MANTLE

? · · gru_s6

token id: #484
symbol: MANTLE
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-05-01
predictions: 1,593

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0611

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0093

actual -0.0077

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.557	0.549636	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-21	oos	0.5568	0.551405	-0.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-20	oos	0.53495	0.532527	-0.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-19	oos	0.534	0.532223	-0.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-18	oos	0.52945	0.529694	+0.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-17	oos	0.5277	0.528874	+0.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.53675	0.538523	+0.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-15	oos	0.53085	0.533792	+0.55%	0.557	+4.93%	0.0188	✓	0.94
2026-10-14	oos	0.52305	0.527422	+0.84%	0.5568	+6.45%	0.0262	✓	0.94
2026-10-13	oos	0.54095	0.543725	+0.51%	0.53495	-1.11%	0.0145	✗	0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.53655	0.539441	+0.54%	0.534	-0.48%	0.0112	✗	0.91
2026-10-11	oos	0.56565	0.566382	+0.13%	0.52945	-6.40%	0.0503	✗	0.85
2026-10-10	oos	0.5686	0.569463	+0.15%	0.5277	-7.19%	0.0607	✗	0.83
2026-10-09	oos	0.5524	0.554606	+0.40%	0.53675	-2.83%	0.0221	✗	0.83
2026-10-08	oos	0.5538	0.556125	+0.42%	0.53085	-4.14%	0.0509	✗	0.84
2026-10-07	oos	0.5815	0.581925	+0.07%	0.52305	-10.05%	0.0898	✗	0.81
2026-10-06	oos	0.59135	0.593272	+0.33%	0.54095	-8.52%	0.0687	✗	0.82
2026-10-05	oos	0.6521	0.649498	-0.40%	0.53655	-17.72%	0.1529	✓	0.80
2026-10-04	oos	0.6643	0.657698	-0.99%	0.56565	-14.85%	0.1239	✓	0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.6437	0.635389	-1.29%	0.5686	-11.67%	0.0936	✓	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.6534	0.644805	-1.32%	0.5524	-15.46%	0.1360	✓	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.68125	0.669883	-1.67%	0.5538	-18.71%	0.1605	✓	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.6969	0.68177	-2.17%	0.5815	-16.56%	0.1564	✓	0.80
2026-09-29	oos	0.6649	0.651708	-1.98%	0.59135	-11.06%	0.1155	✓	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.6647	0.651172	-2.04%	0.6521	-1.90%	0.0208	✓	0.82
2026-09-27	oos	0.6761	0.662625	-1.99%	0.6643	-1.75%	0.0174	✓	0.83
2026-09-26	oos	0.69405	0.679268	-2.13%	0.6437	-7.25%	0.0570	✓	0.83
2026-09-25	oos	0.6735	0.661412	-1.79%	0.6534	-2.98%	0.0163	✓	0.84
2026-09-24	oos	0.6771	0.66609	-1.63%	0.68125	+0.61%	0.0179	✗	0.84
2026-09-23	oos	0.6531	0.645831	-1.11%	0.6969	+6.71%	0.0843	✗	0.84
2026-09-22	oos	0.6686	0.663259	-0.80%	0.6649	-0.55%	0.0299	✗	0.91
2026-09-21	oos	0.65115	0.647745	-0.52%	0.6647	+2.08%	0.0596	✗	0.91
2026-09-20	oos	0.6071	0.601667	-0.89%	0.6761	+11.37%	0.0806	✗	0.90
2026-09-19	oos	0.62265	0.615559	-1.14%	0.69405	+11.47%	0.0853	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.6246	0.61721	-1.18%	0.6735	+7.83%	0.0521	✗	0.90
2026-09-17	oos	0.5697	0.569823	+0.02%	0.6771	+18.85%	0.0892	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	0.55185	0.554761	+0.53%	0.6531	+18.35%	0.0780	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	0.5444	0.549102	+0.86%	0.6686	+22.81%	0.0883	✓	0.83
2026-09-14	oos	0.5725	0.576802	+0.75%	0.65115	+13.74%	0.0383	✓	0.81
2026-09-13	oos	0.55665	0.563723	+1.27%	0.6071	+9.06%	0.0293	✓	0.81
2026-09-12	oos	0.55705	0.566267	+1.65%	0.62265	+11.78%	0.0540	✓	0.82
2026-09-11	oos	0.5807	0.590376	+1.67%	0.6246	+7.56%	0.0184	✓	0.82
2026-09-10	oos	0.56825	0.578906	+1.88%	0.5697	+0.26%	0.0140	✓	0.82
2026-09-09	oos	0.6011	0.609425	+1.39%	0.55185	-8.19%	0.0772	✗	0.80
