KAS

Kaspa · Kaspa · gru_s6

token id: #115
symbol: KAS
variant: –
chain: Kaspa
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-19
predictions: 2,079

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0622

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0073

actual -0.0021

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.037705	0.036819	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-10-20	oos	0.03737	0.036609	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.21
2026-10-19	oos	0.0351	0.034592	-1.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-18	oos	0.035465	0.034938	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-17	oos	0.035295	0.034854	-1.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-16	oos	0.036135	0.035678	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.035945	0.035506	-1.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.03702	0.036545	-1.28%	0.037705	+1.85%	0.0149	✗	1.19
2026-10-13	oos	0.038605	0.03787	-1.90%	0.03737	-3.20%	0.0110	✓	1.18
2026-10-12	oos	0.038425	0.037819	-1.58%	0.0351	-8.65%	0.0760	✓	1.18
2026-10-11	oos	0.041375	0.040369	-2.43%	0.035465	-14.28%	0.1073	✓	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.040775	0.039855	-2.26%	0.035295	-13.44%	0.1013	✓	1.08
2026-10-09	oos	0.0414	0.04046	-2.27%	0.036135	-12.72%	0.0992	✓	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.03917	0.038452	-1.83%	0.035945	-8.23%	0.0731	✓	1.08
2026-10-07	oos	0.040535	0.039503	-2.55%	0.03702	-8.67%	0.0428	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.043225	0.041893	-3.08%	0.038605	-10.69%	0.0519	✓	1.03
2026-10-05	oos	0.04348	0.042068	-3.25%	0.038425	-11.63%	0.0417	✓	1.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.042675	0.04122	-3.41%	0.041375	-3.05%	0.0383	✗	1.04
2026-10-03	oos	0.043115	0.041648	-3.40%	0.040775	-5.43%	0.0018	✓	1.05
2026-10-02	oos	0.042085	0.040631	-3.45%	0.0414	-1.63%	0.0433	✗	1.05
2026-10-01	oos	0.041435	0.039956	-3.57%	0.03917	-5.47%	0.0200	✓	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.043475	0.041846	-3.75%	0.040535	-6.76%	0.0282	✓	1.07
2026-09-29	oos	0.042925	0.041321	-3.74%	0.043225	+0.70%	0.0212	✓	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.04546	0.043728	-3.81%	0.04348	-4.36%	0.0348	✓	1.07
2026-09-27	oos	0.04692	0.045085	-3.91%	0.042675	-9.05%	0.0806	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.04781	0.045672	-4.47%	0.043115	-9.82%	0.0618	✓	1.08
2026-09-25	oos	0.04216	0.040769	-3.30%	0.042085	-0.18%	0.0265	✓	1.08
2026-09-24	oos	0.0399	0.038787	-2.79%	0.041435	+3.85%	0.0601	✗	1.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.03851	0.037597	-2.37%	0.043475	+12.89%	0.1560	✗	1.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.04158	0.040422	-2.78%	0.042925	+3.23%	0.0919	✗	1.06
2026-09-21	oos	0.043235	0.041854	-3.19%	0.04546	+5.15%	0.1215	✗	1.05
2026-09-20	oos	0.039935	0.038895	-2.60%	0.04692	+17.49%	0.1464	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.03912	0.038177	-2.41%	0.04781	+22.21%	0.1853	✗	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.03804	0.037216	-2.17%	0.04216	+10.83%	0.0844	✗	1.03
2026-09-17	oos	0.0338	0.033435	-1.08%	0.0399	+18.05%	0.0838	✗	0.93
2026-09-16	oos	0.03291	0.032641	-0.82%	0.03851	+17.02%	0.0706	✗	0.92
2026-09-15	oos	0.032925	0.032648	-0.84%	0.04158	+26.29%	0.1178	✗	0.94
2026-09-14	oos	0.034885	0.034509	-1.08%	0.043235	+23.94%	0.1317	✗	0.92
2026-09-13	oos	0.033285	0.033	-0.86%	0.039935	+19.98%	0.1409	✗	0.90
2026-09-12	oos	0.03521	0.034839	-1.05%	0.03912	+11.10%	0.0711	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.035965	0.035563	-1.12%	0.03804	+5.77%	0.0256	✗	0.90
2026-09-10	oos	0.035345	0.034971	-1.06%	0.0338	-4.37%	0.0319	✓	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.03653	0.036166	-1.00%	0.03291	-9.91%	0.0697	✓	0.89
2026-09-08	oos	0.035455	0.035171	-0.80%	0.032925	-7.14%	0.0330	✓	0.89
