PIVX

PIVX · native · gru_s6

token id: #982
symbol: PIVX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-07-03
predictions: 2,472

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3661

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0359

actual -0.0794

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.045113	0.0394	-12.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-20	oos	0.044303	0.038887	-12.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-19	oos	0.038908	0.035009	-10.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-18	oos	0.040121	0.035956	-10.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.041976	0.037363	-10.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.04214	0.037541	-10.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-15	oos	0.040984	0.036833	-10.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-14	oos	0.042723	0.03826	-10.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.22
2026-10-13	oos	0.048539	0.043057	-11.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-12	oos	0.048982	0.043275	-11.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-11	oos	0.051192	0.045512	-11.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.14
2026-10-10	oos	0.055342	0.048708	-11.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-09	oos	0.047817	0.042983	-10.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.048636	0.043572	-10.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.051425	0.046357	-9.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.063034	0.055952	-11.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.064795	0.057242	-11.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-04	oos	0.048757	0.044989	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.10
2026-10-03	oos	0.063282	0.05586	-11.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.07724	0.066429	-14.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-01	oos	0.065312	0.057287	-12.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.06345	0.05523	-12.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-29	oos	0.057817	0.0506	-12.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-09-28	oos	0.039594	0.036067	-8.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.020089	0.019156	-4.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-26	oos	0.019153	0.018215	-4.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.019801	0.018806	-5.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.70
2026-09-24	oos	0.017977	0.017023	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	0.018474	0.017433	-5.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.018867	0.017681	-6.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-09-21	oos	0.022112	0.020889	-5.53%	0.045113	+104.02%	0.7880	✗	0.60
2026-09-20	oos	0.023916	0.022727	-4.97%	0.044303	+85.24%	0.6499	✗	0.81
2026-09-19	oos	0.02122	0.020208	-4.77%	0.038908	+83.36%	0.6490	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	0.0217	0.020662	-4.78%	0.040121	+84.89%	0.6514	✗	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.021004	0.019913	-5.19%	0.041976	+99.85%	0.6881	✗	0.90
2026-09-16	oos	0.019977	0.019048	-4.65%	0.04214	+110.94%	0.7330	✗	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.018341	0.017632	-3.87%	0.040984	+123.46%	0.7626	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.021357	0.020455	-4.22%	0.042723	+100.04%	0.7006	✗	0.84
2026-09-13	oos	0.021441	0.020487	-4.45%	0.048539	+126.39%	0.7962	✗	0.84
2026-09-12	oos	0.019998	0.019296	-3.51%	0.048982	+144.93%	0.8829	✗	0.86
2026-09-11	oos	0.016089	0.015826	-1.64%	0.051192	+218.18%	1.1039	✗	0.87
2026-09-10	oos	0.015435	0.015262	-1.12%	0.055342	+258.56%	1.2185	✗	0.87
2026-09-09	oos	0.014016	0.014012	-0.03%	0.047817	+241.15%	1.1758	✗	0.98