2026-09-08	oos	0.63665	0.641159	+0.71%	0.5444	-14.49%	0.1344	✗	0.79
2026-09-07	oos	0.62095	0.626956	+0.97%	0.5725	-7.80%	0.0816	✗	0.80
2026-09-06	oos	0.6084	0.61723	+1.45%	0.55665	-8.51%	0.0664	✗	0.82
2026-09-05	oos	0.5878	0.59817	+1.76%	0.55705	-5.23%	0.0446	✗	0.81
2026-09-04	oos	0.5741	0.585114	+1.92%	0.5807	+1.15%	0.0188	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.5687	0.582244	+2.38%	0.56825	-0.08%	0.0271	✓	0.86
2026-09-02	oos	0.5638	0.570826	+1.25%	0.6011	+6.62%	0.0398	✓	0.94
2026-09-01	oos	0.5365	0.546529	+1.87%	0.63665	+18.67%	0.1397	✓	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.5467	0.558001	+2.07%	0.62095	+13.58%	0.1007	✓	0.93
2026-08-30	oos	0.5482	0.55752	+1.70%	0.6084	+10.98%	0.0569	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.51925	0.531235	+2.31%	0.5878	+13.20%	0.0825	✓	0.93
2026-08-28	oos	0.50805	0.519839	+2.32%	0.5741	+13.00%	0.0778	✓	0.92
2026-08-27	oos	0.5168	0.528316	+2.23%	0.5687	+10.04%	0.0621	✓	0.94
2026-08-26	oos	0.5051	0.515123	+1.98%	0.5638	+11.62%	0.1109	✓	0.94
2026-08-25	oos	0.51735	0.5248	+1.44%	0.5365	+3.70%	0.0356	✓	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.5158	0.52145	+1.10%	0.5467	+5.99%	0.0522	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.512	0.515672	+0.72%	0.5482	+7.07%	0.0619	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.4828	0.486633	+0.79%	0.51925	+7.55%	0.0508	✓	0.93
2026-08-21	oos	0.5171	0.519048	+0.38%	0.50805	-1.75%	0.0158	✗	0.90
2026-08-20	oos	0.51655	0.513595	-0.57%	0.5168	+0.05%	0.0920	✓	1.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.4671	0.464206	-0.62%	0.5051	+8.14%	0.0448	✓	0.98
2026-08-18	oos	0.42655	0.422786	-0.88%	0.51735	+21.29%	0.0231	✗	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.4392	0.43429	-1.12%	0.5158	+17.44%	0.0208	✓	0.95
2026-08-16	oos	0.4476	0.443031	-1.02%	0.512	+14.39%	0.0662	✓	0.99
2026-08-15	oos	0.43255	0.430285	-0.52%	0.4828	+11.62%	0.0845	✓	0.99
2026-08-14	oos	0.44275	0.440669	-0.47%	0.5171	+16.79%	0.0573	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.448	0.44547	-0.56%	0.51655	+15.30%	0.0069	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.4581	0.453811	-0.94%	0.4671	+1.96%	0.0614	✓	1.02
2026-08-11	oos	0.43485	0.432177	-0.61%	0.42655	-1.91%	0.0315	✓	1.03
2026-08-10	oos	0.44495	0.440087	-1.09%	0.4392	-1.29%	0.0110	✓	1.02
2026-08-09	oos	0.42305	0.420049	-0.71%	0.4476	+5.80%	0.0968	✗	1.05
2026-08-08	oos	0.4297	0.425717	-0.93%	0.43255	+0.66%	0.0471	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	0.41835	0.415193	-0.75%	0.44275	+5.83%	0.0964	✗	1.07
2026-08-06	oos	0.409	0.405942	-0.75%	0.448	+9.54%	0.1126	✗	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.40675	0.403825	-0.72%	0.4581	+12.62%	0.1461	✗	1.07
2026-08-04	oos	0.401	0.398168	-0.71%	0.43485	+8.44%	0.0968	✗	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.3966	0.3939	-0.68%	0.44495	+12.19%	0.1144	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.3983	0.395165	-0.79%	0.42305	+6.21%	0.0457	✗	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.39445	0.391329	-0.79%	0.4297	+8.94%	0.0577	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.39235	0.389507	-0.72%	0.41835	+6.63%	0.0369	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	0.397	0.394693	-0.58%	0.409	+3.02%	0.0433	✗	1.09
2026-07-29	oos	0.39615	0.39432	-0.46%	0.40675	+2.68%	0.0192	✗	1.07
2026-07-28	oos	0.40155	0.39988	-0.42%	0.401	-0.14%	0.0006	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.4003	0.399326	-0.24%	0.3966	-0.92%	0.0030	✓	1.07
2026-07-26	oos	0.4159	0.416607	+0.17%	0.3983	-4.23%	0.0145	✗	1.07
2026-07-25	oos	0.4115	0.411662	+0.04%	0.39445	-4.14%	0.0169	✗	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.41015	0.411054	+0.22%	0.39235	-4.34%	0.0255	✗	1.06
