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LIT

Lighter · Ethereum · gru_s6

token id
#67
symbol
LIT
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-22
predictions
795
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
235
of 265 predictions shown
direction hit
48.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3389
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0821
actual +0.0936

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos3.81043.4013-10.74%–pending––1.27
2026-10-21oos3.76183.3404-11.20%–pending––1.29
2026-10-20oos3.38263.0068-11.11%–pending––1.29
2026-10-19oos3.09472.7597-10.83%–pending––1.27
2026-10-18oos3.07522.7361-11.03%–pending––1.30
2026-10-17oos3.11462.7603-11.38%–pending––1.30
2026-10-16oos3.17522.8286-10.92%–pending––1.30
2026-10-15oos3.02532.7587-8.81%–pending––1.30
2026-10-14oos3.08422.8008-9.19%–pending––1.31
2026-10-13oos3.34763.0622-8.53%–pending––1.29
2026-10-12oos3.37593.0516-9.61%–pending––1.31
2026-10-11oos3.83473.5218-8.16%–pending––1.31
2026-10-10oos3.63723.3493-7.92%–pending––1.38
2026-10-09oos3.62623.35-7.62%–pending––1.38
2026-10-08oos3.60613.3203-7.92%–pending––1.38
2026-10-07oos3.57273.3781-5.45%–pending––1.44
2026-10-06oos3.81543.6596-4.08%–pending––1.42
2026-10-05oos4.01873.8912-3.17%–pending––1.43
2026-10-04oos3.66433.6203-1.20%–pending––1.47
2026-10-03oos3.56673.4889-2.18%–pending––1.48
2026-10-02oos3.55123.479-2.03%–pending––1.49
2026-10-01oos3.80483.7406-1.69%–pending––1.48
2026-09-30oos3.94993.7944-3.94%–pending––1.50
2026-09-29oos3.93283.7401-4.90%–pending––1.48
2026-09-28oos4.44134.1476-6.61%–pending––1.51
2026-09-27oos4.65474.3377-6.81%–pending––1.47
2026-09-26oos4.8444.4979-7.14%–pending––1.48
2026-09-25oos4.85224.5108-7.04%–pending––1.48
2026-09-24oos5.07294.7073-7.21%–pending––1.48
2026-09-23oos5.31964.8826-8.21%–pending––1.47
2026-09-22oos5.06674.694-7.36%3.8104-24.80%0.1727✓1.54
2026-09-21oos4.73864.4135-6.86%3.7618-20.61%0.1166✓1.43
2026-09-20oos4.77454.2754-10.45%3.3826-29.15%0.2701✓1.66
2026-09-19oos4.80924.3066-10.45%3.0947-35.65%0.3427✓1.65
2026-09-18oos4.76874.2806-10.23%3.0752-35.51%0.3535✓1.64
2026-09-17oos4.81074.2442-11.78%3.1146-35.26%0.4260✓1.83
2026-09-16oos4.60354.0512-12.00%3.1752-31.03%0.3666✓1.81
2026-09-15oos4.01953.5836-10.85%3.0253-24.73%0.3198✓1.81
2026-09-14oos4.38853.9269-10.52%3.0842-29.72%0.3165✓1.77
2026-09-13oos4.11323.6893-10.31%3.3476-18.61%0.2343✓1.74
2026-09-12oos4.21583.7845-10.23%3.3759-19.92%0.2117✓1.73
2026-09-11oos4.35183.9283-9.73%3.8347-11.88%0.1628✓1.72
