UMXM

Manadia · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s6

token id: #947
symbol: UMXM
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x44fc58faaaca03e5d52e493dae930ffa63e2a664
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-23
predictions: 519

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

172

of 173 predictions shown

direction hit

42.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0594

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0072

actual -0.0219

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.03595	0.036005	+0.15%	–	pending	–	–	-1.33
2026-10-20	oos	0.04015	0.040158	+0.02%	0.03595	-10.46%	0.1142	✗	-1.20
2026-10-19	oos	0.04395	0.043927	-0.05%	0.04015	-8.65%	0.0744	✓	-1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.04805	0.048008	-0.09%	0.04395	-8.53%	0.0909	✓	-1.24
2026-10-17	oos	0.05595	0.055745	-0.37%	0.04805	-14.12%	0.1384	✓	-1.32
2026-10-16	oos	0.0651	0.064589	-0.79%	0.05595	-14.06%	0.1455	✓	-1.33
2026-10-15	oos	0.0648	0.064487	-0.48%	0.0651	+0.46%	0.0005	✓	-1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.25085	0.22849	-8.91%	0.0648	-74.17%	1.2523	✓	-1.16
2026-10-13	oos	0.0581	0.057959	-0.24%	0.25085	+331.76%	1.4603	✗	-0.26
2026-10-12	oos	0.0588	0.058641	-0.27%	0.0581	-1.19%	0.0045	✓	-0.29
2026-10-11	oos	0.05905	0.058981	-0.12%	0.0588	-0.42%	0.0082	✓	-0.22
2026-10-10	oos	0.0592	0.059133	-0.11%	0.05905	-0.25%	0.0009	✓	-0.25
2026-10-09	oos	0.0591	0.058969	-0.22%	0.0592	+0.17%	0.0051	✗	-0.26
2026-10-08	oos	0.0616	0.061409	-0.31%	0.0591	-4.06%	0.0355	✓	-0.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.0618	0.061646	-0.25%	0.0616	-0.32%	0.0052	✓	-0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.0634	0.063258	-0.22%	0.0618	-2.52%	0.0290	✓	-0.21
2026-10-05	oos	0.0619	0.061673	-0.37%	0.0634	+2.42%	0.0271	✗	-0.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.06095	0.060594	-0.58%	0.0619	+1.56%	0.0193	✗	-0.22
2026-10-03	oos	0.066	0.065357	-0.97%	0.06095	-7.65%	0.0656	✓	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.0647	0.064246	-0.70%	0.066	+2.01%	0.0275	✗	-0.19
2026-10-01	oos	0.06655	0.066238	-0.47%	0.0647	-2.78%	0.0242	✓	-0.19
2026-09-30	oos	0.06295	0.062734	-0.34%	0.06655	+5.72%	0.0621	✗	-0.20
2026-09-29	oos	0.0632	0.062986	-0.34%	0.06295	-0.40%	0.0007	✓	-0.16
2026-09-28	oos	0.06695	0.066736	-0.32%	0.0632	-5.60%	0.0541	✓	-0.14
2026-09-27	oos	0.0776	0.077213	-0.50%	0.06695	-13.72%	0.1452	✓	-0.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.0759	0.075456	-0.58%	0.0776	+2.24%	0.0281	✗	-0.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.07795	0.077525	-0.55%	0.0759	-2.63%	0.0204	✓	-0.21
2026-09-24	oos	0.0836	0.083091	-0.61%	0.07795	-6.76%	0.0646	✓	-0.23
2026-09-23	oos	0.089	0.08849	-0.57%	0.0836	-6.07%	0.0568	✓	-0.23
2026-09-22	oos	0.09335	0.092799	-0.59%	0.089	-4.66%	0.0475	✓	-0.27
