APTM

Apertum · native · gru_s6

token id: #738
symbol: APTM
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-29
predictions: 1,569

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

78.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2989

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0607

actual -0.2239

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05044	0.047779	-5.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.050485	0.047948	-5.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-19	oos	0.04955	0.046923	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.12
2026-10-18	oos	0.051575	0.048452	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.051415	0.048019	-6.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-16	oos	0.05148	0.047889	-6.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.05166	0.04789	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.05095	0.047103	-7.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.04801	0.044582	-7.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.04597	0.042707	-7.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.043545	0.040526	-6.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.038075	0.035432	-6.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.04453	0.041031	-7.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-08	oos	0.039705	0.036624	-7.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-10-07	oos	0.048795	0.044231	-9.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.05007	0.045168	-9.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-05	oos	0.05562	0.049986	-10.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.05554	0.050032	-9.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.23
2026-10-03	oos	0.05556	0.049554	-10.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.24
2026-10-02	oos	0.059785	0.052879	-11.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.24
2026-10-01	oos	0.067895	0.059762	-11.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.069685	0.060478	-13.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.28
2026-09-29	oos	0.07139	0.061581	-13.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.26
2026-09-28	oos	0.06487	0.055839	-13.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.07234	0.063185	-12.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.078755	0.070326	-10.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-09-25	oos	0.08103	0.073235	-9.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.39
2026-09-24	oos	0.08097	0.073064	-9.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.39
2026-09-23	oos	0.08203	0.073918	-9.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.39
2026-09-22	oos	0.08513	0.07864	-7.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.07953	0.07338	-7.73%	0.05044	-36.58%	0.3915	✓	-0.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.0812	0.071333	-12.15%	0.050485	-37.83%	0.3389	✓	-0.32
2026-09-19	oos	0.085365	0.075793	-11.21%	0.04955	-41.96%	0.4226	✓	-0.33
2026-09-18	oos	0.08565	0.075939	-11.34%	0.051575	-39.78%	0.3824	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.08507	0.072941	-14.26%	0.051415	-39.56%	0.3251	✓	-0.39
2026-09-16	oos	0.08344	0.071562	-14.23%	0.05148	-38.30%	0.3030	✓	-0.39
2026-09-15	oos	0.08708	0.074774	-14.13%	0.05166	-40.68%	0.3436	✓	-0.32
2026-09-14	oos	0.08585	0.0751	-12.52%	0.05095	-40.65%	0.3748	✓	-0.31
2026-09-13	oos	0.079525	0.068384	-14.01%	0.04801	-39.63%	0.3268	✓	-0.34
2026-09-12	oos	0.083605	0.072318	-13.50%	0.04597	-45.02%	0.4334	✓	-0.35
2026-09-11	oos	0.08481	0.073511	-13.32%	0.043545	-48.66%	0.4963	✓	-0.34
