GNS

Syli · · gru_s6

token id: #462
symbol: GNS
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-02-17
predictions: 3,999

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0810

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0053

actual -0.0169

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.499	0.486734	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-20	oos	0.454	0.442329	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.408	0.402372	-1.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.4145	0.408029	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.453	0.443193	-2.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-16	oos	0.467	0.45616	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-15	oos	0.503	0.48805	-2.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-14	oos	0.535	0.512289	-4.24%	0.499	-6.73%	0.0410	✓	1.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.7175	0.65111	-9.25%	0.454	-36.72%	0.3588	✓	0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.369	0.365117	-1.05%	0.408	+10.57%	0.1103	✗	0.65
2026-10-11	oos	0.3875	0.38309	-1.14%	0.4145	+6.97%	0.0921	✗	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.3985	0.393655	-1.22%	0.453	+13.68%	0.1528	✗	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.3935	0.389439	-1.03%	0.467	+18.68%	0.1901	✗	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.3835	0.379551	-1.03%	0.503	+31.16%	0.2782	✗	0.65
2026-10-07	oos	0.3815	0.377353	-1.09%	0.535	+40.24%	0.3631	✗	0.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.403	0.400629	-0.59%	0.7175	+78.04%	0.6015	✗	0.65
2026-10-05	oos	0.4235	0.421189	-0.55%	0.369	-12.87%	0.1017	✓	0.64
2026-10-04	oos	0.426	0.424518	-0.35%	0.3875	-9.04%	0.0698	✓	0.64
2026-10-03	oos	0.421	0.418611	-0.57%	0.3985	-5.34%	0.0352	✓	0.64
2026-10-02	oos	0.432	0.430303	-0.39%	0.3935	-8.91%	0.0744	✓	0.64
2026-10-01	oos	0.461	0.459572	-0.31%	0.3835	-16.81%	0.1571	✓	0.63
2026-09-30	oos	0.467	0.464302	-0.58%	0.3815	-18.31%	0.1943	✓	0.64
2026-09-29	oos	0.483	0.480852	-0.44%	0.403	-16.56%	0.1913	✓	0.65
2026-09-28	oos	0.4795	0.477693	-0.38%	0.4235	-11.68%	0.1389	✓	0.68
2026-09-27	oos	0.507	0.50478	-0.44%	0.426	-15.98%	0.1835	✓	0.58
2026-09-26	oos	0.4785	0.478405	-0.02%	0.421	-12.02%	0.1301	✓	0.59
2026-09-25	oos	0.486	0.485514	-0.10%	0.432	-11.11%	0.1197	✓	0.59
2026-09-24	oos	0.472	0.47268	+0.14%	0.461	-2.33%	0.0283	✗	0.60
2026-09-23	oos	0.464	0.465614	+0.35%	0.467	+0.65%	0.0088	✓	0.60
2026-09-22	oos	0.4795	0.482927	+0.71%	0.483	+0.73%	0.0179	✓	0.59
2026-09-21	oos	0.45	0.454489	+1.00%	0.4795	+6.56%	0.0763	✓	0.61
2026-09-20	oos	0.4425	0.444094	+0.36%	0.507	+14.58%	0.1061	✓	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.436	0.438341	+0.54%	0.4785	+9.75%	0.0623	✓	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.4365	0.438462	+0.45%	0.486	+11.34%	0.0771	✓	0.66
2026-09-17	oos	0.416	0.416101	+0.02%	0.472	+13.46%	0.0616	✓	0.64
2026-09-16	oos	0.407	0.407966	+0.24%	0.464	+14.00%	0.0627	✓	0.64
2026-09-15	oos	0.4075	0.408774	+0.31%	0.4795	+17.67%	0.0744	✓	0.65
2026-09-14	oos	0.4255	0.427658	+0.51%	0.45	+5.76%	0.0129	✗	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.4295	0.431236	+0.40%	0.4425	+3.03%	0.0094	✗	0.64
2026-09-12	oos	0.4305	0.432836	+0.54%	0.436	+1.28%	0.0248	✗	0.64
2026-09-11	oos	0.4425	0.444506	+0.45%	0.4365	-1.36%	0.0478	✗	0.64
2026-09-10	oos	0.44	0.443492	+0.79%	0.416	-5.45%	0.0625	✗	0.63
2026-09-09	oos	0.4695	0.474929	+1.16%	0.407	-13.31%	0.1382	✗	0.58
