LIGHTER

? · · gru_s6

token id: #154
symbol: LIGHTER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +7d

assessed

264

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

43.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1230

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0180

actual +0.0181

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	3.422	3.322	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-20	oos	3.382	3.2845	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	3.095	3.045	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-18	oos	3.074	3.0311	-1.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-17	oos	3.116	3.0781	-1.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	3.176	3.1396	-1.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	3.0255	3.019	-0.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	3.085	3.0808	-0.14%	3.422	+10.92%	0.0870	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	3.3505	3.3019	-1.45%	3.382	+0.94%	0.0265	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	3.3745	3.3419	-0.97%	3.095	-8.28%	0.0783	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	3.838	3.7354	-2.67%	3.074	-19.91%	0.1683	✓	1.32
2026-10-10	oos	3.637	3.5776	-1.63%	3.116	-14.32%	0.1124	✓	1.38
2026-10-09	oos	3.628	3.586	-1.16%	3.176	-12.46%	0.1038	✓	1.38
2026-10-08	oos	3.607	3.5854	-0.60%	3.0255	-16.12%	0.1771	✓	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	3.574	3.5454	-0.80%	3.085	-13.68%	0.1092	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	3.818	3.7331	-2.22%	3.3505	-12.24%	0.0670	✓	1.42
2026-10-05	oos	4.019	3.9058	-2.82%	3.3745	-16.04%	0.0777	✓	1.43
2026-10-04	oos	3.665	3.5856	-2.17%	3.838	+4.72%	0.1172	✗	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	3.567	3.5256	-1.16%	3.637	+1.96%	0.0635	✗	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	3.545	3.5117	-0.94%	3.628	+2.34%	0.0677	✗	1.50
2026-10-01	oos	3.806	3.7255	-2.11%	3.607	-5.23%	0.0241	✗	1.49
2026-09-30	oos	3.948	3.8587	-2.26%	3.574	-9.47%	0.0716	✓	1.51
2026-09-29	oos	3.926	3.829	-2.47%	3.818	-2.75%	0.0362	✓	1.48
2026-09-28	oos	4.445	4.2899	-3.49%	4.019	-9.58%	0.1064	✓	1.52
2026-09-27	oos	4.655	4.4786	-3.79%	3.665	-21.27%	0.2358	✓	1.48
2026-09-26	oos	4.8445	4.6571	-3.87%	3.567	-26.37%	0.2724	✓	1.48
2026-09-25	oos	4.8545	4.6719	-3.76%	3.545	-26.97%	0.2833	✓	1.48
2026-09-24	oos	5.071	4.8783	-3.80%	3.806	-24.95%	0.2563	✓	1.48
2026-09-23	oos	5.309	5.0945	-4.04%	3.948	-25.64%	0.2405	✓	1.48
2026-09-22	oos	5.0675	4.8693	-3.91%	3.926	-22.53%	0.1687	✓	1.55
2026-09-21	oos	4.7405	4.5658	-3.68%	4.445	-6.23%	0.0262	✓	1.44
2026-09-20	oos	4.778	4.6076	-3.57%	4.655	-2.57%	0.0560	✓	1.66
2026-09-19	oos	4.8145	4.6429	-3.56%	4.8445	+0.62%	0.0212	✓	1.66
2026-09-18	oos	4.7725	4.6122	-3.36%	4.8545	+1.72%	0.0131	✓	1.65
2026-09-17	oos	4.816	4.6939	-2.54%	5.071	+5.29%	0.1061	✓	1.83
2026-09-16	oos	4.605	4.5196	-1.85%	5.309	+15.29%	0.0255	✓	1.82
2026-09-15	oos	4.0195	4.0356	+0.40%	5.0675	+26.07%	0.0113	✗	1.82