2026-09-10	oos	0.090155	0.078213	-13.25%	0.038075	-57.77%	0.6940	✓	-0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.08912	0.078418	-12.01%	0.04453	-50.03%	0.5492	✓	-0.32
2026-09-08	oos	0.0919	0.081677	-11.12%	0.039705	-56.80%	0.7100	✓	-0.28
2026-09-07	oos	0.09638	0.086766	-9.98%	0.048795	-49.37%	0.5608	✓	-0.29
2026-09-06	oos	0.087055	0.078397	-9.95%	0.05007	-42.48%	0.4345	✓	-0.22
2026-09-05	oos	0.088895	0.080541	-9.40%	0.05562	-37.43%	0.3546	✓	-0.22
2026-09-04	oos	0.089055	0.081454	-8.54%	0.05554	-37.63%	0.3682	✓	-0.18
2026-09-03	oos	0.09121	0.085981	-5.73%	0.05556	-39.09%	0.4285	✓	-0.19
2026-09-02	oos	0.09298	0.086622	-6.84%	0.059785	-35.70%	0.3568	✓	-0.16
2026-09-01	oos	0.16979	0.151561	-10.74%	0.067895	-60.01%	0.7830	✓	-0.22
2026-08-31	oos	0.08124	0.075887	-6.59%	0.069685	-14.22%	0.0947	✓	0.15
2026-08-30	oos	0.07423	0.067733	-8.75%	0.07139	-3.83%	0.0467	✓	0.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.07457	0.067806	-9.07%	0.06487	-13.01%	0.0516	✓	0.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.07422	0.066987	-9.75%	0.07234	-2.53%	0.0678	✓	0.11
2026-08-27	oos	0.08533	0.082312	-3.54%	0.078755	-7.71%	0.0448	✓	0.01
2026-08-26	oos	0.10211	0.102058	-0.05%	0.08103	-20.64%	0.2354	✓	0.08
2026-08-25	oos	0.10665	0.107557	+0.85%	0.08097	-24.08%	0.2894	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.11217	0.114319	+1.92%	0.08203	-26.87%	0.3354	✗	0.05
2026-08-23	oos	0.12435	0.126501	+1.73%	0.08513	-31.54%	0.4062	✗	0.10
2026-08-22	oos	0.12235	0.123814	+1.20%	0.07953	-35.00%	0.4535	✗	0.09
2026-08-21	oos	0.1212	0.123889	+2.22%	0.0812	-33.00%	0.4261	✗	0.10
2026-08-20	oos	0.12097	0.118725	-1.86%	0.085365	-29.43%	0.3404	✓	0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.12915	0.123159	-4.64%	0.08565	-33.68%	0.3948	✓	0.20
2026-08-18	oos	0.13144	0.122561	-6.75%	0.08507	-35.28%	0.4101	✓	0.27
2026-08-17	oos	0.13321	0.1241	-6.84%	0.08344	-37.36%	0.4443	✓	0.28
2026-08-16	oos	0.13581	0.126112	-7.14%	0.08708	-35.88%	0.4274	✓	0.31
2026-08-15	oos	0.13355	0.124027	-7.13%	0.08585	-35.72%	0.4350	✓	0.31
2026-08-14	oos	0.1315	0.122207	-7.07%	0.079525	-39.52%	0.4926	✓	0.32
2026-08-13	oos	0.14032	0.130307	-7.14%	0.083605	-40.42%	0.5029	✓	0.30
2026-08-12	oos	0.14456	0.134039	-7.28%	0.08481	-41.33%	0.5067	✓	0.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.14696	0.136012	-7.45%	0.090155	-38.65%	0.4715	✓	0.32
2026-08-10	oos	0.14592	0.134847	-7.59%	0.08912	-38.93%	0.4796	✓	0.32
2026-08-09	oos	0.13868	0.127801	-7.84%	0.0919	-33.73%	0.3996	✓	0.37
2026-08-08	oos	0.14461	0.133077	-7.98%	0.09638	-33.35%	0.3957	✓	0.37
2026-08-07	oos	0.1437	0.131988	-8.15%	0.087055	-39.42%	0.4852	✓	0.32
2026-08-06	oos	0.14603	0.134087	-8.18%	0.088895	-39.13%	0.4830	✓	0.33
2026-08-05	oos	0.14513	0.133011	-8.35%	0.089055	-38.64%	0.4705	✓	0.33
2026-08-04	oos	0.14826	0.135536	-8.58%	0.09121	-38.48%	0.4722	✓	0.32
2026-08-03	oos	0.15172	0.138471	-8.73%	0.09298	-38.72%	0.4636	✓	0.33
2026-08-02	oos	0.15604	0.141887	-9.07%	0.16979	+8.81%	0.1188	✗	0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.15091	0.13733	-9.00%	0.08124	-46.17%	0.5880	✓	0.28
2026-07-31	oos	0.13661	0.125137	-8.40%	0.07423	-45.66%	0.5806	✓	0.28
2026-07-30	oos	0.14276	0.131208	-8.09%	0.07457	-47.77%	0.6136	✓	0.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.14754	0.135899	-7.89%	0.07422	-49.69%	0.6659	✓	0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.15216	0.141175	-7.22%	0.08533	-43.92%	0.5742	✓	0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.15277	0.142616	-6.65%	0.10211	-33.16%	0.4027	✓	0.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.15221	0.14354	-5.70%	0.10665	-29.93%	0.3575	✓	0.33
