AVAAI

? · · gru_s6

token id: #791
symbol: AVAAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-03-04
predictions: 1,740

Track record at +30d

assessed

361

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

47.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2073

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0444

actual +0.0398

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.008125	0.007487	-7.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-21	oos	0.008075	0.007416	-8.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.53
2026-10-20	oos	0.00756	0.006924	-8.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.007405	0.006808	-8.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.00711	0.006581	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-17	oos	0.007295	0.006688	-8.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-16	oos	0.00736	0.006759	-8.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.00747	0.00686	-8.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-14	oos	0.007585	0.006936	-8.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-13	oos	0.007845	0.007153	-8.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-12	oos	0.008115	0.007355	-9.36%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.00849	0.007762	-8.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.008855	0.008049	-9.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.45
2026-10-09	oos	0.008635	0.007874	-8.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-08	oos	0.009345	0.008479	-9.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-07	oos	0.009275	0.008588	-7.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.00931	0.008805	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.45
2026-10-05	oos	0.00941	0.00891	-5.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-04	oos	0.00963	0.009145	-5.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.009195	0.008705	-5.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.009955	0.009352	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.00995	0.009339	-6.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.47
2026-09-30	oos	0.009625	0.009003	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-29	oos	0.00986	0.009173	-6.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-09-28	oos	0.010215	0.009444	-7.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-09-27	oos	0.00985	0.009167	-6.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.01024	0.009506	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.00975	0.009131	-6.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.009845	0.00931	-5.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.009825	0.009326	-5.07%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-09-22	oos	0.010185	0.009693	-4.83%	0.008125	-20.23%	0.1900	✓	-0.58
2026-09-21	oos	0.011175	0.010576	-5.36%	0.008075	-27.74%	0.2831	✓	-0.44
2026-09-20	oos	0.01132	0.010357	-8.50%	0.00756	-33.22%	0.3034	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.009885	0.009269	-6.23%	0.007405	-25.09%	0.2209	✓	-0.49
2026-09-18	oos	0.00951	0.008977	-5.60%	0.00711	-25.24%	0.2266	✓	-0.48
2026-09-17	oos	0.00962	0.008768	-8.86%	0.007295	-24.17%	0.1522	✓	-0.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.00954	0.008719	-8.60%	0.00736	-22.85%	0.1348	✓	-0.51
2026-09-15	oos	0.01028	0.009261	-9.91%	0.00747	-27.33%	0.1775	✓	-0.45
2026-09-14	oos	0.01038	0.009516	-8.32%	0.007585	-26.93%	0.2075	✓	-0.45
2026-09-13	oos	0.00893	0.008331	-6.71%	0.007845	-12.15%	0.0169	✓	-0.55
2026-09-12	oos	0.00878	0.008334	-5.07%	0.008115	-7.57%	0.0038	✓	-0.54
2026-09-11	oos	0.00872	0.008273	-5.13%	0.00849	-2.64%	0.0681	✗	-0.52
2026-09-10	oos	0.007835	0.007499	-4.29%	0.008855	+13.02%	0.2090	✗	-0.53
2026-09-09	oos	0.008415	0.008104	-3.70%	0.008635	+2.61%	0.0953	✗	-0.60