2026-09-21	oos	0.09665	0.096078	-0.59%	0.09335	-3.41%	0.0302	✓	-0.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.09805	0.097135	-0.93%	0.09665	-1.43%	0.0205	✗	-0.39
2026-09-19	oos	0.0989	0.097833	-1.08%	0.09805	-0.86%	0.0019	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.0993	0.097485	-1.83%	0.0989	-0.40%	0.0161	✓	-0.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.09925	0.098173	-1.09%	0.0993	+0.05%	0.0386	✗	-0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.0999	0.098793	-1.11%	0.09925	-0.65%	0.0058	✓	-0.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.09935	0.098198	-1.16%	0.0999	+0.55%	0.0207	✗	-0.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.09945	0.097783	-1.68%	0.09935	-0.10%	0.0004	✓	-0.48
2026-09-13	oos	0.0999	0.098697	-1.20%	0.09945	-0.45%	0.0166	✗	-0.51
2026-09-12	oos	0.0998	0.098512	-1.29%	0.0999	+0.10%	0.0110	✓	-0.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.0995	0.098241	-1.26%	0.0998	+0.30%	0.0161	✗	-0.47
2026-09-10	oos	0.0997	0.098259	-1.45%	0.0995	-0.20%	0.0165	✗	-0.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.09985	0.098584	-1.27%	0.0997	-0.15%	0.0012	✓	-0.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.10035	0.099156	-1.19%	0.09985	-0.50%	0.0061	✓	-0.40
2026-09-07	oos	0.1002	0.098895	-1.30%	0.10035	+0.15%	0.0114	✓	-0.40
2026-09-06	oos	0.09995	0.098667	-1.28%	0.1002	+0.25%	0.0093	✓	-0.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.1004	0.099	-1.39%	0.09995	-0.45%	0.0121	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.09975	0.098346	-1.41%	0.1004	+0.65%	0.0214	✗	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.10045	0.099144	-1.30%	0.09975	-0.70%	0.0009	✓	-0.35
2026-09-02	oos	0.12235	0.120044	-1.88%	0.10045	-17.90%	0.1701	✓	-0.16
2026-09-01	oos	0.10025	0.099161	-1.09%	0.12235	+22.04%	0.2100	✗	-0.15
2026-08-31	oos	0.09965	0.098084	-1.57%	0.10025	+0.60%	0.0188	✗	-0.21
2026-08-30	oos	0.1011	0.099635	-1.45%	0.09965	-1.43%	0.0015	✓	-0.12
2026-08-29	oos	0.10075	0.099291	-1.45%	0.1011	+0.35%	0.0170	✗	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.1007	0.099239	-1.45%	0.10075	+0.05%	0.0159	✗	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.10085	0.099348	-1.49%	0.1007	-0.15%	0.0096	✓	-0.13
2026-08-26	oos	0.1005	0.098987	-1.51%	0.10085	+0.35%	0.0209	✗	-0.14
2026-08-25	oos	0.1009	0.099428	-1.46%	0.1005	-0.40%	0.0117	✓	-0.16
2026-08-24	oos	0.1008	0.099394	-1.39%	0.1009	+0.10%	0.0140	✗	-0.17
2026-08-23	oos	0.10075	0.099412	-1.33%	0.1008	+0.05%	0.0169	✗	-0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.09985	0.098621	-1.23%	0.10075	+0.90%	0.0230	✗	-0.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.0995	0.098073	-1.43%	0.09985	+0.35%	0.0151	✗	-0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.1003	0.099587	-0.71%	0.0995	-0.80%	0.0154	✗	-0.23
