FLR

Flare · Flare · gru_s6

token id: #342
symbol: FLR
variant: –
chain: Flare
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-04-14
predictions: 3,819

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

69.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1114

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0233

actual -0.0614

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.006397	0.006012	-6.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-20	oos	0.006418	0.006054	-5.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-19	oos	0.006385	0.006015	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-18	oos	0.006418	0.006024	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-17	oos	0.006488	0.006061	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.006633	0.00618	-6.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.006687	0.006243	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.006693	0.006248	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.006851	0.006416	-6.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-12	oos	0.006849	0.006389	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-11	oos	0.006991	0.006549	-6.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-10	oos	0.006984	0.006547	-6.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-09	oos	0.007045	0.006593	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-08	oos	0.006806	0.006369	-6.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-07	oos	0.006975	0.00656	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-06	oos	0.007272	0.006886	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-05	oos	0.007223	0.006871	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-04	oos	0.007303	0.00697	-4.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-03	oos	0.007178	0.006819	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-02	oos	0.007204	0.006862	-4.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-01	oos	0.007389	0.007058	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.007366	0.007027	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.00753	0.007182	-4.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-28	oos	0.007162	0.006883	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.007128	0.006917	-2.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.007357	0.007103	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-25	oos	0.007334	0.00711	-3.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-24	oos	0.00718	0.007016	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.00711	0.006992	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.007207	0.007172	-0.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.006935	0.006958	+0.34%	0.006397	-7.76%	0.0350	✗	1.07
2026-09-20	oos	0.00659	0.006453	-2.08%	0.006418	-2.60%	0.0293	✓	1.10
2026-09-19	oos	0.006636	0.006523	-1.71%	0.006385	-3.77%	0.0294	✓	1.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.00663	0.006512	-1.78%	0.006418	-3.20%	0.0297	✓	1.09
2026-09-17	oos	0.00642	0.006156	-4.12%	0.006488	+1.05%	0.0198	✓	1.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.00633	0.006094	-3.73%	0.006633	+4.80%	0.0079	✓	1.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.0063	0.006074	-3.59%	0.006687	+6.14%	0.0029	✓	1.12
2026-09-14	oos	0.00662	0.006456	-2.47%	0.006693	+1.11%	0.0114	✓	1.12
2026-09-13	oos	0.006403	0.006202	-3.13%	0.006851	+7.00%	0.0117	✓	1.11
2026-09-12	oos	0.006516	0.006361	-2.39%	0.006849	+5.11%	0.0115	✓	1.11
2026-09-11	oos	0.006377	0.006251	-1.98%	0.006991	+9.62%	0.0224	✗	1.11
2026-09-10	oos	0.006306	0.006196	-1.74%	0.006984	+10.75%	0.0313	✗	1.10
2026-09-09	oos	0.00642	0.006423	+0.04%	0.007045	+9.72%	0.0336	✓	1.11
2026-09-08	oos	0.006536	0.006552	+0.25%	0.006806	+4.13%	0.0093	✗	1.17