2026-09-08	oos	0.014106	0.014108	+0.01%	0.048636	+244.79%	1.1970	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.014333	0.014321	-0.08%	0.051425	+258.79%	1.2265	✗	1.01
2026-09-06	oos	0.015073	0.015041	-0.21%	0.063034	+318.19%	1.3703	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.016226	0.016218	-0.05%	0.064795	+299.34%	1.3137	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.016043	0.01619	+0.91%	0.048757	+203.91%	1.0197	✓	1.01
2026-09-03	oos	0.016077	0.016505	+2.67%	0.063282	+293.63%	1.3008	✓	1.03
2026-09-02	oos	0.014557	0.01496	+2.77%	0.07724	+430.60%	1.5537	✓	0.99
2026-09-01	oos	0.013541	0.014038	+3.67%	0.065312	+382.33%	1.4456	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.015959	0.016595	+3.99%	0.06345	+297.58%	1.2909	✓	0.82
2026-08-30	oos	0.015231	0.015867	+4.18%	0.057817	+279.60%	1.2307	✓	0.84
2026-08-29	oos	0.015462	0.01612	+4.26%	0.039594	+156.07%	0.8472	✓	0.80
2026-08-28	oos	0.014379	0.01508	+4.88%	0.020089	+39.71%	0.2226	✓	0.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.014522	0.015515	+6.84%	0.019153	+31.89%	0.1697	✓	0.81
2026-08-26	oos	0.013992	0.014881	+6.35%	0.019801	+41.52%	0.2363	✓	0.79
2026-08-25	oos	0.017995	0.01862	+3.47%	0.017977	-0.10%	0.0953	✗	0.84
2026-08-24	oos	0.0149	0.015808	+6.09%	0.018474	+23.99%	0.0990	✓	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.01409	0.01489	+5.68%	0.018867	+33.90%	0.1493	✓	0.85
2026-08-22	oos	0.01252	0.013348	+6.61%	0.022112	+76.61%	0.4091	✓	0.82
2026-08-21	oos	0.01168	0.012607	+7.94%	0.023916	+104.76%	0.6096	✓	0.86
2026-08-20	oos	0.01182	0.012269	+3.80%	0.02122	+79.53%	0.4426	✓	0.99
2026-08-19	oos	0.011425	0.011452	+0.24%	0.0217	+89.93%	0.4844	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.01161	0.011164	-3.85%	0.021004	+80.91%	0.4383	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.0103	0.010183	-1.14%	0.019977	+93.95%	0.4785	✗	1.18
2026-08-16	oos	0.00951	0.009586	+0.79%	0.018341	+92.86%	0.4444	✓	1.11
2026-08-15	oos	0.01287	0.0131	+1.79%	0.021357	+65.94%	0.2519	✓	1.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.01516	0.015577	+2.75%	0.021441	+41.43%	0.0985	✓	1.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.01864	0.019221	+3.12%	0.019998	+7.29%	0.1705	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	0.02256	0.022997	+1.94%	0.016089	-28.68%	0.5835	✗	1.15
2026-08-11	oos	0.02393	0.024225	+1.23%	0.015435	-35.50%	0.6703	✗	1.18
2026-08-10	oos	0.02418	0.024386	+0.85%	0.014016	-42.03%	0.7950	✗	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.02524	0.024915	-1.29%	0.014106	-44.11%	0.7910	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.02708	0.026223	-3.16%	0.014333	-47.07%	0.8367	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.02744	0.02643	-3.68%	0.015073	-45.07%	0.8106	✓	1.17
2026-08-06	oos	0.02886	0.027715	-3.97%	0.016226	-43.78%	0.7939	✓	1.19
2026-08-05	oos	0.02835	0.027127	-4.31%	0.016043	-43.41%	0.7755	✓	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.02711	0.026333	-2.87%	0.016077	-40.70%	0.7644	✓	1.14
2026-08-03	oos	0.02921	0.028129	-3.70%	0.014557	-50.16%	0.8896	✓	1.17
2026-08-02	oos	0.03281	0.030651	-6.58%	0.013541	-58.73%	1.0538	✓	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.03275	0.031011	-5.31%	0.015959	-51.27%	0.9382	✓	1.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.0324	0.031299	-3.40%	0.015231	-52.99%	0.9789	✓	1.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.03269	0.032498	-0.59%	0.015462	-52.70%	0.9818	✓	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.03295	0.033227	+0.84%	0.014379	-56.36%	1.0871	✗	1.26
2026-07-28	oos	0.03401	0.034564	+1.63%	0.014522	-57.30%	1.1568	✗	1.26
2026-07-27	oos	0.03427	0.035006	+2.15%	0.013992	-59.17%	1.1898	✗	1.26