2026-07-25	oos	0.14016	0.132553	-5.43%	0.11217	-19.97%	0.2221	✓	0.27
2026-07-24	oos	0.14238	0.134703	-5.39%	0.12435	-12.66%	0.1301	✓	0.26
2026-07-23	oos	0.14741	0.140271	-4.84%	0.12235	-17.00%	0.1779	✓	0.24
2026-07-22	oos	0.15841	0.151219	-4.54%	0.1212	-23.49%	0.2598	✓	0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.15839	0.151527	-4.33%	0.12097	-23.63%	0.2468	✓	0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.15106	0.144334	-4.45%	0.12915	-14.50%	0.1229	✓	0.19
2026-07-19	oos	0.14672	0.140622	-4.16%	0.13144	-10.41%	0.0675	✓	0.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.1545	0.147747	-4.37%	0.13321	-13.78%	0.1027	✓	0.17
2026-07-17	oos	0.15717	0.149905	-4.62%	0.13581	-13.59%	0.0950	✓	0.22
2026-07-16	oos	0.16458	0.156574	-4.86%	0.13355	-18.85%	0.1560	✓	0.26
2026-07-15	oos	0.14785	0.142543	-3.59%	0.1315	-11.06%	0.0728	✓	0.29
2026-07-14	oos	0.13584	0.131677	-3.06%	0.14032	+3.30%	0.0709	✗	0.30
2026-07-13	oos	0.12405	0.120284	-3.04%	0.14456	+16.53%	0.1806	✗	0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.11991	0.116963	-2.46%	0.14696	+22.56%	0.2290	✗	0.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.1254	0.121998	-2.71%	0.14592	+16.36%	0.1787	✗	0.16
2026-07-10	oos	0.12225	0.119392	-2.34%	0.13868	+13.44%	0.1472	✗	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.12308	0.12046	-2.13%	0.14461	+17.49%	0.1764	✗	0.23
2026-07-08	oos	0.12313	0.12053	-2.11%	0.1437	+16.71%	0.1646	✗	0.27
2026-07-07	oos	0.12172	0.119419	-1.89%	0.14603	+19.97%	0.1971	✗	0.27
2026-07-06	oos	0.11802	0.115958	-1.75%	0.14513	+22.97%	0.2221	✗	0.24
2026-07-05	oos	0.12421	0.121782	-1.95%	0.14826	+19.36%	0.1935	✗	0.44
2026-07-04	oos	0.12789	0.125292	-2.03%	0.15172	+18.63%	0.1887	✗	0.45
2026-07-03	oos	0.12756	0.125144	-1.89%	0.15604	+22.33%	0.2141	✗	0.42
2026-07-02	oos	0.13462	0.131557	-2.28%	0.15091	+12.10%	0.1279	✗	0.45
2026-07-01	oos	0.1334	0.130244	-2.37%	0.13661	+2.41%	0.0266	✗	0.45
2026-06-30	oos	0.1241	0.121426	-2.15%	0.14276	+15.04%	0.1198	✗	0.42
2026-06-29	oos	0.10165	0.100478	-1.15%	0.14754	+45.15%	0.3487	✗	0.59
2026-06-28	oos	0.10748	0.106063	-1.32%	0.15216	+41.57%	0.3185	✗	0.60
2026-06-27	oos	0.12679	0.12401	-2.19%	0.15277	+20.49%	0.1760	✗	0.54
2026-06-26	oos	0.12502	0.122233	-2.23%	0.15221	+21.75%	0.1736	✗	0.54
2026-06-25	oos	0.1193	0.116762	-2.13%	0.14016	+17.49%	0.1436	✗	0.53
2026-06-24	oos	0.12379	0.120854	-2.37%	0.14238	+15.02%	0.1357	✗	0.57
2026-06-23	oos	0.12526	0.121932	-2.66%	0.14741	+17.68%	0.1756	✗	0.38
2026-06-22	oos	0.13626	0.13181	-3.27%	0.15841	+16.26%	0.1735	✗	0.31
2026-06-21	oos	0.1432	0.138402	-3.35%	0.15839	+10.61%	0.1181	✗	0.33
2026-06-20	oos	0.14425	0.139378	-3.38%	0.15106	+4.72%	0.0749	✗	0.37
2026-06-19	oos	0.14924	0.143568	-3.80%	0.14672	-1.69%	0.0145	✓	0.38
2026-06-18	oos	0.152465	0.146011	-4.23%	0.1545	+1.33%	0.0447	✗	0.39
2026-06-17	oos	0.16544	0.157166	-5.00%	0.15717	-5.00%	0.0029	✓	0.34
2026-06-16	oos	0.1638	0.155347	-5.16%	0.16458	+0.48%	0.0678	✗	0.35
2026-06-15	oos	0.17088	0.161057	-5.75%	0.14785	-13.48%	0.0760	✓	0.40
2026-06-14	oos	0.17032	0.160384	-5.83%	0.13584	-20.24%	0.1615	✓	0.42
2026-06-13	oos	0.16995	0.160105	-5.79%	0.12405	-27.01%	0.2398	✓	0.45
2026-06-12	oos	0.16892	0.159355	-5.66%	0.11991	-29.01%	0.2858	✓	0.43
2026-06-11	oos	0.16948	0.159586	-5.84%	0.1254	-26.01%	0.2425	✓	0.43
2026-06-10	oos	0.16501	0.156084	-5.41%	0.12225	-25.91%	0.2638	✓	0.46
2026-06-09	oos	0.16981	0.160179	-5.67%	0.12308	-27.52%	0.2746	✓	0.47
2026-06-08	oos	0.17186	0.16138	-6.10%	0.12313	-28.35%	0.2645	✓	0.46
2026-06-07	oos	0.17355	0.162388	-6.43%	0.12172	-29.86%	0.2884	✓	0.42
2026-06-06	oos	0.16966	0.159456	-6.01%	0.11802	-30.44%	0.3168	✓	0.31