2026-09-08	oos	0.008665	0.008327	-3.90%	0.009345	+7.85%	0.1380	✗	-0.56
2026-09-07	oos	0.00862	0.008314	-3.55%	0.009275	+7.60%	0.1382	✗	-0.56
2026-09-06	oos	0.00832	0.008068	-3.03%	0.00931	+11.90%	0.1821	✗	-0.62
2026-09-05	oos	0.00847	0.008254	-2.54%	0.00941	+11.10%	0.1757	✗	-0.62
2026-09-04	oos	0.00848	0.00837	-1.30%	0.00963	+13.56%	0.1867	✗	-0.56
2026-09-03	oos	0.008545	0.008402	-1.67%	0.009195	+7.61%	0.1143	✗	-0.58
2026-09-02	oos	0.0081	0.00794	-1.97%	0.009955	+22.90%	0.2765	✗	-0.57
2026-09-01	oos	0.00816	0.007984	-2.15%	0.00995	+21.94%	0.2691	✗	-0.53
2026-08-31	oos	0.008515	0.008441	-0.87%	0.009625	+13.04%	0.1657	✗	-0.56
2026-08-30	oos	0.00861	0.008488	-1.42%	0.00986	+14.52%	0.1859	✗	-0.49
2026-08-29	oos	0.008825	0.008691	-1.52%	0.010215	+15.75%	0.1841	✗	-0.35
2026-08-28	oos	0.009015	0.008851	-1.82%	0.00985	+9.26%	0.1352	✗	-0.35
2026-08-27	oos	0.008675	0.008631	-0.51%	0.01024	+18.04%	0.1873	✗	-0.32
2026-08-26	oos	0.008715	0.008727	+0.14%	0.00975	+11.88%	0.1309	✓	-0.32
2026-08-25	oos	0.0089	0.008826	-0.84%	0.009845	+10.62%	0.1315	✗	-0.31
2026-08-24	oos	0.00901	0.0089	-1.22%	0.009825	+9.05%	0.1197	✗	-0.31
2026-08-23	oos	0.008855	0.008714	-1.60%	0.010185	+15.02%	0.1873	✗	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.00889	0.008731	-1.79%	0.011175	+25.70%	0.2819	✗	-0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.00965	0.009521	-1.34%	0.01132	+17.31%	0.1852	✗	-0.34
2026-08-20	oos	0.01943	0.017604	-9.40%	0.009885	-49.13%	0.6850	✓	1.01
2026-08-19	oos	0.014135	0.013078	-7.48%	0.00951	-32.72%	0.4151	✓	0.63
2026-08-18	oos	0.012725	0.011773	-7.48%	0.00962	-24.40%	0.2840	✓	0.49
2026-08-17	oos	0.01269	0.011731	-7.56%	0.00954	-24.82%	0.2899	✓	0.50
2026-08-16	oos	0.013505	0.012385	-8.29%	0.01028	-23.88%	0.2940	✓	0.58
2026-08-15	oos	0.013505	0.012383	-8.31%	0.01038	-23.14%	0.3021	✓	0.58
2026-08-14	oos	0.01464	0.01318	-9.97%	0.00893	-39.00%	0.5118	✓	0.62
2026-08-13	oos	0.01464	0.013108	-10.46%	0.00878	-40.03%	0.5282	✓	0.65
2026-08-12	oos	0.01266	0.011446	-9.59%	0.00872	-31.12%	0.4019	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.00852	0.008054	-5.47%	0.007835	-8.04%	0.1437	✓	0.62
2026-08-10	oos	0.00858	0.008089	-5.72%	0.008415	-1.92%	0.0968	✓	0.67
2026-08-09	oos	0.00846	0.007966	-5.84%	0.008665	+2.42%	0.0263	✓	0.58
2026-08-08	oos	0.00894	0.008369	-6.39%	0.00862	-3.58%	0.0860	✓	0.59
2026-08-07	oos	0.0084	0.007882	-6.17%	0.00832	-0.95%	0.0558	✓	0.51
2026-08-06	oos	0.0089	0.008335	-6.34%	0.00847	-4.83%	0.1013	✓	0.54
2026-08-05	oos	0.008635	0.008136	-5.78%	0.00848	-1.80%	0.0726	✓	0.54
2026-08-04	oos	0.0085	0.007999	-5.90%	0.008545	+0.53%	0.0491	✓	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.00825	0.007769	-5.83%	0.0081	-1.82%	0.0494	✓	0.46
2026-08-02	oos	0.00774	0.007319	-5.43%	0.00816	+5.43%	0.0286	✓	0.40
2026-08-01	oos	0.00771	0.007259	-5.85%	0.008515	+10.44%	0.0688	✗	0.40
2026-07-31	oos	0.007635	0.007211	-5.55%	0.00861	+12.77%	0.0917	✗	0.40
2026-07-30	oos	0.00719	0.006831	-4.99%	0.008825	+22.74%	0.1665	✗	0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.007175	0.006807	-5.13%	0.009015	+25.64%	0.1672	✗	0.58
2026-07-28	oos	0.007545	0.007129	-5.52%	0.008675	+14.98%	0.0771	✗	0.52
2026-07-27	oos	0.00718	0.006794	-5.38%	0.008715	+21.38%	0.1364	✗	0.52
2026-07-26	oos	0.00804	0.0076	-5.47%	0.0089	+10.70%	0.0760	✗	0.45
2026-07-25	oos	0.008155	0.007684	-5.78%	0.00901	+10.48%	0.0737	✗	0.42
2026-07-24	oos	0.008755	0.008191	-6.44%	0.008855	+1.14%	0.0168	✓	0.49
2026-07-23	oos	0.00817	0.007695	-5.82%	0.00889	+8.81%	0.0564	✓	0.52
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.007811	-5.72%	0.00965	+16.48%	0.1190	✗	0.54
2026-07-21	oos	0.00929	0.008669	-6.69%	0.01943	+109.15%	0.7571	✗	0.54
2026-07-20	oos	0.008425	0.007898	-6.25%	0.014135	+67.77%	0.5637	✗	0.30