2026-09-14	oos	4.3875	4.3175	-1.60%	4.7405	+8.05%	0.0878	✓	1.77
2026-09-13	oos	4.1115	4.0883	-0.56%	4.778	+16.21%	0.0596	✗	1.74
2026-09-12	oos	4.217	4.1712	-1.09%	4.8145	+14.17%	0.0565	✗	1.74
2026-09-11	oos	4.353	4.2974	-1.28%	4.7725	+9.64%	0.0246	✗	1.73
2026-09-10	oos	4.2905	4.246	-1.04%	4.816	+12.25%	0.1302	✗	1.74
2026-09-09	oos	4.5275	4.4538	-1.63%	4.605	+1.71%	0.0812	✗	1.73
2026-09-08	oos	4.826	4.7299	-1.99%	4.0195	-16.71%	0.0973	✓	1.76
2026-09-07	oos	4.7225	4.6412	-1.72%	4.3875	-7.09%	0.0353	✓	1.79
2026-09-06	oos	4.516	4.4595	-1.25%	4.1115	-8.96%	0.0024	✓	1.75
2026-09-05	oos	4.754	4.6853	-1.45%	4.217	-11.30%	0.0480	✓	1.75
2026-09-04	oos	4.823	4.7431	-1.66%	4.353	-9.74%	0.0331	✓	1.68
2026-09-03	oos	4.441	4.4035	-0.85%	4.2905	-3.39%	0.0794	✗	1.76
2026-09-02	oos	3.792	3.7731	-0.50%	4.5275	+19.40%	0.1630	✗	1.54
2026-09-01	oos	3.52	3.5067	-0.38%	4.826	+37.10%	0.2981	✗	1.58
2026-08-31	oos	3.565	3.5543	-0.30%	4.7225	+32.47%	0.2748	✗	1.39
2026-08-30	oos	3.531	3.5107	-0.57%	4.516	+27.90%	0.2203	✗	0.93
2026-08-29	oos	3.554	3.5382	-0.45%	4.754	+33.76%	0.2764	✗	0.94
2026-08-28	oos	3.497	3.4764	-0.59%	4.823	+37.92%	0.3056	✗	0.94
2026-08-27	oos	3.711	3.6939	-0.46%	4.441	+19.67%	0.1730	✗	0.91
2026-08-26	oos	3.453	3.4192	-0.98%	3.792	+9.82%	0.1231	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	3.285	3.2424	-1.30%	3.52	+7.15%	0.0948	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	3.401	3.3577	-1.27%	3.565	+4.82%	0.0646	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	3.578	3.516	-1.73%	3.531	-1.31%	0.0051	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	3.187	3.14	-1.47%	3.554	+11.52%	0.1091	✗	0.97
2026-08-21	oos	3.128	3.0852	-1.37%	3.497	+11.80%	0.1315	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	2.669	2.6166	-1.96%	3.711	+39.04%	0.2703	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	2.602	2.5342	-2.61%	3.453	+32.71%	0.1762	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	2.359	2.2975	-2.61%	3.285	+39.25%	0.1685	✗	0.97
2026-08-17	oos	2.332	2.2698	-2.67%	3.401	+45.84%	0.1986	✗	1.01
2026-08-16	oos	2.276	2.2174	-2.58%	3.578	+57.21%	0.2603	✗	1.03
2026-08-15	oos	2.266	2.209	-2.52%	3.187	+40.64%	0.1629	✗	1.01
2026-08-14	oos	2.234	2.1802	-2.41%	3.128	+40.02%	0.1390	✗	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	2.271	2.2172	-2.37%	2.669	+17.53%	0.0439	✗	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	2.335	2.2786	-2.41%	2.602	+11.43%	0.0393	✗	1.05
2026-08-11	oos	2.418	2.3561	-2.56%	2.359	-2.44%	0.0174	✓	1.04
2026-08-10	oos	2.383	2.3235	-2.50%	2.332	-2.14%	0.0056	✓	1.05
2026-08-09	oos	2.304	2.2502	-2.33%	2.276	-1.22%	0.0460	✗	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	2.282	2.2317	-2.20%	2.266	-0.70%	0.0479	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	2.2975	2.2464	-2.22%	2.234	-2.76%	0.0270	✗	1.09
2026-08-06	oos	2.371	2.3125	-2.47%	2.271	-4.22%	0.0036	✓	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	2.186	2.1414	-2.04%	2.335	+6.82%	0.1073	✗	1.12