2026-09-10oos4.29233.8724-9.78%3.6372-15.26%0.2015✓1.74
2026-09-09oos4.52624.1315-8.72%3.6262-19.88%0.2216✓1.72
2026-09-08oos4.82974.3863-9.18%3.6061-25.33%0.2670✓1.75
2026-09-07oos4.72484.411-6.64%3.5727-24.38%0.3030✓1.79
2026-09-06oos4.51484.3098-4.54%3.8154-15.49%0.2316✓1.75
2026-09-05oos4.75474.5131-5.08%4.0187-15.48%0.2413✓1.75
2026-09-04oos4.82894.6066-4.60%3.6643-24.12%0.3663✓1.67
2026-09-03oos4.44214.3696-1.63%3.5667-19.71%0.2766✓1.75
2026-09-02oos3.79143.7137-2.05%3.5512-6.34%0.1796✓1.52
2026-09-01oos3.523.4715-1.38%3.8048+8.09%0.0514✓1.56
2026-08-31oos3.56643.5373-0.82%3.9499+10.75%0.0262✗1.37
2026-08-30oos3.52833.5055-0.64%3.9328+11.46%0.0467✗0.92
2026-08-29oos3.55373.5612+0.21%4.4413+24.97%0.1612✓0.92
2026-08-28oos3.49623.483-0.38%4.6547+33.14%0.2146✗0.92
2026-08-27oos3.71083.712+0.03%4.844+30.54%0.2210✓0.90
2026-08-26oos3.45183.3869-1.88%4.8522+40.57%0.3050✗0.88
2026-08-25oos3.28373.1876-2.93%5.0729+54.48%0.4025✗0.86
2026-08-24oos3.39993.3294-2.07%5.3196+56.46%0.4108✗0.88
2026-08-23oos3.57213.4076-4.60%5.0667+41.84%0.2961✗0.97
2026-08-22oos3.18943.0986-2.85%4.7386+48.58%0.3131✗0.96
2026-08-21oos3.12673.0097-3.74%4.7745+52.70%0.4269✗0.97
2026-08-20oos2.66822.5231-5.44%4.8092+80.24%0.5581✗0.81
2026-08-19oos2.60372.3842-8.43%4.7687+83.15%0.5404✗0.99
2026-08-18oos2.35882.1779-7.67%4.8107+103.95%0.6361✗0.94
2026-08-17oos2.332.149-7.77%4.6035+97.57%0.5989✗0.98
2026-08-16oos2.27712.1054-7.54%4.0195+76.51%0.4635✗0.99
2026-08-15oos2.2622.0993-7.19%4.3885+94.01%0.5263✗0.98
2026-08-14oos2.2352.0828-6.81%4.1132+84.03%0.4850✗0.99
2026-08-13oos2.27132.1184-6.73%4.2158+85.61%0.4961✗0.97
2026-08-12oos2.33562.1725-6.99%4.3518+86.32%0.4941✗1.02
2026-08-11oos2.41812.2326-7.67%4.2923+77.50%0.4662✗1.01
2026-08-10oos2.38242.1946-7.88%4.5262+89.98%0.5169✗1.02
2026-08-09oos2.30352.1167-8.11%4.8297+109.67%0.6218✗1.07
2026-08-08oos2.28222.0991-8.02%4.7248+107.03%0.5991✗1.07
2026-08-07oos2.29842.1113-8.14%4.5148+96.43%0.5349✗1.05
2026-08-06oos2.37442.1807-8.16%4.7547+100.25%0.5486✗1.06
2026-08-05oos2.18492.0321-6.99%4.8289+121.01%0.6383✗1.08
2026-08-04oos2.05841.9357-5.96%4.4421+115.80%0.5818✗1.05
2026-08-03oos2.00551.8948-5.52%3.7914+89.05%0.4897✗1.03
2026-08-02oos2.03281.9204-5.53%3.52+73.16%0.3964✗1.06
2026-08-01oos2.01721.9188-4.88%3.5664+76.80%0.3875✗1.03
2026-07-31oos2.06691.9653-4.92%3.5283+70.70%0.3653✗1.04
2026-07-30oos2.282.113-7.32%3.5537+55.87%0.3380✗0.96
2026-07-29oos2.17812.0401-6.34%3.4962+60.52%0.3539✗0.94
2026-07-28oos2.29842.1282-7.40%3.7108+61.45%0.3465✗0.91