2026-07-23	oos	0.40705	0.409973	+0.72%	0.397	-2.47%	0.0267	✗	1.08
2026-07-22	oos	0.42095	0.425151	+1.00%	0.39615	-5.89%	0.0348	✗	1.06
2026-07-21	oos	0.42935	0.433736	+1.02%	0.40155	-6.47%	0.0336	✗	1.06
2026-07-20	oos	0.4246	0.427816	+0.76%	0.4003	-5.72%	0.0414	✗	1.07
2026-07-19	oos	0.4243	0.426857	+0.60%	0.4159	-1.98%	0.0368	✗	1.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.4199	0.422746	+0.68%	0.4115	-2.00%	0.0188	✗	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.42625	0.427932	+0.39%	0.41015	-3.78%	0.0457	✗	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.44125	0.441827	+0.13%	0.40705	-7.75%	0.1039	✗	1.10
2026-07-15	oos	0.4255	0.42779	+0.54%	0.42095	-1.07%	0.0395	✗	1.12
2026-07-14	oos	0.42295	0.425512	+0.61%	0.42935	+1.51%	0.0170	✗	1.12
2026-07-13	oos	0.42095	0.421585	+0.15%	0.4246	+0.87%	0.0475	✗	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.4176	0.41928	+0.40%	0.4243	+1.60%	0.0059	✗	1.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.4224	0.423524	+0.27%	0.4199	-0.59%	0.0271	✗	1.16
2026-07-10	oos	0.4296	0.429628	+0.01%	0.42625	-0.78%	0.0037	✗	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.4288	0.428471	-0.08%	0.44125	+2.90%	0.0186	✗	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.421	0.420825	-0.04%	0.4255	+1.07%	0.0343	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.4221	0.42191	-0.05%	0.42295	+0.20%	0.0279	✓	1.17
2026-07-06	oos	0.4414	0.439767	-0.37%	0.42095	-4.63%	0.0117	✓	1.17
2026-07-05	oos	0.44085	0.439331	-0.34%	0.4176	-5.27%	0.0535	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.453	0.450789	-0.49%	0.4224	-6.75%	0.0775	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.4487	0.446346	-0.52%	0.4296	-4.26%	0.0671	✓	1.13
2026-07-02	oos	0.4365	0.434632	-0.43%	0.4288	-1.76%	0.0441	✓	1.13
2026-07-01	oos	0.4229	0.421235	-0.39%	0.421	-0.45%	0.0423	✓	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.4106	0.40896	-0.40%	0.4221	+2.80%	0.0571	✓	1.13
2026-06-29	oos	0.42845	0.42637	-0.49%	0.4414	+3.02%	0.0346	✓	1.12
2026-06-28	oos	0.4265	0.424636	-0.44%	0.44085	+3.36%	0.0371	✓	1.12
2026-06-27	oos	0.436	0.43404	-0.45%	0.453	+3.90%	0.0147	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.438	0.435809	-0.50%	0.4487	+2.44%	0.0169	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.4421	0.440252	-0.42%	0.4365	-1.27%	0.0415	✓	1.12
2026-06-24	oos	0.5028	0.496684	-1.22%	0.4229	-15.89%	0.1431	✓	1.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.51505	0.507519	-1.46%	0.4106	-20.28%	0.1387	✓	1.08
2026-06-22	oos	0.5334	0.524673	-1.64%	0.42845	-19.68%	0.1367	✓	1.08
2026-06-21	oos	0.52865	0.520103	-1.62%	0.4265	-19.32%	0.1324	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.53535	0.526986	-1.56%	0.436	-18.56%	0.1193	✓	1.02
2026-06-19	oos	0.52935	0.521672	-1.45%	0.438	-17.26%	0.1173	✓	1.02
2026-06-18	oos	0.53095	0.523567	-1.39%	0.4421	-16.73%	0.1162	✓	1.02
2026-06-17	oos	0.5418	0.535102	-1.24%	0.5028	-7.20%	0.0056	✓	1.03
2026-06-16	oos	0.5575	0.550921	-1.18%	0.51505	-7.61%	0.0197	✓	1.03
2026-06-15	oos	0.57695	0.569856	-1.23%	0.5334	-7.55%	0.0283	✓	1.06
2026-06-14	oos	0.5687	0.561269	-1.31%	0.52865	-7.04%	0.0192	✓	1.06
2026-06-13	oos	0.557	0.548644	-1.50%	0.53535	-3.89%	0.0210	✓	1.09
2026-06-12	oos	0.53675	0.528711	-1.50%	0.52935	-1.38%	0.0023	✓	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.5408	0.53205	-1.62%	0.53095	-1.82%	0.0098	✓	1.09
2026-06-10	oos	0.52835	0.518299	-1.90%	0.5418	+2.55%	0.0082	✓	1.10
2026-06-09	oos	0.5362	0.525459	-2.00%	0.5575	+3.97%	0.0092	✓	1.11
2026-06-08	oos	0.5476	0.53677	-1.98%	0.57695	+5.36%	0.0171	✓	1.11