2026-08-04	oos	2.056	2.0192	-1.79%	2.418	+17.61%	0.1890	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	2.0035	1.9712	-1.61%	2.383	+18.94%	0.1822	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	2.038	2.0047	-1.63%	2.304	+13.05%	0.1162	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	2.018	1.9891	-1.43%	2.282	+13.08%	0.1016	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	2.068	2.0363	-1.53%	2.2975	+11.10%	0.0861	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	2.281	2.2348	-2.03%	2.371	+3.95%	0.0661	✗	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	2.179	2.1389	-1.84%	2.186	+0.32%	0.0112	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	2.301	2.2518	-2.14%	2.056	-10.65%	0.0940	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	2.129	2.0902	-1.82%	2.0035	-5.89%	0.0390	✓	0.93
2026-07-26	oos	2.145	2.1031	-1.95%	2.038	-4.99%	0.0053	✓	0.92
2026-07-25	oos	2.064	2.0285	-1.72%	2.018	-2.23%	0.0173	✓	0.93
2026-07-24	oos	2.0315	1.9975	-1.68%	2.068	+1.80%	0.0528	✗	0.91
2026-07-23	oos	2.1585	2.1168	-1.93%	2.281	+5.68%	0.0792	✗	0.88
2026-07-22	oos	2.305	2.2567	-2.10%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0065	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	2.344	2.2906	-2.28%	2.301	-1.83%	0.0391	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	2.179	2.1299	-2.25%	2.129	-2.29%	0.0177	✓	0.77
2026-07-19	oos	2.209	2.1562	-2.39%	2.145	-2.90%	0.0130	✓	0.77
2026-07-18	oos	2.257	2.2006	-2.50%	2.064	-8.55%	0.0583	✓	0.75
2026-07-17	oos	2.288	2.227	-2.67%	2.0315	-11.21%	0.0943	✓	0.84
2026-07-16	oos	2.285	2.2217	-2.77%	2.1585	-5.54%	0.0462	✓	0.87
2026-07-15	oos	2.414	2.3413	-3.01%	2.305	-4.52%	0.0330	✓	0.83
2026-07-14	oos	2.595	2.4989	-3.70%	2.344	-9.67%	0.0830	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	2.305	2.2217	-3.62%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0523	✓	0.71
2026-07-12	oos	2.63	2.5326	-3.70%	2.209	-16.01%	0.1459	✓	0.63
2026-07-11	oos	2.577	2.4853	-3.56%	2.257	-12.42%	0.1064	✓	0.63
2026-07-10	oos	2.688	2.5868	-3.76%	2.288	-14.88%	0.1202	✓	0.70
2026-07-09	oos	2.396	2.3217	-3.10%	2.285	-4.63%	0.0221	✓	0.66
2026-07-08	oos	2.3285	2.2608	-2.91%	2.414	+3.67%	0.0380	✗	0.71
2026-07-07	oos	2.459	2.3879	-2.89%	2.595	+5.53%	0.0655	✗	0.68
2026-07-06	oos	2.578	2.4953	-3.21%	2.305	-10.59%	0.0604	✓	0.69
2026-07-05	oos	2.462	2.3887	-2.98%	2.63	+6.82%	0.0945	✗	0.69
2026-07-04	oos	2.199	2.148	-2.32%	2.577	+17.19%	0.1749	✗	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	2.118	2.0711	-2.21%	2.688	+26.91%	0.2440	✗	0.66
2026-07-02	oos	2.067	2.0188	-2.33%	2.396	+15.92%	0.1536	✗	0.65
2026-07-01	oos	2.074	2.0088	-3.15%	2.3285	+12.27%	0.1225	✗	0.68
2026-06-30	oos	1.85	1.8061	-2.37%	2.459	+32.92%	0.2632	✗	0.58
2026-06-29	oos	1.861	1.8155	-2.44%	2.578	+38.53%	0.3150	✗	0.58
2026-06-28	oos	1.731	1.6936	-2.16%	2.462	+42.23%	0.3346	✗	0.59
2026-06-27	oos	1.72	1.6819	-2.22%	2.199	+27.85%	0.2385	✗	0.58
2026-06-26	oos	1.825	1.7775	-2.60%	2.118	+16.05%	0.1513	✗	0.58
2026-06-25	oos	1.609	1.5745	-2.15%	2.067	+28.46%	0.2557	✗	0.56
