ARK

ARK · native · gru_s6

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,270

Track record at +30d

assessed

359

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

74.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1383

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0122

actual -0.0248

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.173565	0.167927	-3.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.169063	-3.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.167972	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.163914	-3.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.167763	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.174134	-2.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.176922	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.176612	-2.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.186473	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.183982	-2.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.200466	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.205627	-3.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.207391	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.215562	-4.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.206329	-3.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.20214	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.211775	-2.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.218412	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.224813	-2.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.206358	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.235087	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.248917	-4.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.240992	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.229803	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.238564	-3.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.248397	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.240981	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.187761	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.156514	-1.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.158223	+0.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.154243	+0.16%	0.173565	+12.70%	0.1636	✓	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.148487	-2.16%	0.17451	+14.99%	0.1381	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.150236	-2.09%	0.173985	+13.39%	0.1388	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.140558	-1.19%	0.16914	+18.90%	0.1701	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.134866	-1.62%	0.173255	+26.38%	0.1787	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.146708	-2.03%	0.17946	+19.84%	0.1254	✗	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.142454	-1.87%	0.18215	+25.48%	0.1520	✗	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.164057	-2.69%	0.18125	+7.51%	0.0570	✗	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.136559	-0.86%	0.19077	+38.49%	0.2624	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.132895	-0.02%	0.188815	+42.05%	0.2993	✗	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.11762	+2.63%	0.20696	+80.59%	0.4899	✓	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.112573	+2.29%	0.21283	+93.39%	0.5626	✓	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.118755	+0.94%	0.21456	+82.38%	0.5441	✓	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.117639	+1.13%	0.22464	+93.11%	0.6112	✓	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.116287	+1.56%	0.2145	+87.34%	0.5669	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.119808	+1.70%	0.208695	+77.16%	0.5003	✓	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.119482	+1.60%	0.21823	+85.57%	0.5400	✓	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.119601	+1.71%	0.22409	+90.56%	0.5561	✓	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.117305	+2.98%	0.231185	+102.95%	0.6402	✓	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.111881	+1.79%	0.21165	+92.57%	0.5555	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.111214	+2.04%	0.243225	+123.16%	0.6977	✓	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.113517	+3.05%	0.26057	+136.55%	0.7743	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.113148	+3.52%	0.251205	+129.83%	0.7302	✓	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.117249	+5.11%	0.23865	+113.95%	0.6544	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.117428	+4.42%	0.247355	+119.96%	0.6741	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.118584	+3.72%	0.260575	+127.90%	0.7429	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.116685	+3.67%	0.25433	+125.95%	0.7246	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.111181	+4.11%	0.1933	+81.00%	0.4900	✓	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.112212	+4.68%	0.15873	+48.08%	0.2887	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.113019	+4.29%	0.158	+45.79%	0.2426	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.113338	+4.46%	0.154	+41.94%	0.2020	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.113707	+6.35%	0.15176	+41.94%	0.2564	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.10273	+5.88%	0.15344	+58.14%	0.3122	✓	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.095274	+3.63%	0.142255	+54.73%	0.2749	✓	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.08691	+1.03%	0.13709	+59.37%	0.3271	✓	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.088335	+0.98%	0.149755	+71.19%	0.3977	✓	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.087695	-0.30%	0.145165	+65.04%	0.3545	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.089534	-0.10%	0.168585	+88.11%	0.4590	✗	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.088386	-0.01%	0.13775	+55.83%	0.2830	✗	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.090143	+0.11%	0.132925	+47.62%	0.2283	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.08935	+0.06%	0.114605	+28.34%	