MON

Monad · native · gru_s6

token id: #168
symbol: MON
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-24
predictions: 972

Track record at +30d

assessed

294

of 324 predictions shown

direction hit

49.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1413

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0539

actual +0.0239

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.022257	0.020337	-8.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.022069	0.020401	-7.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-20	oos	0.022084	0.020501	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-19	oos	0.0209	0.019638	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.021073	0.019844	-5.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-17	oos	0.021746	0.020347	-6.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-16	oos	0.022843	0.021187	-7.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.022939	0.021179	-7.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-14	oos	0.024094	0.022095	-8.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-13	oos	0.024401	0.022209	-8.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.024261	0.022141	-8.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.027548	0.024907	-9.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.025129	0.022737	-9.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.024415	0.022121	-9.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.023977	0.021686	-9.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.025431	0.023055	-9.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.028428	0.026035	-8.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-05	oos	0.031459	0.028762	-8.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.03334	0.030597	-8.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-10-03	oos	0.033871	0.030871	-8.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-02	oos	0.032313	0.029547	-8.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-01	oos	0.033663	0.030727	-8.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-30	oos	0.031757	0.028922	-8.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	0.026859	0.02496	-7.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.028539	0.026397	-7.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-27	oos	0.02811	0.026279	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.026738	0.025209	-5.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.026401	0.02502	-5.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-24	oos	0.02498	0.023966	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-23	oos	0.023997	0.02333	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.027307	0.026457	-3.12%	0.022257	-18.49%	0.1409	✓	1.38
2026-09-21	oos	0.025628	0.025257	-1.45%	0.022069	-13.89%	0.0934	✓	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.023827	-4.65%	0.022084	-11.63%	0.1081	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.024811	0.023761	-4.23%	0.0209	-15.76%	0.1393	✓	1.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.024673	0.023631	-4.22%	0.021073	-14.59%	0.1349	✓	1.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.023255	0.021933	-5.69%	0.021746	-6.49%	0.1042	✓	1.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.022142	0.021116	-4.63%	0.022843	+3.16%	0.0227	✓	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.021684	0.02073	-4.40%	0.022939	+5.79%	0.0218	✓	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.022915	0.022017	-3.92%	0.024094	+5.15%	0.0266	✓	1.50