2026-06-24	oos	1.697	1.6478	-2.90%	2.074	+22.22%	0.2394	✗	0.55
2026-06-23	oos	1.504	1.4619	-2.80%	1.85	+23.01%	0.2845	✗	0.72
2026-06-22	oos	1.611	1.5591	-3.22%	1.861	+15.52%	0.2184	✗	0.68
2026-06-21	oos	1.567	1.518	-3.12%	1.731	+10.47%	0.1722	✗	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	1.558	1.5072	-3.26%	1.72	+10.40%	0.1766	✗	0.64
2026-06-19	oos	1.544	1.4936	-3.26%	1.825	+18.20%	0.2392	✗	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	1.613	1.5596	-3.31%	1.609	-0.25%	0.0678	✗	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	1.72	1.6605	-3.46%	1.697	-1.34%	0.0571	✗	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	1.734	1.6726	-3.54%	1.504	-13.26%	0.0765	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	1.688	1.6281	-3.55%	1.611	-4.56%	0.0143	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	1.684	1.6226	-3.64%	1.567	-6.95%	0.0095	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	1.629	1.5699	-3.63%	1.558	-4.36%	0.0054	✓	0.69
2026-06-12	oos	1.537	1.4825	-3.54%	1.544	+0.46%	0.0413	✗	0.65
2026-06-11	oos	1.558	1.4996	-3.75%	1.613	+3.53%	0.0799	✗	0.65
2026-06-10	oos	1.392	1.3527	-2.82%	1.72	+23.56%	0.2137	✗	0.56
2026-06-09	oos	1.584	1.5288	-3.48%	1.734	+9.47%	0.0914	✗	0.56
2026-06-08	oos	1.467	1.4201	-3.20%	1.688	+15.06%	0.1427	✗	0.61
2026-06-07	oos	1.433	1.3882	-3.12%	1.684	+17.52%	0.1701	✗	0.62
2026-06-06	oos	1.425	1.3941	-2.17%	1.629	+14.32%	0.1204	✗	0.62
2026-06-05	oos	1.503	1.4629	-2.67%	1.537	+2.26%	0.0227	✓	0.66
2026-06-04	oos	1.466	1.4217	-3.02%	1.558	+6.28%	0.0943	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	1.781	1.7013	-4.47%	1.392	-21.84%	0.1698	✓	0.75
2026-06-02	oos	1.606	1.5335	-4.52%	1.584	-1.37%	0.1069	✗	0.96
2026-06-01	oos	1.336	1.2877	-3.62%	1.467	+9.81%	0.3049	✗	1.42
2026-05-31	oos	1.377	1.3208	-4.08%	1.433	+4.07%	0.2980	✗	1.44
2026-05-30	oos	1.3695	1.3098	-4.36%	1.425	+4.05%	0.3463	✗	1.36
2026-05-29	oos	1.262	1.205	-4.52%	1.503	+19.10%	0.4687	✗	1.35
2026-05-28	oos	1.174	1.1298	-3.77%	1.466	+24.87%	0.4518	✗	1.35
2026-05-27	oos	1.128	1.0868	-3.65%	1.781	+57.89%	0.6992	✗	1.38
2026-05-26	oos	1.184	1.1395	-3.76%	1.606	+35.64%	0.5198	✗	1.37
2026-05-25	oos	1.384	1.3247	-4.28%	1.336	-3.47%	0.1060	✗	1.22
2026-05-24	oos	1.295	1.2393	-4.30%	1.377	+6.33%	0.1598	✗	1.21
2026-05-23	oos	1.2265	1.1765	-4.08%	1.3695	+11.66%	0.1973	✗	1.19
2026-05-22	oos	1.186	1.1372	-4.11%	1.262	+6.41%	0.1372	✗	1.18
2026-05-21	oos	1.431	1.3467	-5.89%	1.174	-17.96%	0.0796	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	1.278	1.2063	-5.61%	1.128	-11.74%	0.0218	✓	1.09
2026-05-19	oos	1.134	1.0772	-5.01%	1.184	+4.41%	0.1078	✗	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.954	0.919372	-3.63%	1.384	+45.07%	0.4046	✗	1.12
2026-05-17	oos	0.8635	0.84197	-2.49%	1.295	+49.97%	0.4370	✗	1.15
2026-05-16	oos	0.8775	0.85475	-2.59%	1.2265	+39.77%	0.3828	✗	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.857	0.835185	-2.55%	1.186	+38.39%	0.4045	✗	1.15
