SODA
SODAX · Ethereum · gru_s6
- token id
- #607
- symbol
- SODA
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x4a1c82744cddee675a255fb289cb0917a482e7c7
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-14
- predictions
- 180
Track record at +1d
assessed
59
of 60 predictions shown
direction hit
61.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0747
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0034
actual -0.0103
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00903 | 0.009003 | -0.30% | – | pending | – | – | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00922 | 0.00919 | -0.33% | 0.00903 | -2.06% | 0.0162 | ✓ | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.009435 | 0.009387 | -0.50% | 0.00922 | -2.28% | 0.0241 | ✓ | 0.46 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.00924 | 0.009206 | -0.37% | 0.009435 | +2.11% | 0.0256 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.009955 | 0.009879 | -0.76% | 0.00924 | -7.18% | 0.0705 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.00921 | 0.009176 | -0.37% | 0.009955 | +8.09% | 0.0822 | ✗ | 0.49 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00979 | 0.009736 | -0.55% | 0.00921 | -5.92% | 0.0520 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009835 | 0.009792 | -0.44% | 0.00979 | -0.46% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.009835 | 0.009791 | -0.45% | 0.009835 | +0.00% | 0.0136 | ✗ | 0.49 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.01042 | 0.010341 | -0.76% | 0.009835 | -5.61% | 0.0586 | ✓ | 0.51 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.009419 | -0.49% | 0.01042 | +10.09% | 0.1156 | ✗ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.009 | 0.008969 | -0.35% | 0.009465 | +5.17% | 0.0482 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.009095 | 0.009069 | -0.29% | 0.009 | -1.04% | 0.0103 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.009145 | 0.009121 | -0.26% | 0.009095 | -0.55% | 0.0093 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.009585 | 0.009542 | -0.45% | 0.009145 | -4.59% | 0.0311 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00934 | 0.00931 | -0.32% | 0.009585 | +2.62% | 0.0468 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.00901 | 0.00899 | -0.22% | 0.00934 | +3.66% | 0.0399 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.009785 | 0.009755 | -0.30% | 0.00901 | -7.92% | 0.0738 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.00857 | 0.008552 | -0.21% | 0.009785 | +14.18% | 0.1229 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00839 | 0.008375 | -0.17% | 0.00857 | +2.15% | 0.0213 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0089 | 0.008888 | -0.14% | 0.00839 | -5.73% | 0.0553 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.0103 | 0.010285 | -0.14% | 0.0089 | -13.59% | 0.1540 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01182 | 0.011792 | -0.23% | 0.0103 | -12.86% | 0.1347 | ✓ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.013025 | 0.012972 | -0.41% | 0.01182 | -9.25% | 0.0942 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01418 | 0.014075 | -0.74% | 0.013025 | -8.15% | 0.0713 | ✓ | 0.52 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013 | 0.012953 | -0.36% | 0.01418 | +9.08% | 0.0902 | ✗ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01406 | 0.013991 | -0.49% | 0.013 | -7.54% | 0.0755 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01284 | 0.012801 | -0.31% | 0.01406 | +9.50% | 0.0958 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.0138 | 0.013729 | -0.52% | 0.01284 | -6.96% | 0.0670 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.014495 | 0.014322 | -1.20% | 0.0138 | -4.79% | 0.0258 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012945 | 0.012829 | -0.89% | 0.014495 | +11.97% | 0.1248 | ✗ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.010485 | 0.010468 | -0.16% | 0.012945 | +23.46% | 0.2053 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.010525 | 0.010507 | -0.17% | 0.010485 | -0.38% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.009745 | 0.009737 | -0.08% | 0.010525 | +8.00% | 0.0773 | ✗ | 0.12 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.009605 | 0.009607 | +0.02% | 0.009745 | +1.46% | 0.0111 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00964 | 0.009642 | +0.02% | 0.009605 | -0.36% | 0.0040 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011075 | 0.011052 | -0.20% | 0.00964 | -12.96% | 0.1372 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.011995 | 0.011946 | -0.41% | 0.011075 | -7.67% | 0.0781 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.01129 | 0.011265 | -0.22% | 0.011995 | +6.24% | 0.0649 | ✗ | -0.12 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.012015 | 0.01198 | -0.29% | 0.01129 | -6.03% | 0.0533 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.012345 | 0.012306 | -0.31% | 0.012015 | -2.67% | 0.0247 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.011905 | 0.011876 | -0.24% | 0.012345 | +3.70% | 0.0300 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.012875 | 0.012844 | -0.24% | 0.011905 | -7.53% | 0.0533 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.015315 | 0.015177 | -0.90% | 0.012875 | -15.93% | 0.1624 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012585 | 0.012554 | -0.25% | 0.015315 | +21.69% | 0.2070 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.012795 | 0.012754 | -0.32% | 0.012585 | -1.64% | 0.0023 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.01463 | 0.014399 | -1.58% | 0.012795 | -12.54% | 0.1244 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.01162 | 0.011588 | -0.28% | 0.01463 | +25.90% | 0.2312 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.00913 | 0.009122 | -0.09% | 0.01162 | +27.27% | 0.2618 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00859 | 0.008575 | -0.18% | 0.00913 | +6.29% | 0.0129 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.01134 | 0.011325 | -0.14% | 0.00859 | -24.25% | 0.2752 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.01109 | 0.01108 | -0.09% | 0.01134 | +2.25% | 0.0381 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01266 | 0.012643 | -0.13% | 0.01109 | -12.40% | 0.1426 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013993 | -0.12% | 0.01266 | -9.64% | 0.0928 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.0142 | 0.014182 | -0.13% | 0.01401 | -1.34% | 0.0173 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.01418 | 0.014174 | -0.04% | 0.0142 | +0.14% | 0.0327 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.014915 | 0.014903 | -0.08% | 0.01418 | -4.93% | 0.0654 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.01639 | 0.016368 | -0.13% | 0.014915 | -9.00% | 0.0993 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.01672 | 0.016698 | -0.13% | 0.01639 | -1.97% | 0.0128 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.017095 | 0.017073 | -0.13% | 0.01672 | -2.19% | 0.0369 | ✓ | 1.00 |