2026-09-07	oos	0.03651	0.035998	-1.40%	0.034885	-4.45%	0.0212	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.0323	0.03247	+0.53%	0.033285	+3.05%	0.0691	✓	0.98
2026-09-05	oos	0.03057	0.030795	+0.74%	0.03521	+15.18%	0.1658	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.02944	0.029708	+0.91%	0.035965	+22.16%	0.2219	✓	0.98
2026-09-03	oos	0.029815	0.030176	+1.21%	0.035345	+18.55%	0.2175	✓	0.99
2026-09-02	oos	0.027975	0.028129	+0.55%	0.03653	+30.58%	0.2508	✓	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.027505	0.02769	+0.67%	0.035455	+28.90%	0.2357	✓	0.85
2026-08-31	oos	0.027895	0.028129	+0.84%	0.03651	+30.88%	0.2563	✓	0.67
2026-08-30	oos	0.02709	0.027263	+0.64%	0.0323	+19.23%	0.1457	✓	0.70
2026-08-29	oos	0.02766	0.027828	+0.61%	0.03057	+10.52%	0.0801	✓	0.69
2026-08-28	oos	0.02804	0.028191	+0.54%	0.02944	+4.99%	0.0273	✓	0.69
2026-08-27	oos	0.02955	0.029871	+1.09%	0.029815	+0.90%	0.0100	✓	0.67
2026-08-26	oos	0.02803	0.028271	+0.86%	0.027975	-0.20%	0.0038	✓	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.02765	0.027851	+0.73%	0.027505	-0.52%	0.0030	✓	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.029135	0.02933	+0.67%	0.027895	-4.26%	0.0467	✗	0.65
2026-08-23	oos	0.0293	0.029404	+0.35%	0.02709	-7.54%	0.0814	✗	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.029095	0.029166	+0.24%	0.02766	-4.93%	0.0631	✗	0.66
2026-08-21	oos	0.029695	0.029827	+0.45%	0.02804	-5.57%	0.0577	✗	0.66
2026-08-20	oos	0.02801	0.027885	-0.44%	0.02955	+5.50%	0.0015	✓	0.63
2026-08-19	oos	0.027	0.026784	-0.80%	0.02803	+3.81%	0.0381	✓	0.64
2026-08-18	oos	0.02527	0.025014	-1.01%	0.02765	+9.42%	0.0117	✓	0.58
2026-08-17	oos	0.02566	0.025393	-1.04%	0.029135	+13.54%	0.0173	✗	0.59
2026-08-16	oos	0.02552	0.025275	-0.96%	0.0293	+14.81%	0.0201	✗	0.60
2026-08-15	oos	0.025795	0.025552	-0.94%	0.029095	+12.79%	0.0100	✗	0.60
2026-08-14	oos	0.02542	0.0252	-0.86%	0.029695	+16.82%	0.0345	✗	0.59
2026-08-13	oos	0.0253	0.025081	-0.87%	0.02801	+10.71%	0.0257	✗	0.60
2026-08-12	oos	0.02554	0.025309	-0.90%	0.027	+5.72%	0.0076	✓	0.64
2026-08-11	oos	0.02595	0.025705	-0.94%	0.02527	-2.62%	0.0286	✓	0.64
2026-08-10	oos	0.02587	0.025623	-0.96%	0.02566	-0.81%	0.0042	✓	0.65
2026-08-09	oos	0.02595	0.025685	-1.02%	0.02552	-1.66%	0.0147	✗	0.67
2026-08-08	oos	0.02667	0.026372	-1.12%	0.025795	-3.28%	0.0024	✓	0.67
2026-08-07	oos	0.026445	0.026168	-1.05%	0.02542	-3.88%	0.0085	✓	0.68
2026-08-06	oos	0.02562	0.025375	-0.96%	0.0253	-1.25%	0.0060	✓	0.68
2026-08-05	oos	0.02607	0.025804	-1.02%	0.02554	-2.03%	0.0024	✓	0.68
2026-08-04	oos	0.02641	0.026135	-1.04%	0.02595	-1.74%	0.0014	✓	0.70
2026-08-03	oos	0.02606	0.025827	-0.89%	0.02587	-0.73%	0.0033	✓	0.71
2026-08-02	oos	0.02682	0.026584	-0.88%	0.02595	-3.24%	0.0394	✓	0.73
2026-08-01	oos	0.02677	0.026554	-0.81%	0.02667	-0.37%	0.0197	✓	0.72
2026-07-31	oos	0.027205	0.026991	-0.79%	0.026445	-2.79%	0.0437	✓	0.72
2026-07-30	oos	0.02764	0.027404	-0.85%	0.02562	-7.31%	0.0622	✓	0.73
2026-07-29	oos	0.02739	0.027209	-0.66%	0.02607	-4.82%	0.0507	✓	0.72
2026-07-28	oos	0.027945	0.027784	-0.58%	0.02641	-5.49%	0.0530	✓	0.72
2026-07-27	oos	0.028125	0.027982	-0.51%	0.02606	-7.34%	0.0686	✓	0.72
2026-07-26	oos	0.02929	0.029145	-0.50%	0.02682	-8.43%	0.0630	✓	0.70
2026-07-25	oos	0.02807	0.02796	-0.39%	0.02677	-4.63%	0.0270	✓	0.68
2026-07-24	oos	0.027735	0.027658	-0.28%	0.027205	-1.91%	0.0030	✓	0.68
2026-07-23	oos	0.02799	0.02793	-0.21%	0.02764	-1.25%	0.0070	✓	0.68
2026-07-22	oos	0.02828	0.028199	-0.29%	0.02739	-3.15%	0.0060	✓	0.69
2026-07-21	oos	0.02861	0.02854	-0.25%	0.027945	-2.32%	0.0070	✗	0.69
2026-07-20	oos	0.028365	0.028306	-0.21%	0.028125	-0.85%	0.0095	✗	0.68
2026-07-19	oos	0.02833	0.028298	-0.11%	0.02929	+3.39%	0.0277	✗	0.67
2026-07-18	oos	0.027785	0.027783	-0.01%	0.02807	+1.03%	0.0155	✗	0.67
2026-07-17	oos	0.02788	0.027896	+0.06%	0.027735	-0.52%	0.0078	✗	0.67
2026-07-16	oos	0.02816	0.028177	+0.06%	0.02799	-0.60%	0.0204	✗	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	0.0289	0.028907	+0.02%	0.02828	-2.15%	0.0370	✗	0.72
