ASSET

REAL · Ethereum · gru_s6

token id: #914
symbol: ASSET
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99e980265bf36516c442be982df1772a6ccb3233
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

165

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

57.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0358

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0062

actual +0.0055

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.18042	0.180165	-0.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.18043	0.180222	-0.12%	0.18042	-0.01%	0.0011	✓	0.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.18359	0.18351	-0.04%	0.18043	-1.72%	0.0171	✓	0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.184295	0.18435	+0.03%	0.18359	-0.38%	0.0041	✗	0.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.182895	0.182935	+0.02%	0.184295	+0.77%	0.0073	✓	0.02
2026-10-16	oos	0.178165	0.178239	+0.04%	0.182895	+2.65%	0.0258	✓	0.02
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.182164	+0.01%	0.178165	-2.19%	0.0221	✗	0.02
2026-10-14	oos	0.18487	0.18484	-0.02%	0.18215	-1.47%	0.0148	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.182	0.182075	+0.04%	0.18487	+1.58%	0.0148	✓	-0.02
2026-10-12	oos	0.1805	0.180524	+0.01%	0.182	+0.83%	0.0084	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.18504	0.185016	-0.01%	0.1805	-2.45%	0.0250	✓	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.18501	0.185115	+0.06%	0.18504	+0.02%	0.0004	✓	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.182435	0.182618	+0.10%	0.18501	+1.41%	0.0130	✓	-0.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.1874	0.18749	+0.05%	0.182435	-2.65%	0.0273	✗	-0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.185	0.185137	+0.07%	0.1874	+1.30%	0.0125	✓	0.02
2026-10-06	oos	0.19033	0.190425	+0.05%	0.185	-2.80%	0.0292	✗	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.178	0.178127	+0.07%	0.19033	+6.93%	0.0663	✓	0.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.1936	0.193644	+0.02%	0.178	-8.06%	0.0843	✗	-0.01
2026-10-03	oos	0.194695	0.194673	-0.01%	0.1936	-0.56%	0.0053	✓	-0.01
2026-10-02	oos	0.202175	0.202085	-0.04%	0.194695	-3.70%	0.0372	✓	-0.01
2026-10-01	oos	0.197955	0.197835	-0.06%	0.202175	+2.13%	0.0217	✗	-0.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.2008	0.200495	-0.15%	0.197955	-1.42%	0.0128	✓	0.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.19782	0.197683	-0.07%	0.2008	+1.51%	0.0157	✗	0.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.195415	0.195254	-0.08%	0.19782	+1.23%	0.0130	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.2026	0.202564	-0.02%	0.195415	-3.55%	0.0370	✓	-0.09
2026-09-26	oos	0.22275	0.22261	-0.06%	0.2026	-9.05%	0.0941	✓	-0.10
2026-09-25	oos	0.22897	0.228658	-0.14%	0.22275	-2.72%	0.0258	✓	-0.10
2026-09-24	oos	0.23369	0.23333	-0.15%	0.22897	-2.02%	0.0192	✓	-0.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.24311	0.242893	-0.09%	0.23369	-3.87%	0.0386	✓	-0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.238275	0.238344	+0.03%	0.24311	+2.03%	0.0182	✓	-0.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.24791	+0.02%	0.238275	-3.86%	0.0403	✗	-0.15
2026-09-20	oos	0.24671	0.246273	-0.18%	0.24785	+0.46%	0.0158	✗	-0.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.23124	0.231002	-0.10%	0.24671	+6.69%	0.0657	✗	-0.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.23163	0.231364	-0.11%	0.23124	-0.17%	0.0001	✓	-0.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.23271	0.231963	-0.32%	0.23163	-0.46%	0.0069	✗	-0.15
2026-09-16	oos	0.2335	0.232669	-0.36%	0.23271	-0.34%	0.0006	✓	-0.15
2026-09-15	oos	0.24225	0.241302	-0.39%	0.2335	-3.61%	0.0322	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.24074	0.240098	-0.27%	0.24225	+0.63%	0.0063	✗	-0.08
