NEX

Nexus · Ethereum · gru_s6

token id: #668
symbol: NEX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xf57d49646621f563b0b905afc8336923ac569ec5
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-20
predictions: 441

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

140

of 147 predictions shown

direction hit

56.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1292

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0074

actual -0.0857

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	6.75e-7	6.74e-7	-0.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-21	oos	6.75e-7	6.77e-7	+0.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	6.85e-7	6.88e-7	+0.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-19	oos	6.75e-7	6.80e-7	+0.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	7.15e-7	7.15e-7	-0.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-17	oos	7.15e-7	7.16e-7	+0.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	7.35e-7	7.34e-7	-0.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-15	oos	7.45e-7	7.45e-7	-0.00%	6.75e-7	-9.40%	0.1120	✓	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	7.75e-7	7.72e-7	-0.33%	6.75e-7	-12.90%	0.1508	✓	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	7.75e-7	7.72e-7	-0.39%	6.85e-7	-11.61%	0.1185	✓	0.54
2026-10-12	oos	8.05e-7	7.97e-7	-0.99%	6.75e-7	-16.15%	0.1668	✓	0.55
2026-10-11	oos	8.15e-7	8.10e-7	-0.56%	7.15e-7	-12.27%	0.1139	✓	0.56
2026-10-10	oos	8.15e-7	8.06e-7	-1.07%	7.15e-7	-12.27%	0.1095	✓	0.57
2026-10-09	oos	7.95e-7	7.86e-7	-1.14%	7.35e-7	-7.55%	0.0595	✓	0.59
2026-10-08	oos	7.95e-7	7.86e-7	-1.17%	7.45e-7	-6.29%	0.0562	✓	0.58
2026-10-07	oos	8.05e-7	7.97e-7	-1.03%	7.75e-7	-3.73%	0.0159	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	8.15e-7	8.11e-7	-0.50%	7.75e-7	-4.91%	0.0294	✓	0.55
2026-10-05	oos	8.25e-7	8.34e-7	+1.10%	8.05e-7	-2.42%	0.0090	✓	0.55
2026-10-04	oos	8.25e-7	8.34e-7	+1.03%	8.15e-7	-1.21%	0.0038	✓	0.56
2026-10-03	oos	8.35e-7	8.36e-7	+0.15%	8.15e-7	-2.40%	0.0134	✗	0.56
2026-10-02	oos	8.40e-7	8.42e-7	+0.27%	7.95e-7	-5.36%	0.0446	✗	0.56
2026-10-01	oos	8.15e-7	8.16e-7	+0.14%	7.95e-7	-2.45%	0.0043	✗	0.58
2026-09-30	oos	8.25e-7	8.29e-7	+0.46%	8.05e-7	-2.42%	0.0267	✗	0.74
2026-09-29	oos	8.35e-7	8.41e-7	+0.67%	8.15e-7	-2.40%	0.0475	✗	0.74
2026-09-28	oos	8.25e-7	8.32e-7	+0.87%	8.25e-7	+0.00%	0.0286	✗	0.74
2026-09-27	oos	8.40e-7	8.47e-7	+0.78%	8.25e-7	-1.79%	0.0433	✗	0.73
2026-09-26	oos	8.35e-7	8.39e-7	+0.50%	8.35e-7	+0.00%	0.0078	✗	0.73
2026-09-25	oos	8.35e-7	8.44e-7	+1.09%	8.40e-7	+0.60%	0.0084	✓	0.73
2026-09-24	oos	8.30e-7	8.42e-7	+1.44%	8.15e-7	-1.81%	0.0366	✗	0.74
2026-09-23	oos	8.50e-7	8.64e-7	+1.64%	8.25e-7	-2.94%	0.0389	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.000001065	0.000001075	+0.90%	8.35e-7	-21.60%	0.2330	✗	0.64
2026-09-21	oos	0.000001075	0.000001084	+0.88%	8.25e-7	-23.26%	0.2480	✗	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.000001055	0.000001068	+1.20%	8.40e-7	-20.38%	0.2690	✗	0.73
2026-09-19	oos	0.000001085	0.000001098	+1.19%	8.35e-7	-23.04%	0.3014	✗	0.72
2026-09-18	oos	0.000001065	0.000001084	+1.81%	8.35e-7	-21.60%	0.2891	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.00000104	0.000001068	+2.69%	8.30e-7	-20.19%	0.3248	✗	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.000001015	0.000001046	+3.01%	8.50e-7	-16.26%	0.2796	✗	0.71
2026-09-15	oos	9.95e-7	0.000001032	+3.69%	0.000001065	+7.04%	0.0731	✗	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.000001025	0.00000106	+3.43%	0.000001075	+4.88%	0.0617	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.000001005	0.000001042	+3.71%	0.000001055	+4.98%	0.0284	✓	0.73
