ARCSOL

? · · gru_s6

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,986

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

40.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3954

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0587

actual +0.1748

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.050705	0.048043	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.049066	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.042063	-4.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.039469	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.038332	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.033916	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.037176	-4.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.035329	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.029764	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.056927	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.060555	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.05886	-4.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.060361	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.058303	-4.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.061889	-3.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.070166	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.068764	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.071657	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.069273	-2.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.068706	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.070208	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.068328	-3.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.070385	-3.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.068067	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.071061	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.06944	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.070337	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.072224	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.076746	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.077462	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.078166	+0.01%	0.050705	-35.13%	0.4342	✗	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.072057	-2.17%	0.05179	-29.69%	0.3274	✓	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.063297	-0.70%	0.04402	-30.94%	0.3624	✓	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.069798	-1.66%	0.041255	-41.87%	0.5244	✓	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.06763	-3.74%	0.040095	-42.93%	0.5148	✓	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.071173	-4.11%	0.035465	-52.22%	0.6876	✓	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.075478	-4.87%	0.03882	-51.07%	0.6571	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.071153	-2.60%	0.036985	-49.37%	0.6505	✓	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.067365	-2.90%	0.031545	-54.53%	0.7509	✓	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.070934	-3.03%	0.05973	-18.35%	0.1649	✓	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.071577	-3.16%	0.06296	-14.82%	0.1146	✓	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.071032	-3.42%	0.061445	-16.46%	0.1316	✓	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.070646	-1.85%	0.062975	-12.50%	0.1066	✓	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.071311	-1.67%	0.060855	-16.09%	0.1522	✓	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.073819	-1.26%	0.06405	-14.33%	0.1332	✓	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.071553	-0.55%	0.071945	-0.01%	0.0143	✗	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.073531	-0.65%	0.070345	-4.96%	0.0344	✓	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.074083	-0.26%	0.073015	-1.70%	0.0045	✓	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.07307	+1.64%	0.071135	-1.05%	0.0225	✗	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.07202	-0.99%	0.070635	-2.89%	0.0021	✓	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.064551	-0.42%	0.07224	+11.45%	0.1296	✗	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.069765	+0.54%	0.07045	+1.53%	0.0261	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.067583	-0.04%	0.07265	+7.45%	0.0804	✗	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.071016	+0.63%	0.06992	-0.92%	0.0059	✓	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.070394	+0.72%	0.07275	+4.09%	0.0448	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.068842	+3.01%	0.07069	+5.78%	0.0319	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.072712	+2.20%	0.07175	+0.84%	0.0079	✓	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.073627	+2.02%	0.07354	+1.90%	0.0073	✓	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.072148	+2.37%	0.07853	+11.42%	0.0920	✓	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.070207	+1.31%	0.078215	+12.86%	0.1194	✓	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.067345	+0.74%	0.07816	+16.92%	0.1625	✓	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.069441	+1.97%	0.073655	+8.16%	0.0634	✓	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.06753	-2.64%	