FIRO

Firo · native · gru_s6

token id: #950
symbol: FIRO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

44.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1315

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0097

actual +0.0138

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.8476	0.83776	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.8371	0.829519	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-19	oos	0.8963	0.885847	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-18	oos	0.9173	0.905933	-1.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.8812	0.87532	-0.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-16	oos	0.922	0.913981	-0.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.9549	0.944642	-1.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-14	oos	0.93775	0.932004	-0.61%	0.8476	-9.61%	0.1071	✓	0.88
2026-10-13	oos	1.0017	0.988445	-1.32%	0.8371	-16.43%	0.1645	✓	0.87
2026-10-12	oos	1.0128	1.0028	-0.98%	0.8963	-11.50%	0.1133	✓	0.88
2026-10-11	oos	0.9873	0.975258	-1.22%	0.9173	-7.09%	0.0433	✓	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.9798	0.970788	-0.92%	0.8812	-10.06%	0.0803	✓	0.89
2026-10-09	oos	0.9222	0.918326	-0.42%	0.922	-0.02%	0.0153	✗	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.8936	0.893239	-0.04%	0.9549	+6.86%	0.0621	✗	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.99505	0.980351	-1.48%	0.93775	-5.76%	0.0270	✓	0.84
2026-10-06	oos	0.9847	0.963863	-2.12%	1.0017	+1.73%	0.0633	✗	0.86
2026-10-05	oos	1.0559	1.0308	-2.38%	1.0128	-4.09%	0.0227	✓	0.84
2026-10-04	oos	1.1169	1.0877	-2.61%	0.9873	-11.60%	0.0694	✓	0.83
2026-10-03	oos	1.0857	1.0574	-2.61%	0.9798	-9.75%	0.0583	✓	0.82
2026-10-02	oos	1.0794	1.0496	-2.75%	0.9222	-14.56%	0.1102	✓	0.82
2026-10-01	oos	1.0735	1.0424	-2.90%	0.8936	-16.76%	0.1230	✓	0.82
2026-09-30	oos	1.0859	1.054	-2.94%	0.99505	-8.37%	0.0548	✓	0.82
2026-09-29	oos	1.0804	1.0482	-2.98%	0.9847	-8.86%	0.0805	✓	0.80
2026-09-28	oos	1.2496	1.2122	-3.00%	1.0559	-15.50%	0.1589	✓	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.2486	1.2112	-3.00%	1.1169	-10.55%	0.0986	✓	0.74
2026-09-26	oos	1.2486	1.2115	-2.97%	1.0857	-13.04%	0.1124	✓	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	1.3131	1.2726	-3.08%	1.0794	-17.80%	0.1682	✓	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	1.2151	1.1798	-2.91%	1.0735	-11.65%	0.0984	✓	0.73
2026-09-23	oos	1.2796	1.2424	-2.91%	1.0859	-15.13%	0.1275	✓	0.73
2026-09-22	oos	1.3302	1.2906	-2.98%	1.0804	-18.78%	0.1565	✓	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	1.2501	1.214	-2.89%	1.2496	-0.04%	0.0566	✗	0.75
2026-09-20	oos	1.1219	1.0927	-2.60%	1.2486	+11.29%	0.1072	✗	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	1.217	1.179	-3.12%	1.2486	+2.59%	0.0329	✗	0.64
2026-09-18	oos	1.199	1.1526	-3.87%	1.3131	+9.51%	0.1061	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.9257	0.907712	-1.94%	1.2151	+31.26%	0.2668	✗	0.25
2026-09-16	oos	0.8081	0.800983	-0.88%	1.2796	+58.35%	0.4439	✗	0.24
2026-09-15	oos	0.8086	0.801095	-0.93%	1.3302	+64.51%	0.4720	✗	0.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.7633	0.761446	-0.24%	1.2501	+63.78%	0.4594	✗	0.36
2026-09-13	oos	0.7143	0.713437	-0.12%	1.1219	+57.06%	0.4347	✗	0.33
2026-09-12	oos	0.7453	0.744101	-0.16%	1.217	+63.29%	0.4760	✗	0.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.7486	0.747633	-0.13%	1.199	+60.17%	0.4578	✗	0.31
2026-09-10	oos	0.73085	0.730126	-0.10%	0.9257	+26.66%	0.2381	✗	0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.77315	0.772977	-0.02%	0.8081	+4.52%	0.0521	✗	0.27
2026-09-08	oos	0.8507	0.847096	-0.42%	0.8086	-4.95%	0.0363	✓	0.27
2026-09-07	oos	0.8843	0.879723	-0.52%	0.7633	-13.68%	0.1389	✓	0.26
2026-09-06	oos	1.0139	0.99634	-1.73%	0.7143	-29.55%	0.3242	✓	0.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.88455	0.87612	-0.95%	0.7453	-15.74%	0.1561	✓	0.17