2026-06-07	oos	0.543	0.532286	-1.97%	0.5687	+4.73%	0.0243	✗	1.12
2026-06-06	oos	0.5145	0.505239	-1.80%	0.557	+8.26%	0.0346	✗	1.10
2026-06-05	oos	0.5189	0.510064	-1.70%	0.53675	+3.44%	0.0063	✓	1.11
2026-06-04	oos	0.556	0.54724	-1.58%	0.5408	-2.73%	0.0077	✓	1.09
2026-06-03	oos	0.5969	0.586628	-1.72%	0.52835	-11.48%	0.0609	✓	1.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.6062	0.598563	-1.26%	0.5362	-11.55%	0.0274	✓	1.07
2026-06-01	oos	0.6354	0.629954	-0.86%	0.5476	-13.82%	0.0158	✓	1.01
2026-05-31	oos	0.66695	0.6636	-0.50%	0.543	-18.58%	0.0526	✓	0.98
2026-05-30	oos	0.6773	0.673205	-0.60%	0.5145	-24.04%	0.0818	✓	0.97
2026-05-29	oos	0.6428	0.640551	-0.35%	0.5189	-19.28%	0.0343	✓	0.96
2026-05-28	oos	0.6297	0.628456	-0.20%	0.556	-11.70%	0.0129	✗	0.96
2026-05-27	oos	0.6269	0.628565	+0.27%	0.5969	-4.79%	0.0897	✓	0.95
2026-05-26	oos	0.6374	0.640962	+0.56%	0.6062	-4.89%	0.0659	✓	0.94
2026-05-25	oos	0.65335	0.65677	+0.52%	0.6354	-2.75%	0.0420	✓	0.94
2026-05-24	oos	0.6514	0.654175	+0.43%	0.66695	+2.39%	0.0614	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.66505	0.664674	-0.06%	0.6773	+1.84%	0.0548	✗	0.94
2026-05-22	oos	0.6363	0.639575	+0.51%	0.6428	+1.02%	0.0311	✓	0.94
2026-05-21	oos	0.6775	0.676425	-0.16%	0.6297	-7.06%	0.0230	✓	0.91
2026-05-20	oos	0.6653	0.664829	-0.07%	0.6269	-5.77%	0.0208	✓	0.91
2026-05-19	oos	0.6229	0.627528	+0.74%	0.6374	+2.33%	0.0267	✓	0.90
2026-05-18	oos	0.6278	0.631794	+0.64%	0.65335	+4.07%	0.0300	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.6342	0.636513	+0.36%	0.6514	+2.71%	0.0281	✓	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	0.6429	0.641548	-0.21%	0.66505	+3.45%	0.0529	✗	0.90
2026-05-15	oos	0.66595	0.659593	-0.95%	0.6363	-4.45%	0.0065	✓	0.91
2026-05-14	oos	0.69485	0.688363	-0.93%	0.6775	-2.50%	0.0243	✗	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.6716	0.665237	-0.95%	0.6653	-0.94%	0.0209	✗	0.90
2026-05-12	oos	0.66775	0.667935	+0.03%	0.6229	-6.72%	0.0270	✗	0.91
2026-05-11	oos	0.69755	0.701345	+0.54%	0.6278	-10.00%	0.0568	✗	0.90
2026-05-10	oos	0.71375	0.718189	+0.62%	0.6342	-11.15%	0.0706	✗	0.89
2026-05-09	oos	0.6826	0.685996	+0.50%	0.6429	-5.82%	0.0365	✗	0.88
2026-05-08	oos	0.6845	0.687025	+0.37%	0.66595	-2.71%	0.0187	✗	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	0.66245	0.667836	+0.81%	0.69485	+4.89%	0.0280	✓	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	0.6677	0.674506	+1.02%	0.6716	+0.58%	0.0176	✓	0.82
2026-05-05	oos	0.64595	0.654014	+1.25%	0.66775	+3.37%	0.0253	✓	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.6396	0.645524	+0.93%	0.69755	+9.06%	0.0577	✓	0.86
2026-05-03	oos	0.6316	0.634663	+0.48%	0.71375	+13.01%	0.0791	✓	0.85
2026-05-02	oos	0.6309	0.633878	+0.47%	0.6826	+8.19%	0.0528	✓	0.86
2026-05-01	oos	0.6305	0.633308	+0.45%	0.6845	+8.56%	0.0563	✓	0.87
2026-04-30	oos	0.62805	0.628832	+0.12%	0.66245	+5.48%	0.0107	✓	0.87
2026-04-29	oos	0.6247	0.624595	-0.02%	0.6677	+6.88%	0.0033	✗	0.88
2026-04-28	oos	0.6309	0.631302	+0.06%	0.64595	+2.39%	0.0296	✗	0.90
2026-04-27	oos	0.6378	0.639733	+0.30%	0.6396	+0.28%	0.0287	✗	0.90
2026-04-26	oos	0.6548	0.657052	+0.34%	0.6316	-3.54%	0.0382	✗	0.90
2026-04-25	oos	0.65925	0.660492	+0.19%	0.6309	-4.30%	0.0578	✗	0.91
2026-04-24	oos	0.6481	0.650325	+0.34%	0.6305	-2.72%	0.0401	✗	0.92
2026-04-23	oos	0.64735	0.650094	+0.42%	0.62805	-2.98%	0.0111	✗	0.92
2026-04-22	oos	0.64435	0.646495	+0.33%	0.6247	-3.05%	0.0050	✗	0.92
2026-04-21	oos	0.6314	0.63097	-0.07%	0.6309	-0.08%	0.0003	✓	0.92
2026-04-20	oos	0.6314	0.630314	-0.17%	0.6378	+1.01%	0.0062	✓	0.92
2026-04-19	oos	0.6219	0.617801	-0.66%	0.6548	+5.29%	0.0006	✓	0.92