2026-09-08	oos	0.486	0.491709	+1.17%	0.4075	-16.15%	0.1640	✗	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.487	0.493327	+1.30%	0.4255	-12.63%	0.1405	✗	0.63
2026-09-06	oos	0.488	0.495596	+1.56%	0.4295	-11.99%	0.1151	✗	0.62
2026-09-05	oos	0.4775	0.4855	+1.68%	0.4305	-9.84%	0.1002	✗	0.61
2026-09-04	oos	0.4745	0.482514	+1.69%	0.4425	-6.74%	0.0665	✗	0.64
2026-09-03	oos	0.521	0.528795	+1.50%	0.44	-15.55%	0.1489	✗	0.58
2026-09-02	oos	0.512	0.517101	+1.00%	0.4695	-8.30%	0.1049	✗	0.67
2026-09-01	oos	0.519	0.5235	+0.87%	0.486	-6.36%	0.0834	✗	0.68
2026-08-31	oos	0.521	0.526909	+1.13%	0.487	-6.53%	0.0824	✗	0.55
2026-08-30	oos	0.507	0.511498	+0.89%	0.488	-3.75%	0.0649	✗	0.53
2026-08-29	oos	0.523	0.527765	+0.91%	0.4775	-8.70%	0.1104	✗	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.523	0.52721	+0.80%	0.4745	-9.27%	0.1173	✗	0.51
2026-08-27	oos	0.534	0.542614	+1.61%	0.521	-2.43%	0.0469	✗	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.531	0.537823	+1.29%	0.512	-3.58%	0.0380	✗	0.51
2026-08-25	oos	0.536	0.54187	+1.10%	0.519	-3.17%	0.0357	✗	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.541	0.54712	+1.13%	0.521	-3.70%	0.0462	✗	0.52
2026-08-23	oos	0.554	0.558232	+0.76%	0.507	-8.48%	0.0958	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.546	0.549296	+0.60%	0.523	-4.21%	0.0573	✗	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.537	0.541986	+0.93%	0.523	-2.61%	0.0322	✗	0.55
2026-08-20	oos	0.529	0.528823	-0.03%	0.534	+0.95%	0.0496	✓	0.63
2026-08-19	oos	0.519	0.515722	-0.63%	0.531	+2.31%	0.0562	✓	0.65
2026-08-18	oos	0.502	0.496599	-1.08%	0.536	+6.77%	0.0567	✓	0.69
2026-08-17	oos	0.507	0.501932	-1.00%	0.541	+6.71%	0.0605	✓	0.67
2026-08-16	oos	0.506	0.500341	-1.12%	0.554	+9.49%	0.0438	✓	0.68
2026-08-15	oos	0.518	0.512168	-1.13%	0.546	+5.41%	0.0729	✓	0.68
2026-08-14	oos	0.524	0.517955	-1.15%	0.537	+2.48%	0.1163	✓	0.70
2026-08-13	oos	0.526	0.520007	-1.14%	0.529	+0.57%	0.0828	✓	0.71
2026-08-12	oos	0.524	0.517977	-1.15%	0.519	-0.95%	0.0638	✓	0.74
2026-08-11	oos	0.53	0.523615	-1.20%	0.502	-5.28%	0.0554	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.531	0.524422	-1.24%	0.507	-4.52%	0.0404	✓	0.76
2026-08-09	oos	0.529	0.521697	-1.38%	0.506	-4.35%	0.0066	✓	0.76
2026-08-08	oos	0.515	0.508293	-1.30%	0.518	+0.58%	0.0415	✗	0.77
2026-08-07	oos	0.504	0.497611	-1.27%	0.524	+3.97%	0.0766	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.496	0.490309	-1.15%	0.526	+6.05%	0.0813	✗	0.83
2026-08-05	oos	0.495	0.489569	-1.10%	0.524	+5.86%	0.0835	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.497	0.491644	-1.08%	0.53	+6.64%	0.0818	✗	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	0.498	0.492847	-1.03%	0.531	+6.63%	0.0687	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.499	0.494056	-0.99%	0.529	+6.01%	0.0512	✗	0.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.489	0.484597	-0.90%	0.515	+5.32%	0.0336	✗	0.81
2026-07-31	oos	0.491	0.487129	-0.79%	0.504	+2.65%	0.0078	✓	0.81
2026-07-30	oos	0.493	0.489159	-0.78%	0.496	+0.61%	0.0198	✗	0.84
2026-07-29	oos	0.487	0.483811	-0.65%	0.495	+1.64%	0.0133	✗	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.496	0.492897	-0.63%	0.497	+0.20%	0.0056	✓	0.85
2026-07-27	oos	0.498	0.495123	-0.58%	0.498	+0.00%	0.0090	✗	0.88
2026-07-26	oos	0.533	0.529171	-0.72%	0.499	-6.38%	0.0339	✓	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.538	0.53422	-0.70%	0.489	-9.11%	0.0672	✓	0.88
2026-07-24	oos	0.533	0.529682	-0.62%	0.491	-7.88%	0.0584	✓	0.88