2026-07-14	oos	0.028605	0.028606	+0.00%	0.02861	+0.02%	0.0167	✗	0.72
2026-07-13	oos	0.0284	0.02843	+0.10%	0.028365	-0.12%	0.0377	✗	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.02847	0.02849	+0.07%	0.02833	-0.49%	0.0171	✗	0.78
2026-07-11	oos	0.029295	0.029299	+0.01%	0.027785	-5.15%	0.0658	✗	0.80
2026-07-10	oos	0.02949	0.029492	+0.01%	0.02788	-5.46%	0.0532	✗	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.02951	0.029516	+0.02%	0.02816	-4.57%	0.0547	✗	0.82
2026-07-08	oos	0.02925	0.029263	+0.05%	0.0289	-1.20%	0.0451	✗	0.83
2026-07-07	oos	0.02924	0.029239	-0.00%	0.028605	-2.17%	0.0438	✓	0.84
2026-07-06	oos	0.0302	0.030163	-0.12%	0.0284	-5.96%	0.0371	✓	0.84
2026-07-05	oos	0.03094	0.030871	-0.22%	0.02847	-7.98%	0.0831	✓	0.86
2026-07-04	oos	0.03184	0.031748	-0.29%	0.029295	-7.99%	0.0898	✓	0.87
2026-07-03	oos	0.03138	0.031289	-0.29%	0.02949	-6.02%	0.0810	✓	0.86
2026-07-02	oos	0.03096	0.030895	-0.21%	0.02951	-4.68%	0.0692	✓	0.86
2026-07-01	oos	0.03083	0.03077	-0.20%	0.02925	-5.12%	0.0832	✓	0.87
2026-06-30	oos	0.029245	0.029242	-0.01%	0.02924	-0.02%	0.0675	✓	0.85
2026-06-29	oos	0.03032	0.030216	-0.34%	0.0302	-0.40%	0.0528	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.02775	0.027737	-0.05%	0.03094	+11.50%	0.0547	✗	0.82
2026-06-27	oos	0.027795	0.027768	-0.10%	0.03184	+14.55%	0.0957	✗	0.80
2026-06-26	oos	0.02811	0.028072	-0.14%	0.03138	+11.63%	0.0781	✗	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	0.02756	0.02757	+0.04%	0.03096	+12.34%	0.0923	✓	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	0.02795	0.027899	-0.18%	0.03083	+10.30%	0.1138	✗	0.82
2026-06-23	oos	0.02886	0.028726	-0.46%	0.029245	+1.33%	0.0760	✗	0.85
2026-06-22	oos	0.02934	0.029138	-0.69%	0.03032	+3.34%	0.0931	✗	0.87
2026-06-21	oos	0.02916	0.028983	-0.61%	0.02775	-4.84%	0.0099	✗	0.87
2026-06-20	oos	0.029775	0.029581	-0.65%	0.027795	-6.65%	0.0088	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.02992	0.029738	-0.61%	0.02811	-6.05%	0.0133	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.03041	0.030203	-0.68%	0.02756	-9.37%	0.0503	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03193	0.031624	-0.96%	0.02795	-12.46%	0.0803	✓	0.78
2026-06-16	oos	0.03249	0.032135	-1.09%	0.02886	-11.17%	0.0704	✓	0.80
2026-06-15	oos	0.03302	0.032616	-1.22%	0.02934	-11.14%	0.0812	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	0.0324	0.031984	-1.28%	0.02916	-10.00%	0.0671	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	0.031385	0.031019	-1.17%	0.029775	-5.13%	0.0387	✓	0.70
2026-06-12	oos	0.03099	0.03067	-1.03%	0.02992	-3.45%	0.0241	✓	0.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.03109	0.030746	-1.11%	0.03041	-2.19%	0.0034	✓	0.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.030365	0.03012	-0.81%	0.03193	+5.15%	0.0251	✗	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.03018	0.029956	-0.74%	0.03249	+7.65%	0.0381	✗	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.03205	0.0317	-1.09%	0.03302	+3.03%	0.0074	✓	0.67
2026-06-07	oos	0.03126	0.030962	-0.95%	0.0324	+3.65%	0.0205	✗	0.67
2026-06-06	oos	0.02999	0.030019	+0.10%	0.031385	+4.65%	0.0077	✓	0.64
2026-06-05	oos	0.0309	0.030925	+0.08%	0.03099	+0.29%	0.0235	✗	0.64
2026-06-04	oos	0.02955	0.029593	+0.15%	0.03109	+5.21%	0.0521	✓	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	0.03196	0.031814	-0.46%	0.030365	-4.99%	0.0175	✓	0.70
2026-06-02	oos	0.02844	0.028513	+0.26%	0.03018	+6.12%	0.1231	✓	0.85
2026-06-01	oos	0.03044	0.03009	-1.15%	0.03205	+5.29%	0.1560	✗	0.76
2026-05-31	oos	0.0307	0.030303	-1.29%	0.03126	+1.82%	0.1465	✗	0.77
2026-05-30	oos	0.03084	0.030443	-1.29%	0.02999	-2.76%	0.1316	✗	0.76
2026-05-29	oos	0.03102	0.030622	-1.28%	0.0309	-0.39%	0.1503	✗	0.77
2026-05-28	oos	0.031095	0.0307	-1.27%	0.02955	-4.97%	0.0695	✗	0.76
2026-05-27	oos	0.03209	0.031623	-1.46%	0.03196	-0.41%	0.1243	✗	0.76
