HANDL

HandlPay · Base · gru_s6

token id: #867
symbol: HANDL
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x3bbcb624cb9a1f73163a886f460f47603e5e4425
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

196

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

59.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2723

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0372

actual +0.0214

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.002755	0.002677	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-10-21	oos	0.002835	0.002756	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	0.002568	0.002533	-1.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-19	oos	0.002577	0.002554	-0.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-18	oos	0.002627	0.00261	-0.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-17	oos	0.00268	0.002661	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-16	oos	0.002766	0.002738	-1.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.002896	0.002851	-1.53%	0.002755	-4.86%	0.0576	✓	0.92
2026-10-14	oos	0.002931	0.002886	-1.55%	0.002835	-3.27%	0.0450	✓	0.92
2026-10-13	oos	0.003045	0.002981	-2.12%	0.002568	-15.68%	0.1473	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.00257	0.002547	-0.93%	0.002577	+0.26%	0.0109	✗	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002744	0.002702	-1.52%	0.002627	-4.24%	0.0143	✓	0.68
2026-10-10	oos	0.002932	0.002876	-1.91%	0.00268	-8.60%	0.0556	✓	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.003323	0.003238	-2.57%	0.002766	-16.78%	0.1475	✓	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.003348	0.003253	-2.86%	0.002896	-13.52%	0.1204	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.003766	0.003636	-3.45%	0.002931	-22.18%	0.1996	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	0.004313	0.004117	-4.55%	0.003045	-29.39%	0.2810	✓	0.70
2026-10-05	oos	0.003204	0.003102	-3.19%	0.00257	-19.77%	0.1497	✓	0.80
2026-10-04	oos	0.002963	0.00287	-3.15%	0.002744	-7.40%	0.0144	✓	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.002505	0.002401	-4.15%	0.002932	+17.04%	0.2178	✗	0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.00233	0.002237	-3.98%	0.003323	+42.65%	0.4154	✗	0.83
2026-10-01	oos	0.002286	0.002199	-3.80%	0.003348	+46.45%	0.4506	✗	0.80
2026-09-30	oos	0.002259	0.002167	-4.06%	0.003766	+66.72%	0.5552	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.002245	0.00216	-3.78%	0.004313	+92.12%	0.6761	✗	0.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.002244	0.002173	-3.19%	0.003204	+42.74%	0.3712	✗	0.63
2026-09-27	oos	0.002407	0.002345	-2.57%	0.002963	+23.11%	0.2191	✗	0.62
2026-09-26	oos	0.002653	0.002577	-2.84%	0.002505	-5.57%	0.0310	✓	0.67
2026-09-25	oos	0.002693	0.002609	-3.11%	0.00233	-13.49%	0.1160	✓	0.56
2026-09-24	oos	0.002335	0.002277	-2.51%	0.002286	-2.10%	0.0011	✓	0.58
2026-09-23	oos	0.002356	0.002297	-2.49%	0.002259	-4.09%	0.0109	✓	0.58
2026-09-22	oos	0.002528	0.002473	-2.17%	0.002245	-11.21%	0.0802	✓	0.55
2026-09-21	oos	0.002459	0.002413	-1.87%	0.002244	-8.73%	0.0573	✓	0.41
2026-09-20	oos	0.002342	0.00227	-3.07%	0.002407	+2.77%	0.0455	✗	0.33
2026-09-19	oos	0.002353	0.002286	-2.83%	0.002653	+12.74%	0.1355	✗	0.34
2026-09-18	oos	0.002306	0.002231	-3.24%	0.002693	+16.79%	0.1749	✗	0.34
2026-09-17	oos	0.002375	0.002303	-3.01%	0.002335	-1.66%	0.0329	✓	0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.002358	0.002291	-2.83%	0.002356	-0.11%	0.0241	✓	0.50