2026-09-12	oos	0.000001015	0.000001053	+3.78%	0.000001085	+6.90%	0.0076	✓	0.74
2026-09-11	oos	0.000001025	0.000001066	+4.00%	0.000001065	+3.90%	0.0363	✓	0.76
2026-09-10	oos	0.000001045	0.000001085	+3.86%	0.00000104	-0.48%	0.0408	✗	0.76
2026-09-09	oos	0.00000107	0.000001111	+3.83%	0.000001015	-5.14%	0.0689	✗	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.000001425	0.000001448	+1.62%	9.95e-7	-30.18%	0.3477	✗	0.74
2026-09-07	oos	0.000001445	0.000001474	+2.03%	0.000001025	-29.07%	0.3552	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00000145	0.000001487	+2.56%	0.000001005	-30.69%	0.3594	✗	0.72
2026-09-05	oos	0.00000147	0.000001508	+2.59%	0.000001015	-30.95%	0.3722	✗	0.73
2026-09-04	oos	0.00000145	0.000001487	+2.57%	0.000001025	-29.31%	0.3500	✗	0.71
2026-09-03	oos	0.00000145	0.000001492	+2.92%	0.000001045	-27.93%	0.3125	✗	0.73
2026-09-02	oos	0.00000143	0.000001456	+1.82%	0.00000107	-25.17%	0.3161	✗	0.64
2026-09-01	oos	0.00000144	0.000001469	+2.00%	0.000001425	-1.04%	0.0389	✗	0.64
2026-08-31	oos	0.000001435	0.000001469	+2.38%	0.000001445	+0.70%	0.0214	✓	0.73
2026-08-30	oos	0.000001435	0.00000147	+2.42%	0.00000145	+1.05%	0.0361	✗	0.67
2026-08-29	oos	0.000001445	0.000001484	+2.72%	0.00000147	+1.73%	0.0229	✓	0.65
2026-08-28	oos	0.000001455	0.000001495	+2.76%	0.00000145	-0.34%	0.0458	✗	0.65
2026-08-27	oos	0.00000148	0.000001526	+3.12%	0.00000145	-2.03%	0.0592	✗	0.66
2026-08-26	oos	0.000001465	0.000001506	+2.77%	0.00000143	-2.39%	0.0372	✗	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.000001475	0.000001511	+2.41%	0.00000144	-2.37%	0.0384	✗	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.000001465	0.0000015	+2.38%	0.000001435	-2.05%	0.0409	✗	0.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.00000149	0.000001516	+1.78%	0.000001435	-3.69%	0.0547	✗	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.0000015	0.00000152	+1.35%	0.000001445	-3.67%	0.0605	✗	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.00000154	0.000001562	+1.43%	0.000001455	-5.52%	0.0670	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.000001505	0.000001509	+0.27%	0.00000148	-1.66%	0.0838	✗	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.00000149	0.000001472	-1.23%	0.000001465	-1.68%	0.1222	✓	0.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.000001435	0.000001415	-1.42%	0.000001475	+2.79%	0.1383	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.000001515	0.000001486	-1.94%	0.000001465	-3.30%	0.2040	✓	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.000001485	0.000001462	-1.58%	0.00000149	+0.34%	0.1782	✓	0.93
2026-08-15	oos	0.000001495	0.000001471	-1.64%	0.0000015	+0.33%	0.1668	✓	0.93
2026-08-14	oos	0.000001545	0.000001516	-1.85%	0.00000154	-0.32%	0.1875	✓	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.000001545	0.000001515	-1.94%	0.000001505	-2.59%	0.1381	✓	0.93
2026-08-12	oos	0.000001555	0.000001524	-1.98%	0.00000149	-4.18%	0.1055	✓	0.93
2026-08-11	oos	0.000001635	0.000001589	-2.83%	0.000001435	-12.23%	0.1185	✓	0.93
2026-08-10	oos	0.000001645	0.000001585	-3.65%	0.000001515	-7.90%	0.0534	✓	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.000001435	0.000001413	-1.52%	0.000001485	+3.48%	0.0813	✗	1.01
2026-08-08	oos	0.000001445	0.000001418	-1.84%	0.000001495	+3.46%	0.0823	✗	1.01
2026-08-07	oos	0.000001475	0.000001444	-2.08%	0.000001545	+4.75%	0.0976	✗	1.01