2026-09-07	oos	0.006562	0.006608	+0.70%	0.006975	+6.29%	0.0064	✓	1.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.006713	0.006826	+1.68%	0.007272	+8.33%	0.0107	✓	1.18
2026-09-05	oos	0.006718	0.006851	+1.99%	0.007223	+7.52%	0.0313	✗	1.18
2026-09-04	oos	0.006726	0.006893	+2.48%	0.007303	+8.58%	0.0403	✗	1.19
2026-09-03	oos	0.006957	0.007231	+3.94%	0.007178	+3.18%	0.0571	✗	1.19
2026-09-02	oos	0.006749	0.006825	+1.12%	0.007204	+6.74%	0.0551	✗	1.23
2026-09-01	oos	0.006678	0.006807	+1.94%	0.007389	+10.64%	0.0309	✗	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.007054	0.007272	+3.09%	0.007366	+4.43%	0.0579	✗	1.15
2026-08-30	oos	0.00631	0.006433	+1.94%	0.00753	+19.34%	0.0780	✓	1.07
2026-08-29	oos	0.006313	0.006502	+2.99%	0.007162	+13.43%	0.0276	✓	1.07
2026-08-28	oos	0.006346	0.006548	+3.19%	0.007128	+12.32%	0.0023	✓	1.07
2026-08-27	oos	0.006703	0.007068	+5.45%	0.007357	+9.75%	0.0129	✓	1.05
2026-08-26	oos	0.006497	0.006778	+4.32%	0.007334	+12.88%	0.0139	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.006585	0.006853	+4.08%	0.00718	+9.04%	0.0291	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.00693	0.00723	+4.33%	0.00711	+2.60%	0.0856	✗	1.04
2026-08-23	oos	0.007203	0.007447	+3.38%	0.007207	+0.06%	0.1423	✗	1.06
2026-08-22	oos	0.007129	0.007357	+3.20%	0.006935	-2.72%	0.1827	✗	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.007597	0.007914	+4.18%	0.00659	-13.26%	0.2200	✗	1.04
2026-08-20	oos	0.00695	0.006924	-0.37%	0.006636	-4.52%	0.1499	✓	1.01
2026-08-19	oos	0.006392	0.006252	-2.20%	0.00663	+3.72%	0.0875	✓	0.95
2026-08-18	oos	0.005872	0.005665	-3.53%	0.00642	+9.33%	0.0231	✓	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.00595	0.00573	-3.70%	0.00633	+6.38%	0.0504	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.00591	0.005678	-3.93%	0.0063	+6.60%	0.0652	✓	0.92
2026-08-15	oos	0.00597	0.005745	-3.77%	0.00662	+10.88%	0.0575	✓	0.92
2026-08-14	oos	0.00598	0.005776	-3.42%	0.006403	+7.07%	0.0805	✓	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.00601	0.005832	-2.96%	0.006516	+8.43%	0.0719	✓	0.93
2026-08-12	oos	0.00602	0.005847	-2.88%	0.006377	+5.93%	0.0921	✓	0.91
2026-08-11	oos	0.00606	0.005891	-2.79%	0.006306	+4.06%	0.1115	✓	0.96
2026-08-10	oos	0.00606	0.005888	-2.84%	0.00642	+5.95%	0.1083	✓	0.96
2026-08-09	oos	0.00611	0.005922	-3.08%	0.006536	+6.97%	0.0840	✓	0.96
2026-08-08	oos	0.0061	0.005887	-3.50%	0.006562	+7.58%	0.0806	✓	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.00601	0.005788	-3.69%	0.006713	+11.70%	0.0627	✓	0.99
2026-08-06	oos	0.00596	0.005734	-3.78%	0.006718	+12.72%	0.0568	✓	0.99
2026-08-05	oos	0.00599	0.005761	-3.83%	0.006726	+12.29%	0.0539	✓	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.00611	0.005861	-4.08%	0.006957	+13.86%	0.0658	✓	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.0063	0.006038	-4.16%	0.006749	+7.13%	0.0895	✓	1.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00633	0.006075	-4.03%	0.006678	+5.50%	0.1067	✓	1.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.006245	0.006006	-3.83%	0.007054	+12.95%	0.0651	✓	1.01
2026-07-31	oos	0.00626	0.00604	-3.51%	0.00631	+0.80%	0.1698	✓	1.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.00629	0.006086	-3.24%	0.006313	+0.37%	0.1587	✓	1.03
2026-07-29	oos	0.006305	0.006104	-3.19%	0.006346	+0.65%	0.1624	✓	1.02
2026-07-28	oos	0.006245	0.006064	-2.90%	0.006703	+7.33%	0.1321	✓	1.01
2026-07-27	oos	0.006285	0.006143	-2.25%	0.006497	+3.37%	0.1633	✓	1.02
2026-07-26	oos	0.00644	0.006329	-1.72%	0.006585	+2.25%	0.1478	✓	1.02
2026-07-25	oos	0.00642	0.006305	-1.79%	0.00693	+7.94%	0.1176	✓	1.03
2026-07-24	oos	0.0064	0.00629	-1.73%	0.007203	+12.55%	0.0622	✓	1.02
2026-07-23	oos	0.00647	0.006361	-1.68%	0.007129	+10.19%	0.0598	✓	1.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.00665	0.00655	-1.50%	0.007597	+14.24%	0.0246	✓	1.02