0.063745	-8.10%	0.0468	✓	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.065818	-4.75%	0.070975	+2.71%	0.0926	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.064931	-6.38%	0.07026	+1.30%	0.0989	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.069284	-6.40%	0.07422	+0.27%	0.0863	✗	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.067262	-6.42%	0.07934	+10.38%	0.1903	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.067399	-6.22%	0.07305	+1.64%	0.1091	✗	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.072026	-6.48%	0.06938	-9.92%	0.0085	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.071163	-5.99%	0.07315	-3.37%	0.0435	✓	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.068022	-5.43%	0.07391	+2.75%	0.1311	✗	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.06274	-4.82%	0.07355	+11.57%	0.2133	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.061736	-4.40%	0.071975	+11.45%	0.2075	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.063071	-4.73%	0.07252	+9.55%	0.1961	✗	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.060385	-4.79%	0.07476	+17.88%	0.2730	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.050412	-3.72%	0.07195	+37.41%	0.4361	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.052559	-3.88%	0.074015	+35.36%	0.4212	✗	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.049413	-3.68%	0.07428	+44.80%	0.4814	✗	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.050898	-3.97%	0.07189	+35.64%	0.4229	✗	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.048974	-3.78%	0.07274	+42.91%	0.4638	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.049373	-3.74%	0.06482	+26.38%	0.3344	✗	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.050037	-3.50%	0.06939	+33.83%	0.3998	✗	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.051797	-3.08%	0.06761	+26.52%	0.3352	✗	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.05135	-2.67%	0.07057	+33.76%	0.3803	✗	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.052459	-2.31%	0.06989	+30.15%	0.3478	✗	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.050622	-1.72%	0.06683	+29.74%	0.3492	✗	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.053242	-1.48%	0.07115	+31.66%	0.3606	✗	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.055021	-1.62%	0.07217	+29.04%	0.3250	✗	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.058817	-2.00%	0.07048	+17.43%	0.2474	✗	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.060907	-2.13%	0.0693	+11.36%	0.1870	✗	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.060179	-2.07%	0.06685	+8.79%	0.1544	✗	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.06315	-2.12%	0.0681	+5.55%	0.1275	✗	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.065175	-2.14%	0.06936	+4.14%	0.0911	✗	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.068381	-2.48%	0.0691	-1.45%	0.0280	✗	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.068897	-2.54%	0.06936	-1.88%	0.0067	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.069141	-2.52%	0.07402	+4.36%	0.0669	✗	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.071268	-2.56%	0.07188	-1.72%	0.0051	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.072784	-2.63%	0.07187	-3.85%	0.0149	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.073881	-2.52%	0.07702	+1.62%	0.0352	✗	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.078456	-2.43%	0.0757	-5.86%	0.0414	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.072523	-2.25%	0.07193	-3.05%	0.0015	✓	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.076108	-2.60%	0.06592	-15.64%	0.1451	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.076591	-2.79%	0.06458	-18.04%	0.1696	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.077036	-3.05%	0.0662	-16.69%	0.1471	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.07664	-3.11%	0.06342	-19.82%	0.1786	✓	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.078596	-3.15%	0.05236	-35.48%	0.3902	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.078245	-3.34%	0.05468	-32.45%	0.3535	✓	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.079397	-3.60%	0.0513	-37.71%	0.4336	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.078399	-3.67%	0.053	-34.88%	0.3894	✓	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.075231	-3.65%	0.0509	-34.81%	0.3889	✓	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.076175	-3.65%	0.05129	-35.13%	0.3906	✓	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.079794	-3.56%	0.05185	-37.33%	0.4251	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.080314	-3.56%	0.05344	-35.83%	0.3939	✓	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.080873	-3.61%	0.05276	-37.12%	0.4013	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.080414	-3.78%	0.0537	-35.74%	0.3879	✓	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.08481	-3.77%	0.05151	-41.55%	0.4845	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.080963	-3.79%	0.05404	-35.78%	0.3926	✓	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.081013	-3.84%	0.05593	-33.61%	0.3546	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.080503	-3.84%	0.06002	-28.31%	0.2798	