2026-09-15	oos	0.002162	0.002128	-1.61%	0.002528	+16.92%	0.0763	✗	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.002293	0.00224	-2.32%	0.002459	+7.24%	0.0300	✗	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.002153	0.002135	-0.82%	0.002342	+8.78%	0.0721	✗	0.37
2026-09-12	oos	0.002319	0.002302	-0.77%	0.002353	+1.44%	0.0017	✓	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	0.002513	0.0025	-0.51%	0.002306	-8.24%	0.1091	✓	0.61
2026-09-10	oos	0.002318	0.002334	+0.67%	0.002375	+2.45%	0.0190	✓	0.61
2026-09-09	oos	0.002295	0.002331	+1.55%	0.002358	+2.75%	0.0287	✓	0.61
2026-09-08	oos	0.002464	0.002509	+1.80%	0.002162	-12.25%	0.1225	✗	0.70
2026-09-07	oos	0.00247	0.002533	+2.53%	0.002293	-7.17%	0.0921	✗	0.62
2026-09-06	oos	0.002376	0.002458	+3.44%	0.002153	-9.40%	0.1079	✗	0.55
2026-09-05	oos	0.002098	0.002183	+4.09%	0.002319	+10.58%	0.0780	✓	0.54
2026-09-04	oos	0.00193	0.002006	+3.96%	0.002513	+30.24%	0.2457	✓	0.65
2026-09-03	oos	0.001971	0.002052	+4.07%	0.002318	+17.58%	0.1609	✓	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.001953	0.002016	+3.23%	0.002295	+17.50%	0.1192	✓	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.002051	0.002099	+2.34%	0.002464	+20.17%	0.1494	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.002147	0.00219	+2.02%	0.00247	+15.06%	0.1150	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.002273	0.002305	+1.41%	0.002376	+4.55%	0.0173	✗	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.002369	0.002397	+1.20%	0.002098	-11.46%	0.1624	✗	1.42
2026-08-28	oos	0.002286	0.002305	+0.83%	0.00193	-15.60%	0.2111	✗	1.42
2026-08-27	oos	0.002201	0.002226	+1.14%	0.001971	-10.45%	0.1398	✗	1.48
2026-08-26	oos	0.002561	0.002568	+0.28%	0.001953	-23.72%	0.2388	✗	1.58
2026-08-25	oos	0.002741	0.002737	-0.15%	0.002051	-25.19%	0.2656	✓	1.59
2026-08-24	oos	0.002813	0.002797	-0.58%	0.002147	-23.68%	0.2558	✓	1.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.002679	0.002652	-1.02%	0.002273	-15.17%	0.1529	✓	1.59
2026-08-22	oos	0.002623	0.002576	-1.80%	0.002369	-9.68%	0.1078	✓	1.59
2026-08-21	oos	0.002321	0.002286	-1.53%	0.002286	-1.52%	0.0104	✓	1.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.00222	0.002149	-3.19%	0.002201	-0.83%	0.1431	✓	1.76
2026-08-19	oos	0.002071	0.001983	-4.25%	0.002561	+23.66%	0.0138	✓	1.84
2026-08-18	oos	0.002001	0.002008	+0.33%	0.002741	+36.99%	0.0984	✗	2.11
2026-08-17	oos	0.002435	0.002377	-2.39%	0.002813	+15.54%	0.2700	✓	2.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.002721	0.00265	-2.61%	0.002679	-1.54%	0.4879	✓	2.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.002724	0.002659	-2.36%	0.002623	-3.70%	0.4859	✓	2.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.002768	0.002704	-2.29%	0.002321	-16.13%	0.6685	✓	2.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.002774	0.002709	-2.35%	0.00222	-19.98%	0.5427	✓	2.44
2026-08-12	oos	0.002908	0.002823	-2.91%	0.002071	-28.79%	0.5031	✓	2.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.002851	0.002776	-2.62%	0.002001	-29.81%	0.3642	✓	2.05
2026-08-10	oos	0.002879	0.002791	-3.06%	0.002435	-15.42%	0.1545	✓	2.05
2026-08-09	oos	0.002784	0.002697	-3.12%	0.002721	-2.27%	0.0742	✗	2.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.003008	0.002886	-4.05%	0.002724	-9.45%	0.0037	✓	2.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002899	0.00281	-3.05%	0.002768	-4.52%	0.0424	✗	1.92
2026-08-06	oos	0.003063	0.002981	-2.68%	0.002774	-9.44%	0.0462	✓	1.96
2026-08-05	oos	0.00352	0.003366	-4.36%	0.002908	-17.38%	0.1099	✓	1.96