2026-07-26	oos	0.03537	0.036524	+3.26%	0.017995	-49.12%	0.9456	✗	1.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.0352	0.036225	+2.91%	0.0149	-57.67%	1.1583	✗	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.03414	0.035272	+3.32%	0.01409	-58.73%	1.1696	✗	1.31
2026-07-23	oos	0.0343	0.035666	+3.98%	0.01252	-63.50%	1.2684	✗	1.31
2026-07-22	oos	0.03457	0.036175	+4.64%	0.01168	-66.21%	1.3531	✗	1.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.03553	0.037178	+4.64%	0.01182	-66.73%	1.2679	✗	1.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.03587	0.037199	+3.70%	0.011425	-68.15%	1.2603	✗	1.31
2026-07-19	oos	0.03523	0.036492	+3.58%	0.01161	-67.05%	1.1452	✗	1.31
2026-07-18	oos	0.03624	0.037402	+3.21%	0.0103	-71.58%	1.2832	✗	1.29
2026-07-17	oos	0.03704	0.037953	+2.47%	0.00951	-74.33%	1.3622	✗	1.31
2026-07-16	oos	0.03687	0.037734	+2.34%	0.01287	-65.09%	1.0604	✗	1.29
2026-07-15	oos	0.0371	0.037999	+2.42%	0.01516	-59.14%	0.8848	✗	1.25
2026-07-14	oos	0.03683	0.037706	+2.38%	0.01864	-49.39%	0.6739	✗	1.26
2026-07-13	oos	0.03589	0.03661	+2.01%	0.02256	-37.14%	0.5077	✗	1.29
2026-07-12	oos	0.03833	0.038748	+1.09%	0.02393	-37.57%	0.4778	✗	1.28
2026-07-11	oos	0.03828	0.038645	+0.95%	0.02418	-36.83%	0.4716	✗	1.25
2026-07-10	oos	0.03912	0.039245	+0.32%	0.02524	-35.48%	0.4554	✗	1.26
2026-07-09	oos	0.03771	0.038039	+0.87%	0.02708	-28.19%	0.3737	✗	1.25
2026-07-08	oos	0.03957	0.039537	-0.08%	0.02744	-30.65%	0.4187	✓	1.28
2026-07-07	oos	0.03778	0.038002	+0.59%	0.02886	-23.61%	0.2947	✗	1.32
2026-07-06	oos	0.04255	0.042014	-1.26%	0.02835	-33.37%	0.4055	✓	1.30
2026-07-05	oos	0.04148	0.041059	-1.02%	0.02711	-34.64%	0.4244	✓	1.27
2026-07-04	oos	0.04232	0.041673	-1.53%	0.02921	-30.98%	0.3630	✓	1.27
2026-07-03	oos	0.03966	0.039424	-0.60%	0.03281	-17.27%	0.2028	✓	1.23
2026-07-02	oos	0.04057	0.040157	-1.02%	0.03275	-19.28%	0.2298	✓	1.26
2026-07-01	oos	0.04463	0.043485	-2.56%	0.0324	-27.40%	0.3573	✓	1.35
2026-06-30	oos	0.03787	0.037811	-0.16%	0.03269	-13.68%	0.2703	✓	1.24
2026-06-29	oos	0.04009	0.039587	-1.25%	0.03295	-17.81%	0.2574	✓	1.23
2026-06-28	oos	0.04282	0.04193	-2.08%	0.03401	-20.57%	0.2987	✓	1.26
2026-06-27	oos	0.05542	0.051744	-6.63%	0.03427	-38.16%	0.4854	✓	1.21
2026-06-26	oos	0.0338	0.03412	+0.95%	0.03537	+4.64%	0.0676	✗	1.22
2026-06-25	oos	0.03696	0.036732	-0.62%	0.0352	-4.76%	0.1338	✓	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.03498	0.034815	-0.47%	0.03414	-2.40%	0.0824	✓	1.27
2026-06-23	oos	0.03711	0.036337	-2.08%	0.0343	-7.57%	0.1048	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.03903	0.037753	-3.27%	0.03457	-11.43%	0.1288	✓	1.24
2026-06-21	oos	0.0392	0.037807	-3.55%	0.03553	-9.36%	0.1249	✓	1.24
2026-06-20	oos	0.04471	0.042397	-5.17%	0.03587	-19.77%	0.1853	✓	1.19
2026-06-19	oos	0.04323	0.041024	-5.10%	0.03523	-18.51%	0.1742	✓	1.16
2026-06-18	oos	0.04402	0.04161	-5.47%	0.03624	-17.67%	0.1732	✓	1.17
2026-06-17	oos	0.05114	0.048005	-6.13%	0.03704	-27.57%	0.2499	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.05156	0.048645	-5.65%	0.03687	-28.49%	0.2461	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.05157	0.048838	-5.30%	0.0371	-28.06%	0.2492	✓	1.08
2026-06-14	oos	0.05117	0.048207	-5.79%	0.03683	-28.02%	0.2575	✓	1.07
2026-06-13	oos	0.05121	0.047708	-6.84%	0.03589	-29.92%	0.2482	✓	1.07
2026-06-12	oos	0.04976	0.046271	-7.01%	0.03833	-22.97%	0.1916	✓	1.04
2026-06-11	oos	0.05155	0.047583	-7.70%	0.03828	-25.74%	0.2210	✓	1.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.04929	0.045008	-8.69%	0.03912	-20.63%	0.1843	✓	1.03
2026-06-09	oos	0.05016	0.045712	-8.87%	0.03771	-24.82%	0.2171	✓	1.03
2026-06-08	oos	0.05223	0.047794	-8.49%	0.03957	-24.24%	0.1752	✓	1.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.05182	0.04747	-8.40%	0.03778	-27.09%	0.2286	✓	1.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.0503	0.045659	-9.23%	0.04255	-15.41%	0.1238	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.05147	0.046709	-9.25%	0.04148	-19.41%	0.1626	✓	1.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.05671	0.051791	-8.67%	0.04232	-25.37%	0.1905	✓	1.01