2026-09-13	oos	0.022645	0.021778	-3.83%	0.024401	+7.75%	0.0037	✓	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.023138	0.022403	-3.18%	0.024261	+4.86%	0.0040	✓	1.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.023311	0.022765	-2.34%	0.027548	+18.18%	0.0711	✗	1.49
2026-09-10	oos	0.022922	0.022388	-2.33%	0.025129	+9.62%	0.0039	✓	1.49
2026-09-09	oos	0.024977	0.024624	-1.42%	0.024415	-2.25%	0.0856	✓	1.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.025632	0.025285	-1.35%	0.023977	-6.45%	0.1111	✓	1.43
2026-09-07	oos	0.027005	0.026831	-0.64%	0.025431	-5.83%	0.1267	✓	1.42
2026-09-06	oos	0.027105	0.027295	+0.70%	0.028428	+4.88%	0.0466	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.024932	0.025343	+1.65%	0.031459	+26.18%	0.1166	✓	1.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.025037	0.025492	+1.82%	0.03334	+33.16%	0.1540	✓	1.39
2026-09-03	oos	0.027102	0.027931	+3.06%	0.033871	+24.98%	0.1360	✓	1.36
2026-09-02	oos	0.025364	0.025156	-0.82%	0.032313	+27.40%	0.1345	✗	1.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.026479	0.026346	-0.50%	0.033663	+27.13%	0.1267	✗	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.026459	0.026698	+0.90%	0.031757	+20.02%	0.0973	✓	1.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.02655	0.026439	-0.42%	0.026859	+1.16%	0.0779	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.026721	0.027032	+1.16%	0.028539	+6.80%	0.0283	✗	1.28
2026-08-28	oos	0.027336	0.027621	+1.04%	0.02811	+2.83%	0.0869	✗	1.28
2026-08-27	oos	0.028608	0.029399	+2.77%	0.026738	-6.54%	0.1589	✗	1.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.028582	0.02874	+0.55%	0.026401	-7.63%	0.1644	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.027753	0.02781	+0.20%	0.02498	-9.99%	0.1986	✗	1.27
2026-08-24	oos	0.031585	0.031718	+0.42%	0.023997	-24.02%	0.3632	✗	1.27
2026-08-23	oos	0.03043	0.030343	-0.29%	0.027307	-10.26%	0.2378	✓	1.28
2026-08-22	oos	0.028133	0.028136	+0.01%	0.025628	-8.90%	0.2415	✗	1.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.028652	0.02913	+1.67%	0.02499	-12.78%	0.1983	✗	1.27
2026-08-20	oos	0.026718	0.025754	-3.61%	0.024811	-7.14%	0.1750	✓	1.29
2026-08-19	oos	0.022569	0.021412	-5.13%	0.024673	+9.32%	0.0396	✓	1.17
2026-08-18	oos	0.021228	0.019866	-6.42%	0.023255	+9.55%	0.0459	✓	1.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.021767	0.02031	-6.70%	0.022142	+1.72%	0.1202	✓	1.24
2026-08-16	oos	0.02028	0.018985	-6.38%	0.021684	+6.92%	0.0894	✓	1.20
2026-08-15	oos	0.020882	0.01956	-6.33%	0.022915	+9.73%	0.1016	✓	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.02112	0.019835	-6.08%	0.022645	+7.22%	0.1065	✓	1.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.021522	0.020244	-5.94%	0.023138	+7.51%	0.1040	✓	1.20
2026-08-12	oos	0.021804	0.020475	-6.09%	0.023311	+6.91%	0.1108	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.021406	0.020124	-5.99%	0.022922	+7.08%	0.0907	✓	1.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.021747	0.020437	-6.03%	0.024977	+14.85%	0.0400	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.020972	0.019792	-5.63%	0.025632	+22.22%	0.0229	✓	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.020865	0.019707	-5.55%	0.027005	+29.43%	0.0696	✗	1.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.020895	0.019776	-5.35%	0.027105	+29.72%	0.0496	✓	1.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.020439	0.019383	-5.17%	0.024932	+21.98%	0.0173	✓	1.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.020988	0.019871	-5.32%	0.025037	+19.29%	0.0306	✓	1.25