2026-09-13	oos	0.240105	0.239368	-0.31%	0.24074	+0.26%	0.0071	✗	-0.08
2026-09-12	oos	0.2405	0.239737	-0.32%	0.240105	-0.16%	0.0011	✓	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.24871	0.24762	-0.44%	0.2405	-3.30%	0.0291	✓	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.25068	0.249229	-0.58%	0.24871	-0.79%	0.0014	✓	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.24441	0.243364	-0.43%	0.25068	+2.57%	0.0282	✗	-0.06
2026-09-08	oos	0.245365	0.244464	-0.37%	0.24441	-0.39%	0.0002	✓	-0.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.24287	0.242202	-0.28%	0.245365	+1.03%	0.0129	✗	-0.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.245	0.244411	-0.24%	0.24287	-0.87%	0.0076	✓	-0.08
2026-09-05	oos	0.245875	0.245187	-0.28%	0.245	-0.36%	0.0002	✓	-0.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.252975	0.252244	-0.29%	0.245875	-2.81%	0.0254	✓	-0.07
2026-09-03	oos	0.26135	0.260934	-0.16%	0.252975	-3.20%	0.0328	✓	-0.09
2026-09-02	oos	0.25512	0.254837	-0.11%	0.26135	+2.44%	0.0277	✗	-0.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.26499	0.264612	-0.14%	0.25512	-3.72%	0.0366	✓	-0.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.252875	0.252677	-0.08%	0.26499	+4.79%	0.0457	✗	-0.13
2026-08-30	oos	0.259595	0.258909	-0.26%	0.252875	-2.59%	0.0206	✓	-0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.24012	0.239846	-0.11%	0.259595	+8.11%	0.0775	✗	-0.22
2026-08-28	oos	0.233425	0.23331	-0.05%	0.24012	+2.87%	0.0299	✗	-0.22
2026-08-27	oos	0.24205	0.242009	-0.02%	0.233425	-3.56%	0.0441	✓	-0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.2484	0.248227	-0.07%	0.24205	-2.56%	0.0213	✓	-0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.24627	0.245958	-0.13%	0.2484	+0.86%	0.0114	✗	-0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.25147	0.251155	-0.13%	0.24627	-2.07%	0.0213	✓	-0.29
2026-08-23	oos	0.25364	0.253357	-0.11%	0.25147	-0.86%	0.0033	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.258565	0.258205	-0.14%	0.25364	-1.90%	0.0156	✓	-0.25
2026-08-21	oos	0.253835	0.253482	-0.14%	0.258565	+1.86%	0.0156	✗	-0.26
2026-08-20	oos	0.2488	0.248167	-0.25%	0.253835	+2.02%	0.0452	✗	-0.32
2026-08-19	oos	0.251865	0.25108	-0.31%	0.2488	-1.22%	0.0082	✗	-0.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.257515	0.256319	-0.46%	0.251865	-2.19%	0.0046	✓	-0.32
2026-08-17	oos	0.263055	0.261752	-0.50%	0.257515	-2.11%	0.0152	✓	-0.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.261825	0.260454	-0.52%	0.263055	+0.47%	0.0191	✗	-0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.26281	0.261514	-0.49%	0.261825	-0.37%	0.0001	✓	-0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.26914	0.267842	-0.48%	0.26281	-2.35%	0.0187	✓	-0.34
2026-08-13	oos	0.26543	0.264338	-0.41%	0.26914	+1.40%	0.0150	✗	-0.42
2026-08-12	oos	0.257655	0.256841	-0.32%	0.26543	+3.02%	0.0330	✗	-0.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.26611	0.265086	-0.38%	0.257655	-3.18%	0.0294	✓	-0.53
2026-08-10	oos	0.258425	0.257558	-0.34%	0.26611	+2.97%	0.0301	✗	-0.43
2026-08-09	oos	0.258105	0.257295	-0.31%	0.258425	+0.12%	0.0033	✓	-0.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.262765	0.261886	-0.33%	0.258105	-1.77%	0.0151	✓	-0.55
2026-08-07	oos	0.2584	0.257533	-0.34%	0.262765	+1.69%	0.0203	✗	-0.60
2026-08-06	oos	0.2601	0.25933	-0.30%	0.2584	-0.65%	0.0020	✓	-0.58
2026-08-05	oos	0.26411	0.263302	-0.31%	0.2601	-1.52%	0.0152	✓	-0.57
2026-08-04	oos	0.25658	0.255871	-0.28%	0.26411	+2.93%	0.0363	✗	-0.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.267695	0.266903	-0.30%	0.25658	-4.15%	0.0350	✓	-0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.266015	0.26517	-0.32%	0.267695	+0.63%	0.0092	✗	-0.51