2026-07-27oos2.12861.9929-6.37%3.4518+62.16%0.3560✗0.90
2026-07-26oos2.14311.9831-7.47%3.2837+53.22%0.3417✗0.88
2026-07-25oos2.06261.9225-6.79%3.3999+64.84%0.3840✗0.90
2026-07-24oos2.03191.8966-6.66%3.5721+75.80%0.4621✗0.89
2026-07-23oos2.1621.9979-7.59%3.1894+47.52%0.3230✗0.86
2026-07-22oos2.30052.1089-8.33%3.1267+35.92%0.2544✗0.82
2026-07-21oos2.34532.1395-8.77%2.6682+13.77%0.1444✗0.82
2026-07-20oos2.1791.9995-8.24%2.6037+19.49%0.2190✗0.74
2026-07-19oos2.20982.0225-8.48%2.3588+6.74%0.1538✗0.75
2026-07-18oos2.25642.0563-8.87%2.33+3.26%0.1285✗0.73
2026-07-17oos2.28922.0801-9.14%2.2771-0.53%0.1041✗0.81
2026-07-16oos2.28592.0728-9.32%2.262-1.05%0.0974✓0.85
2026-07-15oos2.41662.1523-10.94%2.235-7.51%0.0595✓0.80
2026-07-14oos2.59282.2607-12.81%2.2713-12.40%0.0239✓0.79
2026-07-13oos2.30422.0482-11.11%2.3356+1.36%0.1189✗0.68
2026-07-12oos2.63192.2974-12.71%2.4181-8.12%0.0532✓0.59
2026-07-11oos2.57742.2564-12.45%2.3824-7.56%0.0530✓0.60
2026-07-10oos2.68962.3401-12.99%2.3035-14.36%0.0233✓0.68
2026-07-09oos2.39652.1194-11.56%2.2822-4.77%0.0568✓0.63
2026-07-08oos2.332.0656-11.35%2.2984-1.35%0.0783✓0.68
2026-07-07oos2.45752.1686-11.75%2.3744-3.38%0.0809✓0.66
2026-07-06oos2.57692.2633-12.17%2.1849-15.21%0.0415✓0.67
2026-07-05oos2.4582.1633-11.99%2.0584-16.26%0.0546✓0.67
2026-07-04oos2.2011.9591-10.99%2.0055-8.88%0.0195✓0.65
2026-07-03oos2.11361.8853-10.80%2.0328-3.82%0.0655✓0.64
2026-07-02oos2.06891.8402-11.06%2.0172-2.50%0.0788✓0.63
2026-07-01oos2.07121.8288-11.70%2.0669-0.21%0.0918✓0.65
2026-06-30oos1.8491.6315-11.76%2.28+23.31%0.2788✗0.55
2026-06-29oos1.86031.6454-11.56%2.1781+17.08%0.2471✗0.55
2026-06-28oos1.72741.5342-11.18%2.2984+33.05%0.3636✗0.57
2026-06-27oos1.71961.527-11.20%2.1286+23.78%0.2984✗0.56
2026-06-26oos1.82281.6035-12.03%2.1431+17.57%0.2422✗0.56
2026-06-25oos1.60911.422-11.63%2.0626+28.18%0.3319✗0.54
2026-06-24oos1.69591.4898-12.15%2.0319+19.82%0.2839✗0.53
2026-06-23oos1.50471.3346-11.31%2.162+43.68%0.4560✗0.70
2026-06-22oos1.60941.4261-11.39%2.3005+42.95%0.4566✗0.66
2026-06-21oos1.56761.3869-11.53%2.3453+49.61%0.4927✗0.65
2026-06-20oos1.55671.3847-11.05%2.179+39.98%0.4438✗0.63
2026-06-19oos1.54561.3674-11.54%2.2098+42.97%0.4673✗0.68
2026-06-18oos1.61181.4116-12.42%2.2564+39.99%0.4483✗0.69
2026-06-17oos1.72071.51-12.24%2.2892+33.04%0.4214✗0.62
2026-06-16oos1.73351.5286-11.82%2.2859+31.87%0.4203✗0.63
2026-06-15oos1.68961.5007-11.18%2.4166+43.03%0.4926✗0.68
2026-06-14oos1.68671.4913-11.59%2.5928+53.72%0.5602✗0.65
2026-06-13oos1.63191.4273-12.54%2.3042+41.20%0.5020✗0.67