2026-04-18	oos	0.6615	0.657921	-0.54%	0.65925	-0.34%	0.0209	✓	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.6819	0.680502	-0.21%	0.6481	-4.96%	0.0531	✓	0.91
2026-04-16	oos	0.67305	0.667416	-0.84%	0.64735	-3.82%	0.0677	✓	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.6652	0.658433	-1.02%	0.64435	-3.13%	0.0619	✓	0.91
2026-04-14	oos	0.65505	0.648686	-0.97%	0.6314	-3.61%	0.0533	✓	0.91
2026-04-13	oos	0.6832	0.674816	-1.23%	0.6314	-7.58%	0.0836	✓	0.91
2026-04-12	oos	0.66475	0.657203	-1.14%	0.6219	-6.45%	0.0943	✓	0.92
2026-04-11	oos	0.68055	0.671077	-1.39%	0.6615	-2.80%	0.0472	✓	0.92
2026-04-10	oos	0.6932	0.682133	-1.60%	0.6819	-1.63%	0.0508	✓	0.92
2026-04-09	oos	0.6659	0.657373	-1.28%	0.67305	+1.07%	0.0184	✓	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.6586	0.651784	-1.03%	0.6652	+1.00%	0.0268	✓	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.67465	0.665355	-1.38%	0.65505	-2.91%	0.0441	✓	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.655	0.651397	-0.55%	0.6832	+4.31%	0.0253	✓	0.93
2026-04-05	oos	0.6707	0.665854	-0.72%	0.66475	-0.89%	0.0251	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.669	0.665598	-0.51%	0.68055	+1.73%	0.0559	✓	0.95
2026-04-03	oos	0.6751	0.671987	-0.46%	0.6932	+2.68%	0.0508	✓	0.95
2026-04-02	oos	0.6721	0.669466	-0.39%	0.6659	-0.92%	0.0724	✓	0.95
2026-04-01	oos	0.70075	0.695717	-0.72%	0.6586	-6.01%	0.0954	✓	0.95
2026-03-31	oos	0.697	0.692354	-0.67%	0.67465	-3.21%	0.0759	✓	0.95
2026-03-30	oos	0.6867	0.682362	-0.63%	0.655	-4.62%	0.0706	✓	0.95
2026-03-29	oos	0.6711	0.667554	-0.53%	0.6707	-0.06%	0.0376	✓	0.94
2026-03-28	oos	0.6726	0.668817	-0.56%	0.669	-0.54%	0.0134	✓	0.94
2026-03-27	oos	0.67445	0.670555	-0.58%	0.6751	+0.10%	0.0018	✓	0.94
2026-03-26	oos	0.69535	0.691469	-0.56%	0.6721	-3.34%	0.0024	✓	0.94
2026-03-25	oos	0.7403	0.738262	-0.28%	0.70075	-5.34%	0.0096	✓	0.93
2026-03-24	oos	0.7161	0.715326	-0.11%	0.697	-2.67%	0.0049	✗	0.93
2026-03-23	oos	0.70575	0.707165	+0.20%	0.6867	-2.70%	0.0263	✓	0.93
2026-03-22	oos	0.71065	0.708571	-0.29%	0.6711	-5.57%	0.0274	✓	0.96
2026-03-21	oos	0.737	0.735438	-0.21%	0.6726	-8.74%	0.0529	✓	0.95
2026-03-20	oos	0.7516	0.752379	+0.10%	0.67445	-10.26%	0.0517	✗	0.95
2026-03-19	oos	0.7501	0.750403	+0.04%	0.69535	-7.30%	0.0604	✗	0.95
2026-03-18	oos	0.7754	0.775343	-0.01%	0.7403	-4.53%	0.0470	✓	0.94
2026-03-17	oos	0.8376	0.836729	-0.10%	0.7161	-14.51%	0.1119	✓	0.93
2026-03-16	oos	0.8656	0.862913	-0.31%	0.70575	-18.47%	0.1499	✓	0.93
2026-03-15	oos	0.8046	0.803988	-0.08%	0.71065	-11.68%	0.0595	✓	0.90
2026-03-14	oos	0.7965	0.792126	-0.55%	0.737	-7.47%	0.0426	✓	0.89
2026-03-13	oos	0.7156	0.716469	+0.12%	0.7516	+5.03%	0.0535	✓	0.89
2026-03-12	oos	0.7162	0.716132	-0.01%	0.7501	+4.73%	0.0542	✗	0.89
2026-03-11	oos	0.6905	0.690201	-0.04%	0.7754	+12.30%	0.1036	✗	0.87
2026-03-10	oos	0.70015	0.697994	-0.31%	0.8376	+19.63%	0.1339	✗	0.88
2026-03-09	oos	0.66845	0.667704	-0.11%	0.8656	+29.49%	0.1817	✗	0.86
2026-03-08	oos	0.6487	0.647271	-0.22%	0.8046	+24.03%	0.1321	✗	0.86
2026-03-07	oos	0.6747	0.673236	-0.22%	0.7965	+18.05%	0.1188	✗	0.86
2026-03-06	oos	0.6844	0.683923	-0.07%	0.7156	+4.56%	0.0100	✗	0.86
2026-03-05	oos	0.6999	0.699171	-0.10%	0.7162	+2.33%	0.0284	✗	0.87
2026-03-04	oos	0.6945	0.693873	-0.09%	0.6905	-0.58%	0.0249	✗	0.86
2026-03-03	oos	0.6907	0.686469	-0.61%	0.70015	+1.37%	0.0015	✓	0.90
2026-03-02	oos	0.6591	0.656613	-0.38%	0.66845	+1.42%	0.0233	✗	0.93
2026-03-01	oos	0.6364	0.633104	-0.52%	0.6487	+1.93%	0.0215	✗	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	0.63865	0.635858	-0.44%	0.6747	+5.64%	0.0551	✗	0.96
2026-02-27	oos	0.6349	0.631851	-0.48%	0.6844	+7.80%	0.0477	✗	0.96
2026-02-26	oos	0.6401	0.636859	-0.51%	0.6999	+9.34%	0.0471	✗	0.96