2026-08-04	oos	0.020531	0.019416	-5.43%	0.027102	+32.01%	0.0409	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.021527	0.020279	-5.80%	0.025364	+17.82%	0.0248	✓	1.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.02096	0.019836	-5.36%	0.026479	+26.33%	0.0352	✓	1.28
2026-08-01	oos	0.02046	0.019438	-4.99%	0.026459	+29.32%	0.0230	✓	1.27
2026-07-31	oos	0.02071	0.019735	-4.71%	0.02655	+28.20%	0.0272	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.0217	0.020675	-4.72%	0.026721	+23.14%	0.0173	✓	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.02076	0.019797	-4.64%	0.027336	+31.68%	0.0637	✗	1.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.021235	0.020227	-4.75%	0.028608	+34.72%	0.0461	✓	1.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.02011	0.019267	-4.19%	0.028582	+42.13%	0.1103	✗	1.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.021355	0.020545	-3.79%	0.027753	+29.96%	0.0601	✗	1.31
2026-07-25	oos	0.0206	0.019931	-3.25%	0.031585	+53.33%	0.1908	✗	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.02186	0.021095	-3.50%	0.03043	+39.20%	0.1103	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.022335	0.021645	-3.09%	0.028133	+25.96%	0.0371	✗	1.33
2026-07-22	oos	0.02292	0.022286	-2.76%	0.028652	+25.01%	0.0236	✓	1.34
2026-07-21	oos	0.022935	0.02236	-2.51%	0.026718	+16.49%	0.0534	✗	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.02287	0.02227	-2.63%	0.022569	-1.32%	0.0689	✓	1.35
2026-07-19	oos	0.02122	0.020822	-1.88%	0.021228	+0.04%	0.0193	✗	1.34
2026-07-18	oos	0.02157	0.021148	-1.96%	0.021767	+0.91%	0.0356	✗	1.36
2026-07-17	oos	0.02194	0.021505	-1.98%	0.02028	-7.57%	0.0352	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.02156	0.021158	-1.87%	0.020882	-3.14%	0.0038	✓	1.43
2026-07-15	oos	0.02229	0.021826	-2.08%	0.02112	-5.25%	0.0055	✓	1.41
2026-07-14	oos	0.02266	0.022108	-2.44%	0.021522	-5.02%	0.0072	✓	1.40
2026-07-13	oos	0.02229	0.02182	-2.11%	0.021804	-2.18%	0.0275	✓	1.46
2026-07-12	oos	0.022805	0.022346	-2.01%	0.021406	-6.13%	0.0381	✓	1.48
2026-07-11	oos	0.02227	0.021952	-1.43%	0.021747	-2.35%	0.0127	✓	1.51
2026-07-10	oos	0.02296	0.02261	-1.53%	0.020972	-8.66%	0.0924	✓	1.54
2026-07-09	oos	0.02308	0.022699	-1.65%	0.020865	-9.60%	0.1264	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.02309	0.022736	-1.54%	0.020895	-9.51%	0.1508	✓	1.59
2026-07-07	oos	0.02438	0.023866	-2.11%	0.020439	-16.16%	0.1786	✓	1.59
2026-07-06	oos	0.02497	0.02433	-2.56%	0.020988	-15.95%	0.1625	✓	1.58
2026-07-05	oos	0.02159	0.021311	-1.29%	0.020531	-4.91%	0.0490	✓	1.61
2026-07-04	oos	0.02112	0.020898	-1.05%	0.021527	+1.93%	0.0200	✗	1.61
2026-07-03	oos	0.0205	0.020334	-0.81%	0.02096	+2.24%	0.0054	✓	1.60
2026-07-02	oos	0.019985	0.019849	-0.68%	0.02046	+2.38%	0.0026	✓	1.60
2026-07-01	oos	0.02004	0.019752	-1.44%	0.02071	+3.34%	0.0290	✓	1.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.01833	0.018145	-1.01%	0.0217	+18.39%	0.0220	✗	1.56
2026-06-29	oos	0.01892	0.018738	-0.96%	0.02076	+9.73%	0.0080	✓	1.57
2026-06-28	oos	0.01866	0.018499	-0.86%	0.021235	+13.80%	0.0228	✗	1.62
2026-06-27	oos	0.01883	0.018764	-0.35%	0.02011	+6.80%	0.0293	✓	1.62
2026-06-26	oos	0.01934	0.019258	-0.43%	0.021355	+10.42%	0.0352	✓	1.63