2026-05-14	oos	0.915	0.891001	-2.62%	1.431	+56.39%	0.5245	✗	1.14
2026-05-13	oos	0.898	0.877621	-2.27%	1.278	+42.32%	0.4037	✗	1.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.9265	0.908627	-1.93%	1.134	+22.40%	0.2780	✗	1.19
2026-05-11	oos	0.9995	0.981325	-1.82%	0.954	-4.55%	0.0424	✗	1.17
2026-05-10	oos	1.059	1.04	-1.79%	0.8635	-18.46%	0.1155	✓	1.17
2026-05-09	oos	1.053	1.0315	-2.04%	0.8775	-16.67%	0.1237	✓	1.18
2026-05-08	oos	1.077	1.0526	-2.27%	0.857	-20.43%	0.1888	✓	1.18
2026-05-07	oos	0.989	0.967831	-2.14%	0.915	-7.48%	0.0718	✓	1.17
2026-05-06	oos	0.954	0.938775	-1.60%	0.898	-5.87%	0.0114	✓	1.23
2026-05-05	oos	0.966	0.951968	-1.45%	0.9265	-4.09%	0.0217	✓	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.906	0.89374	-1.35%	0.9995	+10.32%	0.0890	✗	0.99
2026-05-03	oos	0.923	0.90821	-1.60%	1.059	+14.73%	0.1081	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.908	0.892298	-1.73%	1.053	+15.97%	0.1404	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.903	0.887613	-1.70%	1.077	+19.27%	0.1683	✗	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.8845	0.867116	-1.97%	0.989	+11.81%	0.0826	✗	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.9475	0.924732	-2.40%	0.954	+0.69%	0.0438	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.897	0.876707	-2.26%	0.966	+7.69%	0.0311	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8635	0.846469	-1.97%	0.906	+4.92%	0.0320	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.913	0.896232	-1.84%	0.923	+1.10%	0.0311	✗	1.15
2026-04-25	oos	0.93	0.908516	-2.31%	0.908	-2.37%	0.0160	✓	1.17
2026-04-24	oos	0.9475	0.926463	-2.22%	0.903	-4.70%	0.0375	✓	1.20
2026-04-23	oos	0.9245	0.906316	-1.97%	0.8845	-4.33%	0.0063	✓	1.20
2026-04-22	oos	0.8805	0.868309	-1.38%	0.9475	+7.61%	0.1254	✗	1.20
2026-04-21	oos	0.8975	0.884069	-1.50%	0.897	-0.06%	0.0150	✓	1.21
2026-04-20	oos	0.9005	0.88424	-1.81%	0.8635	-4.11%	0.0475	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.89	0.870532	-2.19%	0.913	+2.58%	0.0287	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.976	0.958897	-1.75%	0.93	-4.71%	0.0603	✓	1.19
2026-04-17	oos	1.0495	1.0325	-1.62%	0.9475	-9.72%	0.0916	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	1.043	1.0225	-1.96%	0.9245	-11.36%	0.1494	✓	1.20
2026-04-15	oos	1.0425	1.0204	-2.12%	0.8805	-15.54%	0.2001	✓	1.19
2026-04-14	oos	1.0235	1.0015	-2.15%	0.8975	-12.31%	0.1441	✓	1.19
2026-04-13	oos	1.1435	1.1177	-2.25%	0.9005	-21.25%	0.2386	✓	1.19
2026-04-12	oos	1.094	1.0667	-2.50%	0.89	-18.65%	0.2321	✓	1.20
2026-04-11	oos	1.206	1.1759	-2.50%	0.976	-19.07%	0.2284	✓	1.18
2026-04-10	oos	1.136	1.1109	-2.21%	1.0495	-7.61%	0.1213	✓	1.18
2026-04-09	oos	1.016	0.999298	-1.64%	1.043	+2.66%	0.0102	✓	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.999	0.983938	-1.51%	1.0425	+4.35%	0.0016	✓	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	1.073	1.0565	-1.54%	1.0235	-4.61%	0.0674	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	1.0245	1.0061	-1.80%	1.1435	+11.62%	0.0382	✗	1.15
