KAT

Katana · Base · gru_s6

token id: #157
symbol: KAT
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0xd5390300c5db71f80d46f0fa9983fc72d4d1e3da
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-18
predictions: 627

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

179

of 209 predictions shown

direction hit

88.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1218

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0670

actual -0.1638

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004091	0.003826	-6.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-20	oos	0.00408	0.003833	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.003988	0.003736	-6.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.003837	0.003588	-6.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.004005	0.003719	-7.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-16	oos	0.004156	0.003851	-7.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-15	oos	0.004154	0.003847	-7.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.00421	0.003919	-6.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-13	oos	0.004313	0.00408	-5.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-12	oos	0.00438	0.004105	-6.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-11	oos	0.004635	0.004373	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-10	oos	0.004614	0.004348	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-09	oos	0.004588	0.004349	-5.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-08	oos	0.004441	0.004218	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.004618	0.0044	-4.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-06	oos	0.004724	0.004553	-3.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-05	oos	0.004836	0.004666	-3.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-04	oos	0.004805	0.004673	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-03	oos	0.004783	0.004605	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-02	oos	0.004798	0.004659	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-01	oos	0.004947	0.004798	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.005049	0.004855	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-29	oos	0.00486	0.004717	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.004899	0.004762	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-27	oos	0.005221	0.005055	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-26	oos	0.005144	0.005006	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-25	oos	0.005188	0.005064	-2.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-24	oos	0.005001	0.004956	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-23	oos	0.004896	0.004893	-0.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.005103	0.005136	+0.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-21	oos	0.004902	0.004995	+1.89%	0.004091	-16.55%	0.1537	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004699	0.004654	-0.97%	0.00408	-13.16%	0.1534	✓	1.01
2026-09-19	oos	0.004719	0.004686	-0.70%	0.003988	-15.49%	0.1688	✓	1.01
2026-09-18	oos	0.004691	0.004658	-0.69%	0.003837	-18.21%	0.2084	✓	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.004315	0.004204	-2.57%	0.004005	-7.20%	0.1120	✓	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.00421	0.004121	-2.11%	0.004156	-1.27%	0.0598	✓	1.01
2026-09-15	oos	0.004137	0.004038	-2.37%	0.004154	+0.41%	0.0569	✓	1.02