2026-08-19	oos	0.10025	0.10047	+0.22%	0.1003	+0.05%	0.0151	✓	-0.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.10475	0.105881	+1.08%	0.10025	-4.30%	0.0308	✗	-0.35
2026-08-17	oos	0.1043	0.105639	+1.28%	0.10475	+0.43%	0.0074	✓	-0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.13135	0.132887	+1.17%	0.1043	-20.59%	0.2387	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.13905	0.140499	+1.04%	0.13135	-5.54%	0.0678	✗	-0.15
2026-08-14	oos	0.1395	0.140315	+0.58%	0.13905	-0.32%	0.0089	✗	-0.16
2026-08-13	oos	0.1552	0.155627	+0.28%	0.1395	-10.12%	0.1107	✗	-0.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.16135	0.161746	+0.25%	0.1552	-3.81%	0.0413	✗	-0.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.1805	0.180579	+0.04%	0.16135	-10.61%	0.1130	✗	-0.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.20565	0.204567	-0.53%	0.1805	-12.23%	0.1265	✓	-0.22
2026-08-09	oos	0.2128	0.211195	-0.75%	0.20565	-3.36%	0.0300	✓	-0.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.2366	0.234804	-0.76%	0.2128	-10.06%	0.0986	✓	-0.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.2354	0.233485	-0.81%	0.2366	+0.51%	0.0133	✗	-0.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.244	0.242035	-0.81%	0.2354	-3.52%	0.0256	✓	-0.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.2479	0.245638	-0.91%	0.244	-1.57%	0.0078	✓	-0.22
2026-08-04	oos	0.24485	0.24287	-0.81%	0.2479	+1.25%	0.0223	✗	-0.21
2026-08-03	oos	0.2522	0.249864	-0.93%	0.24485	-2.91%	0.0183	✓	-0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.2667	0.264704	-0.75%	0.2522	-5.44%	0.0485	✓	-0.19
2026-08-01	oos	0.2733	0.271458	-0.67%	0.2667	-2.41%	0.0152	✓	-0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.2786	0.275357	-1.16%	0.2733	-1.90%	0.0077	✓	-0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.25295	0.249697	-1.29%	0.2786	+10.14%	0.1064	✗	-0.11
2026-07-29	oos	0.25285	0.249619	-1.28%	0.25295	+0.04%	0.0153	✗	-0.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.26005	0.256655	-1.31%	0.25285	-2.77%	0.0149	✓	-0.09
2026-07-27	oos	0.2189	0.216484	-1.10%	0.26005	+18.80%	0.1835	✗	-0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.288	0.285214	-0.97%	0.2189	-23.99%	0.2715	✓	-0.27
2026-07-25	oos	0.43055	0.431122	+0.13%	0.288	-33.11%	0.4016	✗	-0.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.5458	0.547206	+0.26%	0.43055	-21.12%	0.2398	✗	-0.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.67405	0.675912	+0.28%	0.5458	-19.03%	0.2148	✗	-0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.8973	0.898999	+0.19%	0.67405	-24.88%	0.2916	✗	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	1.0072	1.0085	+0.12%	0.8973	-10.92%	0.1184	✗	-0.25
2026-07-20	oos	1.2409	1.2409	-0.00%	1.0072	-18.83%	0.2068	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	2.3075	2.2996	-0.34%	1.2409	-46.22%	0.6180	✓	0.13