2026-07-19	oos	0.010075	0.009261	-8.08%	0.012725	+26.30%	0.3178	✗	0.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.00858	0.007998	-6.79%	0.01269	+47.90%	0.4640	✗	0.48
2026-07-17	oos	0.0072	0.006809	-5.43%	0.013505	+87.57%	0.6932	✗	0.50
2026-07-16	oos	0.006605	0.006303	-4.56%	0.013505	+104.47%	0.7678	✗	0.50
2026-07-15	oos	0.006445	0.006182	-4.09%	0.01464	+127.15%	0.8792	✗	0.63
2026-07-14	oos	0.00651	0.006256	-3.91%	0.01464	+124.88%	0.8657	✗	0.63
2026-07-13	oos	0.006445	0.006218	-3.53%	0.01266	+96.43%	0.6991	✗	0.66
2026-07-12	oos	0.00661	0.006347	-3.98%	0.00852	+28.90%	0.2965	✗	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.005985	0.005816	-2.82%	0.00858	+43.36%	0.3869	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.006075	0.005908	-2.74%	0.00846	+39.26%	0.3486	✗	0.93
2026-07-09	oos	0.00596	0.005785	-2.93%	0.00894	+50.00%	0.4102	✗	0.92
2026-07-08	oos	0.00582	0.005653	-2.88%	0.0084	+44.33%	0.3581	✗	0.91
2026-07-07	oos	0.005875	0.005694	-3.08%	0.0089	+51.49%	0.4328	✗	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.00595	0.005743	-3.47%	0.008635	+45.13%	0.3991	✗	0.93
2026-07-05	oos	0.005985	0.00572	-4.42%	0.0085	+42.02%	0.3894	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	0.00595	0.005716	-3.93%	0.00825	+38.66%	0.3614	✗	0.91
2026-07-03	oos	0.005965	0.005746	-3.67%	0.00774	+29.76%	0.2843	✗	0.88
2026-07-02	oos	0.005235	0.005084	-2.88%	0.00771	+47.28%	0.3998	✗	0.80
2026-07-01	oos	0.00587	0.005643	-3.87%	0.007635	+30.07%	0.2597	✗	0.91
2026-06-30	oos	0.00581	0.005578	-3.99%	0.00719	+23.75%	0.1616	✗	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.005865	0.005614	-4.28%	0.007175	+22.34%	0.1893	✗	0.93
2026-06-28	oos	0.00615	0.005861	-4.69%	0.007545	+22.68%	0.1854	✗	0.95
2026-06-27	oos	0.00522	0.005003	-4.16%	0.00718	+37.55%	0.3019	✗	0.98
2026-06-26	oos	0.005615	0.005396	-3.90%	0.00804	+43.19%	0.3154	✗	0.98
2026-06-25	oos	0.006115	0.005799	-5.17%	0.008155	+33.36%	0.2671	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.005745	0.005462	-4.92%	0.008755	+52.39%	0.4199	✗	1.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.006925	0.006489	-6.29%	0.00817	+17.98%	0.1945	✗	0.95
2026-06-22	oos	0.006105	0.00579	-5.16%	0.008285	+35.71%	0.3231	✗	1.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.00552	0.005318	-3.65%	0.00929	+68.30%	0.5052	✗	1.04
2026-06-20	oos	0.005575	0.005374	-3.60%	0.008425	+51.12%	0.4342	✗	1.01
2026-06-19	oos	0.005625	0.005374	-4.47%	0.010075	+79.11%	0.6096	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.005965	0.005675	-4.86%	0.00858	+43.84%	0.3826	✗	1.03
2026-06-17	oos	0.0062	0.005901	-4.82%	0.0072	+16.13%	0.2076	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.006445	0.006129	-4.91%	0.006605	+2.48%	0.1039	✗	1.02
2026-06-15	oos	0.006055	0.005808	-4.07%	0.006445	+6.44%	0.1337	✗	1.25
2026-06-14	oos	0.00592	0.005669	-4.24%	0.00651	+9.97%	0.1519	✗	1.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.005765	0.005481	-4.93%	0.006445	+11.80%	0.2082	✗	1.35
2026-06-12	oos	0.005605	0.005365	-4.29%	0.00661	+17.93%	0.2043	✗	1.41
2026-06-11	oos	0.005835	0.00554	-5.05%	0.005985	+2.57%	0.0726	✗	1.42
2026-06-10	oos	0.00564	0.005358	-5.00%	0.006075	+7.71%	0.0652	✗	1.42
2026-06-09	oos	0.00566	0.005384	-4.88%	0.00596	+5.30%	0.0679	✗	1.42
2026-06-08	oos	0.00503	0.004825	-4.07%	0.00582	+15.71%	0.2073	✗	1.50
2026-06-07	oos	0.00482	0.004645	-3.64%	0.005875	+21.89%	0.2345	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.00463	0.004471	-3.44%	0.00595	+28.51%	0.2087	✗	1.53
2026-06-05	oos	0.00478	0.004595	-3.86%	0.005985	+25.21%	0.1992	✗	1.59
2026-06-04	oos	0.00502	0.004801	-4.37%	0.00595	+18.53%	0.2328	✗	1.60
2026-06-03	oos	0.00608	0.005751	-5.42%	0.005965	-1.89%	0.0731	✗	1.52
2026-06-02	oos	0.00593	0.005625	-5.15%	0.005235	-11.72%	0.0586	✗	1.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.00592	0.005653	-4.52%	0.00587	-0.84%	0.3610	✗	1.86