2026-06-05	oos	0.16953	0.159061	-6.18%	0.12421	-26.73%	0.2607	✓	0.33
2026-06-04	oos	0.17312	0.160773	-7.13%	0.12789	-26.13%	0.2250	✓	0.33
2026-06-03	oos	0.17071	0.158495	-7.16%	0.12756	-25.28%	0.2089	✓	0.34
2026-06-02	oos	0.17298	0.1591	-8.02%	0.13462	-22.18%	0.1379	✓	0.36
2026-06-01	oos	0.17134	0.156204	-8.83%	0.1334	-22.14%	0.0952	✓	0.36
2026-05-31	oos	0.180875	0.163546	-9.58%	0.1241	-31.39%	0.2034	✓	0.32
2026-05-30	oos	0.18247	0.164744	-9.71%	0.10165	-44.29%	0.4199	✓	0.31
2026-05-29	oos	0.18313	0.165012	-9.89%	0.10748	-41.31%	0.3616	✓	0.32
2026-05-28	oos	0.18267	0.164496	-9.95%	0.12679	-30.59%	0.1962	✓	0.31
2026-05-27	oos	0.18145	0.16343	-9.93%	0.12502	-31.10%	0.1989	✓	0.32
2026-05-26	oos	0.17662	0.159984	-9.42%	0.1193	-32.45%	0.2087	✓	0.35
2026-05-25	oos	0.18038	0.164547	-8.78%	0.12379	-31.37%	0.1906	✓	0.40
2026-05-24	oos	0.18253	0.166204	-8.94%	0.12526	-31.38%	0.2002	✓	0.40
2026-05-23	oos	0.1803	0.164611	-8.70%	0.13626	-24.43%	0.1095	✓	0.44
2026-05-22	oos	0.18214	0.166224	-8.74%	0.1432	-21.38%	0.0707	✓	0.44
2026-05-21	oos	0.18351	0.169445	-7.66%	0.14425	-21.39%	0.0756	✓	0.45
2026-05-20	oos	0.19035	0.176017	-7.53%	0.14924	-21.60%	0.0753	✓	0.45
2026-05-19	oos	0.18468	0.17084	-7.49%	0.152465	-17.44%	0.0242	✓	0.45
2026-05-18	oos	0.19254	0.17861	-7.24%	0.16544	-14.07%	0.0011	✓	0.44
2026-05-17	oos	0.19675	0.183739	-6.61%	0.1638	-16.75%	0.0445	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.20489	0.191754	-6.41%	0.17088	-16.60%	0.0465	✓	0.42
2026-05-15	oos	0.20193	0.190861	-5.48%	0.17032	-15.65%	0.0324	✓	0.44
2026-05-14	oos	0.19072	0.18242	-4.35%	0.16995	-10.89%	0.0424	✓	0.49
2026-05-13	oos	0.17412	0.164551	-5.50%	0.16892	-2.99%	0.1125	✗	0.39
2026-05-12	oos	0.17421	0.165269	-5.13%	0.16948	-2.72%	0.1165	✗	0.39
2026-05-11	oos	0.18395	0.174708	-5.02%	0.16501	-10.30%	0.0466	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.18566	0.176657	-4.85%	0.16981	-8.54%	0.0796	✗	0.41
2026-05-09	oos	0.19691	0.185872	-5.61%	0.17186	-12.72%	0.0301	✓	0.44
2026-05-08	oos	0.19567	0.184509	-5.70%	0.17355	-11.30%	0.0402	✓	0.43
2026-05-07	oos	0.19909	0.189505	-4.81%	0.16966	-14.78%	0.0097	✓	0.44
2026-05-06	oos	0.19352	0.187924	-2.89%	0.16953	-12.40%	0.0005	✓	0.36
2026-05-05	oos	0.19238	0.186859	-2.87%	0.17312	-10.01%	0.0247	✓	0.43
2026-05-04	oos	0.20175	0.19522	-3.24%	0.17071	-15.39%	0.0392	✓	0.43
2026-05-03	oos	0.20465	0.197015	-3.73%	0.17298	-15.48%	0.0692	✓	0.37
2026-05-02	oos	0.20929	0.201305	-3.82%	0.17134	-18.13%	0.1250	✓	0.37
2026-05-01	oos	0.20161	0.192312	-4.61%	0.180875	-10.28%	0.0384	✓	0.37
2026-04-30	oos	0.19292	0.181411	-5.97%	0.18247	-5.42%	0.0174	✓	0.34
2026-04-29	oos	0.19468	0.182233	-6.39%	0.18313	-5.93%	0.0159	✓	0.34
2026-04-28	oos	0.20541	0.192183	-6.44%	0.18267	-11.07%	0.0394	✓	0.30
2026-04-27	oos	0.20654	0.193976	-6.08%	0.18145	-12.15%	0.0544	✓	0.31
2026-04-26	oos	0.20357	0.192189	-5.59%	0.17662	-13.24%	0.0728	✓	0.32
2026-04-25	oos	0.20785	0.194029	-6.65%	0.18038	-13.22%	0.0713	✓	0.32
2026-04-24	oos	0.21439	0.199414	-6.99%	0.18253	-14.86%	0.0863	✓	0.35
2026-04-23	oos	0.22594	0.211225	-6.51%	0.1803	-20.20%	0.1510	✓	0.35
2026-04-22	oos	0.21641	0.201285	-6.99%	0.18214	-15.84%	0.0875	✓	0.35
2026-04-21	oos	0.21717	0.199428	-8.17%	0.18351	-15.50%	0.0886	✓	0.35
2026-04-20	oos	0.24333	0.224277	-7.83%	0.19035	-21.77%	0.1714	✓	0.35
2026-04-19	oos	0.23956	0.218376	-8.84%	0.18468	-22.91%	0.1824	✓	0.38
2026-04-18	oos	0.25684	0.236965	-7.74%	0.19254	-25.04%	0.2134	✓	0.37
2026-04-17	oos	0.27491	0.257852	-6.21%	0.19675	-28.43%	0.2719	✓	0.36
2026-04-16	oos	0.28018	0.259885	-7.24%	0.20489	-26.87%	0.2517	✓	0.36
2026-04-15	oos	0.27333	0.253968	-7.08%	0.20193	-26.12%	0.2491	✓	0.36