2026-09-04	oos	0.6999	0.703975	+0.58%	0.7486	+6.96%	0.0655	✓	0.13
2026-09-03	oos	0.6648	0.671332	+0.98%	0.73085	+9.94%	0.0949	✓	0.17
2026-09-02	oos	0.6575	0.661121	+0.55%	0.77315	+17.59%	0.1532	✓	0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.6566	0.660425	+0.58%	0.8507	+29.56%	0.2494	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.6867	0.691446	+0.69%	0.8843	+28.78%	0.2444	✓	0.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.6726	0.676596	+0.59%	1.0139	+50.74%	0.3949	✓	0.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.6713	0.676044	+0.71%	0.88455	+31.77%	0.2636	✓	0.26
2026-08-28	oos	0.6639	0.668526	+0.70%	0.6999	+5.42%	0.0399	✓	0.26
2026-08-27	oos	0.6748	0.682225	+1.10%	0.6648	-1.48%	0.0289	✗	0.25
2026-08-26	oos	0.6745	0.680408	+0.88%	0.6575	-2.52%	0.0288	✗	0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.6911	0.696677	+0.81%	0.6566	-4.99%	0.0557	✗	0.25
2026-08-24	oos	0.676	0.6822	+0.92%	0.6867	+1.58%	0.0080	✓	0.26
2026-08-23	oos	0.7136	0.717952	+0.61%	0.6726	-5.75%	0.0650	✗	0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.7006	0.704492	+0.56%	0.6713	-4.18%	0.0528	✗	0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.6643	0.66984	+0.83%	0.6639	-0.06%	0.0068	✓	0.33
2026-08-20	oos	0.6627	0.66292	+0.03%	0.6748	+1.83%	0.0166	✗	0.36
2026-08-19	oos	0.6468	0.643708	-0.48%	0.6745	+4.28%	0.0004	✓	0.35
2026-08-18	oos	0.6224	0.617376	-0.81%	0.6911	+11.04%	0.0551	✗	0.30
2026-08-17	oos	0.6235	0.618444	-0.81%	0.676	+8.42%	0.0219	✗	0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.6239	0.618877	-0.81%	0.7136	+14.38%	0.0710	✗	0.34
2026-08-15	oos	0.6215	0.616727	-0.77%	0.7006	+12.73%	0.0606	✗	0.33
2026-08-14	oos	0.629	0.624137	-0.77%	0.6643	+5.61%	0.0157	✓	0.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.6267	0.622035	-0.74%	0.6627	+5.74%	0.0064	✓	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.6273	0.622434	-0.78%	0.6468	+3.11%	0.0002	✓	0.43
2026-08-11	oos	0.6415	0.635888	-0.87%	0.6224	-2.98%	0.0302	✓	0.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.6254	0.619905	-0.88%	0.6235	-0.30%	0.0009	✓	0.55
2026-08-09	oos	0.6305	0.624592	-0.94%	0.6239	-1.05%	0.0139	✗	0.48
2026-08-08	oos	0.6489	0.642535	-0.98%	0.6215	-4.22%	0.0192	✓	0.48
2026-08-07	oos	0.6318	0.625781	-0.95%	0.629	-0.44%	0.0197	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.6206	0.614781	-0.94%	0.6267	+0.98%	0.0255	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.6237	0.61768	-0.97%	0.6273	+0.58%	0.0244	✗	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.6509	0.643916	-1.07%	0.6415	-1.44%	0.0002	✓	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.656	0.649172	-1.04%	0.6254	-4.66%	0.0410	✓	0.53
2026-08-02	oos	0.6586	0.651678	-1.05%	0.6305	-4.27%	0.0454	✓	0.59
2026-08-01	oos	0.6603	0.653362	-1.05%	0.6489	-1.73%	0.0269	✓	0.60
2026-07-31	oos	0.6649	0.658191	-1.01%	0.6318	-4.98%	0.0602	✓	0.60
2026-07-30	oos	0.6688	0.66263	-0.92%	0.6206	-7.21%	0.0612	✓	0.62
2026-07-29	oos	0.6391	0.634904	-0.66%	0.6237	-2.41%	0.0246	✓	0.62
2026-07-28	oos	0.6317	0.628307	-0.54%	0.6509	+3.04%	0.0334	✗	0.62
2026-07-27	oos	0.6857	0.681094	-0.67%	0.656	-4.33%	0.0352	✓	0.65
2026-07-26	oos	0.666	0.663177	-0.42%	0.6586	-1.11%	0.0121	✗	0.66
2026-07-25	oos	0.6855	0.68279	-0.40%	0.6603	-3.68%	0.0160	✓	0.73
2026-07-24	oos	0.75	0.745416	-0.61%	0.6649	-11.35%	0.0981	✓	0.82
2026-07-23	oos	0.6247	0.625294	+0.10%	0.6688	+7.06%	0.0719	✓	0.92
2026-07-22	oos	0.6896	0.689414	-0.03%	0.6391	-7.32%	0.0457	✓	0.89
2026-07-21	oos	0.651	0.651327	+0.05%	0.6317	-2.96%	0.0062	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.6351	0.635716	+0.10%	0.6857	+7.97%	0.0974	✓	0.92
2026-07-19	oos	0.6101	0.611441	+0.22%	0.666	+9.16%	0.0762	✓	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.6132	0.614687	+0.24%	0.6855	+11.79%	0.1160	✓	0.90
