ASSET

REAL · Ethereum · gru_s6

token id: #914
symbol: ASSET
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99e980265bf36516c442be982df1772a6ccb3233
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

160

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

41.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1056

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0214

actual +0.0344

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.17994	0.180093	+0.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.179535	0.179825	+0.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.18043	0.18034	-0.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.18359	0.18391	+0.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.184295	0.185049	+0.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.182895	0.183628	+0.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-16	oos	0.178165	0.179161	+0.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.183008	+0.47%	0.17994	-1.21%	0.0173	✗	0.02
2026-10-14	oos	0.18487	0.18554	+0.36%	0.179535	-2.89%	0.0334	✗	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.182	0.183171	+0.64%	0.18043	-0.86%	0.0151	✗	-0.02
2026-10-12	oos	0.1805	0.181482	+0.54%	0.18359	+1.71%	0.0116	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.18504	0.185959	+0.50%	0.184295	-0.40%	0.0093	✗	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.18501	0.186203	+0.64%	0.182895	-1.14%	0.0180	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.182435	0.183946	+0.83%	0.178165	-2.34%	0.0320	✗	-0.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.1874	0.188485	+0.58%	0.18215	-2.80%	0.0342	✗	-0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.185	0.186354	+0.73%	0.18487	-0.07%	0.0077	✗	0.02
2026-10-06	oos	0.19033	0.19174	+0.74%	0.182	-4.38%	0.0524	✗	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.178	0.179479	+0.83%	0.1805	+1.40%	0.0067	✓	0.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.1936	0.194791	+0.62%	0.18504	-4.42%	0.0517	✗	-0.01
2026-10-03	oos	0.194695	0.195523	+0.43%	0.18501	-4.97%	0.0555	✗	-0.01
2026-10-02	oos	0.202175	0.202673	+0.25%	0.182435	-9.76%	0.1054	✗	-0.01
2026-10-01	oos	0.197955	0.198381	+0.22%	0.1874	-5.33%	0.0571	✗	-0.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.2008	0.200244	-0.28%	0.185	-7.87%	0.0792	✓	0.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.19782	0.197692	-0.06%	0.19033	-3.79%	0.0390	✓	0.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.195415	0.195112	-0.16%	0.178	-8.91%	0.0927	✓	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.2026	0.203288	+0.34%	0.1936	-4.44%	0.0467	✗	-0.09
2026-09-26	oos	0.22275	0.223504	+0.34%	0.194695	-12.59%	0.1376	✗	-0.10
2026-09-25	oos	0.22897	0.22936	+0.17%	0.202175	-11.70%	0.1257	✗	-0.10
2026-09-24	oos	0.23369	0.233886	+0.08%	0.197955	-15.29%	0.1663	✗	-0.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.24311	0.243742	+0.26%	0.2008	-17.40%	0.1948	✗	-0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.238275	0.240237	+0.82%	0.19782	-16.98%	0.1965	✗	-0.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.24992	+0.84%	0.195415	-21.16%	0.2514	✗	-0.15
2026-09-20	oos	0.24671	0.245826	-0.36%	0.2026	-17.88%	0.1876	✓	-0.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.23124	0.230935	-0.13%	0.22275	-3.67%	0.0308	✓	-0.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.23163	0.231217	-0.18%	0.22897	-1.15%	0.0042	✓	-0.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.23271	0.229352	-1.44%	0.23369	+0.42%	0.0333	✗	-0.15
2026-09-16	oos	0.2335	0.230078	-1.47%	0.24311	+4.12%	0.0704	✗	-0.15
2026-09-15	oos	0.24225	0.238369	-1.60%	0.238275	-1.64%	0.0120	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.24074	0.23878	-0.81%	0.24785	+2.95%	0.0453	✗	-0.08
