BP

Backpack · Solana · gru_s6

token id: #474
symbol: BP
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: BPxxfRCXkUVhig4HS1Lh7kZqV6SPJhzfEk4x6fVBjPCy
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-23
predictions: 612

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

197

of 204 predictions shown

direction hit

53.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1598

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0328

actual +0.0676

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.0984	1.0537	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-20	oos	1.0962	1.0556	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-19	oos	1.1594	1.1121	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-18	oos	1.1091	1.0729	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-17	oos	0.97705	0.972448	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	1.0034	0.995389	-0.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-15	oos	1.0144	1.0034	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	1.0044	0.996698	-0.76%	1.0984	+9.37%	0.0792	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	1.0445	1.0205	-2.30%	1.0962	+4.96%	0.0743	✗	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	1.0973	1.071	-2.39%	1.1594	+5.66%	0.0777	✗	1.36
2026-10-11	oos	1.1975	1.1436	-4.51%	1.1091	-7.39%	0.0052	✓	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	1.1394	1.0978	-3.65%	0.97705	-14.24%	0.0928	✓	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	1.2027	1.1536	-4.09%	1.0034	-16.57%	0.1231	✓	1.28
2026-10-08	oos	1.126	1.0898	-3.21%	1.0144	-9.91%	0.0784	✓	1.26
2026-10-07	oos	1.0901	1.0448	-4.15%	1.0044	-7.87%	0.0125	✓	1.30
2026-10-06	oos	1.1856	1.1201	-5.52%	1.0445	-11.90%	0.0339	✓	1.24
2026-10-05	oos	1.2399	1.1689	-5.72%	1.0973	-11.50%	0.0028	✓	1.26
2026-10-04	oos	1.2509	1.1789	-5.75%	1.1975	-4.26%	0.0573	✓	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	1.2619	1.1891	-5.77%	1.1394	-9.72%	0.0148	✓	1.28
2026-10-02	oos	1.1594	1.0941	-5.62%	1.2027	+3.74%	0.1245	✗	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	1.268	1.1903	-6.13%	1.126	-11.21%	0.0085	✓	1.24
2026-09-30	oos	1.2865	1.2055	-6.29%	1.0901	-15.26%	0.0965	✓	1.22
2026-09-29	oos	1.1463	1.0807	-5.72%	1.1856	+3.42%	0.0651	✗	1.22
2026-09-28	oos	1.2709	1.1962	-5.87%	1.2399	-2.44%	0.0020	✓	1.25
2026-09-27	oos	1.3501	1.2651	-6.29%	1.2509	-7.35%	0.0386	✓	1.14
2026-09-26	oos	1.3079	1.2276	-6.14%	1.2619	-3.51%	0.0231	✓	1.15
2026-09-25	oos	1.3502	1.2375	-8.35%	1.1594	-14.14%	0.0711	✓	1.19
2026-09-24	oos	1.0486	0.98783	-5.80%	1.268	+20.93%	0.2429	✗	1.25
2026-09-23	oos	0.848	0.809311	-4.56%	1.2865	+51.70%	0.4759	✗	1.27
2026-09-22	oos	0.76025	0.73214	-3.70%	1.1463	+50.78%	0.4922	✗	1.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.89395	0.845252	-5.45%	1.2709	+42.16%	0.4584	✗	1.37
2026-09-20	oos	0.82965	0.773326	-6.79%	1.3501	+62.73%	0.4994	✗	1.45
2026-09-19	oos	0.64225	0.623901	-2.86%	1.3079	+103.64%	0.6839	✗	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.57225	0.563042	-1.61%	1.3502	+135.95%	0.8190	✗	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.5342	0.524104	-1.89%	1.0486	+96.29%	0.5460	✗	1.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.4646	0.461167	-0.74%	0.848	+82.52%	0.4587	✗	1.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.4664	0.462794	-0.77%	0.76025	+63.00%	0.3315	✗	1.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.5093	0.505412	-0.76%	0.89395	+75.53%	0.4561	✗	1.12