0.0858	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.092095	+0.94%	0.11005	+20.62%	0.0247	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.092949	+0.46%	0.117645	+27.15%	0.0667	✓	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.093682	+0.23%	0.116325	+24.46%	0.0555	✓	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.095918	+1.46%	0.114495	+21.11%	0.0103	✓	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.095514	+1.35%	0.1178	+24.99%	0.0297	✓	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.094974	+0.36%	0.1176	+24.27%	0.0300	✓	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.092816	-0.23%	0.117595	+26.41%	0.0584	✗	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.092776	-0.65%	0.11391	+21.98%	0.0040	✓	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.093771	-1.06%	0.10991	+15.97%	0.0107	✓	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.09186	-1.13%	0.10899	+17.31%	0.0004	✓	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.091723	-0.93%	0.110155	+18.98%	0.0062	✓	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.093204	-0.59%	0.1093	+16.57%	0.0196	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.093664	-0.80%	0.111545	+18.14%	0.0099	✗	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.092359	-0.56%	0.112455	+21.08%	0.0303	✗	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.095703	-0.99%	0.114335	+18.29%	0.0151	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.096874	-0.77%	0.11256	+15.30%	0.0332	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.10309	-1.11%	0.106795	+2.44%	0.1074	✓	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.102106	-1.44%	0.107195	+3.47%	0.1128	✓	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.101053	-0.93%	0.108375	+6.25%	0.0820	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.10295	-0.49%	0.1085	+4.87%	0.0812	✓	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.104307	-0.79%	0.106915	+1.69%	0.1084	✓	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.104626	-0.86%	0.097025	-8.06%	0.1485	✓	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.101843	-0.99%	0.09194	-10.62%	0.1478	✓	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.10155	-1.11%	0.08602	-16.23%	0.1660	✓	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.104119	-1.25%	0.08748	-17.03%	0.1703	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.102687	-1.35%	0.08796	-15.50%	0.1417	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.102991	-1.29%	0.08962	-14.10%	0.1297	✓	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.105808	-1.02%	0.088395	-17.31%	0.1585	✓	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.107086	-0.61%	0.090045	-16.43%	0.1541	✓	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.104672	-0.30%	0.089295	-14.95%	0.1736	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.106026	-0.91%	0.09124	-14.73%	0.1475	✓	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.107435	-0.34%	0.092525	-14.17%	0.1512	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.107453	-0.87%	0.093465	-13.78%	0.1486	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.104841	-1.08%	0.094535	-10.81%	0.1253	✓	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.102939	-1.27%	0.094245	-9.61%	0.1216	✓	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.10555	-1.20%	0.09463	-11.42%	0.1210	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.109479	-1.16%	0.093025	-16.02%	0.1702	✓	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.109158	-1.41%	0.093385	-15.65%	0.1618	✓	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.110016	-1.53%	0.094775	-15.17%	0.1539	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.111114	-0.79%	0.09291	-17.04%	0.1910	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.108755	-0.41%	0.092585	-15.22%	0.1768	✓	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.105599	-0.30%	0.09376	-11.48%	0.1543	✓	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.111625	-0.73%	0.09442	-16.03%	0.2517	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.109202	-1.09%	0.09666	-12.45%	0.1810	✓	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.110845	-1.77%	0.097625	-13.49%	0.1778	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.106204	-0.59%	0.10425	-2.42%	0.0900	✓	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.103685	-0.44%	0.1036	-0.52%	0.0626	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.10579	-0.75%	0.102	-4.30%	0.0774	✓	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.107762	-0.77%	0.10346	-4.73%	0.0723	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.110009	-1.08%	0.105135	-5.46%	0.0727	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.111248	-1.44%	0.10553	-6.50%	0.0954	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.11437	-1.87%	0.102865	-11.74%	0.1190	✓	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.111915	-1.81%	0.102685	-9.91%	0.1021	✓	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.112923	-2.45%	0.105435	-8.92%	0.0946	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.118127	-2.60%	0.10409	-14.18%	0.1192	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.12083	-2.63%	0.104335	-15.93%	0.1227	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.121384	-2.84%	0.1069	-14.44%	0.1064	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.120767	-3.08%	0.107745	-13.53%	0.1046	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.118441	-2.51%	0.10499	-13.58%	0.0897	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.117237	-2.02%	0.107	-10.57%	0.0942	✓	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.118621	-2.30%	0.1078	-11.21%	0.0986	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.11867	-1.28%	0.1084	-9.82%	0.1299	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.113876	-1.11%	0.10599	-7.96%	0.0939	✓	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.140476	-2.07%	0.112	-21.92%	0.2056	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.144162	-2.88%	0.1092	-26.43%	0.2075	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.15279	-3.18%	0.10592	-32.88%	0.2275	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.150862	-3.72%	0.11245	-28.23%	0.1038	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.14686	-3.