2026-05-31	oos	0.007	0.006645	-5.08%	0.00581	-17.00%	0.2786	✗	1.80
2026-05-30	oos	0.00695	0.006618	-4.78%	0.005865	-15.61%	0.2474	✗	1.81
2026-05-29	oos	0.00684	0.00652	-4.68%	0.00615	-10.09%	0.3202	✗	1.80
2026-05-28	oos	0.006745	0.006416	-4.88%	0.00522	-22.61%	0.1571	✗	1.78
2026-05-27	oos	0.006985	0.006619	-5.24%	0.005615	-19.61%	0.2092	✗	1.75
2026-05-26	oos	0.00688	0.006553	-4.75%	0.006115	-11.12%	0.3583	✗	1.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.00712	0.006787	-4.68%	0.005745	-19.31%	0.2966	✗	1.96
2026-05-24	oos	0.006995	0.006688	-4.39%	0.006925	-1.00%	0.4384	✗	1.96
2026-05-23	oos	0.00723	0.006929	-4.16%	0.006105	-15.56%	0.2152	✗	1.89
2026-05-22	oos	0.00717	0.006915	-3.56%	0.00552	-23.01%	0.1098	✗	1.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.00747	0.007249	-2.96%	0.005575	-25.37%	0.0975	✗	1.91
2026-05-20	oos	0.00715	0.006958	-2.68%	0.005625	-21.33%	0.1669	✗	1.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.006985	0.00676	-3.23%	0.005965	-14.60%	0.2553	✗	1.91
2026-05-18	oos	0.00721	0.007049	-2.23%	0.0062	-14.01%	0.2100	✗	1.91
2026-05-17	oos	0.00716	0.007005	-2.16%	0.006445	-9.99%	0.2291	✗	1.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.00792	0.007738	-2.30%	0.006055	-23.55%	0.0620	✗	1.87
2026-05-15	oos	0.008605	0.008408	-2.29%	0.00592	-31.20%	0.0069	✓	1.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.009	0.008764	-2.62%	0.005765	-35.94%	0.0093	✓	1.86
2026-05-13	oos	0.009115	0.008808	-3.36%	0.005605	-38.51%	0.0323	✓	1.90
2026-05-12	oos	0.01031	0.00991	-3.88%	0.005835	-43.40%	0.0969	✓	1.83
2026-05-11	oos	0.008235	0.008105	-1.58%	0.00564	-31.51%	0.1884	✗	1.93
2026-05-10	oos	0.008425	0.008256	-2.00%	0.00566	-32.82%	0.1754	✗	1.93
2026-05-09	oos	0.0091	0.008761	-3.72%	0.00503	-44.73%	0.0679	✓	1.98
2026-05-07	oos	0.008435	0.008194	-2.85%	0.00463	-45.11%	0.0358	✓	1.96
2026-05-06	oos	0.00761	0.007571	-0.51%	0.00478	-37.19%	0.0202	✗	1.66
2026-05-05	oos	0.007865	0.007853	-0.15%	0.00502	-36.17%	0.1024	✓	1.45
2026-05-04	oos	0.00863	0.008472	-1.83%	0.00608	-29.55%	0.0096	✓	1.46
2026-05-01	oos	0.00842	0.008158	-3.11%	0.007	-16.86%	0.0723	✓	1.31
2026-04-30	oos	0.007465	0.007259	-2.75%	0.00695	-6.90%	0.0031	✓	1.20
2026-04-29	oos	0.00896	0.008504	-5.09%	0.00684	-23.66%	0.1787	✓	1.22
2026-04-28	oos	0.00955	0.009059	-5.14%	0.006745	-29.37%	0.2505	✓	1.19
2026-04-27	oos	0.009655	0.009178	-4.94%	0.006985	-27.65%	0.2254	✓	1.19
2026-04-26	oos	0.008935	0.008643	-3.26%	0.00688	-23.00%	0.1836	✓	1.21
2026-04-25	oos	0.007945	0.00776	-2.32%	0.00712	-10.38%	0.0799	✓	1.19
2026-04-24	oos	0.008115	0.007874	-2.97%	0.006995	-13.80%	0.1109	✓	1.19
2026-04-23	oos	0.008985	0.008667	-3.53%	0.00723	-19.53%	0.1564	✓	1.18
2026-04-22	oos	0.008285	0.008054	-2.79%	0.00717	-13.46%	0.0737	✓	1.18
2026-04-21	oos	0.00987	0.009337	-5.40%	0.00747	-24.32%	0.2425	✓	1.25
2026-04-20	oos	0.009995	0.009471	-5.24%	0.00715	-28.46%	0.3079	✓	1.27
2026-04-19	oos	0.008755	0.008354	-4.57%	0.006985	-20.22%	0.2284	✓	1.26
2026-04-18	oos	0.01023	0.009642	-5.75%	0.00721	-29.52%	0.3102	✓	1.24
2026-04-17	oos	0.01058	0.009942	-6.03%	0.00716	-32.33%	0.3333	✓	1.24
2026-04-16	oos	0.009235	0.008768	-5.06%	0.00792	-14.24%	0.1479	✓	1.20
2026-04-15	oos	0.008915	0.008442	-5.30%	0.008605	-3.48%	0.0469	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.00885	0.008371	-5.41%	0.009	+1.69%	0.0346	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.00846	0.008034	-5.04%	0.009115	+7.74%	0.0510	✓	1.19
2026-04-12	oos	0.007195	0.006861	-4.65%	0.01031	+43.29%	0.2664	✗	1.09
2026-04-11	oos	0.00799	0.007586	-5.05%	0.008235	+3.07%	0.0377	✓	1.07
2026-04-10	oos	0.0085	0.008053	-5.26%	0.008425	-0.88%	0.0827	✓	1.08
2026-04-09	oos	0.00848	0.007972	-5.99%	0.0091	+7.31%	0.0065	✓	1.08
2026-04-08	oos	0.00788	0.007454	-5.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-04-07	oos	0.007705	0.007328	-4.90%	0.008435	+9.47%	0.0262	✓	1.07