2026-08-01	oos	0.258765	0.258075	-0.27%	0.266015	+2.80%	0.0355	✗	-0.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.26543	0.264643	-0.30%	0.258765	-2.51%	0.0229	✓	-0.45
2026-07-30	oos	0.26337	0.262537	-0.32%	0.26543	+0.78%	0.0029	✓	-0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.27105	0.270075	-0.36%	0.26337	-2.83%	0.0225	✓	-0.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.27033	0.26948	-0.31%	0.27105	+0.27%	0.0060	✗	-0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.27	0.269155	-0.31%	0.27033	+0.12%	0.0048	✗	-0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.27424	0.273191	-0.38%	0.27	-1.55%	0.0177	✓	-0.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.285335	0.284171	-0.41%	0.27424	-3.89%	0.0324	✓	-0.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.27427	0.273317	-0.35%	0.285335	+4.03%	0.0437	✗	-0.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.28433	0.283149	-0.42%	0.27427	-3.54%	0.0353	✓	-0.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.27796	0.277017	-0.34%	0.28433	+2.29%	0.0225	✗	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.28398	0.282816	-0.41%	0.27796	-2.12%	0.0188	✓	-0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.28799	0.286727	-0.44%	0.28398	-1.39%	0.0054	✓	-0.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.27379	0.273024	-0.28%	0.28799	+5.19%	0.0552	✗	-0.23
2026-07-18	oos	0.281705	0.28093	-0.28%	0.27379	-2.81%	0.0261	✓	-0.23
2026-07-17	oos	0.28486	0.283959	-0.32%	0.281705	-1.11%	0.0050	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.27849	0.277621	-0.31%	0.28486	+2.29%	0.0262	✗	-0.21
2026-07-15	oos	0.252995	0.252542	-0.18%	0.27849	+10.08%	0.0952	✗	-0.18
2026-07-14	oos	0.26841	0.267879	-0.20%	0.252995	-5.74%	0.0579	✓	-0.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.26562	0.265154	-0.18%	0.26841	+1.05%	0.0200	✗	-0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.26993	0.269416	-0.19%	0.26562	-1.60%	0.0192	✓	-0.22
2026-07-11	oos	0.27867	0.277955	-0.26%	0.26993	-3.14%	0.0294	✓	-0.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.27803	0.277415	-0.22%	0.27867	+0.23%	0.0033	✗	-0.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.27415	0.273544	-0.22%	0.27803	+1.42%	0.0194	✗	-0.21
2026-07-08	oos	0.28	0.279235	-0.27%	0.27415	-2.09%	0.0156	✓	-0.18
2026-07-07	oos	0.29089	0.289905	-0.34%	0.28	-3.74%	0.0386	✓	-0.22
2026-07-06	oos	0.28952	0.288473	-0.36%	0.29089	+0.47%	0.0059	✗	-0.23
2026-07-05	oos	0.29238	0.291201	-0.40%	0.28952	-0.98%	0.0044	✓	-0.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.29104	0.289926	-0.38%	0.29238	+0.46%	0.0101	✗	-0.21
2026-07-03	oos	0.29352	0.292345	-0.40%	0.29104	-0.84%	0.0027	✓	-0.19
2026-07-02	oos	0.292	0.290683	-0.45%	0.29352	+0.52%	0.0127	✗	-0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.27333	0.272273	-0.39%	0.292	+6.83%	0.0760	✗	-0.24
2026-06-30	oos	0.280855	0.279505	-0.48%	0.27333	-2.68%	0.0178	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.24758	0.246666	-0.37%	0.280855	+13.44%	0.1277	✗	-0.08
2026-06-28	oos	0.25	0.249073	-0.37%	0.24758	-0.97%	0.0054	✓	-0.05
2026-06-27	oos	0.250875	0.249891	-0.39%	0.25	-0.35%	0.0000	✓	-0.06
2026-06-26	oos	0.25667	0.255494	-0.46%	0.250875	-2.26%	0.0183	✓	-0.05
2026-06-25	oos	0.258	0.256721	-0.50%	0.25667	-0.52%	0.0000	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.26441	0.262473	-0.73%	0.258	-2.42%	0.0189	✓	-0.08
2026-06-23	oos	0.243305	0.241895	-0.58%	0.26441	+8.67%	0.0886	✗	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.25176	0.249792	-0.78%	0.243305	-3.36%	0.0277	✓	-0.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.25175	0.250046	-0.68%	0.25176	+0.00%	0.0074	✗	-0.05
2026-06-20	oos	0.24887	0.247074	-0.72%	0.25175	+1.16%	0.0179	✗	-0.06
2026-06-19	oos	0.245725	0.244093	-0.66%	0.24887	+1.28%	0.0199	✗	-0.05
2026-06-18	oos	0.25078	0.249116	-0.66%	0.245725	-2.02%	0.0136	✓	-0.01