2026-06-25	oos	0.01915	0.019067	-0.43%	0.0206	+7.57%	0.0432	✓	1.63
2026-06-24	oos	0.019675	0.019426	-1.26%	0.02186	+11.11%	0.0359	✗	1.66
2026-06-23	oos	0.020095	0.019787	-1.53%	0.022335	+11.15%	0.0572	✗	1.70
2026-06-22	oos	0.02063	0.020232	-1.93%	0.02292	+11.10%	0.0677	✗	1.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.02075	0.020322	-2.06%	0.022935	+10.53%	0.0331	✗	1.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.020585	0.020151	-2.11%	0.02287	+11.10%	0.1003	✗	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.02066	0.020245	-2.01%	0.02122	+2.71%	0.0144	✓	1.73
2026-06-18	oos	0.02108	0.020653	-2.03%	0.02157	+2.32%	0.0090	✓	1.75
2026-06-17	oos	0.02177	0.02128	-2.25%	0.02194	+0.78%	0.0457	✗	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.02304	0.022346	-3.01%	0.02156	-6.42%	0.0141	✓	1.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.02261	0.022021	-2.61%	0.02229	-1.42%	0.0531	✗	1.72
2026-06-14	oos	0.02249	0.021919	-2.54%	0.02266	+0.76%	0.0523	✗	1.73
2026-06-13	oos	0.02182	0.02136	-2.11%	0.02229	+2.15%	0.1020	✗	1.74
2026-06-12	oos	0.02108	0.020754	-1.55%	0.022805	+8.18%	0.0887	✗	1.74
2026-06-11	oos	0.02161	0.021257	-1.63%	0.02227	+3.05%	0.0408	✗	1.75
2026-06-10	oos	0.02105	0.0208	-1.19%	0.02296	+9.07%	0.0226	✗	1.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.02127	0.020962	-1.45%	0.02308	+8.51%	0.0538	✗	1.78
2026-06-08	oos	0.02086	0.020597	-1.26%	0.02309	+10.69%	0.1381	✗	1.81
2026-06-07	oos	0.02217	0.021698	-2.13%	0.02438	+9.97%	0.1160	✗	1.79
2026-06-06	oos	0.02108	0.02085	-1.09%	0.02497	+18.45%	0.0902	✗	1.78
2026-06-05	oos	0.02106	0.020874	-0.88%	0.02159	+2.52%	0.0399	✓	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.02153	0.021134	-1.84%	0.02112	-1.90%	0.0204	✗	1.86
2026-06-03	oos	0.02044	0.020174	-1.30%	0.0205	+0.29%	0.0590	✗	1.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.02045	0.020011	-2.14%	0.019985	-2.27%	0.1489	✗	1.86
2026-06-01	oos	0.02251	0.02133	-5.24%	0.02004	-10.97%	0.2655	✗	1.89
2026-05-31	oos	0.02378	0.022056	-7.25%	0.01833	-22.92%	0.2499	✗	1.90
2026-05-30	oos	0.023235	0.021585	-7.10%	0.01892	-18.57%	0.2392	✗	1.82
2026-05-29	oos	0.02328	0.021659	-6.96%	0.01866	-19.85%	0.2310	✗	1.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.02368	0.021952	-7.30%	0.01883	-20.48%	0.2154	✗	1.81
2026-05-27	oos	0.02331	0.021596	-7.35%	0.01934	-17.03%	0.2745	✗	1.80
2026-05-26	oos	0.02503	0.022872	-8.62%	0.01915	-23.49%	0.2483	✗	1.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.02627	0.023887	-9.07%	0.019675	-25.10%	0.2147	✗	1.73
2026-05-24	oos	0.02527	0.023154	-8.37%	0.020095	-20.48%	0.2146	✗	1.73
2026-05-23	oos	0.02577	0.023631	-8.30%	0.02063	-19.95%	0.1553	✗	1.61
2026-05-22	oos	0.02615	0.023997	-8.23%	0.02075	-20.65%	0.1417	✗	1.63
2026-05-21	oos	0.02865	0.026022	-9.17%	0.020585	-28.15%	0.0661	✓	1.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.026905	0.024644	-8.40%	0.02066	-23.21%	0.1418	✗	1.60
2026-05-19	oos	0.02591	0.023889	-7.80%	0.02108	-18.64%	0.1927	✗	1.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.02698	0.024761	-8.22%	0.02177	-19.31%	0.1578	✗	1.62
2026-05-17	oos	0.0278	0.025433	-8.52%	0.02304	-17.12%	0.1701	✗	1.63
2026-05-16	oos	0.02775	0.025497	-8.12%	0.02261	-18.52%	0.1478	✗	1.63
2026-05-15	oos	0.02828	0.026191	-7.39%	0.02249	-20.47%	0.1461	✗	1.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.02977	0.027719	-6.89%	0.02182	-26.70%	0.1302	✗	1.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.0302	0.027981	-7.35%	0.02108	-30.20%	0.0896	✗	1.68