2026-04-05	oos	1.0095	0.994464	-1.49%	1.094	+8.37%	0.0666	✗	1.15
2026-04-04	oos	0.986	0.974054	-1.21%	1.206	+22.31%	0.1185	✗	1.15
2026-04-03	oos	0.989	0.979728	-0.94%	1.136	+14.86%	0.0486	✗	1.15
2026-04-02	oos	0.949	0.941377	-0.80%	1.016	+7.06%	0.0050	✓	1.15
2026-04-01	oos	0.889	0.888221	-0.09%	0.999	+12.37%	0.0678	✗	1.16
2026-03-31	oos	0.871	0.872285	+0.15%	1.073	+23.19%	0.1459	✓	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.8075	0.813252	+0.71%	1.0245	+26.87%	0.1952	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.8265	0.834329	+0.95%	1.0095	+22.14%	0.1386	✓	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.8575	0.86601	+0.99%	0.986	+14.99%	0.1130	✓	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.8825	0.891063	+0.97%	0.989	+12.07%	0.0938	✓	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.912	0.918897	+0.76%	0.949	+4.06%	0.0642	✓	1.16
2026-03-25	oos	0.9945	1.0008	+0.64%	0.889	-10.61%	0.0663	✗	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	1.0085	1.015	+0.65%	0.871	-13.63%	0.1149	✗	1.15
2026-03-23	oos	0.954	0.961496	+0.79%	0.8075	-15.36%	0.1057	✗	1.15
2026-03-22	oos	0.9405	0.948361	+0.84%	0.8265	-12.12%	0.1047	✗	1.17
2026-03-21	oos	1.052	1.0581	+0.58%	0.8575	-18.49%	0.1660	✗	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	1.064	1.0713	+0.69%	0.8825	-17.06%	0.1238	✗	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	1.1945	1.2006	+0.51%	0.912	-23.65%	0.2554	✗	1.18
2026-03-18	oos	1.213	1.2179	+0.40%	0.9945	-18.01%	0.2036	✗	1.18
2026-03-17	oos	1.296	1.2989	+0.22%	1.0085	-22.18%	0.1979	✗	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	1.1645	1.1716	+0.61%	0.954	-18.08%	0.1402	✗	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	1.087	1.0951	+0.75%	0.9405	-13.48%	0.0694	✗	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	1.107	1.1157	+0.78%	1.052	-4.97%	0.0196	✗	1.18
2026-03-13	oos	1.0995	1.1085	+0.82%	1.064	-3.23%	0.0335	✗	1.18
2026-03-12	oos	1.1525	1.1606	+0.70%	1.1945	+3.64%	0.0392	✓	1.19
2026-03-11	oos	1.0715	1.0801	+0.80%	1.213	+13.21%	0.0987	✓	1.18
2026-03-10	oos	1.055	1.0636	+0.82%	1.296	+22.84%	0.1325	✓	1.18
2026-03-09	oos	1.021	1.0301	+0.90%	1.1645	+14.05%	0.0168	✓	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	1.019	1.029	+0.98%	1.087	+6.67%	0.0636	✗	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	1.13	1.1376	+0.67%	1.107	-2.04%	0.0952	✗	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	1.14	1.1472	+0.64%	1.0995	-3.55%	0.0908	✗	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	1.2085	1.2135	+0.42%	1.1525	-4.63%	0.0457	✗	1.18
2026-03-04	oos	1.373	1.3748	+0.13%	1.0715	-21.96%	0.2093	✗	1.15
2026-03-03	oos	1.301	1.3055	+0.34%	1.055	-18.91%	0.2405	✗	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	1.357	1.36	+0.22%	1.021	-24.76%	0.2799	✗	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	1.359	1.3627	+0.27%	1.019	-25.02%	0.2944	✗	1.22
2026-02-28	oos	1.38	1.3822	+0.16%	1.13	-18.12%	0.2068	✗	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	1.358	1.3607	+0.20%	1.14	-16.05%	0.2181	✗	1.22