2026-09-14	oos	0.004399	0.004335	-1.46%	0.00421	-4.30%	0.0714	✓	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.004472	0.004341	-2.95%	0.004313	-3.58%	0.0858	✓	1.01
2026-09-12	oos	0.00477	0.004635	-2.83%	0.00438	-8.18%	0.1125	✓	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.004781	0.004665	-2.42%	0.004635	-3.03%	0.0845	✓	0.97
2026-09-10	oos	0.004846	0.004689	-3.23%	0.004614	-4.78%	0.0920	✓	0.95
2026-09-09	oos	0.006317	0.005878	-6.94%	0.004588	-27.37%	0.2887	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.004799	0.004694	-2.20%	0.004441	-7.48%	0.0870	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.004647	0.004553	-2.02%	0.004618	-0.65%	0.0257	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.004747	0.004748	+0.02%	0.004724	-0.48%	0.0458	✗	0.65
2026-09-05	oos	0.004658	0.004665	+0.15%	0.004836	+3.82%	0.0097	✗	0.64
2026-09-04	oos	0.004648	0.004658	+0.21%	0.004805	+3.38%	0.0219	✗	0.64
2026-09-03	oos	0.004535	0.004629	+2.08%	0.004783	+5.46%	0.0042	✓	0.68
2026-09-02	oos	0.004436	0.004376	-1.36%	0.004798	+8.16%	0.0213	✗	0.80
2026-09-01	oos	0.004487	0.004446	-0.91%	0.004947	+10.25%	0.0318	✗	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.004692	0.004702	+0.22%	0.005049	+7.62%	0.0253	✓	0.74
2026-08-30	oos	0.004442	0.004407	-0.79%	0.00486	+9.41%	0.0373	✗	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.004496	0.004466	-0.67%	0.004899	+8.96%	0.0417	✗	0.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.004483	0.004476	-0.14%	0.005221	+16.48%	0.0897	✗	0.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.004649	0.004778	+2.78%	0.005144	+10.66%	0.0345	✓	0.78
2026-08-26	oos	0.004582	0.004653	+1.53%	0.005188	+13.20%	0.0605	✓	0.78
2026-08-25	oos	0.004442	0.004501	+1.32%	0.005001	+12.58%	0.0488	✓	0.79
2026-08-24	oos	0.004572	0.004662	+1.99%	0.004896	+7.10%	0.0028	✓	0.78
2026-08-23	oos	0.004738	0.004772	+0.71%	0.005103	+7.70%	0.0169	✗	0.81
2026-08-22	oos	0.004697	0.004709	+0.25%	0.004902	+4.38%	0.0545	✗	0.81
2026-08-21	oos	0.004902	0.004967	+1.32%	0.004699	-4.14%	0.0838	✗	0.80
2026-08-20	oos	0.004634	0.004472	-3.50%	0.004719	+1.82%	0.0321	✓	0.80
2026-08-19	oos	0.004476	0.004206	-6.03%	0.004691	+4.79%	0.0193	✓	0.83
2026-08-18	oos	0.004288	0.003983	-7.13%	0.004315	+0.62%	0.0611	✓	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.004303	0.003981	-7.48%	0.00421	-2.16%	0.0866	✓	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.00443	0.00408	-7.89%	0.004137	-6.61%	0.1530	✓	0.90
2026-08-15	oos	0.004304	0.003972	-7.72%	0.004399	+2.21%	0.0922	✓	0.90
2026-08-14	oos	0.004249	0.003922	-7.69%	0.004472	+5.26%	0.0490	✓	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.00435	0.004019	-7.62%	0.00477	+9.66%	0.0064	✓	0.90
2026-08-12	oos	0.004339	0.004029	-7.15%	0.004781	+10.18%	0.0095	✓	0.92
2026-08-11	oos	0.00446	0.00414	-7.17%	0.004846	+8.65%	0.0121	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0046	0.004284	-6.87%	0.006317	+37.32%	0.1985	✗	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.00473	0.004412	-6.72%	0.004799	+1.47%	0.0963	✓	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.00462	0.004328	-6.33%	0.004647	+0.60%	0.1150	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.0046	0.004304	-6.42%	0.004747	+3.20%	0.1032	✓	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.00454	0.004228	-6.86%	0.004658	+2.60%	0.1088	✓	0.95
2026-08-05	oos	0.004415	0.004098	-7.19%	0.004648	+5.28%	0.0749	✓	0.96
2026-08-04	oos	0.00448	0.00414	-7.60%	0.004535	+1.23%	0.1378	✓	0.96