2026-05-12	oos	0.03085	0.028756	-6.79%	0.02161	-29.95%	0.1060	✗	1.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.03362	0.03139	-6.63%	0.02105	-37.39%	0.0649	✓	1.63
2026-05-10	oos	0.03549	0.033137	-6.63%	0.02127	-40.07%	0.0057	✓	1.56
2026-05-09	oos	0.03467	0.032173	-7.20%	0.02086	-39.83%	0.0471	✓	1.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.03425	0.031734	-7.35%	0.02217	-35.27%	0.0086	✓	1.55
2026-05-07	oos	0.03238	0.030139	-6.92%	0.02108	-34.90%	0.0639	✓	1.54
2026-05-06	oos	0.03229	0.030269	-6.26%	0.02106	-34.78%	0.0207	✓	1.33
2026-05-05	oos	0.03131	0.029298	-6.43%	0.02153	-31.24%	0.0208	✓	1.21
2026-05-04	oos	0.02945	0.027556	-6.43%	0.02044	-30.59%	0.0489	✓	1.13
2026-05-03	oos	0.02913	0.027154	-6.78%	0.02045	-29.80%	0.0962	✓	1.14
2026-05-02	oos	0.03011	0.028095	-6.69%	0.02251	-25.24%	0.1094	✓	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.03008	0.028127	-6.49%	0.02378	-20.94%	0.0979	✓	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.02716	0.02542	-6.41%	0.023235	-14.45%	0.0510	✓	1.15
2026-04-29	oos	0.027	0.025283	-6.36%	0.02328	-13.78%	0.0457	✓	1.15
2026-04-28	oos	0.02915	0.027124	-6.95%	0.02368	-18.77%	0.0927	✓	1.15
2026-04-27	oos	0.03062	0.028433	-7.14%	0.02331	-23.87%	0.1527	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.03209	0.029792	-7.16%	0.02503	-22.00%	0.1316	✓	1.16
2026-04-25	oos	0.0313	0.029035	-7.24%	0.02627	-16.07%	0.0941	✓	1.16
2026-04-24	oos	0.03069	0.028458	-7.27%	0.02527	-17.66%	0.1114	✓	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.03248	0.030246	-6.88%	0.02577	-20.66%	0.1356	✓	1.17
2026-04-22	oos	0.033715	0.031357	-6.99%	0.02615	-22.44%	0.1395	✓	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.03274	0.030226	-7.68%	0.02865	-12.49%	0.0718	✓	1.17
2026-04-20	oos	0.031895	0.029378	-7.89%	0.026905	-15.65%	0.1126	✓	1.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.03008	0.027553	-8.40%	0.02591	-13.86%	0.1085	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.03245	0.029916	-7.81%	0.02698	-16.86%	0.1222	✓	1.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.03479	0.03236	-6.98%	0.0278	-20.09%	0.1566	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	0.0343	0.031703	-7.57%	0.02775	-19.10%	0.1790	✓	1.19
2026-04-15	oos	0.03514	0.032504	-7.50%	0.02828	-19.52%	0.2049	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.0345	0.031924	-7.47%	0.02977	-13.71%	0.1768	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.03603	0.033378	-7.36%	0.0302	-16.18%	0.1745	✓	1.18
2026-04-12	oos	0.03271	0.030091	-8.01%	0.03085	-5.69%	0.1257	✓	1.17
2026-04-11	oos	0.03556	0.03296	-7.31%	0.03362	-5.46%	0.1085	✓	1.15
2026-04-10	oos	0.03511	0.03264	-7.04%	0.03549	+1.08%	0.0523	✓	1.15
2026-04-09	oos	0.03296	0.030656	-6.99%	0.03467	+5.19%	0.0091	✓	1.14
2026-04-08	oos	0.03114	0.028974	-6.96%	0.03425	+9.99%	0.0308	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.0304	0.028371	-6.68%	0.03238	+6.51%	0.0110	✓	1.14