2026-07-23	oos	0.55	0.54694	-0.56%	0.493	-10.36%	0.0994	✓	0.87
2026-07-22	oos	0.559	0.556724	-0.41%	0.487	-12.88%	0.1047	✓	0.86
2026-07-21	oos	0.559	0.557267	-0.31%	0.496	-11.27%	0.0811	✓	0.86
2026-07-20	oos	0.561	0.558975	-0.36%	0.498	-11.23%	0.0955	✓	0.85
2026-07-19	oos	0.602	0.598948	-0.51%	0.533	-11.46%	0.1256	✓	0.88
2026-07-18	oos	0.607	0.603792	-0.53%	0.538	-11.37%	0.1085	✓	0.88
2026-07-17	oos	0.614	0.610358	-0.59%	0.533	-13.19%	0.1382	✓	0.91
2026-07-16	oos	0.618	0.614061	-0.64%	0.55	-11.00%	0.1283	✓	0.91
2026-07-15	oos	0.636	0.631648	-0.68%	0.559	-12.11%	0.1413	✓	0.91
2026-07-14	oos	0.628	0.623003	-0.80%	0.559	-10.99%	0.1296	✓	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.598	0.593064	-0.83%	0.561	-6.19%	0.0967	✓	0.89
2026-07-12	oos	0.61	0.60437	-0.92%	0.602	-1.31%	0.0170	✓	0.89
2026-07-11	oos	0.614	0.608384	-0.91%	0.607	-1.14%	0.0155	✓	0.83
2026-07-10	oos	0.615	0.609574	-0.88%	0.614	-0.16%	0.0103	✗	0.84
2026-07-09	oos	0.606	0.601537	-0.74%	0.618	+1.98%	0.0191	✗	0.84
2026-07-08	oos	0.606	0.601976	-0.66%	0.636	+4.95%	0.0223	✗	0.84
2026-07-07	oos	0.615	0.610656	-0.71%	0.628	+2.11%	0.0063	✓	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.629	0.623855	-0.82%	0.598	-4.93%	0.0193	✓	0.84
2026-07-05	oos	0.636	0.630029	-0.94%	0.61	-4.09%	0.0344	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.641	0.63398	-1.10%	0.614	-4.21%	0.0411	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.635	0.62805	-1.09%	0.615	-3.15%	0.0418	✓	0.82
2026-07-02	oos	0.632	0.624732	-1.15%	0.606	-4.11%	0.0528	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.605	0.597544	-1.23%	0.606	+0.17%	0.0159	✓	0.80
2026-06-30	oos	0.568	0.56195	-1.07%	0.615	+8.27%	0.0294	✗	0.77
2026-06-29	oos	0.5255	0.522696	-0.53%	0.629	+19.70%	0.1324	✗	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.511	0.508909	-0.41%	0.636	+24.46%	0.1665	✗	0.84
2026-06-27	oos	0.518	0.51562	-0.46%	0.641	+23.75%	0.1743	✗	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.518	0.515276	-0.53%	0.635	+22.59%	0.1741	✗	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	0.515	0.511987	-0.59%	0.632	+22.72%	0.1857	✗	0.85
2026-06-24	oos	0.524	0.519796	-0.80%	0.605	+15.46%	0.1661	✗	0.85
2026-06-23	oos	0.542	0.536347	-1.04%	0.568	+4.80%	0.1155	✗	0.85
2026-06-22	oos	0.562	0.555143	-1.22%	0.5255	-6.49%	0.0035	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.57	0.562555	-1.31%	0.511	-10.35%	0.0441	✓	0.85
2026-06-20	oos	0.583	0.574526	-1.45%	0.518	-11.15%	0.0441	✓	0.86
2026-06-19	oos	0.568	0.560133	-1.38%	0.518	-8.80%	0.0299	✓	0.86
2026-06-18	oos	0.569	0.560886	-1.43%	0.515	-9.49%	0.0407	✓	0.86
2026-06-17	oos	0.585	0.575812	-1.57%	0.524	-10.43%	0.0468	✓	0.86
2026-06-16	oos	0.588	0.579019	-1.53%	0.542	-7.82%	0.0254	✓	0.88
2026-06-15	oos	0.604	0.594017	-1.65%	0.562	-6.95%	0.0229	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.6	0.589961	-1.67%	0.57	-5.00%	0.0001	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.596	0.585158	-1.82%	0.583	-2.18%	0.0008	✓	0.91
2026-06-12	oos	0.611	0.595709	-2.50%	0.568	-7.04%	0.0467	✓	0.92
2026-06-11	oos	0.563	0.553354	-1.71%	0.569	+1.07%	0.0378	✗	0.92
2026-06-10	oos	0.519	0.512677	-1.22%	0.585	+12.72%	0.0907	✗	0.87
2026-06-09	oos	0.498	0.493042	-1.00%	0.588	+18.07%	0.1222	✗	0.87
2026-06-08	oos	0.495	0.489875	-1.04%	0.604	+22.02%	0.1650	✗	0.89
2026-06-07	oos	0.481	0.477219	-0.79%	0.6	+24.74%	0.1959	✗	0.89
2026-06-06	oos	0.46	0.462386	+0.52%	0.596	+29.57%	0.2046	✓	0.86