2026-04-06	oos	0.007535	0.007087	-5.94%	0.00761	+1.00%	0.1128	✓	1.10
2026-04-05	oos	0.00697	0.0066	-5.31%	0.007865	+12.84%	0.0015	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.007145	0.006765	-5.32%	0.00863	+20.78%	0.0560	✗	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.007545	0.007127	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.00692	0.006588	-4.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.00696	0.006629	-4.75%	0.00842	+20.98%	0.0852	✗	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.00588	0.00568	-3.41%	0.007465	+26.96%	0.1484	✗	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.00583	0.005637	-3.31%	0.00896	+53.69%	0.3215	✗	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.0065	0.00623	-4.16%	0.009655	+48.54%	0.2658	✗	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.00699	0.006672	-4.54%	0.007945	+13.66%	0.0390	✓	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.00744	0.007102	-4.55%	0.008115	+9.07%	0.0414	✓	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.00665	0.006382	-4.03%	0.008985	+35.11%	0.2282	✗	1.09
2026-03-23	oos	0.006775	0.00651	-3.91%	0.008285	+22.29%	0.1337	✗	1.09
2026-03-22	oos	0.00665	0.006368	-4.24%	0.00987	+48.42%	0.3073	✗	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.00658	0.006346	-3.56%	0.009995	+51.90%	0.3472	✗	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.006735	0.006531	-3.02%	0.008755	+29.99%	0.2418	✗	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.00703	0.006863	-2.38%	0.01023	+45.52%	0.3097	✗	1.12
2026-03-18	oos	0.00754	0.007319	-2.93%	0.01058	+40.32%	0.2842	✗	1.07
2026-03-17	oos	0.00968	0.009281	-4.12%	0.009235	-4.60%	0.0209	✓	0.97
2026-03-16	oos	0.00966	0.009322	-3.50%	0.008915	-7.71%	0.0440	✓	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.00812	0.007887	-2.87%	0.00885	+8.99%	0.0973	✗	0.98
2026-03-14	oos	0.0071	0.006898	-2.85%	0.00846	+19.15%	0.1642	✗	0.91
2026-03-13	oos	0.00702	0.006811	-2.97%	0.007195	+2.49%	0.0573	✗	0.92
2026-03-12	oos	0.00747	0.007226	-3.26%	0.00799	+6.96%	0.0674	✗	0.93
2026-03-10	oos	0.0094	0.00897	-4.58%	0.00848	-9.79%	0.0801	✓	0.92
2026-03-08	oos	0.0069	0.006675	-3.26%	0.007705	+11.67%	0.0661	✗	0.90
2026-03-07	oos	0.008	0.007642	-4.47%	0.007535	-5.81%	0.0346	✓	0.87
2026-03-06	oos	0.00777	0.007532	-3.07%	0.00697	-10.30%	0.0887	✓	0.86
2026-03-05	oos	0.00777	0.007528	-3.12%	0.007145	-8.04%	0.0064	✓	0.88
2026-03-04	oos	0.008	0.007717	-3.53%	0.007545	-5.69%	0.0516	✗	0.90
2026-03-03	oos	0.00719	0.006962	-3.17%	0.00692	-3.76%	0.0123	✓	0.86
2026-03-02	oos	0.00896	0.008556	-4.51%	0.00696	-22.32%	0.1977	✓	0.83
2026-02-28	oos	0.007825	0.007507	-4.06%	0.00583	-25.50%	0.2502	✓	0.78
2026-02-27	oos	0.007995	0.007627	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-02-26	oos	0.00808	0.007697	-4.75%	0.0065	-19.55%	0.1551	✓	0.79
2026-02-25	oos	0.00843	0.008009	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-02-24	oos	0.006895	0.006624	-3.93%	0.00699	+1.38%	0.0073	✓	0.66
2026-02-23	oos	0.00707	0.006769	-4.25%	0.00744	+5.23%	0.0308	✓	0.65
2026-02-22	oos	0.0073	0.006992	-4.21%	0.00665	-8.90%	0.0774	✓	0.64
2026-02-21	oos	0.00756	0.007243	-4.19%	0.006775	-10.38%	0.0946	✓	0.66
2026-02-20	oos	0.007695	0.007419	-3.59%	0.00665	-13.58%	0.1081	✓	0.64
2026-02-19	oos	0.0076	0.007305	-3.88%	0.00658	-13.42%	0.1227	✓	0.64
2026-02-18	oos	0.00738	0.007181	-2.69%	0.006735	-8.74%	0.1035	✓	0.66
2026-02-17	oos	0.00772	0.007489	-2.99%	0.00703	-8.94%	0.0864	✓	0.65
2026-02-16	oos	0.00775	0.007516	-3.03%	0.00754	-2.71%	0.0192	✓	0.66
2026-02-15	oos	0.00758	0.007377	-2.67%	0.00968	+27.70%	0.2246	✗	0.65
2026-02-14	oos	0.00798	0.007738	-3.04%	0.00966	+21.05%	0.1780	✗	0.62
2026-02-13	oos	0.00777	0.007544	-2.91%	0.00812	+4.50%	0.0388	✗	0.61
2026-02-12	oos	0.007225	0.007036	-2.62%	0.0071	-1.73%	0.0334	✓	0.58