2026-07-17	oos	0.6091	0.61092	+0.30%	0.75	+23.13%	0.2025	✓	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.6314	0.632985	+0.25%	0.6247	-1.06%	0.0309	✗	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.6589	0.661154	+0.34%	0.6896	+4.66%	0.0226	✓	0.93
2026-07-14	oos	0.6501	0.652319	+0.34%	0.651	+0.14%	0.0235	✗	0.92
2026-07-13	oos	0.636	0.63873	+0.43%	0.6351	-0.14%	0.0489	✗	0.93
2026-07-12	oos	0.6463	0.64869	+0.37%	0.6101	-5.60%	0.0751	✗	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.6453	0.648064	+0.43%	0.6132	-4.97%	0.0698	✗	0.91
2026-07-10	oos	0.6517	0.654364	+0.41%	0.6091	-6.54%	0.0684	✗	0.91
2026-07-09	oos	0.6119	0.615105	+0.52%	0.6314	+3.19%	0.0177	✓	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	0.6209	0.623896	+0.48%	0.6589	+6.12%	0.0181	✓	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.6265	0.629162	+0.42%	0.6501	+3.77%	0.0085	✓	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.63	0.63269	+0.43%	0.636	+0.95%	0.0310	✓	0.94
2026-07-05	oos	0.6357	0.638299	+0.41%	0.6463	+1.67%	0.0101	✓	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.6459	0.648788	+0.45%	0.6453	-0.09%	0.0157	✗	0.95
2026-07-03	oos	0.6386	0.6418	+0.50%	0.6517	+2.05%	0.0077	✗	0.91
2026-07-02	oos	0.6473	0.650513	+0.50%	0.6119	-5.47%	0.0862	✗	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.6503	0.653572	+0.50%	0.6209	-4.52%	0.0864	✗	0.94
2026-06-30	oos	0.6606	0.663921	+0.50%	0.6265	-5.16%	0.1338	✗	0.96
2026-06-29	oos	0.642	0.645119	+0.49%	0.63	-1.87%	0.0858	✗	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.6702	0.672713	+0.37%	0.6357	-5.15%	0.1239	✗	1.01
2026-06-27	oos	0.6664	0.669304	+0.44%	0.6459	-3.08%	0.0865	✗	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.6523	0.655601	+0.51%	0.6386	-2.10%	0.0671	✗	0.99
2026-06-25	oos	0.6487	0.652312	+0.56%	0.6473	-0.22%	0.0369	✗	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.653	0.656359	+0.51%	0.6503	-0.41%	0.0074	✓	0.99
2026-06-23	oos	0.6854	0.687229	+0.27%	0.6606	-3.62%	0.0315	✓	1.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.6992	0.700018	+0.12%	0.642	-8.18%	0.0218	✗	1.06
2026-06-21	oos	0.7204	0.72105	+0.09%	0.6702	-6.97%	0.0071	✗	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.7058	0.706262	+0.07%	0.6664	-5.58%	0.0168	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.7008	0.701802	+0.14%	0.6523	-6.92%	0.0107	✗	1.11
2026-06-18	oos	0.7193	0.719812	+0.07%	0.6487	-9.82%	0.0470	✗	1.10
2026-06-17	oos	0.7489	0.747407	-0.20%	0.653	-12.81%	0.0746	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.7709	0.767781	-0.40%	0.6854	-11.09%	0.0628	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.7762	0.772499	-0.48%	0.6992	-9.92%	0.0623	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.7691	0.766065	-0.39%	0.7204	-6.33%	0.0212	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.7705	0.768062	-0.32%	0.7058	-8.40%	0.0811	✓	1.08
2026-06-12	oos	0.756	0.754826	-0.16%	0.7008	-7.30%	0.0732	✓	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.732	0.732468	+0.06%	0.7193	-1.73%	0.0065	✗	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.7157	0.720685	+0.70%	0.7489	+4.64%	0.0134	✗	1.09
2026-06-09	oos	0.7293	0.735087	+0.79%	0.7709	+5.70%	0.0201	✗	1.09
2026-06-08	oos	0.7329	0.738478	+0.76%	0.7762	+5.91%	0.0047	✓	1.10
2026-06-07	oos	0.7127	0.721725	+1.27%	0.7691	+7.91%	0.0246	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.7402	0.754418	+1.92%	0.7705	+4.09%	0.0448	✗	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.7405	0.757122	+2.24%	0.756	+2.09%	0.0477	✗	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.8074	0.814928	+0.93%	0.732	-9.34%	0.1030	✗	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.875	0.878909	+0.45%	0.7157	-18.21%	0.1584	✗	1.14