2026-08-06	oos	0.000001475	0.00000145	-1.73%	0.000001545	+4.75%	0.0771	✗	1.01
2026-08-05	oos	0.000001455	0.000001433	-1.55%	0.000001555	+6.87%	0.1009	✗	1.01
2026-08-04	oos	0.000001445	0.000001424	-1.43%	0.000001635	+13.15%	0.1461	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.000001465	0.000001443	-1.49%	0.000001645	+12.29%	0.1238	✗	1.01
2026-08-02	oos	0.00000149	0.000001461	-1.92%	0.000001435	-3.69%	0.0394	✓	1.01
2026-08-01	oos	0.00000145	0.000001432	-1.21%	0.000001445	-0.34%	0.0246	✓	0.99
2026-07-31	oos	0.000001455	0.000001438	-1.17%	0.000001475	+1.37%	0.0066	✓	0.99
2026-07-30	oos	0.000001495	0.000001464	-2.07%	0.000001475	-1.34%	0.0145	✓	1.01
2026-07-29	oos	0.000001505	0.000001477	-1.87%	0.000001455	-3.32%	0.0260	✓	1.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.000001505	0.000001477	-1.85%	0.000001445	-3.99%	0.0253	✓	1.01
2026-07-27	oos	0.000001505	0.000001478	-1.78%	0.000001465	-2.66%	0.0054	✓	1.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.000001575	0.000001538	-2.38%	0.00000149	-5.40%	0.0027	✓	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	0.000001565	0.000001529	-2.31%	0.00000145	-7.35%	0.0289	✓	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.000001575	0.00000154	-2.20%	0.000001455	-7.62%	0.0372	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.000001595	0.000001563	-1.98%	0.000001495	-6.27%	0.0396	✓	1.01
2026-07-22	oos	0.000001635	0.000001601	-2.10%	0.000001505	-7.95%	0.0275	✓	1.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.000001635	0.000001601	-2.05%	0.000001505	-7.95%	0.0206	✓	1.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.000001695	0.00000165	-2.63%	0.000001505	-11.21%	0.0675	✓	1.05
2026-07-19	oos	0.000001715	0.00000166	-3.22%	0.000001575	-8.16%	0.0631	✓	1.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.000001705	0.000001649	-3.30%	0.000001565	-8.21%	0.0439	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	0.000001705	0.000001661	-2.59%	0.000001575	-7.62%	0.0561	✓	1.05
2026-07-16	oos	0.000001775	0.000001739	-2.01%	0.000001595	-10.14%	0.1076	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.000001775	0.00000175	-1.41%	0.000001635	-7.89%	0.0905	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.000001785	0.000001763	-1.23%	0.000001635	-8.40%	0.1004	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.000001755	0.000001729	-1.46%	0.000001695	-3.42%	0.0709	✓	1.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.000001825	0.000001804	-1.16%	0.000001715	-6.03%	0.0667	✓	1.10
2026-07-11	oos	0.000002225	0.000002188	-1.68%	0.000001705	-23.37%	0.2672	✓	1.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.0000022	0.000002166	-1.57%	0.000001705	-22.50%	0.2350	✓	1.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.000002355	0.0000023	-2.36%	0.000001775	-24.63%	0.2701	✓	1.20
2026-07-08	oos	0.000002615	0.00000254	-2.88%	0.000001775	-32.12%	0.4092	✓	1.30
2026-07-07	oos	0.00000269	0.000002595	-3.51%	0.000001785	-33.64%	0.4083	✓	1.31
2026-07-06	oos	0.00000276	0.000002639	-4.38%	0.000001755	-36.41%	0.3720	✓	1.31
2026-07-05	oos	0.00000285	0.000002701	-5.23%	0.000001825	-35.96%	0.3952	✓	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	0.000002975	0.000002775	-6.71%	0.000002225	-25.21%	0.2356	✓	1.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.00000283	0.000002606	-7.91%	0.0000022	-22.26%	0.2030	✓	1.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.00000185	0.000001823	-1.43%	0.000002355	+27.30%	0.2329	✗	0.84
2026-07-01	oos	0.00000185	0.000001829	-1.16%	0.000002615	+41.35%	0.3262	✗	0.85