2026-08-03	oos	0.00438	0.004048	-7.59%	0.004436	+1.28%	0.0976	✓	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.0043	0.003985	-7.32%	0.004487	+4.35%	0.0639	✓	0.92
2026-08-01	oos	0.0043	0.003978	-7.48%	0.004692	+9.10%	0.0498	✓	0.96
2026-07-31	oos	0.00439	0.004077	-7.14%	0.004442	+1.18%	0.1169	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.004425	0.004134	-6.59%	0.004496	+1.60%	0.1022	✓	0.98
2026-07-29	oos	0.00425	0.003985	-6.24%	0.004483	+5.47%	0.0553	✓	0.88
2026-07-28	oos	0.00455	0.00426	-6.38%	0.004649	+2.18%	0.1131	✓	0.88
2026-07-27	oos	0.004485	0.004214	-6.04%	0.004582	+2.17%	0.1059	✓	0.88
2026-07-26	oos	0.004775	0.00451	-5.55%	0.004442	-6.97%	0.1700	✓	0.84
2026-07-25	oos	0.004795	0.004534	-5.45%	0.004572	-4.66%	0.1713	✓	0.87
2026-07-24	oos	0.0048	0.004544	-5.33%	0.004738	-1.29%	0.1026	✓	0.75
2026-07-23	oos	0.004675	0.004463	-4.53%	0.004697	+0.47%	0.0679	✓	0.70
2026-07-22	oos	0.0048	0.004633	-3.47%	0.004902	+2.13%	0.0342	✓	0.53
2026-07-21	oos	0.004875	0.004716	-3.25%	0.004634	-4.93%	0.0708	✓	0.57
2026-07-20	oos	0.004805	0.004642	-3.39%	0.004476	-6.85%	0.0693	✓	0.54
2026-07-19	oos	0.004695	0.004549	-3.11%	0.004288	-8.66%	0.0590	✓	0.53
2026-07-18	oos	0.004765	0.004639	-2.64%	0.004303	-9.70%	0.0724	✓	0.58
2026-07-17	oos	0.004805	0.004682	-2.55%	0.00443	-7.81%	0.0451	✓	0.62
2026-07-16	oos	0.005075	0.00493	-2.86%	0.004304	-15.19%	0.1284	✓	0.62
2026-07-15	oos	0.0048	0.004688	-2.33%	0.004249	-11.48%	0.0780	✓	0.75
2026-07-14	oos	0.00488	0.004768	-2.30%	0.00435	-10.86%	0.0733	✓	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.004965	0.004838	-2.57%	0.004339	-12.61%	0.1240	✓	0.83
2026-07-12	oos	0.005055	0.004932	-2.44%	0.00446	-11.77%	0.0978	✓	0.84
2026-07-11	oos	0.00542	0.005282	-2.55%	0.0046	-15.13%	0.1400	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.00554	0.005383	-2.83%	0.00473	-14.62%	0.1394	✓	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	0.004945	0.00487	-1.51%	0.00462	-6.57%	0.0756	✓	0.84
2026-07-08	oos	0.00459	0.00455	-0.88%	0.0046	+0.22%	0.0227	✓	0.81
2026-07-07	oos	0.00479	0.004749	-0.86%	0.00454	-5.22%	0.0567	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.00505	0.004982	-1.34%	0.004415	-12.57%	0.1282	✓	0.78
2026-07-05	oos	0.005025	0.004959	-1.32%	0.00448	-10.85%	0.1074	✓	0.80
2026-07-04	oos	0.005155	0.005071	-1.63%	0.00438	-15.03%	0.1513	✓	0.81
2026-07-03	oos	0.0051	0.005017	-1.62%	0.0043	-15.69%	0.1659	✓	0.75
2026-07-02	oos	0.005045	0.004969	-1.50%	0.0043	-14.77%	0.1602	✓	0.76
2026-07-01	oos	0.00497	0.004893	-1.56%	0.00439	-11.67%	0.1436	✓	0.75
2026-06-30	oos	0.00485	0.004784	-1.36%	0.004425	-8.76%	0.1574	✓	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.004885	0.004818	-1.38%	0.00425	-13.00%	0.1739	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	0.004875	0.004807	-1.40%	0.00455	-6.67%	0.1090	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.005075	0.004985	-1.78%	0.004485	-11.63%	0.1509	✓	0.75
2026-06-26	oos	0.00494	0.00486	-1.61%	0.004775	-3.34%	0.0818	✓	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.00484	0.004776	-1.32%	0.004795	-0.93%	0.0514	✓	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.005135	0.005041	-1.84%	0.0048	-6.52%	0.0881	✓	0.79
2026-06-23	oos	0.005345	0.005223	-2.28%	0.004675	-12.54%	0.1334	✓	0.60
2026-06-22	oos	0.005355	0.005221	-2.50%	0.0048	-10.36%	0.1047	✓	0.63
2026-06-21	oos	0.00541	0.005272	-2.55%	0.004875	-9.89%	0.1108	✓	0.64