2026-06-03	oos	0.05891	0.053693	-8.86%	0.03966	-32.68%	0.2789	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.0563	0.052307	-7.09%	0.04057	-27.94%	0.1647	✓	1.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.06186	0.057762	-6.62%	0.04463	-27.85%	0.0832	✓	1.01
2026-05-31	oos	0.06074	0.057466	-5.39%	0.03787	-37.65%	0.1755	✓	1.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.0611	0.057866	-5.29%	0.04009	-34.39%	0.1535	✓	1.05
2026-05-29	oos	0.06045	0.057314	-5.19%	0.04282	-29.16%	0.0671	✓	1.07
2026-05-28	oos	0.05848	0.055713	-4.73%	0.05542	-5.23%	0.2153	✗	1.08
2026-05-27	oos	0.06173	0.05874	-4.84%	0.0338	-45.25%	0.3257	✓	1.06
2026-05-26	oos	0.06274	0.059982	-4.40%	0.03696	-41.09%	0.2281	✓	1.07
2026-05-25	oos	0.06585	0.063662	-3.32%	0.03498	-46.88%	0.3416	✓	1.09
2026-05-24	oos	0.06597	0.064067	-2.88%	0.03711	-43.75%	0.3219	✓	1.09
2026-05-23	oos	0.065	0.063126	-2.88%	0.03903	-39.95%	0.2864	✓	1.07
2026-05-22	oos	0.06289	0.061013	-2.98%	0.0392	-37.67%	0.2539	✓	1.07
2026-05-21	oos	0.06719	0.065833	-2.02%	0.04471	-33.46%	0.1896	✓	1.05
2026-05-20	oos	0.06825	0.06678	-2.15%	0.04323	-36.66%	0.2258	✓	1.05
2026-05-19	oos	0.0635	0.062449	-1.66%	0.04402	-30.68%	0.1435	✓	1.03
2026-05-18	oos	0.06566	0.064689	-1.48%	0.05114	-22.11%	0.0508	✓	1.04
2026-05-17	oos	0.06633	0.065694	-0.96%	0.05156	-22.27%	0.0712	✓	1.03
2026-05-16	oos	0.06748	0.066876	-0.90%	0.05157	-23.58%	0.0901	✓	1.03
2026-05-15	oos	0.06585	0.065565	-0.43%	0.05117	-22.29%	0.0526	✓	1.06
2026-05-14	oos	0.07439	0.073725	-0.89%	0.05121	-31.16%	0.1343	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.07085	0.070212	-0.90%	0.04976	-29.77%	0.1277	✓	0.98
2026-05-12	oos	0.07454	0.073685	-1.15%	0.05155	-30.84%	0.1329	✓	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	0.07391	0.073755	-0.21%	0.04929	-33.31%	0.1348	✓	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	0.07985	0.079534	-0.40%	0.05016	-37.18%	0.1934	✓	0.93
2026-05-09	oos	0.08007	0.079448	-0.78%	0.05223	-34.77%	0.1883	✓	0.94
2026-05-08	oos	0.07902	0.078911	-0.14%	0.05182	-34.42%	0.2018	✓	0.93
2026-05-07	oos	0.08028	0.080248	-0.04%	0.0503	-37.34%	0.2173	✓	0.91
2026-05-06	oos	0.07661	0.077327	+0.94%	0.05147	-32.82%	0.1879	✗	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.07632	0.077018	+0.92%	0.05671	-25.69%	0.1170	✗	0.80
2026-05-04	oos	0.07301	0.073716	+0.97%	0.05891	-19.31%	0.0502	✗	0.79
2026-05-03	oos	0.06969	0.070319	+0.90%	0.0563	-19.21%	0.0938	✗	0.78
2026-05-02	oos	0.06908	0.070042	+1.39%	0.06186	-10.45%	0.0484	✗	0.77
2026-05-01	oos	0.06633	0.067655	+2.00%	0.06074	-8.43%	0.0606	✗	0.77
2026-04-30	oos	0.06506	0.066402	+2.06%	0.0611	-6.09%	0.0565	✗	0.79
2026-04-29	oos	0.0651	0.066638	+2.36%	0.06045	-7.14%	0.0721	✗	0.79
2026-04-28	oos	0.06576	0.067737	+3.01%	0.05848	-11.07%	0.1179	✗	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.07142	0.073365	+2.72%	0.06173	-13.57%	0.1419	✗	0.77
2026-04-26	oos	0.0752	0.07726	+2.74%	0.06274	-16.57%	0.1803	✗	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	0.07447	0.07675	+3.06%	0.06585	-11.58%	0.1492	✗	0.76
2026-04-24	oos	0.07791	0.080191	+2.93%	0.06597	-15.33%	0.1903	✗	0.79
2026-04-23	oos	0.07757	0.080136	+3.31%	0.065	-16.20%	0.1927	✗	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.07755	0.080109	+3.30%	0.06289	-18.90%	0.2136	✗	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.07699	0.078763	+2.30%	0.06719	-12.73%	0.1713	✗	0.79
2026-04-20	oos	0.07787	0.079211	+1.72%	0.06825	-12.35%	0.1657	✗	0.80
2026-04-19	oos	0.07709	0.077232	+0.18%	0.0635	-17.63%	0.2274	✗	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.08054	0.081038	+0.62%	0.06566	-18.48%	0.2229	✗	0.79