2026-08-04	oos	0.00322	0.00314	-2.51%	0.002851	-11.48%	0.0807	✓	1.95
2026-08-03	oos	0.003544	0.003449	-2.67%	0.002879	-18.77%	0.1947	✓	1.98
2026-08-02	oos	0.003796	0.003676	-3.16%	0.002784	-26.65%	0.3197	✓	1.99
2026-08-01	oos	0.003897	0.003782	-2.97%	0.003008	-22.82%	0.2962	✓	2.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.004087	0.003948	-3.39%	0.002899	-29.06%	0.3739	✓	2.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.004026	0.003831	-4.84%	0.003063	-23.91%	0.2096	✓	2.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.003978	0.003814	-4.13%	0.00352	-11.53%	0.1018	✓	1.95
2026-07-28	oos	0.00384	0.003693	-3.84%	0.00322	-16.14%	0.1431	✓	1.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.004067	0.00389	-4.37%	0.003544	-12.86%	0.0860	✓	1.96
2026-07-26	oos	0.004159	0.003878	-6.75%	0.003796	-8.72%	0.0383	✓	2.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.004036	0.003834	-5.02%	0.003897	-3.44%	0.0673	✗	2.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.003914	0.003723	-4.87%	0.004087	+4.42%	0.1371	✗	2.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.004071	0.003835	-5.80%	0.004026	-1.12%	0.0598	✗	2.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.004379	0.00409	-6.61%	0.003978	-9.15%	0.0467	✓	2.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.004947	0.00457	-7.63%	0.00384	-22.37%	0.0852	✓	2.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.004109	0.003867	-5.89%	0.004067	-1.02%	0.0969	✗	1.97
2026-07-19	oos	0.004335	0.004071	-6.10%	0.004159	-4.07%	0.0012	✓	1.99
2026-07-18	oos	0.004966	0.004597	-7.42%	0.004036	-18.72%	0.1153	✓	1.92
2026-07-17	oos	0.003998	0.003771	-5.67%	0.003914	-2.12%	0.0315	✓	1.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.003851	0.003651	-5.20%	0.004071	+5.70%	0.0727	✗	1.82
2026-07-15	oos	0.003984	0.003734	-6.28%	0.004379	+9.92%	0.1232	✗	1.73
2026-07-14	oos	0.003652	0.003457	-5.34%	0.004947	+35.47%	0.3181	✗	1.74
2026-07-13	oos	0.003994	0.003793	-5.04%	0.004109	+2.88%	0.0120	✓	1.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.004789	0.004441	-7.26%	0.004335	-9.47%	0.0516	✓	1.87
2026-07-11	oos	0.004183	0.003897	-6.83%	0.004966	+18.73%	0.2162	✗	1.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.003775	0.003516	-6.87%	0.003998	+5.90%	0.1344	✗	1.61
2026-07-09	oos	0.003099	0.002974	-4.02%	0.003851	+24.29%	0.2442	✗	1.52
2026-07-08	oos	0.002817	0.002754	-2.24%	0.003984	+41.40%	0.3091	✗	1.54
2026-07-07	oos	0.003076	0.002985	-2.96%	0.003652	+18.71%	0.1628	✗	1.49
2026-07-06	oos	0.003946	0.003768	-4.51%	0.003994	+1.21%	0.0973	✗	1.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.004679	0.004432	-5.27%	0.004789	+2.34%	0.0739	✗	1.38
2026-07-04	oos	0.004555	0.004329	-4.96%	0.004183	-8.17%	0.0493	✓	1.38
2026-07-03	oos	0.005829	0.005509	-5.49%	0.003775	-35.23%	0.4147	✓	1.45
2026-07-02	oos	0.006024	0.005682	-5.68%	0.003099	-48.56%	0.6464	✓	1.48
2026-07-01	oos	0.00711	0.006592	-7.28%	0.002817	-60.37%	0.9121	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.007826	0.007057	-9.83%	0.003076	-60.69%	0.9719	✓	1.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.008166	0.007111	-12.91%	0.003946	-51.67%	0.6991	✓	1.78
2026-06-28	oos	0.006209	0.005475	-11.82%	0.004679	-24.64%	0.2666	✓	1.64
2026-06-27	oos	0.004459	0.004149	-6.96%	0.004555	+2.16%	0.0110	✓	1.61
2026-06-26	oos	0.003925	0.003714	-5.38%	0.005829	+48.49%	0.3844	✗	1.61
2026-06-25	oos	0.00388	0.003677	-5.22%	0.006024	+55.28%	0.4461	✗	1.62
2026-06-24	oos	0.004037	0.003783	-6.30%	0.00711	+76.11%	0.6731	✗	2.49