2026-04-14	oos	0.27129	0.251612	-7.25%	0.19072	-29.70%	0.3089	✓	0.36
2026-04-13	oos	0.26811	0.249551	-6.92%	0.17412	-35.06%	0.3826	✓	0.36
2026-04-12	oos	0.27622	0.253247	-8.32%	0.17421	-36.93%	0.4248	✓	0.39
2026-04-11	oos	0.29991	0.277234	-7.56%	0.18395	-38.66%	0.4520	✓	0.37
2026-04-10	oos	0.28573	0.265589	-7.05%	0.18566	-35.02%	0.4018	✓	0.37
2026-04-09	oos	0.26827	0.249208	-7.11%	0.19691	-26.60%	0.2768	✓	0.35
2026-04-08	oos	0.27586	0.254869	-7.61%	0.19567	-29.07%	0.3075	✓	0.36
2026-04-07	oos	0.24535	0.228805	-6.74%	0.19909	-18.85%	0.1788	✓	0.37
2026-04-06	oos	0.21158	0.197152	-6.82%	0.19352	-8.54%	0.0679	✓	0.29
2026-04-05	oos	0.19818	0.185636	-6.33%	0.19238	-2.93%	0.0108	✓	0.29
2026-04-04	oos	0.2031	0.191287	-5.82%	0.20175	-0.66%	0.0002	✓	0.31
2026-04-03	oos	0.19894	0.188769	-5.11%	0.20465	+2.87%	0.0307	✓	0.31
2026-04-02	oos	0.20104	0.191005	-4.99%	0.20929	+4.10%	0.0405	✓	0.31
2026-04-01	oos	0.21028	0.199559	-5.10%	0.20161	-4.12%	0.0328	✓	0.31
2026-03-31	oos	0.2115	0.201234	-4.85%	0.19292	-8.78%	0.0778	✓	0.32
2026-03-30	oos	0.21399	0.205241	-4.09%	0.19468	-9.02%	0.0937	✓	0.32
2026-03-29	oos	0.23271	0.224144	-3.68%	0.20541	-11.73%	0.1378	✓	0.35
2026-03-28	oos	0.23595	0.227852	-3.43%	0.20654	-12.46%	0.1517	✓	0.35
2026-03-27	oos	0.24364	0.236922	-2.76%	0.20357	-16.45%	0.2110	✓	0.35
2026-03-26	oos	0.2636	0.255981	-2.89%	0.20785	-21.15%	0.2484	✓	0.33
2026-03-25	oos	0.22177	0.21685	-2.22%	0.21439	-3.33%	0.0454	✓	0.41
2026-03-24	oos	0.237085	0.231419	-2.39%	0.22594	-4.70%	0.0675	✓	0.42
2026-03-23	oos	0.24136	0.236899	-1.85%	0.21641	-10.34%	0.1316	✓	0.42
2026-03-22	oos	0.2329	0.22841	-1.93%	0.21717	-6.75%	0.0961	✓	0.39
2026-03-21	oos	0.23942	0.234913	-1.88%	0.24333	+1.63%	0.0017	✓	0.38
2026-03-20	oos	0.24414	0.240302	-1.57%	0.23956	-1.88%	0.0206	✓	0.38
2026-03-19	oos	0.25525	0.251357	-1.53%	0.25684	+0.62%	0.0098	✓	0.39
2026-03-18	oos	0.25961	0.256785	-1.09%	0.27491	+5.89%	0.0295	✗	0.49
2026-03-17	oos	0.28038	0.27717	-1.14%	0.28018	-0.07%	0.0031	✓	0.47
2026-03-16	oos	0.300425	0.297784	-0.88%	0.27333	-9.02%	0.0854	✓	0.43
2026-03-15	oos	0.28623	0.28442	-0.63%	0.27129	-5.22%	0.0550	✓	0.42
2026-03-14	oos	0.29323	0.291244	-0.68%	0.26811	-8.57%	0.1016	✓	0.43
2026-03-13	oos	0.30095	0.298499	-0.81%	0.27622	-8.22%	0.0764	✓	0.44
2026-03-12	oos	0.238945	0.238118	-0.35%	0.29991	+25.51%	0.2160	✗	0.41
2026-03-11	oos	0.21947	0.21838	-0.50%	0.28573	+30.19%	0.2535	✗	0.39
2026-03-10	oos	0.24161	0.240243	-0.57%	0.26827	+11.03%	0.0999	✗	0.40
2026-03-09	oos	0.2527	0.250873	-0.72%	0.27586	+9.17%	0.0791	✗	0.42
2026-03-08	oos	0.275275	0.272766	-0.91%	0.24535	-10.87%	0.1454	✓	0.46
2026-03-07	oos	0.285105	0.282635	-0.87%	0.21158	-25.79%	0.3004	✓	0.46
2026-03-06	oos	0.29572	0.29312	-0.88%	0.19818	-32.98%	0.3973	✓	0.45
2026-03-05	oos	0.30314	0.30057	-0.85%	0.2031	-33.00%	0.3686	✓	0.45
2026-03-04	oos	0.31296	0.310199	-0.88%	0.19894	-36.43%	0.4081	✓	0.44
2026-03-03	oos	0.32191	0.318861	-0.95%	0.20104	-37.55%	0.4510	✓	0.48
2026-03-02	oos	0.30972	0.307536	-0.71%	0.21028	-32.11%	0.3749	✓	0.50
2026-03-01	oos	0.30922	0.306506	-0.88%	0.2115	-31.60%	0.3904	✓	0.53
2026-02-28	oos	0.31967	0.316085	-1.12%	0.21399	-33.06%	0.3882	✓	0.53
2026-02-27	oos	0.32496	0.321917	-0.94%	0.23271	-28.39%	0.3253	✓	0.54
2026-02-26	oos	0.33098	0.328428	-0.77%	0.23595	-28.71%	0.3213	✓	0.54
2026-02-25	oos	0.34717	0.344039	-0.90%	0.24364	-29.82%	0.3321	✓	0.53
2026-02-24	oos	0.33162	0.329796	-0.55%	0.2636	-20.51%	0.2612	✓	0.53
2026-02-23	oos	0.33904	0.336659	-0.70%	0.22177	-34.59%	0.4667	✓	0.50
2026-02-22	oos	0.36056	0.35679	-1.05%	0.237085	-34.25%	0.4289	✓	0.48
2026-02-21	oos	0.36987	0.365138	-1.28%	0.24136	-34.74%	0.4342	✓	0.48
2026-02-20	oos	0.3689	0.363654	-1.42%	0.2329	-36.87%	0.4446	✓	0.47