2026-09-13	oos	0.240105	0.237493	-1.09%	0.24671	+2.75%	0.0422	✗	-0.08
2026-09-12	oos	0.2405	0.238232	-0.94%	0.23124	-3.85%	0.0260	✓	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.24871	0.245921	-1.12%	0.23163	-6.87%	0.0565	✓	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.25068	0.247009	-1.46%	0.23271	-7.17%	0.0598	✓	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.24441	0.242124	-0.94%	0.2335	-4.46%	0.0380	✓	-0.06
2026-09-08	oos	0.245365	0.243594	-0.72%	0.24225	-1.27%	0.0056	✓	-0.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.24287	0.241957	-0.38%	0.24074	-0.88%	0.0051	✓	-0.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.245	0.244659	-0.14%	0.240105	-2.00%	0.0223	✓	-0.08
2026-09-05	oos	0.245875	0.245155	-0.29%	0.2405	-2.19%	0.0222	✓	-0.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.252975	0.252311	-0.26%	0.24871	-1.69%	0.0167	✓	-0.07
2026-09-03	oos	0.26135	0.262022	+0.26%	0.25068	-4.08%	0.0499	✗	-0.09
2026-09-02	oos	0.25512	0.255663	+0.21%	0.24441	-4.20%	0.0444	✗	-0.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.26499	0.2653	+0.12%	0.245365	-7.41%	0.0770	✗	-0.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.252875	0.254117	+0.49%	0.24287	-3.96%	0.0444	✗	-0.13
2026-08-30	oos	0.259595	0.259787	+0.07%	0.245	-5.62%	0.0497	✗	-0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.24012	0.241304	+0.49%	0.245875	+2.40%	0.0232	✓	-0.22
2026-08-28	oos	0.233425	0.235157	+0.74%	0.252975	+8.38%	0.0781	✓	-0.22
2026-08-27	oos	0.24205	0.244354	+0.95%	0.26135	+7.97%	0.0704	✓	-0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.2484	0.250174	+0.71%	0.25512	+2.71%	0.0141	✓	-0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.24627	0.24752	+0.51%	0.26499	+7.60%	0.0647	✓	-0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.25147	0.252789	+0.52%	0.252875	+0.56%	0.0012	✓	-0.29
2026-08-23	oos	0.25364	0.254863	+0.48%	0.259595	+2.35%	0.0182	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.258565	0.259486	+0.36%	0.24012	-7.13%	0.0737	✗	-0.25
2026-08-21	oos	0.253835	0.254983	+0.45%	0.233425	-8.04%	0.0899	✗	-0.26
2026-08-20	oos	0.2488	0.24835	-0.18%	0.24205	-2.71%	0.0048	✗	-0.32
2026-08-19	oos	0.251865	0.25068	-0.47%	0.2484	-1.38%	0.0344	✗	-0.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.257515	0.254601	-1.13%	0.24627	-4.37%	0.0290	✗	-0.32
2026-08-17	oos	0.263055	0.259736	-1.26%	0.25147	-4.40%	0.0376	✗	-0.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.261825	0.258061	-1.44%	0.25364	-3.13%	0.0583	✗	-0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.26281	0.25925	-1.35%	0.258565	-1.62%	0.0707	✗	-0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.26914	0.265578	-1.32%	0.253835	-5.69%	0.0281	✗	-0.34
2026-08-13	oos	0.26543	0.262407	-1.14%	0.2488	-6.27%	0.0055	✓	-0.42
2026-08-12	oos	0.257655	0.255315	-0.91%	0.251865	-2.25%	0.0417	✗	-0.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.26611	0.263171	-1.10%	0.257515	-3.23%	0.0123	✓	-0.53
2026-08-10	oos	0.258425	0.255767	-1.03%	0.263055	+1.79%	0.0319	✗	-0.43
2026-08-09	oos	0.258105	0.255346	-1.07%	0.261825	+1.44%	0.0085	✓	-0.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.262765	0.259679	-1.17%	0.26281	+0.02%	0.0043	✓	-0.55
2026-08-07	oos	0.2584	0.255023	-1.31%	0.26914	+4.16%	0.0360	✗	-0.60
2026-08-06	oos	0.2601	0.257061	-1.17%	0.26543	+2.05%	0.0244	✗	-0.58
2026-08-05	oos	0.26411	0.260935	-1.20%	0.257655	-2.44%	0.0233	✓	-0.57
2026-08-04	oos	0.25658	0.253423	-1.23%	0.26611	+3.71%	0.0445	✗	-0.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.267695	0.26419	-1.31%	0.258425	-3.46%	0.0187	✓	-0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.266015	0.262192	-1.44%	0.258105	-2.97%	0.0050	✓	-0.51
