TENDIES
TENDIES · Robinhood · gru_s6
- token id
- #799
- symbol
- TENDIES
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x45242320dbb855eea8fd36804c6487e10e97fcf9
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-16
- predictions
- 267
Track record at +1d
assessed
88
of 89 predictions shown
direction hit
54.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1266
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0039
actual -0.0216
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004573 | 0.004569 | -0.09% | – | pending | – | – | 2.70 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004425 | 0.004431 | +0.13% | 0.004573 | +3.33% | 0.0387 | ✓ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00342 | 0.003464 | +1.29% | 0.004425 | +29.40% | 0.2129 | ✓ | 2.40 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0035 | 0.003547 | +1.33% | 0.00342 | -2.29% | 0.0318 | ✗ | 2.20 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00385 | 0.003896 | +1.20% | 0.0035 | -9.09% | 0.1240 | ✗ | 2.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.003762 | 0.003813 | +1.35% | 0.00385 | +2.34% | 0.0130 | ✓ | 2.22 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004347 | 0.004398 | +1.17% | 0.003762 | -13.46% | 0.1392 | ✗ | 2.23 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.004939 | 0.00499 | +1.02% | 0.004347 | -11.99% | 0.1531 | ✗ | 2.23 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.005042 | 0.005094 | +1.04% | 0.004939 | -2.04% | 0.0112 | ✓ | 2.26 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004456 | 0.004522 | +1.48% | 0.005042 | +13.15% | 0.0723 | ✓ | 2.22 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005425 | 0.005484 | +1.09% | 0.004456 | -17.86% | 0.1580 | ✗ | 2.12 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005468 | 0.005535 | +1.23% | 0.005425 | -0.79% | 0.0397 | ✗ | 2.12 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.004698 | 0.004774 | +1.61% | 0.005468 | +16.39% | 0.1264 | ✓ | 2.11 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005044 | 0.005126 | +1.63% | 0.004698 | -6.86% | 0.1093 | ✗ | 2.13 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005198 | 0.005277 | +1.52% | 0.005044 | -2.96% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 2.15 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.006669 | 0.006738 | +1.03% | 0.005198 | -22.06% | 0.2060 | ✗ | 1.99 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.007464 | 0.007521 | +0.76% | 0.006669 | -10.65% | 0.1154 | ✗ | 1.98 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.006732 | 0.006801 | +1.03% | 0.007464 | +10.87% | 0.1108 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006723 | 0.006803 | +1.20% | 0.006732 | +0.14% | 0.0525 | ✗ | 2.04 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006885 | 0.006965 | +1.17% | 0.006723 | -2.36% | 0.0412 | ✗ | 2.04 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.008486 | 0.008535 | +0.58% | 0.006885 | -18.87% | 0.2067 | ✗ | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008463 | 0.008526 | +0.75% | 0.008486 | +0.27% | 0.0354 | ✗ | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008951 | 0.009003 | +0.58% | 0.008463 | -5.45% | 0.0599 | ✗ | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00977 | 0.009803 | +0.34% | 0.008951 | -8.38% | 0.0952 | ✗ | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.010303 | 0.010313 | +0.10% | 0.00977 | -5.18% | 0.0304 | ✗ | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.011222 | 0.011213 | -0.08% | 0.010303 | -8.19% | 0.0857 | ✓ | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010876 | 0.010877 | +0.01% | 0.011222 | +3.18% | 0.0236 | ✓ | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.010248 | 0.010258 | +0.10% | 0.010876 | +6.13% | 0.0654 | ✓ | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01068 | 0.010684 | +0.04% | 0.010248 | -4.04% | 0.0419 | ✗ | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.011652 | -0.14% | 0.01068 | -8.47% | 0.0452 | ✓ | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.013417 | 0.013376 | -0.31% | 0.011668 | -13.04% | 0.1277 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.012814 | 0.012801 | -0.10% | 0.013417 | +4.71% | 0.0880 | ✓ | 2.08 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.013697 | 0.013667 | -0.22% | 0.012814 | -6.45% | 0.0626 | ✓ | 2.07 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.014911 | 0.014824 | -0.58% | 0.013697 | -8.14% | 0.0882 | ✓ | 2.08 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011718 | 0.01177 | +0.44% | 0.014911 | +27.24% | 0.1341 | ✓ | 1.78 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.01202 | 0.012059 | +0.32% | 0.011718 | -2.51% | 0.0334 | ✗ | 1.78 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.01274 | 0.012757 | +0.14% | 0.01202 | -5.65% | 0.0728 | ✗ | 1.79 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014146 | 0.014085 | -0.43% | 0.01274 | -9.94% | 0.0420 | ✓ | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.013051 | 0.013007 | -0.33% | 0.014146 | +8.39% | 0.0539 | ✗ | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.014048 | 0.013983 | -0.46% | 0.013051 | -7.10% | 0.0589 | ✓ | 1.67 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.016721 | 0.016622 | -0.59% | 0.014048 | -15.99% | 0.1694 | ✓ | 1.65 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.018437 | 0.018264 | -0.94% | 0.016721 | -9.31% | 0.1029 | ✓ | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.01575 | 0.015642 | -0.68% | 0.018437 | +17.06% | 0.2077 | ✗ | 1.92 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.016751 | 0.016617 | -0.80% | 0.01575 | -5.98% | 0.0496 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.016325 | 0.016196 | -0.79% | 0.016751 | +2.61% | 0.0495 | ✗ | 1.93 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.017816 | 0.017676 | -0.79% | 0.016325 | -8.37% | 0.0500 | ✓ | 1.89 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.021024 | 0.02083 | -0.92% | 0.017816 | -15.26% | 0.1683 | ✓ | 1.90 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.01957 | 0.019417 | -0.78% | 0.021024 | +7.43% | 0.0758 | ✗ | 1.91 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.029397 | 0.028892 | -1.72% | 0.01957 | -33.43% | 0.3604 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.033181 | 0.031528 | -4.98% | 0.029397 | -11.40% | 0.1683 | ✓ | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.017887 | 0.017726 | -0.90% | 0.033181 | +85.50% | 0.6295 | ✗ | 2.14 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.01556 | 0.015476 | -0.54% | 0.017887 | +14.96% | 0.1796 | ✗ | 2.34 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01848 | 0.018307 | -0.94% | 0.01556 | -15.80% | 0.1903 | ✓ | 2.41 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.017954 | 0.017773 | -1.01% | 0.01848 | +2.93% | 0.0569 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.01445 | 0.014374 | -0.52% | 0.017954 | +24.25% | 0.2100 | ✗ | 2.44 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016556 | 0.016467 | -0.53% | 0.01445 | -12.72% | 0.0586 | ✓ | 2.34 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.017784 | 0.017623 | -0.91% | 0.016556 | -6.91% | 0.1001 | ✓ | 2.40 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.015549 | 0.015467 | -0.53% | 0.017784 | +14.37% | 0.1244 | ✗ | 2.39 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.020972 | 0.020666 | -1.46% | 0.015549 | -25.86% | 0.2718 | ✓ | 2.21 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.018399 | 0.018141 | -1.40% | 0.020972 | +13.98% | 0.1108 | ✗ | 2.14 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.01375 | 0.013684 | -0.48% | 0.018399 | +33.81% | 0.2780 | ✗ | 2.08 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.01328 | 0.013231 | -0.37% | 0.01375 | +3.54% | 0.0744 | ✗ | 2.19 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.01453 | 0.014388 | -0.98% | 0.01328 | -8.60% | 0.3255 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.01378 | 0.013569 | -1.53% | 0.01453 | +5.44% | 0.1457 | ✓ | 4.10 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.009565 | 0.009528 | -0.39% | 0.01378 | +44.07% | 0.1873 | ✗ | 2.64 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.01009 | 0.010032 | -0.57% | 0.009565 | -5.20% | 0.0561 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.010979 | -0.64% | 0.01009 | -8.69% | 0.1780 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.01269 | 0.012575 | -0.90% | 0.01105 | -12.92% | 0.1190 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.01476 | 0.014604 | -1.06% | 0.01269 | -14.02% | 0.1411 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.01771 | 0.01749 | -1.24% | 0.01476 | -16.66% | 0.1626 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.01887 | 0.018625 | -1.30% | 0.01771 | -6.15% | 0.0506 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.02139 | 0.021057 | -1.56% | 0.01887 | -11.78% | 0.1078 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.02278 | 0.02232 | -2.02% | 0.02139 | -6.10% | 0.0366 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.01943 | 0.019145 | -1.47% | 0.02278 | +17.24% | 0.1884 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.02054 | 0.020159 | -1.85% | 0.01943 | -5.40% | 0.0359 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.0169 | 0.016701 | -1.18% | 0.02054 | +21.54% | 0.2066 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.01809 | 0.017855 | -1.30% | 0.0169 | -6.58% | 0.0646 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02558 | 0.024716 | -3.38% | 0.01809 | -29.28% | 0.3069 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.02012 | 0.019643 | -2.37% | 0.02558 | +27.14% | 0.2555 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.01793 | 0.017547 | -2.14% | 0.02012 | +12.21% | 0.1277 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.01447 | 0.014305 | -1.14% | 0.01793 | +23.91% | 0.2264 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.01273 | 0.012636 | -0.74% | 0.01447 | +13.67% | 0.1239 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.01294 | 0.012848 | -0.71% | 0.01273 | -1.62% | 0.0082 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.01824 | 0.017789 | -2.47% | 0.01294 | -29.06% | 0.2885 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.01305 | 0.01293 | -0.92% | 0.01824 | +39.77% | 0.3312 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.00984 | 0.009782 | -0.59% | 0.01305 | +32.62% | 0.2875 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.01129 | 0.01123 | -0.53% | 0.00984 | -12.84% | 0.1345 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013256 | -0.55% | 0.01129 | -15.30% | 0.1350 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.01339 | 0.013321 | -0.52% | 0.01333 | -0.45% | 0.0155 | ✓ | 1.00 |