2026-06-20	oos	0.00582	0.005595	-3.86%	0.004805	-17.44%	0.1626	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.00569	0.005467	-3.92%	0.004695	-17.49%	0.1635	✓	0.60
2026-06-18	oos	0.00533	0.005141	-3.54%	0.004765	-10.60%	0.0942	✓	0.60
2026-06-17	oos	0.00564	0.005373	-4.73%	0.004805	-14.80%	0.1066	✓	0.60
2026-06-16	oos	0.005695	0.005403	-5.12%	0.005075	-10.89%	0.0439	✓	0.66
2026-06-15	oos	0.005765	0.005475	-5.02%	0.0048	-16.74%	0.1160	✓	0.66
2026-06-14	oos	0.00577	0.005488	-4.89%	0.00488	-15.42%	0.1102	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	0.00589	0.005556	-5.66%	0.004965	-15.70%	0.0896	✓	0.67
2026-06-12	oos	0.00628	0.005826	-7.22%	0.005055	-19.51%	0.1442	✓	0.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.00671	0.006102	-9.07%	0.00542	-19.23%	0.1208	✓	0.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.00679	0.006141	-9.56%	0.00554	-18.41%	0.1343	✓	0.73
2026-06-09	oos	0.00619	0.005689	-8.09%	0.004945	-20.11%	0.1579	✓	0.74
2026-06-08	oos	0.00539	0.005063	-6.07%	0.00459	-14.84%	0.0870	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0052	0.004905	-5.68%	0.00479	-7.88%	0.0239	✓	0.84
2026-06-06	oos	0.00506	0.004815	-4.84%	0.00505	-0.20%	0.0054	✓	0.84
2026-06-05	oos	0.00521	0.004935	-5.28%	0.005025	-3.55%	0.0162	✓	0.84
2026-06-04	oos	0.00584	0.00539	-7.71%	0.005155	-11.73%	0.0361	✓	0.74
2026-06-03	oos	0.00661	0.005987	-9.42%	0.0051	-22.84%	0.1429	✓	0.73
2026-06-02	oos	0.00654	0.005891	-9.92%	0.005045	-22.86%	0.0909	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.00727	0.00641	-11.84%	0.00497	-31.64%	0.1387	✓	0.67
2026-05-31	oos	0.007225	0.006371	-11.82%	0.00485	-32.87%	0.1099	✓	0.71
2026-05-30	oos	0.007175	0.00634	-11.64%	0.004885	-31.92%	0.1152	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.007195	0.006352	-11.72%	0.004875	-32.24%	0.1148	✓	0.71
2026-05-28	oos	0.00722	0.006399	-11.38%	0.005075	-29.71%	0.0859	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.00769	0.006773	-11.92%	0.00494	-35.76%	0.1679	✓	0.69
2026-05-26	oos	0.00782	0.006883	-11.98%	0.00484	-38.11%	0.1865	✓	0.69
2026-05-25	oos	0.008245	0.007255	-12.01%	0.005135	-37.72%	0.1889	✓	0.66
2026-05-24	oos	0.00813	0.007104	-12.62%	0.005345	-34.26%	0.1483	✓	0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.008385	0.007329	-12.59%	0.005355	-36.14%	0.1934	✓	0.66
2026-05-22	oos	0.00805	0.007092	-11.90%	0.00541	-32.80%	0.1577	✓	0.64
2026-05-21	oos	0.00854	0.00748	-12.42%	0.00582	-31.85%	0.1393	✓	0.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.00854	0.007442	-12.85%	0.00569	-33.37%	0.1505	✓	0.59
2026-05-19	oos	0.00841	0.007379	-12.27%	0.00533	-36.62%	0.2082	✓	0.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.00821	0.007217	-12.09%	0.00564	-31.30%	0.1417	✓	0.59
2026-05-17	oos	0.00824	0.00729	-11.53%	0.005695	-30.89%	0.1488	✓	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.00863	0.00769	-10.89%	0.005765	-33.20%	0.1935	✓	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.00865	0.007738	-10.54%	0.00577	-33.29%	0.1856	✓	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.00909	0.008231	-9.45%	0.00589	-35.20%	0.2098	✓	0.54
2026-05-13	oos	0.00904	0.008123	-10.14%	0.00628	-30.53%	0.1368	✓	0.54
2026-05-12	oos	0.00985	0.008914	-9.51%	0.00671	-31.88%	0.1707	✓	0.48
2026-05-11	oos	0.01041	0.009498	-8.76%	0.00679	-34.77%	0.2107	✓	0.44
2026-05-10	oos	0.01024	0.009375	-8.44%	0.00619	-39.55%	0.2866	✓	0.45
2026-05-09	oos	0.01013	0.009152	-9.66%	0.00539	-46.79%	0.4204	✓	0.44
2026-05-08	oos	0.00975	0.008773	-10.02%	0.0052	-46.67%	0.4199	✓	0.44