2026-05-26	oos	0.032615	0.032144	-1.44%	0.02844	-12.80%	0.0246	✓	0.76
2026-05-25	oos	0.03365	0.033144	-1.50%	0.03044	-9.54%	0.0233	✓	0.77
2026-05-24	oos	0.03334	0.032862	-1.43%	0.0307	-7.92%	0.0329	✓	0.78
2026-05-23	oos	0.0338	0.033279	-1.54%	0.03084	-8.76%	0.0468	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.03374	0.033224	-1.53%	0.03102	-8.06%	0.0471	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.03525	0.034656	-1.68%	0.031095	-11.79%	0.0681	✓	0.76
2026-05-20	oos	0.034845	0.034273	-1.64%	0.03209	-7.91%	0.0340	✓	0.76
2026-05-19	oos	0.03364	0.03313	-1.52%	0.032615	-3.05%	0.0064	✓	0.75
2026-05-18	oos	0.03485	0.034288	-1.61%	0.03365	-3.44%	0.0218	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.03396	0.033433	-1.55%	0.03334	-1.83%	0.0015	✓	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.034185	0.033672	-1.50%	0.0338	-1.13%	0.0180	✗	0.76
2026-05-15	oos	0.035135	0.03461	-1.49%	0.03374	-3.97%	0.0103	✓	0.76
2026-05-14	oos	0.03758	0.037037	-1.44%	0.03525	-6.20%	0.0164	✓	0.74
2026-05-13	oos	0.03724	0.036641	-1.61%	0.034845	-6.43%	0.0331	✓	0.74
2026-05-12	oos	0.03807	0.037516	-1.46%	0.03364	-11.64%	0.0743	✓	0.73
2026-05-11	oos	0.04041	0.039785	-1.55%	0.03485	-13.76%	0.0906	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.03867	0.038179	-1.27%	0.03396	-12.18%	0.0749	✓	0.70
2026-05-09	oos	0.03729	0.036784	-1.36%	0.034185	-8.33%	0.0508	✓	0.70
2026-05-08	oos	0.03648	0.03599	-1.34%	0.035135	-3.69%	0.0138	✓	0.72
2026-05-07	oos	0.03538	0.034931	-1.27%	0.03758	+6.22%	0.0635	✗	0.72
2026-05-06	oos	0.0366	0.036146	-1.24%	0.03724	+1.75%	0.0534	✗	0.88
2026-05-05	oos	0.034435	0.034082	-1.03%	0.03807	+10.56%	0.1153	✗	0.88
2026-05-04	oos	0.03338	0.033041	-1.01%	0.04041	+21.06%	0.1808	✗	0.88
2026-05-03	oos	0.03365	0.033252	-1.18%	0.03867	+14.92%	0.1108	✗	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.0332	0.032803	-1.20%	0.03729	+12.32%	0.1059	✗	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.03264	0.032245	-1.21%	0.03648	+11.76%	0.1008	✗	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.0325	0.032053	-1.38%	0.03538	+8.86%	0.0530	✗	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.032555	0.032101	-1.39%	0.0366	+12.43%	0.0611	✗	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.0328	0.032335	-1.42%	0.034435	+4.98%	0.0070	✓	0.96
2026-04-27	oos	0.0334	0.032931	-1.40%	0.03338	-0.06%	0.0167	✓	0.96
2026-04-26	oos	0.03391	0.033448	-1.36%	0.03365	-0.77%	0.0074	✓	0.96
2026-04-25	oos	0.03364	0.033106	-1.59%	0.0332	-1.31%	0.0097	✓	0.95
2026-04-24	oos	0.03369	0.033163	-1.56%	0.03264	-3.12%	0.0254	✓	0.96
2026-04-23	oos	0.034295	0.033822	-1.38%	0.0325	-5.23%	0.0154	✓	0.96
2026-04-22	oos	0.034285	0.033847	-1.28%	0.032555	-5.05%	0.0083	✓	0.96
2026-04-21	oos	0.034245	0.033737	-1.48%	0.0328	-4.22%	0.0278	✓	0.96
2026-04-20	oos	0.03484	0.03429	-1.58%	0.0334	-4.13%	0.0452	✓	0.97
2026-04-19	oos	0.03421	0.033627	-1.70%	0.03391	-0.88%	0.0538	✓	0.98
2026-04-18	oos	0.0343	0.033796	-1.47%	0.03364	-1.92%	0.0291	✓	0.98
2026-04-17	oos	0.03616	0.035642	-1.43%	0.03369	-6.83%	0.0609	✓	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.03409	0.033608	-1.41%	0.034295	+0.60%	0.0191	✓	0.97
2026-04-15	oos	0.03319	0.03275	-1.33%	0.034285	+3.30%	0.0032	✓	0.97
2026-04-14	oos	0.032345	0.031912	-1.34%	0.034245	+5.87%	0.0426	✗	0.97
2026-04-13	oos	0.03311	0.032628	-1.46%	0.03484	+5.23%	0.0474	✗	0.96
