ARX

Arcium · Solana · gru_s6

token id: #310
symbol: ARX
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: ARXwZkNAtzPfdcoqQiduJn8EPv9fKiDfGn2KyggyDrFs
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-22
predictions: 342

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 114 predictions shown

direction hit

57.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3682

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0489

actual +0.0950

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.2378	0.219443	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-10-21	oos	0.2364	0.218048	-7.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-10-20	oos	0.23045	0.214412	-6.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-19	oos	0.22725	0.211136	-7.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-18	oos	0.23265	0.21728	-6.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-17	oos	0.23705	0.222161	-6.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-16	oos	0.23935	0.22461	-6.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-15	oos	0.2303	0.218324	-5.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-14	oos	0.2421	0.229345	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-13	oos	0.25125	0.239691	-4.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.2508	0.237822	-5.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-11	oos	0.2821	0.265641	-5.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.2784	0.262131	-5.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-09	oos	0.25605	0.242442	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-08	oos	0.26245	0.246833	-5.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-07	oos	0.27185	0.254686	-6.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.27005	0.252688	-6.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-05	oos	0.2923	0.271195	-7.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-04	oos	0.2751	0.25607	-6.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.2819	0.2602	-7.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.2895	0.265266	-8.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-01	oos	0.284	0.260154	-8.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.2786	0.253916	-8.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-29	oos	0.27045	0.247415	-8.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.25885	0.237082	-8.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.2513	0.231445	-7.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-09-26	oos	0.2266	0.210596	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-25	oos	0.2494	0.229115	-8.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-24	oos	0.2518	0.231042	-8.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-23	oos	0.2311	0.213039	-7.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-22	oos	0.2222	0.208371	-6.22%	0.2378	+7.02%	0.1478	✗	0.67
2026-09-21	oos	0.20055	0.190784	-4.87%	0.2364	+17.88%	0.2393	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.19665	0.182993	-6.94%	0.23045	+17.19%	0.2133	✗	0.80
2026-09-19	oos	0.19445	0.18191	-6.45%	0.22725	+16.87%	0.2166	✗	0.80
2026-09-18	oos	0.1914	0.178268	-6.86%	0.23265	+21.55%	0.2552	✗	0.80
2026-09-17	oos	0.1731	0.161808	-6.52%	0.23705	+36.94%	0.3378	✗	0.69
2026-09-16	oos	0.1693	0.158322	-6.48%	0.23935	+41.38%	0.3665	✗	0.69
2026-09-15	oos	0.1623	0.152308	-6.16%	0.2303	+41.90%	0.3569	✗	0.68
2026-09-14	oos	0.16235	0.152763	-5.90%	0.2421	+49.12%	0.4300	✗	0.72
2026-09-13	oos	0.15375	0.145856	-5.13%	0.25125	+63.41%	0.4892	✗	0.69
2026-09-12	oos	0.15455	0.14641	-5.27%	0.2508	+62.28%	0.4991	✗	0.69
2026-09-11	oos	0.1391	0.133923	-3.72%	0.2821	+102.80%	0.6886	✗	0.70
2026-09-10	oos	0.13475	0.130248	-3.34%	0.2784	+106.60%	0.7042	✗	0.69
2026-09-09	oos	0.1473	0.142194	-3.47%	0.25605	+73.83%	0.5542	✗	0.64
2026-09-08	oos	0.1524	0.146639	-3.78%	0.26245	+72.21%	0.5563	✗	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.14595	0.14182	-2.83%	0.27185	+86.26%	0.6167	✗	0.66
2026-09-06	oos	0.1413	0.138708	-1.83%	0.27005	+91.12%	0.6228	✗	0.69
2026-09-05	oos	0.1321	0.130036	-1.56%	0.2923	+121.27%	0.7610	✗	0.68
2026-09-04	oos	0.1363	0.13415	-1.58%	0.2751	+101.83%	0.6619	✗	0.68
2026-09-03	oos	0.129	0.128799	-0.16%	0.2819	+118.53%	0.7519	✗	0.75
2026-09-02	oos	0.1263	0.122635	-2.90%	0.2895	+129.22%	0.7919	✗	0.75
2026-09-01	oos	0.1232	0.121532	-1.35%	0.284	+130.52%	0.7791	✗	0.76
2026-08-31	oos	0.12885	0.12872	-0.10%	0.2786	+116.22%	0.7262	✗	0.75
2026-08-30	oos	0.11945	0.120027	+0.48%	0.27045	+126.41%	0.7591	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.12315	0.124612	+1.19%	0.25885	+110.19%	0.6848	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.1217	0.124109	+1.98%	0.2513	+106.49%	0.6473	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.132	0.135519	+2.67%	0.2266	+71.67%	0.4812	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.1292	0.132457	+2.52%	0.2494	+93.03%	0.5930	✓	0.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.13065	0.133026	+1.82%	0.2518	+92.73%	0.5921	✓	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.13355	0.137198	+2.73%	0.2311	+73.04%	0.4792	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	0.1465	0.148151	+1.13%	0.2222	+51.67%	0.3345	✓	0.68