2026-06-12oos1.53731.3344-13.20%2.6319+71.19%0.6772✗0.63
2026-06-11oos1.55811.3479-13.49%2.5774+65.42%0.6461✗0.63
2026-06-10oos1.39161.1877-14.65%2.6896+93.27%0.7944✗0.54
2026-06-09oos1.58311.3363-15.58%2.3965+51.38%0.5712✗0.54
2026-06-08oos1.47451.2698-13.88%2.33+58.02%0.6147✗0.59
2026-06-07oos1.43341.2419-13.36%2.4575+71.44%0.6823✗0.60
2026-06-06oos1.43071.2273-14.22%2.5769+80.11%0.7114✗0.60
2026-06-05oos1.50841.307-13.35%2.458+62.95%0.6052✗0.64
2026-06-04oos1.45311.2878-11.38%2.201+51.47%0.5442✗0.72
2026-06-03oos1.78541.5788-11.57%2.1136+18.38%0.3096✗0.74
2026-06-02oos1.60391.4386-10.30%2.0689+28.99%0.4410✗0.96
2026-06-01oos1.34381.1974-10.90%2.0712+54.13%0.7921✗1.41
2026-05-31oos1.37651.2048-12.47%1.849+34.33%0.7567✗1.43
2026-05-30oos1.3691.1963-12.62%1.8603+35.89%0.7185✗1.36
2026-05-29oos1.25911.1113-11.74%1.7274+37.19%0.7236✗1.35
2026-05-28oos1.17221.0481-10.58%1.7196+46.70%0.7713✗1.35
2026-05-27oos1.13381.0338-8.82%1.8228+60.77%0.8622✗1.38
2026-05-26oos1.18321.0839-8.40%1.6091+35.99%0.7235✗1.37
2026-05-25oos1.37961.2541-9.10%1.6959+22.92%0.5912✗1.22
2026-05-24oos1.29131.1872-8.06%1.5047+16.53%0.4863✗1.21
2026-05-23oos1.22751.1387-7.23%1.6094+31.11%0.5610✗1.19
2026-05-22oos1.19061.1104-6.74%1.5676+31.67%0.5547✗1.19
2026-05-21oos1.4261.2941-9.25%1.5567+9.16%0.3899✗1.09
2026-05-20oos1.27641.1725-8.14%1.5456+21.09%0.4951✗1.10
2026-05-19oos1.14151.0625-6.92%1.6118+41.20%0.6324✗1.08
2026-05-18oos0.95090.909007-4.41%1.7207+80.95%0.8380✗1.13
2026-05-17oos0.863450.833264-3.50%1.7335+100.76%0.9246✗1.16
2026-05-16oos0.87980.840705-4.44%1.6896+92.04%0.8888✗1.16
2026-05-15oos0.8580.820238-4.40%1.6867+96.59%0.9358✗1.16
2026-05-14oos0.91520.881184-3.72%1.6319+78.31%0.8809✗1.15
2026-05-13oos0.8970.86352-3.73%1.5373+71.39%0.8458✗1.21
2026-05-12oos0.926550.904273-2.40%1.5581+68.16%0.8277✗1.20
2026-05-11oos0.999750.971298-2.85%1.3916+39.19%0.6963✗1.18
2026-05-10oos1.05681.0279-2.74%1.5831+49.80%0.7719✗1.18
2026-05-09oos1.05421.0119-4.01%1.4745+39.87%0.6700✗1.19
2026-05-08oos1.0811.0273-4.97%1.4334+32.60%0.6147✗1.19
2026-05-07oos0.990650.965622-2.53%1.4307+44.42%0.7179✗1.19
2026-05-06oos0.953850.94067-1.38%1.5084+58.14%0.8295✗1.24
2026-05-05oos0.966850.950702-1.67%1.4531+50.29%0.6713✗1.04
2026-05-04oos0.90290.889897-1.44%1.7854+97.74%0.9133✗0.98
2026-05-03oos0.92210.894165-3.03%1.6039+73.94%0.7492✗1.00
2026-05-02oos0.9080.880764-3.00%1.3438+48.00%0.5222✗1.01
2026-05-01oos0.90350.878242-2.80%1.3765+52.35%0.5117✗1.02
2026-04-30oos0.883750.861651-2.50%1.369+54.91%0.4978✗1.03
