MHA
Magic Hash · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s6
- token id
- #375
- symbol
- MHA
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x37c563cdf4606d4302abb395cdb94e79d31233ed
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-17
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
53.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0970
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0044
actual -0.0398
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.004878 | 0.00481 | -1.39% | – | pending | – | – | 2.49 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00488 | 0.004824 | -1.14% | 0.004878 | -0.04% | 0.0053 | ✓ | 2.49 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004452 | 0.004437 | -0.34% | 0.00488 | +9.60% | 0.0643 | ✗ | 2.36 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004386 | 0.004387 | +0.01% | 0.004452 | +1.50% | 0.0159 | ✗ | 2.30 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004248 | 0.004262 | +0.32% | 0.004386 | +3.25% | 0.0336 | ✓ | 2.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004329 | 0.004352 | +0.53% | 0.004248 | -1.86% | 0.0419 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005066 | 0.005039 | -0.52% | 0.004329 | -14.55% | 0.1505 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003665 | 0.003707 | +1.14% | 0.005066 | +38.21% | 0.3199 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002988 | 0.003041 | +1.77% | 0.003665 | +22.67% | 0.1800 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003361 | 0.003414 | +1.55% | 0.002988 | -11.11% | 0.1145 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.003776 | 0.003843 | +1.77% | 0.003361 | -10.98% | 0.1504 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004693 | 0.004732 | +0.84% | 0.003776 | -19.54% | 0.2024 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005151 | 0.005191 | +0.76% | 0.004693 | -8.90% | 0.1100 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.006203 | 0.006207 | +0.06% | 0.005151 | -16.96% | 0.1909 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.006693 | -0.03% | 0.006203 | -7.35% | 0.0864 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00735 | 0.007289 | -0.83% | 0.006696 | -8.90% | 0.0657 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.007624 | 0.007504 | -1.58% | 0.00735 | -3.60% | 0.0061 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.007561 | 0.007438 | -1.63% | 0.007624 | +0.84% | 0.0272 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.007475 | 0.007344 | -1.75% | 0.007561 | +1.14% | 0.0378 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.007325 | 0.007235 | -1.22% | 0.007475 | +2.05% | 0.0120 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00776 | 0.007652 | -1.40% | 0.007325 | -5.61% | 0.0465 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007845 | 0.007735 | -1.40% | 0.00776 | -1.08% | 0.0072 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008263 | 0.008169 | -1.14% | 0.007845 | -5.06% | 0.0558 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008261 | 0.008196 | -0.79% | 0.008263 | +0.02% | 0.0091 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.009286 | 0.009207 | -0.86% | 0.008261 | -11.03% | 0.1105 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.014172 | 0.013747 | -3.00% | 0.009286 | -34.48% | 0.3804 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013131 | 0.01283 | -2.29% | 0.014172 | +7.93% | 0.0989 | ✗ | 1.00 |