2026-04-06	oos	0.0271	0.025279	-6.72%	0.03229	+19.15%	0.0561	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.02828	0.026358	-6.80%	0.03131	+10.71%	0.0070	✓	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.02726	0.02542	-6.75%	0.02945	+8.03%	0.0425	✓	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.02727	0.025433	-6.74%	0.02913	+6.82%	0.0406	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.02499	0.023529	-5.85%	0.03011	+20.49%	0.0674	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.02383	0.022582	-5.24%	0.03008	+26.23%	0.1282	✗	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02487	0.023539	-5.35%	0.02716	+9.21%	0.0144	✓	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02231	0.02135	-4.30%	0.027	+21.02%	0.0922	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.02204	0.02116	-3.99%	0.02915	+32.26%	0.1552	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.02328	0.022337	-4.05%	0.03062	+31.53%	0.1408	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.02239	0.021652	-3.30%	0.03209	+43.32%	0.2009	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.02432	0.023516	-3.31%	0.0313	+28.70%	0.1510	✗	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.02642	0.025519	-3.41%	0.03069	+16.16%	0.0940	✗	1.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.023335	0.022743	-2.54%	0.03248	+39.19%	0.2445	✗	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.02156	0.021139	-1.95%	0.033715	+56.38%	0.3604	✗	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.02053	0.020022	-2.48%	0.03274	+59.47%	0.3646	✗	1.08
2026-03-21	oos	0.02141	0.02095	-2.15%	0.031895	+48.97%	0.3174	✗	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.02244	0.022086	-1.58%	0.03008	+34.05%	0.2596	✗	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.02198	0.021691	-1.32%	0.03245	+47.63%	0.3175	✗	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.02305	0.022683	-1.59%	0.03479	+50.93%	0.3413	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.0236	0.023237	-1.54%	0.0343	+45.34%	0.3712	✗	1.11
2026-03-16	oos	0.02476	0.024396	-1.47%	0.03514	+41.92%	0.3657	✗	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.02346	0.023107	-1.50%	0.0345	+47.06%	0.3800	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.02218	0.021887	-1.32%	0.03603	+62.44%	0.4486	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.021915	0.021712	-0.93%	0.03271	+49.26%	0.4129	✗	1.16
2026-03-12	oos	0.0212	0.020988	-1.00%	0.03556	+67.74%	0.4862	✗	1.15
2026-03-11	oos	0.02141	0.021065	-1.61%	0.03511	+63.99%	0.4652	✗	1.17
2026-03-10	oos	0.02157	0.021199	-1.72%	0.03296	+52.80%	0.4110	✗	1.17
2026-03-09	oos	0.02123	0.020875	-1.67%	0.03114	+46.68%	0.3553	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	0.02042	0.020066	-1.73%	0.0304	+48.87%	0.3155	✗	1.16
2026-03-07	oos	0.02168	0.021319	-1.67%	0.0271	+25.00%	0.2128	✗	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.02174	0.021416	-1.49%	0.02828	+30.08%	0.2631	✗	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.02174	0.021393	-1.60%	0.02726	+25.39%	0.3030	✗	1.17
2026-03-04	oos	0.02256	0.022107	-2.01%	0.02727	+20.88%	0.3047	✗	1.16
2026-03-03	oos	0.02038	0.02004	-1.67%	0.02499	+22.62%	0.2451	✗	1.14
2026-03-02	oos	0.02121	0.020796	-1.95%	0.02383	+12.35%	0.1480	✗	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.02085	0.020395	-2.18%	0.02487	+19.28%	0.1577	✗	1.11
2026-02-28	oos	0.02113	0.020576	-2.62%	0.02231	+5.58%	0.0845	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.02067	0.020065	-2.93%	0.02204	+6.63%	0.0924	✗	1.03
2026-02-26	oos	0.02104	0.020352	-3.27%	0.02328	+10.65%	0.1524	✗	1.03
2026-02-25	oos	0.02156	0.02078	-3.62%	0.02239	+3.85%	0.0998	✗	1.03
2026-02-24	oos	0.02003	0.019389	-3.20%	0.02432	+21.42%	0.1563	✗	0.99
2026-02-23	oos	0.02053	0.019826	-3.43%	0.02642	+28.69%	0.1901	✗	0.99
2026-02-22	oos	0.019855	0.019158	-3.51%	0.023335	+17.53%	0.1554	✗	0.99