2026-02-19	oos	0.37199	0.366994	-1.34%	0.23942	-35.64%	0.4407	✓	0.47
2026-02-18	oos	0.36234	0.357775	-1.26%	0.24414	-32.62%	0.4105	✓	0.48
2026-02-17	oos	0.36101	0.356657	-1.21%	0.25525	-29.30%	0.3515	✓	0.48
2026-02-16	oos	0.35947	0.355265	-1.17%	0.25961	-27.78%	0.3303	✓	0.49
2026-02-15	oos	0.3796	0.37382	-1.52%	0.28038	-26.14%	0.3230	✓	0.49
2026-02-14	oos	0.39839	0.389951	-2.12%	0.300425	-24.59%	0.2958	✓	0.50
2026-02-13	oos	0.39596	0.387849	-2.05%	0.28623	-27.71%	0.3314	✓	0.49
2026-02-12	oos	0.42051	0.410319	-2.42%	0.29323	-30.27%	0.3738	✓	0.52
2026-02-11	oos	0.41563	0.4055	-2.44%	0.30095	-27.59%	0.3283	✓	0.53
2026-02-10	oos	0.419	0.408037	-2.62%	0.238945	-42.97%	0.5485	✓	0.54
2026-02-09	oos	0.47437	0.457128	-3.63%	0.21947	-53.73%	0.7345	✓	0.51
2026-02-08	oos	0.49868	0.478873	-3.97%	0.24161	-51.55%	0.6816	✓	0.54
2026-02-07	oos	0.51882	0.496665	-4.27%	0.2527	-51.29%	0.6692	✓	0.55
2026-02-06	oos	0.54166	0.516852	-4.58%	0.275275	-49.18%	0.5937	✓	0.54
2026-02-05	oos	0.54685	0.524821	-4.03%	0.285105	-47.86%	0.6575	✓	0.69
2026-02-04	oos	0.60577	0.569735	-5.95%	0.29572	-51.18%	0.6087	✓	0.68
2026-02-03	oos	0.62096	0.579289	-6.71%	0.30314	-51.18%	0.6049	✓	0.65
2026-02-02	oos	0.56247	0.527647	-6.19%	0.31296	-44.36%	0.4626	✓	0.76
2026-02-01	oos	0.56928	0.534558	-6.10%	0.32191	-43.45%	0.4212	✓	0.73
2026-01-31	oos	0.5988	0.559027	-6.64%	0.30972	-48.28%	0.4937	✓	0.73
2026-01-30	oos	0.60888	0.56379	-7.41%	0.30922	-49.21%	0.4100	✓	0.77
2026-01-29	oos	0.59124	0.54727	-7.44%	0.31967	-45.93%	0.3579	✓	0.77
2026-01-28	oos	0.57403	0.528758	-7.89%	0.32496	-43.39%	0.2237	✓	0.87
2026-01-27	oos	0.57841	0.532628	-7.92%	0.33098	-42.78%	0.2340	✓	0.87
2026-01-26	oos	0.56422	0.519135	-7.99%	0.34717	-38.47%	0.1845	✓	0.84
2026-01-25	oos	0.55145	0.50829	-7.83%	0.33162	-39.86%	0.1705	✓	0.85
2026-01-24	oos	0.61442	0.564637	-8.10%	0.33904	-44.82%	0.2558	✓	0.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.63296	0.58162	-8.11%	0.36056	-43.04%	0.2879	✓	0.68
2026-01-22	oos	0.66735	0.612015	-8.29%	0.36987	-44.58%	0.3168	✓	0.68
2026-01-21	oos	0.67395	0.617608	-8.36%	0.3689	-45.26%	0.3333	✓	0.67
2026-01-20	oos	0.69983	0.641672	-8.31%	0.37199	-46.85%	0.3588	✓	0.67
2026-01-19	oos	0.77066	0.707633	-8.18%	0.36234	-52.98%	0.4732	✓	0.59
2026-01-18	oos	0.77974	0.716065	-8.17%	0.36101	-53.70%	0.4817	✓	0.62
2026-01-17	oos	0.78625	0.722702	-8.08%	0.35947	-54.28%	0.4977	✓	0.62
2026-01-16	oos	0.84274	0.776864	-7.82%	0.3796	-54.96%	0.5190	✓	0.60
2026-01-15	oos	0.80277	0.739285	-7.91%	0.39839	-50.37%	0.4274	✓	0.61
2026-01-14	oos	0.80498	0.742673	-7.74%	0.39596	-50.81%	0.4221	✓	0.60
2026-01-13	oos	0.79915	0.735761	-7.93%	0.42051	-47.38%	0.3312	✓	0.63
2026-01-12	oos	0.77905	0.713275	-8.44%	0.41563	-46.65%	0.3459	✓	0.63
2026-01-11	oos	0.78271	0.716702	-8.43%	0.419	-46.47%	0.3601	✓	0.64
2026-01-10	oos	0.81372	0.7452	-8.42%	0.47437	-41.70%	0.2883	✓	0.64
2026-01-09	oos	0.77048	0.707349	-8.19%	0.49868	-35.28%	0.1993	✓	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.80087	0.735074	-8.22%	0.51882	-35.22%	0.1899	✓	0.58
2026-01-07	oos	0.81518	0.748454	-8.19%	0.54166	-33.55%	0.1925	✓	0.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.83361	0.768102	-7.86%	0.54685	-34.40%	0.1308	✓	0.52
2026-01-05	oos	0.8552	0.787146	-7.96%	0.60577	-29.17%	0.1384	✓	0.49
2026-01-04	oos	0.82596	0.757556	-8.28%	0.62096	-24.82%	0.1018	✓	0.51
2026-01-03	oos	0.8105	0.743477	-8.27%	0.56247	-30.60%	0.2097	✓	0.49
2026-01-02	oos	0.81724	0.749377	-8.30%	0.56928	-30.34%	0.1986	✓	0.49
2026-01-01	oos	0.82222	0.753139	-8.40%	0.5988	-27.17%	0.1702	✓	0.49
2025-12-31	oos	0.79806	0.732818	-8.18%	0.60888	-23.70%	0.1668	✓	0.47