2026-06-02	oos	0.874	0.874369	+0.04%	0.7293	-16.56%	0.0936	✗	1.13
2026-06-01	oos	0.9156	0.90662	-0.98%	0.7329	-19.95%	0.0852	✓	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.895	0.886265	-0.98%	0.7127	-20.37%	0.0521	✓	1.10
2026-05-30	oos	0.912	0.903208	-0.96%	0.7402	-18.84%	0.0190	✓	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.9561	0.94583	-1.07%	0.7405	-22.55%	0.0778	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.9597	0.950445	-0.96%	0.8074	-15.87%	0.0369	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.9509	0.942741	-0.86%	0.875	-7.98%	0.0458	✗	0.81
2026-05-26	oos	0.9861	0.973969	-1.23%	0.874	-11.37%	0.0046	✓	0.80
2026-05-25	oos	1.0307	1.0143	-1.59%	0.9156	-11.17%	0.0325	✓	0.87
2026-05-24	oos	1.0175	1.0025	-1.48%	0.895	-12.04%	0.0738	✓	0.88
2026-05-23	oos	0.927	0.919632	-0.79%	0.912	-1.62%	0.0254	✗	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.9386	0.932965	-0.60%	0.9561	+1.86%	0.0495	✗	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.9575	0.946468	-1.15%	0.9597	+0.23%	0.0620	✗	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	1.0566	1.0397	-1.60%	0.9509	-10.00%	0.0521	✓	0.89
2026-05-19	oos	0.9715	0.959124	-1.27%	0.9861	+1.50%	0.0385	✗	0.87
2026-05-18	oos	0.9539	0.940632	-1.39%	1.0307	+8.05%	0.0880	✗	0.88
2026-05-17	oos	0.9369	0.922747	-1.51%	1.0175	+8.60%	0.1028	✗	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	1.0445	1.0254	-1.82%	0.927	-11.25%	0.0844	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	1.201	1.177	-2.00%	0.9386	-21.85%	0.1871	✓	0.84
2026-05-14	oos	1.2687	1.2428	-2.04%	0.9575	-24.53%	0.2248	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	1.1912	1.1684	-1.91%	1.0566	-11.30%	0.0808	✓	0.85
2026-05-12	oos	1.3903	1.3546	-2.57%	0.9715	-30.12%	0.2947	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	1.1881	1.1677	-1.71%	0.9539	-19.71%	0.1485	✓	0.89
2026-05-10	oos	1.1859	1.1668	-1.61%	0.9369	-21.00%	0.1649	✓	0.91
2026-05-09	oos	1.1651	1.146	-1.64%	1.0445	-10.35%	0.0635	✓	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	1.168	1.1481	-1.70%	1.201	+2.83%	0.0575	✗	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	1.1705	1.1503	-1.73%	1.2687	+8.39%	0.0860	✗	0.90
2026-05-06	oos	1.1673	1.1453	-1.88%	1.1912	+2.05%	0.0689	✗	1.11
2026-05-05	oos	1.0047	0.992277	-1.24%	1.3903	+38.38%	0.3435	✗	1.18
2026-05-04	oos	0.9014	0.892832	-0.95%	1.1881	+31.81%	0.2591	✗	1.15
2026-05-03	oos	0.891	0.881536	-1.06%	1.1859	+33.10%	0.2446	✗	1.15
2026-05-02	oos	0.8907	0.881139	-1.07%	1.1651	+30.81%	0.2510	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.8571	0.848102	-1.05%	1.168	+36.27%	0.2920	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.829	0.819236	-1.18%	1.1705	+41.19%	0.3044	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.821	0.810682	-1.26%	1.1673	+42.18%	0.2845	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.9136	0.90044	-1.44%	1.0047	+9.97%	0.0438	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8744	0.863202	-1.28%	0.9014	+3.09%	0.0074	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.9573	0.942995	-1.49%	0.891	-6.93%	0.0551	✓	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.8181	0.809306	-1.07%	0.8907	+8.87%	0.0812	✗	1.11
2026-04-24	oos	0.7601	0.752991	-0.94%	0.8571	+12.76%	0.1183	✗	1.13
2026-04-23	oos	0.8087	0.802154	-0.81%	0.829	+2.51%	0.0616	✗	1.12
2026-04-22	oos	0.8333	0.826049	-0.87%	0.821	-1.48%	0.0297	✗	1.12
2026-04-21	oos	0.7887	0.780867	-0.99%	0.9136	+15.84%	0.1574	✗	1.11
2026-04-20	oos	0.7759	0.768349	-0.97%	0.8744	+12.69%	0.1076	✗	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.7667	0.757482	-1.20%	0.9573	+24.86%	0.1654	✗	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.7735	0.766026	-0.97%	0.8181	+5.77%	0.0389	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.7731	0.767291	-0.75%	0.7601	-1.68%	0.0145	✓	1.09