2026-07-21	oos	0.006785	0.006692	-1.37%	0.00695	+2.43%	0.0567	✓	1.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.006445	0.006353	-1.43%	0.006392	-0.82%	0.0525	✓	0.96
2026-07-19	oos	0.00651	0.006418	-1.41%	0.005872	-9.80%	0.0890	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	0.00656	0.006488	-1.10%	0.00595	-9.30%	0.0818	✓	0.96
2026-07-17	oos	0.00654	0.00647	-1.06%	0.00591	-9.63%	0.0744	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	0.006635	0.006575	-0.90%	0.00597	-10.02%	0.0849	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	0.00662	0.006563	-0.85%	0.00598	-9.67%	0.0662	✓	0.99
2026-07-14	oos	0.00664	0.006598	-0.64%	0.00601	-9.49%	0.0692	✓	0.99
2026-07-13	oos	0.00639	0.006373	-0.27%	0.00602	-5.79%	0.0751	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.006465	0.006459	-0.09%	0.00606	-6.26%	0.0605	✓	1.01
2026-07-11	oos	0.006645	0.006618	-0.40%	0.00606	-8.80%	0.0903	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.00666	0.006636	-0.36%	0.00611	-8.26%	0.0937	✓	0.99
2026-07-09	oos	0.006605	0.006572	-0.50%	0.0061	-7.65%	0.1016	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.00657	0.006549	-0.32%	0.00601	-8.52%	0.1278	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.00674	0.006706	-0.51%	0.00596	-11.57%	0.1327	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00689	0.006839	-0.73%	0.00599	-13.06%	0.1420	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.007025	0.006953	-1.02%	0.00611	-13.02%	0.1364	✓	0.97
2026-07-04	oos	0.00706	0.006992	-0.96%	0.0063	-10.76%	0.1101	✓	0.98
2026-07-03	oos	0.00701	0.006929	-1.15%	0.00633	-9.70%	0.1053	✓	0.95
2026-07-02	oos	0.00669	0.006615	-1.13%	0.006245	-6.65%	0.0768	✓	0.94
2026-07-01	oos	0.00643	0.006354	-1.18%	0.00626	-2.64%	0.0581	✓	0.92
2026-06-30	oos	0.00641	0.006331	-1.23%	0.00629	-1.87%	0.0993	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.006575	0.006487	-1.34%	0.006305	-4.11%	0.0840	✓	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.006595	0.0065	-1.45%	0.006245	-5.31%	0.1047	✓	0.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.006665	0.006563	-1.52%	0.006285	-5.70%	0.0991	✓	0.92
2026-06-26	oos	0.0068	0.006693	-1.58%	0.00644	-5.29%	0.1168	✓	0.92
2026-06-25	oos	0.00682	0.006724	-1.41%	0.00642	-5.87%	0.1144	✓	0.92
2026-06-24	oos	0.00696	0.006859	-1.46%	0.0064	-8.05%	0.1149	✓	0.92
2026-06-23	oos	0.00707	0.006949	-1.71%	0.00647	-8.49%	0.1056	✓	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	0.007345	0.007155	-2.58%	0.00665	-9.46%	0.1025	✓	0.89
2026-06-21	oos	0.007395	0.007175	-2.98%	0.006785	-8.25%	0.1012	✓	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	0.00742	0.007186	-3.16%	0.006445	-13.14%	0.1222	✓	0.88
2026-06-19	oos	0.00739	0.007161	-3.10%	0.00651	-11.91%	0.1119	✓	0.88
2026-06-18	oos	0.00737	0.007153	-2.94%	0.00656	-10.99%	0.1131	✓	0.88
2026-06-17	oos	0.00754	0.007289	-3.33%	0.00654	-13.26%	0.1008	✓	0.88
2026-06-16	oos	0.00773	0.007464	-3.44%	0.006635	-14.17%	0.0929	✓	0.87
2026-06-15	oos	0.00798	0.007717	-3.29%	0.00662	-17.04%	0.1327	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.00805	0.007788	-3.25%	0.00664	-17.52%	0.1499	✓	0.88
2026-06-13	oos	0.00789	0.007642	-3.14%	0.00639	-19.01%	0.1493	✓	0.87
2026-06-12	oos	0.00794	0.007678	-3.30%	0.006465	-18.58%	0.1747	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.00752	0.007288	-3.08%	0.006645	-11.64%	0.0952	✓	0.87
2026-06-10	oos	0.006835	0.00666	-2.56%	0.00666	-2.56%	0.0342	✓	0.80
2026-06-09	oos	0.006995	0.006809	-2.66%	0.006605	-5.58%	0.0494	✓	0.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0073	0.007068	-3.18%	0.00657	-10.00%	0.0628	✓	0.78
2026-06-07	oos	0.00716	0.006948	-2.96%	0.00674	-5.87%	0.0307	✓	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.00675	0.006616	-1.99%	0.00689	+2.07%	0.0039	✓	0.73
2026-06-05	oos	0.00671	0.006573	-2.04%	0.007025	+4.69%	0.0369	✗	0.72
2026-06-04	oos	0.00712	0.006871	-3.50%	0.00706	-0.84%	0.0349	✓	0.68