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.079173	-4.18%	0.06223	-24.69%	0.2270	✓	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.078805	-4.69%	0.06145	-25.68%	0.2402	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.079548	-4.95%	0.06452	-22.91%	0.2009	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.076145	-5.02%	0.0666	-16.93%	0.1203	✓	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.075753	-5.24%	0.07012	-12.28%	0.0730	✓	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.074757	-5.22%	0.07069	-10.37%	0.0509	✓	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.077507	-5.44%	0.07093	-13.47%	0.0807	✓	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.079696	-5.84%	0.07314	-13.59%	0.0882	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.069725	-5.51%	0.07475	+1.30%	0.0624	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.072931	-5.60%	0.07579	-1.90%	0.0299	✓	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.077159	-5.86%	0.08041	-1.89%	0.0381	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.083927	-6.13%	0.07419	-17.02%	0.1336	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.083216	-6.32%	0.07814	-12.03%	0.0619	✓	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.078575	-5.89%	0.07879	-5.63%	0.0038	✓	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.078925	-6.01%	0.07946	-5.37%	0.0203	✓	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.077959	-6.20%	0.0791	-4.82%	0.0219	✓	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.07851	-6.48%	0.08115	-3.34%	0.0288	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.078009	-6.65%	0.08095	-3.14%	0.0371	✓	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.077296	-6.62%	0.08236	-0.51%	0.0722	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.075574	-6.88%	0.08139	+0.28%	0.0802	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.070195	-6.71%	0.07808	+3.77%	0.1059	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.069148	-6.80%	0.07906	+6.56%	0.1322	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.066128	-6.73%	0.08274	+16.70%	0.2248	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.070975	-7.37%	0.08328	+8.69%	0.1522	✗	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.068268	-7.03%	0.0839	+14.26%	0.2209	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.072428	-7.56%	0.08357	+6.66%	0.2035	✗	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.069064	-7.47%	0.08813	+18.07%	0.2619	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.066492	-7.30%	0.08415	+17.31%	0.2450	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.059852	-6.42%	0.08425	+31.72%	0.3592	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.060286	-6.29%	0.08372	+30.14%	0.3819	✗	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.061139	-5.97%	0.08263	+27.08%	0.1529	✗	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.060186	-5.99%	0.08268	+29.15%	0.1813	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.060495	-6.19%	0.08369	+29.77%	0.2096	✗	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.05999	-6.28%	0.08017	+25.25%	0.1713	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.060345	-5.86%	0.07994	+24.71%	0.1519	✗	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.061381	-5.93%	0.07887	+20.87%	0.1118	✗	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.060784	-5.94%	0.08197	+26.85%	0.1590	✗	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.061922	-6.02%	0.08464	+28.46%	0.1880	✗	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.063673	-5.93%	0.07379	+9.01%	0.0340	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.058546	-5.24%	0.07726	+25.06%	0.1680	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.069143	-6.26%	0.08196	+11.12%	0.0388	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.057334	-4.86%	0.08941	+48.37%	0.3069	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.060345	-5.47%	0.08883	+39.14%	0.2810	✗	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.06342	-5.54%	0.08349	+24.35%	0.1480	✗	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.06081	-5.07%	0.08397	+31.08%	0.1885	✗	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.059776	-4.92%	0.08311	+32.19%	0.1819	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.064811	-5.50%	0.08395	+22.41%	0.1438	✗	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.065702	-5.55%	0.08357	+20.14%	0.1454	✗	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.063762	-5.41%	0.08278	+22.80%	0.1834	✗	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.065959	-5.00%	0.08116	+16.89%	0.2325	✗	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.066316	-5.32%	0.07524	+7.42%	0.1079	✗	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.062888	-5.53%	0.07419	+11.45%	0.1573	✗	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.064421	-5.87%	0.0709	+3.59%	0.0586	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.067515	-5.84%	0.07662	+6.86%	0.1071	✗	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.070984	-5.62%	0.07343	-2.37%	0.0227	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.070387	-5.96%	0.07835	+4.68%	0.1010	✗	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.070428	