2026-06-05	oos	0.458	0.461961	+0.86%	0.611	+33.41%	0.2453	✓	0.85
2026-06-04	oos	0.494	0.491279	-0.55%	0.563	+13.97%	0.1393	✗	0.81
2026-06-03	oos	0.53	0.523244	-1.27%	0.519	-2.08%	0.0244	✗	0.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.487	0.481874	-1.05%	0.498	+2.26%	0.1033	✗	0.91
2026-06-01	oos	0.502	0.492906	-1.81%	0.495	-1.39%	0.1153	✗	0.90
2026-05-31	oos	0.503	0.493547	-1.88%	0.481	-4.37%	0.1145	✗	0.93
2026-05-30	oos	0.502	0.492863	-1.82%	0.46	-8.37%	0.1110	✗	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.483	0.475361	-1.58%	0.458	-5.18%	0.1341	✗	0.93
2026-05-28	oos	0.464	0.458204	-1.25%	0.494	+6.47%	0.2062	✗	0.93
2026-05-27	oos	0.465	0.460895	-0.88%	0.53	+13.98%	0.2784	✗	0.93
2026-05-26	oos	0.474	0.470012	-0.84%	0.487	+2.74%	0.1556	✗	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.492	0.488147	-0.78%	0.502	+2.03%	0.1068	✗	0.99
2026-05-24	oos	0.478	0.474705	-0.69%	0.503	+5.23%	0.1024	✗	0.98
2026-05-23	oos	0.493	0.489519	-0.71%	0.502	+1.83%	0.0600	✗	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.459	0.458772	-0.05%	0.483	+5.23%	0.0763	✗	0.89
2026-05-21	oos	0.466	0.464775	-0.26%	0.464	-0.43%	0.0463	✗	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	0.455	0.4546	-0.09%	0.465	+2.20%	0.0603	✗	0.91
2026-05-19	oos	0.476	0.47695	+0.20%	0.474	-0.42%	0.0051	✓	0.91
2026-05-18	oos	0.496	0.496269	+0.05%	0.492	-0.81%	0.0125	✗	0.97
2026-05-17	oos	0.483	0.48309	+0.02%	0.478	-1.04%	0.0051	✗	0.98
2026-05-16	oos	0.52	0.51891	-0.21%	0.493	-5.19%	0.0331	✓	0.96
2026-05-15	oos	0.541	0.540249	-0.14%	0.459	-15.16%	0.1183	✓	0.95
2026-05-14	oos	0.572	0.571085	-0.16%	0.466	-18.53%	0.1617	✓	0.94
2026-05-13	oos	0.564	0.562162	-0.33%	0.455	-19.33%	0.1897	✓	0.94
2026-05-12	oos	0.594	0.593803	-0.03%	0.476	-19.87%	0.1782	✓	0.91
2026-05-11	oos	0.599	0.599231	+0.04%	0.496	-17.20%	0.1337	✗	0.92
2026-05-10	oos	0.64	0.638368	-0.26%	0.483	-24.53%	0.2237	✓	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	0.573	0.570707	-0.40%	0.52	-9.25%	0.0648	✓	0.88
2026-05-08	oos	0.563	0.560648	-0.42%	0.541	-3.91%	0.0233	✓	0.87
2026-05-07	oos	0.561	0.558918	-0.37%	0.572	+1.96%	0.0118	✗	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.553	0.55226	-0.13%	0.564	+1.99%	0.0438	✗	0.85
2026-05-05	oos	0.544	0.545102	+0.20%	0.594	+9.19%	0.0897	✓	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.554	0.554364	+0.07%	0.599	+8.12%	0.0604	✓	0.73
2026-05-03	oos	0.546	0.545571	-0.08%	0.64	+17.22%	0.1267	✗	0.73
2026-05-02	oos	0.545	0.543845	-0.21%	0.573	+5.14%	0.0342	✗	0.73
2026-05-01	oos	0.53	0.528397	-0.30%	0.563	+6.23%	0.0455	✗	0.73
2026-04-30	oos	0.5	0.498074	-0.39%	0.561	+12.20%	0.0862	✗	0.69
2026-04-29	oos	0.534	0.531421	-0.48%	0.553	+3.56%	0.0107	✓	0.70
2026-04-28	oos	0.649	0.64434	-0.72%	0.544	-16.18%	0.2094	✓	0.69
2026-04-27	oos	0.691	0.685959	-0.73%	0.554	-19.83%	0.2352	✓	0.68
2026-04-26	oos	0.705	0.701159	-0.54%	0.546	-22.55%	0.2491	✓	0.68
2026-04-25	oos	0.698	0.692154	-0.84%	0.545	-21.92%	0.2481	✓	0.69
2026-04-24	oos	0.701	0.694317	-0.95%	0.53	-24.39%	0.2769	✓	0.69
2026-04-23	oos	0.687	0.680673	-0.92%	0.5	-27.22%	0.2908	✓	0.69
2026-04-22	oos	0.696	0.68857	-1.07%	0.534	-23.28%	0.2321	✓	0.69
2026-04-21	oos	0.705	0.695547	-1.34%	0.649	-7.94%	0.0690	✓	0.70
2026-04-20	oos	0.691	0.681729	-1.34%	0.691	+0.00%	0.0001	✓	0.69
2026-04-19	oos	0.673	0.661897	-1.65%	0.705	+4.75%	0.0190	✗	0.69
2026-04-18	oos	0.707	0.697606	-1.33%	0.698	-1.27%	0.0165	✓	0.69
2026-04-17	oos	0.715	0.708883	-0.86%	0.701	-1.96%	0.0144	✓	0.69