2026-09-13	oos	0.4988	0.494918	-0.78%	0.82965	+66.33%	0.4550	✗	1.11
2026-09-12	oos	0.5479	0.541125	-1.24%	0.64225	+17.22%	0.1182	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.56005	0.552941	-1.27%	0.57225	+2.18%	0.0238	✓	1.25
2026-09-10	oos	0.5563	0.549347	-1.25%	0.5342	-3.97%	0.0248	✓	1.30
2026-09-09	oos	0.59295	0.584309	-1.46%	0.4646	-21.65%	0.1943	✓	1.26
2026-09-08	oos	0.573	0.567074	-1.03%	0.4664	-18.60%	0.1462	✓	1.32
2026-09-07	oos	0.51165	0.513402	+0.34%	0.5093	-0.46%	0.0079	✓	1.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.4892	0.494942	+1.17%	0.4988	+1.96%	0.0716	✓	1.42
2026-09-05	oos	0.43585	0.442749	+1.58%	0.5479	+25.71%	0.2590	✓	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.4332	0.440159	+1.61%	0.56005	+29.28%	0.2873	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.45165	0.461219	+2.12%	0.5563	+23.17%	0.2755	✓	1.47
2026-09-02	oos	0.42545	0.429994	+1.07%	0.59295	+39.37%	0.3035	✓	1.42
2026-09-01	oos	0.3946	0.399425	+1.22%	0.573	+45.21%	0.3412	✓	1.46
2026-08-31	oos	0.4092	0.416176	+1.70%	0.51165	+25.04%	0.2010	✓	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.4054	0.410757	+1.32%	0.4892	+20.67%	0.1595	✓	0.45
2026-08-29	oos	0.4135	0.418456	+1.20%	0.43585	+5.41%	0.0304	✓	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.4334	0.437913	+1.04%	0.4332	-0.05%	0.0229	✗	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.4455	0.454152	+1.94%	0.45165	+1.38%	0.0118	✓	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.4339	0.440599	+1.54%	0.42545	-1.95%	0.0239	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.4389	0.444779	+1.34%	0.3946	-10.09%	0.1123	✗	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.4103	0.416275	+1.46%	0.4092	-0.27%	0.0145	✗	0.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.4431	0.44721	+0.93%	0.4054	-8.51%	0.0977	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.4304	0.433299	+0.67%	0.4135	-3.93%	0.0549	✗	0.53
2026-08-21	oos	0.4728	0.47573	+0.62%	0.4334	-8.33%	0.0902	✗	0.49
2026-08-20	oos	0.4026	0.397174	-1.35%	0.4455	+10.66%	0.0913	✗	0.25
2026-08-19	oos	0.4004	0.39145	-2.24%	0.4339	+8.37%	0.0643	✗	0.29
2026-08-18	oos	0.3608	0.355139	-1.57%	0.4389	+21.65%	0.1889	✗	0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.3692	0.362861	-1.72%	0.4103	+11.13%	0.1007	✗	0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.3661	0.361476	-1.26%	0.4431	+21.03%	0.1791	✗	0.12
2026-08-15	oos	0.3707	0.36605	-1.25%	0.4304	+16.10%	0.1381	✗	0.12
2026-08-14	oos	0.3817	0.376086	-1.47%	0.4728	+23.87%	0.2004	✗	0.13
2026-08-13	oos	0.3807	0.374519	-1.62%	0.4026	+5.75%	0.0534	✗	0.13
2026-08-12	oos	0.3817	0.375341	-1.67%	0.4004	+4.90%	0.0495	✗	0.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.3759	0.369427	-1.72%	0.3608	-4.02%	0.0263	✓	0.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.3539	0.348395	-1.56%	0.3692	+4.32%	0.0567	✗	0.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.4022	0.391233	-2.73%	0.3661	-8.98%	0.0625	✓	0.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.3854	0.376004	-2.44%	0.3707	-3.81%	0.0107	✓	0.12
2026-08-07	oos	0.4063	0.394974	-2.79%	0.3817	-6.05%	0.0306	✓	0.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.4411	0.426602	-3.29%	0.3807	-13.69%	0.1118	✓	0.15
2026-08-05	oos	0.4013	0.38991	-2.84%	0.3817	-4.88%	0.0182	✓	0.17