2026-02-25	oos	0.6235	0.620914	-0.41%	0.6945	+11.39%	0.0476	✗	0.97
2026-02-24	oos	0.5908	0.589103	-0.29%	0.6907	+16.91%	0.0970	✗	0.96
2026-02-23	oos	0.5764	0.576601	+0.03%	0.6591	+14.35%	0.0724	✓	0.97
2026-02-22	oos	0.6058	0.604391	-0.23%	0.6364	+5.05%	0.0785	✗	0.97
2026-02-21	oos	0.6329	0.629159	-0.59%	0.63865	+0.91%	0.0291	✗	0.97
2026-02-20	oos	0.63055	0.62729	-0.52%	0.6349	+0.69%	0.0428	✗	0.97
2026-02-19	oos	0.62075	0.618088	-0.43%	0.6401	+3.12%	0.0276	✗	0.97
2026-02-18	oos	0.62075	0.6179	-0.46%	0.6235	+0.44%	0.0139	✓	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.6335	0.629533	-0.63%	0.5908	-6.74%	0.0123	✓	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.645	0.639867	-0.80%	0.5764	-10.64%	0.0419	✓	0.99
2026-02-15	oos	0.6278	0.623989	-0.61%	0.6058	-3.50%	0.0126	✓	0.98
2026-02-14	oos	0.6638	0.657088	-1.01%	0.6329	-4.66%	0.0111	✓	0.99
2026-02-13	oos	0.6373	0.632295	-0.79%	0.63055	-1.06%	0.0091	✗	0.98
2026-02-12	oos	0.61275	0.610679	-0.34%	0.62075	+1.31%	0.0050	✗	0.99
2026-02-11	oos	0.6159	0.613449	-0.40%	0.62075	+0.79%	0.0207	✗	0.98
2026-02-10	oos	0.632	0.62765	-0.69%	0.6335	+0.24%	0.0286	✗	0.98
2026-02-09	oos	0.64615	0.639886	-0.97%	0.645	-0.18%	0.0255	✗	0.98
2026-02-08	oos	0.64165	0.635479	-0.96%	0.6278	-2.16%	0.0090	✓	0.99
2026-02-07	oos	0.6433	0.637516	-0.90%	0.6638	+3.19%	0.0327	✗	0.99
2026-02-06	oos	0.646	0.638702	-1.13%	0.6373	-1.35%	0.0221	✗	0.99
2026-02-05	oos	0.60115	0.623163	+3.66%	0.61275	+1.93%	0.0728	✗	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.6979	0.688347	-1.37%	0.6159	-11.75%	0.0151	✓	1.13
2026-02-03	oos	0.7095	0.701766	-1.09%	0.632	-10.92%	0.0042	✓	1.15
2026-02-02	oos	0.72145	0.718694	-0.38%	0.64615	-10.44%	0.0257	✗	1.15
2026-02-01	oos	0.6847	0.683543	-0.17%	0.64165	-6.29%	0.0293	✗	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.7323	0.7314	-0.12%	0.6433	-12.15%	0.0113	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.777	0.782092	+0.66%	0.646	-16.86%	0.0068	✓	1.12
2026-01-29	oos	0.8409	0.843668	+0.33%	0.60115	-28.51%	0.0065	✗	1.12
2026-01-28	oos	0.91915	0.912086	-0.77%	0.6979	-24.07%	0.0513	✓	1.08
2026-01-27	oos	0.8926	0.887103	-0.62%	0.7095	-20.51%	0.0423	✓	1.11
2026-01-26	oos	0.8655	0.863728	-0.20%	0.72145	-16.64%	0.0550	✓	1.09
2026-01-25	oos	0.8472	0.848152	+0.11%	0.6847	-19.18%	0.0852	✗	1.09
2026-01-24	oos	0.904	0.891011	-1.44%	0.7323	-18.99%	0.0629	✓	1.07
2026-01-23	oos	0.8815	0.868552	-1.47%	0.777	-11.85%	0.0431	✓	1.10
2026-01-22	oos	0.88205	0.867987	-1.59%	0.8409	-4.67%	0.0313	✗	1.11
2026-01-21	oos	0.8882	0.872459	-1.77%	0.91915	+3.48%	0.0546	✗	1.10
2026-01-20	oos	0.87	0.860031	-1.15%	0.8926	+2.60%	0.0270	✗	1.12
2026-01-19	oos	0.915	0.894566	-2.23%	0.8655	-5.41%	0.0206	✓	1.13
2026-01-18	oos	0.9463	0.924242	-2.33%	0.8472	-10.47%	0.0042	✓	1.16
2026-01-17	oos	0.9499	0.931081	-1.98%	0.904	-4.83%	0.0457	✗	1.15
2026-01-16	oos	0.9499	0.932863	-1.79%	0.8815	-7.20%	0.0209	✗	1.19
2026-01-15	oos	0.9631	0.945261	-1.85%	0.88205	-8.42%	0.0100	✓	1.20
2026-01-14	oos	0.97685	0.962996	-1.42%	0.8882	-9.08%	0.0183	✗	1.22
2026-01-13	oos	0.9887	0.97	-1.89%	0.87	-12.01%	0.0131	✓	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.9442	0.924325	-2.10%	0.915	-3.09%	0.0292	✓	1.28
2026-01-11	oos	0.9841	0.959625	-2.49%	0.9463	-3.84%	0.0530	✓	1.30
2026-01-10	oos	0.97685	0.955867	-2.15%	0.9499	-2.76%	0.0724	✓	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	0.9638	0.949064	-1.53%	0.9499	-1.44%	0.0851	✓	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.9992	0.985784	-1.34%	0.9631	-3.61%	0.1022	✓	1.61
2026-01-07	oos	1.0332	1.0221	-1.07%	0.97685	-5.45%	0.1612	✓	1.92
2026-01-06	oos	1.1155	1.104	-1.03%	0.9887	-11.37%	0.1443	✓	1.94