2026-07-18	oos	2.3811	2.3719	-0.38%	2.3075	-3.09%	0.0273	✓	0.13
2026-07-17	oos	2.3614	2.351	-0.44%	2.3811	+0.83%	0.0108	✗	0.13
2026-07-16	oos	2.2402	2.2321	-0.36%	2.3614	+5.41%	0.0561	✗	0.12
2026-07-15	oos	2.2807	2.2717	-0.39%	2.2402	-1.78%	0.0123	✓	0.11
2026-07-14	oos	2.2208	2.2099	-0.49%	2.2807	+2.69%	0.0320	✗	0.12
2026-07-13	oos	2.2458	2.2353	-0.47%	2.2208	-1.11%	0.0132	✓	0.16
2026-07-12	oos	2.2386	2.2275	-0.49%	2.2458	+0.32%	0.0118	✗	0.16
2026-07-11	oos	2.2285	2.2186	-0.44%	2.2386	+0.45%	0.0090	✗	0.16
2026-07-10	oos	2.2295	2.2204	-0.41%	2.2285	-0.05%	0.0045	✗	0.16
2026-07-09	oos	2.2182	2.2069	-0.51%	2.2295	+0.51%	0.0078	✗	0.16
2026-07-08	oos	2.2142	2.2015	-0.57%	2.2182	+0.18%	0.0051	✓	0.17
2026-07-07	oos	2.214	2.2	-0.63%	2.2142	+0.01%	0.0092	✗	0.16
2026-07-06	oos	2.1901	2.1784	-0.53%	2.214	+1.09%	0.0180	✗	0.16
2026-07-05	oos	2.1837	2.1675	-0.75%	2.1901	+0.29%	0.0093	✗	0.17
2026-07-04	oos	2.1444	2.1322	-0.57%	2.1837	+1.83%	0.0226	✗	0.16
2026-07-03	oos	2.1366	2.1257	-0.51%	2.1444	+0.37%	0.0073	✗	0.17
2026-07-02	oos	2.1222	2.1111	-0.52%	2.1366	+0.68%	0.0091	✗	0.17
2026-07-01	oos	2.0958	2.0824	-0.64%	2.1222	+1.26%	0.0146	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	2.0838	2.0738	-0.48%	2.0958	+0.58%	0.0062	✗	0.18
2026-06-29	oos	2.0821	2.071	-0.53%	2.0838	+0.08%	0.0110	✗	0.18
2026-06-28	oos	2.0604	2.0477	-0.62%	2.0821	+1.05%	0.0146	✗	0.18
2026-06-27	oos	2.0261	2.0163	-0.49%	2.0604	+1.69%	0.0230	✗	0.18
2026-06-26	oos	2.0122	2.0028	-0.47%	2.0261	+0.69%	0.0118	✗	0.18
2026-06-25	oos	1.9861	1.9739	-0.61%	2.0122	+1.32%	0.0183	✗	0.18
2026-06-24	oos	1.964	1.9533	-0.54%	1.9861	+1.12%	0.0205	✗	0.18
2026-06-23	oos	1.9527	1.9405	-0.63%	1.964	+0.58%	0.0170	✗	0.18
2026-06-22	oos	1.8978	1.8817	-0.85%	1.9527	+2.90%	0.0413	✗	0.20
2026-06-21	oos	1.819	1.8119	-0.39%	1.8978	+4.33%	0.0442	✗	0.18
2026-06-20	oos	1.8041	1.796	-0.45%	1.819	+0.82%	0.0156	✗	0.18
2026-06-19	oos	1.7939	1.7845	-0.52%	1.8041	+0.57%	0.0087	✗	0.19
2026-06-18	oos	1.775	1.7628	-0.69%	1.7939	+1.06%	0.0157	✗	0.19
2026-06-17	oos	1.7866	1.7752	-0.64%	1.775	-0.65%	0.0042	✓	0.18
2026-06-16	oos	1.7721	1.7625	-0.54%	1.7866	+0.82%	0.0168	✗	0.18
2026-06-15	oos	1.7686	1.7597	-0.50%	1.7721	+0.20%	0.0088	✗	0.18
2026-06-14	oos	1.7635	1.7538	-0.55%	1.7686	+0.29%	0.0068	✗	0.18
2026-06-13	oos	1.7518	1.7394	-0.71%	1.7635	+0.67%	0.0101	✗	0.19
2026-06-12	oos	1.732	1.7241	-0.45%	1.7518	+1.15%	0.0133	✗	0.19
2026-06-11	oos	1.7178	1.7102	-0.44%	1.732	+0.83%	0.0127	✗	0.19
2026-06-10	oos	1.7223	1.7151	-0.42%	1.7178	-0.26%	0.0062	✓	0.23
2026-06-09	oos	1.7114	1.7042	-0.43%	1.7223	+0.63%	0.0115	✗	0.23
2026-06-08	oos	1.7274	1.7184	-0.52%	1.7114	-0.92%	0.0007	✓	0.21
2026-06-07	oos	1.6827	1.6732	-0.56%	1.7274	+2.66%	0.0327	✗	0.21
2026-06-06	oos	1.6853	1.6771	-0.49%	1.6827	-0.15%	0.0074	✓	0.27
2026-06-05	oos	1.6878	1.6778	-0.59%	1.6853	-0.15%	0.0053	✓	0.27