-6.31%	0.07464	-0.71%	0.0525	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.063007	-5.65%	0.07173	+7.41%	0.1265	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.074579	-5.62%	0.06396	-19.06%	0.1579	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.065145	-4.98%	0.06433	-6.17%	0.0155	✓	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.063194	-5.27%	0.06502	-2.53%	0.0280	✓	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.061084	-5.41%	0.06402	-0.87%	0.0467	✓	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.062857	-5.52%	0.06449	-3.07%	0.0247	✓	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.061359	-5.83%	0.06401	-1.76%	0.0406	✓	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.0622	-6.63%	0.0641	-3.78%	0.0308	✓	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.061839	-7.01%	0.06525	-1.88%	0.0551	✓	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.06035	-7.68%	0.06462	-1.15%	0.0750	✓	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.063527	-7.10%	0.06589	-3.64%	0.0397	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.065173	-6.32%	0.06769	-2.70%	0.0388	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.067715	-6.93%	0.06178	-15.09%	0.0837	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.064785	-6.90%	0.07376	+5.99%	0.1414	✗	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.06525	-7.03%	0.06026	-14.14%	0.0613	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.066986	-7.11%	0.06384	-11.47%	0.0330	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.068663	-7.91%	0.06714	-9.95%	0.0159	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.070796	-7.41%	0.06406	-16.22%	0.0931	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.065762	-7.38%	0.06287	-11.45%	0.0384	✓	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.065553	-7.59%	0.06858	-3.33%	0.0515	✓	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.055761	-7.00%	0.06956	+16.01%	0.2311	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.054707	-6.53%	0.06741	+15.17%	0.2174	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.053275	-6.42%	0.06943	+21.96%	0.2767	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.0504	-5.88%	0.07004	+30.79%	0.3406	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.051721	-6.01%	0.06657	+20.97%	0.2627	✗	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.05133	-6.08%	0.06844	+25.23%	0.2973	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.049244	-5.90%	0.0717	+37.02%	0.3847	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.051247	-6.47%	0.07521	+37.27%	0.3938	✗	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.050285	-6.43%	0.07485	+39.28%	0.4062	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.047629	-5.96%	0.07517	+48.41%	0.4680	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.047444	-5.81%	0.06678	+32.58%	0.3573	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.048601	-5.99%	0.07902	+52.84%	0.5015	✗	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.045093	-4.97%	0.06856	+44.49%	0.4375	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.040975	-3.97%	0.06671	+56.34%	0.4952	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.042743	-4.14%	0.06458	+44.83%	0.4198	✗	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.04455	-4.50%	0.06653	+42.62%	0.4096	✗	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.045297	-4.58%	0.06516	+37.27%	0.3716	✗	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.045833	-4.77%	0.06662	+38.42%	0.3812	✗	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.047415	-4.60%	0.0665	+33.80%	0.3446	✗	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.046482	-4.08%	0.06537	+34.89%	0.3438	✗	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.043058	-3.52%	0.06838	+53.22%	0.4680	✗	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.039552	-3.11%	0.06957	+70.43%	0.5670	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.035404	-2.71%	0.07276	+99.95%	0.7201	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.041492	-3.50%	0.06959	+61.86%	0.5171	✗	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.044688	-4.00%	0.07018	+50.76%	0.4491	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.046658	-4.02%	0.07211	+48.34%	0.4313	✗	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.041321	-2.80%	0.07456	+75.39%	0.5904	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.04256	-3.16%	0.07646	+73.97%	0.5835	✗	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.040748	-2.93%	0.071	+69.13%	0.5525	✗	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.04119	-3.47%	0.07094	+66.25%	0.5419	✗	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.037427	-3.04%	0.05996	+55.34%	0.4697	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.033952	-2.49%	0.05853	+68.09%	0.5468	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.034946	-3.22%	0.05693	+57.66%	0.4888	✗	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.036938	-3.98%	0.05355	+39.20%	0.3720	✗	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.03564	-4.14%	0.05503	+48.01%	0.4329	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.037622	-4.73%	0.05465	+38.39%	0.3698	✗	