2026-08-22	oos	0.1243	0.127054	+2.22%	0.20055	+61.34%	0.3812	✓	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.1294	0.131803	+1.86%	0.19665	+51.97%	0.3776	✓	0.63
2026-08-20	oos	0.117	0.114413	-2.21%	0.19445	+66.20%	0.4897	✗	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.1163	0.106395	-8.52%	0.1914	+64.57%	0.5297	✗	0.37
2026-08-18	oos	0.1134	0.103392	-8.83%	0.1731	+52.65%	0.4688	✗	0.28
2026-08-17	oos	0.1128	0.103428	-8.31%	0.1693	+50.09%	0.4470	✗	0.28
2026-08-16	oos	0.1097	0.103967	-5.23%	0.1623	+47.95%	0.4104	✗	0.19
2026-08-15	oos	0.10755	0.102904	-4.32%	0.16235	+50.95%	0.4133	✗	0.20
2026-08-14	oos	0.11125	0.106769	-4.03%	0.15375	+38.20%	0.3252	✗	0.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.1114	0.106899	-4.04%	0.15455	+38.73%	0.3271	✗	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.1143	0.109428	-4.26%	0.1391	+21.70%	0.1985	✗	0.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.11885	0.112936	-4.98%	0.13475	+13.38%	0.1379	✗	0.21
2026-08-10	oos	0.1269	0.118524	-6.60%	0.1473	+16.08%	0.1800	✗	0.18
2026-08-09	oos	0.1266	0.116036	-8.34%	0.1524	+20.38%	0.2319	✗	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.13015	0.117934	-9.39%	0.14595	+12.14%	0.1711	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.14055	0.124668	-11.30%	0.1413	+0.53%	0.0799	✓	0.21
2026-08-06	oos	0.1461	0.12972	-11.21%	0.1321	-9.58%	0.0323	✓	0.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.15025	0.130632	-13.06%	0.1363	-9.28%	0.0053	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.14175	0.125983	-11.12%	0.129	-8.99%	0.0174	✓	0.17
2026-08-03	oos	0.1479	0.131729	-10.93%	0.1263	-14.60%	0.0805	✓	0.19
2026-08-02	oos	0.1524	0.135102	-11.35%	0.1232	-19.16%	0.1307	✓	0.19
2026-08-01	oos	0.16225	0.144262	-11.09%	0.12885	-20.59%	0.1687	✓	0.25
2026-07-31	oos	0.15805	0.143029	-9.50%	0.11945	-24.42%	0.2332	✓	0.25
2026-07-30	oos	0.1536	0.140887	-8.28%	0.12315	-19.82%	0.2117	✓	0.41
2026-07-29	oos	0.156	0.144523	-7.36%	0.1217	-21.99%	0.2529	✓	0.41
2026-07-28	oos	0.1527	0.142876	-6.43%	0.132	-13.56%	0.1725	✓	0.41
2026-07-27	oos	0.1502	0.141617	-5.71%	0.1292	-13.98%	0.1778	✓	0.40
2026-07-26	oos	0.16	0.151265	-5.46%	0.13065	-18.34%	0.2025	✓	0.30
2026-07-25	oos	0.1795	0.167867	-6.48%	0.13355	-25.60%	0.3284	✓	0.48
2026-07-24	oos	0.1715	0.16126	-5.97%	0.1465	-14.58%	0.1854	✓	0.46
2026-07-23	oos	0.17255	0.163113	-5.47%	0.1243	-27.96%	0.3557	✓	0.50
2026-07-22	oos	0.16805	0.159811	-4.90%	0.1294	-23.00%	0.3132	✓	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	0.1516	0.145359	-4.12%	0.117	-22.82%	0.3102	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.15445	0.14743	-4.54%	0.1163	-24.70%	0.2980	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.1477	0.141301	-4.33%	0.1134	-23.22%	0.2200	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.1512	0.144708	-4.29%	0.1128	-25.40%	0.2442	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.1625	0.154434	-4.96%	0.1097	-32.49%	0.3253	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.1622	0.154096	-5.00%	0.10755	-33.69%	0.3478	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.16265	0.155	-4.70%	0.11125	-31.60%	0.3044	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.16555	0.157689	-4.75%	0.1114	-32.71%	0.3231	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.1726	0.163716	-5.15%	0.1143	-33.78%	0.3776	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.1679	0.160004	-4.70%	0.11885	-29.21%	0.2941	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.1814	0.17255	-4.88%	0.1269	-30.04%	0.3095	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.1783	0.170134	-4.58%	0.1266	-29.00%	0.3067	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.17915	0.171506	-4.27%	0.13015	-27.35%	0.3030	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.18075	0.173535	-3.99%	0.14055	-22.24%	0.2526	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.1964	0.188337	-4.11%	0.1461	-25.61%	0.2687	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.2184	0.209032	-4.29%	0.15025	-31.20%	0.3395	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.2388	0.226822	-5.02%	0.14175	-40.64%	0.4774	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.2062	0.197472	-4.23%	0.1479	-28.27%	0.2951	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.2145	0.205139	-4.36%	0.1524	-28.95%	0.3127	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.2256	0.21506	-4.67%	0.16225	-28.08%	0.3024	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.2228	0.211551	-5.05%	0.15805	-29.06%	0.3382	✓	1.00