2026-06-03	oos	0.00717	0.006881	-4.04%	0.00701	-2.23%	0.0353	✓	0.69
2026-06-02	oos	0.00716	0.00683	-4.60%	0.00669	-6.56%	0.0380	✓	0.73
2026-06-01	oos	0.00754	0.007137	-5.35%	0.00643	-14.72%	0.0128	✓	0.68
2026-05-31	oos	0.00772	0.007298	-5.47%	0.00641	-16.97%	0.0243	✓	0.67
2026-05-30	oos	0.00773	0.00731	-5.43%	0.006575	-14.94%	0.0230	✓	0.63
2026-05-29	oos	0.00775	0.007318	-5.57%	0.006595	-14.90%	0.0285	✓	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.0078	0.007338	-5.93%	0.006665	-14.55%	0.0332	✓	0.63
2026-05-27	oos	0.008	0.007528	-5.91%	0.0068	-15.00%	0.0346	✓	0.64
2026-05-26	oos	0.00816	0.007698	-5.66%	0.00682	-16.42%	0.0309	✓	0.64
2026-05-25	oos	0.008285	0.007836	-5.42%	0.00696	-15.99%	0.0400	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.00829	0.007841	-5.42%	0.00707	-14.72%	0.0337	✓	0.67
2026-05-23	oos	0.00842	0.007974	-5.30%	0.007345	-12.77%	0.0363	✓	0.65
2026-05-22	oos	0.00826	0.007824	-5.28%	0.007395	-10.47%	0.0590	✗	0.65
2026-05-21	oos	0.00843	0.008021	-4.86%	0.00742	-11.98%	0.0453	✓	0.65
2026-05-20	oos	0.008415	0.008017	-4.73%	0.00739	-12.18%	0.0492	✗	0.66
2026-05-19	oos	0.008265	0.007899	-4.42%	0.00737	-10.83%	0.0603	✗	0.65
2026-05-18	oos	0.00845	0.008098	-4.17%	0.00754	-10.77%	0.0451	✗	0.66
2026-05-17	oos	0.00906	0.008649	-4.53%	0.00773	-14.68%	0.0062	✓	0.64
2026-05-16	oos	0.00921	0.008825	-4.18%	0.00798	-13.36%	0.0045	✓	0.64
2026-05-15	oos	0.00934	0.008997	-3.68%	0.00805	-13.81%	0.0070	✓	0.64
2026-05-14	oos	0.009375	0.00908	-3.14%	0.00789	-15.84%	0.0108	✓	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.00863	0.008337	-3.40%	0.00794	-8.00%	0.0869	✗	0.61
2026-05-12	oos	0.00869	0.00845	-2.76%	0.00752	-13.46%	0.0278	✓	0.61
2026-05-11	oos	0.00874	0.008541	-2.27%	0.006835	-21.80%	0.0486	✓	0.61
2026-05-10	oos	0.00868	0.008528	-1.75%	0.006995	-19.41%	0.0233	✓	0.61
2026-05-09	oos	0.00817	0.007986	-2.25%	0.0073	-10.65%	0.0548	✗	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.00802	0.007839	-2.26%	0.00716	-10.72%	0.0479	✗	0.59
2026-05-07	oos	0.00781	0.007638	-2.21%	0.00675	-13.57%	0.0387	✗	0.59
2026-05-06	oos	0.00781	0.007709	-1.29%	0.00671	-14.08%	0.0500	✗	0.65
2026-05-05	oos	0.007625	0.00751	-1.51%	0.00712	-6.62%	0.0919	✗	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.00754	0.007383	-2.08%	0.00717	-4.91%	0.1055	✗	0.61
2026-05-03	oos	0.00753	0.007358	-2.29%	0.00716	-4.91%	0.0710	✗	0.60
2026-05-02	oos	0.00757	0.007402	-2.22%	0.00754	-0.40%	0.0767	✗	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.0075	0.007337	-2.18%	0.00772	+2.93%	0.0864	✗	0.58
2026-04-30	oos	0.00746	0.007228	-3.11%	0.00773	+3.62%	0.0867	✗	0.58
2026-04-29	oos	0.007515	0.007268	-3.29%	0.00775	+3.13%	0.0828	✗	0.58
2026-04-28	oos	0.0076	0.007342	-3.40%	0.0078	+2.63%	0.0823	✗	0.58
2026-04-27	oos	0.00774	0.007518	-2.86%	0.008	+3.36%	0.0854	✗	0.58
2026-04-26	oos	0.00792	0.007748	-2.17%	0.00816	+3.03%	0.0731	✗	0.58
2026-04-25	oos	0.00791	0.007654	-3.23%	0.008285	+4.74%	0.0822	✗	0.58
2026-04-24	oos	0.00793	0.007659	-3.42%	0.00829	+4.54%	0.0829	✗	0.59
2026-04-23	oos	0.00793	0.007731	-2.51%	0.00842	+6.18%	0.0979	✗	0.59
2026-04-22	oos	0.007995	0.007832	-2.04%	0.00826	+3.31%	0.0745	✗	0.59
2026-04-21	oos	0.008055	0.007826	-2.84%	0.00843	+4.66%	0.0650	✗	0.60
2026-04-20	oos	0.008115	0.007865	-3.08%	0.008415	+3.70%	0.0549	✗	0.60
2026-04-19	oos	0.00793	0.007634	-3.73%	0.008265	+4.22%	0.0555	✗	0.61
2026-04-18	oos	0.00815	0.007936	-2.62%	0.00845	+3.68%	0.0531	✗	0.61
2026-04-17	oos	0.008465	0.008315	-1.78%	0.00906	+7.03%	0.0834	✗	0.61
2026-04-16	oos	0.00828	0.008073	-2.50%	0.00921	+11.23%	0.1085	✗	0.61
2026-04-15	oos	0.00811	0.007891	-2.70%	0.00934	+15.17%	0.1354	✗	0.60
2026-04-14	oos	0.00803	0.00779	-2.99%	0.009375	+16.75%	0.1313	✗	0.61
2026-04-13	oos	0.00806	0.007827	-2.89%	0.00863	+7.07%	0.0597	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.0077	0.007408	-3.79%	0.00869	+12.86%	0.0835	✗	0.59