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.035405	-3.95%	0.05233	+41.97%	0.3887	✗	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.04752	-7.42%	0.05479	+6.74%	0.1412	✗	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.039513	-5.61%	0.05374	+28.38%	0.3149	✗	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.0271	-3.73%	0.05065	+79.93%	0.6253	✗	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.029456	-4.30%	0.05037	+63.65%	0.5365	✗	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.028938	-5.34%	0.0517	+69.12%	0.5802	✗	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.053592	-7.42%	0.04745	-18.03%	0.1227	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.094689	-8.26%	0.04267	-58.66%	0.8305	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.083676	-7.81%	0.04459	-50.87%	0.6744	✓	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.082617	-8.68%	0.04665	-48.44%	0.5909	✓	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.067627	-8.02%	0.04747	-35.43%	0.3759	✓	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.067168	-8.21%	0.04813	-34.23%	0.3325	✓	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.070093	-8.47%	0.0497	-35.10%	0.3555	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.070944	-8.78%	0.04846	-37.69%	0.4046	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.070319	-8.84%	0.04463	-42.14%	0.4704	✓	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.072265	-8.89%	0.04082	-48.54%	0.5864	✓	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.070106	-8.83%	0.03639	-52.68%	0.6885	✓	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.072126	-9.20%	0.042995	-45.87%	0.5493	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.074061	-10.13%	0.04655	-43.51%	0.4906	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.068116	-9.36%	0.04861	-35.32%	0.3677	✓	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.0612	-8.29%	0.04251	-36.30%	0.3895	✓	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.064597	-9.27%	0.04395	-38.27%	0.3953	✓	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.058531	-8.45%	0.04198	-34.33%	0.3330	✓	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.067357	-10.79%	0.04267	-43.48%	0.4546	✓	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.05675	-8.11%	0.0386	-37.50%	0.3812	✓	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.070248	-11.84%	0.03482	-56.30%	0.6812	✓	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.062392	-8.50%	0.03611	-47.05%	0.5532	✓	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.057507	-9.25%	0.03847	-39.29%	0.3740	✓	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.062181	-11.64%	0.03718	-47.16%	0.4878	✓	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.043316	-6.97%	0.03949	-15.18%	0.0309	✓	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.039266	-5.90%	0.03686	-11.67%	0.0092	✓	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.040343	-6.40%	0.05133	+19.10%	0.2986	✗	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.039228	-7.50%	0.04186	-1.30%	0.1888	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.044261	-7.65%	0.02815	-41.27%	0.3339	✓	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.049918	-8.51%	0.03078	-43.59%	0.3555	✓	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.047238	-8.42%	0.03057	-40.73%	0.3168	✓	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.045683	-8.47%	0.05789	+15.99%	0.3541	✗	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.046092	-8.49%	0.10322	+104.92%	0.9521	✗	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.05268	-8.81%	0.09076	+57.11%	0.6682	✗	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.055064	-8.94%	0.09047	+49.61%	0.5838	✗	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.056897	-9.01%	0.07352	+17.58%	0.3522	✗	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.064134	-8.51%	0.07318	+4.39%	0.2268	✗	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.073005	-10.37%	0.07658	-5.98%	0.1788	✗	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.061093	-8.75%	0.07777	+16.16%	0.4856	✗	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.050311	-8.14%	0.07714	+40.84%	0.6903	✗	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.045071	-8.17%	0.07932	+61.61%	0.8316	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.047565	-7.91%	0.0769	+48.89%	0.7448	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.050417	-7.70%	0.07943	+45.42%	0.7177	✗	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.052989	-7.30%	0.08241	+44.17%	0.7217	✗	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.061258	-8.94%	0.07515	+11.71%	0.5503	✗	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.045291	-7.53%	0.06673	+36.24%	0.5780	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.045142	-7.70%	0.0712	+45.57%	0.6385	✗	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.040681	-7.54%	0.06393	+45.30%	0.6161	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.039412	-7.81%	0.0755	+76.61%	0.8102	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.034516	-7.49%	0.06176	+65.53%	0.7529	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.03055	-6.03%	0.07968	+145.09%	1.3755	