CSPR

Casper Network · native · gru_s6

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +30d

assessed

54

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

63.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1258

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0636

actual -0.0477

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.00217	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002162	-4.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002097	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002164	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002223	-5.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002211	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002176	-5.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002292	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002325	-6.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002268	-6.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002312	-6.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002268	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002315	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002171	-7.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002267	-6.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002366	-5.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002463	-5.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002465	-4.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002431	-5.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002401	-5.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002436	-4.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002495	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002554	-5.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002566	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002619	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002581	-5.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002556	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002534	-5.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002579	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002649	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002659	-4.54%	0.002257	-18.99%	0.1416	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002483	-6.35%	0.002253	-15.02%	0.1073	✓	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002663	-6.58%	0.002189	-23.18%	0.1990	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002532	-6.09%	0.002275	-15.64%	0.1134	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002403	-6.98%	0.002348	-9.10%	0.0503	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002325	-6.68%	0.002345	-5.87%	0.0203	✓	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002398	-7.00%	0.002311	-10.37%	0.0732	✓	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002682	-7.18%	0.002449	-15.25%	0.1021	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002691	-7.24%	0.00249	-14.19%	0.0995	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002816	-7.31%	0.002435	-19.85%	0.1596	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.00273	-6.90%	0.002483	-15.35%	0.1157	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002764	-7.04%	0.002443	-17.83%	0.1444	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002824	-6.45%	0.002498	-17.25%	0.1352	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002722	-5.92%	0.002343	-19.02%	0.1599	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002699	-5.45%	0.002432	-14.80%	0.1169	✓	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.00268	-4.59%	0.002499	-11.02%	0.0858	✓	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002706	-4.89%	0.002604	-8.48%	0.0569	✓	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002549	-4.22%	0.00258	-3.05%	0.0096	✓	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002574	-3.13%	0.002571	-3.24%	0.0121	✓	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002532	-5.50%	0.002537	-5.29%	0.0282	✓	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002615	-5.17%	0.002563	-7.05%	0.0505	✓	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002653	-4.17%	0.002648	-4.36%	0.0216	✓	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.00251	-4.60%	0.002717	+3.27%	0.0568	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002739	-4.90%	0.002731	-5.17%	0.0183	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002832	-4.38%	0.00279	-5.80%	0.0347	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.0029	-0.61%	0.002743	-5.98%	0.0685	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002771	+0.36%	0.002707	-1.95%	0.0378	✗	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.003	-1.23%	0.002674	-11.95%	0.1325	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002844	-0.38%	0.00273	-4.36%	0.0590	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002461	-0.77%	0.002788	+12.44%	0.1053	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002587	-1.92%	0.002786	+5.62%	0.0496	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002807	-0.87%	0.002651	-6.39%	0.0606	✓	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002495	-5.60%	0.00285	+7.81%	0.1515	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002327	-8.45%	0.002697	+6.10%	0.0069	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.00246	-11.10%	0.002583	-6.64%	0.1169	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002739	-12.11%	0.002491	-20.06%	0.2611	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002387	-11.17%	0.002579	-4.02%	0.1073	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002477	-11.48%	0.00289	+3.28%	0.0614	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.00228	-10.33%	0.002902	+14.10%	0.0425	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002148	-9.34%	0.003038	+28.25%	0.1495	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002038	-8.61%	0.002933	+31.55%	0.1674	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002013	-8.49%	0.002973	+35.15%	0.2037	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001896	-7.73%	0.003018	+46.88%	0.2621	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001817	-6.99%	0.002894	+48.11%	0.2748	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001798	-6.89%	0.002854	+47.82%	0.2646	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001863	-7.37%	0.002809	+39.63%	0.1969	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001714	-6.81%	0.002845	+54.73%	0.2902	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001717	-6.70%	0.002662	+44.63%	0.2287	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001788	-7.17%	0.002657	+37.93%	0.1579	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001756	-7.17%	0.002679	+41.63%	0.2252	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001762	-7.10%	0.002757	+45.33%	0.2496	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001786	-7.46%	0.002768	+43.46%	0.2140	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001729	-7.03%	0.002631	+41.44%	0.2076	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001716	-6.54%	0.00288	+56.85%	0.3281	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.