2026-04-11	oos	0.00792	0.007662	-3.26%	0.00874	+10.35%	0.0657	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.00764	0.007401	-3.12%	0.00868	+13.61%	0.0895	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.00754	0.007297	-3.22%	0.00817	+8.36%	0.0447	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.00746	0.007212	-3.32%	0.00802	+7.51%	0.0356	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.0076	0.007345	-3.36%	0.00781	+2.76%	0.0010	✓	0.58
2026-04-06	oos	0.00745	0.007191	-3.48%	0.00781	+4.83%	0.0178	✓	0.60
2026-04-05	oos	0.00748	0.007239	-3.22%	0.007625	+1.94%	0.0433	✓	0.60
2026-04-04	oos	0.007535	0.0073	-3.12%	0.00754	+0.07%	0.0741	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.00756	0.007347	-2.82%	0.00753	-0.40%	0.0761	✓	0.63
2026-04-02	oos	0.00771	0.007514	-2.54%	0.00757	-1.82%	0.0954	✓	0.63
2026-04-01	oos	0.0076	0.007426	-2.29%	0.0075	-1.32%	0.0783	✓	0.64
2026-03-31	oos	0.007835	0.007656	-2.28%	0.00746	-4.79%	0.0987	✓	0.65
2026-03-30	oos	0.00785	0.007669	-2.31%	0.007515	-4.27%	0.1036	✓	0.66
2026-03-29	oos	0.00767	0.007488	-2.38%	0.0076	-0.91%	0.0795	✓	0.65
2026-03-28	oos	0.0078	0.00762	-2.30%	0.00774	-0.77%	0.0840	✓	0.65
2026-03-27	oos	0.007665	0.00753	-1.76%	0.00792	+3.33%	0.0596	✓	0.65
2026-03-26	oos	0.00794	0.007829	-1.40%	0.00791	-0.38%	0.0679	✓	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.008035	0.007959	-0.95%	0.00793	-1.31%	0.0574	✓	0.65
2026-03-24	oos	0.00812	0.008039	-0.99%	0.00793	-2.34%	0.0816	✓	0.65
2026-03-23	oos	0.008165	0.008089	-0.93%	0.007995	-2.08%	0.0759	✓	0.65
2026-03-22	oos	0.007995	0.007923	-0.90%	0.008055	+0.75%	0.0611	✓	0.66
2026-03-21	oos	0.00817	0.008102	-0.84%	0.008115	-0.67%	0.0615	✓	0.66
2026-03-20	oos	0.00831	0.008285	-0.30%	0.00793	-4.57%	0.0741	✓	0.66
2026-03-19	oos	0.00834	0.008367	+0.32%	0.00815	-2.28%	0.0788	✗	0.66
2026-03-18	oos	0.00841	0.008463	+0.63%	0.008465	+0.65%	0.0525	✗	0.67
2026-03-17	oos	0.00871	0.00878	+0.80%	0.00828	-4.94%	0.0696	✗	0.67
2026-03-16	oos	0.008915	0.008968	+0.60%	0.00811	-9.03%	0.1002	✗	0.67
2026-03-15	oos	0.00879	0.008801	+0.13%	0.00803	-8.65%	0.1039	✗	0.66
2026-03-14	oos	0.00868	0.008671	-0.11%	0.00806	-7.14%	0.1026	✓	0.67
2026-03-13	oos	0.00879	0.008812	+0.24%	0.0077	-12.40%	0.1330	✗	0.67
2026-03-12	oos	0.00888	0.00889	+0.11%	0.00792	-10.81%	0.1395	✗	0.67
2026-03-11	oos	0.00895	0.00892	-0.34%	0.00764	-14.64%	0.1812	✓	0.68
2026-03-10	oos	0.00901	0.008942	-0.75%	0.00754	-16.32%	0.1881	✓	0.68
2026-03-09	oos	0.008965	0.008913	-0.58%	0.00746	-16.79%	0.2038	✓	0.68
2026-03-08	oos	0.00889	0.008856	-0.38%	0.0076	-14.51%	0.2117	✓	0.68
2026-03-07	oos	0.00895	0.008921	-0.32%	0.00745	-16.76%	0.1962	✓	0.68
2026-03-06	oos	0.00887	0.008876	+0.07%	0.00748	-15.67%	0.1801	✗	0.68
2026-03-05	oos	0.00921	0.009206	-0.04%	0.007535	-18.19%	0.1650	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.00939	0.009383	-0.07%	0.00756	-19.49%	0.1605	✓	0.68
2026-03-03	oos	0.00927	0.009244	-0.28%	0.00771	-16.83%	0.1664	✓	0.71
2026-03-02	oos	0.00926	0.009236	-0.26%	0.0076	-17.93%	0.1876	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.009315	0.009274	-0.44%	0.007835	-15.89%	0.1951	✓	0.72
2026-02-28	oos	0.00942	0.009374	-0.49%	0.00785	-16.67%	0.1749	✓	0.75
2026-02-27	oos	0.00929	0.00923	-0.64%	0.00767	-17.44%	0.1863	✓	0.75
2026-02-26	oos	0.00958	0.009476	-1.08%	0.0078	-18.58%	0.1815	✓	0.75
2026-02-25	oos	0.00971	0.009571	-1.43%	0.007665	-21.06%	0.2038	✓	0.75
2026-02-24	oos	0.00915	0.009018	-1.44%	0.00794	-13.22%	0.1799	✓	0.74
2026-02-23	oos	0.00907	0.008926	-1.58%	0.008035	-11.41%	0.1795	✓	0.76
2026-02-22	oos	0.00926	0.00908	-1.94%	0.00812	-12.31%	0.1440	✓	0.76
2026-02-21	oos	0.00953	0.009329	-2.11%	0.008165	-14.32%	0.1658	✓	0.77
2026-02-20	oos	0.009415	0.009225	-2.01%	0.007995	-15.08%	0.1415	✓	0.79
2026-02-19	oos	0.00928	0.009139	-1.52%	0.00817	-11.96%	0.1346	✓	0.79