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.033213	-5.72%	0.06819	+93.56%	1.3596	✗	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.034224	-5.80%	0.06337	+74.43%	1.0284	✗	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.033748	-6.28%	0.07037	+95.42%	1.0580	✗	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.03339	-6.58%	0.04656	+30.27%	0.5732	✗	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.031657	-6.17%	0.04173	+23.68%	0.5383	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.032888	-6.46%	0.0431	+22.58%	0.4751	✗	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.03307	-6.42%	0.04241	+20.01%	0.3159	✗	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.032722	-6.16%	0.04793	+37.45%	0.4595	✗	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.034611	-6.53%	0.05456	+47.34%	0.4153	✗	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.037517	-6.84%	0.05158	+28.09%	0.2945	✗	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.041854	-8.09%	0.04991	+9.60%	0.1676	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.039928	-8.30%	0.05037	+15.69%	0.2462	✗	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.042104	-8.81%	0.05777	+25.12%	0.2806	✗	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.038007	-7.91%	0.06047	+46.52%	0.4294	✗	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.037075	-7.54%	0.06253	+55.94%	0.4878	✗	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.041089	-8.12%	0.0701	+56.75%	0.5205	✗	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.040753	-8.15%	0.08145	+83.57%	0.6981	✗	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.041233	-8.53%	0.06695	+48.51%	0.4118	✗	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.038875	-8.10%	0.05477	+29.48%	0.2481	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.036873	-7.86%	0.04908	+22.64%	0.1195	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.033546	-6.82%	0.05165	+43.47%	0.2689	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.043443	-10.26%	0.05462	+12.83%	0.1041	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.036745	-8.18%	0.05716	+42.83%	0.2794	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.030183	-6.61%	0.06727	+108.14%	0.6836	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.028026	-6.86%	0.04898	+62.78%	0.5425	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.02937	-6.94%	0.04891	+54.97%	0.4998	✗	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.030275	-7.05%	0.044	+35.09%	0.4106	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.031389	-6.97%	0.04275	+26.70%	0.3351	✗	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.034518	-6.96%	0.03731	+0.57%	0.1060	✗	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.036295	-7.32%	0.03251	-16.98%	0.1210	✓	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.036114	-7.54%	0.03523	-9.81%	0.0817	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.036933	-7.67%	0.03633	-9.18%	0.0973	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.037207	-7.65%	0.03601	-10.62%	0.0710	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.037535	-7.55%	0.03574	-11.97%	0.0223	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.040753	-7.67%	0.03374	-23.56%	0.1275	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.040722	-7.83%	0.03516	-20.42%	0.0998	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.03888	-7.74%	0.03534	-16.14%	0.1198	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.045986	-9.35%	0.03487	-31.26%	0.2408	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.037687	-7.31%	0.03703	-8.93%	0.0497	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.041378	-8.56%	0.04027	-11.01%	0.0276	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.035364	-7.38%	0.04554	+19.28%	0.3170	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.033183	-7.67%	0.04354	+21.15%	0.3307	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.033456	-8.11%	0.04617	+26.81%	0.3252	✗	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.031573	-8.24%	0.04127	+19.94%	0.2810	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.025154	-7.49%	0.0401	+47.48%	0.4544	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.034043	-8.61%	0.04472	+20.05%	0.1820	✗	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.029173	-7.59%	0.04437	+40.54%	0.3348	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.026258	-7.48%	0.04508	+58.84%	0.4975	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.028268	-8.22%	0.0423	+37.34%	0.4848	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.029855	-8.56%	0.04002	+22.57%	0.4752	✗	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.027485	-8.63%	0.036	+19.68%	0.4135	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.027685	-8.84%	0.04841	+59.40%	0.7106	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.026837	-9.06%	0.04002	+35.62%	0.6210	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.028182	-9.06%	0.03232	+4.29%	0.2920	✗	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.029042	-9.47%	0.03009	-6.20%	0.2667	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.02725	-9.14%	0.03156	+5.24%	0.4315	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.026657	