2026-08-01	oos	0.258765	0.25541	-1.30%	0.262765	+1.55%	0.0433	✗	-0.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.26543	0.261883	-1.34%	0.2584	-2.65%	0.0011	✓	-0.45
2026-07-30	oos	0.26337	0.259888	-1.32%	0.2601	-1.24%	0.0025	✓	-0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.27105	0.267113	-1.45%	0.26411	-2.56%	0.0090	✓	-0.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.27033	0.266527	-1.41%	0.25658	-5.09%	0.0374	✓	-0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.27	0.266028	-1.47%	0.267695	-0.85%	0.0055	✓	-0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.27424	0.270023	-1.54%	0.266015	-3.00%	0.0216	✓	-0.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.285335	0.280576	-1.67%	0.258765	-9.31%	0.0857	✓	-0.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.27427	0.269998	-1.56%	0.26543	-3.22%	0.0211	✓	-0.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.28433	0.279734	-1.62%	0.26337	-7.37%	0.0614	✓	-0.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.27796	0.27405	-1.41%	0.27105	-2.49%	0.0187	✓	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.28398	0.279749	-1.49%	0.27033	-4.81%	0.0439	✓	-0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.28799	0.283519	-1.55%	0.27	-6.25%	0.0539	✓	-0.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.27379	0.270432	-1.23%	0.27424	+0.16%	0.0163	✗	-0.23
2026-07-18	oos	0.281705	0.278452	-1.15%	0.285335	+1.29%	0.0227	✗	-0.23
2026-07-17	oos	0.28486	0.281228	-1.28%	0.27427	-3.72%	0.0244	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.27849	0.275007	-1.25%	0.28433	+2.10%	0.0375	✗	-0.21
2026-07-15	oos	0.252995	0.250667	-0.92%	0.27796	+9.87%	0.1071	✗	-0.18
2026-07-14	oos	0.26841	0.265933	-0.92%	0.28398	+5.80%	0.0699	✗	-0.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.26562	0.263255	-0.89%	0.28799	+8.42%	0.0983	✗	-0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.26993	0.267589	-0.87%	0.27379	+1.43%	0.0261	✗	-0.22
2026-07-11	oos	0.27867	0.275963	-0.97%	0.281705	+1.09%	0.0240	✗	-0.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.27803	0.275571	-0.88%	0.28486	+2.46%	0.0324	✗	-0.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.27415	0.271747	-0.88%	0.27849	+1.58%	0.0265	✗	-0.21
2026-07-08	oos	0.28	0.277139	-1.02%	0.252995	-9.64%	0.0840	✓	-0.18
2026-07-07	oos	0.29089	0.287452	-1.18%	0.26841	-7.73%	0.0628	✓	-0.22
2026-07-06	oos	0.28952	0.285883	-1.26%	0.26562	-8.26%	0.0798	✓	-0.23
2026-07-05	oos	0.29238	0.288316	-1.39%	0.26993	-7.68%	0.0654	✓	-0.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.29104	0.286905	-1.42%	0.27867	-4.25%	0.0269	✓	-0.21
2026-07-03	oos	0.29352	0.289133	-1.49%	0.27803	-5.28%	0.0342	✓	-0.19
2026-07-02	oos	0.292	0.287304	-1.61%	0.27415	-6.11%	0.0419	✓	-0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.27333	0.26925	-1.49%	0.28	+2.44%	0.0482	✗	-0.24
2026-06-30	oos	0.280855	0.27604	-1.71%	0.29089	+3.57%	0.0670	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.24758	0.24399	-1.45%	0.28952	+16.94%	0.1758	✗	-0.08
2026-06-28	oos	0.25	0.246365	-1.45%	0.29238	+16.95%	0.1748	✗	-0.05
2026-06-27	oos	0.250875	0.246703	-1.66%	0.29104	+16.01%	0.1683	✗	-0.06
2026-06-26	oos	0.25667	0.251808	-1.89%	0.29352	+14.36%	0.1554	✗	-0.05
2026-06-25	oos	0.258	0.252735	-2.04%	0.292	+13.18%	0.1455	✗	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.26441	0.257749	-2.52%	0.27333	+3.37%	0.0573	✗	-0.08
2026-06-23	oos	0.243305	0.237404	-2.43%	0.280855	+15.43%	0.1670	✗	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.25176	0.244509	-2.88%	0.24758	-1.66%	0.0084	✓	-0.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.25175	0.244757	-2.78%	0.25	-0.70%	0.0183	✓	-0.05
2026-06-20	oos	0.24887	0.241239	-3.07%	0.250875	+0.81%	0.0352	✗	-0.06
2026-06-19	oos	0.245725	0.237918	-3.18%	0.25667	+4.45%	0.0732	✗	-0.05
2026-06-18	oos	0.25078	0.242616	-3.26%	0.258	+2.88%	0.0607	✗	-0.01
