MCAT
Marscat Token · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s6
- token id
- #456
- symbol
- MCAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd69a4b260ef021ccd4e1c5f5a4fb522b032ce831
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
53.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0813
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0177
actual -0.0046
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.719025 | 0.710078 | -1.24% | – | pending | – | – | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.759515 | 0.749317 | -1.34% | 0.719025 | -5.33% | 0.0300 | ✓ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.774195 | 0.762647 | -1.49% | 0.759515 | -1.90% | 0.0563 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.7811 | 0.767933 | -1.69% | 0.774195 | -0.88% | 0.0162 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.74617 | 0.732916 | -1.78% | 0.7811 | +4.68% | 0.0338 | ✗ | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.646255 | 0.637989 | -1.28% | 0.74617 | +15.46% | 0.1624 | ✗ | 3.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.62541 | 0.617666 | -1.24% | 0.646255 | +3.33% | 0.0756 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.60864 | 0.601586 | -1.16% | 0.62541 | +2.76% | 0.0117 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.599125 | 0.592005 | -1.19% | 0.60864 | +1.59% | 0.1049 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.596775 | 0.589794 | -1.17% | 0.599125 | +0.39% | 0.0537 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.608905 | 0.601042 | -1.29% | 0.596775 | -1.99% | 0.0957 | ✗ | 4.39 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.611255 | 0.602705 | -1.40% | 0.608905 | -0.38% | 0.0305 | ✓ | 4.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.563305 | 0.556521 | -1.20% | 0.611255 | +8.51% | 0.0894 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.51154 | 0.506642 | -0.96% | 0.563305 | +10.12% | 0.0956 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.54838 | 0.542585 | -1.06% | 0.51154 | -6.72% | 0.0397 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.689605 | 0.680575 | -1.31% | 0.54838 | -20.48% | 0.1891 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.65254 | 0.644811 | -1.18% | 0.689605 | +5.68% | 0.0696 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.6717 | 0.663605 | -1.21% | 0.65254 | -2.85% | 0.0080 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.704355 | 0.6945 | -1.40% | 0.6717 | -4.64% | 0.0540 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.70984 | 0.699484 | -1.46% | 0.704355 | -0.77% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.722985 | 0.711917 | -1.53% | 0.70984 | -1.82% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.745455 | 0.732686 | -1.71% | 0.722985 | -3.01% | 0.0287 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.796315 | 0.780646 | -1.97% | 0.745455 | -6.39% | 0.0451 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.780635 | 0.764983 | -2.01% | 0.796315 | +2.01% | 0.0380 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.77554 | 0.759669 | -2.05% | 0.780635 | +0.66% | 0.0392 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.76579 | 0.749716 | -2.10% | 0.77554 | +1.27% | 0.0333 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.77739 | 0.759783 | -2.26% | 0.76579 | -1.49% | 0.0040 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.73189 | 0.717099 | -2.02% | 0.77739 | +6.22% | 0.0842 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.82997 | 0.807095 | -2.76% | 0.73189 | -11.82% | 0.0979 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.91021 | 0.871729 | -4.23% | 0.82997 | -8.82% | 0.0278 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.72185 | 0.69708 | -3.43% | 0.91021 | +26.09% | 0.2714 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.51745 | 0.51118 | -1.21% | 0.72185 | +39.50% | 0.2803 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.829055 | 0.79555 | -4.04% | 0.51745 | -37.59% | 0.4292 | ✓ | 1.00 |