2026-04-16	oos	0.7084	0.702783	-0.79%	0.8087	+14.16%	0.0970	✗	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.7505	0.743361	-0.95%	0.8333	+11.03%	0.0670	✗	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.7751	0.766013	-1.17%	0.7887	+1.75%	0.0019	✓	1.08
2026-04-13	oos	0.8106	0.799633	-1.35%	0.7759	-4.28%	0.0515	✓	1.13
2026-04-12	oos	0.7887	0.776385	-1.56%	0.7667	-2.79%	0.0612	✓	1.15
2026-04-11	oos	0.8128	0.800571	-1.50%	0.7735	-4.84%	0.0756	✓	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.6947	0.688311	-0.92%	0.7731	+11.29%	0.0527	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.6567	0.651172	-0.84%	0.7084	+7.87%	0.0314	✗	1.15
2026-04-08	oos	0.6537	0.648543	-0.79%	0.7505	+14.81%	0.0867	✗	1.15
2026-04-07	oos	0.6643	0.659754	-0.68%	0.7751	+16.68%	0.1253	✗	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.6347	0.628592	-0.96%	0.8106	+27.71%	0.1637	✗	1.16
2026-04-05	oos	0.6043	0.600001	-0.71%	0.7887	+30.51%	0.2444	✗	1.16
2026-04-04	oos	0.6245	0.620515	-0.64%	0.8128	+30.15%	0.1730	✗	1.17
2026-04-03	oos	0.6235	0.620361	-0.50%	0.6947	+11.42%	0.0118	✗	1.17
2026-04-02	oos	0.6293	0.626657	-0.42%	0.6567	+4.35%	0.0362	✓	1.17
2026-04-01	oos	0.6221	0.619514	-0.42%	0.6537	+5.08%	0.0038	✓	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.6198	0.618231	-0.25%	0.6643	+7.18%	0.0108	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.6208	0.620369	-0.07%	0.6347	+2.24%	0.0136	✓	1.17
2026-03-29	oos	0.6376	0.637799	+0.03%	0.6043	-5.22%	0.1062	✗	1.16
2026-03-28	oos	0.6315	0.632602	+0.17%	0.6245	-1.11%	0.0295	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.6051	0.60739	+0.38%	0.6235	+3.04%	0.0158	✓	1.14
2026-03-26	oos	0.6183	0.620448	+0.35%	0.6293	+1.78%	0.0461	✓	1.15
2026-03-25	oos	0.6875	0.689032	+0.22%	0.6221	-9.51%	0.0507	✗	1.13
2026-03-24	oos	0.6465	0.649088	+0.40%	0.6198	-4.13%	0.0090	✗	1.11
2026-03-23	oos	0.6555	0.658651	+0.48%	0.6208	-5.29%	0.0078	✓	1.11
2026-03-22	oos	0.6279	0.632078	+0.67%	0.6376	+1.54%	0.0401	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.6771	0.680574	+0.51%	0.6315	-6.73%	0.0325	✗	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.669	0.672848	+0.58%	0.6051	-9.55%	0.0386	✗	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.6529	0.657547	+0.71%	0.6183	-5.30%	0.0431	✗	1.11
2026-03-18	oos	0.6722	0.676644	+0.66%	0.6875	+2.28%	0.0151	✓	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.6644	0.668916	+0.68%	0.6465	-2.69%	0.0188	✓	1.12
2026-03-16	oos	0.6809	0.685758	+0.71%	0.6555	-3.73%	0.0160	✓	1.11
2026-03-15	oos	0.6459	0.650963	+0.78%	0.6279	-2.79%	0.0414	✓	1.09
2026-03-14	oos	0.6292	0.634388	+0.82%	0.6771	+7.61%	0.1011	✓	1.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.642	0.647137	+0.80%	0.669	+4.21%	0.0401	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.6526	0.657624	+0.77%	0.6529	+0.05%	0.0024	✓	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.612	0.617195	+0.85%	0.6722	+9.84%	0.0691	✓	1.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.6458	0.650708	+0.76%	0.6644	+2.88%	0.0402	✗	1.10
2026-03-09	oos	0.6859	0.690412	+0.66%	0.6809	-0.73%	0.1158	✗	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.6458	0.651364	+0.86%	0.6459	+0.02%	0.1204	✗	1.13
2026-03-07	oos	0.6502	0.655237	+0.77%	0.6292	-3.23%	0.1057	✗	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.7077	0.711856	+0.59%	0.642	-9.28%	0.1492	✗	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.7517	0.754612	+0.39%	0.6526	-13.18%	0.1396	✗	1.12
2026-03-04	oos	0.7127	0.71565	+0.41%	0.612	-14.13%	0.1171	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.721	0.725019	+0.56%	0.6458	-10.43%	0.1435	✗	1.18
2026-03-02	oos	0.7801	0.782864	+0.35%	0.6859	-12.08%	0.1253	✗	1.20
2026-03-01	oos	0.8504	0.851953	+0.18%	0.6458	-24.06%	0.2808	✗	1.24