2026-08-04	oos	0.3902	0.379864	-2.65%	0.3759	-3.66%	0.0090	✓	0.18
2026-08-03	oos	0.3691	0.360989	-2.20%	0.3539	-4.12%	0.0210	✓	0.17
2026-08-02	oos	0.3812	0.372082	-2.39%	0.4022	+5.51%	0.0748	✗	0.14
2026-08-01	oos	0.3678	0.361059	-1.83%	0.3854	+4.79%	0.0621	✗	0.09
2026-07-31	oos	0.3676	0.360992	-1.80%	0.4063	+10.53%	0.1152	✗	0.10
2026-07-30	oos	0.4028	0.391067	-2.91%	0.4411	+9.51%	0.1205	✗	0.02
2026-07-29	oos	0.4315	0.417899	-3.15%	0.4013	-7.00%	0.0413	✓	0.07
2026-07-28	oos	0.4521	0.436463	-3.46%	0.3902	-13.69%	0.1123	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.4452	0.430701	-3.26%	0.3691	-17.09%	0.1541	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.4715	0.452035	-4.13%	0.3812	-19.15%	0.1696	✓	0.03
2026-07-25	oos	0.4618	0.443536	-3.95%	0.3678	-20.36%	0.1867	✓	0.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.4467	0.430864	-3.55%	0.3676	-17.71%	0.1584	✓	0.02
2026-07-23	oos	0.4334	0.419222	-3.27%	0.4028	-7.06%	0.0398	✓	0.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.4646	0.444333	-4.36%	0.4315	-7.12%	0.0296	✓	-0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.4645	0.445036	-4.19%	0.4521	-2.67%	0.0153	✓	-0.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.4481	0.433468	-3.27%	0.4452	-0.65%	0.0258	✓	-0.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.4327	0.422363	-2.39%	0.4715	+8.97%	0.1106	✗	-0.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.4838	0.464767	-3.93%	0.4618	-4.55%	0.0067	✓	-0.03
2026-07-17	oos	0.472	0.456081	-3.37%	0.4467	-5.36%	0.0208	✓	-0.01
2026-07-16	oos	0.5022	0.481682	-4.09%	0.4334	-13.70%	0.1056	✓	-0.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.5499	0.522535	-4.98%	0.4646	-15.51%	0.1149	✓	-0.13
2026-07-14	oos	0.5377	0.511552	-4.86%	0.4645	-13.61%	0.0938	✓	-0.11
2026-07-13	oos	0.5299	0.507146	-4.29%	0.4481	-15.44%	0.1174	✓	-0.14
2026-07-12	oos	0.556	0.528528	-4.94%	0.4327	-22.18%	0.1974	✓	-0.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.5853	0.554034	-5.34%	0.4838	-17.34%	0.1335	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.5659	0.536332	-5.22%	0.472	-16.59%	0.1281	✓	-0.09
2026-07-09	oos	0.544	0.517974	-4.78%	0.5022	-7.68%	0.0300	✓	-0.10
2026-07-08	oos	0.5505	0.524586	-4.71%	0.5499	-0.11%	0.0509	✗	-0.10
2026-07-07	oos	0.5861	0.553666	-5.53%	0.5377	-8.26%	0.0255	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.5768	0.544472	-5.60%	0.5299	-8.13%	0.0308	✓	-0.13
2026-07-05	oos	0.5198	0.49431	-4.90%	0.556	+6.96%	0.1179	✗	-0.12
2026-07-04	oos	0.5456	0.517339	-5.18%	0.5853	+7.28%	0.1245	✗	-0.10
2026-07-03	oos	0.5821	0.549488	-5.60%	0.5659	-2.78%	0.0324	✓	-0.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.616	0.579281	-5.96%	0.544	-11.69%	0.0606	✓	-0.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.6116	0.577672	-5.55%	0.5505	-9.99%	0.0454	✓	-0.07
2026-06-30	oos	0.5575	0.539054	-3.31%	0.5861	+5.13%	0.0921	✗	-0.11
2026-06-29	oos	0.5169	0.496679	-3.91%	0.5768	+11.59%	0.1532	✗	-0.06
2026-06-28	oos	0.4789	0.46284	-3.35%	0.5198	+8.54%	0.1233	✗	-0.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.5447	0.51795	-4.91%	0.5456	+0.17%	0.0582	✗	-0.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.5608	0.529448	-5.59%	0.5821	+3.80%	0.0995	✗	-0.11
2026-06-25	oos	0.5105	0.482907	-5.41%	0.616	+20.67%	0.2472	✗	-0.13