2026-04-29oos0.948450.903211-4.77%1.2591+32.75%0.3653✗1.03
2026-04-28oos0.896050.857581-4.29%1.1722+30.81%0.3547✗1.13
2026-04-27oos0.86350.835868-3.20%1.1338+31.30%0.3505✗1.14
2026-04-26oos0.91640.889893-2.89%1.1832+29.12%0.3271✗1.14
2026-04-25oos0.92960.887263-4.55%1.3796+48.41%0.4474✗1.16
2026-04-24oos0.945550.905098-4.28%1.2913+36.57%0.3629✗1.19
2026-04-23oos0.92440.89887-2.76%1.2275+32.79%0.3368✗1.20
2026-04-22oos0.87920.864404-1.68%1.1906+35.42%0.3631✗1.19
2026-04-21oos0.8980.846174-5.77%1.426+58.80%0.5031✗1.21
2026-04-20oos0.89910.833257-7.32%1.2764+41.96%0.4011✗1.21
2026-04-19oos0.890750.801246-10.05%1.1415+28.15%0.3065✗1.21
2026-04-18oos0.978850.909071-7.13%0.9509-2.86%0.0261✓1.20
2026-04-17oos1.04880.996339-5.00%0.86345-17.67%0.1479✓1.19
2026-04-16oos1.04590.964205-7.81%0.8798-15.88%0.1376✓1.20
2026-04-15oos1.04190.95694-8.15%0.858-17.65%0.1748✓1.20
2026-04-14oos1.02570.938361-8.52%0.9152-10.78%0.1313✓1.20
2026-04-13oos1.14331.0449-8.60%0.897-21.54%0.2279✓1.19
2026-04-12oos1.09260.982247-10.10%0.92655-15.20%0.2133✓1.20
2026-04-11oos1.20611.089-9.70%0.99975-17.11%0.2176✓1.18
2026-04-10oos1.13681.032-9.22%1.0568-7.04%0.1162✓1.18
2026-04-09oos1.01450.925987-8.72%1.0542+3.91%0.0048✓1.16
2026-04-08oos0.999250.918291-8.10%1.081+8.18%0.0240✓1.16
2026-04-07oos1.07630.99006-8.02%0.99065-7.96%0.1220✓1.15
2026-04-06oos1.02480.944365-7.84%0.95385-6.92%0.1827✓1.15
2026-04-05oos1.0080.93191-7.55%0.96685-4.09%0.1458✓1.15
2026-04-04oos0.98710.909295-7.88%0.9029-8.53%0.2037✓1.15
2026-04-03oos0.989350.912004-7.82%0.9221-6.80%0.1726✓1.15
2026-04-02oos0.94860.873371-7.93%0.908-4.28%0.1472✓1.15
2026-04-01oos0.89060.825923-7.26%0.9035+1.45%0.0712✓1.16
2026-03-31oos0.87250.811432-7.00%0.88375+1.29%0.0447✓1.16
2026-03-30oos0.80730.751409-6.92%0.94845+17.48%0.0882✗1.14
2026-03-29oos0.826750.767968-7.11%0.89605+8.38%0.0133✓1.15
2026-03-28oos0.858250.797942-7.03%0.8635+0.61%0.0979✓1.15
2026-03-27oos0.88250.820091-7.07%0.9164+3.84%0.0847✓1.15
2026-03-26oos0.911650.855264-6.19%0.9296+1.97%0.0569✓1.15
2026-03-25oos0.99570.942632-5.33%0.94555-5.04%0.0912✓1.14
2026-03-24oos1.0170.980714-3.56%0.9244-9.10%0.1783✓1.14
2026-03-23oos0.9550.944783-1.07%0.8792-7.94%0.1846✓1.14
2026-03-22oos0.93910.93255-0.70%0.898-4.38%0.1750✓1.16
2026-03-21oos1.05271.0415-1.06%0.8991-14.59%0.2574✓1.15
2026-03-20oos1.06341.0576-0.54%0.89075-16.24%0.2249✓1.15
2026-03-19oos1.19281.1673-2.14%0.97885-17.94%0.2699✓1.17
2026-03-18oos1.21161.1828-2.38%1.0488-13.44%0.2130✓1.18
2026-03-17oos1.29611.2526-3.36%1.0459-19.30%0.1995✓1.17