2026-06-17	oos	0.265975	0.256837	-3.44%	0.26441	-0.59%	0.0228	✓	-0.11
2026-06-16	oos	0.27077	0.261109	-3.57%	0.243305	-10.14%	0.0777	✓	-0.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.27511	0.264874	-3.72%	0.25176	-8.49%	0.0568	✓	-0.17
2026-06-14	oos	0.274525	0.263952	-3.85%	0.25175	-8.30%	0.0532	✓	-0.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.27333	0.262354	-4.02%	0.24887	-8.95%	0.0532	✓	-0.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.282715	0.270642	-4.27%	0.245725	-13.08%	0.0966	✓	-0.05
2026-06-11	oos	0.281995	0.268919	-4.64%	0.25078	-11.07%	0.0703	✓	-0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.26464	0.252413	-4.62%	0.265975	+0.50%	0.0581	✗	-0.12
2026-06-09	oos	0.256955	0.24398	-5.05%	0.27077	+5.38%	0.1116	✗	-0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.23368	0.223067	-4.54%	0.27511	+17.73%	0.2124	✗	-0.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.2178	0.208197	-4.41%	0.274525	+26.04%	0.2787	✗	-0.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.21444	0.205938	-3.96%	0.27333	+27.46%	0.2838	✗	-0.01
2026-06-05	oos	0.21939	0.209618	-4.45%	0.282715	+28.86%	0.2991	✗	0.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.23152	0.216882	-6.32%	0.281995	+21.80%	0.2614	✗	-0.29
2026-06-03	oos	0.1936	0.186193	-3.83%	0.26464	+36.69%	0.3391	✗	-0.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.18198	0.174134	-4.31%	0.256955	+41.20%	0.3706	✗	-0.24
2026-06-01	oos	0.16522	0.157017	-4.96%	0.23368	+41.44%	0.4294	✗	0.26
2026-05-31	oos	0.169535	0.15971	-5.80%	0.2178	+28.47%	0.3119	✗	0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.17431	0.163602	-6.14%	0.21444	+23.02%	0.2697	✗	-0.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.177695	0.166307	-6.41%	0.21939	+23.46%	0.4611	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.178315	0.16612	-6.84%	0.23152	+29.84%	0.4736	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.180295	0.166934	-7.41%	0.1936	+7.38%	0.2970	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.164055	0.150805	-8.08%	0.18198	+10.93%	0.3168	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.17311	0.158707	-8.32%	0.16522	-4.56%	0.1202	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.17411	0.159366	-8.47%	0.169535	-2.63%	0.1070	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.18742	0.171305	-8.60%	0.17431	-6.99%	0.0557	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.185295	0.168991	-8.80%	0.177695	-4.10%	0.0781	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.181295	0.164999	-8.99%	0.178315	-1.64%	0.1310	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.17322	0.157621	-9.01%	0.180295	+4.08%	0.1760	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.18601	0.168811	-9.25%	0.164055	-11.80%	0.0162	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.19024	0.17144	-9.88%	0.17311	-9.00%	0.0057	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.17619	0.158957	-9.78%	0.17411	-1.18%	0.0966	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.19502	0.171357	-12.13%	0.18742	-3.90%	0.1084	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.15268	0.137899	-9.68%	0.185295	+21.36%	0.3422	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.116155	0.110008	-5.29%	0.181295	+56.08%	0.5441	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10455	0.09964	-4.70%	0.17322	+65.68%	0.5761	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.12761	0.117318	-8.07%	0.18601	+45.76%	0.5082	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.10276	0.098818	-3.84%	0.19024	+85.13%	0.7153	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.08032	0.079081	-1.54%	0.17619	+119.36%	0.8612	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.08549	0.083576	-2.24%	0.19502	+128.12%	0.8795	✗	1.00