RE
RE · Ethereum · gru_s6
- token id
- #279
- symbol
- RE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x526526528f35ac738177003b8773b402b8df8143
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-18
- predictions
- 351
Track record at +1d
assessed
116
of 117 predictions shown
direction hit
56.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0457
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0062
actual -0.0094
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.39085 | 0.389087 | -0.45% | – | pending | – | – | 1.02 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.3878 | 0.386346 | -0.38% | 0.39085 | +0.79% | 0.0143 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.38025 | 0.379004 | -0.33% | 0.3878 | +1.99% | 0.0112 | ✗ | 0.88 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.3807 | 0.379378 | -0.35% | 0.38025 | -0.12% | 0.0042 | ✗ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.3939 | 0.392216 | -0.43% | 0.3807 | -3.35% | 0.0367 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.4072 | 0.405423 | -0.44% | 0.3939 | -3.27% | 0.0275 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.41905 | 0.417061 | -0.47% | 0.4072 | -2.83% | 0.0175 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.42225 | 0.420229 | -0.48% | 0.41905 | -0.76% | 0.0086 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.43205 | 0.429898 | -0.50% | 0.42225 | -2.27% | 0.0023 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.42635 | 0.424269 | -0.49% | 0.43205 | +1.34% | 0.0042 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.44755 | 0.445084 | -0.55% | 0.42635 | -4.74% | 0.0243 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.4449 | 0.4425 | -0.54% | 0.44755 | +0.60% | 0.0038 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.4408 | 0.438509 | -0.52% | 0.4449 | +0.93% | 0.0108 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.4381 | 0.435781 | -0.53% | 0.4408 | +0.62% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.4626 | 0.459965 | -0.57% | 0.4381 | -5.30% | 0.0335 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.4822 | 0.479424 | -0.58% | 0.4626 | -4.06% | 0.0152 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.5048 | 0.501708 | -0.61% | 0.4822 | -4.48% | 0.0378 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.5176 | 0.51432 | -0.63% | 0.5048 | -2.47% | 0.0118 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.50915 | 0.505914 | -0.64% | 0.5176 | +1.66% | 0.0068 | ✗ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.5062 | 0.503125 | -0.61% | 0.50915 | +0.58% | 0.0097 | ✗ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.5149 | 0.511521 | -0.66% | 0.5062 | -1.69% | 0.0073 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.4815 | 0.478917 | -0.54% | 0.5149 | +6.94% | 0.0614 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.47595 | 0.47342 | -0.53% | 0.4815 | +1.17% | 0.0177 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.46175 | 0.459723 | -0.44% | 0.47595 | +3.08% | 0.0331 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.4892 | 0.486716 | -0.51% | 0.46175 | -5.61% | 0.0423 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.49105 | 0.488523 | -0.51% | 0.4892 | -0.38% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.47765 | 0.475406 | -0.47% | 0.49105 | +2.81% | 0.0287 | ✗ | 0.96 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.4691 | 0.467137 | -0.42% | 0.47765 | +1.82% | 0.0255 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.4464 | 0.444898 | -0.34% | 0.4691 | +5.09% | 0.0529 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.4724 | 0.47061 | -0.38% | 0.4464 | -5.50% | 0.0319 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.46815 | 0.466417 | -0.37% | 0.4724 | +0.91% | 0.0179 | ✗ | 1.12 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.45915 | 0.456787 | -0.51% | 0.46815 | +1.96% | 0.0548 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.46645 | 0.463986 | -0.53% | 0.45915 | -1.57% | 0.0094 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.459 | 0.456799 | -0.48% | 0.46645 | +1.62% | 0.0154 | ✗ | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.444 | 0.441503 | -0.56% | 0.459 | +3.38% | 0.0377 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.44075 | 0.438353 | -0.54% | 0.444 | +0.74% | 0.0088 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.41745 | 0.415636 | -0.43% | 0.44075 | +5.58% | 