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.144364	-3.11%	0.110405	-25.90%	0.1013	✓	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.142793	-2.78%	0.112845	-23.17%	0.0732	✓	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.14723	-2.50%	0.10684	-29.25%	0.1515	✓	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.1509	-2.25%	0.10414	-32.54%	0.1822	✓	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.155368	-2.34%	0.106585	-33.00%	0.1868	✓	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.154379	-2.37%	0.108595	-31.32%	0.1862	✓	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.159142	-2.42%	0.11121	-31.81%	0.2111	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.154644	-2.27%	0.11287	-28.67%	0.1721	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.160874	-1.76%	0.116545	-28.83%	0.1710	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.157528	-1.59%	0.113975	-28.80%	0.1635	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.156248	-1.23%	0.115755	-26.83%	0.1399	✓	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.161799	-0.83%	0.121285	-25.66%	0.1447	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.162458	+0.01%	0.1241	-23.60%	0.1359	✗	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.168267	+0.84%	0.124935	-25.13%	0.1658	✗	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.17124	+0.45%	0.1246	-26.91%	0.1656	✗	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.179029	+0.52%	0.121495	-31.78%	0.2003	✗	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.177232	+0.47%	0.11965	-32.18%	0.2017	✗	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.182457	-0.08%	0.121415	-33.51%	0.2079	✓	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.189723	+0.30%	0.120205	-36.45%	0.2188	✗	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.1898	+1.01%	0.115155	-38.72%	0.2643	✗	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.180153	+0.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.184334	+2.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.184261	+3.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.180553	+3.17%	0.14344	-18.03%	0.0112	✓	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.181791	+2.25%	0.14843	-16.51%	0.0224	✗	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.177164	+2.08%	0.156685	-9.72%	0.0550	✗	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.174481	+0.47%	0.151745	-12.62%	0.1022	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.176539	+0.56%	0.149	-15.13%	0.1341	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.183915	+1.11%	0.14687	-19.26%	0.1832	✗	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.174685	+1.63%	0.151	-12.15%	0.1006	✗	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.179418	+1.61%	0.15437	-12.58%	0.1090	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.177571	+2.24%	0.15909	-8.40%	0.1041	✗	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.175514	+1.78%	0.158125	-8.30%	0.0973	✗	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.173932	+1.30%	0.163095	-5.01%	0.0406	✗	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.175493	+1.66%	0.15824	-8.33%	0.0630	✗	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.175332	+0.91%	0.16376	-5.75%	0.0860	✗	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.173256	+0.84%	0.16008	-6.83%	0.1029	✗	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.167547	+0.42%	0.1582	-5.18%	0.1007	✗	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.17626	+1.07%	0.16315	-6.45%	0.0948	✗	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.180691	+1.02%	0.162445	-9.18%	0.1109	✗	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.176669	+0.40%	0.166865	-5.17%	0.0999	✗	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.173452	+0.57%	0.17048	-1.15%	0.0783	✗	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.170318	+1.02%	0.1781	+5.63%	0.0542	✗	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.17101	+0.15%	0.17641	+3.31%	0.0388	✗	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.163274	-0.32%	0.18261	+11.49%	0.0337	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.167737	-0.46%	0.189155	+12.25%	0.0063	✓	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.170163	-0.29%	0.18791	+10.11%	0.0350	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.168581	-0.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.167493	-0.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.170687	-0.22%	0.179	+4.64%	0.0733	✓	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.165347	-0.42%	0.1802	+8.52%	0.1027	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.164948	-0.67%	0.177505	+6.90%	0.1056	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.163406	-1.14%	0.175	+5.87%	0.1252	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.164347	-1.46%	0.17779	+6.60%	0.1025	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.159409	-0.