2026-04-17	oos	0.07991	0.081358	+1.81%	0.06633	-16.99%	0.2074	✗	0.80
2026-04-16	oos	0.08209	0.08171	-0.46%	0.06748	-17.80%	0.2224	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08009	0.079897	-0.24%	0.06585	-17.78%	0.2379	✓	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.07965	0.079454	-0.25%	0.07439	-6.60%	0.1379	✓	0.81
2026-04-13	oos	0.092	0.089587	-2.62%	0.07085	-22.99%	0.2864	✓	0.82
2026-04-12	oos	0.08838	0.085058	-3.76%	0.07454	-15.66%	0.2409	✓	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.09402	0.090849	-3.37%	0.07391	-21.39%	0.2996	✓	0.83
2026-04-10	oos	0.08717	0.085543	-1.87%	0.07985	-8.40%	0.1673	✓	0.83
2026-04-09	oos	0.08639	0.08416	-2.58%	0.08007	-7.32%	0.1463	✓	0.83
2026-04-08	oos	0.08576	0.083362	-2.80%	0.07902	-7.86%	0.1534	✓	0.83
2026-04-07	oos	0.08944	0.086573	-3.21%	0.08028	-10.24%	0.1636	✓	0.83
2026-04-06	oos	0.08678	0.08351	-3.77%	0.07661	-11.72%	0.2260	✓	0.83
2026-04-05	oos	0.08602	0.08327	-3.20%	0.07632	-11.28%	0.2198	✓	0.83
2026-04-04	oos	0.08618	0.083502	-3.11%	0.07301	-15.28%	0.2773	✓	0.84
2026-04-03	oos	0.08498	0.082777	-2.59%	0.06969	-17.99%	0.3052	✓	0.83
2026-04-02	oos	0.08134	0.079916	-1.75%	0.06908	-15.07%	0.2811	✓	0.83
2026-04-01	oos	0.08276	0.080801	-2.37%	0.06633	-19.85%	0.3116	✓	0.82
2026-03-31	oos	0.07898	0.078274	-0.89%	0.06506	-17.62%	0.2780	✓	0.83
2026-03-30	oos	0.07689	0.076709	-0.24%	0.0651	-15.33%	0.2688	✓	0.83
2026-03-29	oos	0.07703	0.077078	+0.06%	0.06576	-14.63%	0.2789	✗	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	0.08307	0.082534	-0.65%	0.07142	-14.02%	0.2709	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	0.08411	0.083671	-0.52%	0.0752	-10.59%	0.2462	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	0.08724	0.086875	-0.42%	0.07447	-14.64%	0.2544	✓	0.83
2026-03-25	oos	0.09149	0.092992	+1.64%	0.07791	-14.84%	0.2448	✗	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	0.09081	0.091634	+0.91%	0.07757	-14.58%	0.2520	✗	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	0.09086	0.09249	+1.79%	0.07755	-14.65%	0.2568	✗	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	0.08763	0.088257	+0.72%	0.07699	-12.14%	0.2324	✗	0.81
2026-03-21	oos	0.08704	0.089182	+2.46%	0.07787	-10.54%	0.2139	✗	0.81
2026-03-20	oos	0.08914	0.093111	+4.45%	0.07709	-13.52%	0.2261	✗	0.81
2026-03-19	oos	0.08938	0.093945	+5.11%	0.08054	-9.89%	0.2189	✗	0.81
2026-03-18	oos	0.09038	0.096223	+6.46%	0.07991	-11.58%	0.2505	✗	0.82
2026-03-17	oos	0.09325	0.100318	+7.58%	0.08209	-11.97%	0.2141	✗	0.82
2026-03-16	oos	0.09123	0.099095	+8.62%	0.08009	-12.21%	0.2124	✗	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	0.09	0.097651	+8.50%	0.07965	-11.50%	0.2191	✗	0.83
2026-03-14	oos	0.09154	0.098735	+7.86%	0.092	+0.50%	0.1085	✗	0.86
2026-03-13	oos	0.08527	0.092729	+8.75%	0.08838	+3.65%	0.0457	✓	0.86
2026-03-12	oos	0.08602	0.093507	+8.70%	0.09402	+9.30%	0.0251	✓	0.86
2026-03-11	oos	0.08521	0.091855	+7.80%	0.08717	+2.30%	0.0859	✗	0.86
2026-03-10	oos	0.08005	0.086351	+7.87%	0.08639	+7.92%	0.0217	✓	0.85
2026-03-09	oos	0.07869	0.084	+6.75%	0.08576	+8.98%	0.0118	✓	0.85
2026-03-08	oos	0.07509	0.079053	+5.28%	0.08944	+19.11%	0.0502	✓	0.85
2026-03-07	oos	0.07947	0.084833	+6.75%	0.08678	+9.20%	0.0030	✓	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	0.07877	0.085348	+8.35%	0.08602	+9.20%	0.0031	✓	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	0.08192	0.089124	+8.79%	0.08618	+5.20%	0.0102	✓	0.84
2026-03-04	oos	0.08571	0.091742	+7.04%	0.08498	-0.85%	0.0060	✓	0.86
2026-03-03	oos	0.08358	0.089022	+6.51%	0.08134	-2.68%	0.0715	✗	0.88
2026-03-02	oos	0.08372	0.089016	+6.33%	0.08276	-1.15%	0.0637	✗	0.88
2026-03-01	oos	0.08067	0.083915	+4.02%	0.07898	-2.09%	0.0921	✗	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	0.08629	0.089543	+3.77%	0.07689	-10.89%	0.1494	✗	0.86
2026-02-27	oos	0.08363	0.085872	+2.68%	0.07703	-7.89%	0.1099	✗	0.86