2026-04-16	oos	0.692	0.684879	-1.03%	0.687	-0.72%	0.0246	✓	0.68
2026-04-15	oos	0.7	0.693434	-0.94%	0.696	-0.57%	0.0264	✓	0.68
2026-04-14	oos	0.712	0.704628	-1.04%	0.705	-0.98%	0.0193	✓	0.69
2026-04-13	oos	0.703	0.696802	-0.88%	0.691	-1.71%	0.0216	✓	0.70
2026-04-12	oos	0.696	0.687967	-1.15%	0.673	-3.30%	0.0505	✓	0.67
2026-04-11	oos	0.723	0.716204	-0.94%	0.707	-2.21%	0.0367	✓	0.67
2026-04-10	oos	0.727	0.721052	-0.82%	0.715	-1.65%	0.0445	✓	0.66
2026-04-09	oos	0.729	0.722818	-0.85%	0.692	-5.08%	0.0739	✓	0.66
2026-04-08	oos	0.729	0.723048	-0.82%	0.7	-3.98%	0.0665	✓	0.66
2026-04-07	oos	0.749	0.742137	-0.92%	0.712	-4.94%	0.0620	✓	0.66
2026-04-06	oos	0.724	0.715633	-1.16%	0.703	-2.90%	0.0694	✓	0.66
2026-04-05	oos	0.719	0.711715	-1.01%	0.696	-3.20%	0.0389	✓	0.66
2026-04-04	oos	0.726	0.719322	-0.92%	0.723	-0.41%	0.0496	✓	0.66
2026-04-03	oos	0.722	0.716721	-0.73%	0.727	+0.69%	0.0428	✓	0.66
2026-04-02	oos	0.723	0.718794	-0.58%	0.729	+0.83%	0.0327	✓	0.66
2026-04-01	oos	0.738	0.73349	-0.61%	0.729	-1.22%	0.0344	✓	0.66
2026-03-31	oos	0.733	0.729413	-0.49%	0.749	+2.18%	0.0084	✓	0.66
2026-03-30	oos	0.721	0.718772	-0.31%	0.724	+0.42%	0.0133	✓	0.66
2026-03-29	oos	0.711	0.709687	-0.18%	0.719	+1.13%	0.0168	✓	0.66
2026-03-28	oos	0.721	0.719876	-0.16%	0.726	+0.69%	0.0011	✓	0.66
2026-03-27	oos	0.726	0.725368	-0.09%	0.722	-0.55%	0.0106	✓	0.66
2026-03-26	oos	0.75	0.749084	-0.12%	0.723	-3.60%	0.0175	✓	0.65
2026-03-25	oos	0.786	0.785296	-0.09%	0.738	-6.11%	0.0328	✓	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.793	0.791584	-0.18%	0.733	-7.57%	0.0555	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.795	0.793932	-0.13%	0.721	-9.31%	0.0578	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.758	0.758117	+0.02%	0.711	-6.20%	0.0465	✗	0.63
2026-03-21	oos	0.776	0.777008	+0.13%	0.721	-7.09%	0.0509	✗	0.62
2026-03-20	oos	0.796	0.797075	+0.14%	0.726	-8.79%	0.0557	✗	0.62
2026-03-19	oos	0.79	0.791359	+0.17%	0.75	-5.06%	0.0434	✗	0.62
2026-03-18	oos	0.824	0.824472	+0.06%	0.786	-4.61%	0.0483	✗	0.63
2026-03-17	oos	0.885	0.883946	-0.12%	0.793	-10.40%	0.0798	✓	0.61
2026-03-16	oos	0.873	0.872512	-0.06%	0.795	-8.93%	0.0591	✓	0.62
2026-03-15	oos	0.852	0.852272	+0.03%	0.758	-11.03%	0.0735	✗	0.62
2026-03-14	oos	0.838	0.838358	+0.04%	0.776	-7.40%	0.0568	✗	0.62
2026-03-13	oos	0.835	0.8355	+0.06%	0.796	-4.67%	0.0445	✗	0.62
2026-03-12	oos	0.831	0.830975	-0.00%	0.79	-4.93%	0.0451	✓	0.62
2026-03-11	oos	0.815	0.814846	-0.02%	0.824	+1.10%	0.0020	✗	0.62
2026-03-10	oos	0.787	0.786467	-0.07%	0.885	+12.45%	0.0840	✗	0.62
2026-03-09	oos	0.787	0.785753	-0.16%	0.873	+10.93%	0.0493	✗	0.62
2026-03-08	oos	0.774	0.772715	-0.17%	0.852	+10.08%	0.0354	✗	0.63
2026-03-07	oos	0.776	0.774112	-0.24%	0.838	+7.99%	0.0430	✗	0.63
2026-03-06	oos	0.779	0.777683	-0.17%	0.835	+7.19%	0.0454	✗	0.63
2026-03-05	oos	0.796	0.79425	-0.22%	0.831	+4.40%	0.0484	✗	0.63
2026-03-04	oos	0.804	0.801453	-0.32%	0.815	+1.37%	0.0391	✗	0.64
2026-03-03	oos	0.797	0.795039	-0.25%	0.787	-1.25%	0.0259	✓	0.67
2026-03-02	oos	0.8065	0.803808	-0.33%	0.787	-2.42%	0.0172	✓	0.68
2026-03-01	oos	0.777	0.775792	-0.16%	0.774	-0.39%	0.0043	✓	0.66
2026-02-28	oos	0.796	0.793614	-0.30%	0.776	-2.51%	0.0254	✓	0.67
2026-02-27	oos	0.807	0.805071	-0.24%	0.779	-3.47%	0.0557	✓	0.68
2026-02-26	oos	0.834	0.830686	-0.40%	0.796	-4.56%	0.0758	✓	0.67
2026-02-25	oos	0.832	0.828393	-0.43%	0.804	-3.37%	0.0749	✓	0.68
2026-02-24	oos	0.76	0.760896	+0.12%	0.797	+4.87%	0.0058	✓	0.63
