ARGUS
Argus · Arc · gru_s6
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +7d
assessed
21
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
85.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2806
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0241
actual -0.2974
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.009037 | 0.008429 | -6.72% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008983 | 0.008418 | -6.29% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007196 | -1.86% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.00684 | -0.26% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005746 | +0.54% | – | pending | – | – | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.00691 | +0.63% | – | pending | – | – | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007685 | +0.29% | – | pending | – | – | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008639 | -0.70% | 0.009037 | +3.87% | 0.0199 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008632 | -0.21% | 0.008983 | +3.85% | 0.0102 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007438 | -1.03% | 0.007332 | -2.43% | 0.0123 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008644 | -0.53% | 0.006858 | -21.08% | 0.2326 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.010789 | -2.80% | 0.005716 | -48.51% | 0.6151 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010408 | -2.36% | 0.006867 | -35.58% | 0.3972 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012186 | -3.13% | 0.007663 | -39.09% | 0.4511 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013114 | -3.57% | 0.0087 | -36.03% | 0.4156 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013516 | -3.52% | 0.00865 | -38.26% | 0.4256 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013178 | -2.74% | 0.007515 | -44.54% | 0.5327 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013602 | -2.56% | 0.00869 | -37.75% | 0.4002 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.014001 | -2.20% | 0.0111 | -22.46% | 0.1989 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.012989 | -2.56% | 0.01066 | -20.03% | 0.1758 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015085 | -2.61% | 0.01258 | -18.79% | 0.1581 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.013891 | -2.42% | 0.0136 | -4.46% | 0.0168 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013655 | -2.74% | 0.01401 | -0.21% | 0.0290 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014313 | -2.50% | 0.01355 | -7.70% | 0.0773 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.018746 | -2.31% | 0.01396 | -27.25% | 0.3219 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.021001 | -2.32% | 0.014315 | -33.42% | 0.4072 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023251 | -3.20% | 0.01333 | -44.50% | 0.5602 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.023787 | -3.91% | 0.01549 | -37.43% | 0.4338 | ✓ | 1.00 |