0.0477 | ✗ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.4368 | 0.434846 | -0.45% | 0.41745 | -4.43% | 0.0094 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.4253 | 0.423592 | -0.40% | 0.4368 | +2.70% | 0.0043 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.4416 | 0.439801 | -0.41% | 0.4253 | -3.69% | 0.0246 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.4528 | 0.450941 | -0.41% | 0.4416 | -2.47% | 0.0220 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.4323 | 0.430733 | -0.36% | 0.4528 | +4.74% | 0.0371 | ✗ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4244 | 0.423308 | -0.26% | 0.4323 | +1.86% | 0.0553 | ✗ | 1.52 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.45435 | 0.452793 | -0.34% | 0.4244 | -6.59% | 0.0616 | ✓ | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.462 | 0.460501 | -0.32% | 0.45435 | -1.66% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4594 | 0.458073 | -0.29% | 0.462 | +0.57% | 0.0325 | ✗ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4504 | 0.449083 | -0.29% | 0.4594 | +2.00% | 0.0130 | ✗ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.4372 | 0.436001 | -0.27% | 0.4504 | +3.02% | 0.0295 | ✗ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4678 | 0.466424 | -0.29% | 0.4372 | -6.54% | 0.0350 | ✓ | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4633 | 0.461416 | -0.41% | 0.4678 | +0.97% | 0.0666 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.4791 | 0.476979 | -0.44% | 0.4633 | -3.30% | 0.0272 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.489 | 0.486875 | -0.43% | 0.4791 | -2.02% | 0.0079 | ✗ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.4687 | 0.466562 | -0.46% | 0.489 | +4.33% | 0.0286 | ✗ | 1.60 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.4914 | 0.489232 | -0.44% | 0.4687 | -4.62% | 0.0313 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.51565 | 0.513268 | -0.46% | 0.4914 | -4.70% | 0.0516 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.5365 | 0.534162 | -0.44% | 0.51565 | -3.89% | 0.0143 | ✗ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.5266 | 0.524384 | -0.42% | 0.5365 | +1.88% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.5521 | 0.549363 | -0.50% | 0.5266 | -4.62% | 0.0526 | ✓ | 1.62 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.53905 | 0.536765 | -0.42% | 0.5521 | +2.42% | 0.0376 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.5417 | 0.539118 | -0.48% | 0.53905 | -0.49% | 0.0264 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.5018 | 0.499797 | -0.40% | 0.5417 | +7.95% | 0.0663 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.5242 | 0.521811 | -0.46% | 0.5018 | -4.27% | 0.0126 | ✓ | 1.62 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.51015 | 0.506153 | -0.78% | 0.5242 | +2.75% | 0.0987 | ✓ | 1.90 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.5374 | 0.527705 | -1.80% | 0.51015 | -5.07% | 0.1556 | ✓ | 2.33 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.3976 | 0.395127 | -0.62% | 0.5374 | +35.16% | 0.1980 | ✗ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.4054 | 0.402693 | -0.67% | 0.3976 | -1.92% | 0.0178 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.4192 | 0.416549 | -0.63% | 0.4054 | -3.29% | 0.0721 | ✓ | 1.75 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.4616 | 0.457779 | -0.83% | 0.4192 | -9.19% | 0.0831 | ✓ | 1.72 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.4469 | 0.443308 | -0.80% | 0.4616 | +3.29% | 0.0392 | ✗ | 1.72 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.44 | 0.436107 | -0.88% | 0.4469 | +1.57% | 0.0368 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.4319 | 0.428183 | -0.86% | 0.44 | +1.88% | 0.0269 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.41915 | 0.41555 | -0.86% | 0.4319 | +3.04% | 0.0419 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.4086 | 0.404945 | -0.89% | 0.41915 | +2.58% | 0.0450 | ✗ | 1.76 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.40445 | 0.400526 | -0.97% | 0.4086 | +1.03% | 0.0463 | ✗ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.4089 | 0.404223 | -1.14% | 0.40445 | -1.09% | 0.0022 | ✓ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.38965 | 0.385834 | -0.98% | 0.4089 | +4.94% | 0.0576 | ✗ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.39565 | 0.391626 | -1.02% | 0.38965 | -1.52% | 0.0228 | ✓ | 1.84 