2026-02-26	oos	0.0854	0.088105	+3.17%	0.08307	-2.73%	0.0439	✗	0.86
2026-02-25	oos	0.08816	0.090148	+2.26%	0.08411	-4.59%	0.0484	✗	0.86
2026-02-24	oos	0.0815	0.08139	-0.13%	0.08724	+7.04%	0.0112	✗	0.82
2026-02-23	oos	0.0827	0.082616	-0.10%	0.09149	+10.63%	0.0231	✗	0.80
2026-02-22	oos	0.08618	0.086802	+0.72%	0.09081	+5.37%	0.0111	✓	0.81
2026-02-21	oos	0.08833	0.088322	-0.01%	0.09086	+2.86%	0.0053	✓	0.80
2026-02-20	oos	0.09057	0.089908	-0.73%	0.08763	-3.25%	0.0240	✓	0.79
2026-02-19	oos	0.08893	0.087837	-1.23%	0.08704	-2.13%	0.0316	✓	0.79
2026-02-18	oos	0.09045	0.088744	-1.89%	0.08914	-1.45%	0.0439	✓	0.81
2026-02-17	oos	0.0944	0.09197	-2.57%	0.08938	-5.32%	0.0570	✓	0.80
2026-02-16	oos	0.09606	0.092927	-3.26%	0.09038	-5.91%	0.0548	✓	0.79
2026-02-15	oos	0.09482	0.091677	-3.32%	0.09325	-1.66%	0.0405	✓	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	0.09884	0.094481	-4.41%	0.09123	-7.70%	0.0927	✓	0.82
2026-02-13	oos	0.09679	0.092675	-4.25%	0.09	-7.02%	0.0733	✓	0.78
2026-02-12	oos	0.09446	0.090977	-3.69%	0.09154	-3.09%	0.0514	✓	0.79
2026-02-11	oos	0.09184	0.088374	-3.77%	0.08527	-7.15%	0.0775	✓	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	0.09156	0.087543	-4.39%	0.08602	-6.05%	0.0368	✓	0.78
2026-02-09	oos	0.09423	0.089219	-5.32%	0.08521	-9.57%	0.0471	✓	0.77
2026-02-08	oos	0.09528	0.089807	-5.74%	0.08005	-15.98%	0.1115	✓	0.77
2026-02-07	oos	0.0984	0.092516	-5.98%	0.07869	-20.03%	0.1529	✓	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	0.0977	0.091596	-6.25%	0.07509	-23.14%	0.1486	✓	0.75
2026-02-05	oos	0.0963	0.09621	-0.09%	0.07947	-17.48%	0.2514	✓	0.88
2026-02-04	oos	0.1106	0.101823	-7.94%	0.07877	-28.78%	0.1971	✓	0.86
2026-02-03	oos	0.1139	0.104861	-7.94%	0.08192	-28.08%	0.1875	✓	0.91
2026-02-02	oos	0.1186	0.110184	-7.10%	0.08571	-27.73%	0.1775	✓	0.93
2026-02-01	oos	0.1225	0.113171	-7.62%	0.08358	-31.77%	0.2123	✓	0.77
2026-01-31	oos	0.1258	0.116993	-7.00%	0.08372	-33.45%	0.2467	✓	0.66
2026-01-30	oos	0.1377	0.129269	-6.12%	0.08067	-41.42%	0.3297	✓	0.58
2026-01-29	oos	0.143	0.133974	-6.31%	0.08629	-39.66%	0.2981	✓	0.61
2026-01-28	oos	0.1464	0.137036	-6.40%	0.08363	-42.88%	0.2904	✓	0.67
2026-01-27	oos	0.1603	0.147772	-7.82%	0.0854	-46.72%	0.3401	✓	0.75
2026-01-26	oos	0.1669	0.152553	-8.60%	0.08816	-47.18%	0.3568	✓	0.73
2026-01-25	oos	0.1611	0.148209	-8.00%	0.0815	-49.41%	0.3877	✓	0.70
2026-01-24	oos	0.1798	0.160748	-10.60%	0.0827	-54.00%	0.4599	✓	0.64
2026-01-23	oos	0.1858	0.164719	-11.35%	0.08618	-53.62%	0.3972	✓	0.89
2026-01-22	oos	0.1948	0.170447	-12.50%	0.08833	-54.66%	0.4099	✓	0.90
2026-01-21	oos	0.1784	0.158055	-11.40%	0.09057	-49.23%	0.3145	✓	0.89
2026-01-20	oos	0.1709	0.152461	-10.79%	0.08893	-47.96%	0.2965	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.182	0.16204	-10.97%	0.09045	-50.30%	0.3010	✓	0.85
2026-01-18	oos	0.1597	0.145361	-8.98%	0.0944	-40.89%	0.1297	✓	0.92
2026-01-17	oos	0.1624	0.148573	-8.51%	0.09606	-40.85%	0.1433	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.1802	0.161042	-10.63%	0.09482	-47.38%	0.2315	✓	0.91
2026-01-15	oos	0.1475	0.134671	-8.70%	0.09884	-32.99%	0.0236	✓	0.91
2026-01-14	oos	0.1489	0.136121	-8.58%	0.09679	-35.00%	0.0298	✓	0.91
2026-01-13	oos	0.1391	0.126627	-8.97%	0.09446	-32.09%	0.0265	✓	0.88
2026-01-12	oos	0.1286	0.117209	-8.86%	0.09184	-28.58%	0.0194	✓	0.86
2026-01-11	oos	0.1265	0.116498	-7.91%	0.09156	-27.62%	0.0089	✓	0.90
2026-01-10	oos	0.1302	0.120296	-7.61%	0.09423	-27.63%	0.0161	✓	0.90
2026-01-09	oos	0.1299	0.120473	-7.26%	0.09528	-26.65%	0.0174	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.1312	0.12248	-6.65%	0.0984	-25.00%	0.0727	✗	1.07
2026-01-07	oos	0.1363	0.126963	-6.85%	0.0977	-28.32%	0.1355	✓	0.49
2026-01-06	oos	0.1419	0.133221	-6.12%	0.0963	-32.14%	0.1616	✓	0.41
2026-01-05	oos	0.1341	0.127561	-4.88%	0.1106	-17.52%	0.0341	✓	0.43