2026-02-21	oos	0.02062	0.019828	-3.84%	0.02156	+4.56%	0.0422	✗	0.99
2026-02-20	oos	0.02104	0.020102	-4.46%	0.02053	-2.42%	0.0231	✓	0.99
2026-02-19	oos	0.02044	0.019556	-4.33%	0.02141	+4.75%	0.0625	✗	0.99
2026-02-18	oos	0.02016	0.019289	-4.32%	0.02244	+11.31%	0.0926	✗	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.02213	0.02094	-5.38%	0.02198	-0.68%	0.0138	✓	0.97
2026-02-16	oos	0.02351	0.022063	-6.15%	0.02305	-1.96%	0.0110	✓	0.96
2026-02-15	oos	0.02402	0.022445	-6.56%	0.0236	-1.75%	0.0192	✓	0.96
2026-02-14	oos	0.02339	0.021836	-6.65%	0.02476	+5.86%	0.0573	✓	0.97
2026-02-13	oos	0.02278	0.021243	-6.75%	0.02346	+2.99%	0.0444	✓	0.97
2026-02-12	oos	0.02015	0.019113	-5.15%	0.02218	+10.07%	0.0820	✗	0.91
2026-02-11	oos	0.01905	0.018184	-4.55%	0.021915	+15.04%	0.1342	✗	0.92
2026-02-10	oos	0.01969	0.018579	-5.64%	0.0212	+7.67%	0.1091	✗	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.01796	0.017156	-4.48%	0.02141	+19.21%	0.2201	✗	0.95
2026-02-08	oos	0.01812	0.017278	-4.65%	0.02157	+19.04%	0.2262	✗	0.95
2026-02-07	oos	0.01861	0.017731	-4.73%	0.02123	+14.08%	0.1914	✗	0.96
2026-02-06	oos	0.01856	0.017663	-4.83%	0.02042	+10.02%	0.2092	✗	0.96
2026-02-05	oos	0.01724	0.0169	-1.97%	0.02168	+25.75%	0.1777	✗	1.04
2026-02-04	oos	0.01973	0.01849	-6.28%	0.02174	+10.19%	0.2416	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.01754	0.016681	-4.90%	0.02174	+23.95%	0.3512	✗	1.32
2026-02-02	oos	0.01847	0.01736	-6.01%	0.02256	+22.14%	0.3672	✗	1.33
2026-02-01	oos	0.01783	0.016935	-5.02%	0.02038	+14.30%	0.3411	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.01804	0.017088	-5.28%	0.02121	+17.57%	0.3945	✗	1.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.02019	0.018691	-7.42%	0.02085	+3.27%	0.4270	✗	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.02001	0.01855	-7.30%	0.02113	+5.60%	0.4316	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	0.02128	0.019555	-8.10%	0.02067	-2.87%	0.4578	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.02218	0.020185	-8.99%	0.02104	-5.14%	0.4108	✗	1.33
2026-01-26	oos	0.01881	0.017561	-6.64%	0.02156	+14.62%	0.5331	✗	1.26
2026-01-25	oos	0.01779	0.016759	-5.79%	0.02003	+12.59%	0.5457	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01909	0.017681	-7.38%	0.02053	+7.54%	0.5289	✗	1.18
2026-01-23	oos	0.018315	0.016896	-7.75%	0.019855	+8.41%	0.4961	✗	1.19
2026-01-22	oos	0.0181	0.016663	-7.94%	0.02062	+13.92%	0.5417	✗	1.20
2026-01-21	oos	0.01876	0.017132	-8.68%	0.02104	+12.15%	0.5326	✗	1.20
2026-01-20	oos	0.01789	0.016367	-8.51%	0.02044	+14.25%	0.5463	✗	1.17
2026-01-19	oos	0.02012	0.017728	-11.89%	0.02016	+0.20%	0.4704	✗	1.03
2026-01-18	oos	0.02176	0.018942	-12.95%	0.02213	+1.70%	0.4796	✗	0.99
2026-01-17	oos	0.02211	0.019058	-13.80%	0.02351	+6.33%	0.5314	✗	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.02229	0.019118	-14.23%	0.02402	+7.76%	0.5551	✗	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.02213	0.018885	-14.66%	0.02339	+5.69%	0.5280	✗	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.023185	0.019744	-14.84%	0.02278	-1.75%	0.4775	✗	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.02475	0.021134	-14.61%	0.02015	-18.59%	0.3320	✗	1.04
2026-01-12	oos	0.02307	0.019779	-14.27%	0.01905	-17.43%	0.2560	✗	0.95
2026-01-11	oos	0.02384	0.02046	-14.18%	0.01969	-17.41%	0.2285	✗	0.96
2026-01-10	oos	0.02425	0.020886	-13.87%	0.01796	-25.94%	0.0941	✓	0.96
2026-01-09	oos	0.02612	0.022641	-13.32%	0.01812	-30.63%	0.0190	✓	0.96