2026-02-11	oos	0.006995	0.006805	-2.72%	0.00702	+0.36%	0.0029	✓	0.60
2026-02-10	oos	0.007205	0.006926	-3.87%	0.00747	+3.68%	0.0605	✗	0.61
2026-02-09	oos	0.00743	0.007148	-3.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-02-08	oos	0.007305	0.007065	-3.28%	0.0094	+28.68%	0.2884	✗	0.63
2026-02-07	oos	0.00745	0.007159	-3.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-02-06	oos	0.00764	0.007319	-4.20%	0.0069	-9.69%	0.0164	✓	0.64
2026-02-05	oos	0.0071	0.006891	-2.95%	0.008	+12.68%	0.1058	✗	0.63
2026-02-04	oos	0.008245	0.007813	-5.23%	0.00777	-5.76%	0.0275	✓	0.48
2026-02-03	oos	0.008465	0.008033	-5.11%	0.00777	-8.21%	0.0031	✓	0.46
2026-02-02	oos	0.00849	0.008052	-5.16%	0.008	-5.77%	0.0351	✓	0.52
2026-02-01	oos	0.00988	0.009215	-6.73%	0.00719	-27.23%	0.1745	✓	0.62
2026-01-31	oos	0.00818	0.007765	-5.07%	0.00896	+9.54%	0.2439	✗	0.76
2026-01-30	oos	0.00799	0.007567	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-01-29	oos	0.00854	0.008023	-6.05%	0.007825	-8.37%	0.1788	✗	0.88
2026-01-28	oos	0.00866	0.008167	-5.70%	0.007995	-7.68%	0.2729	✗	0.97
2026-01-27	oos	0.00907	0.008563	-5.59%	0.00808	-10.92%	0.2187	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.00863	0.008178	-5.24%	0.00843	-2.32%	0.2803	✗	0.96
2026-01-24	oos	0.00918	0.00868	-5.44%	0.00707	-22.98%	0.1058	✗	0.97
2026-01-23	oos	0.00991	0.009363	-5.52%	0.0073	-26.34%	0.0122	✓	0.93
2026-01-22	oos	0.00946	0.008964	-5.24%	0.00756	-20.08%	0.0914	✗	0.95
2026-01-21	oos	0.01008	0.009523	-5.53%	0.007695	-23.66%	0.0495	✓	0.96
2026-01-20	oos	0.00853	0.008143	-4.53%	0.0076	-10.90%	0.1818	✗	0.91
2026-01-19	oos	0.00937	0.008952	-4.46%	0.00738	-21.24%	0.0832	✗	0.83
2026-01-18	oos	0.01061	0.01003	-5.47%	0.00772	-27.24%	0.0031	✓	0.81
2026-01-17	oos	0.01091	0.010413	-4.56%	0.00775	-28.96%	0.0404	✓	0.79
2026-01-16	oos	0.01143	0.010819	-5.34%	0.00758	-33.68%	0.1066	✓	0.76
2026-01-15	oos	0.01061	0.010046	-5.32%	0.00798	-24.79%	0.0149	✓	0.78
2026-01-14	oos	0.01078	0.010239	-5.02%	0.00777	-27.92%	0.0057	✓	0.79
2026-01-13	oos	0.0109	0.010374	-4.82%	0.007225	-33.72%	0.0592	✓	0.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.01092	0.010292	-5.75%	0.006995	-35.94%	0.1090	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.01061	0.010026	-5.50%	0.007205	-32.09%	0.0756	✓	0.92
2026-01-10	oos	0.01035	0.009806	-5.25%	0.00743	-28.21%	0.0423	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.0103	0.009795	-4.90%	0.007305	-29.08%	0.0398	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.00995	0.009496	-4.56%	0.00745	-25.13%	0.0031	✓	0.88
2026-01-07	oos	0.01011	0.009615	-4.89%	0.00764	-24.43%	0.2416	✗	1.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.01065	0.010097	-5.20%	0.0071	-33.33%	0.3851	✗	1.84
2026-01-05	oos	0.01071	0.010132	-5.39%	0.008245	-23.02%	0.2594	✗	1.85
2026-01-04	oos	0.01088	0.010261	-5.69%	0.008465	-22.20%	0.1714	✗	1.91
2026-01-03	oos	0.01056	0.009973	-5.56%	0.00849	-19.60%	0.1112	✗	1.93
2026-01-02	oos	0.01001	0.009544	-4.66%	0.00988	-1.30%	0.3346	✗	1.91
2026-01-01	oos	0.00981	0.009384	-4.35%	0.00818	-16.62%	0.0933	✗	1.91
2025-12-31	oos	0.00922	0.008871	-3.79%	0.00799	-13.34%	0.0296	✓	1.90
2025-12-30	oos	0.00912	0.008757	-3.98%	0.00854	-6.36%	0.0601	✗	1.90
2025-12-29	oos	0.00901	0.008621	-4.32%	0.00866	-3.88%	0.0394	✓	1.88
2025-12-28	oos	0.00913	0.008738	-4.29%	0.00907	-0.66%	0.0109	✓	1.89
2025-12-27	oos	0.00926	0.008837	-4.57%	0.00863	-6.80%	0.0330	✓	1.84
2025-12-26	oos	0.00933	0.008919	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.00897	0.008597	-4.16%	0.00918	+2.34%	0.0261	✓	1.82
2025-12-24	oos	0.00947	0.009196	-2.89%	0.00991	+4.65%	0.0361	✗	1.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.00969	0.009471	-2.26%	0.00946	-2.37%	0.0435	✓	1.84
2025-12-22	oos	0.01004	0.009744	-2.95%	0.01008	+0.40%	0.0172	✓	1.84