2026-01-04	oos	0.1333	0.125143	-6.12%	0.1139	-14.55%	0.0049	✓	0.47
2026-01-03	oos	0.134	0.125146	-6.61%	0.1186	-11.49%	0.0138	✓	0.48
2026-01-02	oos	0.1299	0.122459	-5.73%	0.1225	-5.70%	0.0685	✗	0.43
2026-01-01	oos	0.1352	0.125541	-7.14%	0.1258	-6.95%	0.0585	✓	0.47
2025-12-31	oos	0.1293	0.120798	-6.58%	0.1377	+6.50%	0.1494	✗	0.47
2025-12-30	oos	0.1282	0.120575	-5.95%	0.143	+11.54%	0.1917	✗	0.47
2025-12-29	oos	0.1299	0.120908	-6.92%	0.1464	+12.70%	0.1784	✗	0.56
2025-12-28	oos	0.1288	0.120324	-6.58%	0.1603	+24.46%	0.2790	✗	0.56
2025-12-27	oos	0.1333	0.123414	-7.42%	0.1669	+25.21%	0.2991	✗	0.55
2025-12-26	oos	0.1217	0.115411	-5.17%	0.1611	+32.37%	0.3381	✗	0.54
2025-12-25	oos	0.1217	0.115618	-5.00%	0.1798	+47.74%	0.4299	✗	0.54
2025-12-24	oos	0.122	0.116112	-4.83%	0.1858	+52.30%	0.4587	✗	0.54
2025-12-23	oos	0.1237	0.116743	-5.62%	0.1948	+57.48%	0.4987	✗	0.58
2025-12-22	oos	0.1191	0.113701	-4.53%	0.1784	+49.79%	0.4451	✗	0.59
2025-12-21	oos	0.121	0.115158	-4.83%	0.1709	+41.24%	0.3970	✗	0.59
2025-12-20	oos	0.1284	0.120157	-6.42%	0.182	+41.74%	0.3860	✗	0.62
2025-12-19	oos	0.1234	0.117294	-4.95%	0.1597	+29.42%	0.2709	✗	0.62
2025-12-18	oos	0.1187	0.114494	-3.54%	0.1624	+36.82%	0.2847	✗	0.61
2025-12-17	oos	0.1248	0.118339	-5.18%	0.1802	+44.39%	0.3579	✗	0.61
2025-12-16	oos	0.1305	0.121563	-6.85%	0.1475	+13.03%	0.1430	✗	0.60
2025-12-15	oos	0.13	0.121485	-6.55%	0.1489	+14.54%	0.1344	✗	0.60
2025-12-14	oos	0.1399	0.128232	-8.34%	0.1391	-0.57%	0.0353	✓	0.59
2025-12-13	oos	0.1477	0.133656	-9.51%	0.1286	-12.93%	0.0443	✓	0.56
2025-12-12	oos	0.1524	0.137062	-10.06%	0.1265	-16.99%	0.0839	✓	0.57
2025-12-11	oos	0.1575	0.141212	-10.34%	0.1302	-17.33%	0.0680	✓	0.56
2025-12-10	oos	0.1591	0.142451	-10.46%	0.1299	-18.35%	0.0829	✓	0.56
2025-12-09	oos	0.1656	0.147828	-10.73%	0.1312	-20.77%	0.1092	✓	0.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.1606	0.143406	-10.71%	0.1363	-15.13%	0.0546	✓	0.55
2025-12-07	oos	0.16	0.142975	-10.64%	0.1419	-11.31%	0.0275	✓	0.55
2025-12-06	oos	0.1638	0.14548	-11.18%	0.1341	-18.13%	0.1101	✓	0.57
2025-12-05	oos	0.1537	0.138011	-10.21%	0.1333	-13.27%	0.0482	✓	0.57
2025-12-04	oos	0.1695	0.151826	-10.43%	0.134	-20.94%	0.1165	✓	0.51
2025-12-03	oos	0.1707	0.15405	-9.75%	0.1299	-23.90%	0.1509	✓	0.51
2025-12-02	oos	0.1695	0.152083	-10.28%	0.1352	-20.24%	0.1027	✓	0.53
2025-12-01	oos	0.165	0.146735	-11.07%	0.1293	-21.64%	0.1340	✓	0.54
2025-11-30	oos	0.1765	0.157627	-10.69%	0.1282	-27.37%	0.1958	✓	0.49
2025-11-29	oos	0.1739	0.15595	-10.32%	0.1299	-25.30%	0.1626	✓	0.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.1872	0.166864	-10.86%	0.1288	-31.20%	0.2424	✓	0.49
2025-11-27	oos	0.196	0.174503	-10.97%	0.1333	-31.99%	0.2503	✓	0.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.2004	0.177373	-11.49%	0.1217	-39.27%	0.3574	✓	0.54
2025-11-25	oos	0.2034	0.178253	-12.36%	0.1217	-40.17%	0.3806	✓	0.59
2025-11-24	oos	0.2118	0.185002	-12.65%	0.122	-42.40%	0.4120	✓	0.58
2025-11-23	oos	0.2164	0.187247	-13.47%	0.1237	-42.84%	0.4190	✓	0.62
2025-11-22	oos	0.22	0.189741	-13.75%	0.1191	-45.86%	0.4975	✓	0.71
2025-11-21	oos	0.2207	0.18983	-13.99%	0.121	-45.17%	0.4797	✓	0.71
2025-11-20	oos	0.2542	0.21679	-14.72%	0.1284	-49.49%	0.5374	✓	0.67
2025-11-19	oos	0.264	0.225298	-14.66%	0.1234	-53.26%	0.5756	✓	0.70
2025-11-18	oos	0.2603	0.223158	-14.27%	0.1187	-54.40%	0.5710	✓	0.72
2025-11-17	oos	0.251	0.215244	-14.25%	0.1248	-50.28%	0.4967	✓	0.73
2025-11-16	oos	0.2828	0.240681	-14.89%	0.1305	-53.85%	0.5632	✓	0.70
2025-11-15	oos	0.2202	0.194794	-11.54%	0.13	-40.96%	0.3249	✓	0.79
2025-11-14	oos	0.2065	0.183792	-11.00%	0.1399	-32.25%	0.2192	✓	0.77
2025-11-13	oos	0.1977	0.180754	-8.57%	0.1477	-25.29%	0.1140	✓	0.89
2025-11-12	oos	0.2388	0.216145	-9.49%	0.1524	-36.18%	0.2552	✓	0.80
2025-11-11	oos	0.2335	0.213239	-8.68%	0.1575	-32.55%	0.2168	✓	0.80