2026-02-23	oos	0.769	0.768602	-0.05%	0.8065	+4.88%	0.0088	✗	0.62
2026-02-22	oos	0.756	0.75539	-0.08%	0.777	+2.78%	0.0463	✗	0.65
2026-02-21	oos	0.761	0.760124	-0.12%	0.796	+4.60%	0.0558	✗	0.66
2026-02-20	oos	0.734	0.734213	+0.03%	0.807	+9.95%	0.1156	✓	0.66
2026-02-19	oos	0.711	0.713411	+0.34%	0.834	+17.30%	0.1511	✓	0.66
2026-02-18	oos	0.714	0.716889	+0.40%	0.832	+16.53%	0.1335	✓	0.66
2026-02-17	oos	0.841	0.837485	-0.42%	0.76	-9.63%	0.0648	✓	0.63
2026-02-16	oos	0.864	0.859588	-0.51%	0.769	-11.00%	0.0719	✓	0.62
2026-02-15	oos	0.861	0.857326	-0.43%	0.756	-12.20%	0.1150	✓	0.62
2026-02-14	oos	0.878	0.873918	-0.46%	0.761	-13.33%	0.1219	✓	0.62
2026-02-13	oos	0.881	0.877466	-0.40%	0.734	-16.69%	0.1710	✓	0.62
2026-02-12	oos	0.85	0.850708	+0.08%	0.711	-16.35%	0.1865	✗	0.62
2026-02-11	oos	0.816	0.818952	+0.36%	0.714	-12.50%	0.1316	✗	0.61
2026-02-10	oos	0.846	0.845907	-0.01%	0.841	-0.59%	0.0061	✗	0.61
2026-02-09	oos	0.886	0.884223	-0.20%	0.864	-2.48%	0.0124	✓	0.60
2026-02-08	oos	0.892	0.891432	-0.06%	0.861	-3.48%	0.0218	✓	0.61
2026-02-07	oos	0.903	0.905219	+0.25%	0.878	-2.77%	0.0353	✗	0.61
2026-02-06	oos	0.879	0.883405	+0.50%	0.881	+0.23%	0.0126	✓	0.62
2026-02-05	oos	0.806	0.840317	+4.26%	0.85	+5.46%	0.0197	✓	0.59
2026-02-04	oos	0.867	0.873278	+0.72%	0.816	-5.88%	0.0076	✗	0.71
2026-02-03	oos	0.896	0.897062	+0.12%	0.846	-5.58%	0.0078	✓	0.70
2026-02-02	oos	0.915	0.912121	-0.31%	0.886	-3.17%	0.0541	✗	0.72
2026-02-01	oos	0.899	0.90087	+0.21%	0.892	-0.78%	0.0545	✓	0.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.924	0.922974	-0.11%	0.903	-2.27%	0.0750	✗	0.76
2026-01-30	oos	0.948	0.941806	-0.65%	0.879	-7.28%	0.0730	✗	0.81
2026-01-29	oos	0.935	0.929998	-0.54%	0.806	-13.80%	0.0978	✗	0.81
2026-01-28	oos	0.978	0.968822	-0.94%	0.867	-11.35%	0.0531	✗	0.82
2026-01-27	oos	0.974	0.965522	-0.87%	0.896	-8.01%	0.0586	✗	0.81
2026-01-26	oos	0.949	0.941962	-0.74%	0.915	-3.58%	0.0622	✗	0.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.912	0.907312	-0.51%	0.899	-1.43%	0.0829	✗	0.78
2026-01-24	oos	0.94	0.933298	-0.71%	0.924	-1.70%	0.0865	✗	0.77
2026-01-23	oos	0.93	0.924099	-0.63%	0.948	+1.94%	0.0747	✗	0.80
2026-01-22	oos	0.912	0.906432	-0.61%	0.935	+2.52%	0.0762	✗	0.79
2026-01-21	oos	0.911	0.905276	-0.63%	0.978	+7.35%	0.0791	✗	0.80
2026-01-20	oos	0.945	0.939011	-0.63%	0.974	+3.07%	0.0292	✗	0.81
2026-01-19	oos	0.983	0.974437	-0.87%	0.949	-3.46%	0.0121	✗	0.81
2026-01-18	oos	0.991	0.982545	-0.85%	0.912	-7.97%	0.0110	✓	0.81
2026-01-17	oos	1.006	0.997876	-0.81%	0.94	-6.56%	0.0070	✓	0.81
2026-01-16	oos	1.014	1.0065	-0.74%	0.93	-8.28%	0.0263	✓	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.987	0.979495	-0.76%	0.912	-7.60%	0.0177	✓	0.81
2026-01-14	oos	1.026	1.0172	-0.85%	0.911	-11.21%	0.0457	✓	0.79
2026-01-13	oos	0.951	0.943892	-0.75%	0.945	-0.63%	0.0598	✗	0.76
2026-01-12	oos	1.007	1.0006	-0.63%	0.983	-2.38%	0.0310	✓	0.88
2026-01-11	oos	1.007	1.0019	-0.51%	0.991	-1.59%	0.0375	✓	0.89
2026-01-10	oos	1.078	1.0724	-0.52%	1.006	-6.68%	0.1106	✓	0.91
2026-01-09	oos	1.078	1.0738	-0.39%	1.014	-5.94%	0.1066	✓	0.92
2026-01-08	oos	1.087	1.0836	-0.32%	0.987	-9.20%	0.1388	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	1.116	1.1122	-0.34%	1.026	-8.06%	0.1529	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	1.157	1.1516	-0.47%	0.951	-17.80%	0.2126	✓	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	1.155	1.1499	-0.44%	1.007	-12.81%	0.0979	✓	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	1.159	1.1538	-0.45%	1.007	-13.11%	0.1276	✓	1.24