2026-05-07	oos	0.00939	0.00843	-10.23%	0.00506	-46.11%	0.3911	✓	0.44
2026-05-06	oos	0.00956	0.008692	-9.08%	0.00521	-45.50%	0.3878	✓	0.43
2026-05-05	oos	0.0094	0.008518	-9.38%	0.00584	-37.87%	0.2764	✓	0.43
2026-05-04	oos	0.01	0.008987	-10.13%	0.00661	-33.90%	0.2051	✓	0.46
2026-05-03	oos	0.00941	0.008375	-11.00%	0.00654	-30.50%	0.1787	✓	0.42
2026-05-02	oos	0.00988	0.008817	-10.75%	0.00727	-26.42%	0.1528	✓	0.41
2026-05-01	oos	0.00985	0.008762	-11.05%	0.007225	-26.65%	0.1679	✓	0.41
2026-04-30	oos	0.01068	0.009368	-12.28%	0.007175	-32.82%	0.2490	✓	0.52
2026-04-29	oos	0.01092	0.009547	-12.57%	0.007195	-34.11%	0.2658	✓	0.53
2026-04-28	oos	0.01151	0.010088	-12.36%	0.00722	-37.27%	0.3154	✓	0.51
2026-04-27	oos	0.01139	0.01007	-11.59%	0.00769	-32.48%	0.2486	✓	0.52
2026-04-26	oos	0.01224	0.010919	-10.79%	0.00782	-36.11%	0.3172	✓	0.45
2026-04-25	oos	0.01554	0.013378	-13.91%	0.008245	-46.94%	0.4808	✓	0.61
2026-04-24	oos	0.02469	0.019586	-20.67%	0.00813	-67.07%	0.8754	✓	0.62
2026-04-23	oos	0.01414	0.012053	-14.76%	0.008385	-40.70%	0.3406	✓	1.06
2026-04-22	oos	0.00937	0.008556	-8.69%	0.00805	-14.09%	0.0214	✓	1.10
2026-04-21	oos	0.009565	0.008584	-10.26%	0.00854	-10.72%	0.0231	✓	1.15
2026-04-20	oos	0.00957	0.008568	-10.47%	0.00854	-10.76%	0.0275	✓	1.15
2026-04-19	oos	0.00903	0.007961	-11.84%	0.00841	-6.87%	0.0121	✓	1.09
2026-04-18	oos	0.00968	0.008687	-10.26%	0.00821	-15.19%	0.0727	✓	1.03
2026-04-17	oos	0.00971	0.008831	-9.06%	0.00824	-15.14%	0.0735	✓	1.06
2026-04-16	oos	0.00858	0.007681	-10.48%	0.00863	+0.58%	0.0781	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.00816	0.007299	-10.55%	0.00865	+6.00%	0.1149	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.00801	0.007145	-10.80%	0.00909	+13.48%	0.1518	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.00829	0.007428	-10.39%	0.00904	+9.05%	0.1333	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.00788	0.006883	-12.65%	0.00985	+25.00%	0.2295	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.00849	0.007538	-11.21%	0.01041	+22.61%	0.2110	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.0086	0.007664	-10.89%	0.01024	+19.07%	0.1711	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.00856	0.007601	-11.21%	0.01013	+18.34%	0.1709	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.00875	0.007744	-11.49%	0.00975	+11.43%	0.1098	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.00898	0.007996	-10.96%	0.00939	+4.57%	0.0540	✓	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.008595	0.007552	-12.14%	0.00956	+11.23%	0.0680	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.00868	0.00767	-11.64%	0.0094	+8.29%	0.0443	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.009165	0.008134	-11.25%	0.01	+9.11%	0.0354	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.0089	0.007943	-10.76%	0.00941	+5.73%	0.0098	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.00903	0.008112	-10.17%	0.00988	+9.41%	0.0349	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.01009	0.009145	-9.37%	0.00985	-2.38%	0.0643	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.01048	0.009555	-8.82%	0.01068	+1.91%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-03-30	oos	0.01104	0.010076	-8.73%	0.01092	-1.09%	0.0463	✓	1.00
2026-03-29	oos	0.01139	0.010436	-8.37%	0.01151	+1.05%	0.0480	✓	1.00
2026-03-28	oos	0.01209	0.011114	-8.07%	0.01139	-5.79%	0.1295	✓	1.00
2026-03-27	oos	0.0119	0.010992	-7.63%	0.01224	+2.86%	0.0628	✓	1.00