2026-06-24	oos	0.6027	0.563123	-6.57%	0.6116	+1.48%	0.0778	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.59	0.550149	-6.75%	0.5575	-5.51%	0.0119	✓	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.6595	0.610789	-7.39%	0.5169	-21.62%	0.1744	✓	-0.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.6834	0.62774	-8.14%	0.4789	-29.92%	0.2759	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.6577	0.604727	-8.05%	0.5447	-17.18%	0.1098	✓	-0.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.5807	0.539895	-7.03%	0.5608	-3.43%	0.0313	✓	-0.12
2026-06-18	oos	0.592	0.54015	-8.76%	0.5105	-13.77%	0.0622	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.4729	0.437828	-7.42%	0.6027	+27.45%	0.3217	✗	0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.4182	0.392147	-6.23%	0.59	+41.08%	0.4130	✗	0.10
2026-06-15	oos	0.4219	0.395116	-6.35%	0.6595	+56.32%	0.5156	✗	0.09
2026-06-14	oos	0.4896	0.441712	-9.78%	0.6834	+39.58%	0.4417	✗	0.14
2026-06-13	oos	0.335	0.313332	-6.47%	0.6577	+96.33%	0.7412	✗	-0.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.291	0.273576	-5.99%	0.5807	+99.55%	0.7525	✗	-0.16
2026-06-11	oos	0.2692	0.254011	-5.64%	0.592	+119.91%	0.8444	✗	-0.16
2026-06-10	oos	0.2411	0.228931	-5.05%	0.4729	+96.14%	0.7395	✗	-0.29
2026-06-09	oos	0.2476	0.234353	-5.35%	0.4182	+68.90%	0.5974	✗	-0.30
2026-06-08	oos	0.2589	0.244351	-5.62%	0.4219	+62.96%	0.5626	✗	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.2575	0.241818	-6.09%	0.4896	+90.14%	0.7177	✗	-0.33
2026-06-06	oos	0.2271	0.215557	-5.08%	0.335	+47.51%	0.4710	✗	-0.53
2026-06-05	oos	0.2316	0.218806	-5.52%	0.291	+25.65%	0.3064	✗	-0.53
2026-06-04	oos	0.2341	0.219887	-6.07%	0.2692	+14.99%	0.2001	✗	-0.58
2026-06-03	oos	0.2857	0.256372	-10.27%	0.2411	-15.61%	0.0861	✓	-0.60
2026-06-02	oos	0.1773	0.168872	-4.75%	0.2476	+39.65%	0.3899	✗	0.09
2026-06-01	oos	0.149	0.144573	-2.97%	0.2589	+73.76%	0.6664	✗	0.68
2026-05-31	oos	0.163	0.157296	-3.50%	0.2575	+57.98%	0.5805	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.1626	0.15619	-3.94%	0.2271	+39.67%	0.4867	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.1421	0.138602	-2.46%	0.2316	+62.98%	0.6146	✗	0.55
2026-05-28	oos	0.1254	0.123496	-1.52%	0.2341	+86.68%	0.7198	✗	0.57
2026-05-27	oos	0.1253	0.123595	-1.36%	0.2857	+128.01%	0.9237	✗	0.58
2026-05-26	oos	0.12	0.11896	-0.87%	0.1773	+47.75%	0.4823	✗	0.65
2026-05-25	oos	0.1201	0.118904	-1.00%	0.149	+24.06%	0.2791	✗	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.124	0.12265	-1.09%	0.163	+31.45%	0.3148	✗	0.67
2026-05-23	oos	0.1315	0.129691	-1.38%	0.1626	+23.65%	0.2522	✗	0.68
2026-05-22	oos	0.1326	0.130396	-1.66%	0.1421	+7.16%	0.1051	✗	0.69
2026-05-21	oos	0.1343	0.131534	-2.06%	0.1254	-6.63%	0.0097	✓	0.71
2026-05-20	oos	0.132	0.129138	-2.17%	0.1253	-5.08%	0.0005	✓	0.71
2026-05-19	oos	0.1354	0.132138	-2.41%	0.12	-11.37%	0.0874	✓	0.72
2026-05-18	oos	0.1376	0.134126	-2.52%	0.1201	-12.72%	0.1133	✓	0.72
2026-05-17	oos	0.1406	0.136967	-2.58%	0.124	-11.81%	0.0954	✓	0.72
2026-05-16	oos	0.1434	0.139754	-2.54%	0.1315	-8.30%	0.0474	✓	0.72
2026-05-15	oos	0.1443	0.140931	-2.33%	0.1326	-8.11%	0.0269	✓	0.73
2026-05-14	oos	0.1495	0.146577	-1.96%	0.1343	-10.17%	0.0556	✓	0.72
2026-05-13	oos	0.151	0.147146	-2.55%	0.132	-12.58%	0.0916	✓	0.74
2026-05-12	oos	0.1476	0.144541	-2.07%	0.1354	-8.27%	0.0283	✓	0.78
2026-05-11	oos	0.1573	0.154145	-2.01%	0.1376	-12.52%	0.0692	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.151	0.148622	-1.57%	0.1406	-6.89%	0.0095	✓	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.1504	0.147268	-2.08%	0.1434	-4.65%	0.0020	✓	0.77
