MARSCOIN
MarsCoin · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s6
- token id
- #52
- symbol
- MARSCOIN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xfe189e97832da1573e4e4ff034f4ffc3a15c7777
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-04
- predictions
- 120
Track record at +1d
assessed
39
of 40 predictions shown
direction hit
59.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0706
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0129
actual -0.0075
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.08135 | 0.080384 | -1.19% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.08115 | 0.080333 | -1.01% | 0.08135 | +0.25% | 0.0106 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.07935 | 0.078776 | -0.72% | 0.08115 | +2.27% | 0.0189 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.07795 | 0.077585 | -0.47% | 0.07935 | +1.80% | 0.0118 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.07555 | 0.075446 | -0.14% | 0.07795 | +3.18% | 0.0343 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.07685 | 0.076845 | -0.01% | 0.07555 | -1.69% | 0.0232 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.07985 | 0.079761 | -0.11% | 0.07685 | -3.76% | 0.0360 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07715 | 0.077286 | +0.18% | 0.07985 | +3.50% | 0.0391 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.08255 | 0.082431 | -0.14% | 0.07715 | -6.54% | 0.0721 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.07945 | 0.079445 | -0.01% | 0.08255 | +3.90% | 0.0567 | ✗ | 0.98 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.08085 | 0.080973 | +0.15% | 0.07945 | -1.73% | 0.0354 | ✗ | 0.99 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.09555 | 0.094299 | -1.31% | 0.08085 | -15.38% | 0.1361 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.09625 | 0.09501 | -1.29% | 0.09555 | -0.73% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09325 | 0.092366 | -0.95% | 0.09625 | +3.22% | 0.0379 | ✗ | 0.74 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.09105 | 0.090552 | -0.55% | 0.09325 | +2.42% | 0.0219 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.09505 | 0.09405 | -1.05% | 0.09105 | -4.21% | 0.0189 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.10535 | 0.103338 | -1.91% | 0.09505 | -9.78% | 0.0690 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.10525 | 0.103217 | -1.93% | 0.10535 | +0.10% | 0.0218 | ✗ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.10865 | 0.106493 | -1.99% | 0.10525 | -3.13% | 0.0069 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.11095 | 0.108717 | -2.01% | 0.10865 | -2.07% | 0.0212 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.1074 | 0.105568 | -1.71% | 0.11095 | +3.31% | 0.0469 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.12765 | 0.124981 | -2.09% | 0.1074 | -15.86% | 0.1475 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.1371 | 0.133847 | -2.37% | 0.12765 | -6.89% | 0.0628 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.14065 | 0.137236 | -2.43% | 0.1371 | -2.52% | 0.0000 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.15785 | 0.151893 | -3.77% | 0.14065 | -10.90% | 0.0791 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.1233 | 0.120651 | -2.15% | 0.15785 | +28.02% | 0.2807 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.13445 | 0.131028 | -2.55% | 0.1233 | -8.29% | 0.0613 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.11835 | 0.11577 | -2.18% | 0.13445 | +13.60% | 0.1457 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.1152 | 0.113001 | -1.91% | 0.11835 | +2.73% | 0.0497 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1364 | 0.133354 | -2.23% | 0.1152 | -15.54% | 0.1464 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.14165 | 0.136716 | -3.48% | 0.1364 | -3.71% | 0.0190 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10195 | 0.100174 | -1.74% | 0.14165 | +38.94% | 0.3510 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.09225 | 0.091493 | -0.82% | 0.10195 | +10.51% | 0.0434 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.09905 | 0.098003 | -1.06% | 0.09225 | -6.87% | 0.0596 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.11315 | 0.111247 | -1.68% | 0.09905 | -12.46% | 0.1206 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1172 | 0.114692 | -2.14% | 0.11315 | -3.46% | 0.0711 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.092 | 0.09182 | -0.20% | 0.1172 | +27.39% | 0.2414 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.08655 | 0.086783 | +0.27% | 0.092 | +6.30% | 0.0510 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.09165 | 0.091606 | -0.05% | 0.08655 | -5.56% | 0.0231 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.09765 | 0.097582 | -0.07% | 0.09165 | -6.14% | 0.0805 | ✓ | 1.00 |