2026-04-12	oos	0.03149	0.030994	-1.58%	0.03421	+8.64%	0.0579	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.032925	0.032392	-1.62%	0.0343	+4.18%	0.0231	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.03341	0.032853	-1.67%	0.03616	+8.23%	0.0435	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.03219	0.031691	-1.55%	0.03409	+5.90%	0.0293	✗	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.031945	0.031446	-1.56%	0.03319	+3.90%	0.0050	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.03278	0.032243	-1.64%	0.032345	-1.33%	0.0264	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.031225	0.030762	-1.48%	0.03311	+6.04%	0.0009	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.03142	0.030962	-1.46%	0.03149	+0.22%	0.0070	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.031165	0.030796	-1.18%	0.032925	+5.65%	0.0125	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.03098	0.03067	-1.00%	0.03341	+7.84%	0.0017	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.03126	0.030974	-0.91%	0.03219	+2.98%	0.0302	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.03208	0.031733	-1.08%	0.031945	-0.42%	0.0349	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.03262	0.032284	-1.03%	0.03278	+0.49%	0.0363	✓	0.98
2026-03-30	oos	0.03189	0.031635	-0.80%	0.031225	-2.09%	0.0436	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.03288	0.032628	-0.77%	0.03142	-4.44%	0.0822	✓	0.99
2026-03-28	oos	0.03477	0.034427	-0.99%	0.031165	-10.37%	0.1139	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.03448	0.034159	-0.93%	0.03098	-10.15%	0.1066	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.03602	0.035661	-1.00%	0.03126	-13.21%	0.1046	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.03857	0.038179	-1.01%	0.03208	-16.83%	0.1297	✓	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.03626	0.035992	-0.74%	0.03262	-10.04%	0.0663	✓	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.034985	0.034798	-0.54%	0.03189	-8.85%	0.0294	✓	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.03642	0.036175	-0.67%	0.03288	-9.72%	0.0670	✓	1.01
2026-03-21	oos	0.03576	0.035645	-0.32%	0.03477	-2.77%	0.0141	✗	1.02
2026-03-20	oos	0.03804	0.037914	-0.33%	0.03448	-9.36%	0.0338	✓	1.01
2026-03-19	oos	0.03729	0.037203	-0.23%	0.03602	-3.41%	0.0156	✓	1.01
2026-03-18	oos	0.03946	0.039193	-0.68%	0.03857	-2.26%	0.0168	✓	1.01
2026-03-17	oos	0.03628	0.036245	-0.10%	0.03626	-0.06%	0.0508	✗	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.03374	0.033801	+0.18%	0.034985	+3.69%	0.0945	✓	1.09
2026-03-15	oos	0.031	0.031136	+0.44%	0.03642	+17.48%	0.2330	✓	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.03066	0.030814	+0.50%	0.03576	+16.63%	0.1847	✓	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.03049	0.030675	+0.61%	0.03804	+24.76%	0.2221	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.03054	0.03071	+0.56%	0.03729	+22.10%	0.2036	✓	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.03036	0.030522	+0.53%	0.03946	+29.97%	0.2409	✓	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.03025	0.030365	+0.38%	0.03628	+19.93%	0.1179	✓	1.09
2026-03-09	oos	0.03006	0.030163	+0.34%	0.03374	+12.24%	0.0135	✓	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.02957	0.029728	+0.54%	0.031	+4.84%	0.0653	✗	1.08
2026-03-07	oos	0.02957	0.029722	+0.51%	0.03066	+3.69%	0.0314	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.03016	0.030334	+0.58%	0.03049	+1.09%	0.0393	✗	1.09
2026-03-05	oos	0.03043	0.030611	+0.59%	0.03054	+0.36%	0.0033	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.03075	0.030939	+0.62%	0.03036	-1.27%	0.0197	✓	1.12
2026-03-03	oos	0.03054	0.030718	+0.58%	0.03025	-0.95%	0.0428	✗	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	0.03032	0.030487	+0.55%	0.03006	-0.86%	0.0073	✗	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	0.02943	0.029612	+0.62%	0.02957	+0.48%	0.0050	✓	1.18
2026-02-28	oos	0.03014	0.030301	+0.53%	0.02957	-1.89%	0.0296	✗	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.03027	0.030439	+0.56%	0.03016	-0.36%	0.0496	✗	1.20
2026-02-26	oos	0.03135	0.031467	+0.37%	0.03043	-2.93%	0.0925	✗	1.20
2026-02-25	oos	0.030915	0.031019	+0.34%	0.03075	-0.53%	0.0889	✗	1.20
2026-02-24	oos	0.02909	0.029273	+0.63%	0.03054	+4.98%	0.0355	✗	1.21
2026-02-23	oos	0.02971	0.029841	+0.44%	0.03032	+2.05%	0.0634	✗	1.26
2026-02-22	oos	0.03041	0.03045	+0.13%	0.02943	-3.22%	0.0010	✓	1.27
2026-02-21	oos	0.031105	0.031133	+0.09%	0.03014	-3.10%	0.0135	✗	1.29