2026-06-23	oos	0.003414	0.003277	-4.00%	0.007826	+129.22%	1.0201	✗	2.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.00327	0.003138	-4.06%	0.008166	+149.67%	1.0935	✗	2.24
2026-06-21	oos	0.003061	0.002951	-3.61%	0.006209	+102.83%	0.8809	✗	2.23
2026-06-20	oos	0.003072	0.0029	-5.62%	0.004459	+45.13%	0.5852	✗	2.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.002581	0.002472	-4.20%	0.003925	+52.11%	0.5855	✗	2.19
2026-06-18	oos	0.002174	0.002131	-1.96%	0.00388	+78.45%	0.7099	✗	2.14
2026-06-17	oos	0.002988	0.002785	-6.77%	0.004037	+35.12%	0.4789	✗	1.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.002667	0.00241	-9.63%	0.003414	+28.02%	0.4420	✗	2.02
2026-06-15	oos	0.001445	0.001361	-5.84%	0.00327	+126.27%	0.9552	✗	2.20
2026-06-14	oos	0.001098	0.001027	-6.48%	0.003061	+178.77%	1.1736	✗	2.12
2026-06-13	oos	0.0007385	0.000709928	-3.87%	0.003072	+316.02%	1.4711	✗	1.89
2026-06-12	oos	0.0006968	0.000668149	-4.11%	0.002581	+270.35%	1.3531	✗	1.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.0006502	0.000619638	-4.70%	0.002174	+234.36%	1.2754	✗	1.87
2026-06-10	oos	0.0005672	0.0005401	-4.78%	0.002988	+426.75%	1.6261	✗	1.77
2026-06-09	oos	0.000395	0.000395263	+0.07%	0.002667	+575.14%	1.7981	✓	1.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0003471	0.000353257	+1.77%	0.001445	+316.42%	1.3135	✓	1.92
2026-06-07	oos	0.0003432	0.000350648	+2.17%	0.001098	+219.96%	1.0699	✓	1.92
2026-06-06	oos	0.0002984	0.000315606	+5.77%	0.0007385	+147.49%	0.7471	✓	1.80
2026-06-05	oos	0.00033	0.000349415	+5.88%	0.0006968	+111.15%	0.6178	✓	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.0003641	0.000381456	+4.77%	0.0006502	+78.58%	0.5402	✓	1.80
2026-06-03	oos	0.0003851	0.00040401	+4.91%	0.0005672	+47.29%	0.4137	✓	1.80
2026-06-02	oos	0.0003871	0.000407614	+5.30%	0.000395	+2.04%	0.1183	✓	1.93
2026-06-01	oos	0.0005712	0.000580892	+1.70%	0.0003471	-39.23%	0.3719	✗	1.16
2026-05-31	oos	0.0006019	0.000612892	+1.83%	0.0003432	-42.98%	0.4049	✗	1.16
2026-05-30	oos	0.0006	0.00061468	+2.45%	0.0002984	-50.27%	0.4979	✗	1.17
2026-05-29	oos	0.0005629	0.000583872	+3.73%	0.00033	-41.38%	0.3592	✗	1.15
2026-05-28	oos	0.000873	0.000861794	-1.28%	0.0003641	-58.29%	0.7063	✓	1.10
2026-05-27	oos	0.000875	0.000871725	-0.37%	0.0003851	-55.99%	0.6519	✓	1.11
2026-05-26	oos	0.0009405	0.000932181	-0.88%	0.0003871	-58.84%	0.7413	✓	1.07
2026-05-25	oos	0.000918	0.000914286	-0.40%	0.0005712	-37.78%	0.3805	✓	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.000931	0.000919868	-1.20%	0.0006019	-35.35%	0.3733	✓	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.0009455	0.0009287	-1.78%	0.0006	-36.54%	0.3937	✓	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.000992	0.000966761	-2.54%	0.0005629	-43.26%	0.5082	✓	1.17
2026-05-21	oos	0.001069	0.001018	-4.80%	0.000873	-18.33%	0.0936	✓	1.12
2026-05-20	oos	0.000905	0.000884154	-2.30%	0.000875	-3.31%	0.0364	✗	1.12
2026-05-19	oos	0.000854	0.000840282	-1.61%	0.0009405	+10.13%	0.1262	✗	1.10
2026-05-18	oos	0.000854	0.000839472	-1.70%	0.000918	+7.49%	0.0851	✗	1.10
2026-05-17	oos	0.000867	0.000849487	-2.02%	0.000931	+7.38%	0.0978	✗	1.10
2026-05-16	oos	0.000918	0.000889295	-3.13%	0.0009455	+3.00%	0.0817	✗	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.00116	0.001075	-7.30%	0.000992	-14.48%	0.0377	✓	0.92
2026-05-14	oos	0.0008585	0.000840319	-2.12%	0.001069	+24.52%	0.3063	✗	1.47
2026-05-13	oos	0.000924	0.000895501	-3.08%	0.000905	-2.06%	0.0471	✗	1.58
2026-05-12	oos	0.000926	0.00090112	-2.69%	0.000854	-7.78%	0.0230	✓	1.62
2026-05-11	oos	0.000965	0.000942229	-2.36%	0.000854	-11.50%	0.0004	✓	1.62