2026-01-03	oos	1.167	1.1613	-0.49%	1.078	-7.63%	0.0713	✓	1.25
2026-01-02	oos	1.162	1.1581	-0.33%	1.078	-7.23%	0.0794	✓	1.25
2026-01-01	oos	1.149	1.1469	-0.18%	1.087	-5.40%	0.0853	✓	1.24
2025-12-31	oos	1.136	1.134	-0.18%	1.116	-1.76%	0.0677	✓	1.22
2025-12-30	oos	1.135	1.1318	-0.28%	1.157	+1.94%	0.0500	✓	1.23
2025-12-29	oos	1.119	1.1175	-0.14%	1.155	+3.22%	0.0602	✓	1.25
2025-12-28	oos	1.106	1.1054	-0.06%	1.159	+4.79%	0.0030	✓	1.25
2025-12-27	oos	1.141	1.1396	-0.12%	1.167	+2.28%	0.0154	✓	1.25
2025-12-26	oos	1.203	1.2005	-0.21%	1.162	-3.41%	0.0704	✓	1.26
2025-12-25	oos	1.233	1.2313	-0.14%	1.149	-6.81%	0.0916	✓	1.26
2025-12-24	oos	1.266	1.2624	-0.28%	1.136	-10.27%	0.1039	✓	1.27
2025-12-23	oos	1.3	1.2941	-0.45%	1.135	-12.69%	0.1454	✓	1.29
2025-12-22	oos	1.286	1.2795	-0.50%	1.119	-12.99%	0.1127	✓	1.30
2025-12-21	oos	1.274	1.2682	-0.46%	1.106	-13.19%	0.1256	✓	1.30
2025-12-20	oos	1.267	1.2626	-0.34%	1.141	-9.94%	0.0934	✓	1.34
2025-12-19	oos	1.281	1.2764	-0.36%	1.203	-6.09%	0.0470	✓	1.34
2025-12-18	oos	1.218	1.2162	-0.15%	1.233	+1.23%	0.0127	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	1.229	1.2264	-0.21%	1.266	+3.01%	0.0101	✗	1.35
2025-12-16	oos	1.266	1.2599	-0.48%	1.3	+2.69%	0.0379	✗	1.34
2025-12-15	oos	1.24	1.2361	-0.32%	1.286	+3.71%	0.0068	✗	1.34
2025-12-14	oos	1.285	1.2781	-0.54%	1.274	-0.86%	0.0103	✓	1.34
2025-12-13	oos	1.321	1.3124	-0.65%	1.267	-4.09%	0.0062	✓	1.34
2025-12-12	oos	1.308	1.3015	-0.49%	1.281	-2.06%	0.0170	✗	1.34
2025-12-11	oos	1.352	1.3449	-0.53%	1.218	-9.91%	0.0080	✗	1.34
2025-12-10	oos	1.392	1.3842	-0.56%	1.229	-11.71%	0.0304	✓	1.35
2025-12-09	oos	1.44	1.4307	-0.64%	1.266	-12.08%	0.0499	✓	1.35
2025-12-08	oos	1.394	1.3878	-0.45%	1.24	-11.05%	0.0478	✓	1.35
2025-12-07	oos	1.391	1.384	-0.50%	1.285	-7.62%	0.0404	✓	1.35
2025-12-06	oos	1.416	1.4072	-0.62%	1.321	-6.71%	0.0783	✓	1.37
2025-12-05	oos	1.389	1.3808	-0.59%	1.308	-5.83%	0.0683	✓	1.37
2025-12-04	oos	1.454	1.443	-0.76%	1.352	-7.02%	0.0718	✓	1.37
2025-12-03	oos	1.482	1.4694	-0.85%	1.392	-6.07%	0.0332	✓	1.37
2025-12-02	oos	1.429	1.4184	-0.74%	1.44	+0.77%	0.0054	✓	1.37
2025-12-01	oos	1.393	1.3868	-0.44%	1.394	+0.07%	0.0663	✓	1.45
2025-11-30	oos	1.472	1.4623	-0.66%	1.391	-5.50%	0.0505	✓	1.46
2025-11-29	oos	1.4735	1.4631	-0.70%	1.416	-3.90%	0.0076	✓	1.45
2025-11-28	oos	1.492	1.4811	-0.73%	1.389	-6.90%	0.0391	✓	1.45
2025-11-27	oos	1.496	1.4843	-0.78%	1.454	-2.81%	0.0329	✓	1.46
2025-11-26	oos	1.484	1.4699	-0.95%	1.482	-0.13%	0.0389	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	1.471	1.4574	-0.93%	1.429	-2.86%	0.0865	✓	1.50
2025-11-24	oos	1.466	1.4509	-1.03%	1.393	-4.98%	0.0066	✓	1.50
2025-11-23	oos	1.396	1.3864	-0.69%	1.472	+5.44%	0.0004	✓	1.50
2025-11-22	oos	1.377	1.3711	-0.43%	1.4735	+7.01%	0.0357	✓	1.54
2025-11-21	oos	1.369	1.3659	-0.23%	1.492	+8.98%	0.0135	✓	1.53
2025-11-20	oos	1.415	1.4106	-0.31%	1.496	+5.72%	0.0236	✓	1.53
2025-11-19	oos	1.452	1.443	-0.62%	1.484	+2.20%	0.0464	✗	1.68
2025-11-18	oos	1.463	1.4519	-0.76%	1.471	+0.55%	0.1178	✗	1.69
2025-11-17	oos	1.43	1.4212	-0.61%	1.466	+2.52%	0.1035	✗	1.71
2025-11-16	oos	1.429	1.4186	-0.73%	1.396	-2.31%	0.1237	✗	1.71
2025-11-15	oos	1.451	1.4386	-0.85%	1.377	-5.10%	0.1636	✗	1.72
2025-11-14	oos	1.403	1.394	-0.64%	1.369	-2.42%	0.1622	✗	1.71
2025-11-13	oos	1.424	1.411	-0.92%	1.415	-0.63%	0.2601	✗	1.83
2025-11-12	oos	1.468	1.4527	-1.04%	1.452	-1.09%	0.1923	✗	1.83
2025-11-11	oos	1.468	1.4514	-1.13%	1.463	-0.34%	0.1986	✗	1.85
