BASECAT
Basecat · Base · gru_s6
- token id
- #592
- symbol
- BASECAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xb2000000000000000000004c27f6523082f41d01
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
55.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1087
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0042
actual -0.0185
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.012065 | 0.011964 | -0.84% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.01172 | 0.011625 | -0.81% | 0.012065 | +2.94% | 0.0453 | ✗ | 2.77 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.012275 | 0.012166 | -0.89% | 0.01172 | -4.52% | 0.0749 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.01293 | 0.012793 | -1.06% | 0.012275 | -5.07% | 0.0355 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.012765 | 0.012639 | -0.99% | 0.01293 | +1.29% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.012975 | 0.012843 | -1.02% | 0.012765 | -1.62% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012768 | -1.02% | 0.012975 | +0.58% | 0.0376 | ✗ | 2.83 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.012605 | 0.012502 | -0.82% | 0.0129 | +2.34% | 0.0121 | ✗ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.013565 | 0.013404 | -1.19% | 0.012605 | -7.08% | 0.0089 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.013175 | 0.01306 | -0.87% | 0.013565 | +2.96% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01678 | 0.016168 | -3.65% | 0.013175 | -21.48% | 0.1441 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01299 | 0.0129 | -0.70% | 0.01678 | +29.18% | 0.2402 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.011325 | 0.011341 | +0.14% | 0.01299 | +14.70% | 0.1250 | ✓ | 2.44 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.01146 | 0.011491 | +0.27% | 0.011325 | -1.18% | 0.0400 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01295 | 0.01292 | -0.23% | 0.01146 | -11.51% | 0.0741 | ✓ | 2.39 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01176 | 0.011785 | +0.21% | 0.01295 | +10.12% | 0.1671 | ✓ | 2.71 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.01289 | -0.08% | 0.01176 | -8.84% | 0.0851 | ✓ | 2.70 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01304 | 0.013022 | -0.13% | 0.0129 | -1.07% | 0.0145 | ✗ | 2.72 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.013365 | 0.01336 | -0.04% | 0.01304 | -2.43% | 0.0818 | ✓ | 2.79 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01108 | 0.011175 | +0.86% | 0.013365 | +20.62% | 0.1712 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0119 | 0.011987 | +0.73% | 0.01108 | -6.89% | 0.0675 | ✗ | 2.76 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.012285 | 0.012384 | +0.80% | 0.0119 | -3.13% | 0.0829 | ✗ | 2.81 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.013715 | 0.013791 | +0.55% | 0.012285 | -10.43% | 0.1129 | ✗ | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.014675 | 0.014741 | +0.45% | 0.013715 | -6.54% | 0.0782 | ✗ | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01592 | 0.015948 | +0.18% | 0.014675 | -7.82% | 0.0500 | ✗ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.016155 | 0.016188 | +0.21% | 0.01592 | -1.45% | 0.0182 | ✗ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01685 | 0.016876 | +0.15% | 0.016155 | -4.12% | 0.0543 | ✗ | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01852 | 0.018491 | -0.16% | 0.01685 | -9.02% | 0.0834 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01875 | 0.018729 | -0.11% | 0.01852 | -1.23% | 0.0115 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.0173 | 0.017347 | +0.27% | 0.01875 | +8.38% | 0.0991 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.019505 | 0.019459 | -0.24% | 0.0173 | -11.30% | 0.1130 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01746 | 0.017576 | +0.66% | 0.019505 | +11.71% | 0.0393 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.018945 | 0.019039 | +0.49% | 0.01746 | -7.84% | 0.0856 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02233 | 0.02226 | -0.31% | 0.018945 | -15.16% | 0.1657 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.01693 | 0.017115 | +1.09% | 0.02233 | +31.90% | 0.2084 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.016355 | 0.016538 | +1.12% | 0.01693 | +3.52% | 0.0208 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.020295 | 0.020465 | +0.84% | 0.016355 | -19.41% | 0.2316 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.02134 | 0.021463 | +0.58% | 0.020295 | -4.90% | 0.0223 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.021645 | 0.021765 | +0.55% | 0.02134 | -1.41% | 0.0375 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.022805 | 0.022876 | +0.31% | 0.021645 | -5.09% | 0.0493 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.02132 | 0.021358 | +0.18% | 0.022805 | +6.97% | 0.0648 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.031655 | 0.0316 | -0.17% | 0.02132 | -32.65% | 0.4023 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.03201 | 0.031921 | -0.28% | 0.031655 | -1.11% | 0.0142 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.039 | 0.038767 | -0.60% | 0.03201 | -17.92% | 0.1894 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.042955 | 0.042652 | -0.71% | 0.039 | -9.21% | 0.0813 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.0556 | 0.054799 | -1.44% | 0.042955 | -22.74% | 0.2279 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.07393 | -5.00% | 0.0556 | -28.55% | 0.2913 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.057 | 0.054698 | -4.04% | 0.07782 | +36.53% | 0.3506 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0465 | 0.044655 | -3.97% | 0.057 | +22.58% | 0.2638 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.02865 | 0.028516 | -0.47% | 0.0465 | +62.30% | 0.4391 | ✗ | 1.00 |