2025-12-30	oos	0.84257	0.773928	-8.15%	0.59124	-29.83%	0.2491	✓	0.45
2025-12-29	oos	0.805	0.740306	-8.04%	0.57403	-28.69%	0.2645	✓	0.43
2025-12-28	oos	0.83292	0.765536	-8.09%	0.57841	-30.56%	0.2863	✓	0.43
2025-12-27	oos	0.84932	0.779572	-8.21%	0.56422	-33.57%	0.3255	✓	0.43
2025-12-26	oos	0.83272	0.76481	-8.16%	0.55145	-33.78%	0.3235	✓	0.42
2025-12-25	oos	0.83327	0.76504	-8.19%	0.61442	-26.26%	0.2283	✓	0.42
2025-12-24	oos	0.80289	0.739525	-7.89%	0.63296	-21.16%	0.1644	✓	0.42
2025-12-23	oos	0.79958	0.735247	-8.05%	0.66735	-16.54%	0.1064	✓	0.42
2025-12-22	oos	0.71958	0.668082	-7.16%	0.67395	-6.34%	0.0048	✓	0.43
2025-12-21	oos	0.7579	0.698834	-7.79%	0.69983	-7.66%	0.0030	✓	0.43
2025-12-20	oos	0.8103	0.738436	-8.87%	0.77066	-4.89%	0.0220	✓	0.44
2025-12-19	oos	0.729805	0.670289	-8.16%	0.77974	+6.84%	0.1250	✗	0.43
2025-12-18	oos	0.56897	0.534671	-6.03%	0.78625	+38.19%	0.3589	✗	0.25
2025-12-17	oos	0.56168	0.52669	-6.23%	0.84274	+50.04%	0.4440	✗	0.25
2025-12-16	oos	0.50399	0.476844	-5.39%	0.80277	+59.28%	0.4948	✗	0.31
2025-12-15	oos	0.48578	0.460654	-5.17%	0.80498	+65.71%	0.5247	✗	0.29
2025-12-14	oos	0.48116	0.457422	-4.93%	0.79915	+66.09%	0.5346	✗	0.30
2025-12-13	oos	0.50201	0.475771	-5.23%	0.77905	+55.19%	0.4902	✗	0.29
2025-12-12	oos	0.49457	0.470131	-4.94%	0.78271	+58.26%	0.5079	✗	0.28
2025-12-11	oos	0.48276	0.460234	-4.67%	0.81372	+68.56%	0.5771	✗	0.31
2025-12-10	oos	0.48155	0.459359	-4.61%	0.77048	+60.00%	0.5223	✗	0.31
2025-12-09	oos	0.48623	0.46428	-4.51%	0.80087	+64.71%	0.5506	✗	0.30
2025-12-08	oos	0.49425	0.471535	-4.60%	0.81518	+64.93%	0.5452	✗	0.32
2025-12-07	oos	0.44899	0.433046	-3.55%	0.83361	+85.66%	0.6436	✗	0.31
2025-12-06	oos	0.46421	0.447044	-3.70%	0.8552	+84.23%	0.6321	✗	0.33
2025-12-05	oos	0.47895	0.459775	-4.00%	0.82596	+72.45%	0.5781	✗	0.32
2025-12-04	oos	0.48164	0.463722	-3.72%	0.8105	+68.28%	0.5638	✗	0.33
2025-12-03	oos	0.46809	0.451275	-3.59%	0.81724	+74.59%	0.6072	✗	0.35
2025-12-02	oos	0.4468	0.432147	-3.28%	0.82222	+84.02%	0.6523	✗	0.32
2025-12-01	oos	0.42344	0.411292	-2.87%	0.79806	+88.47%	0.6595	✗	0.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.44	0.426938	-2.97%	0.84257	+91.49%	0.6849	✗	0.23
2025-11-29	oos	0.41408	0.404957	-2.20%	0.805	+94.41%	0.6969	✗	0.24
2025-11-28	oos	0.40946	0.400501	-2.19%	0.83292	+103.42%	0.7401	✗	0.23
2025-11-27	oos	0.40698	0.398874	-1.99%	0.84932	+108.69%	0.7649	✗	0.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.39521	0.388487	-1.70%	0.83272	+110.70%	0.7692	✗	0.19
2025-11-25	oos	0.40539	0.398182	-1.78%	0.83327	+105.55%	0.7388	✗	0.21
2025-11-24	oos	0.40428	0.396525	-1.92%	0.80289	+98.60%	0.7071	✗	0.21
2025-11-23	oos	0.39642	0.389545	-1.73%	0.79958	+101.70%	0.7177	✗	0.20
2025-11-22	oos	0.40187	0.394764	-1.77%	0.71958	+79.06%	0.5916	✗	0.20
2025-11-21	oos	0.4076	0.399756	-1.92%	0.7579	+85.94%	0.6318	✗	0.19
2025-11-20	oos	0.42	0.410709	-2.21%	0.8103	+92.93%	0.6758	✗	0.18
2025-11-19	oos	0.431	0.418982	-2.79%	0.729805	+69.33%	0.5616	✗	0.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.457	0.440468	-3.62%	0.56897	+24.50%	0.2694	✗	0.16
2025-11-17	oos	0.457	0.439756	-3.77%	0.56168	+22.91%	0.2553	✗	0.16
2025-11-16	oos	0.484	0.461801	-4.59%	0.50399	+4.13%	0.0966	✗	0.13
2025-11-15	oos	0.454	0.434261	-4.35%	0.48578	+7.00%	0.1277	✗	0.16
2025-11-14	oos	0.486	0.461933	-4.95%	0.48116	-1.00%	0.0530	✗	0.18
2025-11-13	oos	0.508	0.479171	-5.67%	0.50201	-1.18%	0.0607	✗	0.14
2025-11-12	oos	0.532	0.499418	-6.12%	0.49457	-7.04%	0.0053	✓	0.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.52	0.490065	-5.76%	0.48276	-7.16%	0.0000	✓	0.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.58	0.541193	-6.69%	0.48155	-16.97%	0.1077	✓	0.06