2026-02-20	oos	0.031165	0.03121	+0.14%	0.03027	-2.87%	0.0106	✓	1.30
2026-02-19	oos	0.03012	0.030243	+0.41%	0.03135	+4.08%	0.0260	✓	1.29
2026-02-18	oos	0.031045	0.031178	+0.43%	0.030915	-0.42%	0.0390	✗	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	0.03191	0.032002	+0.29%	0.02909	-8.84%	0.0287	✗	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.03225	0.032299	+0.15%	0.02971	-7.88%	0.0014	✓	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.03206	0.032111	+0.16%	0.03041	-5.15%	0.0321	✗	1.30
2026-02-14	oos	0.033445	0.033432	-0.04%	0.031105	-7.00%	0.0379	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	0.03214	0.03221	+0.22%	0.031165	-3.03%	0.0174	✗	1.29
2026-02-12	oos	0.031395	0.031566	+0.55%	0.03012	-4.06%	0.0619	✗	1.30
2026-02-11	oos	0.03148	0.031635	+0.49%	0.031045	-1.38%	0.0069	✗	1.31
2026-02-10	oos	0.03105	0.031169	+0.38%	0.03191	+2.77%	0.0495	✓	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.031485	0.031582	+0.31%	0.03225	+2.43%	0.0447	✓	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.03386	0.033933	+0.22%	0.03206	-5.32%	0.0282	✗	1.34
2026-02-07	oos	0.03134	0.031713	+1.19%	0.033445	+6.72%	0.0429	✓	1.32
2026-02-06	oos	0.03199	0.032396	+1.27%	0.03214	+0.47%	0.0243	✓	1.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.02706	0.028551	+5.51%	0.031395	+16.02%	0.0271	✓	1.28
2026-02-04	oos	0.030985	0.031545	+1.81%	0.03148	+1.60%	0.1242	✓	1.48
2026-02-03	oos	0.03206	0.032452	+1.22%	0.03105	-3.15%	0.0916	✓	1.43
2026-02-02	oos	0.03312	0.033356	+0.71%	0.031485	-4.94%	0.1112	✓	1.47
2026-02-01	oos	0.03069	0.031325	+2.07%	0.03386	+10.33%	0.2063	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.03316	0.033578	+1.26%	0.03134	-5.49%	0.1159	✓	1.45
2026-01-30	oos	0.03736	0.037264	-0.26%	0.03199	-14.37%	0.0959	✗	1.41
2026-01-29	oos	0.03846	0.038353	-0.28%	0.02706	-29.64%	0.0702	✗	1.41
2026-01-28	oos	0.03977	0.039381	-0.98%	0.030985	-22.09%	0.0514	✗	1.46
2026-01-27	oos	0.03979	0.039359	-1.08%	0.03206	-19.43%	0.0369	✗	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	0.03979	0.039457	-0.84%	0.03312	-16.76%	0.0098	✓	1.44
2026-01-25	oos	0.03958	0.03937	-0.53%	0.03069	-22.46%	0.0772	✓	1.45
2026-01-24	oos	0.04162	0.04118	-1.06%	0.03316	-20.33%	0.0365	✓	1.45
2026-01-23	oos	0.04022	0.0398	-1.04%	0.03736	-7.11%	0.0240	✗	1.41
2026-01-22	oos	0.03987	0.039395	-1.19%	0.03846	-3.54%	0.0575	✗	1.43
2026-01-21	oos	0.04105	0.040438	-1.49%	0.03977	-3.12%	0.0134	✓	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.04018	0.039619	-1.40%	0.03979	-0.97%	0.0088	✓	1.44
2026-01-19	oos	0.04267	0.04172	-2.23%	0.03979	-6.75%	0.0222	✓	1.46
2026-01-18	oos	0.04269	0.041689	-2.34%	0.03958	-7.29%	0.0643	✗	1.48
2026-01-17	oos	0.04421	0.043147	-2.40%	0.04162	-5.86%	0.0611	✗	1.48
2026-01-16	oos	0.04515	0.044064	-2.40%	0.04022	-10.92%	0.0059	✓	1.49
2026-01-15	oos	0.04555	0.04448	-2.35%	0.03987	-12.47%	0.0112	✓	1.48
2026-01-14	oos	0.04799	0.046919	-2.23%	0.04105	-14.46%	0.0134	✓	1.47
2026-01-13	oos	0.04827	0.047165	-2.29%	0.04018	-16.76%	0.0442	✓	1.51
2026-01-12	oos	0.04629	0.045292	-2.16%	0.04267	-7.82%	0.0829	✓	1.56
2026-01-11	oos	0.04672	0.04574	-2.10%	0.04269	-8.63%	0.1163	✓	1.58
2026-01-10	oos	0.04649	0.045549	-2.02%	0.04421	-4.90%	0.1109	✓	1.59
2026-01-09	oos	0.04702	0.046104	-1.95%	0.04515	-3.98%	0.1069	✓	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.04699	0.046164	-1.76%	0.04555	-3.06%	0.0904	✓	1.57
2026-01-07	oos	0.04884	0.047966	-1.79%	0.04799	-1.74%	0.1122	✓	1.87
2026-01-06	oos	0.05147	0.050543	-1.80%	0.04827	-6.22%	0.0788	✓	1.86
2026-01-05	oos	0.05092	0.050088	-1.63%	0.04629	-9.09%	0.0252	✓	1.85
2026-01-04	oos	0.04943	0.048657	-1.56%	0.04672	-5.48%	0.0280	✓	1.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.04572	0.045247	-1.04%	0.04649	+1.68%	0.0317	✗	1.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.04603	0.045632	-0.86%	0.04702	+2.15%	0.0186	✗	1.84