2026-02-28	oos	0.81	0.812444	+0.30%	0.6502	-19.73%	0.2281	✗	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	0.8276	0.830063	+0.30%	0.7077	-14.49%	0.2006	✗	1.23
2026-02-26	oos	0.7424	0.747206	+0.65%	0.7517	+1.25%	0.0562	✗	1.27
2026-02-25	oos	0.7725	0.776484	+0.52%	0.7127	-7.74%	0.1702	✗	1.27
2026-02-24	oos	0.692	0.701074	+1.31%	0.721	+4.19%	0.0505	✗	1.22
2026-02-23	oos	0.7031	0.711715	+1.23%	0.7801	+10.95%	0.0160	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.7356	0.741468	+0.80%	0.8504	+15.61%	0.1710	✓	1.22
2026-02-21	oos	0.7696	0.774813	+0.68%	0.81	+5.25%	0.0629	✓	1.26
2026-02-20	oos	0.7956	0.800031	+0.56%	0.8276	+4.02%	0.0765	✓	1.34
2026-02-19	oos	0.8029	0.808293	+0.67%	0.7424	-7.54%	0.0954	✗	1.35
2026-02-18	oos	0.8113	0.817618	+0.78%	0.7725	-4.78%	0.0892	✗	1.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.822	0.828047	+0.74%	0.692	-15.82%	0.1044	✗	1.45
2026-02-16	oos	0.8702	0.874063	+0.44%	0.7031	-19.20%	0.1261	✗	1.44
2026-02-15	oos	0.9231	0.925595	+0.27%	0.7356	-20.31%	0.2054	✗	1.41
2026-02-14	oos	0.9424	0.94416	+0.19%	0.7696	-18.34%	0.1673	✗	1.40
2026-02-13	oos	0.9471	0.951478	+0.46%	0.7956	-16.00%	0.1625	✗	1.35
2026-02-12	oos	0.8499	0.866707	+1.98%	0.8029	-5.53%	0.0918	✗	1.33
2026-02-11	oos	0.8637	0.881803	+2.10%	0.8113	-6.07%	0.0716	✗	1.30
2026-02-10	oos	0.9149	0.93106	+1.77%	0.822	-10.15%	0.0995	✗	1.28
2026-02-09	oos	0.9577	0.973493	+1.65%	0.8702	-9.14%	0.0892	✗	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.9885	1.0065	+1.82%	0.9231	-6.62%	0.0596	✗	1.26
2026-02-07	oos	1.0725	1.0914	+1.77%	0.9424	-12.13%	0.1573	✗	1.35
2026-02-06	oos	1.1406	1.1577	+1.50%	0.9471	-16.96%	0.1663	✗	1.40
2026-02-05	oos	0.9324	0.984238	+5.56%	0.8499	-8.85%	0.2172	✗	1.33
2026-02-04	oos	1.1532	1.1765	+2.02%	0.8637	-25.10%	0.1915	✗	1.38
2026-02-03	oos	1.1517	1.1737	+1.91%	0.9149	-20.56%	0.1048	✗	1.52
2026-02-02	oos	1.208	1.2203	+1.02%	0.9577	-20.72%	0.0692	✗	1.50
2026-02-01	oos	1.2018	1.2218	+1.67%	0.9885	-17.75%	0.0985	✗	1.26
2026-01-31	oos	1.2276	1.241	+1.09%	1.0725	-12.63%	0.0233	✓	1.33
2026-01-30	oos	1.2832	1.2726	-0.82%	1.1406	-11.11%	0.1415	✗	1.43
2026-01-29	oos	1.2912	1.2779	-1.03%	0.9324	-27.79%	0.1158	✗	1.45
2026-01-28	oos	1.4375	1.4064	-2.16%	1.1532	-19.78%	0.0866	✗	1.43
2026-01-27	oos	1.4171	1.3856	-2.22%	1.1517	-18.73%	0.0567	✗	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	1.5084	1.4741	-2.27%	1.208	-19.92%	0.0313	✓	1.46
2026-01-25	oos	1.3886	1.3602	-2.05%	1.2018	-13.45%	0.0496	✗	1.46
2026-01-24	oos	1.5632	1.5211	-2.69%	1.2276	-21.47%	0.0392	✓	1.41
2026-01-23	oos	1.6004	1.5539	-2.90%	1.2832	-19.82%	0.1026	✓	1.44
2026-01-22	oos	1.7155	1.6607	-3.19%	1.2912	-24.73%	0.1698	✓	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	1.705	1.6451	-3.51%	1.4375	-15.69%	0.1317	✓	1.43
2026-01-20	oos	1.7586	1.6957	-3.58%	1.4171	-19.42%	0.1933	✓	1.52
2026-01-19	oos	1.7548	1.6811	-4.20%	1.5084	-14.04%	0.0323	✓	1.60
2026-01-18	oos	1.6001	1.5405	-3.73%	1.3886	-13.22%	0.0246	✓	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	1.7004	1.6372	-3.72%	1.5632	-8.07%	0.0626	✗	1.66
2026-01-16	oos	1.911	1.835	-3.97%	1.6004	-16.25%	0.0310	✓	1.62
2026-01-15	oos	1.8505	1.7845	-3.56%	1.7155	-7.30%	0.0670	✗	1.61
2026-01-14	oos	1.8977	1.8095	-4.65%	1.705	-10.15%	0.0743	✗	1.64
2026-01-13	oos	1.4442	1.397	-3.27%	1.7586	+21.77%	0.3498	✗	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	1.3797	1.3425	-2.70%	1.7548	+27.19%	0.2448	✗	1.54
2026-01-11	oos	1.2505	1.2244	-2.09%	1.6001	+27.96%	0.2211	✗	1.55
2026-01-10	oos	1.1019	1.0892	-1.15%	1.7004	+54.32%	0.3669	✗	1.54
2026-01-09	oos	1.155	1.1388	-1.40%	1.911	+65.45%	0.4429	✗	1.39
2026-01-08	oos	1.1722	1.1542	-1.53%	1.8505	+57.87%	0.4122	✗	1.22
2026-01-07	oos	1.2265	1.2032	-1.90%	1.8977	+54.72%	0.4057	✗	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	1.3002	1.2638	-2.80%	1.4442	+11.08%	0.1201	✗	0.76
