BATON
baton · Solana · gru_s6
- token id
- #670
- symbol
- BATON
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- Hg5Ja55T5wESq4vyFoiVCMeHXtGyVA69X2UHq8hgpump
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-13
- predictions
- 93
Track record at +1d
assessed
30
of 31 predictions shown
direction hit
50.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2633
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0375
actual +0.0460
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.00808 | 0.007939 | -1.74% | – | pending | – | – | 3.82 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0081 | 0.007951 | -1.84% | 0.00808 | -0.25% | 0.0073 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00768 | 0.007553 | -1.65% | 0.0081 | +5.47% | 0.0203 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.007125 | 0.007024 | -1.42% | 0.00768 | +7.79% | 0.0387 | ✗ | 3.79 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.00669 | 0.006583 | -1.60% | 0.007125 | +6.50% | 0.0870 | ✗ | 3.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00824 | 0.008069 | -2.08% | 0.00669 | -18.81% | 0.2173 | ✓ | 3.92 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.009189 | 0.008961 | -2.48% | 0.00824 | -10.33% | 0.0782 | ✓ | 3.89 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.011797 | 0.011235 | -4.77% | 0.009189 | -22.11% | 0.1726 | ✓ | 3.72 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.008406 | 0.008205 | -2.39% | 0.011797 | +40.34% | 0.3385 | ✗ | 3.61 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.012632 | 0.012206 | -3.37% | 0.008406 | -33.45% | 0.3165 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.012615 | 0.012215 | -3.17% | 0.012632 | +0.13% | 0.0170 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.016412 | 0.015431 | -5.98% | 0.012615 | -23.13% | 0.1781 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.012334 | 0.011816 | -4.21% | 0.016412 | +33.06% | 0.3194 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.012115 | 0.011604 | -4.22% | 0.012334 | +1.81% | 0.0566 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.014529 | 0.013421 | -7.63% | 0.012115 | -16.61% | 0.1127 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.008748 | 0.008389 | -4.10% | 0.014529 | +66.08% | 0.5684 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.009494 | 0.008923 | -6.01% | 0.008748 | -7.86% | 0.0070 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.008108 | 0.007727 | -4.70% | 0.009494 | +17.09% | 0.2084 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01241 | 0.011218 | -9.61% | 0.008108 | -34.66% | 0.3158 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.003733 | 0.003566 | -4.45% | 0.01241 | +232.50% | 1.2264 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0029 | 0.002825 | -2.57% | 0.003733 | +28.71% | 0.2756 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.004281 | 0.004002 | -6.51% | 0.0029 | -32.26% | 0.3181 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00275 | 0.002684 | -2.42% | 0.004281 | +55.67% | 0.4517 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.004067 | 0.003845 | -5.48% | 0.00275 | -32.39% | 0.3341 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003193 | 0.003051 | -4.45% | 0.004067 | +27.39% | 0.2854 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.002944 | 0.002776 | -5.70% | 0.003193 | +8.46% | 0.1518 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.001742 | 0.001721 | -1.22% | 0.002944 | +69.00% | 0.5365 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.002018 | 0.001952 | -3.27% | 0.001742 | -13.66% | 0.1175 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.001114 | 0.001103 | -0.95% | 0.002018 | +81.10% | 0.6069 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.001269 | 0.001258 | -0.89% | 0.001114 | -12.21% | 0.1214 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.001973 | 0.001959 | -0.71% | 0.001269 | -35.68% | 0.4129 | ✓ | 1.00 |