2026-01-05	oos	1.0789	1.0692	-0.90%	0.9442	-12.48%	0.0665	✓	1.99
2026-01-04	oos	1.0433	1.0311	-1.17%	0.9841	-5.67%	0.0329	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	1.02	1.0077	-1.21%	0.97685	-4.23%	0.0260	✓	2.05
2026-01-02	oos	1.0146	1.0033	-1.11%	0.9638	-5.01%	0.0530	✓	2.07
2026-01-01	oos	0.973	0.966894	-0.63%	0.9992	+2.69%	0.0198	✓	2.07
2025-12-31	oos	0.9624	0.957543	-0.50%	1.0332	+7.36%	0.0109	✓	2.05
2025-12-30	oos	0.96835	0.961766	-0.68%	1.1155	+15.20%	0.0278	✗	2.06
2025-12-29	oos	1.0142	1.0042	-0.98%	1.0789	+6.38%	0.0837	✓	2.08
2025-12-28	oos	1.0407	1.0287	-1.15%	1.0433	+0.25%	0.0698	✓	2.08
2025-12-27	oos	1.0617	1.0482	-1.28%	1.02	-3.93%	0.0929	✓	2.10
2025-12-26	oos	1.0439	1.0328	-1.07%	1.0146	-2.81%	0.0806	✓	2.09
2025-12-25	oos	1.0325	1.0229	-0.93%	0.973	-5.76%	0.0873	✓	2.09
2025-12-24	oos	1.0386	1.0279	-1.03%	0.9624	-7.34%	0.0632	✓	2.11
2025-12-23	oos	1.0579	1.0443	-1.28%	0.96835	-8.46%	0.0987	✓	2.11
2025-12-22	oos	1.1093	1.0908	-1.66%	1.0142	-8.57%	0.0385	✓	2.09
2025-12-21	oos	1.1743	1.1508	-2.00%	1.0407	-11.38%	0.0826	✓	2.09
2025-12-20	oos	1.1913	1.1673	-2.01%	1.0617	-10.88%	0.0830	✓	2.02
2025-12-19	oos	1.1525	1.132	-1.78%	1.0439	-9.42%	0.0626	✓	2.02
2025-12-18	oos	1.1439	1.1259	-1.57%	1.0325	-9.74%	0.1275	✓	2.06
2025-12-17	oos	1.2092	1.1849	-2.01%	1.0386	-14.11%	0.1651	✓	2.07
2025-12-16	oos	1.2475	1.2173	-2.42%	1.0579	-15.20%	0.1303	✓	2.08
2025-12-15	oos	1.2895	1.2567	-2.55%	1.1093	-13.98%	0.1763	✓	2.11
2025-12-14	oos	1.2492	1.219	-2.42%	1.1743	-6.00%	0.0487	✓	2.15
2025-12-13	oos	1.332	1.2958	-2.72%	1.1913	-10.56%	0.0377	✓	2.14
2025-12-12	oos	1.2521	1.2198	-2.58%	1.1525	-7.95%	0.0044	✓	2.14
2025-12-11	oos	1.1987	1.1742	-2.05%	1.1439	-4.57%	0.1477	✗	2.18
2025-12-10	oos	1.1666	1.1418	-2.13%	1.2092	+3.65%	0.2004	✗	2.19
2025-12-09	oos	1.1132	1.0934	-1.78%	1.2475	+12.07%	0.2507	✗	2.22
2025-12-08	oos	1.0939	1.072	-2.00%	1.2895	+17.88%	0.2928	✗	2.26
2025-12-07	oos	1.0965	1.0735	-2.10%	1.2492	+13.93%	0.2079	✗	2.25
2025-12-06	oos	1.0658	1.0436	-2.08%	1.332	+24.97%	0.2192	✗	2.26
2025-12-05	oos	1.0882	1.0641	-2.22%	1.2521	+15.06%	0.1393	✗	2.25
2025-12-04	oos	1.0583	1.041	-1.63%	1.1987	+13.27%	0.1298	✗	2.31
2025-12-03	oos	1.1061	1.0872	-1.71%	1.1666	+5.47%	0.1059	✗	2.31
2025-12-02	oos	1.0247	1.0075	-1.68%	1.1132	+8.64%	0.0653	✗	2.29
2025-12-01	oos	0.97575	0.960281	-1.59%	1.0939	+12.11%	0.0108	✓	2.42
2025-11-30	oos	1.0664	1.049	-1.64%	1.0965	+2.82%	0.0434	✗	2.41
2025-11-29	oos	1.0875	1.0696	-1.64%	1.0658	-1.99%	0.0379	✗	2.39
2025-11-28	oos	1.0763	1.0593	-1.58%	1.0882	+1.11%	0.0682	✗	2.39
2025-11-27	oos	1.0633	1.0481	-1.42%	1.0583	-0.47%	0.0106	✓	2.40
2025-11-26	oos	1.0705	1.0532	-1.61%	1.1061	+3.33%	0.0296	✓	2.42
2025-11-25	oos	1.0265	1.0105	-1.56%	1.0247	-0.18%	0.0963	✓	2.47
2025-11-24	oos	1.022	1.0068	-1.48%	0.97575	-4.53%	0.0249	✗	2.48
2025-11-23	oos	1.0158	0.999955	-1.56%	1.0664	+4.99%	0.0360	✓	2.50
2025-11-22	oos	0.9871	0.974353	-1.29%	1.0875	+10.17%	0.0673	✓	2.53
2025-11-21	oos	0.94735	0.939556	-0.82%	1.0763	+13.61%	0.0313	✓	2.52
2025-11-20	oos	1.0422	1.0253	-1.62%	1.0633	+2.02%	0.0984	✓	2.51
2025-11-19	oos	1.1181	1.0987	-1.74%	1.0705	-4.26%	0.0017	✓	2.53
2025-11-18	oos	1.1084	1.0914	-1.54%	1.0265	-7.39%	0.0975	✗	2.56
2025-11-17	oos	1.1051	1.0873	-1.61%	1.022	-7.52%	0.0462	✗	2.54
2025-11-16	oos	1.192	1.17	-1.84%	1.0158	-14.78%	0.0582	✗	2.45
2025-11-15	oos	1.2014	1.1821	-1.61%	0.9871	-17.84%	0.1152	✗	2.45
2025-11-14	oos	1.1661	1.1488	-1.48%	0.94735	-18.76%	0.0644	✗	2.45
2025-11-13	oos	1.2232	1.2089	-1.17%	1.0422	-14.80%	0.2129	✗	2.57
2025-11-12	oos	1.2643	1.243	-1.68%	1.1181	-11.56%	0.1635	✗	2.55
2025-11-11	oos	1.2367	1.2189	-1.44%	1.1084	-10.37%	0.1622	✗	2.49