2026-01-05	oos	1.2657	1.2309	-2.75%	1.3797	+9.01%	0.1358	✗	0.75
2026-01-04	oos	1.2551	1.2262	-2.31%	1.2505	-0.37%	0.0245	✗	0.71
2026-01-03	oos	1.2419	1.217	-2.01%	1.1019	-11.27%	0.0976	✓	0.71
2026-01-02	oos	1.2407	1.2197	-1.69%	1.155	-6.91%	0.0589	✓	0.71
2026-01-01	oos	1.3103	1.2868	-1.79%	1.1722	-10.54%	0.1121	✓	0.74
2025-12-31	oos	1.3419	1.3201	-1.62%	1.2265	-8.60%	0.1050	✓	0.74
2025-12-30	oos	1.3547	1.3316	-1.70%	1.3002	-4.02%	0.0704	✓	0.79
2025-12-29	oos	1.4501	1.4183	-2.20%	1.2657	-12.72%	0.1734	✓	0.80
2025-12-28	oos	1.2472	1.2444	-0.23%	1.2551	+0.63%	0.0244	✓	0.82
2025-12-27	oos	1.2406	1.2424	+0.15%	1.2419	+0.10%	0.0273	✗	0.86
2025-12-26	oos	1.2271	1.2359	+0.72%	1.2407	+1.11%	0.0211	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	1.373	1.3699	-0.23%	1.3103	-4.57%	0.0594	✓	0.84
2025-12-24	oos	1.2847	1.2958	+0.87%	1.3419	+4.45%	0.0360	✓	0.85
2025-12-23	oos	1.3175	1.3288	+0.86%	1.3547	+2.82%	0.0099	✓	0.85
2025-12-22	oos	1.3396	1.3505	+0.81%	1.4501	+8.25%	0.0850	✓	0.84
2025-12-21	oos	1.3321	1.3483	+1.21%	1.2472	-6.37%	0.0707	✗	0.84
2025-12-20	oos	1.352	1.3707	+1.38%	1.2406	-8.24%	0.0947	✗	0.85
2025-12-19	oos	1.3798	1.3992	+1.41%	1.2271	-11.07%	0.1235	✗	0.86
2025-12-18	oos	1.4117	1.4367	+1.77%	1.373	-2.74%	0.0631	✗	0.90
2025-12-17	oos	1.5658	1.5755	+0.62%	1.2847	-17.95%	0.2181	✗	0.87
2025-12-16	oos	1.5189	1.5333	+0.95%	1.3175	-13.26%	0.1475	✗	0.86
2025-12-15	oos	1.547	1.565	+1.17%	1.3396	-13.41%	0.1772	✗	0.88
2025-12-14	oos	1.5612	1.5766	+0.99%	1.3321	-14.67%	0.1730	✗	0.85
2025-12-13	oos	1.6587	1.6596	+0.05%	1.352	-18.49%	0.1871	✗	0.83
2025-12-12	oos	1.6998	1.6981	-0.10%	1.3798	-18.83%	0.1872	✓	0.83
2025-12-11	oos	1.9007	1.8769	-1.25%	1.4117	-25.73%	0.2230	✓	0.78
2025-12-10	oos	2.0681	2.036	-1.55%	1.5658	-24.29%	0.2109	✓	0.79
2025-12-09	oos	2.2147	2.1724	-1.91%	1.5189	-31.42%	0.3160	✓	0.78
2025-12-08	oos	2.0749	2.0458	-1.40%	1.547	-25.44%	0.2430	✓	0.76
2025-12-07	oos	2.1585	2.1247	-1.57%	1.5612	-27.67%	0.2889	✓	0.77
2025-12-06	oos	2.1753	2.1452	-1.38%	1.6587	-23.75%	0.2656	✓	0.76
2025-12-05	oos	2.3701	2.323	-1.99%	1.6998	-28.28%	0.3203	✓	0.77
2025-12-04	oos	2.4001	2.3381	-2.58%	1.9007	-20.81%	0.2108	✓	0.77
2025-12-03	oos	2.2141	2.156	-2.62%	2.0681	-6.59%	0.0295	✓	0.79
2025-12-02	oos	2.0663	2.0324	-1.64%	2.2147	+7.18%	0.0743	✗	0.77
2025-12-01	oos	2.0424	2.0431	+0.04%	2.0749	+1.59%	0.0265	✗	0.85
2025-11-30	oos	2.0181	1.9897	-1.41%	2.1585	+6.96%	0.0811	✗	0.91
2025-11-29	oos	2.1995	2.1513	-2.19%	2.1753	-1.10%	0.0266	✗	0.90
2025-11-28	oos	2.2508	2.1958	-2.44%	2.3701	+5.30%	0.0920	✗	0.91
2025-11-27	oos	2.65	2.5651	-3.20%	2.4001	-9.43%	0.0740	✓	0.89
2025-11-26	oos	2.8145	2.722	-3.29%	2.2141	-21.33%	0.2363	✓	0.92
2025-11-25	oos	2.8099	2.7461	-2.27%	2.0663	-26.46%	0.3267	✓	0.95
2025-11-24	oos	3.1104	2.998	-3.61%	2.0424	-34.34%	0.3629	✓	0.92
2025-11-23	oos	2.6466	2.6072	-1.49%	2.0181	-23.75%	0.2892	✓	0.82
2025-11-22	oos	2.0862	2.0878	+0.08%	2.1995	+5.43%	0.0097	✓	0.61
2025-11-21	oos	2.3982	2.3761	-0.92%	2.2508	-6.15%	0.0944	✓	0.61
2025-11-20	oos	2.928	2.8639	-2.19%	2.65	-9.49%	0.1062	✓	0.53
2025-11-19	oos	3.509	3.3682	-4.01%	2.8145	-19.79%	0.1768	✓	0.25
2025-11-18	oos	3.5056	3.3562	-4.26%	2.8099	-19.85%	0.1624	✓	0.25
2025-11-17	oos	4.2919	4.0426	-5.81%	3.1104	-27.53%	0.2496	✓	0.30
2025-11-16	oos	4.1796	3.9095	-6.46%	2.6466	-36.68%	0.3629	✓	0.33
2025-11-15	oos	3.103	2.9661	-4.41%	2.0862	-32.77%	0.2999	✓	0.43
2025-11-14	oos	2.8813	2.768	-3.93%	2.3982	-16.77%	0.1000	✓	0.41
2025-11-13	oos	2.939	2.8096	-4.40%	2.928	-0.37%	0.0955	✗	0.39
2025-11-12	oos	2.8393	2.7122	-4.48%	3.509	+23.59%	0.2995	✗	0.40
2025-11-11	oos	3.1359	2.9574	-5.69%	3.5056	+11.79%	0.2069	✗	0.36
2025-11-10	oos	3.0174	2.8019	-7.14%	4.2919	+42.24%	0.4798	✗	0.38
2025-11-09	oos	2.1958	2.1073	-4.03%	4.1796	+90.35%	0.7122	✗	0.26