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.165118	-0.84%	0.17355	+4.23%	0.1073	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.161522	-0.75%	0.17367	+6.71%	0.0545	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.1598	-0.89%	0.17556	+8.89%	0.0503	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.155691	-1.11%	0.181895	+15.53%	0.0097	✓	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.159345	-1.31%	0.17189	+6.46%	0.0984	✓	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.159765	-1.38%	0.176575	+9.00%	0.0926	✓	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.164671	-1.12%	0.173675	+4.29%	0.0854	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.171277	-0.94%	0.17244	-0.27%	0.0879	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.169845	-0.94%	0.171695	+0.14%	0.1084	✓	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.170098	-0.78%	0.172625	+0.69%	0.0979	✓	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.162365	-1.10%	0.17375	+5.83%	0.0676	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.168458	-1.34%	0.17181	+0.62%	0.0903	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.174011	-1.14%	0.16685	-5.21%	0.0946	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.17409	-1.12%	0.1744	-0.94%	0.0896	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.177907	-0.58%	0.17886	-0.05%	0.0854	✓	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.188192	-0.51%	0.175965	-6.97%	0.0861	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.187436	-0.57%	0.17247	-8.51%	0.0824	✓	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.17393	-0.54%	0.168605	-3.58%	0.0518	✓	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.169319	-0.73%	0.17076	+0.11%	0.0413	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.171197	-0.86%	0.16379	-5.15%	0.0412	✓	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.174563	+0.05%	0.16851	-3.42%	0.0756	✗	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.170848	+0.43%	0.17066	+0.32%	0.0450	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.166949	+0.57%	0.16953	+2.13%	0.0138	✗	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.164764	+0.51%	0.168575	+2.84%	0.0200	✗	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.163368	+0.23%	0.171065	+4.95%	0.0527	✗	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.164424	+0.23%	0.16605	+1.22%	0.0170	✗	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.169942	+0.03%	0.166055	-2.25%	0.0381	✗	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.171851	+0.06%	0.165295	-3.76%	0.0214	✓	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.174573	-0.04%	0.16679	-4.49%	0.0482	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.171785	-0.23%	0.160885	-6.56%	0.0402	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.171486	-0.25%	0.16651	-3.15%	0.0169	✓	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.17087	-0.28%	0.16275	-5.02%	0.0924	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.174847	-0.28%	0.16123	-8.04%	0.0769	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.173772	-0.46%	0.15744	-9.82%	0.1005	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.178155	-0.49%	0.161465	-9.82%	0.0772	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.179545	-0.66%	0.161995	-10.37%	0.0733	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.169563	-0.58%	0.166535	-2.36%	0.1048	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.170171	-1.25%	0.1729	+0.33%	0.1025	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.17739	-1.70%	0.17146	-4.99%	0.0850	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.181741	-2.19%	0.17144	-7.74%	0.1091	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.180115	-2.32%	0.164175	-10.96%	0.0902	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.178176	-2.33%	0.17075	-6.40%	0.0773	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.177478	-2.34%	0.176025	-3.14%	0.0808	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.184191	-2.67%	0.17606	-6.96%	0.0876	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.187217	-2.19%	0.17895	-6.51%	0.0859	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.184814	-2.71%	0.18915	-0.42%	0.0627	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.198228	-3.27%	0.18851	-8.01%	0.1332	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.193775	-3.44%	0.17487	-12.86%	0.1694	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.181932	-1.75%	0.17057	-7.89%	0.1488	✓	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.1768	-2.64%	0.17268	-4.90%	0.0876	✓	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.179949	-2.71%	0.17447	-5.67%	0.0591	✓	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.177128	-2.73%	0.17011	-6.59%	0.0422	✓	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.176546	-2.75%	0.165995	-8.56%	0.0565	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.18026	-2.92%	0.163925	-11.72%	0.0816	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.179543	-2.96%	0.162995	-11.90%	0.0208	✓	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.15766	-1.47%	0.164055	+2.52%	0.0365	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.196109	-3.51%	0.169885	-16.42%	0.0820	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.200612	-3.66%	0.171755	-17.52%	0.0992	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.208216	-4.07%	0.17464	-19.54%	0.1079	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.202775	-3.58%	0.172185	-18.12%	0.0620	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.210833	-3.98%	0.17192	-21.70%	0.0802	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.225335	-4.16%	0.171345	-27.12%	0.0485	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.2295	-3.51%	0.175335	-26.28%	0.0544	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.247277	-3.39%	0.17458	-31.79%	0.0799	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.251687	-3.30%	0.17904	-31.21%	0.0918	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.251165	-3.11%	0.18074	-30.28%	0.0989	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.241426	-3.17%	0.170555	-31.60%	0.0852	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.24927	-3.34%	0.172325	-33.18%	0.0914	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.248297	-3.36%	0.18046	-29.76%	0.0760	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.250628	-3.28%	0.185815	-28.29%	0.0598	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.252098	-3.98%	0.182425	-30.52%	0.0805	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.253063	-3.72%	0.181725	-30.86%	0.0216	✓	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.265598	-3.02%	0.189235	-30.90%	0.0339	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.279755	-3.17%	0.191405	-33.75%	0.0841	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.278019	-3.05%	