2026-02-26	oos	1.4295	1.4292	-0.02%	1.2085	-15.46%	0.2276	✓	1.22
2026-02-25	oos	1.456	1.4535	-0.17%	1.373	-5.70%	0.1382	✓	1.22
2026-02-24	oos	1.4305	1.4316	+0.08%	1.301	-9.05%	0.1790	✗	1.29
2026-02-23	oos	1.386	1.3875	+0.11%	1.357	-2.09%	0.1037	✗	1.29
2026-02-22	oos	1.4465	1.4436	-0.20%	1.359	-6.05%	0.0244	✓	1.30
2026-02-21	oos	1.514	1.5085	-0.36%	1.38	-8.85%	0.0700	✓	1.30
2026-02-20	oos	1.532	1.5253	-0.44%	1.358	-11.36%	0.0747	✓	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	1.476	1.4713	-0.32%	1.4295	-3.15%	0.0389	✓	1.30
2026-02-18	oos	1.445	1.4415	-0.24%	1.456	+0.76%	0.0204	✓	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	1.591	1.5813	-0.61%	1.4305	-10.09%	0.0335	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	1.687	1.671	-0.95%	1.386	-17.84%	0.1056	✓	1.28
2026-02-15	oos	1.68	1.6623	-1.05%	1.4465	-13.90%	0.1170	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	1.645	1.627	-1.09%	1.514	-7.96%	0.0378	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	1.5985	1.5838	-0.92%	1.532	-4.16%	0.0212	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	1.426	1.4256	-0.03%	1.476	+3.51%	0.0233	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	1.418	1.418	-0.00%	1.445	+1.90%	0.0280	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	1.471	1.466	-0.34%	1.591	+8.16%	0.1014	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	1.547	1.5368	-0.66%	1.687	+9.05%	0.1112	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	1.62	1.6077	-0.76%	1.68	+3.70%	0.0654	✗	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	1.63	1.6261	-0.24%	1.645	+0.92%	0.0038	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	1.664	1.6581	-0.36%	1.5985	-3.94%	0.0120	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	1.436	1.4928	+3.95%	1.426	-0.70%	0.0988	✗	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	1.576	1.5817	+0.36%	1.418	-10.03%	0.0239	✗	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	1.482	1.4887	+0.45%	1.471	-0.74%	0.0831	✓	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	1.593	1.5787	-0.90%	1.547	-2.89%	0.0950	✗	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	1.512	1.518	+0.40%	1.62	+7.14%	0.1550	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	1.564	1.5594	-0.29%	1.63	+4.22%	0.1716	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	1.723	1.6857	-2.16%	1.664	-3.42%	0.1631	✗	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	1.612	1.5815	-1.89%	1.436	-10.92%	0.2006	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	1.99	1.9312	-2.95%	1.576	-20.80%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	1.939	1.884	-2.84%	1.482	-23.57%	0.0763	✓	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	1.708	1.6683	-2.33%	1.593	-6.73%	0.0688	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	1.5775	1.546	-2.00%	1.512	-4.15%	0.0962	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	1.806	1.762	-2.44%	1.564	-13.40%	0.0054	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.