2025-11-08	oos	1.794	1.7428	-2.85%	3.103	+72.97%	0.5850	✗	0.12
2025-11-07	oos	1.7824	1.727	-3.11%	2.8813	+61.65%	0.5223	✗	0.12
2025-11-06	oos	1.4682	1.4357	-2.22%	2.939	+100.18%	0.7164	✗	-0.00
2025-11-05	oos	1.8578	1.7989	-3.17%	2.8393	+52.83%	0.4523	✗	-0.19
2025-11-04	oos	1.8728	1.7996	-3.91%	3.1359	+67.44%	0.5582	✗	-0.19
2025-11-03	oos	1.5803	1.5376	-2.70%	3.0174	+90.94%	0.6744	✗	0.05
2025-11-02	oos	1.8033	1.7404	-3.49%	2.1958	+21.77%	0.2249	✗	-0.14
2025-11-01	oos	1.5727	1.5228	-3.18%	1.794	+14.07%	0.1526	✗	-0.15
2025-10-31	oos	1.3608	1.324	-2.70%	1.7824	+30.98%	0.2864	✗	-0.18
2025-10-30	oos	1.2619	1.23	-2.53%	1.4682	+16.35%	0.1634	✗	-0.20
2025-10-29	oos	1.4833	1.44	-2.92%	1.8578	+25.25%	0.2381	✗	-0.29
2025-10-28	oos	1.4321	1.3894	-2.98%	1.8728	+30.77%	0.2717	✗	-0.25
2025-10-27	oos	1.7264	1.6656	-3.52%	1.5803	-8.46%	0.0747	✓	-0.32
2025-10-26	oos	1.5906	1.5389	-3.25%	1.8033	+13.37%	0.1473	✗	-0.32
2025-10-25	oos	1.4643	1.4201	-3.02%	1.5727	+7.40%	0.0968	✗	-0.36
2025-10-24	oos	1.4757	1.4295	-3.13%	1.3608	-7.79%	0.0546	✓	-0.40
2025-10-23	oos	1.4768	1.4264	-3.41%	1.2619	-14.55%	0.1291	✓	-0.39
2025-10-22	oos	1.2884	1.2561	-2.51%	1.4833	+15.13%	0.1779	✗	-0.52
2025-10-21	oos	1.2338	1.2044	-2.38%	1.4321	+16.07%	0.1939	✗	-0.51
2025-10-20	oos	1.2969	1.2587	-2.95%	1.7264	+33.12%	0.3329	✗	-0.54
2025-10-19	oos	1.1538	1.1248	-2.51%	1.5906	+37.86%	0.3783	✗	-0.61
2025-10-18	oos	1.2065	1.1757	-2.55%	1.4643	+21.37%	0.2431	✗	-0.58
2025-10-17	oos	1.2667	1.233	-2.66%	1.4757	+16.50%	0.2034	✗	-0.56
2025-10-16	oos	1.4108	1.3668	-3.12%	1.4768	+4.68%	0.0886	✗	-0.64
2025-10-15	oos	1.5306	1.4765	-3.54%	1.2884	-15.82%	0.1575	✓	-0.72
2025-10-14	oos	1.447	1.3974	-3.43%	1.2338	-14.73%	0.1543	✓	-0.70
2025-10-13	oos	1.5624	1.4931	-4.43%	1.2969	-16.99%	0.1734	✓	-0.78
2025-10-12	oos	1.4058	1.349	-4.04%	1.1538	-17.93%	0.2004	✓	-0.77
2025-10-11	oos	1.5112	1.4155	-6.33%	1.2065	-20.16%	0.1821	✓	-0.68
2025-10-10	oos	1.0842	1.0407	-4.01%	1.2667	+16.83%	0.1697	✗	-0.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.9355	0.912565	-2.45%	1.4108	+50.81%	0.4361	✗	0.00
2025-10-08	oos	0.7801	0.767417	-1.63%	1.5306	+96.21%	0.7092	✗	0.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.7782	0.764561	-1.75%	1.447	+85.94%	0.6558	✗	0.25
2025-10-06	oos	0.717	0.708552	-1.18%	1.5624	+117.91%	0.8197	✗	0.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.6989	0.690835	-1.15%	1.4058	+101.14%	0.7355	✗	0.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.7039	0.695362	-1.21%	1.5112	+114.69%	0.8110	✗	0.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.701	0.692318	-1.24%	1.0842	+54.66%	0.4757	✗	0.34
2025-10-02	oos	0.7127	0.702368	-1.45%	0.9355	+31.26%	0.2834	✗	0.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.6238	0.61683	-1.12%	0.7801	+25.06%	0.2250	✗	0.25
2025-09-30	oos	0.6189	0.61216	-1.09%	0.7782	+25.74%	0.2243	✗	0.25
2025-09-29	oos	0.6369	0.629101	-1.22%	0.717	+12.58%	0.1074	✗	0.27
2025-09-28	oos	0.5722	0.566545	-0.99%	0.6989	+22.14%	0.1931	✗	0.18
2025-09-27	oos	0.5832	0.577898	-0.91%	0.7039	+20.70%	0.1769	✗	0.18
2025-09-26	oos	0.6207	0.614076	-1.07%	0.701	+12.94%	0.1140	✗	0.17
2025-09-25	oos	0.5954	0.590015	-0.90%	0.7127	+19.70%	0.1734	✗	0.15
2025-09-24	oos	0.6084	0.601633	-1.11%	0.6238	+2.53%	0.0308	✗	0.12
2025-09-23	oos	0.6103	0.603405	-1.13%	0.6189	+1.41%	0.0229	✗	0.13
2025-09-22	oos	0.5926	0.5858	-1.15%	0.6369	+7.48%	0.0819	✗	0.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.6157	0.607897	-1.27%	0.5722	-7.07%	0.0585	✓	0.07
2025-09-20	oos	0.6	0.592515	-1.25%	0.5832	-2.80%	0.0058	✓	0.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.6327	0.624297	-1.33%	0.6207	-1.90%	0.0189	✗	0.46
2025-09-18	oos	0.5919	0.58392	-1.35%	0.5954	+0.59%	0.0565	✗	0.52
2025-09-17	oos	0.641	0.632115	-1.39%	0.6084	-5.09%	0.0246	✓	0.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.