%	0.0817	✗	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.001508	0.001508	-0.03%	0.001427	-5.37%	0.0698	✓	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.001589	0.001587	-0.16%	0.001508	-5.10%	0.0324	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.001658	0.001678	+1.20%	0.001589	-4.16%	0.1706	✗	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.001626	0.001628	+0.10%	0.001658	+1.97%	0.1691	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.001753	0.001748	-0.27%	0.001626	-7.24%	0.0366	✓	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.001893	0.001886	-0.37%	0.001753	-7.40%	0.0342	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.001907	0.001904	-0.14%	0.001893	-0.73%	0.0288	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.002009	0.002003	-0.32%	0.001907	-5.08%	0.0263	✓	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.002156	0.002149	-0.31%	0.002009	-6.82%	0.0003	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.002235	0.002228	-0.29%	0.002156	-3.53%	0.0283	✓	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.002329	0.002317	-0.50%	0.002235	-4.04%	0.0173	✗	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.00229	0.002279	-0.48%	0.002329	+1.70%	0.0212	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.002304	0.002298	-0.27%	0.00229	-0.61%	0.0131	✓	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.002421	0.002413	-0.34%	0.002304	-4.83%	0.0655	✓	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.002488	0.002477	-0.46%	0.002421	-2.69%	0.0060	✗	1.00
2026-01-23	oos	0.002529	0.002512	-0.68%	0.002488	-1.62%	0.0051	✓	1.00
2026-01-22	oos	0.002458	0.002442	-0.64%	0.002529	+2.89%	0.0348	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.