2026-02-18	oos	0.009415	0.009244	-1.81%	0.00831	-11.74%	0.1537	✓	0.79
2026-02-17	oos	0.00975	0.00952	-2.36%	0.00834	-14.46%	0.1601	✓	0.78
2026-02-16	oos	0.00983	0.00959	-2.44%	0.00841	-14.45%	0.1580	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.009795	0.009578	-2.22%	0.00871	-11.08%	0.1512	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.00991	0.009694	-2.18%	0.008915	-10.04%	0.1390	✓	0.78
2026-02-13	oos	0.0095	0.009318	-1.92%	0.00879	-7.47%	0.1023	✓	0.77
2026-02-12	oos	0.00941	0.009271	-1.48%	0.00868	-7.76%	0.1235	✓	0.79
2026-02-11	oos	0.00944	0.009264	-1.87%	0.00879	-6.89%	0.0974	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.00956	0.009333	-2.38%	0.00888	-7.11%	0.0696	✓	0.80
2026-02-09	oos	0.00961	0.009365	-2.55%	0.00895	-6.87%	0.0466	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.0096	0.009383	-2.26%	0.00901	-6.15%	0.0369	✓	0.81
2026-02-07	oos	0.00956	0.009383	-1.85%	0.008965	-6.22%	0.0360	✓	0.81
2026-02-06	oos	0.00986	0.009672	-1.90%	0.00889	-9.84%	0.0300	✓	0.81
2026-02-05	oos	0.00898	0.008926	-0.60%	0.00895	-0.33%	0.0531	✓	0.81
2026-02-04	oos	0.00973	0.009483	-2.54%	0.00887	-8.84%	0.0011	✓	0.98
2026-02-03	oos	0.01	0.009671	-3.29%	0.00921	-7.90%	0.0148	✓	0.98
2026-02-02	oos	0.00997	0.009633	-3.38%	0.00939	-5.82%	0.0583	✗	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.01006	0.009737	-3.21%	0.00927	-7.85%	0.0711	✗	1.02
2026-01-31	oos	0.00969	0.009405	-2.94%	0.00926	-4.44%	0.1370	✗	1.14
2026-01-30	oos	0.01009	0.009745	-3.42%	0.009315	-7.68%	0.2514	✗	1.21
2026-01-29	oos	0.010255	0.009886	-3.59%	0.00942	-8.14%	0.2316	✗	1.20
2026-01-28	oos	0.01063	0.010217	-3.89%	0.00929	-12.61%	0.2818	✗	1.24
2026-01-27	oos	0.01062	0.010202	-3.94%	0.00958	-9.79%	0.2860	✗	1.25
2026-01-26	oos	0.01049	0.010075	-3.96%	0.00971	-7.44%	0.2834	✗	1.23
2026-01-25	oos	0.01016	0.009831	-3.24%	0.00915	-9.94%	0.2967	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01057	0.01019	-3.60%	0.00907	-14.19%	0.2763	✗	1.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.01037	0.00998	-3.76%	0.00926	-10.70%	0.2680	✗	1.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.01047	0.010071	-3.81%	0.00953	-8.98%	0.2802	✗	1.22
2026-01-21	oos	0.01034	0.009924	-4.02%	0.009415	-8.95%	0.2811	✗	1.22
2026-01-20	oos	0.01	0.009603	-3.97%	0.00928	-7.20%	0.2951	✗	1.19
2026-01-19	oos	0.01054	0.010102	-4.16%	0.009415	-10.67%	0.3283	✗	1.20
2026-01-18	oos	0.01049	0.010058	-4.12%	0.00975	-7.05%	0.3586	✗	1.19
2026-01-17	oos	0.01105	0.010625	-3.85%	0.00983	-11.04%	0.3007	✗	1.17
2026-01-16	oos	0.01103	0.010619	-3.72%	0.009795	-11.20%	0.2959	✗	1.15
2026-01-15	oos	0.01115	0.010757	-3.53%	0.00991	-11.12%	0.2851	✗	1.17
2026-01-14	oos	0.011485	0.011142	-2.99%	0.0095	-17.28%	0.2422	✗	1.17
2026-01-13	oos	0.01159	0.011235	-3.07%	0.00941	-18.81%	0.2644	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.01132	0.010901	-3.70%	0.00944	-16.61%	0.2398	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.0111	0.01072	-3.43%	0.00956	-13.87%	0.2364	✗	1.26
2026-01-10	oos	0.01117	0.010809	-3.24%	0.00961	-13.97%	0.2044	✗	1.27
2026-01-09	oos	0.0113	0.010985	-2.79%	0.0096	-15.04%	0.1825	✗	1.25
2026-01-08	oos	0.01137	0.011135	-2.07%	0.00956	-15.92%	0.1859	✗	1.24
2026-01-07	oos	0.01183	0.011559	-2.29%	0.00986	-16.65%	0.1822	✗	1.32
2026-01-06	oos	0.01262	0.012352	-2.12%	0.00898	-28.84%	0.2072	✗	1.31
2026-01-05	oos	0.01254	0.012309	-1.85%	0.00973	-22.41%	0.0913	✗	1.30
2026-01-04	oos	0.01177	0.011567	-1.72%	0.01	-15.04%	0.0954	✗	1.27
2026-01-03	oos	0.01113	0.011014	-1.04%	0.00997	-10.42%	0.0770	✗	1.25
2026-01-02	oos	0.01091	0.010852	-0.53%	0.01006	-7.79%	0.1195	✗	1.24
2026-01-01	oos	0.0109	0.010859	-0.38%	0.00969	-11.10%	0.0366	✗	1.25
2025-12-31	oos	0.01018	0.010147	-0.32%	0.01009	-0.88%	0.0418	✗	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.01081	0.010688	-1.12%	0.010255	-5.13%	0.0116	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.01117	0.010987	-1.64%	0.01063	-4.83%	0.0609	✓	1.19
