SPYB
SPY (bStocks Tokenized Stock) · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s6
- token id
- #357
- symbol
- SPYB
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x7138b48df7d98d7e3cc221bfe7192d0a178182d8
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-07
- predictions
- 294
Track record at +1d
assessed
97
of 98 predictions shown
direction hit
53.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0057
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0025
actual -0.0002
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 771.235 | 769.1822 | -0.27% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 771.485 | 769.8015 | -0.22% | 771.235 | -0.03% | 0.0022 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 768.255 | 766.3509 | -0.25% | 771.485 | +0.42% | 0.0053 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 767.73 | 765.7514 | -0.26% | 768.255 | +0.07% | 0.0035 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 760.825 | 758.9157 | -0.25% | 767.73 | +0.91% | 0.0107 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 762.325 | 760.2897 | -0.27% | 760.825 | -0.20% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 771.365 | 768.8119 | -0.33% | 762.325 | -1.17% | 0.0077 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 768.04 | 765.103 | -0.38% | 771.365 | +0.43% | 0.0075 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 778.575 | 775.1453 | -0.44% | 768.04 | -1.35% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 778.155 | 774.4522 | -0.48% | 778.575 | +0.05% | 0.0037 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 780.995 | 777.0887 | -0.50% | 778.155 | -0.36% | 0.0037 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 779.025 | 775.3961 | -0.47% | 780.995 | +0.25% | 0.0063 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 779.035 | 775.9239 | -0.40% | 779.025 | -0.00% | 0.0035 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 774.915 | 771.775 | -0.41% | 779.035 | +0.53% | 0.0083 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 777.815 | 774.4536 | -0.43% | 774.915 | -0.37% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 779.94 | 777.2703 | -0.34% | 777.815 | -0.27% | 0.0035 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 775.085 | 771.8841 | -0.41% | 779.94 | +0.63% | 0.0106 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 770.915 | 768.3979 | -0.33% | 775.085 | +0.54% | 0.0096 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 770.925 | 768.0148 | -0.38% | 770.915 | -0.00% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 769.8 | 767.3345 | -0.32% | 770.925 | +0.15% | 0.0044 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 765.105 | 762.6887 | -0.32% | 769.8 | +0.61% | 0.0097 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 765.845 | 762.9891 | -0.37% | 765.105 | -0.10% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 766.09 | 763.3007 | -0.36% | 765.845 | -0.03% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 766.2 | 763.344 | -0.37% | 766.09 | -0.01% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 769.91 | 767.4122 | -0.32% | 766.2 | -0.48% | 0.0003 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 770.34 | 767.9524 | -0.31% | 769.91 | -0.06% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 771.89 | 769.6175 | -0.29% | 770.34 | -0.20% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 766.21 | 764.5976 | -0.21% | 771.89 | +0.74% | 0.0099 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 767.7 | 766.7405 | -0.12% | 766.21 | -0.19% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 773.525 | 773.0527 | -0.06% | 767.7 | -0.75% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 773.705 | 773.563 | -0.02% | 773.525 | -0.02% | 0.0004 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 763.305 | 762.1272 | -0.15% | 773.705 | +1.36% | 0.0089 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 762.725 | 760.1792 | -0.33% | 763.305 | +0.08% | 0.0042 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 763.025 | 759.8873 | -0.41% | 762.725 | -0.04% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 762.5 | 760.7437 | -0.23% | 763.025 | +0.07% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 757.98 | 756.4058 | -0.21% | 762.5 | +0.60% | 0.0077 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 758.605 | 756.9843 | -0.21% | 757.98 | -0.08% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 761.035 | 759.9609 | -0.14% | 758.605 | -0.32% | 0.0018 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 760.005 | 758.5956 | -0.19% | 761.035 | +0.14% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 765.035 | 763.7938 | -0.16% | 760.005 | -0.66% | 0.0044 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 764.985 | 764.4141 | -0.07% | 765.035 | +0.01% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 757.865 | 757.6013 | -0.03% | 764.985 | +0.94% | 0.0088 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 763.135 | 763.0725 | -0.01% | 757.865 | -0.69% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 765.76 | 765.6254 | -0.02% | 763.135 | -0.34% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 769.03 | 768.9139 | -0.02% | 765.76 | -0.43% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 769.955 | 769.9022 | -0.01% | 769.03 | -0.12% | 0.0003 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 771.335 | 771.5996 | +0.03% | 769.955 | -0.18% | 