2025-12-21	oos	0.00998	0.009742	-2.39%	0.00853	-14.53%	0.1260	✓	1.84
2025-12-20	oos	0.0105	0.010212	-2.74%	0.00937	-10.76%	0.1750	✓	1.90
2025-12-19	oos	0.01023	0.009955	-2.69%	0.01061	+3.71%	0.0519	✓	1.90
2025-12-18	oos	0.01094	0.010533	-3.72%	0.01091	-0.27%	0.1777	✓	1.99
2025-12-17	oos	0.01009	0.009808	-2.79%	0.01143	+13.28%	0.0515	✓	2.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.01143	0.010932	-4.36%	0.01061	-7.17%	0.1956	✓	1.96
2025-12-15	oos	0.00933	0.009109	-2.37%	0.01078	+15.54%	0.0488	✓	1.89
2025-12-14	oos	0.00819	0.008056	-1.63%	0.0109	+33.09%	0.1486	✗	1.95
2025-12-13	oos	0.00886	0.008656	-2.31%	0.01092	+23.25%	0.2125	✗	1.94
2025-12-12	oos	0.00883	0.008659	-1.93%	0.01061	+20.16%	0.1904	✗	1.94
2025-12-11	oos	0.00935	0.009129	-2.37%	0.01035	+10.70%	0.1716	✗	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.01041	0.010051	-3.45%	0.0103	-1.06%	0.0573	✗	1.97
2025-12-09	oos	0.01022	0.009896	-3.17%	0.00995	-2.64%	0.0409	✗	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.01078	0.010407	-3.46%	0.01011	-6.22%	0.0429	✓	2.02
2025-12-07	oos	0.01075	0.010299	-4.19%	0.01065	-0.93%	0.0394	✓	2.02
2025-12-06	oos	0.01164	0.011083	-4.79%	0.01071	-7.99%	0.1380	✓	2.06
2025-12-05	oos	0.01061	0.010198	-3.88%	0.01088	+2.54%	0.0155	✓	2.07
2025-12-04	oos	0.01177	0.011244	-4.47%	0.01056	-10.28%	0.0293	✓	2.04
2025-12-03	oos	0.01243	0.011824	-4.87%	0.01001	-19.47%	0.0888	✓	2.04
2025-12-02	oos	0.01279	0.012155	-4.96%	0.00981	-23.30%	0.1546	✓	2.09
2025-12-01	oos	0.01306	0.012402	-5.03%	0.00922	-29.40%	0.3288	✓	2.31
2025-11-30	oos	0.01361	0.012963	-4.75%	0.00912	-32.99%	0.2990	✓	2.38
2025-11-29	oos	0.012045	0.01151	-4.44%	0.00901	-25.20%	0.1463	✓	2.36
2025-11-28	oos	0.01104	0.010587	-4.10%	0.00913	-17.30%	0.0684	✓	2.36
2025-11-27	oos	0.011235	0.010877	-3.19%	0.00926	-17.58%	0.0686	✓	2.36
2025-11-26	oos	0.01114	0.010852	-2.59%	0.00933	-16.25%	0.0683	✓	2.32
2025-11-25	oos	0.01105	0.010648	-3.63%	0.00897	-18.82%	0.1673	✓	2.39
2025-11-24	oos	0.01073	0.010374	-3.32%	0.00947	-11.74%	0.0732	✓	2.40
2025-11-23	oos	0.00993	0.009648	-2.84%	0.00969	-2.42%	0.0126	✓	2.38
2025-11-22	oos	0.01035	0.009988	-3.50%	0.01004	-3.00%	0.1064	✓	2.50
2025-11-21	oos	0.00991	0.009589	-3.24%	0.00998	+0.71%	0.0623	✓	2.49
2025-11-20	oos	0.01144	0.011022	-3.66%	0.0105	-8.22%	0.0986	✓	2.45
2025-11-19	oos	0.01182	0.011336	-4.10%	0.01023	-13.45%	0.0059	✓	2.58
2025-11-18	oos	0.01244	0.011964	-3.83%	0.01094	-12.06%	0.1259	✗	2.57
2025-11-17	oos	0.012795	0.012253	-4.23%	0.01009	-21.14%	0.0231	✓	2.59
2025-11-16	oos	0.011855	0.011507	-2.94%	0.01143	-3.58%	0.1775	✗	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.01158	0.011245	-2.90%	0.00933	-19.43%	0.0818	✗	2.67
2025-11-14	oos	0.01169	0.011362	-2.81%	0.00819	-29.94%	0.1408	✓	2.69
2025-11-13	oos	0.012335	0.012003	-2.69%	0.00886	-28.17%	0.0246	✓	2.83
2025-11-12	oos	0.01321	0.012835	-2.84%	0.00883	-33.16%	0.0390	✓	2.83
2025-11-11	oos	0.01342	0.013086	-2.49%	0.00935	-30.33%	0.0283	✓	2.87
2025-11-10	oos	0.01488	0.014373	-3.41%	0.01041	-30.04%	0.0724	✗	2.80
2025-11-09	oos	0.014945	0.014442	-3.36%	0.01022	-31.62%	0.0055	✓	2.79
2025-11-08	oos	0.01458	0.014121	-3.15%	0.01078	-26.06%	0.0741	✗	2.85
2025-11-07	oos	0.01479	0.014239	-3.72%	0.01075	-27.32%	0.1473	✗	3.22
2025-11-06	oos	0.014025	0.013429	-4.25%	0.01164	-17.01%	0.2638	✗	3.22
2025-11-05	oos	0.01395	0.013325	-4.48%	0.01061	-23.94%	0.2661	✗	3.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.0129	0.012395	-3.92%	0.01177	-8.76%	0.2643	✗	3.26
2025-11-03	oos	0.013235	0.012675	-4.23%	0.01243	-6.08%	0.4377	✗	3.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.01428	0.01355	-5.11%	0.01279	-10.43%	0.6261	✗	3.58
2025-11-01	oos	0.015055	0.0142	-5.68%	0.01306	-13.25%	0.7886	✗	3.58
2025-10-31	oos	0.01473	0.013877	-5.79%	0.01361	-7.60%	0.6665	✗	3.56