2026-06-17	oos	0.265975	0.263977	-0.75%	0.25078	-5.71%	0.0541	✓	-0.11
2026-06-16	oos	0.27077	0.268585	-0.81%	0.265975	-1.77%	0.0125	✓	-0.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.27511	0.272691	-0.88%	0.27077	-1.58%	0.0088	✓	-0.17
2026-06-14	oos	0.274525	0.272015	-0.91%	0.27511	+0.21%	0.0126	✗	-0.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.27333	0.27076	-0.94%	0.274525	+0.44%	0.0162	✗	-0.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.282715	0.279744	-1.05%	0.27333	-3.32%	0.0225	✓	-0.05
2026-06-11	oos	0.281995	0.278544	-1.22%	0.282715	+0.26%	0.0148	✗	-0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.26464	0.261515	-1.18%	0.281995	+6.56%	0.0795	✗	-0.12
2026-06-09	oos	0.256955	0.253193	-1.46%	0.26464	+2.99%	0.0438	✗	-0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.23368	0.231064	-1.12%	0.256955	+9.96%	0.1050	✗	-0.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.2178	0.215554	-1.03%	0.23368	+7.29%	0.0805	✗	-0.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.21444	0.212494	-0.91%	0.2178	+1.57%	0.0251	✗	-0.01
2026-06-05	oos	0.21939	0.216694	-1.23%	0.21444	-2.26%	0.0105	✓	0.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.23152	0.226102	-2.34%	0.21939	-5.24%	0.0428	✓	-0.29
2026-06-03	oos	0.1936	0.191715	-0.97%	0.23152	+19.59%	0.1875	✗	-0.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.18198	0.179888	-1.15%	0.1936	+6.39%	0.0639	✗	-0.24
2026-06-01	oos	0.16522	0.163282	-1.17%	0.18198	+10.14%	0.1259	✗	0.26
2026-05-31	oos	0.169535	0.167142	-1.41%	0.16522	-2.55%	0.0112	✓	0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.17431	0.171658	-1.52%	0.169535	-2.74%	0.0125	✓	-0.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.177695	0.174878	-1.59%	0.17431	-1.90%	0.0087	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.178315	0.175293	-1.69%	0.177695	-0.35%	0.0156	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.180295	0.176984	-1.84%	0.178315	-1.10%	0.0184	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.164055	0.160982	-1.87%	0.180295	+9.90%	0.1334	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.17311	0.169668	-1.99%	0.164055	-5.23%	0.0150	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.17411	0.170609	-2.01%	0.17311	-0.57%	0.0110	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.18742	0.183348	-2.17%	0.17411	-7.10%	0.0559	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.185295	0.181154	-2.23%	0.18742	+1.15%	0.0181	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.181295	0.176995	-2.37%	0.185295	+2.21%	0.0733	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.17322	0.169129	-2.36%	0.181295	+4.66%	0.0685	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.18601	0.181208	-2.58%	0.17322	-6.88%	0.0543	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.19024	0.184239	-3.15%	0.18601	-2.22%	0.0119	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.17619	0.170548	-3.20%	0.19024	+7.97%	0.1153	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.19502	0.184118	-5.59%	0.17619	-9.66%	0.0350	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.15268	0.146889	-3.79%	0.19502	+27.73%	0.2956	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.116155	0.114291	-1.60%	0.15268	+31.45%	0.3148	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10455	0.10314	-1.35%	0.116155	+11.10%	0.0965	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.12761	0.123032	-3.59%	0.10455	-18.07%	0.1478	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.10276	0.101321	-1.40%	0.12761	+24.18%	0.2460	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.08032	0.079875	-0.55%	0.10276	+27.94%	0.2577	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.08549	0.084837	-0.76%	0.08032	-6.05%	0.0737	✓	1.00