-9.30%	0.03257	+10.82%	0.4594	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.025557	-9.24%	0.03374	+19.82%	0.6309	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.027107	-10.12%	0.0371	+23.01%	0.6241	✗	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.026392	-10.11%	0.03916	+33.38%	0.7059	✗	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.02275	-9.25%	0.03906	+55.80%	0.8900	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.0206	-8.81%	0.04	+77.07%	0.9911	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.023795	-9.94%	0.04029	+52.50%	0.9059	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.022852	-10.63%	0.0406	+58.78%	0.8193	✗	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.021195	-10.45%	0.04414	+86.48%	1.1116	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.017598	-8.30%	0.04418	+130.22%	1.5521	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.016185	-7.83%	0.04214	+139.98%	1.7588	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.014948	-7.61%	0.05073	+213.54%	1.8513	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.012252	-5.75%	0.04066	+212.77%	1.7624	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.01232	-5.88%	0.04525	+245.68%	1.9140	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.012799	-6.10%	0.03818	+180.12%	1.7896	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.01363	-6.20%	0.03594	+147.35%	1.7289	✗	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.01368	-6.17%	0.03641	+149.73%	1.8677	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.014542	-7.02%	0.03441	+120.01%	1.6758	✗	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.012377	-5.73%	0.02719	+107.08%	1.6389	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.012729	-5.71%	0.03725	+175.93%	1.9861	✗	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.01143	-4.51%	0.03157	+163.74%	1.8213	✗	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.012362	-4.98%	0.02838	+118.14%	1.6015	✗	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.01262	-5.40%	0.0308	+130.88%	1.5572	✗	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.012683	-5.35%	0.03265	+143.66%	1.4928	✗	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.012771	-5.40%	0.03008	+122.81%	1.3919	✗	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.011069	-4.16%	0.03037	+162.94%	1.4349	✗	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.010982	-4.17%	0.02951	+157.50%	1.4256	✗	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.011626	-4.39%	0.03099	+154.85%	1.5437	✗	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.011943	-4.61%	0.03208	+156.23%	1.4406	✗	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.012761	-4.98%	0.02999	+123.31%	1.3055	✗	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.011693	-5.01%	0.02939	+138.75%	1.3127	✗	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.011402	-4.67%	0.02816	+135.45%	1.0677	✗	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.010847	-5.43%	0.03016	+162.95%	1.3095	✗	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.020173	-5.38%	0.02936	+37.71%	0.7879	✗	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.021127	-5.60%	0.02507	+12.02%	0.5726	✗	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.018706	-5.34%	0.02259	+14.32%	0.6198	✗	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.020391	-5.38%	0.02642	+22.60%	0.7082	✗	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.020031	-5.20%	0.02557	+21.01%	0.7255	✗	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.02125	-5.68%	0.02367	+5.06%	0.4543	✗	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.022022	-5.77%	0.01919	-17.89%	0.1141	✗	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.021835	-5.97%	0.01756	-24.38%	0.0114	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.019874	-5.63%	0.01618	-23.17%	0.0088	✓	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.019427	-5.88%	0.013	-37.02%	0.2672	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.018754	-5.76%	0.01309	-34.22%	0.2505	✓	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.019234	-5.95%	0.01363	-33.35%	0.3632	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.019148	-6.00%	0.01453	-28.67%	0.3947	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.019704	-6.31%	0.01458	-30.67%	0.4327	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.019059	-6.25%	0.01564	-23.07%	0.2702	✓	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.016881	-5.85%	0.01313	-26.77%	0.1762	✓	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.015852	-5.92%	0.0135	-19.88%	0.0983	✓	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.016121	-5.89%	0.01197	-30.12%	0.1324	✓	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.018395	-5.67%	0.01301	-33.28%	0.1309	✓	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.019081	-5.59%	0.01334	-33.99%	0.1948	✓	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.018731	-5.78%	0.0134	-32.60%	0.1123	✓	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.020763	-6.35%	0.0135	-39.11%	0.1182	✓	3.53
2025-09-17	oos	0.02326	0.021658	-6.89%	0.01155	-50.34%	0.3079	✓	3.57

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.