2025-10-30	oos	0.013045	0.012396	-4.97%	0.012045	-7.67%	0.5924	✗	3.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.01405	0.013404	-4.60%	0.01104	-21.42%	0.4707	✗	3.48
2025-10-28	oos	0.013935	0.013276	-4.73%	0.011235	-19.38%	0.5932	✗	3.58
2025-10-27	oos	0.01474	0.013976	-5.18%	0.01114	-24.42%	0.6030	✗	3.58
2025-10-26	oos	0.015345	0.014557	-5.13%	0.01105	-27.99%	0.6949	✗	3.58
2025-10-25	oos	0.015695	0.014791	-5.76%	0.01073	-31.63%	0.5496	✗	3.70
2025-10-24	oos	0.01405	0.01334	-5.05%	0.00993	-29.32%	0.6114	✗	3.68
2025-10-23	oos	0.013835	0.013191	-4.65%	0.01035	-25.19%	0.7254	✗	3.69
2025-10-22	oos	0.013455	0.012844	-4.54%	0.00991	-26.35%	0.6142	✗	3.72
2025-10-21	oos	0.012415	0.011884	-4.28%	0.01144	-7.85%	0.8057	✗	3.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.012795	0.012227	-4.44%	0.01182	-7.62%	0.6863	✗	3.80
2025-10-19	oos	0.012955	0.012444	-3.94%	0.01244	-3.98%	0.5810	✗	3.71
2025-10-18	oos	0.013675	0.013115	-4.09%	0.012795	-6.44%	0.5469	✗	3.76
2025-10-17	oos	0.01244	0.011946	-3.97%	0.011855	-4.70%	0.4513	✗	3.74
2025-10-16	oos	0.012935	0.012448	-3.77%	0.01158	-10.48%	0.3955	✗	3.76
2025-10-15	oos	0.013855	0.013308	-3.95%	0.01169	-15.63%	0.4809	✗	3.84
2025-10-14	oos	0.014675	0.014079	-4.06%	0.012335	-15.95%	0.3559	✗	3.85
2025-10-13	oos	0.015605	0.014991	-3.93%	0.01321	-15.35%	0.3591	✗	3.86
2025-10-12	oos	0.01386	0.013426	-3.13%	0.01342	-3.17%	0.4136	✗	3.74
2025-10-11	oos	0.012495	0.012197	-2.39%	0.01488	+19.09%	0.3696	✗	3.86
2025-10-10	oos	0.00968	0.009416	-2.73%	0.014945	+54.39%	0.7759	✗	4.12
2025-10-09	oos	0.018125	0.017388	-4.07%	0.01458	-19.56%	0.3495	✗	3.02
2025-10-08	oos	0.01968	0.018883	-4.05%	0.01479	-24.85%	0.2755	✗	2.93
2025-10-07	oos	0.018695	0.017936	-4.06%	0.014025	-24.98%	0.3003	✗	3.02
2025-10-06	oos	0.020405	0.019473	-4.57%	0.01395	-31.63%	0.2250	✗	3.05
2025-10-05	oos	0.018995	0.018147	-4.46%	0.0129	-32.09%	0.2538	✗	3.03
2025-10-04	oos	0.019065	0.018175	-4.67%	0.013235	-30.58%	0.1084	✗	3.06
2025-10-03	oos	0.019705	0.018759	-4.80%	0.01428	-27.53%	0.0390	✓	3.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.019045	0.018148	-4.71%	0.015055	-20.95%	0.0957	✗	3.08
2025-10-01	oos	0.01877	0.017969	-4.27%	0.01473	-21.52%	0.0502	✗	3.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.01776	0.016975	-4.42%	0.013045	-26.55%	0.0958	✓	3.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.017835	0.017116	-4.03%	0.01405	-21.22%	0.0655	✓	3.42
2025-09-28	oos	0.018995	0.018024	-5.11%	0.013935	-26.64%	0.2798	✓	3.57
2025-09-27	oos	0.018745	0.017824	-4.91%	0.01474	-21.37%	0.3326	✓	3.62
2025-09-26	oos	0.01917	0.018249	-4.80%	0.015345	-19.95%	0.3306	✓	3.63
2025-09-25	oos	0.017775	0.016961	-4.58%	0.015695	-11.70%	0.1639	✓	3.62
2025-09-24	oos	0.019315	0.01832	-5.15%	0.01405	-27.26%	0.1884	✓	3.75
2025-09-23	oos	0.01906	0.018132	-4.87%	0.013835	-27.41%	0.2060	✓	3.77
2025-09-22	oos	0.019105	0.018231	-4.58%	0.013455	-29.57%	0.1309	✓	3.70
2025-09-21	oos	0.02267	0.021428	-5.48%	0.012415	-45.24%	0.3229	✓	3.60
2025-09-20	oos	0.024065	0.022718	-5.60%	0.012795	-46.83%	0.4069	✓	3.65
2025-09-19	oos	0.02346	0.022137	-5.64%	0.012955	-44.78%	0.3086	✓	3.63
2025-09-18	oos	0.02366	0.022464	-5.05%	0.013675	-42.20%	0.1716	✓	3.67
2025-09-17	oos	0.023985	0.022756	-5.12%	0.01244	-48.13%	0.2688	✓	3.73
2025-09-16	oos	0.022655	0.021481	-5.18%	0.012935	-42.90%	0.2206	✓	3.73
2025-09-15	oos	0.02217	0.021146	-4.62%	0.013855	-37.51%	0.2712	✓	3.74
2025-09-14	oos	0.02363	0.022443	-5.02%	0.014675	-37.90%	0.3510	✓	3.76
2025-09-13	oos	0.02563	0.02423	-5.46%	0.015605	-39.11%	0.4176	✓	3.74
2025-09-12	oos	0.025755	0.02437	-5.38%	0.01386	-46.19%	0.5308	✓	3.74
2025-09-11	oos	0.024105	0.022879	-5.08%	0.012495	-48.16%	0.4472	✓	3.74
2025-09-10	oos	0.02493	0.023339	-6.38%	0.00968	-61.17%	0.8468	✓	3.78
2025-09-09	oos	0.02357	0.02208	-6.32%	0.018125	-23.10%	0.5338	✓	3.86

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.