0.0027 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 769.845 | 770.1839 | +0.04% | 771.335 | +0.19% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 772.18 | 772.7544 | +0.07% | 769.845 | -0.30% | 0.0019 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 765.52 | 765.6464 | +0.02% | 772.18 | +0.87% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 762.065 | 762.1395 | +0.01% | 765.52 | +0.45% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 767.635 | 767.627 | -0.00% | 762.065 | -0.73% | 0.0061 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 766.5 | 766.2706 | -0.03% | 767.635 | +0.15% | 0.0008 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 770.89 | 771.0402 | +0.02% | 766.5 | -0.57% | 0.0053 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 769.17 | 769.6777 | +0.07% | 770.89 | +0.22% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 769.72 | 770.6567 | +0.12% | 769.17 | -0.07% | 0.0006 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 770.475 | 771.0776 | +0.08% | 769.72 | -0.10% | 0.0031 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 765.15 | 765.7242 | +0.08% | 770.475 | +0.70% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 763.8 | 764.5784 | +0.10% | 765.15 | +0.18% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 766.01 | 766.4387 | +0.06% | 763.8 | -0.29% | 0.0048 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 765.34 | 765.4102 | +0.01% | 766.01 | +0.09% | 0.0000 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 766.75 | 766.9827 | +0.03% | 765.34 | -0.18% | 0.0008 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 763.06 | 761.9065 | -0.15% | 766.75 | +0.48% | 0.0000 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 770.3 | 768.0493 | -0.29% | 763.06 | -0.94% | 0.0142 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 767.375 | 764.4038 | -0.39% | 770.3 | +0.38% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 773.335 | 770.3394 | -0.39% | 767.375 | -0.77% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 777.65 | 774.8033 | -0.37% | 773.335 | -0.55% | 0.0084 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 777.08 | 774.2799 | -0.36% | 777.65 | +0.07% | 0.0051 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 776.58 | 773.6837 | -0.37% | 777.08 | +0.06% | 0.0042 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 778.54 | 774.6158 | -0.50% | 776.58 | -0.25% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 772.95 | 769.4456 | -0.45% | 778.54 | +0.72% | 0.0117 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 771.53 | 767.7595 | -0.49% | 772.95 | +0.18% | 0.0072 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 773.14 | 768.7066 | -0.57% | 771.53 | -0.21% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 770.34 | 766.2769 | -0.53% | 773.14 | +0.36% | 0.0127 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 773.83 | 769.0151 | -0.62% | 770.34 | -0.45% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 773.54 | 768.523 | -0.65% | 773.83 | +0.04% | 0.0068 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 769.85 | 764.94 | -0.64% | 773.54 | +0.48% | 0.0087 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 771.95 | 767.7397 | -0.55% | 769.85 | -0.27% | 0.0080 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 773.64 | 768.1043 | -0.72% | 771.95 | -0.22% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 759.05 | 753.9571 | -0.67% | 773.64 | +1.92% | 0.0166 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 750.47 | 748.0316 | -0.32% | 759.05 | +1.14% | 0.0151 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 745.165 | 742.3552 | -0.38% | 750.47 | +0.71% | 0.0008 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 745.49 | 742.7579 | -0.37% | 745.165 | -0.04% | 0.0042 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 744.68 | 742.0811 | -0.35% | 745.49 | +0.11% | 0.0343 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 733.825 | 731.098 | -0.37% | 744.68 | +1.48% | 0.0056 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 743.59 | 741.0157 | -0.35% | 733.825 | -1.31% | 0.0105 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 739.94 | 737.8338 | -0.28% | 743.59 | +0.49% | 0.0054 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 745.955 | 743.8579 | -0.28% | 739.94 | -0.81% | 0.0202 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 742.375 | 740.675 | -0.23% | 745.955 | +0.48% | 0.0090 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 740.185 | 738.6434 | -0.21% | 742.375 | +0.30% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 739.95 | 738.5573 | -0.19% | 740.185 | +0.03% | 0.0172 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 747.53 | 746.1429 | -0.19% | 739.95 | -1.01% | 0.0075 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 749.28 | 747.8466 | -0.19% | 747.53 | -0.23% | 0.0061 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 743.3 | 741.2472 | -0.28% | 749.28 | +0.80% | 0.0090 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 746.62 | 745.2979 | -0.18% | 743.3 | -0.44% | 0.0109 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 744.91 | 743.6156 | -0.17% | 746.62 | +0.23% | 0.0058 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 744.45 | 743.2364 | -0.16% | 744.91 | +0.06% | 0.0118 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 750.69 | 749.3959 | -0.17% | 744.45 | -0.83% | 0.0086 | ✓ | 1.00 |