0.189955	-33.76%	0.0799	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.28009	-2.65%	0.20493	-28.77%	0.0241	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.289982	-2.37%	0.20067	-32.44%	0.0513	✓	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.289861	-2.20%	0.18518	-37.52%	0.1036	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.270555	-1.75%	0.181585	-34.06%	0.1209	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.276938	-1.93%	0.18496	-34.50%	0.1458	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.282877	-2.27%	0.182105	-37.08%	0.2032	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.283128	-2.28%	0.18154	-37.34%	0.1920	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.283596	-2.50%	0.18568	-36.17%	0.1527	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.285166	-2.68%	0.18501	-36.86%	0.1228	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.276597	-2.47%	0.160015	-43.58%	0.0511	✓	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.273376	-2.42%	0.20325	-27.45%	0.0120	✓	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.265669	-2.31%	0.21705	-20.19%	0.0287	✓	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.268673	-2.56%	0.2103	-23.73%	0.0521	✓	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.256194	-2.39%	0.219565	-16.34%	0.0079	✓	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.251656	-2.42%	0.23511	-8.84%	0.0205	✓	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.257004	-2.65%	0.23785	-9.91%	0.0229	✓	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.25761	-2.76%	0.255955	-3.39%	0.0343	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.254082	-2.83%	0.26027	-0.47%	0.0072	✓	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.254801	-2.60%	0.25924	-0.90%	0.0113	✓	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.245017	-2.00%	0.24934	-0.27%	0.0274	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.246387	-1.67%	0.25788	+2.92%	0.0202	✗	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.252292	-2.25%	0.25693	-0.46%	0.0065	✓	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.251188	-2.62%	0.259115	+0.46%	0.0038	✓	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.253201	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.247621	-2.53%	0.26255	+3.34%	0.0629	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.251889	-2.50%	0.26284	+1.74%	0.0133	✓	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.24891	-2.13%	0.27386	+7.68%	0.0229	✗	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.237899	-2.05%	0.28892	+18.96%	0.0677	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.24854	-2.04%	0.28677	+13.02%	0.0218	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.256152	-2.42%	0.28772	+9.61%	0.0164	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.258309	-2.95%	0.29702	+11.59%	0.0019	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.266881	-2.78%	0.296395	+7.98%	0.0113	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.276527	-2.26%	0.27538	-2.66%	0.0163	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.275485	-1.63%	0.2824	+0.84%	0.0171	✗	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.282708	-1.30%	0.28944	+1.05%	0.0516	✗	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.287241	-1.73%	0.28973	-0.87%	0.0284	✗	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.28844	-1.64%	0.29088	-0.81%	0.0299	✗	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.280779	-1.44%	0.29302	+2.86%	0.0346	✗	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.280851	-2.16%	0.2836	-1.20%	0.0325	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.283691	-2.29%	0.28016	-3.51%	0.0724	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.289461	-2.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.285004	-2.51%	0.27195	-6.98%	0.0268	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.285388	-2.66%	0.27572	-5.96%	0.0125	✓	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.282574	-1.55%	0.26246	-8.56%	0.0386	✓	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.273633	-1.48%	0.257905	-7.14%	0.0772	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.292272	-1.59%	0.264	-11.11%	0.0735	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.303145	-2.34%	0.264925	-14.65%	0.0817	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.280806	-1.92%	0.26149	-8.67%	0.0284	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.277444	-1.94%	0.26159	-7.55%	0.0091	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.268943	-1.90%	0.250025	-8.80%	0.0279	✓	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.268168	-1.94%	0.250575	-8.37%	0.0656	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.272415	-1.26%	0.25811	-6.44%	0.0442	✓	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.26861	-0.98%	0.25794	-4.91%	0.0499	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.257417	-0.55%	0.26017	+0.51%	0.0492	✓	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.258816	-1.02%	0.25406	-2.84%	0.0735	✓	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.266909	-0.82%	0.258335	-4.00%	0.0597	✓	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.272903	-1.65%	0.25433	-8.35%	0.0170	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.280493	-2.18%	0.24288	-15.29%	0.0245	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.282283	-2.38%	0.253725	-12.25%	0.0104	✓	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.282694	-2.21%	0.2625	-9.20%	0.0279	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.289545	-1.97%	0.26616	-9.89%	0.0632	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.292348	-1.08%	0.2745	-7.12%	0.0392	✗	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.297353	-0.91%	0.28291	-5.72%	0.1052	✗	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.310541	-0.85%	0.28005	-10.59%	0.0819	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.318911	-1.06%	0.28642	-11.14%	0.0595	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.309549	-0.74%	0.292285	