STONK
STONK · Solana · gru_s6
- token id
- #304
- symbol
- STONK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 6GmAFSYs4gk3FDao5FzzySQpPZaWsa4rUJHacpMpUNgx
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-21
- predictions
- 66
Track record at +1d
assessed
21
of 22 predictions shown
direction hit
47.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0792
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0019
actual -0.0331
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.12218 | 0.12093 | -1.02% | – | pending | – | – | 3.56 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.12545 | 0.123841 | -1.28% | 0.12218 | -2.61% | 0.0106 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.114195 | 0.113675 | -0.46% | 0.12545 | +9.86% | 0.0852 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1019 | 0.101725 | -0.17% | 0.114195 | +12.07% | 0.1177 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.10575 | 0.105705 | -0.04% | 0.1019 | -3.64% | 0.0443 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.11242 | 0.112486 | +0.06% | 0.10575 | -5.93% | 0.0603 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.12122 | 0.121385 | +0.14% | 0.11242 | -7.26% | 0.0691 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.110945 | 0.111273 | +0.30% | 0.12122 | +9.26% | 0.0788 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.12159 | 0.121588 | -0.00% | 0.110945 | -8.75% | 0.0729 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.131815 | 0.131832 | +0.01% | 0.12159 | -7.76% | 0.0974 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.14763 | 0.147274 | -0.24% | 0.131815 | -10.71% | 0.0875 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.139145 | 0.138964 | -0.13% | 0.14763 | +6.10% | 0.0513 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.140195 | 0.140253 | +0.04% | 0.139145 | -0.75% | 0.0124 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.154645 | 0.154671 | +0.02% | 0.140195 | -9.34% | 0.1086 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.171875 | 0.171661 | -0.12% | 0.154645 | -10.02% | 0.0852 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.216735 | 0.216319 | -0.19% | 0.171875 | -20.70% | 0.2032 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.194225 | 0.193915 | -0.16% | 0.216735 | +11.59% | 0.1137 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.229225 | 0.228802 | -0.18% | 0.194225 | -15.27% | 0.1550 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.217215 | 0.216634 | -0.27% | 0.229225 | +5.53% | 0.0359 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.24939 | 0.248061 | -0.53% | 0.217215 | -12.90% | 0.1356 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.255775 | 0.254813 | -0.38% | 0.24939 | -2.50% | 0.0174 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.24725 | 0.246423 | -0.33% | 0.255775 | +3.45% | 0.0219 | ✗ | 1.00 |