2026-05-10	oos	0.000975	0.000953707	-2.18%	0.000867	-11.08%	0.0028	✓	1.63
2026-05-09	oos	0.001147	0.001092	-4.78%	0.000918	-19.97%	0.1153	✓	1.82
2026-05-08	oos	0.001138	0.001076	-5.41%	0.00116	+1.93%	0.1006	✗	1.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.0009895	0.000951942	-3.80%	0.0008585	-13.24%	0.1276	✓	1.82
2026-05-06	oos	0.00103	0.000998591	-3.10%	0.000924	-10.33%	0.0286	✓	1.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.001073	0.001026	-4.29%	0.000926	-13.66%	0.0933	✓	1.84
2026-05-04	oos	0.001025	0.000973962	-4.98%	0.000965	-5.85%	0.0513	✓	1.81
2026-05-03	oos	0.001002	0.000942267	-5.96%	0.000975	-2.69%	0.0476	✓	1.80
2026-05-02	oos	0.0009	0.000853178	-5.20%	0.001147	+27.44%	0.2503	✗	1.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.0011	0.001028	-6.52%	0.001138	+3.45%	0.0549	✓	1.88
2026-04-30	oos	0.001102	0.001008	-8.57%	0.0009895	-10.21%	0.1096	✓	1.93
2026-04-29	oos	0.001077	0.000976896	-9.29%	0.00103	-4.32%	0.0858	✓	1.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.00107	0.000982071	-8.22%	0.001073	+0.23%	0.0257	✓	1.95
2026-04-27	oos	0.001478	0.001368	-7.47%	0.001025	-30.65%	0.3397	✓	1.62
2026-04-26	oos	0.001527	0.001401	-8.27%	0.001002	-34.38%	0.3326	✓	1.63
2026-04-25	oos	0.001183	0.001089	-7.92%	0.0009	-23.92%	0.2098	✓	1.44
2026-04-24	oos	0.000974	0.000929721	-4.55%	0.0011	+12.94%	0.1539	✗	1.44
2026-04-23	oos	0.000981	0.000952422	-2.91%	0.001102	+12.33%	0.1714	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.00115	0.001107	-3.70%	0.001077	-6.35%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.001214	0.001135	-6.50%	0.00107	-11.86%	0.0587	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.001189	0.001104	-7.13%	0.001478	+24.31%	0.2719	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.00119	0.001071	-10.02%	0.001527	+28.32%	0.2913	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.001277	0.001171	-8.27%	0.001183	-7.36%	0.0150	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.001192	0.001122	-5.86%	0.000974	-18.29%	0.1463	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.001225	0.00111	-9.41%	0.000981	-19.92%	0.1640	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.001178	0.001063	-9.76%	0.00115	-2.38%	0.0346	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.001206	0.001062	-11.91%	0.001214	+0.66%	0.1046	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.001043	0.000940492	-9.83%	0.001189	+14.00%	0.2156	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.001063	0.00094318	-11.31%	0.00119	+11.89%	0.1900	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.001047	0.000931161	-11.06%	0.001277	+21.97%	0.2802	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.001208	0.001043	-13.66%	0.001192	-1.32%	0.0789	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.001066	0.00094853	-11.02%	0.001225	+14.92%	0.2100	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.001055	0.000944274	-10.50%	0.001178	+11.66%	0.1697	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.001057	0.000941811	-10.90%	0.001206	+14.10%	0.2162	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.001048	0.000951249	-9.23%	0.001043	-0.48%	0.0140	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.001042	0.000948644	-8.96%	0.001063	+2.06%	0.0892	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.00099	0.000918065	-7.27%	0.001047	+5.76%	0.0488	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.001044	0.000962541	-7.80%	0.001208	+15.71%	0.1408	✗	1.00