-6.28%	0.1688	✗	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.304666	-1.80%	0.28704	-7.48%	0.1439	✗	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.281967	-1.24%	0.29035	+1.70%	0.2179	✗	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.271039	-1.08%	0.296505	+8.21%	0.3219	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.263055	-1.04%	0.292345	+9.98%	0.2560	✗	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.276751	-0.86%	0.29318	+5.03%	0.2679	✗	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.314392	-1.42%	0.287035	-10.00%	0.2003	✗	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.315308	-1.59%	0.27774	-13.32%	0.2464	✗	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.305682	-1.35%	0.296985	-4.16%	0.2656	✗	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.303417	-1.65%	0.31041	+0.61%	0.2928	✗	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.314705	-1.43%	0.2863	-10.33%	0.1954	✗	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.316966	-0.69%	0.282945	-11.35%	0.2179	✗	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.324678	-1.10%	0.274165	-16.49%	0.1925	✗	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.334972	-1.47%	0.273475	-19.56%	0.2195	✗	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.325665	-1.83%	0.27588	-16.84%	0.2056	✗	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.322022	-1.68%	0.27126	-17.18%	0.2189	✗	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.320974	-1.43%	0.25884	-20.51%	0.2012	✗	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.312502	-0.98%	0.26148	-17.14%	0.1948	✗	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.318751	-1.06%	0.26911	-16.47%	0.1880	✗	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.327613	-1.37%	0.27749	-16.46%	0.1329	✗	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.323762	-1.17%	0.28673	-12.47%	0.1204	✗	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.317162	-1.46%	0.289155	-10.16%	0.1420	✗	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.316183	-1.56%	0.289095	-10.00%	0.0994	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.333122	-1.31%	0.29537	-12.49%	0.0701	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.349275	-0.85%	0.29554	-16.10%	0.0737	✗	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.359601	-0.76%	0.300075	-17.19%	0.0107	✗	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.379946	-0.92%	0.31321	-18.33%	0.0054	✓	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.380323	-1.31%	0.32233	-16.36%	0.0031	✓	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.347117	-1.52%	0.311865	-11.52%	0.0450	✓	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.348713	-1.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.421779	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.431746	-1.43%	0.31026	-29.16%	0.1452	✓	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.43039	-2.17%	0.285505	-35.11%	0.2282	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.445789	-1.50%	0.274	-39.46%	0.3030	✓	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.43486	-1.43%	0.26582	-39.75%	0.2959	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.439807	-0.81%	0.27914	-37.04%	0.3138	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.445814	-1.22%	0.318915	-29.34%	0.2319	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.445715	-1.58%	0.320415	-29.25%	0.2359	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.425411	-1.84%	0.309865	-28.50%	0.2429	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.414587	-2.27%	0.308515	-27.27%	0.2464	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.407121	-2.29%	0.319275	-23.37%	0.2016	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.411127	-2.80%	0.31918	-24.54%	0.2602	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.402808	-3.06%	0.328305	-20.99%	0.2494	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.408346	-2.82%	0.33998	-19.09%	0.2325	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.396365	-2.96%	0.33173	-18.79%	0.2050	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.422239	-2.95%	0.327525	-24.72%	0.2316	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.426917	-3.42%	0.32564	-26.33%	0.2518	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.404914	-3.72%	0.31558	-24.97%	0.1965	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.434892	-3.65%	0.32218	-28.62%	0.2330	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.444971	-3.72%	0.332165	-28.13%	0.2410	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.435269	-3.93%	0.327595	-27.70%	0.2140	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.450107	-4.56%	0.32185	-31.76%	0.2358	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.444723	-4.71%	0.3212	-31.18%	0.2227	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.436122	-4.82%	0.337535	-26.34%	0.1686	✓	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.437938	-4.70%	0.352265	-23.34%	0.1710	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.467415	-5.54%	0.36235	-26.77%	0.2312	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.434505	-4.83%	0.38349	-16.00%	0.1176	✓	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.433044	-4.48%	0.385365	-14.99%	0.1057	✓	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.435527	-4.41%	0.35246	-22.64%	0.1603	✓	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.433171	-4.23%	0.35363	-21.82%	0.1922	✓	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.431262	-3.98%	0.42924	-4.43%	0.1130	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.430698	-4.45%	0.438	-2.83%	0.1028	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.410291	-4.57%	0.439955	+2.33%	0.0392	✓	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.405552	-4.90%	0.452595	+6.13%	0.0363	✓	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.403957	-5.66%	0.44116	+3.02%	0.0417	✓	1.18
2025-09-04	oos	0.425515	0.403978	-5.06%	0.443395	+4.20%	0.0261	✓	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.