ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · gru_s6
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 285
Track record at +1d
assessed
93
of 95 predictions shown
direction hit
66.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1537
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0203
actual -0.0300
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.03943 | 0.038254 | -2.98% | – | pending | – | – | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.03956 | 0.038394 | -2.95% | 0.03943 | -0.33% | 0.0205 | ✓ | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.039499 | -6.33% | 0.03956 | -6.19% | 0.0343 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.021195 | -1.10% | 0.04217 | +96.78% | 0.6570 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.020687 | -0.78% | 0.02143 | +2.78% | 0.0401 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.027549 | -0.44% | 0.02085 | -24.65% | 0.2974 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.032918 | -0.82% | 0.02767 | -16.63% | 0.1701 | ✓ | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.029303 | -0.25% | 0.033189 | +12.98% | 0.1433 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.033552 | -0.32% | 0.029376 | -12.72% | 0.1501 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.036005 | -0.66% | 0.033658 | -7.13% | 0.0217 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.036449 | -0.23% | 0.036243 | -0.79% | 0.0475 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.053125 | -1.23% | 0.036532 | -32.08% | 0.3294 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.060019 | -2.01% | 0.053783 | -12.19% | 0.1283 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.057957 | -3.07% | 0.061248 | +2.43% | 0.0463 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.042249 | -0.40% | 0.059795 | +40.96% | 0.3278 | ✗ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.049841 | -1.08% | 0.04242 | -15.80% | 0.1304 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.052491 | -1.70% | 0.050383 | -5.65% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.066219 | -2.18% | 0.0534 | -21.12% | 0.2119 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.091203 | -2.66% | 0.067695 | -27.75% | 0.2893 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.101849 | -3.98% | 0.093694 | -11.67% | 0.1101 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.075963 | -2.60% | 0.106073 | +36.01% | 0.3302 | ✗ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.083761 | -2.89% | 0.077989 | -9.58% | 0.0673 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.08607 | -4.31% | 0.086255 | -4.11% | 0.0132 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.064991 | -2.82% | 0.089951 | +34.50% | 0.3260 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.068955 | -2.83% | 0.066876 | -5.76% | 0.0328 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.088386 | -3.79% | 0.070965 | -22.75% | 0.2076 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.070886 | -3.16% | 0.09187 | +25.50% | 0.2588 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.072829 | -3.96% | 0.073202 | -3.47% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.059371 | -3.13% | 0.075834 | +23.73% | 0.2482 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.063796 | -3.50% | 0.06129 | -7.30% | 0.0402 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.05913 | -3.02% | 0.066113 | +8.43% | 0.1330 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.075747 | -4.85% | 0.06097 | -23.41% | 0.2124 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.053337 | -3.63% | 0.079604 | +43.83% | 0.3356 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.052498 | -5.84% | 0.055348 | -0.73% | 0.0538 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.038023 | -3.62% | 0.055756 | +41.33% | 0.3784 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.046527 | -7.78% | 0.039451 | -21.80% | 0.2226 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.026845 | -5.96% | 0.05045 | +76.73% | 0.6282 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.015731 | -2.16% | 0.028547 | +77.56% | 0.5886 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.014036 | -1.26% | 0.016078 | +13.11% | 0.1695 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.015134 | -1.41% | 0.014214 | -7.41% | 0.0805 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.016912 | -1.88% | 0.015351 | -10.93% | 0.0908 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.019213 | -2.34% | 0.017236 | -12.39% | 0.1093 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001345 | -17.20% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 9.18e-7 | -18.77% | 0.000001625 | +43.81% | 0.5846 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 6.28e-7 | -18.44% | 0.00000113 | +46.75% | 0.5724 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001246 | -15.52% | 7.70e-7 | -47.80% | 0.4733 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010465 | -0.48% | 0.000001475 | -85.97% | 1.9604 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.00000938 | -0.21% | 0.000010515 | +11.86% | 0.1072 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000010092 | -0.33% | 0.0000094 | -7.16% | 0.0727 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010505 | -0.42% | 0.000010125 | -4.03% | 0.0309 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010868 | -0.48% | 0.00001055 | -3.39% | 0.0322 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.00001095 | -0.59% | 0.00001092 | -0.86% | 0.0128 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011141 | -0.57% | 0.000011015 | -1.70% | 0.0102 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012578 | -0.85% | 0.000011205 | -11.67% | 0.1200 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011586 | -0.81% | 0.000012685 | +8.60% | 0.0875 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009542 | -0.19% | 0.00001168 | +22.18% | 0.1734 | ✗ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010338 | -0.31% | 0.00000956 | -7.81% | 0.0700 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011648 | -0.48% | 0.00001037 | -11.41% | 0.0991 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011663 | -0.27% | 0.000011705 | +0.09% | 0.0111 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012638 | -0.25% | 0.000011695 | -7.70% | 0.0600 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.00001351 | -0.37% | 0.00001267 | -6.56% | 0.0440 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014604 | -0.45% | 0.00001356 | -7.57% | 0.0739 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015295 | -0.68% | 0.00001467 | -4.74% | 0.0200 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015324 | -0.69% | 0.0000154 | -0.19% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015543 | -0.81% | 0.00001543 | -1.53% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000014886 | -0.56% | 0.00001567 | +4.68% | 0.0336 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015172 | -0.51% | 0.00001497 | -1.84% | 0.0156 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016454 | -0.58% | 0.00001525 | -7.85% | 0.0865 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016512 | -0.47% | 0.00001655 | -0.24% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017353 | -0.56% | 0.00001659 | -4.93% | 0.0195 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000017831 | -0.50% | 0.00001745 | -2.62% | 0.0091 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000017226 | -0.08% | 0.00001792 | +3.94% | 0.0215 | ✗ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000019692 | -0.04% | 0.00001724 | -12.49% | 0.2052 | ✓ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000023875 | -0.19% | 0.0000197 | -17.64% | 0.1450 | ✓ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027659 | -0.15% | 0.00002392 | -13.65% | 0.1402 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029471 | -0.10% | 0.0000277 | -6.10% | 0.0611 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000033012 | -0.15% | 0.0000295 | -10.77% | 0.1079 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031752 | -0.06% | 0.00003306 | +4.06% | 0.0311 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033371 | -0.09% | 0.00003177 | -4.88% | 0.0845 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035846 | -0.15% | 0.0000334 | -6.96% | 0.0599 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038114 | -0.23% | 0.0000359 | -6.02% | 0.0765 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000040159 | -0.35% | 0.0000382 | -5.21% | 0.0748 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000040076 | -0.31% | 0.0000403 | +0.25% | 0.0101 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000042135 | -0.39% | 0.0000402 | -4.96% | 0.0299 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000044172 | -0.51% | 0.0000423 | -4.73% | 0.0121 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000045841 | -0.78% | 0.0000444 | -3.90% | 0.0162 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000042842 | -0.60% | 0.0000462 | +7.19% | 0.0667 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.00004185 | -0.59% | 0.0000431 | +2.38% | 0.0518 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000040502 | -0.49% | 0.0000421 | +3.44% | 0.0531 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039374 | -0.32% | 0.0000407 | +3.04% | 0.0222 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000040842 | -0.39% | 0.0000395 | -3.66% | 0.0193 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000041985 | -0.51% | 0.000041 | -2.84% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000037013 | +0.04% | 0.0000422 | +14.05% | 0.1445 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000046851 | -0.10% | 0.000037 | -21.11% | 0.2076 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000055553 | -0.26% | 0.0000469 | -15.80% | 0.1815 | ✓ | 1.00 |