NES

Nesa · Ethereum · gru_s6

token id: #366
symbol: NES
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x863F08A3d3B14fbD3D42fFD061D0e290F7dBC538
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-24
predictions: 336

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 112 predictions shown

direction hit

93.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2720

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0218

actual -0.2737

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.115725	0.113696	-1.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.112605	0.110714	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.12079	0.118918	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-19	oos	0.114105	0.112636	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.05
2026-10-18	oos	0.118045	0.116391	-1.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-10-17	oos	0.11967	0.117964	-1.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-16	oos	0.122125	0.121123	-0.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.138695	0.137186	-1.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.146385	0.144201	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.136455	0.134764	-1.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-10-12	oos	0.13391	0.131982	-1.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-11	oos	0.14095	0.137622	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.14031	0.13816	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.05
2026-10-09	oos	0.13735	0.135415	-1.41%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.13322	0.13234	-0.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.137455	0.136088	-0.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.137615	0.135786	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.07
2026-10-05	oos	0.14428	0.142033	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.14974	0.146333	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-03	oos	0.14604	0.142552	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-02	oos	0.14854	0.144289	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-01	oos	0.1514	0.147095	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-09-30	oos	0.15126	0.147456	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.15
2026-09-29	oos	0.16081	0.155889	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-09-28	oos	0.1614	0.157355	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.16563	0.161325	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.163905	0.159496	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.15964	0.155833	-2.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.16505	0.161005	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-09-23	oos	0.16465	0.160495	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-09-22	oos	0.168615	0.164402	-2.50%	0.115725	-31.37%	0.3479	✓	0.14
2026-09-21	oos	0.16943	0.165407	-2.37%	0.112605	-33.54%	0.3803	✓	0.14
2026-09-20	oos	0.16252	0.157815	-2.89%	0.12079	-25.68%	0.2689	✓	0.07
2026-09-19	oos	0.162175	0.157177	-3.08%	0.114105	-29.64%	0.3208	✓	0.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.15727	0.153753	-2.24%	0.118045	-24.94%	0.2652	✓	0.07
2026-09-17	oos	0.15382	0.149924	-2.53%	0.11967	-22.20%	0.2269	✓	0.02
2026-09-16	oos	0.16251	0.15727	-3.22%	0.122125	-24.85%	0.2546	✓	0.02
2026-09-15	oos	0.1658	0.160025	-3.48%	0.138695	-16.35%	0.1452	✓	0.03
2026-09-14	oos	0.15123	0.148272	-1.96%	0.146385	-3.20%	0.0192	✓	0.15
2026-09-13	oos	0.14991	0.146786	-2.08%	0.136455	-8.98%	0.0843	✓	0.14
2026-09-12	oos	0.15991	0.156167	-2.34%	0.13391	-16.26%	0.1609	✓	0.13
2026-09-11	oos	0.149955	0.147102	-1.90%	0.14095	-6.01%	0.0533	✓	0.13
2026-09-10	oos	0.144685	0.141525	-2.18%	0.14031	-3.02%	0.0185	✓	0.12
2026-09-09	oos	0.11554	0.116782	+1.07%	0.13735	+18.88%	0.1443	✓	0.34
2026-09-08	oos	0.1225	0.123458	+0.78%	0.13322	+8.75%	0.0627	✓	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.13114	0.13171	+0.43%	0.137455	+4.82%	0.0268	✓	0.31
2026-09-06	oos	0.1288	0.130197	+1.08%	0.137615	+6.84%	0.0346	✓	0.33
2026-09-05	oos	0.12945	0.130454	+0.78%	0.14428	+11.46%	0.0771	✓	0.33
2026-09-04	oos	0.1378	0.13858	+0.57%	0.14974	+8.66%	0.0505	✓	0.33
2026-09-03	oos	0.13944	0.141492	+1.47%	0.14604	+4.73%	0.0177	✓	0.33
2026-09-02	oos	0.13736	0.136143	-0.89%	0.14854	+8.14%	0.0591	✗	0.31
2026-09-01	oos	0.14057	0.139876	-0.49%	0.1514	+7.70%	0.0504	✗	0.31
2026-08-31	oos	0.14442	0.145005	+0.41%	0.15126	+4.74%	0.0235	✓	0.30
2026-08-30	oos	0.156	0.155765	-0.15%	0.16081	+3.08%	0.0077	✗	0.33
2026-08-29	oos	0.15359	0.154474	+0.58%	0.1614	+5.08%	0.0220	✓	0.34
2026-08-28	oos	0.14335	0.146066	+1.90%	0.16563	+15.54%	0.0983	✓	0.33