2025-12-28	oos	0.01128	0.011127	-1.36%	0.01062	-5.85%	0.0634	✓	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.01133	0.011162	-1.48%	0.01049	-7.41%	0.0681	✓	1.19
2025-12-26	oos	0.01118	0.011077	-0.92%	0.01016	-9.12%	0.0763	✓	1.20
2025-12-25	oos	0.01117	0.011061	-0.98%	0.01057	-5.37%	0.0713	✓	1.20
2025-12-24	oos	0.011345	0.011215	-1.15%	0.01037	-8.59%	0.1038	✓	1.21
2025-12-23	oos	0.0113	0.011164	-1.20%	0.01047	-7.35%	0.0936	✓	1.28
2025-12-22	oos	0.01172	0.011573	-1.25%	0.01034	-11.77%	0.1245	✓	1.30
2025-12-21	oos	0.011425	0.011246	-1.56%	0.01	-12.47%	0.1126	✓	1.29
2025-12-20	oos	0.01157	0.011386	-1.59%	0.01054	-8.90%	0.1384	✓	1.31
2025-12-19	oos	0.0115	0.011362	-1.20%	0.01049	-8.78%	0.1595	✓	1.31
2025-12-18	oos	0.01103	0.010902	-1.16%	0.01105	+0.18%	0.1264	✓	1.31
2025-12-17	oos	0.01149	0.011366	-1.08%	0.01103	-4.00%	0.1635	✓	1.30
2025-12-16	oos	0.01168	0.011539	-1.21%	0.01115	-4.54%	0.1444	✓	1.31
2025-12-15	oos	0.01169	0.011588	-0.88%	0.011485	-1.75%	0.1601	✓	1.31
2025-12-14	oos	0.01213	0.011986	-1.19%	0.01159	-4.45%	0.1358	✓	1.30
2025-12-13	oos	0.01248	0.0123	-1.44%	0.01132	-9.29%	0.0964	✓	1.30
2025-12-12	oos	0.012345	0.012205	-1.13%	0.0111	-10.09%	0.1034	✓	1.30
2025-12-11	oos	0.0126	0.012458	-1.13%	0.01117	-11.35%	0.0782	✓	1.31
2025-12-10	oos	0.01276	0.012596	-1.29%	0.0113	-11.44%	0.0867	✓	1.31
2025-12-09	oos	0.01299	0.012852	-1.06%	0.01137	-12.47%	0.0988	✓	1.31
2025-12-08	oos	0.01301	0.012887	-0.95%	0.01183	-9.07%	0.0946	✓	1.32
2025-12-07	oos	0.01295	0.012818	-1.02%	0.01262	-2.55%	0.0630	✓	1.32
2025-12-06	oos	0.01306	0.012897	-1.25%	0.01254	-3.98%	0.0949	✓	1.33
2025-12-05	oos	0.01304	0.012887	-1.17%	0.01177	-9.74%	0.1223	✓	1.33
2025-12-04	oos	0.01328	0.013125	-1.17%	0.01113	-16.19%	0.1429	✓	1.34
2025-12-03	oos	0.01397	0.013759	-1.51%	0.01091	-21.90%	0.1811	✓	1.34
2025-12-02	oos	0.01384	0.013656	-1.33%	0.0109	-21.24%	0.1869	✓	1.35
2025-12-01	oos	0.01341	0.013266	-1.08%	0.01018	-24.09%	0.2845	✓	1.41
2025-11-30	oos	0.01466	0.014436	-1.53%	0.01081	-26.26%	0.2592	✓	1.36
2025-11-29	oos	0.01505	0.01479	-1.72%	0.01117	-25.78%	0.2244	✓	1.35
2025-11-28	oos	0.01492	0.014665	-1.71%	0.01128	-24.40%	0.2169	✓	1.35
2025-11-27	oos	0.01495	0.0147	-1.67%	0.01133	-24.21%	0.2076	✓	1.35
2025-11-26	oos	0.01429	0.014066	-1.56%	0.01118	-21.76%	0.1822	✓	1.33
2025-11-25	oos	0.01363	0.013434	-1.43%	0.01117	-18.05%	0.1822	✓	1.34
2025-11-24	oos	0.01364	0.013466	-1.28%	0.011345	-16.83%	0.1613	✓	1.34
2025-11-23	oos	0.01305	0.01293	-0.92%	0.0113	-13.41%	0.1441	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.01232	0.012262	-0.47%	0.01172	-4.87%	0.1034	✓	1.30
2025-11-21	oos	0.0126	0.012524	-0.60%	0.011425	-9.33%	0.1450	✓	1.29
2025-11-20	oos	0.012965	0.012827	-1.06%	0.01157	-10.76%	0.1295	✓	1.29
2025-11-19	oos	0.01339	0.013191	-1.49%	0.0115	-14.12%	0.0865	✓	1.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.01371	0.013469	-1.76%	0.01103	-19.55%	0.0869	✓	1.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.01379	0.013499	-2.11%	0.01149	-16.68%	0.0716	✓	1.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.01414	0.013787	-2.50%	0.01168	-17.40%	0.0708	✓	1.37
2025-11-15	oos	0.01427	0.013901	-2.59%	0.01169	-18.08%	0.0353	✓	1.37
2025-11-14	oos	0.01394	0.013594	-2.49%	0.01213	-12.98%	0.0188	✓	1.37
2025-11-13	oos	0.01455	0.014141	-2.81%	0.01248	-14.23%	0.0152	✓	1.42
2025-11-12	oos	0.01536	0.014852	-3.31%	0.012345	-19.63%	0.0196	✓	1.39
2025-11-11	oos	0.01544	0.014874	-3.67%	0.0126	-18.39%	0.0192	✓	1.37
2025-11-10	oos	0.01621	0.015504	-4.36%	0.01276	-21.28%	0.0034	✓	1.36
2025-11-09	oos	0.01598	0.015267	-4.46%	0.01299	-18.71%	0.0045	✓	1.36
2025-11-08	oos	0.01549	0.01484	-4.20%	0.01301	-16.01%	0.0331	✓	1.36
2025-11-07	oos	0.01551	0.014853	-4.24%	0.01295	-16.51%	0.0421	✓	1.35