2026-01-01	oos	0.04474	0.044427	-0.70%	0.04699	+5.03%	0.0094	✗	1.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.04288	0.042612	-0.63%	0.04884	+13.90%	0.0598	✗	1.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.04387	0.043519	-0.80%	0.05147	+17.32%	0.0621	✗	1.81
2025-12-29	oos	0.04348	0.043167	-0.72%	0.05092	+17.11%	0.0304	✗	1.80
2025-12-28	oos	0.04453	0.044195	-0.75%	0.04943	+11.00%	0.0392	✗	1.80
2025-12-27	oos	0.04555	0.045208	-0.75%	0.04572	+0.37%	0.0445	✓	1.78
2025-12-26	oos	0.0449	0.044606	-0.66%	0.04603	+2.52%	0.0217	✓	1.77
2025-12-25	oos	0.04362	0.043396	-0.51%	0.04474	+2.57%	0.0009	✓	1.77
2025-12-24	oos	0.04453	0.044433	-0.22%	0.04288	-3.71%	0.0333	✓	1.77
2025-12-23	oos	0.04512	0.045013	-0.24%	0.04387	-2.77%	0.0450	✓	1.75
2025-12-22	oos	0.04661	0.046416	-0.42%	0.04348	-6.72%	0.0366	✓	1.74
2025-12-21	oos	0.04686	0.046622	-0.51%	0.04453	-4.97%	0.0308	✓	1.74
2025-12-20	oos	0.04493	0.044785	-0.32%	0.04555	+1.38%	0.0271	✗	1.74
2025-12-19	oos	0.04325	0.043152	-0.23%	0.0449	+3.82%	0.0554	✗	1.73
2025-12-18	oos	0.04057	0.04063	+0.15%	0.04362	+7.52%	0.0369	✓	1.72
2025-12-17	oos	0.04197	0.04194	-0.07%	0.04453	+6.10%	0.0321	✗	1.72
2025-12-16	oos	0.04481	0.044621	-0.42%	0.04512	+0.69%	0.0194	✗	1.71
2025-12-15	oos	0.04296	0.042937	-0.05%	0.04661	+8.50%	0.0404	✗	1.70
2025-12-14	oos	0.04428	0.044152	-0.29%	0.04686	+5.83%	0.0504	✗	1.71
2025-12-13	oos	0.04682	0.046551	-0.57%	0.04493	-4.04%	0.0014	✓	1.70
2025-12-12	oos	0.04629	0.046035	-0.55%	0.04325	-6.57%	0.0206	✓	1.70
2025-12-11	oos	0.04775	0.047427	-0.68%	0.04057	-15.04%	0.0198	✓	1.71
2025-12-10	oos	0.0486	0.048247	-0.73%	0.04197	-13.64%	0.0269	✓	1.72
2025-12-09	oos	0.04996	0.049598	-0.72%	0.04481	-10.31%	0.0090	✓	1.73
2025-12-08	oos	0.05214	0.051744	-0.76%	0.04296	-17.61%	0.1015	✓	1.77
2025-12-07	oos	0.05151	0.051058	-0.88%	0.04428	-14.04%	0.0984	✓	1.76
2025-12-06	oos	0.05103	0.050531	-0.98%	0.04682	-8.25%	0.0957	✓	1.77
2025-12-05	oos	0.05251	0.051936	-1.09%	0.04629	-11.85%	0.1335	✓	1.77
2025-12-04	oos	0.05509	0.054477	-1.11%	0.04775	-13.32%	0.1404	✓	1.78
2025-12-03	oos	0.05674	0.056142	-1.05%	0.0486	-14.35%	0.1171	✓	1.78
2025-12-02	oos	0.0545	0.05402	-0.88%	0.04996	-8.33%	0.1048	✓	1.78
2025-12-01	oos	0.05196	0.051535	-0.82%	0.05214	+0.35%	0.0801	✓	1.86
2025-11-30	oos	0.057285	0.05658	-1.23%	0.05151	-10.08%	0.0946	✓	1.84
2025-11-29	oos	0.056335	0.055652	-1.21%	0.05103	-9.42%	0.0550	✓	1.83
2025-11-28	oos	0.057835	0.056963	-1.51%	0.05251	-9.21%	0.0498	✓	1.83
2025-11-27	oos	0.05831	0.057316	-1.70%	0.05509	-5.52%	0.0551	✓	1.83
2025-11-26	oos	0.05813	0.056969	-2.00%	0.05674	-2.39%	0.0633	✓	1.82
2025-11-25	oos	0.0506	0.050029	-1.13%	0.0545	+7.71%	0.0075	✓	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.04514	0.045059	-0.18%	0.05196	+15.11%	0.1830	✗	1.78
2025-11-23	oos	0.040015	0.040324	+0.77%	0.057285	+43.16%	0.2810	✓	1.74
2025-11-22	oos	0.03809	0.038699	+1.60%	0.056335	+47.90%	0.2535	✓	1.74
2025-11-21	oos	0.038595	0.039266	+1.74%	0.057835	+49.85%	0.2722	✓	1.73
2025-11-20	oos	0.04001	0.040609	+1.50%	0.05831	+45.74%	0.2686	✓	1.73
2025-11-19	oos	0.042245	0.042494	+0.59%	0.05813	+37.60%	0.3332	✓	1.82
2025-11-18	oos	0.04326	0.043392	+0.31%	0.0506	+16.97%	0.2665	✓	1.82
2025-11-17	oos	0.042685	0.042933	+0.58%	0.04514	+5.75%	0.1281	✓	1.83
2025-11-16	oos	0.04344	0.04359	+0.34%	0.040015	-7.88%	0.0651	✓	1.85
2025-11-15	oos	0.045145	0.045226	+0.18%	0.03809	-15.63%	0.0514	✓	1.85
2025-11-14	oos	0.04449	0.044643	+0.34%	0.038595	-13.25%	0.0491	✓	1.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.04827	0.048079	-0.40%	0.04001	-17.11%	0.0809	✗	1.88
2025-11-12	oos	0.04948	0.049212	-0.54%	0.042245	-14.62%	0.0465	✗	1.89
2025-11-11	oos	0.04936	0.049101	-0.53%	0.04326	-12.36%	0.0704	✗	1.91
2025-11-10	oos	0.052515	0.052106	-0.78%	0.042685	-18.72%	0.0658	✗	1.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.05211	0.051743	-0.70%	0.04344	-16.64%	0.0278	✗	1.92
2025-11-08	oos	0.05182	0.051501	-0.62%	0.045145	-12.88%	0.0008	✓	1.94