2026-08-27	oos	0.14355	0.15219	+6.02%	0.163905	+14.18%	0.0558	✓	0.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.1493	0.15757	+5.54%	0.15964	+6.93%	0.0107	✓	0.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.1605	0.167604	+4.43%	0.16505	+2.83%	0.0433	✓	0.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.13701	0.145653	+6.31%	0.16465	+20.17%	0.0920	✓	0.46
2026-08-23	oos	0.195165	0.197183	+1.03%	0.168615	-13.60%	0.2230	✗	0.64
2026-08-22	oos	0.205345	0.205043	-0.15%	0.16943	-17.49%	0.2670	✓	0.65
2026-08-21	oos	0.220915	0.22176	+0.38%	0.16252	-26.43%	0.3322	✗	0.60
2026-08-20	oos	0.215955	0.208945	-3.25%	0.162175	-24.90%	0.3229	✓	0.65
2026-08-19	oos	0.21345	0.201276	-5.70%	0.15727	-26.32%	0.3552	✓	0.70
2026-08-18	oos	0.20579	0.197254	-4.15%	0.15382	-25.25%	0.3710	✓	0.74
2026-08-17	oos	0.21233	0.203885	-3.98%	0.16251	-23.46%	0.3503	✓	0.74
2026-08-16	oos	0.214555	0.209431	-2.39%	0.1658	-22.72%	0.3814	✓	0.80
2026-08-15	oos	0.20837	0.204579	-1.82%	0.15123	-27.42%	0.4773	✓	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.20957	0.206346	-1.54%	0.14991	-28.47%	0.4808	✓	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.20644	0.203196	-1.57%	0.15991	-22.54%	0.4039	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.200645	0.197983	-1.33%	0.149955	-25.26%	0.4422	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.203145	0.199806	-1.64%	0.144685	-28.78%	0.4781	✓	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.204145	0.199587	-2.23%	0.11554	-43.40%	0.7168	✓	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.20451	0.197053	-3.65%	0.1225	-40.10%	0.6403	✓	0.87
2026-08-08	oos	0.208985	0.199772	-4.41%	0.13114	-37.25%	0.5916	✓	0.86
2026-08-07	oos	0.20336	0.194691	-4.26%	0.1288	-36.66%	0.5984	✓	0.87
2026-08-06	oos	0.20365	0.196369	-3.58%	0.12945	-36.44%	0.6051	✓	0.87
2026-08-05	oos	0.19656	0.1889	-3.90%	0.1378	-29.89%	0.5042	✓	0.90
2026-08-04	oos	0.2043	0.195842	-4.14%	0.13944	-31.75%	0.5606	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.20654	0.198932	-3.68%	0.13736	-33.49%	0.5552	✓	0.94
2026-08-02	oos	0.204585	0.197396	-3.51%	0.14057	-31.29%	0.5256	✓	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.211265	0.205052	-2.94%	0.14442	-31.64%	0.5702	✓	0.98
2026-07-31	oos	0.20703	0.202587	-2.15%	0.156	-24.65%	0.4699	✓	0.98
2026-07-30	oos	0.214655	0.208315	-2.95%	0.15359	-28.45%	0.4924	✓	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	0.219455	0.213845	-2.56%	0.14335	-34.68%	0.6021	✓	1.02
2026-07-28	oos	0.217385	0.212616	-2.19%	0.14355	-33.97%	0.6276	✓	1.03
2026-07-27	oos	0.22475	0.219351	-2.40%	0.1493	-33.57%	0.6066	✓	1.03
2026-07-26	oos	0.241925	0.234688	-2.99%	0.1605	-33.66%	0.5435	✓	0.89
2026-07-25	oos	0.2425	0.235006	-3.09%	0.13701	-43.50%	0.7267	✓	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.253825	0.244763	-3.57%	0.195165	-23.11%	0.4038	✓	0.92
2026-07-23	oos	0.2701	0.259475	-3.93%	0.205345	-23.97%	0.4033	✓	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.270695	0.26048	-3.77%	0.220915	-18.39%	0.3347	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.23121	0.225177	-2.61%	0.215955	-6.60%	0.1350	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.22897	0.222528	-2.81%	0.21345	-6.78%	0.1024	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.223245	0.217117	-2.74%	0.20579	-7.82%	0.0536	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.225605	0.219077	-2.89%	0.21233	-5.88%	0.0263	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.238	0.229715	-3.48%	0.214555	-9.85%	0.0516	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.24992	0.240056	-3.95%	0.20837	-16.63%	0.1297	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.23956	0.230966	-3.59%	0.20957	-12.52%	0.0699	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.242325	0.233522	-3.63%	0.20644	-14.81%	0.0989	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.246155	0.235834	-4.19%	0.200645	-18.49%	0.1798	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.2359	0.227294	-3.65%	0.203145	-13.89%	0.1090	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.266755	0.254658	-4.53%	0.204145	-23.47%	0.2233	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.276415	0.26294	-4.87%	0.20451	-26.01%	0.2625	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.273545	0.259721	-5.05%	0.208985	-23.60%	0.2444	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.29756	0.278713	-6.33%	0.20336	-31.66%	0.3570	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.27962	0.26413	-5.54%	0.20365	-27.17%	0.2748	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.252165	0.240512	-4.62%	0.19656	-22.05%	0.2112	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.27204	0.25689	-5.57%	0.2043	-24.90%	0.2364	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.236725	0.225906	-4.57%	0.20654	-12.75%	0.0956	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.22291	0.21324	-4.34%	0.204585	-8.22%	0.0570	✓	1.00