2026-01-08	oos	0.0278	0.024222	-12.87%	0.01861	-33.06%	0.0084	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	0.02681	0.023357	-12.88%	0.01856	-30.77%	0.0133	✓	0.94
2026-01-06	oos	0.02984	0.026109	-12.50%	0.01724	-42.23%	0.0990	✓	0.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.0283	0.024741	-12.58%	0.01973	-30.28%	0.0248	✓	0.80
2026-01-04	oos	0.02875	0.025059	-12.84%	0.01754	-38.99%	0.1930	✓	0.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.02932	0.025426	-13.28%	0.01847	-37.01%	0.1954	✓	0.88
2026-01-02	oos	0.02795	0.02405	-13.95%	0.01783	-36.21%	0.1646	✓	0.86
2026-01-01	oos	0.0237	0.020619	-13.00%	0.01804	-23.88%	0.0491	✓	0.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.0227	0.019849	-12.56%	0.02019	-11.06%	0.0429	✓	0.66
2025-12-30	oos	0.0226	0.019765	-12.54%	0.02001	-11.46%	0.0425	✓	0.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.02147	0.01891	-11.93%	0.02128	-0.88%	0.1038	✓	0.61
2025-12-28	oos	0.02244	0.019679	-12.30%	0.02218	-1.16%	0.1113	✓	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	0.0231	0.020228	-12.43%	0.01881	-18.57%	0.0757	✓	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	0.02333	0.020421	-12.47%	0.01779	-23.75%	0.1329	✓	0.60
2025-12-25	oos	0.02315	0.020291	-12.35%	0.01909	-17.54%	0.0739	✓	0.59
2025-12-24	oos	0.02169	0.019214	-11.42%	0.018315	-15.56%	0.0611	✓	0.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.01976	0.0178	-9.92%	0.0181	-8.40%	0.0063	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.01921	0.017395	-9.45%	0.01876	-2.34%	0.0665	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.0205	0.018442	-10.04%	0.01789	-12.73%	0.0267	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.01877	0.017127	-8.76%	0.02012	+7.19%	0.1142	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.01905	0.017433	-8.49%	0.02176	+14.23%	0.1607	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.01691	0.015819	-6.45%	0.02211	+30.75%	0.2278	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.01873	0.017441	-6.88%	0.02229	+19.01%	0.1429	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.02155	0.019842	-7.93%	0.02213	+2.69%	0.0248	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.01987	0.018487	-6.96%	0.023185	+16.68%	0.1114	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.02064	0.01918	-7.08%	0.02475	+19.91%	0.1763	✗	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.02351	0.02177	-7.40%	0.02307	-1.87%	0.0477	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.02407	0.022384	-7.00%	0.02384	-0.96%	0.0565	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.02624	0.024396	-7.03%	0.02425	-7.58%	0.0177	✓	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.02691	0.025006	-7.08%	0.02612	-2.94%	0.0603	✓	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.02737	0.025407	-7.17%	0.0278	+1.57%	0.1081	✗	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.02811	0.026043	-7.35%	0.02681	-4.62%	0.0222	✓	1.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.02558	0.023789	-7.00%	0.02984	+16.65%	0.1906	✗	1.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.02719	0.025352	-6.76%	0.0283	+4.08%	0.0597	✓	1.00
2025-12-05	oos	0.02723	0.025452	-6.53%	0.02875	+5.58%	0.0981	✗	1.00
2025-12-04	oos	0.02769	0.025915	-6.41%	0.02932	+5.89%	0.1398	✗	1.00
2025-12-03	oos	0.03054	0.02867	-6.12%	0.02795	-8.48%	0.0127	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.