2025-11-07	oos	0.05215	0.051834	-0.61%	0.04449	-14.69%	0.0163	✗	1.90
2025-11-06	oos	0.05107	0.050868	-0.40%	0.04827	-5.48%	0.0205	✓	1.91
2025-11-05	oos	0.04678	0.046752	-0.06%	0.04948	+5.77%	0.1001	✗	2.00
2025-11-04	oos	0.04401	0.044291	+0.64%	0.04936	+12.16%	0.0785	✓	1.98
2025-11-03	oos	0.04672	0.046674	-0.10%	0.052515	+12.40%	0.1291	✗	2.05
2025-11-02	oos	0.05215	0.051904	-0.47%	0.05211	-0.08%	0.1135	✗	2.02
2025-11-01	oos	0.05323	0.052973	-0.48%	0.05182	-2.65%	0.1270	✗	2.04
2025-10-31	oos	0.05282	0.052591	-0.43%	0.05215	-1.27%	0.1117	✗	2.04
2025-10-30	oos	0.05363	0.05339	-0.45%	0.05107	-4.77%	0.0931	✗	2.05
2025-10-29	oos	0.05846	0.05809	-0.63%	0.04678	-19.98%	0.0999	✓	2.02
2025-10-28	oos	0.056465	0.05627	-0.35%	0.04401	-22.06%	0.0203	✓	2.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.05729	0.057027	-0.46%	0.04672	-18.45%	0.0550	✓	2.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.05812	0.057793	-0.56%	0.05215	-10.27%	0.0274	✓	2.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.05877	0.058413	-0.61%	0.05323	-9.43%	0.0611	✓	2.18
2025-10-24	oos	0.053045	0.052956	-0.17%	0.05282	-0.42%	0.0269	✗	2.19
2025-10-23	oos	0.05144	0.051507	+0.13%	0.05363	+4.26%	0.0765	✓	2.18
2025-10-22	oos	0.04925	0.049606	+0.72%	0.05846	+18.70%	0.1154	✓	2.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.0517	0.051891	+0.37%	0.056465	+9.22%	0.0047	✗	2.17
2025-10-20	oos	0.05496	0.054931	-0.05%	0.05729	+4.24%	0.0262	✓	2.18
2025-10-19	oos	0.05275	0.052966	+0.41%	0.05812	+10.18%	0.0191	✗	2.13
2025-10-18	oos	0.05055	0.051061	+1.01%	0.05877	+16.26%	0.0539	✓	2.13
2025-10-17	oos	0.05184	0.052442	+1.16%	0.053045	+2.32%	0.0784	✗	2.13
2025-10-16	oos	0.05353	0.053883	+0.66%	0.05144	-3.90%	0.0839	✗	2.14
2025-10-15	oos	0.056935	0.056944	+0.02%	0.04925	-13.50%	0.0824	✗	2.13
2025-10-14	oos	0.060645	0.060387	-0.42%	0.0517	-14.75%	0.0654	✓	2.11
2025-10-13	oos	0.06486	0.064443	-0.64%	0.05496	-15.26%	0.0710	✓	2.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.06167	0.061503	-0.27%	0.05275	-14.46%	0.0349	✓	2.08
2025-10-11	oos	0.05713	0.057453	+0.57%	0.05055	-11.52%	0.0604	✗	2.07
2025-10-10	oos	0.05531	0.055561	+0.45%	0.05184	-6.27%	0.0572	✓	2.13
2025-10-09	oos	0.07384	0.073217	-0.84%	0.05353	-27.51%	0.1158	✓	1.68
2025-10-08	oos	0.07499	0.074204	-1.05%	0.056935	-24.08%	0.0871	✓	1.66
2025-10-07	oos	0.07491	0.074078	-1.11%	0.060645	-19.04%	0.0819	✓	1.66
2025-10-06	oos	0.07812	0.077103	-1.30%	0.06486	-16.97%	0.0400	✓	1.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.07493	0.073942	-1.32%	0.06167	-17.70%	0.0623	✓	1.68
2025-10-04	oos	0.07636	0.075292	-1.40%	0.05713	-25.18%	0.1058	✓	1.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.08047	0.079261	-1.50%	0.05531	-31.27%	0.2247	✓	1.70
2025-10-02	oos	0.081495	0.080233	-1.55%	0.07384	-9.39%	0.0986	✓	1.72
2025-10-01	oos	0.07985	0.078598	-1.57%	0.07499	-6.09%	0.1141	✓	1.73
2025-09-30	oos	0.0752	0.074163	-1.38%	0.07491	-0.39%	0.0987	✓	1.75
2025-09-29	oos	0.07694	0.075872	-1.39%	0.07812	+1.53%	0.1224	✓	1.75
2025-09-28	oos	0.077705	0.076643	-1.37%	0.07493	-3.57%	0.1940	✓	1.78
2025-09-27	oos	0.07633	0.075481	-1.11%	0.07636	+0.04%	0.1890	✓	1.82
2025-09-26	oos	0.07817	0.077229	-1.20%	0.08047	+2.94%	0.1568	✓	1.82
2025-09-25	oos	0.07547	0.074708	-1.01%	0.081495	+7.98%	0.0963	✓	1.81
2025-09-24	oos	0.078745	0.0777	-1.33%	0.07985	+1.40%	0.0584	✓	1.87
2025-09-23	oos	0.07816	0.077102	-1.35%	0.0752	-3.79%	0.0592	✓	1.89
2025-09-22	oos	0.078845	0.077661	-1.50%	0.07694	-2.42%	0.0366	✓	1.90
2025-09-21	oos	0.08139	0.080312	-1.32%	0.077705	-4.53%	0.0189	✗	1.91
2025-09-20	oos	0.08414	0.083019	-1.33%	0.07633	-9.28%	0.0246	✗	2.02
2025-09-19	oos	0.08403	0.083002	-1.22%	0.07817	-6.97%	0.0474	✗	2.02
2025-09-18	oos	0.088075	0.086946	-1.28%	0.07547	-14.31%	0.0024	✓	2.01
2025-09-17	oos	0.08874	0.087469	-1.43%	0.078745	-11.26%	0.0502	✓	2.01

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.