2025-11-10	oos	0.241	0.220398	-8.55%	0.1591	-33.98%	0.2142	✓	0.79
2025-11-09	oos	0.2682	0.241061	-10.12%	0.1656	-38.26%	0.2728	✓	0.84
2025-11-08	oos	0.2763	0.246893	-10.64%	0.1606	-41.87%	0.3229	✓	0.89
2025-11-07	oos	0.2973	0.262565	-11.68%	0.16	-46.18%	0.3795	✓	0.87
2025-11-06	oos	0.3066	0.268987	-12.27%	0.1638	-46.58%	0.3813	✓	0.91
2025-11-05	oos	0.344	0.293654	-14.64%	0.1537	-55.32%	0.5220	✓	0.83
2025-11-04	oos	0.331	0.283119	-14.47%	0.1695	-48.79%	0.4315	✓	0.84
2025-11-03	oos	0.2923	0.255039	-12.75%	0.1707	-41.60%	0.2560	✓	1.11
2025-11-02	oos	0.2623	0.233831	-10.85%	0.1695	-35.38%	0.0728	✓	1.30
2025-11-01	oos	0.2884	0.252974	-12.28%	0.165	-42.79%	0.1027	✓	1.33
2025-10-31	oos	0.2412	0.216656	-10.18%	0.1765	-26.82%	0.0463	✓	1.31
2025-10-30	oos	0.2135	0.194826	-8.75%	0.1739	-18.55%	0.1097	✗	1.27
2025-10-29	oos	0.2633	0.233741	-11.23%	0.1872	-28.90%	0.0061	✓	1.19
2025-10-28	oos	0.2569	0.22883	-10.93%	0.196	-23.71%	0.1123	✓	1.26
2025-10-27	oos	0.233	0.210144	-9.81%	0.2004	-13.99%	0.2532	✗	1.30
2025-10-26	oos	0.2427	0.215003	-11.41%	0.2034	-16.19%	0.2950	✗	1.29
2025-10-25	oos	0.1694	0.159557	-5.81%	0.2118	+25.03%	0.5161	✗	0.99
2025-10-24	oos	0.1667	0.157058	-5.78%	0.2164	+29.81%	0.5669	✗	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.1684	0.158751	-5.73%	0.22	+30.64%	0.5914	✗	1.01
2025-10-22	oos	0.164	0.154654	-5.70%	0.2207	+34.57%	0.5948	✗	1.02
2025-10-21	oos	0.1681	0.158493	-5.71%	0.2542	+51.22%	0.6993	✗	1.01
2025-10-20	oos	0.1826	0.170488	-6.63%	0.264	+44.58%	0.6234	✗	0.98
2025-10-19	oos	0.1846	0.172688	-6.45%	0.2603	+41.01%	0.5592	✗	0.95
2025-10-18	oos	0.1778	0.167871	-5.58%	0.251	+41.17%	0.5453	✗	0.94
2025-10-17	oos	0.1755	0.167257	-4.70%	0.2828	+61.14%	0.6399	✗	0.94
2025-10-16	oos	0.1772	0.169271	-4.47%	0.2202	+24.27%	0.3796	✗	0.94
2025-10-15	oos	0.1795	0.169998	-5.29%	0.2065	+15.04%	0.3457	✗	0.95
2025-10-14	oos	0.1959	0.181015	-7.60%	0.1977	+0.92%	0.2015	✗	0.89
2025-10-13	oos	0.2198	0.197553	-10.12%	0.2388	+8.64%	0.2921	✗	0.81
2025-10-12	oos	0.2327	0.209152	-10.12%	0.2335	+0.34%	0.1991	✗	0.80
2025-10-11	oos	0.2065	0.191916	-7.06%	0.241	+16.71%	0.2569	✗	0.66
2025-10-10	oos	0.2455	0.219769	-10.48%	0.2682	+9.25%	0.2389	✗	0.52
2025-10-09	oos	0.1897	0.171914	-9.38%	0.2763	+45.65%	0.7772	✗	1.74
2025-10-08	oos	0.1442	0.135099	-6.31%	0.2973	+106.17%	1.1349	✗	1.95
2025-10-07	oos	0.1348	0.127901	-5.12%	0.3066	+127.45%	1.2101	✗	1.85
2025-10-06	oos	0.1445	0.137643	-4.75%	0.344	+138.06%	1.2330	✗	1.73
2025-10-05	oos	0.1413	0.134979	-4.47%	0.331	+134.25%	1.2433	✗	1.76
2025-10-04	oos	0.1597	0.149763	-6.22%	0.2923	+83.03%	0.9188	✗	1.80
2025-10-03	oos	0.1405	0.134242	-4.45%	0.2623	+86.69%	0.8530	✗	1.81
2025-10-02	oos	0.1343	0.127959	-4.72%	0.2884	+114.74%	0.9771	✗	1.79
2025-10-01	oos	0.1329	0.125475	-5.59%	0.2412	+81.49%	0.7996	✗	1.83
2025-09-30	oos	0.1204	0.113793	-5.49%	0.2135	+77.33%	0.7209	✗	1.77
2025-09-29	oos	0.1214	0.115024	-5.25%	0.2633	+116.89%	0.8972	✗	1.79
2025-09-28	oos	0.1237	0.117014	-5.40%	0.2569	+107.68%	0.7747	✗	1.86
2025-09-27	oos	0.1203	0.114645	-4.70%	0.233	+93.68%	0.6355	✗	1.87
2025-09-26	oos	0.1198	0.113972	-4.86%	0.2427	+102.59%	0.6746	✗	1.88
2025-09-25	oos	0.1167	0.111766	-4.23%	0.1694	+45.16%	0.3711	✗	1.88
2025-09-24	oos	0.1243	0.117706	-5.30%	0.1667	+34.11%	0.3871	✗	1.90
2025-09-23	oos	0.1231	0.117208	-4.79%	0.1684	+36.80%	0.3952	✗	1.92
2025-09-22	oos	0.1243	0.119141	-4.15%	0.164	+31.94%	0.4076	✗	1.88
2025-09-21	oos	0.1337	0.12767	-4.51%	0.1681	+25.73%	0.3891	✗	1.84
2025-09-20	oos	0.1364	0.130518	-4.31%	0.1826	+33.87%	0.4263	✗	1.98
2025-09-19	oos	0.1333	0.128575	-3.54%	0.1846	+38.48%	0.4858	✗	1.99
2025-09-18	oos	0.1416	0.135731	-4.14%	0.1778	+25.56%	0.4440	✗	1.97
2025-09-17	oos	0.1427	0.136665	-4.23%	0.1755	+22.99%	0.4281	✗	1.98

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.