2025-11-06	oos	0.01487	0.01432	-3.70%	0.01306	-12.17%	0.0764	✗	1.33
2025-11-05	oos	0.01498	0.014389	-3.94%	0.01304	-12.95%	0.1059	✗	1.36
2025-11-04	oos	0.0136	0.013192	-3.00%	0.01328	-2.35%	0.1336	✗	1.31
2025-11-03	oos	0.01353	0.013038	-3.64%	0.01397	+3.25%	0.2556	✗	1.42
2025-11-02	oos	0.01601	0.015241	-4.80%	0.01384	-13.55%	0.1509	✗	1.29
2025-11-01	oos	0.016	0.015237	-4.77%	0.01341	-16.19%	0.1887	✗	1.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01613	0.015376	-4.68%	0.01466	-9.11%	0.2051	✗	1.31
2025-10-30	oos	0.01595	0.015223	-4.56%	0.01505	-5.64%	0.2192	✗	1.31
2025-10-29	oos	0.0168	0.015964	-4.97%	0.01492	-11.19%	0.1807	✗	1.30
2025-10-28	oos	0.01667	0.015867	-4.82%	0.01495	-10.32%	0.2282	✗	1.36
2025-10-27	oos	0.0171	0.016271	-4.85%	0.01429	-16.43%	0.1841	✗	1.35
2025-10-26	oos	0.01758	0.016718	-4.90%	0.01363	-22.47%	0.1622	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.01709	0.016273	-4.78%	0.01364	-20.19%	0.1420	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.0174	0.016571	-4.76%	0.01305	-25.00%	0.0933	✗	1.35
2025-10-23	oos	0.01714	0.016352	-4.60%	0.01232	-28.12%	0.0742	✗	1.36
2025-10-22	oos	0.01726	0.016511	-4.34%	0.0126	-27.00%	0.0568	✗	1.39
2025-10-21	oos	0.017705	0.016956	-4.23%	0.012965	-26.77%	0.0441	✗	1.39
2025-10-20	oos	0.017545	0.016831	-4.07%	0.01339	-23.68%	0.0411	✓	1.42
2025-10-19	oos	0.017435	0.016794	-3.67%	0.01371	-21.37%	0.0347	✓	1.52
2025-10-18	oos	0.01827	0.017567	-3.85%	0.01379	-24.52%	0.0065	✓	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	0.01676	0.016225	-3.19%	0.01414	-15.63%	0.0496	✗	1.53
2025-10-16	oos	0.01747	0.016914	-3.18%	0.01427	-18.32%	0.0188	✓	1.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01882	0.01813	-3.67%	0.01394	-25.93%	0.0238	✓	1.50
2025-10-14	oos	0.01934	0.018627	-3.68%	0.01455	-24.77%	0.0527	✓	1.53
2025-10-13	oos	0.02064	0.019814	-4.00%	0.01536	-25.58%	0.0639	✓	1.51
2025-10-12	oos	0.02002	0.01925	-3.84%	0.01544	-22.88%	0.0549	✓	1.50
2025-10-11	oos	0.01938	0.018699	-3.51%	0.01621	-16.36%	0.0748	✓	1.54
2025-10-10	oos	0.01922	0.018451	-4.00%	0.01598	-16.86%	0.0248	✓	1.56
2025-10-09	oos	0.02223	0.021227	-4.51%	0.01549	-30.32%	0.0631	✓	1.45
2025-10-08	oos	0.02322	0.02221	-4.35%	0.01551	-33.20%	0.1080	✓	1.41
2025-10-07	oos	0.02358	0.022521	-4.49%	0.01487	-36.94%	0.1605	✓	1.41
2025-10-06	oos	0.02422	0.023263	-3.95%	0.01498	-38.15%	0.1857	✓	1.39
2025-10-05	oos	0.024185	0.023177	-4.17%	0.0136	-43.77%	0.2593	✓	1.39
2025-10-04	oos	0.02423	0.023209	-4.21%	0.01353	-44.16%	0.3449	✓	1.40
2025-10-03	oos	0.02501	0.023973	-4.15%	0.01601	-35.99%	0.2625	✓	1.39
2025-10-02	oos	0.02591	0.024751	-4.47%	0.016	-38.25%	0.3055	✓	1.43
2025-10-01	oos	0.02651	0.025236	-4.81%	0.01613	-39.16%	0.3311	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.0255	0.024219	-5.02%	0.01595	-37.45%	0.3404	✓	1.49
2025-09-29	oos	0.0265	0.025171	-5.01%	0.0168	-36.60%	0.3480	✓	1.46
2025-09-28	oos	0.02637	0.025043	-5.03%	0.01667	-36.78%	0.4164	✓	1.49
2025-09-27	oos	0.02541	0.024171	-4.88%	0.0171	-32.70%	0.4047	✓	1.49
2025-09-26	oos	0.0258	0.0246	-4.65%	0.01758	-31.86%	0.3999	✓	1.48
2025-09-25	oos	0.02372	0.02272	-4.22%	0.01709	-27.95%	0.3195	✓	1.46
2025-09-24	oos	0.02725	0.025923	-4.87%	0.0174	-36.15%	0.3723	✓	1.28
2025-09-23	oos	0.02488	0.023817	-4.27%	0.01714	-31.11%	0.3076	✓	1.25
2025-09-22	oos	0.02357	0.022622	-4.02%	0.01726	-26.77%	0.2113	✓	1.27
2025-09-21	oos	0.02502	0.023957	-4.25%	0.017705	-29.24%	0.2267	✓	1.22
2025-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.023958	-4.13%	0.017545	-29.79%	0.2539	✓	1.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.02317	0.0223	-3.76%	0.017435	-24.75%	0.1658	✓	1.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.02367	0.022749	-3.89%	0.01827	-22.81%	0.1053	✓	1.29
2025-09-17	oos	0.02397	0.022981	-4.13%	0.01676	-30.08%	0.1982	✓	1.31

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.