2025-11-10	oos	1.3199	1.2863	-2.54%	1.1051	-16.27%	0.2005	✗	2.51
2025-11-09	oos	1.3355	1.3004	-2.62%	1.192	-10.75%	0.1812	✗	2.54
2025-11-08	oos	1.336	1.301	-2.62%	1.2014	-10.07%	0.0969	✗	2.59
2025-11-07	oos	1.2914	1.26	-2.43%	1.1661	-9.70%	0.1470	✗	2.53
2025-11-06	oos	1.2093	1.1931	-1.34%	1.2232	+1.15%	0.0669	✗	2.52
2025-11-05	oos	1.2479	1.2247	-1.86%	1.2643	+1.31%	0.0868	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	1.2699	1.2448	-1.98%	1.2367	-2.61%	0.0469	✓	2.68
2025-11-03	oos	1.2269	1.207	-1.62%	1.3199	+7.58%	0.1052	✗	2.90
2025-11-02	oos	1.4307	1.3843	-3.25%	1.3355	-6.65%	0.1170	✗	2.82
2025-11-01	oos	1.4412	1.3963	-3.12%	1.336	-7.30%	0.1649	✗	2.86
2025-10-31	oos	1.4536	1.4103	-2.98%	1.2914	-11.16%	0.0801	✗	2.85
2025-10-30	oos	1.4418	1.4019	-2.77%	1.2093	-16.13%	0.0442	✗	2.87
2025-10-29	oos	1.5839	1.5349	-3.09%	1.2479	-21.21%	0.0432	✓	2.84
2025-10-28	oos	1.608	1.5627	-2.82%	1.2699	-21.03%	0.0989	✗	2.87
2025-10-27	oos	1.6634	1.6164	-2.83%	1.2269	-26.24%	0.0802	✓	2.86
2025-10-26	oos	1.7735	1.7145	-3.33%	1.4307	-19.33%	0.0791	✓	2.86
2025-10-25	oos	1.6585	1.6088	-3.00%	1.4412	-13.10%	0.0681	✓	2.88
2025-10-24	oos	1.6436	1.596	-2.90%	1.4536	-11.56%	0.0545	✓	2.88
2025-10-23	oos	1.6854	1.6361	-2.92%	1.4418	-14.45%	0.0784	✓	2.90
2025-10-22	oos	1.5951	1.553	-2.64%	1.5839	-0.70%	0.0459	✓	2.92
2025-10-21	oos	1.6283	1.5875	-2.51%	1.608	-1.25%	0.1071	✓	2.92
2025-10-20	oos	1.8123	1.7571	-3.05%	1.6634	-8.22%	0.1453	✓	2.89
2025-10-19	oos	1.8595	1.7967	-3.38%	1.7735	-4.62%	0.1660	✓	2.91
2025-10-18	oos	1.6695	1.6321	-2.24%	1.6585	-0.66%	0.1012	✓	2.88
2025-10-17	oos	1.6085	1.5826	-1.61%	1.6436	+2.18%	0.0834	✓	2.88
2025-10-16	oos	1.7167	1.685	-1.85%	1.6854	-1.82%	0.0500	✓	2.86
2025-10-15	oos	1.8153	1.7753	-2.20%	1.5951	-12.13%	0.0229	✓	2.85
2025-10-14	oos	1.9764	1.912	-3.26%	1.6283	-17.61%	0.0401	✓	2.84
2025-10-13	oos	2.118	2.0074	-5.22%	1.8123	-14.43%	0.0151	✓	2.82
2025-10-12	oos	2.2453	2.0786	-7.42%	1.8595	-17.18%	0.0491	✓	2.81
2025-10-11	oos	1.6232	1.6004	-1.40%	1.6695	+2.85%	0.1243	✗	2.51
2025-10-10	oos	1.7255	1.6913	-1.98%	1.6085	-6.78%	0.0992	✗	2.51
2025-10-09	oos	2.3402	2.2309	-4.67%	1.7167	-26.64%	0.0212	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	2.6927	2.5527	-5.20%	1.8153	-32.58%	0.1345	✓	1.93
2025-10-07	oos	2.2989	2.1925	-4.63%	1.9764	-14.03%	0.0207	✓	1.75
2025-10-06	oos	2.4751	2.3497	-5.07%	2.118	-14.43%	0.0300	✓	1.70
2025-10-05	oos	2.1182	2.0119	-5.02%	2.2453	+6.00%	0.2265	✗	1.65
2025-10-04	oos	1.9637	1.8602	-5.27%	1.6232	-17.34%	0.0275	✓	1.63
2025-10-03	oos	1.9263	1.8227	-5.38%	1.7255	-10.42%	0.0744	✗	1.63
2025-10-02	oos	1.9791	1.8526	-6.39%	2.3402	+18.25%	0.2186	✗	1.66
2025-10-01	oos	1.8996	1.8116	-4.63%	2.6927	+41.75%	0.3312	✗	1.68
2025-09-30	oos	1.7711	1.7069	-3.62%	2.2989	+29.80%	0.1923	✗	1.69
2025-09-29	oos	1.9229	1.8372	-4.46%	2.4751	+28.72%	0.1553	✗	1.65
2025-09-28	oos	1.7842	1.7235	-3.40%	2.1182	+18.72%	0.0481	✗	1.65
2025-09-27	oos	1.7156	1.6671	-2.82%	1.9637	+14.46%	0.0200	✓	1.67
2025-09-26	oos	1.7512	1.6989	-2.99%	1.9263	+10.00%	0.0542	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	1.5966	1.567	-1.86%	1.9791	+23.95%	0.0687	✗	1.63
2025-09-24	oos	1.723	1.6765	-2.70%	1.8996	+10.25%	0.0524	✗	1.58
2025-09-23	oos	1.76	1.7121	-2.72%	1.7711	+0.63%	0.0046	✓	1.62
2025-09-22	oos	1.7384	1.6836	-3.15%	1.9229	+10.61%	0.1100	✗	1.60
2025-09-21	oos	1.5555	1.5176	-2.44%	1.7842	+14.70%	0.2097	✗	1.76
2025-09-20	oos	1.6741	1.6287	-2.71%	1.7156	+2.48%	0.1404	✗	1.64
2025-09-19	oos	1.6508	1.6082	-2.58%	1.7512	+6.08%	0.1736	✗	1.66
2025-09-18	oos	1.7761	1.7199	-3.16%	1.5966	-10.10%	0.0422	✗	1.63

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.