2026-03-16oos1.16271.1321-2.63%1.0419-10.39%0.0823✓1.18
2026-03-15oos1.08521.0567-2.62%1.0257-5.47%0.0511✓1.16
2026-03-14oos1.10781.0722-3.21%1.1433+3.20%0.0121✓1.18
2026-03-13oos1.09861.0603-3.49%1.0926-0.55%0.0332✓1.18
2026-03-12oos1.15231.1036-4.23%1.2061+4.66%0.0466✗1.19
2026-03-11oos1.07171.0265-4.23%1.1368+6.07%0.0562✗1.18
2026-03-10oos1.05591.0096-4.38%1.0145-3.92%0.0256✓1.18
2026-03-09oos1.02040.975173-4.43%0.99925-2.07%0.0201✓1.17
2026-03-08oos1.01980.972459-4.64%1.0763+5.55%0.0014✓1.19
2026-03-07oos1.12951.074-4.91%1.0248-9.27%0.0746✓1.18
2026-03-06oos1.13861.0821-4.96%1.008-11.47%0.0864✓1.18
2026-03-05oos1.20911.1454-5.27%0.9871-18.36%0.0876✓1.18
2026-03-04oos1.37151.2886-6.04%0.98935-27.86%0.1703✓1.15
2026-03-03oos1.29821.2224-5.84%0.9486-26.93%0.2288✓1.16
2026-03-02oos1.35921.2757-6.14%0.8906-34.48%0.3471✓1.16
2026-03-01oos1.35871.2697-6.55%0.8725-35.78%0.4196✓1.21
2026-02-28oos1.38571.2928-6.71%0.8073-41.74%0.4667✓1.21
2026-02-27oos1.35681.2573-7.34%0.82675-39.07%0.4210✓1.21
2026-02-26oos1.42831.3212-7.50%0.85825-39.91%0.4103✓1.21
2026-02-25oos1.45511.3388-7.99%0.8825-39.35%0.3873✓1.21
2026-02-24oos1.42981.297-9.29%0.91165-36.24%0.4435✓1.29
2026-02-23oos1.3891.2558-9.59%0.9957-28.32%0.3583✓1.28
2026-02-22oos1.44631.3125-9.25%1.017-29.69%0.3097✓1.29
2026-02-21oos1.52441.3757-9.76%0.955-37.35%0.4195✓1.30
2026-02-20oos1.53191.3754-10.22%0.9391-38.70%0.3795✓1.00
2026-02-19oos1.47661.3177-10.76%1.0527-28.71%0.2531✓1.00
2026-02-18oos1.4461.284-11.20%1.0634-26.46%0.2481✓1.00
2026-02-17oos1.58881.4083-11.36%1.1928-24.92%0.2018✓1.00
2026-02-16oos1.68791.4874-11.88%1.2116-28.22%0.2392✓1.00
2026-02-15oos1.6771.4691-12.39%1.2961-22.71%0.1974✓1.00
2026-02-14oos1.64781.4322-13.09%1.1627-29.44%0.2789✓1.00
2026-02-13oos1.59721.3852-13.27%1.0852-32.06%0.3009✓1.00
2026-02-12oos1.42871.258-11.95%1.1078-22.46%0.2003✓1.00
2026-02-11oos1.4161.2428-12.23%1.0986-22.42%0.1802✓1.00
2026-02-10oos1.47021.2768-13.15%1.1523-21.62%0.1274✓1.00
2026-02-09oos1.54881.337-13.68%1.0717-30.80%0.2226✓1.00
2026-02-08oos1.61981.4056-13.22%1.0559-34.81%0.2816✓1.00
2026-02-07oos1.62611.435-11.75%1.0204-37.25%0.3292✓1.00
2026-02-06oos1.66281.4601-12.19%1.0198-38.67%0.2921✓1.00
2026-02-05oos1.43931.3535-5.97%1.1295-21.53%0.2497✓1.00
2026-02-04oos1.57541.368-13.16%1.1386-27.72%0.1142✓1.00
2026-02-03oos1.4811.2708-14.19%1.2091-18.36%0.0154✓1.00
2026-02-02oos1.59661.3793-13.61%1.3715-14.10%0.0734✓1.00
2026-02-01oos1.51441.3031-13.95%1.2982-14.27%0.1143✓1.00
2026-01-31oos1.56621.359-13.23%1.3592-13.22%0.1334✓1.00