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.38465 | 0.380802 | -1.00% | 0.39565 | +2.86% | 0.0479 | ✗ | 1.86 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.385 | 0.38133 | -0.95% | 0.38465 | -0.09% | 0.0073 | ✓ | 1.86 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.40515 | 0.401142 | -0.99% | 0.385 | -4.97% | 0.0586 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.4209 | 0.416505 | -1.04% | 0.40515 | -3.74% | 0.0266 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.4414 | 0.436822 | -1.04% | 0.4209 | -4.64% | 0.0602 | ✓ | 1.98 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.4421 | 0.437775 | -0.98% | 0.4414 | -0.16% | 0.0102 | ✗ | 1.98 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.44585 | 0.441259 | -1.03% | 0.4421 | -0.84% | 0.0651 | ✗ | 2.12 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.496 | 0.489286 | -1.35% | 0.44585 | -10.11% | 0.1223 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.4515 | 0.447328 | -0.92% | 0.496 | +9.86% | 0.1015 | ✗ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.44995 | 0.446271 | -0.82% | 0.4515 | +0.34% | 0.0062 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.4815 | 0.477186 | -0.90% | 0.44995 | -6.55% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 2.25 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.5458 | 0.538874 | -1.27% | 0.4815 | -11.78% | 0.1532 | ✓ | 2.52 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.5818 | 0.570237 | -1.99% | 0.5458 | -6.19% | 0.0522 | ✓ | 2.54 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.5535 | 0.542875 | -1.92% | 0.5818 | +5.11% | 0.1094 | ✗ | 2.68 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.4747 | 0.467296 | -1.56% | 0.5535 | +16.60% | 0.2174 | ✗ | 3.05 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.3954 | 0.393483 | -0.48% | 0.4747 | +20.06% | 0.2086 | ✗ | 3.24 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.375 | 0.374068 | -0.25% | 0.3954 | +5.44% | 0.0087 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.3923 | 0.391232 | -0.27% | 0.375 | -4.41% | 0.0693 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.3954 | 0.394205 | -0.30% | 0.3923 | -0.78% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.4476 | 0.445998 | -0.36% | 0.3954 | -11.66% | 0.1344 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.4905 | 0.488363 | -0.44% | 0.4476 | -8.75% | 0.0891 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.4868 | 0.484731 | -0.43% | 0.4905 | +0.76% | 0.0266 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.5268 | 0.52441 | -0.45% | 0.4868 | -7.59% | 0.0702 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.5264 | 0.524181 | -0.42% | 0.5268 | +0.08% | 0.0378 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.55705 | 0.554452 | -0.47% | 0.5264 | -5.50% | 0.0285 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.5811 | 0.578359 | -0.47% | 0.55705 | -4.14% | 0.0370 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.57485 | 0.572268 | -0.45% | 0.5811 | +1.09% | 0.0209 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.5845 | 0.582107 | -0.41% | 0.57485 | -1.65% | 0.0275 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.603 | 0.600636 | -0.39% | 0.5845 | -3.07% | 0.0422 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.6298 | 0.627207 | -0.41% | 0.603 | -4.26% | 0.0221 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.6573 | 0.654273 | -0.46% | 0.6298 | -4.18% | 0.0275 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.6457 | 0.64272 | -0.46% | 0.6573 | +1.80% | 0.0159 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.6332 | 0.630327 | -0.45% | 0.6457 | +1.97% | 0.0162 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.6217 | 0.618947 | -0.44% | 0.6332 | +1.85% | 0.0138 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.6877 | 0.683102 | -0.67% | 0.6217 | -9.60% | 0.1109 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.5835 | 0.581157 | -0.40% | 0.6877 | +17.86% | 0.1433 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.6483 | 0.645157 | -0.48% | 0.5835 | -10.00% | 0.1247 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.7829 | 0.771769 | -1.42% | 0.6483 | -17.19% | 0.1467 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.6058 | 0.602895 | -0.48% | 0.7829 | +29.23% | 0.2497 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.6924 | 0.687295 | -0.74% | 0.6058 | -12.51% | 0.1185 | ✓ | 1.00 |