2025-11-10	oos	1.519	1.4981	-1.38%	1.43	-5.86%	0.2120	✗	1.84
2025-11-09	oos	1.509	1.4885	-1.36%	1.429	-5.30%	0.1566	✗	1.87
2025-11-08	oos	1.483	1.4641	-1.27%	1.451	-2.16%	0.1197	✗	1.89
2025-11-07	oos	1.522	1.4988	-1.53%	1.403	-7.82%	0.0969	✗	1.83
2025-11-06	oos	1.378	1.3656	-0.90%	1.424	+3.34%	0.0718	✗	1.79
2025-11-05	oos	1.397	1.3813	-1.12%	1.468	+5.08%	0.1001	✗	1.81
2025-11-04	oos	1.345	1.3332	-0.88%	1.468	+9.14%	0.0687	✗	1.83
2025-11-03	oos	1.391	1.3746	-1.18%	1.519	+9.20%	0.1104	✗	1.92
2025-11-02	oos	1.527	1.5047	-1.46%	1.509	-1.18%	0.1057	✗	1.89
2025-11-01	oos	1.5255	1.5039	-1.42%	1.483	-2.79%	0.1256	✗	1.91
2025-10-31	oos	1.496	1.4757	-1.36%	1.522	+1.74%	0.1435	✗	1.91
2025-10-30	oos	1.455	1.437	-1.23%	1.378	-5.29%	0.0859	✗	1.91
2025-10-29	oos	1.455	1.4377	-1.19%	1.397	-3.99%	0.0831	✗	1.94
2025-10-28	oos	1.457	1.4402	-1.15%	1.345	-7.69%	0.1441	✗	1.99
2025-10-27	oos	1.471	1.4537	-1.18%	1.391	-5.44%	0.0919	✗	1.99
2025-10-26	oos	1.496	1.4771	-1.26%	1.527	+2.07%	0.1042	✗	1.99
2025-10-25	oos	1.432	1.4163	-1.09%	1.5255	+6.53%	0.1034	✗	2.00
2025-10-24	oos	1.428	1.4129	-1.06%	1.496	+4.76%	0.0844	✗	2.02
2025-10-23	oos	1.4	1.3879	-0.87%	1.455	+3.93%	0.0806	✗	2.02
2025-10-22	oos	1.389	1.3799	-0.66%	1.455	+4.75%	0.0071	✗	2.04
2025-10-21	oos	1.386	1.3782	-0.56%	1.457	+5.12%	0.0285	✓	2.05
2025-10-20	oos	1.408	1.3987	-0.66%	1.471	+4.47%	0.0148	✓	2.08
2025-10-19	oos	1.399	1.3932	-0.42%	1.496	+6.93%	0.0368	✓	2.05
2025-10-18	oos	1.375	1.3743	-0.05%	1.432	+4.15%	0.0427	✓	2.06
2025-10-17	oos	1.356	1.3619	+0.44%	1.428	+5.31%	0.0391	✗	2.05
2025-10-16	oos	1.341	1.3475	+0.48%	1.4	+4.40%	0.0017	✓	2.08
2025-10-15	oos	1.37	1.3725	+0.18%	1.389	+1.39%	0.0741	✓	2.11
2025-10-14	oos	1.399	1.3994	+0.03%	1.386	-0.93%	0.0807	✓	2.13
2025-10-13	oos	1.44	1.4378	-0.15%	1.408	-2.22%	0.0681	✗	2.14
2025-10-12	oos	1.342	1.347	+0.38%	1.399	+4.25%	0.1569	✓	2.08
2025-10-11	oos	1.288	1.3044	+1.28%	1.375	+6.75%	0.1221	✓	2.12
2025-10-10	oos	1.341	1.3488	+0.58%	1.356	+1.12%	0.1307	✓	2.11
2025-10-09	oos	1.685	1.673	-0.71%	1.341	-20.42%	0.0019	✓	1.86
2025-10-08	oos	1.772	1.7568	-0.86%	1.37	-22.69%	0.0486	✓	1.87
2025-10-07	oos	1.751	1.7348	-0.93%	1.399	-20.10%	0.0847	✓	1.84
2025-10-06	oos	1.868	1.8491	-1.01%	1.44	-22.91%	0.1088	✓	1.79
2025-10-05	oos	1.818	1.7982	-1.09%	1.342	-26.18%	0.1657	✓	1.79
2025-10-04	oos	1.855	1.8346	-1.10%	1.288	-30.57%	0.1726	✓	1.81
2025-10-03	oos	1.903	1.8812	-1.15%	1.341	-29.53%	0.1950	✓	1.81
2025-10-02	oos	1.983	1.9569	-1.32%	1.685	-15.03%	0.1663	✓	1.85
2025-10-01	oos	1.92	1.8972	-1.19%	1.772	-7.71%	0.1399	✓	1.85
2025-09-30	oos	1.804	1.7864	-0.98%	1.751	-2.94%	0.1362	✓	1.87
2025-09-29	oos	1.881	1.8592	-1.16%	1.868	-0.69%	0.1462	✓	1.74
2025-09-28	oos	1.84	1.8228	-0.94%	1.818	-1.20%	0.1741	✓	1.78
2025-09-27	oos	1.806	1.7959	-0.56%	1.855	+2.71%	0.1718	✓	1.85
2025-09-26	oos	1.787	1.7781	-0.50%	1.903	+6.49%	0.1357	✓	1.87
2025-09-25	oos	1.729	1.7221	-0.40%	1.983	+14.69%	0.0478	✓	1.87
2025-09-24	oos	1.87	1.851	-1.02%	1.92	+2.67%	0.0485	✓	1.86
2025-09-23	oos	1.83	1.814	-0.87%	1.804	-1.42%	0.0394	✓	1.87
2025-09-22	oos	1.925	1.9039	-1.09%	1.881	-2.29%	0.0404	✓	1.97
2025-09-21	oos	2.176	2.1435	-1.49%	1.84	-15.44%	0.1028	✓	1.84
2025-09-20	oos	2.156	2.125	-1.44%	1.806	-16.23%	0.0827	✓	1.48
2025-09-19	oos	2.134	2.1039	-1.41%	1.787	-16.26%	0.0963	✓	1.26
2025-09-18	oos	2.295	2.258	-1.61%	1.729	-24.66%	0.1814	✓	1.20
2025-09-17	oos	2.329	2.2901	-1.67%	1.87	-19.71%	0.1707	✓	1.17

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.