2026-05-08	oos	0.1498	0.146469	-2.22%	0.1443	-3.67%	0.0041	✓	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.1431	0.140165	-2.05%	0.1495	+4.47%	0.0543	✗	0.77
2026-05-06	oos	0.1475	0.145172	-1.58%	0.151	+2.37%	0.0597	✗	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.1451	0.14275	-1.62%	0.1476	+1.72%	0.0374	✗	0.75
2026-05-04	oos	0.1507	0.147561	-2.08%	0.1573	+4.38%	0.0459	✗	0.78
2026-05-03	oos	0.1578	0.153382	-2.80%	0.151	-4.31%	0.0529	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.1554	0.151256	-2.67%	0.1504	-3.22%	0.0262	✓	0.83
2026-05-01	oos	0.1461	0.142541	-2.44%	0.1498	+2.53%	0.0296	✗	0.81
2026-04-30	oos	0.1427	0.138525	-2.93%	0.1431	+0.28%	0.0048	✓	0.79
2026-04-29	oos	0.1429	0.138525	-3.06%	0.1475	+3.22%	0.0060	✓	0.78
2026-04-28	oos	0.1479	0.143353	-3.07%	0.1451	-1.89%	0.0331	✓	0.77
2026-04-27	oos	0.1495	0.145431	-2.72%	0.1507	+0.80%	0.0106	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.1465	0.143491	-2.05%	0.1578	+7.71%	0.0963	✗	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.1442	0.140763	-2.38%	0.1554	+7.77%	0.0878	✗	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.1421	0.138779	-2.34%	0.1461	+2.81%	0.0430	✗	0.85
2026-04-23	oos	0.1417	0.13902	-1.89%	0.1427	+0.71%	0.0485	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.1404	0.137762	-1.88%	0.1429	+1.78%	0.0647	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.1404	0.136829	-2.54%	0.1479	+5.34%	0.0782	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.1408	0.136985	-2.71%	0.1495	+6.18%	0.0678	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.1367	0.132358	-3.18%	0.1465	+7.17%	0.0379	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.1404	0.136703	-2.63%	0.1442	+2.71%	0.0284	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.1379	0.135066	-2.05%	0.1421	+3.05%	0.0461	✗	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.1495	0.145156	-2.91%	0.1417	-5.22%	0.0647	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.1394	0.135587	-2.74%	0.1404	+0.72%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.1439	0.139594	-2.99%	0.1404	-2.43%	0.0231	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.1496	0.14501	-3.07%	0.1408	-5.88%	0.0483	✓	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.1443	0.138744	-3.85%	0.1367	-5.27%	0.0573	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.1479	0.142919	-3.37%	0.1404	-5.07%	0.0534	✓	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.1474	0.14248	-3.34%	0.1379	-6.45%	0.0873	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.1478	0.142515	-3.58%	0.1495	+1.15%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.1503	0.144711	-3.72%	0.1394	-7.25%	0.0888	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.1543	0.148726	-3.61%	0.1439	-6.74%	0.0640	✓	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.1488	0.142823	-4.02%	0.1496	+0.54%	0.0317	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.1473	0.141544	-3.91%	0.1443	-2.04%	0.0058	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.1534	0.147318	-3.97%	0.1479	-3.59%	0.0787	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.1494	0.144018	-3.60%	0.1474	-1.34%	0.0631	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.1444	0.139731	-3.23%	0.1478	+2.35%	0.0146	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.1506	0.145938	-3.10%	0.1503	-0.20%	0.0133	✓	1.00