2025-11-09	oos	0.581	0.545228	-6.16%	0.48623	-16.31%	0.1072	✓	0.06
2025-11-08	oos	0.58	0.546551	-5.77%	0.49425	-14.78%	0.0945	✓	0.05
2025-11-07	oos	0.589	0.556515	-5.52%	0.44899	-23.77%	0.2081	✓	0.05
2025-11-06	oos	0.583	0.553892	-4.99%	0.46421	-20.38%	0.1723	✓	0.03
2025-11-05	oos	0.568	0.539787	-4.97%	0.47895	-15.68%	0.1098	✓	0.07
2025-11-04	oos	0.562	0.536459	-4.54%	0.48164	-14.30%	0.1037	✓	0.04
2025-11-03	oos	0.557	0.526628	-5.45%	0.46809	-15.96%	0.1048	✓	0.10
2025-11-02	oos	0.581	0.544747	-6.24%	0.4468	-23.10%	0.1866	✓	0.06
2025-11-01	oos	0.574	0.539191	-6.06%	0.42344	-26.23%	0.2289	✓	0.05
2025-10-31	oos	0.582	0.549223	-5.63%	0.44	-24.40%	0.2103	✓	0.06
2025-10-30	oos	0.574	0.546033	-4.87%	0.41408	-27.86%	0.2673	✓	0.05
2025-10-29	oos	0.582	0.551919	-5.17%	0.40946	-29.65%	0.2870	✓	0.06
2025-10-28	oos	0.566	0.536577	-5.20%	0.40698	-28.10%	0.2568	✓	0.09
2025-10-27	oos	0.63	0.591414	-6.12%	0.39521	-37.27%	0.3896	✓	0.06
2025-10-26	oos	0.628	0.588976	-6.21%	0.40539	-35.45%	0.3575	✓	0.06
2025-10-25	oos	0.713	0.665632	-6.64%	0.40428	-43.30%	0.4623	✓	0.15
2025-10-24	oos	0.721	0.672004	-6.80%	0.39642	-45.02%	0.4832	✓	0.18
2025-10-23	oos	0.754	0.701988	-6.90%	0.40187	-46.70%	0.5083	✓	0.19
2025-10-22	oos	0.752	0.704283	-6.35%	0.4076	-45.80%	0.5161	✓	0.13
2025-10-21	oos	0.752	0.704756	-6.28%	0.42	-44.15%	0.4902	✓	0.12
2025-10-20	oos	0.807	0.746446	-7.50%	0.431	-46.59%	0.5364	✓	0.07
2025-10-19	oos	0.796	0.740349	-6.99%	0.457	-42.59%	0.4611	✓	0.14
2025-10-18	oos	0.818	0.760398	-7.04%	0.457	-44.13%	0.4861	✓	0.15
2025-10-17	oos	0.792	0.740403	-6.51%	0.484	-38.89%	0.4061	✓	0.16
2025-10-16	oos	0.789	0.736126	-6.70%	0.454	-42.46%	0.4633	✓	0.16
2025-10-15	oos	0.827	0.76275	-7.77%	0.486	-41.23%	0.4306	✓	0.13
2025-10-14	oos	0.839	0.765621	-8.75%	0.508	-39.45%	0.3957	✓	0.11
2025-10-13	oos	0.854	0.769805	-9.86%	0.532	-37.70%	0.3541	✓	0.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.867	0.777476	-10.33%	0.52	-40.02%	0.3869	✓	0.14
2025-10-11	oos	0.883	0.796734	-9.77%	0.58	-34.31%	0.3100	✓	0.17
2025-10-10	oos	0.872	0.781933	-10.33%	0.581	-33.37%	0.2822	✓	0.19
2025-10-09	oos	0.872	0.765979	-12.16%	0.58	-33.49%	0.2308	✓	0.27
2025-10-08	oos	0.95	0.829343	-12.70%	0.589	-38.00%	0.3079	✓	0.19
2025-10-07	oos	1.01	0.880528	-12.82%	0.583	-42.28%	0.3438	✓	0.38
2025-10-06	oos	1.09	0.972333	-10.80%	0.568	-47.89%	0.4756	✓	0.34
2025-10-05	oos	1.141	1.0278	-9.92%	0.562	-50.74%	0.5282	✓	0.38
2025-10-04	oos	1.165	1.0473	-10.10%	0.557	-52.19%	0.5784	✓	0.38
2025-10-03	oos	1.175	1.059	-9.87%	0.581	-50.55%	0.5630	✓	0.37
2025-10-02	oos	1.198	1.0798	-9.86%	0.574	-52.09%	0.5963	✓	0.39
2025-10-01	oos	1.223	1.0965	-10.35%	0.582	-52.41%	0.5909	✓	0.53
2025-09-30	oos	1.204	1.0606	-11.91%	0.574	-52.33%	0.5831	✓	0.59
2025-09-29	oos	1.219	1.0791	-11.48%	0.582	-52.26%	0.5833	✓	0.88
2025-09-28	oos	1.21	1.0661	-11.89%	0.566	-53.22%	0.6385	✓	0.85
2025-09-27	oos	1.22	1.0716	-12.16%	0.63	-48.36%	0.5690	✓	0.96
2025-09-26	oos	1.223	1.0776	-11.89%	0.628	-48.65%	0.5813	✓	0.96
2025-09-25	oos	1.249	1.1038	-11.63%	0.713	-42.91%	0.4599	✓	0.96
2025-09-24	oos	1.271	1.1445	-9.95%	0.721	-43.27%	0.4416	✓	1.00
2025-09-23	oos	1.3	1.1727	-9.79%	0.754	-42.00%	0.4241	✓	1.03
2025-09-22	oos	1.29	1.1698	-9.32%	0.752	-41.71%	0.3945	✓	1.01
2025-09-21	oos	1.31	1.2015	-8.28%	0.752	-42.60%	0.4062	✓	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	1.325	1.2209	-7.86%	0.807	-39.09%	0.3753	✓	0.85
2025-09-19	oos	1.336	1.2328	-7.73%	0.796	-40.42%	0.3843	✓	0.85
2025-09-18	oos	1.363	1.2625	-7.37%	0.818	-39.99%	0.3606	✓	0.83
2025-09-17	oos	1.283	1.184	-7.72%	0.792	-38.27%	0.3258	✓	0.85

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.