2026-06-30	oos	0.00000184	0.000001826	-0.77%	0.00000269	+46.20%	0.3217	✗	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.000001885	0.000001863	-1.14%	0.00000276	+46.42%	0.3396	✗	0.86
2026-06-28	oos	0.000001885	0.000001866	-1.01%	0.00000285	+51.19%	0.3669	✗	0.85
2026-06-27	oos	0.000001905	0.000001885	-1.06%	0.000002975	+56.17%	0.4129	✗	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.00000201	0.000001983	-1.36%	0.00000283	+40.80%	0.3205	✗	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.00000199	0.000001969	-1.04%	0.00000185	-7.04%	0.0871	✓	0.84
2026-06-24	oos	0.000002145	0.000002119	-1.22%	0.00000185	-13.75%	0.1220	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.000002345	0.000002308	-1.56%	0.00000184	-21.54%	0.1760	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.000002455	0.00000241	-1.84%	0.000001885	-23.22%	0.2007	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.000002535	0.000002489	-1.83%	0.000001885	-25.64%	0.2311	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.000002575	0.000002526	-1.91%	0.000001905	-26.02%	0.2288	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.00000258	0.000002537	-1.65%	0.00000201	-22.09%	0.1903	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.000002835	0.000002778	-2.01%	0.00000199	-29.81%	0.2818	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.0000033	0.000003193	-3.25%	0.000002145	-35.00%	0.3425	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.00000302	0.000002937	-2.74%	0.000002345	-22.35%	0.1789	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.00000314	0.000003047	-2.97%	0.000002455	-21.82%	0.1803	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.00000308	0.000002992	-2.85%	0.000002535	-17.69%	0.1274	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.000002975	0.000002901	-2.50%	0.000002575	-13.45%	0.1158	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.000002985	0.000002913	-2.42%	0.00000258	-13.57%	0.1203	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.00000318	0.000003088	-2.90%	0.000002835	-10.85%	0.0746	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.000003115	0.000003031	-2.69%	0.0000033	+5.94%	0.0373	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.00000282	0.000002768	-1.85%	0.00000302	+7.09%	0.0254	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.00000286	0.0000028	-2.09%	0.00000314	+9.79%	0.0648	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.00000296	0.00000289	-2.36%	0.00000308	+4.05%	0.0264	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.00000295	0.000002903	-1.59%	0.000002975	+0.85%	0.0327	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.00000305	0.000003	-1.63%	0.000002985	-2.13%	0.0454	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.00000294	0.000002885	-1.86%	0.00000318	+8.16%	0.1010	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.00000306	0.000003	-1.95%	0.000003115	+1.80%	0.0789	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.00000337	0.000003273	-2.87%	0.00000282	-16.32%	0.0715	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.00000346	0.000003348	-3.23%	0.00000286	-17.34%	0.0347	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.000003485	0.000003364	-3.48%	0.00000296	-15.06%	0.0225	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.000003395	0.000003292	-3.04%	0.00000295	-13.11%	0.0829	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.0000035	0.000003394	-3.04%	0.00000305	-12.86%	0.0773	✗	1.00