2026-06-04	oos	1.6892	1.6793	-0.59%	1.6878	-0.08%	0.0175	✗	0.28
2026-06-03	oos	1.6755	1.6658	-0.58%	1.6892	+0.82%	0.0149	✗	0.28
2026-06-02	oos	1.6107	1.6008	-0.61%	1.6755	+4.02%	0.0619	✗	0.41
2026-06-01	oos	1.7272	1.7119	-0.89%	1.6107	-6.75%	0.0644	✓	-0.05
2026-05-31	oos	1.6968	1.6811	-0.93%	1.7272	+1.79%	0.0264	✗	-0.02
2026-05-30	oos	1.6992	1.6816	-1.04%	1.6968	-0.14%	0.0090	✓	-0.02
2026-05-29	oos	1.6483	1.6317	-1.01%	1.6992	+3.09%	0.0408	✗	-0.05
2026-05-28	oos	1.6386	1.6223	-0.99%	1.6483	+0.60%	0.0158	✗	-0.05
2026-05-27	oos	1.641	1.624	-1.04%	1.6386	-0.15%	0.0082	✓	-0.06
2026-05-26	oos	1.6222	1.6063	-0.98%	1.641	+1.16%	0.0201	✗	-0.06
2026-05-25	oos	1.6498	1.633	-1.01%	1.6222	-1.67%	0.0095	✓	-0.15
2026-05-24	oos	1.6164	1.6012	-0.94%	1.6498	+2.06%	0.0304	✗	-0.16
2026-05-23	oos	1.6125	1.5974	-0.94%	1.6164	+0.24%	0.0125	✗	-0.15
2026-05-22	oos	1.6076	1.5925	-0.94%	1.6125	+0.31%	0.0033	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	1.6017	1.5874	-0.89%	1.6076	+0.37%	0.0401	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	1.6625	1.6457	-1.01%	1.6017	-3.66%	0.0280	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	1.617	1.6003	-1.03%	1.6625	+2.82%	0.0289	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	1.6751	1.6567	-1.10%	1.617	-3.47%	0.0220	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	1.5775	1.5594	-1.14%	1.6751	+6.19%	0.0776	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	1.5375	1.5244	-0.85%	1.5775	+2.60%	0.0432	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	1.5322	1.521	-0.73%	1.5375	+0.35%	0.0229	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	1.5186	1.5089	-0.63%	1.5322	+0.90%	0.0405	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	1.5346	1.523	-0.75%	1.5186	-1.05%	0.0253	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	1.5227	1.512	-0.70%	1.5346	+0.78%	0.0298	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	1.5116	1.5032	-0.56%	1.5227	+0.73%	0.0282	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	1.5148	1.5063	-0.56%	1.5116	-0.21%	0.0093	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.5776	1.5681	-0.60%	1.5148	-3.98%	0.0536	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	1.5512	1.5422	-0.58%	1.5776	+1.70%	0.0169	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	1.5268	1.5179	-0.58%	1.5512	+1.60%	0.0194	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	1.6231	1.6141	-0.55%	1.5268	-5.93%	0.0379	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	1.6713	1.6614	-0.60%	1.6231	-2.89%	0.0299	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	1.6419	1.6315	-0.63%	1.6713	+1.79%	0.0110	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	1.7622	1.7492	-0.74%	1.6419	-6.83%	0.0796	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	1.7539	1.7427	-0.64%	1.7622	+0.47%	0.0127	✗	1.00